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4 What’s Next
Navigating the next industrial revolution
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Aberdeen
Navigating the next industrial revolution
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IMPACT
ECONOMY
__________________________________________
MEGATRENDS
2
IMPACT
Physical BUSINESS
_____________________________
__________________________________________
3
MEGATRENDS IMPACT
Biological NATIONAL
_____________________________ __________________________________________
4
IMPACT
MEGATRENDS
SOCIETY
Digital __________________________________________
5
_____________________________ IMPACT
INDIVIDUAL
__________________________________________
▪ Growth
▪ Employment
1
IMPACT
MEGATRENDS ECONOMY ▪ New skill
▪ Nature of work
Biological __________________________________________
_____________________________
2
▪ Synthetic biology IMPACT
▪ New collaboration
BUSINESS ▪ New operating models
__________________________________________
MEGATRENDS
Physical ▪ Public institution
3
IMPACT
▪ Deep studies
_____________________________
NATIONAL ▪ New way to voice opinions
▪ Autonomous vehicles __________________________________________
▪ 3D printing
▪ Advanced robotics
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▪ New materials IMPACT
▪ New modernity vs traditional values
SOCIETY ▪ Individual values vs space work
__________________________________________
MEGATRENDS ▪ Behaviors
Digital ▪ Privacy
_____________________________
▪ Ownership
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IMPACT
▪ IoT ▪ Consumption
▪ Blockchain INDIVIDUAL ▪ Time for work and leisure
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▪ Platform
The Fourth Industrial Revolution , World Economic Forum 2016
Industry 4.0, not only comprises the digitization but will also revolutionize the product and service portfolio of companies
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Economy Impact
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Industrial Revolutions 4.0 has impacted on economy issues that creates ‘future of works’.
Growth
The impact that the Industrial Revolution 4.0 will have on economic growth an issue that divides
economists. ‘Techno-pessimist’ argue that critical contributions of the digital revolutions have
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already been made and their impact on productivity is almost over. ‘Techno-optimist’ claim that
technology & innovation are at an inflection point and will soon unleash a surge in productivity
and higher economic growth.
Employment
There are two competing effects that technology exercises on employment. First, there is a destruction
effect as technology-fueled disruption and automation substitute capital for labour, forcing workers to
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become unemployed or to reallocate their skills elsewhere. Second, this destruction effect is accompanied
by a capitalization effect in which the demand for new goods and services increases and leads to the
creation of new occupations, business and even industries.
4 What’s Next
Future of works
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1 Jobs Impact
New categories of jobs will
2 emerge, partly or wholly
displacing others.
The Future of
Industrial Works1 3
Revolution Skills Impact
4.0 4 The skill sets required in both
old and new occupations will
5 change in most industries.
Technological 6
The fourth industrial revolution is interacting with other socio-economic and Works Impact
demographic factors to create a perfect storm of business model change in all
industries, resulting in major disruptions to labor markets. New categories of
7 Transforming how & where
jobs will emerge, partly or wholly displacing others. The skill sets required in
people work.
both old and new occupations will change in most industries and transform
how and where people work. That’s the ‘future of works’.
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Source:
1World Economic Forum, 2017, The Future of Jobs
2World Economic Forum & BCG, 2018, Eight Futures of Work: Scenarios and their
Implications
Future of Works : Drivers of change
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New job
families and
fields will
emerge as a
result of
disruptive
tech creating
demand for
new skill
types
New Job families will emerge ( Example: IoT revolution will spawn 15 new roles ) ( Jobs )
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Change in demand for core work-related skills ( Skills )
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Skills Impact : Change in Skills Demand ( Skills )
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Technological, Social
and Emotional Skills
C even
will become
more Important
Functional Skill
▪ Science
▪ Technology
▪ Art STEAM C
▪ Engineering
▪ Math
▪ Combined disciplinary skills
▪ Data and Digital literacy
Soft Skill
▪ Creativity
▪ Analytical skill & problem solving
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▪ Communication & networking skills
▪ Entrepreneurship
▪ Flexible & adaptive skills
Works Impact : The Way of Work Transformation ( Works )
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The ability to change, and Embedding a higher sense Flexibility is more than Organizations arebecoming To unlock growth in the
change quickly, is of purpose into the workingwherever/ smartplatformsfor Human Age, technology
emerging as adifferentiating employee value whenever; it’s also matching skillsupplywith must augment the human
organizational competency proposition unlocks rethinking what work is workdemand while work experience
individual potentialand done, how it is done, and maximizing human
spurs people to be by whom creativity andambition
change agents
IN P R AC T IC E
• Agile organization design • The thrive contract • Working inflow • Diverse talentecosystem • Digital living
• Exponential learning • Careers peoplecrave • The rise of adaptive • Rethinking theHR • Distributed &flexible
working paradigm teaming
• Cultivating a labmindset • Commitment tohealth
and well-being • Support for digital lives • The intelligentworkplace • Fostering a digital culture
Source: Mercer, 2018, Global Trends Talent Study: Unlocking Growth in the Human Age © 2018 PT Astra Internasional Tbk.
