SUMBER DATA : Dana Bantuan APBN dan APBD untuk Program Penyedian Air

Bersih dan Sanitasi Berbasis Masyarakat

JUMLAH : 8 Kabupaten / 32 Sampel
TAHUN : 2014 S.D. 2017
MODEL I Common Effect (No Weight)

Dependent Variable: AHH?

Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 08/06/18 Time: 21:54
Sample: 1 4
Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 8
Total pool (balanced) observations: 32

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

APBN? 1.80E-08 5.32E-09 3.378676 0.0020

APBD? 5.34E-08 1.40E-08 3.817247 0.0006

R-squared -91.814125    Mean dependent var 64.66781

Adjusted R-squared -94.907929    S.D. dependent var 2.981723
S.E. of regression 29.20078    Akaike info criterion 9.646730
Sum squared resid 25580.57    Schwarz criterion 9.738338
Log likelihood -152.3477    Hannan-Quinn criter. 9.677095
Durbin-Watson stat 1.171740

MODEL (Common Effect (Weight)

Dependent Variable: AHH?

Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section weights)
Date: 08/06/18 Time: 21:56
Sample: 1 4
Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 8
Total pool (balanced) observations: 32
Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

APBN? 2.22E-08 3.71E-09 5.987464 0.0000

APBD? 5.23E-08 7.45E-09 7.021321 0.0000

Weighted Statistics

R-squared -84.805625    Mean dependent var 89.59148

Adjusted R-squared -87.665812    S.D. dependent var 49.58627
S.E. of regression 27.93034    Sum squared resid 23403.12
Durbin-Watson stat 1.247789

Unweighted Statistics

R-squared -96.415966    Mean dependent var 64.66781

Sum squared resid 26848.89    Durbin-Watson stat 1.357823
MODEL Fixed Effect (No weight)

Dependent Variable: AHH?

Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 08/06/18 Time: 21:56
Sample: 1 4
Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 8
Total pool (balanced) observations: 32

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

C 63.81784 0.308546 206.8342 0.0000

APBN? 2.51E-10 1.73E-10 1.449323 0.1614
APBD? 9.81E-10 4.88E-10 2.010856 0.0568
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_BENGKAYANG--C 0.532788
_KAYONG--C -4.367566
_KUBURAYA--C 0.733907
_LANDAK--C -0.570612
_MEMPAWAH--C -1.270153
_SAMBAS--C 0.129795
_SANGGAU--C -1.417886
_SINTANG--C 6.229727

Effects Specification

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

R-squared 0.955554    Mean dependent var 64.66781

Adjusted R-squared 0.937372    S.D. dependent var 2.981723
S.E. of regression 0.746194    Akaike info criterion 2.502644
Sum squared resid 12.24972    Schwarz criterion 2.960686
Log likelihood -30.04230    Hannan-Quinn criter. 2.654472
MODEL Fixed Effect (Weight)

Dependent Variable: AHH?

Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects)
Date: 08/06/18 Time: 21:57
Sample: 1 4
Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 8
Total pool (balanced) observations: 32
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

C 63.81028 1.194924 53.40114 0.0000

APBN? 2.56E-10 1.73E-10 1.479408 0.1498
APBD? 9.82E-10 4.87E-10 2.018173 0.0529
Random Effects (Cross)
_BENGKAYANG--C 0.528120
_KAYONG--C -4.311484
_KUBURAYA--C 0.723767
_LANDAK--C -0.564936
_MEMPAWAH--C -1.252094
_SAMBAS--C 0.128922
_SANGGAU--C -1.399873
_SINTANG--C 6.147578

Effects Specification
S.D.   Rho  

Cross-section random 3.265266 0.9504

Idiosyncratic random 0.746194 0.0496

Weighted Statistics

R-squared 0.254383    Mean dependent var 7.341327

Adjusted R-squared 0.202961    S.D. dependent var 0.818365
S.E. of regression 0.730612    Sum squared resid 15.48002
F-statistic 4.946987    Durbin-Watson stat 1.030467
Prob(F-statistic) 0.014174
MODEL Random Effect (Walan Husein)

Dependent Variable: AHH?

Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects)
Date: 08/06/18 Time: 21:58
Sample: 1 4
Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 8
Total pool (balanced) observations: 32
Wallace and Hussain estimator of component variances

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

C 63.81418 1.106317 57.68164 0.0000

APBN? 2.53E-10 1.13E-10 2.241240 0.0328
APBD? 9.81E-10 3.18E-10 3.084084 0.0045
Random Effects (Cross)
_BENGKAYANG--C 0.530538
_KAYONG--C -4.340439
_KUBURAYA--C 0.728999
_LANDAK--C -0.567872
_MEMPAWAH--C -1.261411
_SAMBAS--C 0.129375
_SANGGAU--C -1.409174
_SINTANG--C 6.189984

Effects Specification
S.D.   Rho  

Cross-section random 3.076810 0.9755

Idiosyncratic random 0.487381 0.0245

Weighted Statistics

R-squared 0.274693    Mean dependent var 5.105855

Adjusted R-squared 0.224672    S.D. dependent var 0.783778
S.E. of regression 0.690137    Sum squared resid 13.81240
F-statistic 5.491545    Durbin-Watson stat 1.153045
Prob(F-statistic) 0.009497

Unweighted Statistics

R-squared 0.046109    Mean dependent var 64.66781

Sum squared resid 262.9027    Durbin-Watson stat 0.060579
MODEL Random Effect (Wasbick Kapten)

Dependent Variable: AHH?

Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects)
Date: 08/06/18 Time: 21:58
Sample: 1 4
Included observations: 4
Cross-sections included: 8
Total pool (balanced) observations: 32
Wansbeek and Kapteyn estimator of component variances

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.  

C 63.80872 1.093553 58.34989 0.0000

APBN? 2.57E-10 1.73E-10 1.485644 0.1482
APBD? 9.83E-10 4.87E-10 2.019697 0.0527
Random Effects (Cross)
_BENGKAYANG--C 0.527143
_KAYONG--C -4.299849
_KUBURAYA--C 0.721666
_LANDAK--C -0.563753
_MEMPAWAH--C -1.248354
_SAMBAS--C 0.128739
_SANGGAU--C -1.396135
_SINTANG--C 6.130543

Effects Specification
S.D.   Rho  

Cross-section random 2.967535 0.9405

Idiosyncratic random 0.746194 0.0595

Weighted Statistics

R-squared 0.247143    Mean dependent var 8.066931

Adjusted R-squared 0.195221    S.D. dependent var 0.831857
S.E. of regression 0.746255    Sum squared resid 16.14999
F-statistic 4.759954    Durbin-Watson stat 0.988357
Prob(F-statistic) 0.016306

Unweighted Statistics

R-squared 0.046335    Mean dependent var 64.66781

Sum squared resid 262.8404    Durbin-Watson stat 0.060729
 Pembahasan
AHH = Angka Harapan Hidup
APBN = Anggaran Pendapatan dan Pembelanjaan Negara
APBD = Anggaran Pendapatan dan Pembelanjaan Daerah

Persamaan
AHH = ẞ0 + ẞ1 APNB + ẞ2 APBD
1. Nilai R-squared adalah 0,937 maka bisa diartikan bahwa sampel bisa
merepresantikan total populasi sebesar 94 %.

2. Uji t–statistic
Jika p-value > α, maka H0 diterima dan Ha ditolak.
Jika p-value < α, maka H0 ditolak dan Ha diterima.
p-value < α (0.000000 < 0.05) dengan demikian, H 0 ditolak dan Ha diterima. Artinya,
APBN dan APBD secara simultan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap AHH.

3. Interpretasi Model
AHH = 63,81 + 2.51 In APBN + 9.8 ln APBD
Koefisien regresi untuk variabel ln(APBN) sebesar 2,51 dan variabel ln(APBD )
sebesar 9,8. Koefisien regresi ln(APBN) bernilai positif artinya pada saat kenaikan /
peningkatan anggaran APBN maka persentase dari anggaran APBD akan mengalami
kenaikan. Begitu pula pada saat persentase pengurangan anggaran APBN maka
persentase anggaran APBD juga turun.

4. Pada persamaan , APBN dan APBD berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap AHH,
berdasarkan uji setiap model bisa dikatakan sebagai berikut :
- Hasil uji CE (no weight) bahwa variabel AHH berpengaruh signifikan terhadap
APBN dan APBD.
- Hasil uji CE ( weight) bahwa variabel AHH berpengaruh signifikan terhadap APBN
dan APBD.
- Hasil uji FE ( no weight) bahwa variabel AHH berpengaruh signifikan terhadap
APBD, sedangkan APBN berpengaruh tidak signifikan.
- Hasil uji FE ( weight) bahwa variabel AHH berpengaruh signifikan terhadap APBD,
sedangkan APBN berpengaruh tidak signifikan.
- Hasil uji RE (walan Husein ) bahwa variabel AHH berpengaruh signifikan terhadap
APBN dan APBD.
- Hasil uji RE (Wasbick Kapten ) bahwa variabel AHH berpengaruh tidak signifikan
terhadap APBN dan APBD.