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Why We Get Fat

The Diet/Weight Relationship,


An Alternative Hypothesis
Gary Taubes

Wednesday, July 10, 13


Context: the obesity epidemic

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Source: Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

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And the diabetes epidemic

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Source: Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

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With obesity comes a cluster of chronic diseases

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The Conventional Wisdom

“The fundamental cause of obesity and overweight is


an energy imbalance between calories consumed and
calories expended.”
The World Health Organization

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Obesity is an energy balance disorder

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calories in > calories out

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We overeat

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And the obesity epidemic?

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“Increased prosperity”

A toxic “obesogenic” environment

”Toxic environment..

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“Cheese-burgers and French fries, drive-in windows and supersizes,
soft drinks and candy, potato chips and cheese curls, once unusual,
are as much our background as trees, grass, and clouds… Few
children walk or bike to school; there is little physical education;
computers, video games, and televisions keep children inside and
inactive; and parents are reluctant to let children roam free to play.”
Kelly Brownell, director of the Rudd Center for Food Policy and Obesity at Yale

”Toxic environment..

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Too much food, too little physical activity

Overeating
(Energy in > Energy out)

Obesity and the obesity epidemic

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Too much food, too little physical activity

? Overeating
(Energy in > Energy out)

Obesity and the obesity epidemic

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Counterexamples?

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Sioux, South Dakota 40 % women, 10 % men, 25 % children
1928 Crow Creek “distinctly fat.” 20 % women, 25% men
Reservation and children “extremely thin”

African-Americans, 18 % of men, 30 % of women are obese


1959
Charleston, SC Total family incomes of $9 to $53/week

Zulus, Durban South 40 % adult women obese


1960
Africa Women in their 40s average 175 lbs
A third of women over 25 are obese
Obesity is a “potentially serious medical
1961-3 Trinidad problem in women”
Per capita daily diet is less than 2000
calories (21 % fat): “Fewer calories than
recommended by FAO.”
Military personnel: 22 % obese (> 120 %
ideal weight)
1963 Chile White collar workers: 32 %
Factory workers: 35 % of men, 39 %
women

“Apache women tend to be obese”


Fort Apache Indian
1963 72 % are overweight (>115% ideal weight)
Reservation, AZ
“Only 29 % of the men are fat.”

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Wednesday, July 10, 13


Bantu “pensioners”, Mean weight of women over 60 is 165 lbs.
1964-5
South Africa 30 % of women “severely overweight”

North Carolina 29 % obese (greater than 120 % ideal


1965
Cherokee weight)

25% of women and 7 % of men are obese


1969 Ghana
Half of all women in their 40s are obese

7 % of men aged 35 to 44 obese


1970 Nigeria
30 % of women 55 to 64

Raratonga, South 40 % of women obese, over 25 % “grossly


1971
Pacific obese” (>140 % ideal weight)

30 % obese, 10 % “undernourished”
Chilean factory
1974 Nearly 50% of women over 54 obese
workers
Most engaged in “heavy labor”

50% of women in their fifties are obese


Mexican-Americans 40 % of men in their forties are obese
1981 “Most inhabitants are employed in
Starr County Texas
agricultural labor and/or work in the oil
fields in the country.”
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A modern example

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Why were (are) these populations
fat?

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The question, circa 1973

“It is difficult to explain the high frequency of obesity seen in a


relatively impecunious society such as exists in the West Indies,
when compared to the standard of living enjoyed in the more
developed countries… Malnutrition and subnutrition are
common disorders in the first two years of life... Subnutrition
continues in early childhood to the early teens. Obesity begins to
manifest itself in the female population from the 25th year of life
and reaches enormous proportions from 30 onwards.”
Rolf Richards, University of the West Indies

Wednesday, July 10, 13


The question, circa 2005

“A few years ago, I was visiting a primary care clinic in the slums
of Sao Paulo [Brazil]. The waiting room was full of mothers with
thin, stunted young children, exhibiting the typical signs of
chronic undernutrition. Their appearance, sadly, would surprise
few who visit poor urban areas in the developing world. What
might come as a surprise is that many of the mothers holding
those under-nourished infants were themselves overweight…
The coexistence of underweight and overweight poses a
challenge to public health programs, since the aims of
programs to reduce undernutrition are obviously in conflict with
those for obesity prevention.”
Benjamin Caballero, Johns Hopkins University

Wednesday, July 10, 13


More reasons to question the
energy balance hypothesis

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Eating less doesn’t work

Weight loss achieved in trials of calorie-restricted diets


is “so small as to be clinically insignificant.”
Cochrane Collaboration, 2002

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Eating less doesn’t work

“More than in any other illness, the physician [treating


the obese patient] is called upon only to do a special
trick, to make the patient do something – stop eating –
after it has already been proved that he cannot do it.”
Hilde Bruch, The Importance of Overweight, 1957

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Exercising more doesn’t work

