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11/27/2018 What is a Flow Duration Curve?

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What is a Flow Duration Curve?


The Flow Duration Curve is one of the most fundamental pieces of information
that feeds into the design of a hydropower project, so for anyone that wants to
understand the how’s and why’s of hydropower design, understanding the ow
duration curve is a good place to start.

The easiest way to understand the Flow Duration Curve is to construct one
from scratch. Firstly let’s assume you have suitable equipment to measure the
ow in a river for ten days. Each day you go out and record the ow and at the
end of the period have a list of ow rates like this:

Date Flow Rate

April 1st 0.25 m3/s

April 2nd 0.40 m3/s

April 3rd 1.60 m3/s

April 4th 1.00 m3/s

April 5th 0.60 m3/s


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April 6th 4.50 m3/s

April 7th 3.00 m3/s

April 8th 2.40 m3/s

April 9th 1.90 m3/s

April 10th 1.30 m3/s

Although useful, this doesn’t really help much, and with any table of data it is
often better represented as a graph. If the ow rates are plotted as a bar-chart,
the result is called a hydrograph and shows how the ow rate varied over a
period of time, as shown below.

Hydrograph showing how ow rate varies over time

Although the hydrograph makes it easier to see the extremes of high and low
ows, it is still quite di cult to see what happened in-between. For this you
need a Flow Duration Curve.

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To construct a Flow Duration Curve, rather than list the data in date order it is
listed in order of the size of the ow rate, from highest to lowest. The data table
would now look like this:

Date Flow Rate

April 6th 4.50 m3/s

April 7th 3.00 m3/s

April 8th 2.40 m3/s

April 9th 1.90 m3/s

April 3rd 1.60 m3/s

April 10th 1.30 m3/s

April 4th 1.00 m3/s

April 5th 0.60 m3/s

April 2nd 0.40 m3/s

April 1st 0.25 m3/s

Next, and one of the trickier concepts to grasp if this is the rst time you’ve
worked with a Flow Duration Curve, is that rather than plotting the ow rates
against a date, they are plotted against a ‘percentage exceedence’ scale. In our
example there are ten ow rates, and the percentage exceedence scale will go
from 0% to 100%, so each percentage exceedence increment will be 100%
divided by the number of data points, so in this case 100% divided by 10 = 10
percentage exceedence points. This can be added to the table above to show at
what percentage exceedence each ow rate occurred.

Flow Rate Percentage Exceedence

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4.50 m3/s 10%

3.00 m3/s 20%

2.40 m3/s 30%

1.90 m3/s 40%

1.60 m3/s 50%

1.30 m3/s 60%

1.00 m3/s 70%

0.60 m3/s 80%

0.40 m3/s 90%

0.25 m3/s 100%

This data can then be plotted and a smoothed line drawn between each data
point to produce the Flow Duration Curve shown below.

Flow Duration Curve

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This is now a Flow Duration Curve. If you look at the ow value at ‘60%
exceedence’ you will see that it is 1.3 m3/s. This does not mean that the ow
rate is 1.3 m3/s for 60% of the time, but that the ow is equalled or exceeded
for 60% of the time, so basically the ow is at this ow or at a higher ow for
60% of the time. If you look at the ow at 20% exceedence it is 3 m3/s; this is a
higher ow rate, so the ow is only at or greater than this ow rate for a
smaller proportion of the year. If you look at 100% exceedence, it is 0.25 m3/s,
which is the lowest ow rate recorded, so by de nition the ow in the river is at
this ow rate or more for 100% of the time.

It is a strange concept but an important one to grasp. Flow rate is often


referred to as ‘Q’, and the exceedence value as a subscript number, so Q95
means the ow rate equalled or exceeded for 95% of the time. Qmean is often
discussed, and this is the average or mean ow rate, and is the arithmetic mean
of all of the ow points in the data set (in our example this is 1.695 m3/s) and
normally occurs between Q20 and Q40 on the FDC, depending on how ‘ ashy’
or ‘steady’ the river being analysed is.

The example above is based on ten ow rates over a ten day period. In the ‘real
world’ we would construct a FDC using thousands of data points measured over
many years or even decades. It is important to use full-years of data to make
sure you don’t have a wet winter period included without the corresponding
dryer summer to balance the resulting FDC.

Flow rates between Q0 and Q10 are considered high ow rates, and Q0 to Q1
would be extreme ood events. It is important that hydropower systems are
designed to cope with such extreme ows. Flows from Q10 to Q70 would be
the ‘medium’ range of ows and you would want your hydropower system to
operate e ciently right across these ow rates. Flow rates from Q70 to Q100
are the ‘low ows’ when hydropower systems will just be operating but at a low
power output, and as you move further to the right on the FDC hydro systems
will begin to shut down due to low ow. As ow rates move from Q95 towards
Q100 you move into the low- ow draught ows.

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