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  • Calculo Var

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    manuelodicio
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    The document contains energy consumption data from 2010 to 2034 in gigawatt hours (GWh) and projected growth rates. It compares the actual data to various models of linear, exponential, logarithmic and polynomial trend lines. The polynomial trend line provided the best fit with an R-squared value of 0.993.

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    The document contains energy consumption data from 2010 to 2034 in gigawatt hours (GWh) and projected growth rates. It compares the actual data to various models of linear, exponential, logarithmic and polynomial trend lines. The polynomial trend line provided the best fit with an R-squared value of 0.993.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Scarica in formato XLSX, PDF, TXT o leggi online su Scribd
    Segnala contenuti inappropriati
    14 visualizzazioni9 pagine

    Calculo Var

    Caricato da

    manuelodicio
    The document contains energy consumption data from 2010 to 2034 in gigawatt hours (GWh) and projected growth rates. It compares the actual data to various models of linear, exponential, logarithmic and polynomial trend lines. The polynomial trend line provided the best fit with an R-squared value of 0.993.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Scarica in formato XLSX, PDF, TXT o leggi online su Scribd
    Segnala contenuti inappropriati
    di 9

    Periodo Energia (GWh) Var % Proyeccion

    1 2010 256 255


    2 2011 262 2.3 264 310
    3 2012 273 4.2 272 f(x) = - 0.40800865
    300
    4 2013 280 2.6 280 R² = 0.9931444799
    5 2014 288 2.9 287 290

    6 2015 290 0.7 292 280


    7 2016 299 297
    270
    8 2017 301 0.7 302
    9 2018 305 1.3 305 260

    10 2019 284 2.1 308 250


    11 2020 309 240
    12 2021 310
    230
    13 2022 310 2009 2010 2011 2012
    14 2023 310
    15 2024 308
    16 2025 306
    17 2026 303
    18 2027 299
    19 2028 294
    20 2029 288
    21 2030 282
    22 2031 275
    23 2032 267
    24 2033 258
    25 2034 248

    Ef = Ei (1+i)^n

    Exponencial
    Lineal 310
    300
    310 f(x) = 23.6390216249 ln(x) + 250.1530359
    f(x) = 6.25x + 252.5277777778 290 R² = 0.9590162289
    300 R² = 0.971883063
    280
    290
    270
    280
    270 260

    260 250

    250 240

    240 230
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2
    230
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
    280 270
    260
    270
    260 250

    250 240

    240 230
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2
    230
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    310
    300f(x) = - 0.408008658x^
    Exponencial 290R² = 0.9931444799
    280
    310
    f(x) = 253.4947565871 exp( 0.0222311581 x ) 270
    300
    R² = 0.9649029069 260
    290
    250
    280
    240
    270
    230
    260 2010 2011 2012 2
    250
    240
    230
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
    Polinomica
    310

    300 f(x) = - 0.408008658x^2 + 1649.7088744591x - 1667264.08874484


    R² = 0.9931444799
    290

    280

    270

    260

    250

    240

    230
    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    Exponencial
    Potencial
    310
    90216249 ln(x) + 250.1530359289
    162289 300
    f(x) = 251.1465964145 x^0.084687831
    290 R² = 0.9658605776
    280
    270
    260
    250
    240
    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
    230
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
    270
    260
    250
    240
    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
    230
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
    Polinomica
    Polinomica 310
    310 300 f(x) = - 0.408008658x^2 + 1649.7088744591x - 1667264.
    300f(x) = - 0.408008658x^2 + 10.3300865801x + 245.0476190476 R² = 0.9931444799
    290
    290R² = 0.9931444799
    280 280
    270 270
    260
    260
    250
    240 250
    230 240
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
    230
    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20
    Chart Title
    310
    300
    290
    280
    270
    260
    250
    240
    016 2017 2018 230
    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
    280
    270
    260
    250
    240
    016 2017 2018 230
    Polinomica 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    8658x^2 + 1649.7088744591x - 1667264.08874484


    99

    2 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019


    40%

    FLUJO DE CAJA
    Descripcion
    0 1 2 3 4
    Inversión 430000
    Suministro 360000
    Transporte 50000
    Montaje 20000
    Ingresos 0 71999 100799 143998 215997
    Energia 71999 100799 143998 215997

    Egresos 0 43000 43000 43000 43000


    Costos 0 0 0 0
    O&M 21500 21500 21500 21500
    Depreciación 21500 21500 21500 21500
    Valor Residual 0 0 0 0 0

    Flujo Neto -430000 28999 57798.6 100998 172997


    Flujo Acumulado -430000 -401001 -343202.4 -242204.4 -69207.4
    12% 8%
    VAN S/. 941,782.49
    TIR 34%
    PR (periodo de retorno)
    FLUJO DE CAJA
    5 6 7 8 9 10

    Chart Title
    3000000
    287996 359995 431994 503993 575992 647991
    2500000
    287996 359995 431994 503993 575992 647991
    2000000

    1500000

    1000000
    43000 43000 43000 43000 43000 43000
    0 0 0 0 0 500000
    21500 21500 21500 21500 21500 21500 0
    21500 21500 21500 21500 21500 21500 1 2 3 4 5 6
    -500000
    0 0 0 0 0 215000
    -1000000
    244996 316995 388994 460993 532992 819991
    175788.6 492783.6 881777.6 1342770.6 1875762.6 2695753.6
    Chart Title

    2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

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