Conclusion : Impact on Jobs , skills , and works 19
▪ Redefining the job roles ▪ ICT literacies & STEAM skills ▪ Leveraging flexible working
▪ Diversifying & Shifting to become the most demanding ▪ Collaboration with technology
the right employment skills ▪ Democratizes learning &
model ▪ Upskilling & Reskilling, esp. innovation
▪ More agile in job rotation for potentially disrupted jobs ▪ Collaboration & project based
to enlarge the experiences ▪ Creating/Acquiring new working
& competencies organization capabilities ▪ Less hierarchical Organization
4 What’s Next
Trends shaping the future employment 22
Trend 1
Technology Autonomous Transport
▪ Advanced Manufacturing & 3D
Printing
▪ Mobile Internet & Cloud
Technology
Trend 2
Economy & Economy, and Peer-to-peer
Crowdsourcing Platforms
Trend 3
Flexible Working Arrangements
Trend 4
Of Workforce Emerging Markets
Source:
World Economic Forum, 2017, Future of Jobs Survey © 2018 PT Astra Internasional Tbk.
Trend 1 : Advanced technology 23
Indonesia Global
Other
Avoid mistakes/
Trend 1: Advanced
reduce risks
Augment human
performance &
productivity
0% 4%
Technology (2)
Emerging wave
Reduce costs
Talent at the
Support humans Take over some of the Autonomously
completing work found in jobs and complete work
center:
business processes business processes
Automation and
1 – Not at all / 2 3 4 / 5 – To a great extent digitalization are
Indonesia Global Indonesia Global Indonesia Global used to support,
not replace,
”
Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding
humans.
Source: Willis Towers Watson FOW Global Survey, 2017 – 2018, Indonesia
Humans Automation
3 years ago…
Indonesia 93% 7%
Global 93% 7%
Currently…
Indonesia 89% 11%
Use of automation will
continue to expand:
Global 88% 12%
In 3 years…
It is expected to nearly
Indonesia 79% 21%
double over the next
three years.
Global 78% 22%
””
Source: Willis Towers Watson FOW Global Survey, 2017 – 2018, Indonesia
Source: Willis Towers Watson FOW Global Survey, 2017 – 2018, Indonesia © 2018 PT Astra Internasional Tbk.
Trend 2 : Sharing Economy and Crowdsourcing 26
GLOBAL TRENDS
Mitra : 15.000 Mitra : 3.500 Mitra : 20.000 Mitra : 900.000 Mitra : 930.000
(Pengemudi Motor) (Dokter & Perawat) (Praktisi Kesehatan) (GoCar & GoRide) (GrabBike & GrabCar)
Active User : Active User : Active User : Active User : Active User :
N/A 250.000 14.000.000 15.000.000 17.000.000
Valuation (2017) : Valuation (2018): Valuation (2018): Valuation (2018): Valuation (2018):
US$ 0,77 M US$ 0,86 M US$ 0,91 M US$ 4 B US$ 7 B
Source :
1Tech in Asia, 2018, Top 20 Indonesian Startup Platforms
2Kemkominfo, 2018, Pengarusutamaan Kewirausahaan melalui integrasi E-Commerce dan Media Sosial
© 2018 PT Astra Internasional Tbk.
Trend 3 : GIG Economy 28
Indonesia’s Trend
Demographically, millennials
owns the biggest percentage in
working world and it is
predicted that the number
could reach up to 75% in 2025.
What is surprising is that
nowadays more than one-third
of the millennials all over the
world is freelancers, that is also
predicted to be increasing in
number.
I Gede Christian – PPM Manajemen, 2017, Gig
Economy: Do Companies Need to be Worried?
SMK
SD 21%
SMP
SMA 25% 18%
17%
SMP SMA
18% 24%
4 What’s Next
Linkage Future of Work to Government and Company Context
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Company’s
Industrial Revolution 4.0 Making Indonesia 4.0
Context
c c
Future of Work (HC Characteristics) HC Strategy
Reinventing HR Function :
As the rate of skills change accelerates across both old and new roles in all
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industries, proactive and innovative skill-building and new talent management
is an urgent issue.
Future of Works: Are You Ready?
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