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Fig. 1. Three situations of conflicts between bicycle and motor traffic at the signalized intersection: (a) right-turning motor traffic versus bicycle; b) through motor
traffic versus left-turning bicycle; and c) left-turning motor traffic versus through bicycle.
The speed distributions of the through bicycle, left-turning bicycle speeds at (signalized) intersections. Fig. 4 gives an example of the
speeds, and through tricycle speeds were analyzed, respectively, and through bicycle-speed distribution.
the normal distribution was proven to provide the closest approxima-
tion to all classes of the collected data by using the chi-square test. (Due
B. Gap/Lag Analysis
to the small sample size, the speed distribution of left-turning tricycle
was not analyzed.) 1) Distribution: The valid sample contains 104 gap decision
This finding is similar to some former research results on bicycle observations and 217 lag observations for bicycles (after filtering
speeds carried out by Opiela et al. [3], Taylor [4], Pein [5], and Forester out the longest five and shortest five observations). It was found
[6]. However, they all studied the speeds on links, not on the crossing that the average accepted gap length is 4.52 s and the minimum
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS, VOL. 5, NO. 4, DECEMBER 2004 295
TABLE I
COMPARISON OF CROSSING SPEEDS OF BICYCLE AND TRICYCLE
accepted gap length was noted to be 1.56 s. The average accepted and the 2 value of gaps and lags were 11.78 and 10.58, respectively,
lag was 2.93 s in length and the minimum lag was noted to be much smaller than their critical value 22.36. The frequency distribution
as short as 0.52 s. of the accepted gaps is shown in Fig. 5.
The distribution of the accepted gaps and lags of the bicyclist were The design critical gap and lag as mentioned above—the center of
analyzed and the natural log normal distribution was found to provide a the distribution—are 4.19 and 2.47 s, respectively, and the standard
close approximation to the data collected. The chi-square test was used deviation 1.81 and 1.06 s.
296 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS, VOL. 5, NO. 4, DECEMBER 2004
The gap/lag acceptance decision rule is: if the actual gap/lag duration
Lgvm is less than the critical gap/lag, then the gap/lag is rejected or else
it is accepted. It can be modeled as
Pr(accepting) = Pr(Ygvm 0)
= Pr( + gvm 0 Lgvm 0)
= Pr(gvm Lgvm 0 )
Fig. 5. Frequency distribution of accepted gaps.
= 8 ln(Lgvm ) 0 ln()
ln()
The same type of distribution of accepted gaps were also found by ln L
Opiela et al. [3]. With another definition, they found that the critical =8 ln() (3)
gap was 3.2 s.
where 8() is the standard cumulative normal distribution and 2 is the
2) Model: Referring to Taylor and Mahmassani’s methods [2], dis-
crete choice models of cyclist gap and lag acceptance behavior when
total variance.
crossing a motor-traffic stream at signalized intersection were made.
Using the impact factor groups defined above, any systematic ef-
First, the factors that might impact gap/lag acceptance behavior were fects can be tested by including attributes in the specification and by
divided into four groups. replacing in the choice probability expression (3) by the above spec-
1) Inherent gap characteristics group. This group includes the ification. The following choice gap acceptance probability function is
types of gap opening and closing vehicle (in the lag model, only obtained as shown in the equation at the bottom of the previous page,
the closing vehicle were considered). Herein, they were divided where
into three major types: car, minibus and bus. Other types of ve- 0 mean critical gap when all other attributes are zero;
hicle would be included into these three types according to their Xgap vector of attributes characterizing the gap;
size. Xman vector of attributes characterizing the acting vehicle ma-
2) Acting bicycle/tricycle maneuver group. This group includes neuver;
the through and left-turning maneuver and whether the cyclist Xvo vector of attributes characterizing the individual cyclist;
stops when making a gap/lag decision. Xgroup vector of attributes characterizing the riding state and gap ,
3) Individual cyclist characteristics group. This group contains all man , vo , and group are vectors of parameters to be esti-
the factors associated with a cyclist, such as gender, vehicle mated.
type (bicycle or tricycle), etc. Then, gap/lag acceptance situations were separated to estimate the
4) Riding state group. This group contains the state of the cyclist linear regression model for mean critical gap and lag, respectively.
when making a gap/lag decision (riding individually or riding After the regression process, a t-test was applied to find out whether
in a group). each of the factors determined above gives a significant effect to the
Following is a presentation of the theory and specifications of dis- man critical gap (or lag). In the mean critical gap regression model, the
crete choice models of gap- and lag-acceptance behavior, assuming significant factors include gap opening and closing vehicle types and
that all the decisions are made independently, even by the same cyclist, a bicycle maneuver; the insignificant factors include tricycle in Xvo ,
under the same situation. Models estimated under this assumption are minibus in the gap-closing vehicle types, and riding in a group.
