Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
For
The Futures Project:
Policy for Higher Education in a Changing World
T H E F U T U R E S P R O J E C T : P O L I C Y F O R H I G H E R E D U C AT I O N I N A C H A N G I N G W O R L D
B R O W N U N I V E R S I T Y , B O X 1 9 7 7 , P R O V I D E N C E , R I 0 2 9 1 2
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The Futures Project gratefully acknowledges the support and contributions of the Education Commission
of the States, the National Conference of State Legislatures, the State Higher Education Executive Officers,
the Association of American Universities, the Millennium Project, the American Association of Community
Colleges, the American Association for Higher Education, the New England Board of Higher Education,
and the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education.
John Immerwahr is a Senior Research Fellow with Public Agenda and Associate Vice President for
Academic Affairs at Villanova University. He is the author or co-author of numerous Public Agenda reports
on higher education, including: Great Expectations: How the Public and Parents—White, African-
American, and Hispanic—View Higher Education (2000); Doing Comparatively Well: Why the Public
Loves Higher Education and Criticizes K-12 (1999); and The Price of Admission: The Growing
Importance of Higher Education (1998). In addition he has authored and co-authored a number of other
Public Agenda reports on education, including First Things First: What Americans Expect from the
Public Schools (1994).
ISBN: 1-889483-78-8
Meeting the Competition
1
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Preface 2
Executive Summary 3
Introduction 5
Methodology 5
Afterword 26
Participants 27
Related Publications 29
PREFACE
T he Futures Project has focused its energies on studying a far-reaching topic: the growing competition
between colleges and universities, a competition that has been exacerbated by the explosion of new
providers—such as for-profit degree-granting universities and colleges, virtual programs and institutions, and
corporate universities. Adding to the competitive pressures are the impact of information and communication
technology, of globalization and, perhaps most significant, the transformation underway as political leaders
move toward market forces, and away from regulation, as the means of structuring higher education.
To understand these changes we have analyzed a wide array of reports and studies; visited institutions around
the world; consulted with higher education experts; met with presidents, rectors and vice chancellors; listened
to faculty and students; and conferred with governors, legislators and ministers of education. This research
has resulted in a series of published reports, available at www.futuresproject.org. The Futures Project is now
preparing policy proposals for political leaders designed to help create a thoughtful, workable higher education
market. We are also preparing recommendations for colleges and universities as to the strategies they might
employ in order to survive and even thrive in the new climate.
As our research has progressed, it has become apparent that growing competition has frayed the mutual
understanding, or compact, between higher education and the public. As higher education institutions have
focused more and more on competing for students, funding and prestige, there has been an erosion in the
unspoken but powerful mutual commitment that has, until now, ensured that higher education operated in the
service of the public that supports it. We thought an essential beginning for thinking about how to renew that
compact was to take a more precise temperature of college and university presidents, state legislators, and
faculty so that we could understand how they felt about these issues.
In order to accomplish this, we asked Public Agenda, a New York-based research and education institution
founded by Daniel Yankelovich and the late Cyrus Vance, to work with us to develop a series of focus groups
for college and university presidents, faculty members, and legislators charged with overseeing higher
education in their states.
The conversations that resulted from this project were candid, honest, and searching. These leaders got
beyond the set talks they sometimes give in public formats, and engaged in a searching dialogue with us and
with their peers on pressing issues. With near universality, the respondents reported that they had learned a
great deal from the sessions, and in the process of discussion had come to a greater clarity about their own
thinking and the problems that higher education faces.
This report, authored by John Immerwahr, details some of the themes that emerged from those conversations.
It gives us a glimpse of an uneasy community, whose leaders are fully aware of and disturbed by the issue of
growing competition, but who are only beginning to craft a response to it. As you will see, the interviews
revealed strong consensus on some issues and sharp differences on others. Clearly the task of renewing the
compact has only begun. The country has an urgent task ahead, to maintain and rebuild the consensus. This
report shows us some of the challenges that must be faced.
