Hodrick-Prescott-Filter Add-In

Compute Hodrick-Prescott filtered time series with Excel.

File
HPFilter.xla

Donate it
The Hodrick Prescott add-in is the signature product of my web site. Renown multi national banks and investment
banks are using this add-in. I bear the costs for computer, web-site, software and my free time. To keep it a free
software, you can donate it.
Click Here To Donate

Installation
Download the add-in from the internet (www.web-reg.de). Extract the zip-file and declare HPFilter.xla as an add-in
(Tools->Add-Ins Manager ->Browse).

Uses
The HP-Filter is a single command function,
HP(timeseries as Range,lambda as Double)
Timeseries is a vector or matrix of time series. The data have to be organized columnwise.
The "standard-values" for Lambda are 100 for yearly data, 1600 for quarterly data and 14400 for monthly data.

HP is an array-function. First select an empty range which is of the same dimension as the timeseries that should be
filtered. Then write =HP(, then select the range that should be filtered, write a comma (or semicolon, depends on your
language settings in Windows) and then the value of lambda and a closing brace. At this point, do not press Enter.
Rather, hold down the Shift and the Ctrl Keys and then press Enter.

This Add-In uses a very fast algorithm. Filtering lot of data points does not take long time.

Examples are in this worksheet. Note that the results computed only if the Add-In ist installed

Further Notes
The HP-Filter Add-In was written by Kurt Annen. This program is freeware. But I would highly appreciate if you could
give me credit for my work by providing me with information about possible open positions as an economist. My focus
as an economist is on econometrics and dynamic macroeconomics. If you like the program, please send me an email.
annen@web-reg.de
Year GNP HP Trend HP Cycle
1960 856.48 Err:511 Err:511
1961 895.19 Err:511 Err:511 2200
1962 936.28 Err:511 Err:511
1963 962.24 Err:511 Err:511
1964 1026.34 Err:511 Err:511 2000
1965 1081.45 Err:511 Err:511
1966 1111.96 Err:511 Err:511
1800
1967 1108.75 Err:511 Err:511
1968 1169.99 Err:511 Err:511
1969 1257.09 Err:511 Err:511 1600
1970 1321.4 Err:511 Err:511
1971 1361.16 Err:511 Err:511
1972 1419.12 Err:511 Err:511 1400
1973 1488.19 Err:511 Err:511
1974 1492.08 Err:511 Err:511 1200
1975 1471.22 Err:511 Err:511
1976 1549.8 Err:511 Err:511
1977 1593.91 Err:511 Err:511 1000
1978 1641.64 Err:511 Err:511
1979 1709.17 Err:511 Err:511
1980 1727.51 Err:511 Err:511 800
1981 1730.52 Err:511 Err:511 1958 1963 1968 1973 1978
1982 1714.14 Err:511 Err:511
1983 1740.9 Err:511 Err:511
1984 1789.35 Err:511 Err:511 70
1985 1823.18 Err:511 Err:511
1986 1863.77 Err:511 Err:511
1987 1890.28 Err:511 Err:511 60
1988 1960.51 Err:511 Err:511
1989 2024.16 Err:511 Err:511
50
1990 2118.42 Err:511 Err:511
1991 2191.05 Err:511 Err:511
40

30

20

10

0
1958 1963 1968 1973 1978
 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993