“It is reasonable to assume that persons with relatively


high daily energy expenditures would be less likely to
gain weight over time, compared with those who have
low energy expenditures. So far, data to support
this hypothesis are not particularly
compelling.”
AHA/ACSM 2007, Physical activity guidelines

Wednesday, July 10, 13


The energy balance challenge

“Weight
management is all
about balance—
balancing the
number of calories
you consume with
the number of
calories your body
uses or `burns off.’”
The Centers for
Disease Control

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The energy balance challenge

A typical adult’s
food intake

2700
Kcal/day

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The energy balance challenge

A typical adult’s
food intake

1,000,000
Kcal/yr

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The energy balance challenge

A typical adult’s
food intake

10,000,000
Kcal/decade

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The energy balance challenge

A typical adult’s
food intake

10
tons/decade

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The energy balance challenge

Accuracy
required to gain
no more than 20
pounds over the
course of a
decade?

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The energy balance challenge

21
Kcal/day

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Practicing energy balance is impossible

(20*365*10)
3500
=
21 lbs/decade

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The energy balance challenge

.8 % accuracy

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“There is no stranger phenomena than the
maintenance of a constant body weight under marked
variation in bodily activity and food consumption.”
Du Bois, Basal Metabolism in Health and Disease, 1936

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Genetics

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Animal husbandry

Jersey Aberdeen Angus

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Sexual variations

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Puberty

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Lipodystrophies

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Paradox of progressive lipodystrophy

Overeating?

Undereating?

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Physics

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Why energy balance?

The First Law of Thermodynamics


i.e., energy conservation

∆E = Ein - Eout
Change in fat mass = Energy consumed - Energy expended

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Why energy balance?

The First Law of Thermodynamics


No arrow of causality

∆E = Ein - Eout
Change in fat mass = Energy consumed - Energy expended

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The Alternative Hypothesis

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Obesity is a disorder of excess fat accumulation
(Not energy balance, not over-eating, not sedentary
behavior)

Overeating and inactivity are compensatory effects;


they are not causes

We don’t get fat because we overeat, we overeat


because our fat tissue is accumulating excess fat.

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The direction of causality?

The First Law of Thermodynamics

∆E = Ein - Eout
CW

46

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The direction of causality?

The First Law of Thermodynamics

∆E = Ein - Eout
AH

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Analogy: a growing child
2009 -- 45 lbs

2006 -- 20 lbs

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A pathogical analogy: cancer

DAY 0 DAY 10

DAY 20 DAY 30

49 Aug 9;5:32
Cabrera, G. et al. 2006. Molecular Cancer.
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A history of “lipophilia”

German/Austrian hypothesis, pre-World War II

Gustav von Bergmann (1908), Julius Bauer

“More or less fully accepted” in Europe by 1940

40
50

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Lipophilia

“Like a malignant tumor or like the fetus, the uterus


or the breasts of a pregnant woman, the abnormal
lipophilic tissue seizes on foodstuffs, even in the case
of undernutrition. It maintains its stock, and may
increase it independent of the requirements of the
organism. A sort of anarchy exists; the adipose tissue
lives for itself and does not fit into the precisely
regulated management of the whole organism.”
Julius Bauer, University of Vienna, 1929

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51

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Animal models?

“These mice will make


fat out of their food
under the most unlikely
circumstances, even
when half starved.”
Jean Mayer, 1968

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If obesity is a disorder of excess fat
accumulation, what regulates fat
accumulation?

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Adiposity 101
Triglycerides vs. fatty acids
Fat is stored as
triglycerides
Fatty acids are burned
for fuel

Fat enters and exits fat


cells as fatty acids

Inside the fat cell, fatty


acids continually cycle
into triglycerides and
back out again 54

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Ein Eout

∆E
56

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Hormonal regulation

Insulin is “the principal regulator of fat metabolism.”


Rosalyn Yalow, Solomon Berson, 1965
Frayn, K.N. 2010. Metabolic Regulation: A Human Perspective,
57
3rd edition

Wednesday, July 10, 13


Hormonal regulation
Suppression of fat mobilization

Release of fatty acids from fat cells “requires only the negative
stimulus of insulin deficiency.”
Rosalyn Yalow, Solomon Berson, 1965
Frayn, K.N. 2010. Metabolic Regulation: A Human Perspective,
58 3rd edition

Wednesday, July 10, 13


Insulin and fat storage, circa 2001

“The overall action of insulin


on the adipocyte is to
stimulate fat storage and
inhibit mobilization. The
remarkable effects of locally
injected insulin on the
accumulation of triglyceride
into adipocytes are graphically
illustrated in Box 2.8.”

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Key points of fat cell regulation
When insulin is secreted or chronically elevated,
fat accumulates in the fat tissue.

When insulin levels drop, fat escapes from the fat


tissue and the fat depots shrink.

We secrete insulin primarily in response to the


carbohydrates in our diet.

“Carbohydrate is driving insulin is


driving fat.”
George Cahill, 2005

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Textbooks?

