Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
DELUXE CORPORATION
Analysis of Flexibility by Rating Category
AAA AA A BBB
1 Pretax cost of debt (case Exhibit 9) 5.51% 5.52% 5.70% 6.33%
2 Required EBIT interest coverage (x) 23.4 13.3 6.3 3.9
(case Exhibit 6)
$359 $359
$163 $359
$1,814 $3,004
$200 $200
$91 $200
$1,010 $1,672
$161 $161
$1,814 $3,004
$1,653 $2,842
$0 ($1,190)
$2,665 $2,665
$1,814 $3,004
40.5% 53.0%
Exhibit TN2
DELUXE CORPORATION
Valuation Analysis
Projected
2002 2003 2004 2005
Valuation Analysis
1 Free cash flow (exhibit 4) $212.2 $216.1 $220.0 $224.6
2 Terminal value 1
$229.7
$3,139.6
$3,369.3
Exh. TN3
Exhibit TN3
DELUXE CORPORATION
Capital Costs by Rating Category
AAA AA A BBB BB
1 Cost of debt (pretax) 5.47% 5.50% 5.70% 6.30% 9.00%
2 Cost of equity 10.25% 10.35% 10.50% 10.60% 12.00%
Page 5
Exh. TN3
B
12.00%
14.25%
B
7.44%
14.25%
75.10%
53.0%
47.0%
10.64%
9.14%
B
12.00%
0.82
112.70%
1.39
12.82%
7.44%
12.82%
75.10%
53.0%
47.0%
9.97%
8.78%
Page 6
Cost of Equity Estimates: CAPM vs. Hudson
14.00%
13.50%
Cost of Equity
13.00%
12.50%
12.00%
11.50%
11.00%
10.50%
10.00%
9.50%
AAA AA A BBB BB B
Rating Category
WACC Estimates: CAPM vs. Hudson
Hudson CAPM
11.00%
10.50%
Cost of Capital
10.00%
9.50%
9.00%
8.50%
8.00%
7.50%
AAA AA A BBB BB B
Rating Category
Exh
Key Industrial Financial R
AAA
Key Industrial Financial Ratios (Three-year medians 2000-2002) Debt 123.63179 5.47%
Computed
Want: AAA Ratio Difference
Normalized EBIT interest coverage (x) Greater 23.4 53.1 29.7
Normalized EBITDA Interest coverage (x) Greater 25.3 60.5 35.2
Funds from operations/total debt (%) Greater 214.2 214.2 0.0
Free operating cash flow/total debt (%) Greater 156.6 178.4 21.8
Return on capital (%) Greater 35.0 177.6 142.6
Operating income/sales (%) Greater 23.4 64.5 41.1
Total debt/capital, incl. short-term debt (%) Less 5.0
Min: 0.0
Exhibit 6
Key Industrial Financial Ratios by Rating Categories
Credit Rating
AA A BBB
Debt 403.07365 5.50% Debt 627.53409 5.70% Debt 865.42287 5.70% Debt
Computed Computed Computed
AA Ratio Difference A Ratio Difference BBB Ratio Difference BB
13.3 16.2 2.9 6.3 10.0 3.7 3.9 7.3 3.4 2.2
16.9 18.5 1.6 8.5 11.4 2.9 5.4 8.3 2.9 3.2
65.7 65.7 - 42.2 42.2 0.0 30.6 30.6 (0.0) 19.7
33.6 54.7 21.1 22.3 35.1 12.8 12.8 25.5 12.7 7.3
26.6 74.6 48.0 18.1 50.9 32.8 13.1 38.1 25.0 11.5
24.0 64.5 40.5 18.1 64.5 46.4 15.5 64.5 49.0 15.4
35.9 42.6 47.0 57.7
Min: - Min: 0.0 Min: (0.0)
AAA AA A BBB BB B
Cost of
Debt (pre-
tax) 5.47% 5.50% 5.70% 6.30% 9.00% 12.00%
Cost of
Equity 10.25% 10.35% 10.50% 10.60% 12.00% 14.25%
BB B Sum
1344.2608 9.00% Debt 2006.9512 12.00% 5370.874
Computed Computed
Ratio Difference B Ratio Difference
3.0 0.8 1.0 1.5 0.5
3.4 0.2 1.7 1.7 0.0
19.7 0.0 10.4 13.2 2.8
16.4 9.1 1.5 11.0 9.5
25.3 13.8 8.0 17.2 9.2
64.5 49.1 14.7 64.5 49.8
75.1
Min: 0.0 Min: 0.0 (0.0)
Exh. 1
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Selected Income Statement Information
Net Sales $ 1,534.4 $ 1,581.8 $ 1,747.9 $ 1,858.0 $ 1,895.7 $ 1,919.4 $ 1,931.8 $ 1,650.5 $ 1,262.7 $ 1,278.4
Operating Expenses 722.2 739.5 797.3 819.4 862.4 806.7 805.9 688.9 417.9 421.1
Profit from Opns. 812.2 842.3 950.6 1,038.6 1,033.3 1,112.7 1,125.9 961.6 844.8 857.2
Interest Expense 15.4 10.3 11.3 14.7 12.0 9.7 9.7 9.5 10.8 5.6
Net Earnings 202.8 141.9 140.9 87.0 65.5 44.7 143.1 203.0 161.9 185.9
Common Shares, End of Year (000s) 83,797 82,549 82,375 82,364 82,056 81,326 80,481 72,020 72,555 64,102
Common Shares Repurchased (000s) (2,197) (1,341) (1,191) (1,414) (1,715) (1,833) (9,573) (48) (11,332) (3,898)
Common Shares Issued (000s) 949 1,167 1,181 1,106 985 988 1,112 583 2,890 1,255
Earnings Per Share1 $ 2.42 $ 2.09 $ 1.71 $ 1.15 $ 1.65 $ 2.15 $ 2.34 $ 2.64 $ 2.34 $ 2.70
Dividend Per Share $ 1.34 $ 1.42 $ 1.46 $ 1.48 $ 1.48 $ 1.48 $ 1.48 $ 1.48 $ 1.48 $ 1.48
Book Value: LT Debt/Capital 12.2% 12.1% 12.0% 12.5% 13.3% 15.3% 14.9% 21.7% 3.7% 11.4%
Market Value: LT Debt/Capital 2.9% 3.6% 4.9% 4.4% 3.9% 3.8% 3.5% 5.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Page 12
Exh. 2
Exhibit 2
Deluxe Corp.