1973 1978 1983 1988 1993

 Quarter real GDP HP-Trend GDP-Gap
1947.1 1239.5 Err:511 Err:511
1947.2 1247.2 Err:511 Err:511 6000.000
1947.3 1255.0 Err:511 Err:511
1947.4 1269.5 Err:511 Err:511 5500.000
1948.1 1284.0 Err:511 Err:511
1948.2 1295.7 Err:511 Err:511 5000.000
1948.3 1303.8 Err:511 Err:511
1948.4 1316.4 Err:511 Err:511 4500.000
1949.1 1305.3 Err:511 Err:511
1949.2 1302.0 Err:511 Err:511 4000.000
1949.3 1312.6 Err:511 Err:511
1949.4 1301.9 Err:511 Err:511 3500.000
1950.1 1350.9 Err:511 Err:511
1950.2 1393.5 Err:511 Err:511 3000.000
1950.3 1445.2 Err:511 Err:511
1950.4 1484.5 Err:511 Err:511
2500.000
1951.1 1504.1 Err:511 Err:511
1951.2 1548.3 Err:511 Err:511
2000.000
1951.3 1585.4 Err:511 Err:511
1951.4 1596.0 Err:511 Err:511
1500.000
1952.1 1607.7 Err:511 Err:511
1952.2 1612.1 Err:511 Err:511
1952.3 1621.9 Err:511 Err:511 1000.000
1952.4 1657.8 Err:511 Err:511 0.000 20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.00012
1953.1 1687.3 Err:511 Err:511
1953.2 1695.3 Err:511 Err:511
1953.3 1687.9 Err:511 Err:511
12.000
1953.4 1671.2 Err:511 Err:511
1954.1 1660.8 Err:511 Err:511
1954.2 1658.4 Err:511 Err:511 10.000
1954.3 1677.7 Err:511 Err:511
1954.4 1698.3 Err:511 Err:511
1955.1 1742.5 Err:511 Err:511 8.000
1955.2 1758.6 Err:511 Err:511
1955.3 1778.2 Err:511 Err:511
1955.4 1793.9 Err:511 Err:511
1956.1 1787.0 Err:511 Err:511 6.000
1956.2 1798.5 Err:511 Err:511
1956.3 1802.2 Err:511 Err:511
1956.4 1826.6 Err:511 Err:511 4.000
1957.1 1836.4 Err:511 Err:511
1957.2 1834.8 Err:511 Err:511
1957.3 1851.2 Err:511 Err:511
2.000
1957.4 1830.5 Err:511 Err:511
1958.1 1790.1 Err:511 Err:511
1958.2 1804.4 Err:511 Err:511
1958.3 1840.9 Err:511 Err:511 0.000
1958.4 1880.9 Err:511 Err:511 0.000 20.000 40.000 60.000 80.000 100.000 120
1959.1 1904.9 Err:511 Err:511
1959.2 1937.5 Err:511 Err:511
1959.3 1930.8 Err:511 Err:511
1959.4 1941.9 Err:511 Err:511
1960.1 1976.9 Err:511 Err:511
1960.2 1971.7 Err:511 Err:511
1960.3 1973.7 Err:511 Err:511
1960.4 1961.1 Err:511 Err:511
1961.1 1977.4 Err:511 Err:511
1961.2 2006.0 Err:511 Err:511
1961.3 2035.2 Err:511 Err:511
1961.4 2076.5 Err:511 Err:511
1962.1 2103.8 Err:511 Err:511
1962.2 2125.7 Err:511 Err:511
1962.3 2142.6 Err:511 Err:511
1962.4 2140.2 Err:511 Err:511
1963.1 2170.9 Err:511 Err:511
1963.2 2199.5 Err:511 Err:511
1963.3 2237.6 Err:511 Err:511
1963.4 2254.5 Err:511 Err:511
1964.1 2311.1 Err:511 Err:511
1964.2 2329.9 Err:511 Err:511
1964.3 2357.4 Err:511 Err:511
1964.4 2364.0 Err:511 Err:511
1965.1 2410.1 Err:511 Err:511
1965.2 2442.8 Err:511 Err:511
1965.3 2485.5 Err:511 Err:511
1965.4 2543.8 Err:511 Err:511
1966.1 2596.8 Err:511 Err:511
1966.2 2601.4 Err:511 Err:511
1966.3 2626.1 Err:511 Err:511
1966.4 2640.5 Err:511 Err:511
1967.1 2657.2 Err:511 Err:511
1967.2 2669.0 Err:511 Err:511
1967.3 2699.5 Err:511 Err:511
1967.4 2715.1 Err:511 Err:511
1968.1 2752.1 Err:511 Err:511
1968.2 2796.9 Err:511 Err:511
1968.3 2816.8 Err:511 Err:511
1968.4 2821.7 Err:511 Err:511
1969.1 2864.6 Err:511 Err:511
1969.2 2867.8 Err:511 Err:511
1969.3 2884.5 Err:511 Err:511