called independent decision models. It was found that the effects of factor Xgroup and tricycle in Xvo
Consider the critical gap/lag duration Tgvm for a individual bicycle
vector are very stochastic. An explanation is that when the bicycle
group crossing a left-turning motor vehicle, it probably made the ve-
(or tricycle) facing a gap/lag acceptance situation, where the situation is
hicle slow or even stop, so for bicycles/tricycles not close to the vehicle
defined by the acting vehicle maneuver, whether he is riding in a group
of bicycles, and any factors associated with the gap. Tgvm varies over
or in the front of the group, the gap/lag would be longer than riding in-
dividually in the same situation, while for bicycles/tricycles near the
the cyclists and situations and can be modeled as
vehicle or in the rear part of the group, the gap/lag would be shorter.
So the factor of riding in a group does not simply lengthen or shorten
Tgvm = + gvm (1) the critical gap/lag; it gives stochastic effects.
The effects of gender and minibus in the gap-closing vehicle are
found very small, 0.006 75 and 0.000 45 s, respectively. Therefore,
where is the mean critical gap/lag over all cyclists and situations and these factors were removed from the model. The independent decision
gvm is a stochastic disturbance item. model of bicyclist gap and lag behavior, specified in (4), are presented
ln ( + X +
L
X + X + X
Pr(accepting) = 8 ln()
)
(4)
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS, VOL. 5, NO. 4, DECEMBER 2004 297
TABLE II
INDEPENDENT DECISION MODEL FOR BICYCLIST’S GAP-ACCEPTANCE BEHAVIOR
The standard deviation for natural log normal distribution () is 1.81 sec.
TABLE III
INDEPENDENT DECISION MODEL FOR BICYCLIST’S LAG-ACCEPTANCE BEHAVIOR
TABLE IV traffic light before them. While the bicycles waiting at the east stop
COMPARISONS OF BICYCLE GROUP DENSITIES OF line would obey the traffic light, the only difference between the two
NORMAL AND SLOWING SPEEDS
stop lines is that there is no pedestrian beside at the east stop line, as
there is an overpass overhead.
This phenomenon indicates that the existence of pedestrian crossing
and pedestrians seem to have a negative influence on the cyclist be-
havior, which make them feel safer and thus obey the traffic light less.
• The average accepted lag was 2.93 s in length and the minimum 1) It is necessary to obtain similar information at more signalized
lag was 0.52 s. intersections of a greater variety of situations.
• The natural log normal distribution was found to provide a close 2) The data-reduction procedure can be enhanced through the use
approximation to the distributions of the accepted gaps and lags of a special computer program to detect the image of different
of the bicyclist. The design critical gap and lag are 4.19 and 2.47 cyclist and extract the data from video file directly, as well as
s, respectively, and the standard deviation was 2.48 and 1.67 s. do some statistical analysis.
• A discrete choice model of cyclist gap-acceptance behavior when 3) Further studies are necessary to investigate a bicycle’s acceler-
crossing motor traffic at a signalized intersection was given as (5), ation and deceleration behavior.
with estimated coefficients listed in Tables II and III. 4) Further studies are necessary to obtain more information about
• The significant influence factors in the gap-acceptance model in- group-riding characteristics, such as the headway, speed, etc.
cludes a large gap-opening vehicle type (+2.09 s), large gap-
closing vehicle (+0.68 s), left-turning maneuver (+0.72 s), and
stopping before crossing (+0.98 s).
• The significant influence factors in the lag-acceptance model in-
cludes a large gap-closing vehicle (+1.89 s) and left-turning ma- REFERENCES
neuver (+0.83 s).
• The average crossing bicycle group density of normal speed and [1] A. Miller, “Nine estimators of gap acceptance parameters,” in Proc. 5th
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average traffic densities of the two types of group is significant New York, 1971, pp. 215–235.
[2] D. Taylor and H. Mahmassani, “Bicyclist and motorist gap acceptance
through a t-test. behavior in mixed-traffic,” presented at the 78th Annu. Meeting Trans-
• The existence of the pedestrian crossing and pedestrians seem to portation Research Board and Publication in Transportation Research
have a negative influence on the cyclist behavior, which enables Record, 1998.
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TRB, Nati. Res. Council, Washington, D.C., pp. 30–37, 1980.
simulation on mixed traffic at signalized intersection” (see Fig. 7). The [4] D. Taylor, Analysis of traffic signal clearance interval requirements for
information were used to build the basic simulation model for bicycle bicycle-automobile mixed traffic, in Transport. Res. Rec. 1405, TRB,
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Further research should focus on extending the information about cy- 1997.
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ommendations for future efforts are as follows. Press, 1983.