Consolidated Statement of Income
(in U.S. $ millions)
Page 13
Exh. 3
Exhibit 3
Deluxe Corp.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in U.S. $ millions)
2001 2000
Assets
Current Assets
Cash and Cash Equivalents $ 9.6 $ 80.7
Marketable securities - 18.5
Trade accounts receivable-net 37.7 46.0
Inventories 11.2 11.3
Supplies 11.1 11.8
Deferred income taxes 4.6 7.4
Prepaid Expenses and Other 9.9 12.0
Total Current Assets 84.0 187.8
Long-Term Investments 37.7 35.6
Property, Plant and Equipment, Net 151.1 174.0
Intangibles - Net 115.0 134.5
Goodwill - Net 82.2 88.4
Other Non-Current Assets 67.9 36.2
Total Assets $ 537.8 $ 656.4
Page 14
Exh. 4
Exhibit 4
Deluxe Corp. Financial Forecast, 2002-2006
(values in U.S. $ millions)
Actual Projected
2001 2002 2003 2004
Annual Increase in Sales 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0%
Opng. Profit/Sales 23.6% 26.6% 26.7% 26.7%
Tax Rate 37.0% 38.0%
Wkg. Capital/Sales 9.1% 9.1%
Dividend Payout Ratio 52.0%
Income Statement
Net Sales $ 1,278.4 $ 1,296.3 $ 1,317.0 $ 1,343.4
Operating Profit 302.0 344.8 351.6 358.7
Interest Expense, net 3.2 4.0 4.0 4.0
Pre-Tax Income 298.8 340.8 347.6 354.7
Tax Expense 111.6 129.5 132.1 134.8
Net Income 187.1 211.3 215.5 219.9
Dividends 94.9 94.9 94.9 94.9
Retentions to Earnings $ 92.2 $ 116.4 $ 120.7 $ 125.0
Balance Sheet
Cash $ 9.6 $ 124.3 $ 243.1 $ 365.8
Working Capital (without debt) 116.6 118.2 120.1 122.5
Net Fixed Assets 151.1 151.1 151.1 151.1
Total Assets 277.2 393.6 514.3 639.3
Page 15
Exh. 4
2005 2006
2.2% 2.4%
26.7% 26.7%
$ 1,372.9 $ 1,405.9
366.6 375.4
4.0 4.0
362.6 371.4
137.8 141.1
224.8 230.3 214.8
94.9 94.9
$ 129.9 $ 135.4
$ 493.0 $ 625.4
125.2 128.2
151.1 151.1
769.3 904.6
161.5 161.5
37.0 37.0
570.8 706.2
$ 769.3 $ 904.6
Average
$ 366.6 $ 375.4 $ 359.4
(139.3) (142.6) $ (136.6)
50.0 50.0 $ 50.0
(50.0) (50.0) $ (50.0)
(2.7) (3.0) $ (2.3)
$ 224.6 $ 229.7 $ 220.5
Page 16
Exh. 6
Exhibit 6
Key Industrial Financial Ratios by Rating Categories
Credit Rati
AAA AA
-----------------------Investment Grade----------------
Key Industrial Financial Ratios (Three-year medians 2000-2002)
Page 17
Exh. 6
ing Categories
Credit Rating
A BBB BB B
----Investment Grade------------------------- -----Non-investment Grade----
Page 18
60.0x
EBIT Divided By Interest
50.0x
40.0x
30.0x
55.2x
20.0x
32.4x 32.8x
31.0x
27.3x 26.3x
21.0x 21.9x
20.7x
10.0x
16.1x
0.0x
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Exhibit 8
Capital Costs by Rating Category
AAA AA A BBB BB B
Cost of Debt
(pre-tax) 5.47% 5.50% 5.70% 6.30% 9.00% 12.00%
Cost of
Equity 10.25% 10.35% 10.50% 10.60% 12.00% 14.25%
Source of data: Bloomberg LP, S&P's Research Insight, Value Line Investment Survey, Datastream Advance
Yield
1.70%
1.72%
1.75%
1.78%
Exhibit 7
Deluxe Corp.
EBIT Interest Coverage Ratios By Year
9.97%
10.64%
B
12.82%
14.25%
DELUXE CORP Sources of data:
TICKER: DLX S&P's Research Insight, Value Line Investment Survey, Datastr
SIC: 2780
GICS: 20201010
Dec92 Dec93 Dec94 Dec95 Dec96
Sales 1534.351 1581.767 1747.92 1857.981 1895.664
Cost of Sales 722.155 739.493 797.314 819.408 862.358
Gross Profit 812.1959 842.274 950.606 1038.573 1033.306
EBITDA 388.834 353.147 320.075 339.587 329.078
EBIT 322.219 280.827 233.659 236.284 262.809
Interest Expense 15.371 10.276 11.305 14.714 11.978
Total Taxes 121.999 94.052 100.02 74.885 53.302
Depreciation 66.615 72.32 86.416 103.303 66.269
Net Income 202.784 141.861 140.866 87.021 65.463