What makes fat tissue fat?


“High blood glucose elicits the release of insulin,
which speeds the uptake of glucose by tissues and
favors the storage of fuels as glycogen and
triaglycerols, while inhibiting fatty acid mobilization
in adipose tissue.”
What makes people fat?
“To a first approximation, obesity is
the result of taking in more calories
in the diet than are expended by the
body’s energy-consuming activities.”
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The Alternative Hypothesis

Like any growth defect, obesity is a


hormonal/regulatory disorder.

Like type 2 diabetes, it is fundamentally a


disorder of insulin signaling -- hence,
diabesity.

It is triggered by the carbohydrate


content of the diet

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The carbohydrate content?

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Refined grains, starches and sugars

Insulin secretion increases

Excess fat accumulation, obesity and the


obesity epidemic

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Should this be surprising?
The conventional wisdom
1825-1965

“Every woman knows that carbohydrates are fattening,


this is a piece of common knowledge, which few
nutritionists would dispute.”
British Journal of Nutrition, 1963

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A Diet for Obesity, 1951

Foods to be avoided: You can eat as much as


you like of the following
1. Bread, and everything else foods:
made with flour…
2. Cereals, including breakfast 1. Meat, fish, birds
cereals and milk puddings 2. All green vegetables
3. Potatoes and all other white 3. Eggs, dried or fresh
root vegetables 4. Cheese
4. Foods containing much sugar 5. Fruit…except bananas and
5. All sweets… grapes

Raymond Greene, The Practice of Endocrinology


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Conclusions
I
Obesity is a disorder of fat accumulation, not energy
balance (not overeating and sedentary behavior).

II
Fat accumulation is regulated fundamentally by insulin and
dietary carbohydrates -- “carbohydrate is driving insulin is
driving fat.”

III
The solution to obesity and the obesity epidemics is not
getting people to move more and eat less, but restricting
the causative agent -- i.e., the
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refined grains and sugars.
Wednesday, July 10, 13
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Why were those populations fat?

“Most third world countries have a high carbohydrate


intake as their economic dependence is predominantly
agricultural, with a heavy dependence on non-dairy
produces. It is conceivable that the ready availability of
starch in preference to animal protein, contributing as it
must the main caloric requirements of these populations,
leads to increased lipogenesis and the development of
obesity..”

Rolf Richards, University of the West Indies, Kingston
Jamaica, 1973
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The catch

“...insulin regulation of
plasma FFA turnover/
oxidation is maximally
manifest at low
physiological plasma
insulin concentrations....”

Bonadonna et al. 1990. Dose dependent effect of insulin on plasma free fatty acid turnover
and oxidation in humans. Am. J. Physiol. 259:E736-750.

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Red meat, obesity and diabetes?

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Diet trials (2007)
A TO Z Trial



2 months



Group
n
kcal/d
CHO
PRO
FAT
Weight
LDL
Trig
HDL
DBP

Atkins
77
1381
~62g
97
84
-4.3 kg
+2.3
-52.3
-0.4
-2.9
Zone
79
1455
152
87
57
-2.0 kg
-5.3
-24.8
-0.5
-2.1
LEARN
79
1476
180
73
49
-2.8 kg
-7.3
-17.2
-3.8
-1.4
Ornish
76
1408
220
60
33
-2.8 kg
-10.1
-10.9
-5.3
-0.4
12 months
Group
n
kcal/d
CHO
PRO
FAT
Weight
LDL
Trig
HDL
DBP

Atkins
77
1599
~140g
84
78
-4.5 kg
+0.8
-29.3
+4.9
-4.4
Zone
79
1594
179
80
62
-1.5 kg
0
-4.2
+2.2
-2.1
LEARN
79
1654
194
79
61
-2.5 kg
+0.6
-14.6
-2.8
-2.2
Ornish
76
1505
195
68
50
-2.4 kg
-3.8
-14.9
0
-0.7

Gardner et al. 2007. JAMA. March 7;969-77

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Diet trials (2008)
Workplace Diet Trial
Test Low Fat Mediterranean Low Carb.
Systolic BP, mm Hg -4.3 -5.5 -3.9

Diastolic BP, mm Hg -0.9 -2.2 -0.8

LDL-C, mg/dl -0.05 -5.6 -3.0

HDL-C, mg/dl 6.3 6.4 8.4

Triglyceride, mg/dl -2.8 -21.8 -23.7

T Chol : HDL ratio -0.6 -0.9 -1.1

Hemoglobin A1c, % -0.4 -0.5 -0.9

C-reactive protein, mg/l -0.6 -0.9 -1.3

Shai et al. 2008. NEJM. Jul 17;229-41 Red denotes p<0.05 for within-group change from baseline.
Purple denotes p<0.05 for comparison of Low Carb vs Low Fat.

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CALORIES OR CARBOHYDRATES?

- 570 kcal à

- 330 kcal à

- 170 kcal à
76
Shai et al. NEJM. 2008.
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