Frank Newman
Director, The Futures Project
Meeting the Competition
3
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
5. Competition for the best students. Institutions (and regions) Institutions (and regions) now compete
now compete intensely for the top-end students. One of the intensely for the top-end students.
symptoms of this competition is a sharp controversy about merit-
based financial aid. In this case, the argument is not between
academics and legislators, but within each of these communities.
Critics of merit-based aid describe it as a “sop to the middle
class.” Others defend it as a way to stop regional “brain drain.”
Some of our college presidents also see its necessity as a way to
attract outstanding students.
INTRODUCTION
The goal of this project, done for the Futures Project, was to assess the
thinking of the higher education community on one important area: the
response to vastly increased competition in the higher education arena.
To examine this issue we conducted a series of open-ended interviews
with college and university presidents, faculty members, and legislators
who oversee higher education. One hypothesis emerging from this
research is that the higher education community may be only in the
early levels of Yankelovich’s choicework stage. Virtually all of our
respondents realize they are in a new competitive world, with new
forces and constraints. While the problems that need to be solved are
clear, the debate itself has not taken a final shape. Our interviews gave
us a snapshot of the community in the process of starting to think about
choices and responses. On some issues, major players (especially
legislators and academic presidents) are still completely talking past
each other, with no common framework. In other areas, people
acknowledge deep problems but have not yet articulated realistic
choices for dealing with them.
METHODOLOGY
For the selective and prestigious institutions, one of the big issues was
an intensified competition between their institution and other similar
universities. One of the most vigorous areas of competition is for
prestige. As one Research I president explained:
A lot of what has been mentioned ties into a major trend, the
rapid emergence of two-year schools. In the old days the four-
year schools were the only game in the state. I wonder if the
expectations haven’t changed. More people are willing to
accept a degree from wherever they can get it in the shortest
period of time.
The University of Phoenix admits that they train much of the As one community college president
support staff for the universities here, and most of that is remarked, “No one is competing for
because of access issues, in terms of time and place. our students.”
Another university president saw the impact even closer to him:
One of the worries most on the mind of our respondents was the
potential danger of a situation where traditional higher education
institutions face a combination of declining funding from state and
federal government, accompanied by more intense competition from
new competitors who will “cherry pick” the most profitable programs.
The fear is that important but unprofitable programs and functions will
be lost in the scramble to compete in a newly aggressive marketplace.
There are two related fears. One concern is that for-profit institutions,
unconstrained by the public mission of traditional universities, will be
able to compete aggressively for profitable students and programs,
drying up traditional revenue sources for existing higher education
universities, endangering the public mission. The other fear is that
traditional higher education institutions themselves will have to emulate
the for-profits, and shed much of their public mission. One way or the
other, our respondents are worried that valuable public services,
traditionally offered by public higher education, will be lost. A faculty
member asked:
They will fight tooth and nail against instituting some change,
but then when you want to undo that change, they will fight
just as hard to keep it.
The university presidents did not accept this premise at all. Several of
the presidents defended academic resistance to change as a virtue, and
argued that legislators are frequently trying to impose quick fixes so
they can have something to show at election time.
we don’t just blow with every wind. We filter out a lot of the
irrelevant pressures and respond to secular changes.
We would be willing to take a lower
A quick response is often a bad response. Does anyone think state appropriation and have more
we don’t have the best higher education system in the world? ability to attract students and private
Part of it is the decision-making process that we have. I know gifts.
it can be frustrating as well.
The academic presidents, for their part, had their own war stories
about over-regulation and micromanagement from state government.
Some of our presidents argued that higher education’s lack of flexibility
was not the fault of public colleges and universities but should be
blamed on government interference and mismanagement. Several
presidents remarked that they wanted to compete more vigorously and
make their institutions more flexible, but that they were prevented from
doing so by their state governments. Here are some typical remarks:
that problem, and then the staff spends weeks writing reports
that no one reads.