1969.4 2875.1 Err:511 Err:511
1970.1 2867.8 Err:511 Err:511
1970.2 2859.5 Err:511 Err:511
1970.3 2895.0 Err:511 Err:511
1970.4 2873.3 Err:511 Err:511
1971.1 2939.9 Err:511 Err:511
1971.2 2944.2 Err:511 Err:511
1971.3 2962.3 Err:511 Err:511
1971.4 2977.3 Err:511 Err:511
1972.1 3037.3 Err:511 Err:511
1972.2 3089.7 Err:511 Err:511
1972.3 3125.8 Err:511 Err:511
1972.4 3175.5 Err:511 Err:511
1973.1 3253.3 Err:511 Err:511
1973.2 3267.6 Err:511 Err:511
1973.3 3264.3 Err:511 Err:511
1973.4 3289.1 Err:511 Err:511
1974.1 3259.4 Err:511 Err:511
1974.2 3267.6 Err:511 Err:511
1974.3 3239.1 Err:511 Err:511
1974.4 3226.4 Err:511 Err:511
1975.1 3154.0 Err:511 Err:511
1975.2 3190.4 Err:511 Err:511
1975.3 3249.9 Err:511 Err:511
1975.4 3292.5 Err:511 Err:511
1976.1 3356.7 Err:511 Err:511
1976.2 3369.2 Err:511 Err:511
1976.3 3381.0 Err:511 Err:511
1976.4 3416.3 Err:511 Err:511
1977.1 3466.4 Err:511 Err:511
1977.2 3525.0 Err:511 Err:511
1977.3 3574.4 Err:511 Err:511
1977.4 3567.2 Err:511 Err:511
1978.1 3591.8 Err:511 Err:511
1978.2 3707.0 Err:511 Err:511
1978.3 3735.6 Err:511 Err:511
1978.4 3779.6 Err:511 Err:511
1979.1 3780.8 Err:511 Err:511
1979.2 3784.3 Err:511 Err:511
1979.3 3807.5 Err:511 Err:511
1979.4 3814.6 Err:511 Err:511
1980.1 3830.8 Err:511 Err:511
1980.2 3732.6 Err:511 Err:511
1980.3 3733.5 Err:511 Err:511
1980.4 3808.5 Err:511 Err:511
1981.1 3860.5 Err:511 Err:511
1981.2 3844.4 Err:511 Err:511
1981.3 3864.5 Err:511 Err:511
1981.4 3803.1 Err:511 Err:511
1982.1 3756.1 Err:511 Err:511
1982.2 3771.1 Err:511 Err:511
1982.3 3754.4 Err:511 Err:511
1982.4 3759.6 Err:511 Err:511
1983.1 3783.5 Err:511 Err:511
1983.2 3886.5 Err:511 Err:511
1983.3 3944.4 Err:511 Err:511
1983.4 4012.1 Err:511 Err:511
1984.1 4089.5 Err:511 Err:511
1984.2 4144.0 Err:511 Err:511
1984.3 4166.4 Err:511 Err:511
1984.4 4194.2 Err:511 Err:511
1985.1 4221.8 Err:511 Err:511
1985.2 4254.8 Err:511 Err:511
1985.3 4309.0 Err:511 Err:511
1985.4 4333.5 Err:511 Err:511
1986.1 4390.5 Err:511 Err:511
1986.2 4387.7 Err:511 Err:511
1986.3 4412.6 Err:511 Err:511
1986.4 4427.1 Err:511 Err:511
1987.1 4460.0 Err:511 Err:511
1987.2 4515.3 Err:511 Err:511
1987.3 4559.3 Err:511 Err:511
1987.4 4625.5 Err:511 Err:511
1988.1 4655.3 Err:511 Err:511
1988.2 4704.8 Err:511 Err:511
1988.3 4734.5 Err:511 Err:511
1988.4 4779.7 Err:511 Err:511
1989.1 4817.6 Err:511 Err:511
1989.2 4839.0 Err:511 Err:511
1989.3 4839.0 Err:511 Err:511
1989.4 4856.7 Err:511 Err:511
1990.1 4898.3 Err:511 Err:511
1990.2 4917.1 Err:511 Err:511
1990.3 4906.5 Err:511 Err:511
1990.4 4867.2 Err:511 Err:511
1991.1 4842.0 Err:511 Err:511
1991.2 4867.9 Err:511 Err:511
1991.3 4879.9 Err:511 Err:511
1991.4 4880.8 Err:511 Err:511
1992.1 4918.5 Err:511 Err:511
1992.2 4947.5 Err:511 Err:511
1992.3 4990.5 Err:511 Err:511
1992.4 5060.7 Err:511 Err:511
1993.1 5075.3 Err:511 Err:511
1993.2 5105.4 Err:511 Err:511
1993.3 5139.4 Err:511 Err:511
1993.4 5218.0 Err:511 Err:511
1994.1 5261.1 Err:511 Err:511
1994.2 5314.1 Err:511 Err:511
1994.3 5367.0 Err:511 Err:511
00 60.000 80.000 100.000120.000140.000160.000180.000200.000

