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8. A type I error is
a) failing to reject the null when it is false
b) rejecting the null when it is true
9. The probability of a type I error is determined by
a) the researcher
b) the sample size
c) the degree of falsity of the null hypothesis
d) both b) and c) above
13. A power curve graphs the degree of falseness of the null against
a) the type I error probability
b) the type II error probability
c) one minus the type I error probability
d) one minus the type II error probability
15. Other things equal, when the sample size increases the power curve
a) flattens out
b) becomes steeper
c) is unaffected
16. Other things equal, when the type I error probability is increased the power curve
a) shifts up b) shifts down c) is unaffected
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18. A manufacturer has had to recall several models due to problems not discovered with
its random final inspection procedures. This is an example of
a) a type I error b) a type II error c) both types of error d) neither type of error
22 . The p value is
a) the power b) one minus the power c) the type II error d) none of the above
19 . When there are more explanatory variables the adjustment of R-square to create
adjusted R-square is
a) bigger b) smaller c) unaffected
20. Compared to estimates obtained by minimizing the sum of absolute errors, OLS
estimates are _______ to outliers. The blank is best filled with
a) more sensitive b) equally sensitive c) less sensitive
22 . R-squared is
a) The minimized sum of squared errors as a fraction of the total sum of squared errors.
b) The sum of squared errors as a fraction of the total variation in the dependent
variable.
c) One minus the answer in a).
d) One minus the answer in b).
23 . You have 46 observations on y (average value 15) and on x (average value 8) and
from an OLS regression have estimated the slope of x to be 2.0. Your estimate of the
mean of y conditional on x is
a) 15 b) 16 c) 17 d) none of the above
4.
5. Suppose you regress y on x and the square of x.
a) Estimates will be unreliable
b) It doesn’t make sense to use the square of x as a regressor
c) The regression will not run because these two regressors are perfectly correlated
d) There should be no problem with this.
6 . The acronym CLR stands for a)
constant linear regression
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10. The most common functional form for estimating wage equations is
a) Linear
b) Double log
c) semilogarithmic with the dependent variable logged
d) semilogarithmic with the explanatory variables logged
15. Whenever the dependent variable is a fraction, using a linear functional form is OK if
a) most of the dependent variable values are close to one
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21. Correlation between the error term and an explanatory variable can arise because
a) of error in measuring the dependent variable
b) of a constant non-zero expected error
c) the equation we are estimating is part of a system of simultaneous equations d)
of multicollinearity
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3. An example of a statistic is
a) a parameter estimate but not a t value or a forecast
b) a parameter estimate or a t value, but not a forecast
c) a parameter estimate, a t value, or a forecast
d) a t value but not a parameter estimate or a forecast
5.
7. A Monte Carlo study is
a) used to learn the properties of sampling distributions
b) undertaken by getting a computer to create data sets consistent with the econometric
specification
c) used to see how a statistic’s value is affected by different random drawings of the
error term
d) all of the above
b)
c)
d)
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12. Suppose we estimate an unknown parameter with the value 6.5, ignoring the data.
This estimator
a) has minimum variance
has zero variance is
biased all of the above
13. MSE stands for
a) minimum squared error
b) minimum sum of squared errors
c) mean squared error
d) none of the above
14. A minimum variance unbiased estimator
a) is the same as the MSE estimator
b) has the smallest variance of all estimators
c) has a very narrow sampling distribution
d) none of the above
b)
c)
d)
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b) find test statistics with known sampling distributions when the null hypothesis is true
c) use asymptotic algebra
d) all of the above
19. The OLS estimator is not used for all estimating situations because
a) it is sometimes difficult to calculate it
doesn’t always minimize R-squared
it doesn’t always have a good-looking sampling distribution sometimes
other estimators have better looking sampling distributions
20. The traditional hypothesis testing methodology is based on whether
a) the data support the null hypothesis more than the alternative hypothesis
b) it is more likely that the test statistic value came from its null-is-true sampling
distribution or its null-is-false sampling distribution
c) the test statistic value is in the tail of its null-is-true sampling distribution
d) the test statistic value is in the tail of its null-is-false sampling distribution
Week 6: Dummy Variables
The next 13 questions are based on the following information. Suppose we specify that y
= α + βx + δ1Male + δ2Female + θ1Left + θ2Center + θ3Right + ε where Left, Center,
and Right refer to the three possible political orientations. A variable Fringe is created as
the sum of Left and Right, and a variable x*Male is created as the product of x and Male.