I look at the number of dollars and the countless hours that are
spent at the commission on higher education. You sit through
two days of meetings, of which maybe one half-hour is directly
applicable. Look at the amount of money and time and full Their concern...is that more autonomy
FTEs positions spent on accountability issues. I’d like to see if for higher education should be
that resource could be redirected into delivery of educational coupled to greater accountability.
services.
The assumption is that right now they don’t have flexibility, but
I think they have that flexibility.
In our state, the board of regents meets four times every year.
The criticism of the central administrators is that they
manipulate these people to their own ends. They don’t give
them the information until they actually get to the meeting, and
they ask them to vote on it immediately. The universities do
everything they can to get past what little accountability there
is.
Meeting the Competition
16
The controversy between legislators and academics also rolls over into
a debate about outcome assessment for higher education. Many
experts and accrediting agencies in higher education are now arguing
that colleges and universities should be assessed by measuring learning
outcomes, not by the traditional input measures (how big is the library,
how many Ph.D.s on the faculty, etc.). This approach made a lot of
sense to some of the legislators we talked to, since it seemed to
provide some of the accountability that they feel is missing currently.
Several of the legislators wanted to see much better assessment
mechanisms that would actually measure how well the universities
were doing in producing the desired outcomes.
This is not one of the things I get up in the morning and worry
about. There is no way to ultimately measure outcomes. The
best thing would be to hire Arthur Andersen and let them
demonstrate that we are achieving our outcomes, and have
everyone leave us alone. The major measure for the
professional schools is whether your graduates are sought
after.
We have used NSSE for awhile, and
we find that it is an immensely helpful
We also asked our respondents how they felt about the National
tool for us in understanding what we
Survey of Student Engagement (NSSE). These surveys do not
are trying to do. . . . But if there is any
measure educational outcomes as such, but they do provide data on
movement to make the results public
student perceptions that can be used to track institutional progress and
information, we will pull out of it.
to compare one institution to another. Generally the legislators thought
this approach had some interesting possibilities. Reaction among the
academics was mixed. Some were totally opposed to using this kind of
data at all. As one faculty member said:
behind in its ability to cover the costs of college, and much of the slack
has been taken up by student loans. As one of our educators reminded
us, a Pell grant used to pay for most of the average cost of a state
Something here has to stop;
education. It now pays for only a fraction of that cost.
otherwise we are cutting off a whole
segment of the population.
Some of our legislators and academics are highly critical of this shift,
and argue that the trend toward merit aid is nothing more than a ploy to
buy middle-class votes. In the eyes of these critics, merit aid is a
politically driven middle-class entitlement that siphons away funding
from those who really need it. Here are a few of the remarks we
heard:
The shift is under the rubric that the middle class is hurting.
We have a model where we reward people who are already We have to play the game a little bit.
achieving because they can afford to, as opposed to helping
people who could achieve if they got some help.
Our legislators were quick to admit that these programs are politically
popular, but they also defended their support for some merit programs.
Several legislators argued that supporting merit aid gave them space to
also support other programs for the disadvantaged.
Some of the legislators also stressed the need for merit aid as a way to
prevent talented students from moving to other states. As the But those who understand our
legislators see it, students who go to college in a different state are traditional mission get furious when
much more likely not to return to their home state. One strategy for they see money taken from general
playing this game is to offer merit aid to talented students. Here are teaching and put into the honors
comments by legislators: program.
The driver for merit aid is the same as that pushing our
institutions to be in a higher tier than we already are (if we are
in tier three we want to be in tier two). We are all being
evaluated by some journalist somewhere who then publishes a
ranking list. Everyone says it is a terrible measure and then
says look how we did. . . . The administration is under
enormous pressure to make our student body look good
compared to other institutions. . . . But those who understand
our traditional mission get furious when they see money taken
from general teaching and put into the honors program.