60.000 80.000 100.000 120.000 140.000 160.000 180.000 200.000

Index Random HP Random
1 1.66857213 Err:511
30
2 1.22025109 Err:511
3 0.9568098 Err:511
4 2.2338985 Err:511
25
5 2.11504528 Err:511
6 2.62496351 Err:511
7 1.3601984 Err:511
8 3.13921916 Err:511
20
9 4.07926796 Err:511
10 2.41950921 Err:511
11 2.67419368 Err:511
15
12 3.37772559 Err:511
13 2.99103026 Err:511
14 3.26899316 Err:511 10
15 3.12232615 Err:511
16 4.05613442 Err:511
17 2.50647609 Err:511 5
18 3.69123969 Err:511
19 4.36923844 Err:511
20 4.49068615 Err:511 0
21 5.68779364 Err:511 0 200 400 600
22 7.15612401 Err:511
23 6.15282906 Err:511 -5
24 6.21700702 Err:511
25 8.64818306 Err:511
26 8.14489973 Err:511 -10
27 8.00310165 Err:511
28 7.91092032 Err:511
29 8.55252779 Err:511 -15
30 8.5456146 Err:511
31 9.5810273 Err:511
32 8.27616398 Err:511 -20
33 9.41405764 Err:511
34 8.9839724 Err:511
35 10.2577341 Err:511
36 11.4429038 Err:511
37 10.2152372 Err:511
38 11.0695823 Err:511
39 9.93865173 Err:511
40 9.8046822 Err:511
41 11.3173535 Err:511
42 11.2936393 Err:511
43 12.3845916 Err:511
44 11.8031785 Err:511
45 12.5548103 Err:511
46 11.7870803 Err:511
47 11.5618279 Err:511
48 13.327752 Err:511
49 13.6726307 Err:511
50 13.689237 Err:511
 51 14.2397571 Err:511
52 13.8684094 Err:511
53 13.1310588 Err:511
54 12.162349 Err:511
55 9.79021551 Err:511
56 9.33584215 Err:511
57 8.34704026 Err:511
58 7.25048983 Err:511
59 7.12464935 Err:511
60 6.01897476 Err:511
61 4.40795317 Err:511
62 4.84329875 Err:511
63 5.41449234 Err:511
64 6.55155919 Err:511
65 6.99871052 Err:511
66 6.82640965 Err:511
67 7.10433649 Err:511
68 8.52230633 Err:511
69 10.1297067 Err:511
70 10.5702298 Err:511
71 10.8550787 Err:511
72 9.7178688 Err:511
73 9.27317082 Err:511
74 8.59670953 Err:511
75 8.94358473 Err:511
76 9.07064359 Err:511
77 8.07771039 Err:511
78 7.44879291 Err:511
79 7.07395458 Err:511
80 6.47928056 Err:511
81 6.26250594 Err:511
82 5.56182967 Err:511
83 6.08890965 Err:511
84 4.86104982 Err:511
85 3.9613177 Err:511
86 4.56540694 Err:511
87 3.90997051 Err:511
88 4.77044104 Err:511
89 3.76584401 Err:511
90 3.13117738 Err:511
91 4.34131207 Err:511
92 4.61318994 Err:511
93 3.15456626 Err:511
94 3.90804732 Err:511
95 4.5973349 Err:511
96 5.02191071 Err:511
97 6.09882257 Err:511
98 6.399203 Err:511
99 4.20472235 Err:511
100 4.776672 Err:511
101 4.61581612 Err:511
102 4.76800161 Err:511
103 3.91570598 Err:511
104 3.71743608 Err:511
105 3.09699414 Err:511
106 3.45035019 Err:511
107 4.33848818 Err:511
108 3.47612959 Err:511
109 2.61120467 Err:511
110 1.74448856 Err:511
111 -0.89530784 Err:511
112 -1.28249475 Err:511
113 -1.40663175 Err:511
114 -0.30051147 Err:511
115 0.35232791 Err:511
116 0.75103579 Err:511
117 -0.36608352 Err:511
118 -1.20293446 Err:511
119 -0.71600574 Err:511
120 0.20038193 Err:511
121 1.93192421 Err:511
122 3.03431103 Err:511
123 4.38279273 Err:511