b)
c)
d)
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5. Using Fringe instead of Left and Right separately in this specification is done to force
the slopes of Left and Right to be
a) the same half the slope of
Center twice the slope of
Center the same as the slope of
Center
b)
c)
d)
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9. Suppose we regress y on an intercept, x, Male, Left and Center and then do another
regression, regressing y on an intercept, x, and Center and Right. The interpretation of
the slope estimate on Center should be
a) the intercept for those from the political center in both regressions
b) the difference between the Center and Right intercepts in the first regression,
and the difference between the Center and Left intercepts in the second
regression
c) the difference between the Center and Left intercepts in the first regression, and the
difference between the Center and Right intercepts in the second regression d) none
of these
10. Suppose we regress y on an intercept, x, Male, Left and Center and then do another
regression, regressing y on an intercept, x, and Center and Right. The slope estimate
on Center in the second regression should be
a) the same as the slope estimate on Center in the first regression
b) equal to the difference between the original Center coefficient and the Left
coefficient
c) equal to the difference between the original Center coefficient and the Right
coefficient
d) unrelated to the first regression results
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11. Suppose we regress y on an intercept, Male, Left, and Center. The base category is
a) a male on the left
12. Suppose we regress y on an intercept, Male, Left, and Center. The intercept is
interpreted as the intercept of a
a) male
b) male on the right
c) female
d) female on the right
14. In the preceding question, the base categories for specifications A and B are,
respectively,
a) male on the right and female on the right
b) male on the right and female on the left
c) female on the right and female on the right
d) female on the right and male on the right
a)
Week 7: Hypothesis Testing
3. If a null hypothesis is true, when we impose the restrictions of this null the minimized
sum of squared errors
4. If a null hypothesis is false, when we impose the restrictions of this null the minimized
sum of squared errors
a) becomes smaller b) does not change c) becomes bigger
e) changes in an indeterminate fashion
5. Suppose you have 25 years of quarterly data and specify that demand for your product
is a linear function of price, income, and quarter of the year, where quarter of the year
affects only the intercept. You wish to test the null that ceteris paribus demand is the
same in spring, summer, and fall, against the alternative that demand is different in all
quarters. The degrees of freedom for your F test are
a) 2 and 19 b) 2 and 94 c) 3 and 19 d) 3 and 94
6. In the preceding question, suppose you wish to test the hypothesis that the entire
relationship (i.e., that the two slopes and the intercept) is the same for all quarters,
versus the alternative that the relationship is completely different in all quarters. The
degrees of freedom for your F test are
a) 3 and 94 b) 6 and 88 c) 9 and 82 d) none of these
7. In the preceding question, suppose you are certain that the intercepts are different
across the quarters, and wish to test the hypothesis that both slopes are unchanged
across the quarters, against the alternative that the slopes are different in each quarter.
The degrees of freedom for your F test are
a) 3 and 94 b) 6 and 88 c) 9 and 82 d) none of these
Week 9: Specification
4. Suppose that y = α + βx + δw + ε but that you have ignored w and regressed y on only
x. If x and w are negatively correlated in your data, the OLS estimate of β will be
biased downward if
a) β is positive
b) β is negative
c) δ is positive
d) δ is negative
13. A sensitivity analysis is conducted by varying the specification to see what happens
to
a) Bias
b) MSE
c) R-square
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4. Multicollinearity causes
a) low R-squares
b) biased coefficient estimates
c) biased coefficient variance estimates
d) none of these
5. A symptom of multicollinearity is
a) estimates don’t change much when a regressor is omitted
b) t values on important variables are quite big
c) the variance-covariance matrix contains small numbers
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d) none of these
7. A friend has told you that his multiple regression has a high R2 but all the estimates of
the regression slopes are insignificantly different from zero on the basis of t tests of
significance. This has probably happened because the a) intercept has been omitted
b) explanatory variables are highly collinear
c) explanatory variables are highly orthogonal
d) dependent variable doesn’t vary by much
9. Dropping a variable can be a solution to a multicollinearity problem because it a)
avoids bias
b) increases t values
c) eliminates the collinearity
d) could decrease mean square error
15. Economic theory tells us that when estimating the real demand for exports we
should use the ______ exchange rate and when estimating the real demand for money
we should use the _______ interest rate. The blanks should be filled with a) real; real b)
real; nominal
c) nominal; real
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d) nominal; nominal
16. You have run a regression of the change in inflation on unemployment. Economic
theory tells us that our estimate of the natural rate of unemployment is
a) the intercept estimate
b) the slope estimate
c) minus the intercept estimate divided by the slope estimate
d) minus the slope estimate divided by the intercept estimate
25. When testing if a coefficient is zero it is traditional to use a type I error rate of 5%.
When testing if a variable should remain in a specification we should
a) continue to use a type I error rate of 5%
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28. The adage that begins with “Graphs force you to notice ….” is completed with
a) outliers
b) incorrrect functional forms
c) what you never expected to see
d) the real relationships among data
29. In econometrics, KISS stands for
a) keeping it safely sane b) keep it simple, stupid c) keep it sensibly simple
d) keep inference sophisticatedly simple
34. The adage that begins with “All models are wrong, ….” is completed with
a) especially those with low R-squares
b) but some are useful
c) so it is impossible to find a correct specification
d) but that should not concern us
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35. Those claiming that statistical significance is being misused are referring to the
problem that
a) there may be a type I error
b) there may be a type II error
c) the coefficient magnitude may not be of consequence
d) there may be too much multicollinearity
37. To deal with results tainted by subjective specification decisions undertaken during
the heat of econometric battle it is suggested that researchers
a) eliminate multicollinearity
b) report a senstitivity analysis
c) use F tests instead of t tests
d) use larger type I error rates
3. Upon discovering via a test that you have nonspherical errors you should
a) use generalized least squares
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4. GLS can be performed by running OLS on variables transformed so that the error term
in the transformed relationship is
a) homoskedastic
b) spherical
c) serially uncorrelated
d) eliminated
14. The subjective element in a Bayesian analysis comes about through use of
a) an ignorance prior
b) an informative prior
c) the likelihood
d) the posterior
15. The Bayesian loss function tells us
a) the loss incurred by using a particular point estimate
b) the expected loss incurred by using a particular point estimate
c) the loss associated with a posterior distribution
d) the expected loss associated with a posterior distribution
16. The usual “Bayesian point estimate” is the mean of the posterior distribution. This
assumes
a) a quadratic loss function
b) an absolute loss function
c) an all-or-nothing loss function
d) no particular loss function
18. From the Bayesian perspective a sensitivity analysis checks to see by how much the
results change when a different
a) loss function is used
b) prior is used
c) posterior is used
d) data set is used
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