While the high-end colleges are competing for the best students, what
happens to the students at the other end of the spectrum? Many of our
respondents felt that while all of the attention was being devoted to
scrambling for academically gifted students and for profitable
programs, more disadvantaged students were being lost in the shuffle.
Traditionally, these students are served by community colleges and by
regional four-year institutions. One community college president said:
Meeting the Competition
22
Those who are familiar with the situation in community colleges and Open access is who we are and
some of the regional universities stress the difficulty in educating these what we believe in; the issue is
students. The complaints are much the same that one would hear from achievement and attainment.
the principals of inner city K-12 schools. Poorly prepared students, high
transience, and inadequate language skills are only a few of the
difficulties. Here are some sample remarks from community college
presidents:
Open access is who we are and what we believe in; the issue
is achievement and attainment, but I think about how [much]
farther we could take people if they really had a rigorous high
Meeting the Competition
23
The myth is that this will allow us to reach more people for
less money; actually it takes much more time. As a faculty
member teaching DL (distance learning), I have to limit the
number of students I have; I can’t teach 35 students.
One of the community college presidents pointed out that her institution
received less money than either K-12 or the four-year college:
Meeting the Competition
24
Need for a new model. The problems we have just discussed are
serious enough in their own right. As some of the educators tell the
story, however, these problems stem from a more fundamental
conceptual issue. As they see it, our society approaches questions
about higher education from a traditional standpoint that doesn’t apply Serving disadvantaged students has
to the experience of many disadvantaged students or the institutions to come to the top of the policy
they attend. Many leaders went to college right after high school and agenda.
attended full time for four years. Indeed, many of their children are
following the same pattern. Today, however, this model fits only a
minority of the students actually enrolled in higher education. Despite
this change, our thinking about higher education is still preoccupied with
the traditional approach, even though it no longer matches new
demographic realities. Some of the community college presidents
expressed it this way:
For example, all the news stories are all written about the best
of the best. Serving disadvantaged students has to come to the
top of the policy agenda. It has to become a priority, and we
are a long way from getting there.
One president pointed out that most of the financial aid models are not
adequate for part-time students:
Part-time students are our bread and butter, yet we still don’t
have a decent model for funding them, so we squeeze many
students out of the pipeline who may be right on the edge of
being able to support themselves.
Years ago Clark Kerr predicted that higher education has absorbed
two recent “tidal waves” of students. The first group was the returning
G.I.s after World War II, and the second was their children, the baby
boomers who flooded higher education beginning in the sixties. Kerr,
and many others, also predicted a third wave, which is just hitting
higher education now. This group, however, will have a much heavier
representation of minority members who will also be seeking to use
higher education as a gateway to the middle class. The hypothesis that
is emerging from our research is that higher education does not yet
have a model for how to absorb and accommodate this group,
especially in the light of growing competition.
Meeting the Competition
26
AFTERWORD
P revious Public Agenda studies have documented a virtual unanimity among academic, legislative, and business
leaders that the United States has the finest higher education system in the world. For their part, colleges and universities
have basked in the glow of that leadership position for a number of years, and legislators have often taken great pride in their
local institutions. Yet the interviews we conducted for this study with academic presidents, faculty members, and state
legislators reveal a growing awareness of a new set of challenges to American higher education’s preeminence. As these
leaders tell the story, America’s higher education system (especially the public institutions) is beginning to wrestle with the
implications of a number of dramatically changing circumstances.
As we have seen, legislators and educators anticipate the convergence of three powerful trends. The first is a growing
strain on state funding, such that higher education will increasingly be pitted against other state institutions such as K-12 and the
corrections system for limited public resources. The second is growing competition within higher education, both from
traditional institutions and from the emergence of new providers, especially the for-profit educational institutions. The final trend
is a dramatic influx of young people who will be seeking higher education in the decades to come. This population will be more
racially and ethnically diverse than previous generations of students, and will require a variety of different kinds of support from
the institutions they attend, such as additional financial aid or remediation to make up the deficits of inadequate K-12 education.
