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Written by:
Florentina Farmasita 15/375488/EK/20189
Maria Devina 16/392626/EK/20708
Julie Vidalia 16/395938/EK/20910
Adyatma S. Pramana
Course:
International Financial Management
Lecturer:
I Wayan Nuka Lantara, M.Si., Ph.D.,
3. Opportunities
The opportunity Adhesive took was capturing the market through specializing in
adhesives that would fit into customer’s specifications while other companies focused
on large economies of scale by producing general or producing adhesive in bulks. The
company also took opportunity by offering different product line compared to other
companies by supplying to toy manufacturers and toiletries etc. Another opportunity
they took was that they impose lower costs as the company did not need to invest on
large machinery as their system was made to order system, thus, they do not require
large amount of capital nor labour intensive.
4. Threat
Being relatively a small company that focuses on specialty adhesive markets, the
company is still threatened by larger companies who have a higher economic of scale
and larger capital and labour. The larger company can easily switch to making
specialized order with their high economies of scale, which in turn will be a threat to
Baker Adhesive.
B. Porter’s Five Forces Analysis of Baker Adhesive
1. Bargaining Power of Supplier (LOW)
There are relatively large amount of suppliers for adhesives but these suppliers are
only gaining small market share, thus, they do not have enough power to exert to
companies. Therefore, there are no high prices that supplier can demand to the
companies in the industry. As a result, in return, the company can easily switch to one
supplier after the other.
2. Bargaining Power of Customers (SIGNIFICANT)
Usually, customers will buy on larger volume and lower price giving them the power.
Although there are consumers who consider quality as a priority in choosing supplier
which is an advantage for Baker Adhesives which is already well known for
providing this type of products. For those who are looking for small scale companies,
there are also these type which are newly entering the market and favors the
consumers. This brings to a significant bargaining power of consumers.
3. Threat of New Entrants (MODERATE)
Since the market of Baker Adhesives is dominated by few large firms that provide
bulk of adhesives globally, there is a small chance that some companies will enter this
industry. Given that the competition is fierce, these firms already owned a stable
market share which new entrants would not be able to get since this will cost them a
large investment. In this type of industry, efficient production system is highly
required to be successful. These production systems must be flexible since they must
be able to produce relatively small batches with distinct properties feasibly and
economically. The key driver of success is also having good and brilliant chemists
which will lead them to marketable products that can make them acknowledged by
customers globally. Due to these factors the duration of the newly entered companies
in this market must be considered although they can attract small consumers. Out of
this, it can be concluded that there is a moderate threat of new entrants.
4. Threat of Substitutes (MODERATE)
Substitutes for adhesives are sometimes done by consumers which find this lowly
needed where in they can be made at home with little efforts. These are consumers
who are usually on rural areas or place wherein this market is not feasible. But since
Baker Adhesives is a company of specialty adhesives with high quality this cannot be
easily substituted for consumers who buy this in bulk. Given that adhesives are used
in many aspects like automotive# construction and electronics there are a great
number of consumers who find this product highly needed to sum up there is a
moderate threat of substitutes.
5. Threats of Existing Rivalry (HIGH)
Some of the existing competitors of Baker Adhesives in market share are BASF, Dow
Chemicals Henkel, Bayer, H. B. Fuller, Acucote Inc., Ashland Inc., Beardow Adams
(Adhesives) Ltd., Creative Materials Inc., and Franklin International Inc.which are all
large firms that provide bulk of adhesives for consumers. Given that they are large
firms, it can be concluded that this industry has a fierce competition. To become
successful, these companies invested in efficient and flexible production system as
well as good chemists which are all also possessed by Baker Adhesives. The
competitive advantage of the others is they were able to dominate international market
and sourcing capabilities while Baker Adhesives is experiencing issues in entering
international market. This leads to high threats of existing rivalry.
Decision Analysis
Seeing that Baker Adhesives would further receive loss of profit when they receive
new order, the company consulted to the bank to find ways to mitigate the exchange risk. The
bank offered three options to Baker Adhesives to mitigate the exchange risk from any new
order. It consisted of not hedging the transactions, hedging in the forward market, and
hedging in the money markets.
a. Unhedged Transactions
New Order (June 2006) to be paid in September 2006
As written in the case, Baker agreed to deliver 1.5 of the original amount in
June 2006. However, payment will be settled three months after delivery, which is in
September 2006. The USD69,277.66 is assumed to be paid in 3 months if Baker
agreed not to hedge its payment. The line of credit annual percentage rate (8.5.2%)
was based on monthly compounding with the effective 3 months rate of 2.1452%.
Assumed to be paid immediately, Baker would receive USD67,082.73 after
discounting the total payment by the 3 months effective rate.
In the forward market hedge, the exchange rate used is the forecast bid of
0.4227 on the month of September 2006. From that, we deducted the amount with the
effective interest rate over three months of 2.1452%. Then, the present value of the
total payment is USD67,710.59.
Profit USD960.59
Deducted form the total costs of the new order, the company would gain
profits of USD960.59. This profit is significantly higher than the other 3 options.
c. Money Market Hedge
Profit USD74.55
Surprisingly, hedging through the money market resulted in the lowest realizable
profit of only around USD75. This indicates that choosing this option would not be
wise.
Conclusion
Based on the finding, it is in our professional opinion that Baker Adhesives should
choose the hedging in the forward market to mitigate the international currency exchange
risk. Based on the calculation, it shows that the NPV from the forward market is higher than
if they should choose to do the money market hedging since the bank guarantee a forward
rate. This resulting in the firm will be able to anticipate their profits from the sale in advance.
Baker Adhesives should choose the Forward Market Hedge as it is the most profitable option
compared with unhedged transactions and money market hedge. If Baker Adhesives opts to
do the forward hedging, then they will get USD960.56 of profit. On the contrary, there’s
bigger potential for gains if they choose to do money market hedging. But, Brazillian
currency is characterized by high inflation and interest rates, as well as volatile exchange
rates. Therefore it is not the best option for the firm as has an uncertainty factor to it.