124 3.98751183 Err:511
125 5.87240475 Err:511
126 5.05349216 Err:511
127 4.86861755 Err:511
128 4.54482584 Err:511
129 4.14450635 Err:511
130 5.45532025 Err:511
131 4.79643998 Err:511
132 3.33780952 Err:511
133 3.23822659 Err:511
134 2.80824766 Err:511
135 2.97868007 Err:511
136 2.99236178 Err:511
137 2.85658173 Err:511
138 2.87063266 Err:511
139 1.37016318 Err:511
140 -0.96581461 Err:511
141 -2.5407173 Err:511
142 0.80354577 Err:511
143 1.1546395 Err:511
144 0.28587569 Err:511
145 -2.45857411 Err:511
146 -2.08863388 Err:511
147 -0.88398908 Err:511
148 -0.91694639 Err:511
149 0.35377544 Err:511
150 -1.35432839 Err:511
151 -1.40240895 Err:511
152 -0.78180478 Err:511
153 -1.2382247 Err:511
154 -0.05027748 Err:511
155 0.7175325 Err:511
156 1.24562112 Err:511
157 3.18824628 Err:511
158 3.07400276 Err:511
159 4.17955983 Err:511
160 5.43356045 Err:511
161 5.16288799 Err:511
162 3.79534904 Err:511
163 3.49194737 Err:511
164 2.95631158 Err:511
165 3.88451994 Err:511
166 5.68549159 Err:511
167 6.0110632 Err:511
168 5.90223122 Err:511
169 6.0560705 Err:511
170 7.17290279 Err:511
171 7.53313246 Err:511
172 8.45127132 Err:511
173 9.13397646 Err:511
174 10.1927201 Err:511
175 10.649115 Err:511
176 11.4995499 Err:511
177 12.0780809 Err:511
178 12.6454253 Err:511
179 14.1322828 Err:511
180 15.9568928 Err:511
181 14.6198875 Err:511
182 16.1329031 Err:511
183 16.357664 Err:511
184 15.9856227 Err:511
185 14.2967625 Err:511
186 14.2574853 Err:511
187 18.0374564 Err:511
188 17.3779071 Err:511
189 17.7158159 Err:511
190 18.7489623 Err:511
191 19.016165 Err:511
192 18.3673659 Err:511
193 18.0349452 Err:511
194 18.2804916 Err:511
195 18.4183796 Err:511
196 18.9903535 Err:511
197 19.1549642 Err:511
198 19.9552267 Err:511
199 20.1920811 Err:511
200 19.3223589 Err:511
201 18.4759863 Err:511
202 20.0136071 Err:511
203 19.4345657 Err:511
204 19.2488113 Err:511
205 20.1248209 Err:511
206 21.4443597 Err:511
207 22.9163773 Err:511
208 24.6624919 Err:511
209 23.3636146 Err:511
210 22.8741358 Err:511
211 21.9019852 Err:511
212 22.3601872 Err:511
213 20.7188827 Err:511
214 20.0389349 Err:511
215 19.4832477 Err:511
216 21.2387435 Err:511
217 22.2471376 Err:511
218 21.2226416 Err:511
219 21.5792351 Err:511
220 21.2441758 Err:511
221 22.7564782 Err:511
222 23.8019982 Err:511
223 23.8467231 Err:511
224 23.3890801 Err:511
225 21.9312849 Err:511
226 21.0430564 Err:511
227 22.1246767 Err:511
228 21.532908 Err:511
229 20.8344509 Err:511
230 21.2860709 Err:511
231 20.8656717 Err:511
232 20.1523347 Err:511
233 20.718287 Err:511
234 18.9487614 Err:511
235 17.9549238 Err:511
236 19.0442328 Err:511
237 20.093823 Err:511
238 20.1389945 Err:511
239 20.3040574 Err:511
240 19.8279281 Err:511
241 19.7065113 Err:511
242 19.1976664 Err:511
243 19.4054624 Err:511
244 19.9049647 Err:511
245 20.8173246 Err:511
246 20.5253099 Err:511