Any one of these three trends would be a significant challenge by itself, but their joint confluence raises even more serious
questions. The fear – shared by many of our participants in one way or another – is that colleges will be caught between new
demands and inadequate resources, and that the public goods traditionally provided by higher education will be the victim.
The research also reveals a strained relationship between academics and the legislators who oversee higher education.
Many of the college and university presidents we interviewed were struggling to find some locus for accountability–some
culprit responsible for bringing higher education to such a pass. Some expressed a hope, almost nostalgically that the country as
a whole would rise up calling for a massive reinvestment of public money in higher education. And others pondered whether
the problem after all wasn’t a failure of good public relations - the need to remind legislators and the public of the value of our
system of higher education as a national resource. While the legislators are also concerned about the problem, our report
suggests that they often fault higher education – especially the four year institutions – for their sluggishness in responding to new
conditions and for their resistance to change and innovation. Thus while the new conditions will require an even closer
partnership between educators and legislators, at the moment the relationship seems fragile and testy, sometimes characterized
by mistrust and miscommunication.
Public Agenda’s founder, social scientist Daniel Yankelovich has written extensively about an evolutionary process that
individuals progress through as they engage with complex issues. He describes it as a journey that begins with awareness of an
existing problem, then moves on to a wrestling with alternative solutions, ultimately to reach some consensual resolution.
Leaders interviewed for this study are at the start of the journey. They are acutely aware that a problem exists and they are
beginning to see its urgency. But, there is little evidence to date that the academic community and their legislative partners have
begun to form a clear response to the convergence of these challenges. Indeed, our interviewees exhibited some of the
characteristics that all groups display when they are just beginning to face the hard work of confronting real choices.
Legislators and academic leaders might want to think about the story of health care reform in America as an example of
what can happen when key players are slow to acknowledge the need for reform and permit “others” to do the reforming. It’s
pretty clear that absent self-reform, the traditional decision making role that had been enjoyed by physicians has been taken
over by “other” institutions, such as the insurance companies. The key participants in higher education would do well to take
responsibility for developing and discussing some creative choices - choices that correspond to their values and their notions
about the best solutions in a very changed set of circumstances. The dialogue won’t be easy, for all participants will need to
confront some real trade-offs and conflicts. Reform will come, however, with their involvement or not, as change will be driven
by the unremitting demand for more, and more effective, higher education by a new generation of Americans seeking to use
higher education as their entryway to the American dream.
Deborah Wadsworth
President, Public Agenda
Meeting the Competition
27
PARTICIPANTS
Gail Mellow
President, LaGuardia Community College, New York
Rick Miera
Chair, Education Committee
New Mexico House of Representatives
Alan Olson
Education Committee
Montana House of Representatives
Greg Porter
Chair, Education Committee, Indiana General Assembly
Charles Ruch
President, Boise State University, Idaho
Alice Seagren
Education Policy Committee
Minnesota House of Representatives
Mack Shelley
Professor, Iowa State University
Katherine Sloan
President, Massachusetts College of Art
Steve Stoll
Education Committee, Missouri Senate
Ed Sullivan
Chair, Committee on Higher Education, New York State
Assembly
Ralph Tanner
Chair, Education Committee, Kansas House of
Representatives
Diane Troyer
President, Cy-Fair Community College of Texas
Donald Wharton
President, Plymouth State College
Belle Wheelan
President, Northern Virginia Community College
Ronald Williams
President, Prince George’s Community College
Maryland
Meeting the Competition
29
When It’s Your Own Child: A Report on Special Education from the Families Who Use It
Jean Johnson and Ann Duffett with Steve Farkas and Leslie Wilson. The first comprehensive research study
on the views of parents with special needs children enrolled in public school. The findings address concerns
about whether the right children are receiving the right services. Funded by the Annie E. Casey Foundation,
the Thomas B. Fordham Foundation and the 21st Century Schools Project at the Progressive Policy Institute.
