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CNN Poll: In final days, Democrats maintain advantage
By Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director

Updated 1734 GMT (0134 HKT) November 5, 2018


Democrats hold advantage in final CNN poll
US President Donald Trump gestures as his daughter Ivanka Trump speaks at a
Make America Great Again rally in Cleveland, Ohio on November 5, 2018. (Photo
by Jim WATSON / AFP) (Photo credit should read JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty
Images)
Trump vows to not call women 'beautiful'
Georgia Democratic gubernatorial candidate and former state representative Stacey
Abrams stands ready to face off with Stacey Evans in a debate Tuesday, May 15,
2018, in Atlanta.
Abrams: Kemp is abusing his power
lead utah mayor killed DNT jake tapper_00000321.jpg
His final wish was for Americans to vote - and remember what unites us
will ferrel and doug jones
Will Ferrell revives character for midterms
WASHINGTON - JUNE 5: The U.S. Capitol is shown June 5, 2003 in
Washington, DC. Both houses of the U.S. Congress, the U.S. Senate and the U.S.
House of Representatives meet in the Capitol. (Photo by Stefan Zaklin/Getty
Images)
These are the House races to watch
trump campaign ad false claims tom foreman dnt lead vpx_00000402
Trump's racially charged ad makes false claims

Dem slams hacking claims as abuse of power


How presidential approval ratings sway midterms
A man walks to use a voting booth March 1, 2016, at one of the Virginia primary
election polling stations at Colin Powell Elementary School, in Centreville,
Virginia.
Voters in a dozen states will take part in "Super Tuesday" -- a series of
primaries and caucuses in states ranging from Alaska to Virginia, with Virginia the
first to open its polling stations at 6:00 am (1100 GMT). / AFP / PAUL J.
RICHARDS (Photo credit should read PAUL J. RICHARDS/AFP/Getty
Images)
Democrats hold advantage in final CNN poll
Oprah Winfrey takes part in a town hall meeting with Democratic gubernatorial
candidate Stacey Abrams ahead of the mid-term election in Marietta, Georgia, U.S.
November 1, 2018. REUTERS/Chris Aluka Berry
Hear racist robocall targeting Abrams, Oprah

Tapper counts Trump's falsehoods in just one minute

Why Puerto Rican voters matter in the midterms


UNITED STATES - MAY 26: Katie Hill, Democrat running for California's
25th Congressional district seat in Congress, attends the opening of the SCV
Democratic Headquarters for 2018 in Newhall, Calif., on Saturday, May 26, 2018.
California is holding its primary election on June 5, 2018.
Millennial looks to unseat GOP incumbent
the point house democrats could take majority orig bw _00001123.jpg
Dems have some wiggle room in taking the House
if Republicans lose control of Congress Foreman orig_00004230.jpg
All this is at risk if the GOP loses Congress
US President Donald Trump gestures as his daughter Ivanka Trump speaks at a
Make America Great Again rally in Cleveland, Ohio on November 5, 2018. (Photo
by Jim WATSON / AFP) (Photo credit should read JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty
Images)
Trump vows to not call women 'beautiful'
Georgia Democratic gubernatorial candidate and former state representative Stacey
Abrams stands ready to face off with Stacey Evans in a debate Tuesday, May 15,
2018, in Atlanta.
Abrams: Kemp is abusing his power
lead utah mayor killed DNT jake tapper_00000321.jpg
His final wish was for Americans to vote - and remember what unites us
will ferrel and doug jones
Will Ferrell revives character for midterms
WASHINGTON - JUNE 5: The U.S. Capitol is shown June 5, 2003 in
Washington, DC. Both houses of the U.S. Congress, the U.S. Senate and the U.S.
House of Representatives meet in the Capitol. (Photo by Stefan Zaklin/Getty
Images)
These are the House races to watch
trump campaign ad false claims tom foreman dnt lead vpx_00000402
Trump's racially charged ad makes false claims

Dem slams hacking claims as abuse of power

How presidential approval ratings sway midterms


A man walks to use a voting booth March 1, 2016, at one of the Virginia primary
election polling stations at Colin Powell Elementary School, in Centreville,
Virginia.
Voters in a dozen states will take part in "Super Tuesday" -- a series of
primaries and caucuses in states ranging from Alaska to Virginia, with Virginia the
first to open its polling stations at 6:00 am (1100 GMT). / AFP / PAUL J.
RICHARDS (Photo credit should read PAUL J. RICHARDS/AFP/Getty
Images)
Democrats hold advantage in final CNN poll
Oprah Winfrey takes part in a town hall meeting with Democratic gubernatorial
candidate Stacey Abrams ahead of the mid-term election in Marietta, Georgia, U.S.
November 1, 2018. REUTERS/Chris Aluka Berry
Hear racist robocall targeting Abrams, Oprah