247 22.018367 Err:511
248 22.1205836 Err:511
249 20.8221138 Err:511
250 19.799567 Err:511
251 18.8990612 Err:511
252 19.0183148 Err:511
253 19.4796203 Err:511
254 18.8410014 Err:511
255 17.3879569 Err:511
256 15.740247 Err:511
257 13.8836102 Err:511
258 14.1072848 Err:511
259 15.8829697 Err:511
260 15.7267973 Err:511
261 15.3330625 Err:511
262 15.9603656 Err:511
263 14.836011 Err:511
264 14.1035619 Err:511
265 12.9852722 Err:511
266 11.2105928 Err:511
267 12.2381109 Err:511
268 12.2094617 Err:511
269 12.8680945 Err:511
270 13.3072342 Err:511
271 12.2054937 Err:511
272 11.3656756 Err:511
273 11.9646391 Err:511
274 12.4374228 Err:511
275 12.988043 Err:511
276 11.6425964 Err:511
277 10.7494342 Err:511
278 9.9568642 Err:511
279 9.70895709 Err:511
280 10.3702374 Err:511
281 9.09200733 Err:511
282 9.32732434 Err:511
283 10.1565376 Err:511
284 8.6887287 Err:511
285 8.04104731 Err:511
286 8.84395158 Err:511
287 9.19426739 Err:511
288 9.22343022 Err:511
289 9.52485394 Err:511
290 9.37261228 Err:511
291 9.8406751 Err:511
292 12.2691457 Err:511
293 11.6918945 Err:511
294 12.3750311 Err:511
295 11.2583293 Err:511
296 10.9745132 Err:511
297 11.170492 Err:511
298 10.896116 Err:511
299 9.88987202 Err:511
300 10.4374068 Err:511
301 11.9296115 Err:511
302 10.2386939 Err:511
303 10.8879088 Err:511
304 9.09935414 Err:511
305 7.73496273 Err:511
306 6.79658939 Err:511
307 7.57361707 Err:511
308 6.97299734 Err:511
309 6.51080024 Err:511
310 7.03396993 Err:511
311 6.62911752 Err:511
312 7.5761062 Err:511
313 9.52225418 Err:511
314 8.48479616 Err:511
315 9.97163192 Err:511
316 11.2572449 Err:511
317 10.4471699 Err:511
318 9.73782772 Err:511
319 10.8750217 Err:511
320 10.6952071 Err:511
321 8.58344407 Err:511
322 7.97614376 Err:511
323 8.92538798 Err:511
324 6.38548527 Err:511
325 6.42144605 Err:511
326 7.78849248 Err:511
327 6.67181481 Err:511
328 6.18573294 Err:511
329 8.17936285 Err:511
330 10.173257 Err:511
331 10.0810142 Err:511
332 10.9747295 Err:511
333 10.549507 Err:511
334 10.1517206 Err:511
335 9.70270693 Err:511
336 8.12652136 Err:511
337 9.47864069 Err:511
338 10.3001562 Err:511
339 8.7191245 Err:511
340 10.9631994 Err:511
341 11.3385401 Err:511
342 10.8060903 Err:511
343 10.4034263 Err:511
344 10.5956487 Err:511
345 10.4051424 Err:511
346 12.0350214 Err:511
347 11.721957 Err:511
348 11.7024521 Err:511
349 12.1265633 Err:511
350 11.1584849 Err:511
351 11.6403412 Err:511
352 10.9592822 Err:511
353 10.0286835 Err:511
354 10.5550344 Err:511
355 11.3624662 Err:511
356 11.7475743 Err:511
357 11.3622982 Err:511
358 12.1042361 Err:511
359 13.1002249 Err:511
360 12.5542741 Err:511
361 10.8002456 Err:511
362 11.4371189 Err:511
363 11.3304986 Err:511
364 10.6202122 Err:511
365 11.710106 Err:511
366 12.0752246 Err:511
367 11.9892712 Err:511
368 11.5878908 Err:511
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