Winter Weather Late Monday Night

Through Tuesday Night

Decision Support Briefing #1 Current Hazards
As of: 600 PM Feb 10, 2019

What Has Changed?

Initial Briefing

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 Main Points

Hazard Impacts Location Timing

• Snow and sleet 1 to 4 inches
along the coast and 4 to 7 inches
Snow inland. Reduced visibilities and
snow/ice covered roadways will
create hazardous travel.
Late Monday Night through
Highest amounts in the Tuesday Afternoon. Precipitation
watch area and lesser will transition over to rain at the
coast by late afternoon with gradual
amounts elsewhere
transition through the night across
the interior

Interior NE NJ, the

• Ice accumulation of a tenth to
Lower Hudson Valley Tuesday Afternoon through
Freezing quarter inch inland with a few
and interior Southern CT Tuesday Evening.
hundredths elsewhere. Falling
Rain power lines and tree branches
Lighter amounts
elsewhere.
possible.
• 1 to 1 ½ inches, locally 2
inches. Minor Flooding of Tuesday Afternoon through
Heavy Rain Urban Areas, Low-lying Entire Tri-State Region
Tuesday Night
Roads, and Small Streams
and Creeks.

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 Summary of Greatest Impacts
Snow: Entire Tri-State Region
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Freezing Rain: NE NJ, Lower Hudson Valley and

SW CT
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Heavy Rain: Entire Tri-State Region

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

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 Snow and Ice
Hazards:
 1-4” Snowfall and Light Ice Accretion Coast
 Snowfall rates up to 1”/hr
 Visibility less than ½ mile at times

 4-7” Snowfall and Up to a Quarter Inch of Ice Inland

 Snowfall rates up to 1”/hr
 Visibility less than ½ mile at times
Impacts:
 Hazardous travel due to snow and ice covered
roadways and reduced visibility which will impact
the morning and evening commutes
 Falling power lines and tree branches possible due
to ice accretion

Timing:
 Heaviest snow Tuesday morning and early
afternoon with a transition to mixed precipitation
(ice/sleet)

Uncertainty:
 Timing of changeover to mixed precipitation and
rain. Small timing differences will have significant
impacts on snowfall and ice totals

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 Moderate to Heavy Rain

Hazards:
 Rainfall of 1 to 1 ½ inches, locally 2 inches

Impacts:
 Minor Flooding of Urban Areas, Low-lying
Roads, and Small Streams and Creeks.
 Snow covered roadways and storm drains
may enhance street flooding

Timing:
 Heaviest rain Tuesday Afternoon and Evening

Uncertainty:
 Timing of changeover of snow to rain will
impact the amount of runoff and extent of
flooding

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 Event Summary
 Snow begins toward daybreak Tuesday morning for the NYC metro,
and then works northeast across the remainder of the area
 Potential high impact for the morning commute

 Precipitation transitions to a wintry mix during the late morning and

afternoon hours from south to north. There is some uncertainty with
how quickly this transition occurs. Small timing differences will have
significant impacts on snowfall and ice totals

 Snowfall totals of 1-4 inches along the coast and 4-7 inches inland are
forecast before changeover. Highest amounts in the watch area.

 A light ice accretion near the coast with a tenth to quarter inch well
inland

 Rainfall amounts of 1 to 1 ½ inches with locally 2 inches

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 Contact and Next Briefing Information
Next Briefing
When: Around 600 AM Tomorrow
(Mon)
Method: Email

Web: Facebook:
http://www.weather.gov/okx/ http://www.facebook.com/NWSNewYorkNY

Phone (public):
Twitter:
631-924-0517
http://www.twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY

YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSNewYor
kNY

Disclaimer: The information contained within this briefing is

time-sensitive, do not use after 5 AM Monday (02/11/19).

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