2002. 34 pp. $10 ISBN #1-889483-76-1
Trying to Stay Ahead of the Game: Superintendents and Principals Talk about School Leadership
Steve Farkas, Jean Johnson, Ann Duffett and Tony Foleno, with Patrick Foley. Policymakers and educators
will discover useful and surprising insights on what most school leaders nationwide say stands in the way of
their providing vision and leadership—even in the most troubled schools. The survey also reveals what these
administrators have to say about issues of tenure, “unfunded” mandates and other critical concerns and is
especially timely as school leaders face increased pressure to raise academic standards and as some
education experts predict a shortage of top school administrators over the next few years. 2001. 50 pp. $10.
ISBN 1-889483-74-5
Great Expectations: How the Public and Parents – White, African American, and Hispanic – View
Higher Education
John Immerwahr with Tony Foleno. A report on the intense desire of all Americans to advance themselves
economically through higher education. State-specific reports are available for the following states: California,
Colorado, Florida, Illinois, New York, and Pennsylvania. 2000. 52pp. For copies visit
www.highereducation.org or call 202-822-6720.
Meeting the Competition
31
Doing Comparatively Well: Why the Public Loves Higher Education and Criticizes K-12
John Immerwahr. Study of how the American public views higher education as “Teflon coated,” immune
from many critiques, while primary and secondary institutions appear to be, “Velcro coated,” absorbing
every criticism. 1999. 26 pp. For copies visit www.highereducation.org or call 408-271-2699.
Add $2 for first book, $.50 for each additional book, for shipping and handling. To order with a major
credit card, call (212) 686-6610 during business hours or fax the publications order form printed out from
www.publicagenda.org. Checks may be sent to Public Agenda, Attn.: Publications, 6 East 39th Street,
New York, NY 10016.
Online
Public Agenda Online (www.publicagenda.org) has Web versions and press releases of these studies as
well as in-depth information on 20 public policy issues.
Meeting the Competition
32
ABOUT THE FUTURES PROJECT: POLICY FOR HIGHER EDUCATION IN A CHANGING WORLD
The Futures Project is a higher education think tank based at Brown University’s A. Alfred Taubman Center for
Public Policy and American Institutions. The Futures Project researches domestic and international trends in
higher education, analyzes the impact of these changes, and develops policy options to help lawmakers and
academic leaders respond to the new competitive higher education environment in the United States. In
addition the Futures Project publishes numerous research and policy papers on national and global trends in
higher education. The project was founded in 1999 by Frank Newman, former president of the Education
Commission of the States and president emeritus of the University of Rhode Island.
Brown University
Box 1977
Providence, RI 02912
Telephone: (401) 863-9582, Fax (401) 863-2452
Website: www.futuresproject.org, E-mail: futures_project@brown.edu
Founded in 1975 by social scientist and author Daniel Yankelovich and former U.S. Secretary of State Cyrus
Vance, Public Agenda works to help the nation’s leaders better understand the public’s point of view and to help
average citizens better understand critical policy issues. Our in-depth research on how citizens think about
policy forms the basis for extensive citizen education work. Our citizen education materials, used by the National
Issues Forums and media outlets across the country, have won praise for their credibility and fairness from
elected officials from both political parties and from experts and decision-makers across the political spectrum.
Our Web site, Public Agenda Online, provides comprehensive information on a wide range of public opinion and
public policy issues. Over the past 10 years, Public Agenda has examined a wide variety of educational topics
including student achievement, academic standards, curriculum, safety and discipline, integration, accountability,
school choice, parental involvement, bilingual education and the status of the teaching profession, among others.
During this time, we have looked closely at the views of the general public, parents, teachers, students,
superintendents, principals, employers and college professors, along with those of key subgroups such as white,
African American, Hispanic and foreign-born parents.