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General
GATT (W)
WTO (W)
How bilateral investment treaties (BITs) affect the trade integration between partner
countries.
BITs and WTO membership
BITs effects are found to be especially strong for low income countries, who are the most
likely to benefit from the strengthening of investment protections.
Bilateral investment treaties are capable of providing a commitment mechanism that helps to
reduce the amount of uncertainty foreign investors
Introduction
Trade liberalization vs investment liberalization
BIT provide an alternative mechanism which allows host countries to provide protections to
firms undertaking foreign investment
First BIT: 1959 (Germany and Pakistan)
o Accelerated in recent years: two thirds of current ones have been signed since 1995
Research: mixed conclusion over BIT impact
The link between BIT and FDI
o Look countries that have adopted BIT and asses FDI’s performance ex-ante and ex-
post treaties signature
Why do we sign these treaties? To please incumbents (who probably pushed for it), or to
help new ones to come in?
To asses BIT is too much of a narrow view to solely focus on FDI
o BIT may facilitate international integration on another dimension
o The flow of intangible assets (W: intangible assets)
Usually undermeasured
o To intensify international connections
The expansion of international trade
The impacts of BIT and International Trade if we focus on the latter, the it is possible to:
o To include a much wider range of countries
Asses multilateral activity after the BIT is signed
o In estimating the response of foreign investment to policy, it is well-known that
bilateral foreign investment is characterized by many zeros.
o Look at bilateral import with other countries different with the one the BIT has been
signed with
o BITs have the strongest effects on trade mediated by multinational firms
o BIT presence has a stronger effect on capital goods imports and on trade in
differentiated goods is stronger than their effect on foreign direct investment
o BIT foster international integration more than has been thought
o Technology transfer the fostering of capital import flows
o BIT, technology transfer, protection and multinational firms’ activity
o The gains in institutional quality
Data
List of signed BIT
o From 1959 to 1999 (UNCTAD, 2000)
o Fromm 1999 onwards (UNCTAD’s website
Bilateral investment treaties generally contain provisions that touch on a common set
of investment issues
o The definition of investment
o The application of national and most-favored nation treatment to foreign
investments
o Transparency of national laws
o Performance requirements
o Movement of foreign personnel
o Disputes resolution
Some national reforms might be designed to solve controversies, but foreign
investors are unlikely to believe them
BITS: each has its own caveats
o Signed BIT between countries
o Ratified by the two countries
Conclusions
The impact over trade and the activity of Multinational Companies
The effect is bigger for low income countries
Do Bilateral Investment Treaties Attract FDI? Only a bit… and they could bite
Mary Hallward-Driemer (2003) World Bank
What is a BIT?
BITs vary across countries
But they generally share similar features of:
o Defining foreign investment and
o Laying out various principles regarding:
Treatment,
Transfer of funds,
Expropriation and
Mechanisms for dispute settlements.
Property rights are the corner stone of BITS
More rights to foreign investors, and stronger than anticipated
One common clause included in many BITs gives the investor the right to sue the host
government if
o Actions undertaken by the government are deemed to
Substantially expropriate the business of the firm
A grain of salt regarding property rights
o (1) Sue rights are an expansion of investor’s current rights
Local Government can dismiss the case claiming sovereign immunity
MNC own government can come to the rescue, but the case can
become political: low odds to offer some help anyway
With the investment treaty, the host government consents to a standing
offer to arbitrate disputes covered by the treaty.
o (2) Expropriation definition
Legal expropriation: BITs outline those terms under which
expropriation could be deemed lawful and compensation would be due.
Property can only be legally expropriated if:
It is for a public purpose;
Is done in a non-discriminatory way;
Compensation is paid; and the expropriation is done in
accordance with due process of law.
Compensation clause (the one with largest consequences)
Controversy over the terms of the compensation:
o Standards include “prompt, adequate and effective” or
o “payment of full value” or
o “just compensation”
The nationalizations that peaked in the 1970s provided many clear-cut
cases of expropriation
Of greater concern more recently are
“indirect expropriations,”
“creeping” expropriation or
“regulatory takings”
Dispute resolution mechanisms:
One of the more popular options is to submit to binding
arbitration through the ICSID
o (International Centre for Settlement of Investment
Disputes),
o An affiliate agency of the World Bank
Two others for are the International Chamber of Commerce and
UNICTRAL (United Nations Commission on International
Trade Law)
In these arbitration proceedings:
three arbiters are selected:
Generally with each party selecting one and
The forum selecting the third.
These proceedings are:
Not bound by precedents
Not necessarily obliged to be open to the public
Or to publish final decisions
The decisions:
Have only limited avenues for appeal and
Cannot be amended by the domestic legal system or supreme
court.
BIT and moral hazard:
o To claim what I have not earned
o To fight when I don’t have a point
o To pour less effort
The Azinian case:
o The decision explicitly warns against the treaty being seen as a recourse
against any poor outcome
o On the other hand, given the facts of the case (some claims are dismissed as
“preposterous”, (contrary to reason or common sense; utterly absurd or
ridiculous.)
The rights secured in a BIT are reciprocal:
o Investors from country A investing in B are the same as
o Those given to investors from country B investing in country A
o However, in practice there is usually tremendous asymmetry
Almost all the FDI flows covered by BITs are in fact in one direction
Rich OECD countries do participate in BITs, but almost exclusively
with developing countries
Trends in BIT
The first BIT was ratified in 1959
In 1990 there were 470
by 2000 there were close to 2000
BIT are not a requirement for FDI
o The cases of: Japan, Brazil, Cuba & USA-CHINA
Other studies
There is a growing literature on the importance of institutions and property rights
o Most has been focused on the effects on long run growth rather than on FDI
These studies use broad measures of property rights, using either
ICRG rankings or
the Kaufmann, Kraay, Zoido-Lobaton (KKZ) indicator.
The role of BITs has received some discussion in law journals. There the focus has
again been on the issue of providing a commitment device to overcome the dynamic
inconsistency problem (Vandevelde 1998)
Within the economic literature, BITs have generated very little attention
Data
This paper focuses on the importance of BITs for FDI outflows from OECD countries
to developing country hosts
In 1980, the share of FDI under a treaty was less than 5%, while by 2000, it had
grown to about 50%.
However, this increase in FDI by countries with a BIT is largely explained by
compositional shifts;
o As more country pairs ratify treaties, the amount of FDI flows covered
increases.
o What remains to be seen is if the flow between host-source pairs changes
significantly with the ratifying of a treaty.
Hypotheses
To test the change in property rights introduced with the BIT.
Conclusion
Recent and pending cases of international investment disputes covered by investment
treaties have raised concerns of the potential costs to host governments
Both in terms of the size of potential awards and in the possible reduction of viable
choices open to policy makers due to their adverse effects on foreign investors