Tapper counts Trump's falsehoods in just one minute

Why Puerto Rican voters matter in the midterms


UNITED STATES - MAY 26: Katie Hill, Democrat running for California's
25th Congressional district seat in Congress, attends the opening of the SCV
Democratic Headquarters for 2018 in Newhall, Calif., on Saturday, May 26, 2018.
California is holding its primary election on June 5, 2018.
Millennial looks to unseat GOP incumbent
the point house democrats could take majority orig bw _00001123.jpg
Dems have some wiggle room in taking the House
if Republicans lose control of Congress Foreman orig_00004230.jpg
All this is at risk if the GOP loses Congress
US President Donald Trump gestures as his daughter Ivanka Trump speaks at a
Make America Great Again rally in Cleveland, Ohio on November 5, 2018. (Photo
by Jim WATSON / AFP) (Photo credit should read JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty
Images)
Trump vows to not call women 'beautiful'
WASHINGTON (CNN)On the eve of the midterm elections, Democrats continue
to hold a double-digit lead over Republicans in a generic congressional ballot
among likely voters, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. The party's
55% to 42% advantage in the new poll mirrors their lead in early October and is
about the same as the 10-point edge they held just after Labor Day.

That's a slimmer edge than the party held in CNN's final poll before the 2006
midterm elections and similar to the Republicans' 10-point advantage just before
the 2010 midterms.
RELATED: Full poll results
Democrats benefit from a massive gender gap that has persisted throughout the fall
(women favor Democrats 62% to 35%, while men are about evenly divided, 49%
back the Republican, while 48% support the Democrat in their district), a wide lead
among political independents (53% for the Democrat to 39% for the Republican),
and strong support from black and Latino voters (88% of black voters and 66% of
Latino voters favor the Democrats).

The gender gap cuts across lines of race and education, with non-white women
(79% favor Democrats) and white women with college degrees (68% back the
Democrat) breaking most heavily for the Democrats, while white men (57%
Republican) and particularly white men without college degrees (65% back the
Republican) are most deeply behind the GOP.
Trump, Obama square off in frenetic final 48 hours before midterm elections
Trump, Obama square off in frenetic final 48 hours before midterm elections
About 7 in 10 likely voters say that when they cast a ballot on Tuesday, they'll be
sending a message about President Donald Trump, and more often than not, the
message those voters want to send is one of opposition.
Overall, 42% of likely voters say their vote will be to express opposition to the
president, while 28% say that it'll be to support him.
Another 28% say their vote isn't about the president. That level of opposition is
similar to the way likely voters felt just ahead of the 2006 election, when 41% said
they were voting to oppose then-President George W. Bush. Fewer voters in that
year, just 16%, said they were turning out to support the president.
Trump's approval rating in the poll stands at 39% overall, with 55% disapproving,
slightly worse than in early October, when 41% approved of his performance and
52% disapproved.
That is the worst pre-election approval rating for any president approaching their
first midterm election in polling dating back to Eisenhower.
Among likely voters, a majority, 52% say they strongly disapprove of the way the
president is handling his job, 35% say they strongly approve of his work as
President, and just 11% of those likely to vote on Tuesday say they don't have
strong views on Trump.
With the election just days away as the poll was conducted, enthusiasm was up
among both parties' voters, but Democrats advantage in enthusiasm narrowed to
just 4 points: 68% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents were
enthusiastic about voting, while 64% of Republicans and Republican-leaning
independents said the same.
A majority of likely voters (52%) say they consider health care extremely
important to their vote for Congress on Tuesday, with immigration and Trump
closely behind at 49% each. Just behind that, 47% each say the economy,
corruption and gun policy are extremely important to their vote.
But voters' issue priorities are sharply divided by party. Among Democrats, 71%
call health care extremely important. That stands at 37% among Republicans.
Almost two-thirds of Republicans (64%) say immigration is extremely important
to them, while that dips twenty points to 44% among Democrats. And while 60%
of Republicans call the economy extremely important, just 39% of Democrats
agree.
Most Democrats consider the Russia investigation a critical part of their vote (53%
say it's extremely important), but just 8% of Republicans say the same. The one
issue they both agree on: Trump. Majorities in both parties say he's extremely
important to their vote (55% of Republicans, 53% of Democrats).
About half of likely voters say that if Democrats win control of Congress, the
country would be better off (48%), while about a third say it'll be worse off (35%).
Most Americans (56%) think it's likely that a foreign government will interfere
with the US elections this fall, and 74% think that if it happens, it would be a crisis
or a major problem. Worries about foreign interference are more widespread
among Democrats, 74% of whom think it's likely to happen and 90% of whom
consider it a major problem.
Among Republicans, just 33% think such interference is likely and 57% consider it
a major problem or more.
The poll also finds 8 in 10 Americans think the country is more deeply divided this
year on major issues than it has been in the past several years. That's slightly lower
than the 85% who felt that way just after Trump's election in 2016.
As many as 74% say that the recent tone of American politics is encouraging
violence among some people. That's about the same as said so in a CBS News poll
conducted shortly after a Republican member of Congress was shot during a June
2017 congressional baseball practice for a charity event.
The CNN Poll was conducted by SSRS from November 1 through 3 among a
random national sample of 1,518 adults reached on landlines or cellphones by a
live interviewer. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of
plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, for the subset of 1,151 likely voters, it is plus
or minus 3.5 percentage points.

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