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Civil Engineering Systems

ISSN: 0263-0257 (Print) (Online) Journal homepage: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/gcee19

Optimal strategy for inspection and repair of


structural systems

P. Thoft-Christensen & J. D. S⊘rensen

To cite this article: P. Thoft-Christensen & J. D. S⊘rensen (1987) Optimal strategy for
inspection and repair of structural systems, Civil Engineering Systems, 4:2, 94-100, DOI:
10.1080/02630258708970464

To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02630258708970464

Published online: 20 Sep 2007.

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Optimal strategy for inspection and
-

repair of structural systems


P. T h o f t - C h r i s t e n s e n and J. D. S a r e n s e n *

A n e w strategy for inspection and repair of structural elements and systems is


presented. The total cost of inspection and repair is minimized with the constraints
that the reliability of elements and/or of the structural system are acceptable. The
design variables are the time intervals between inspections and t h e quality of the
inspections. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the performance of
thestrategy. The strategy can be used for any engineering system where inspection
and repair are requ~red.
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Keywords: Maintenance strategy. non-linear optim~zation,structural reliability,


mathematical modelling

In gcneral it is not appropriate from an economic point ,,


Let t i = - 7;.- i = I , . . . , t and ~ let the quantity of
of view to design a structure in such a way that the inspection at time 7;. be q,, i = 1 , . . . , n. Then, with a given
reliability of the structure is satisfactory during the whole number of inspection times n, the design variables are t i , i
lifetime of the structure without repairing or replacing - 1, . . . , n and q,, i = I , . . . , n. As a n illustration consider
structural elements. This is well known, e.g. in the the inspection programme shown in Fig 1. At time T, the
automobile industry where for example brakes or clutches solution of the optimization problem is y, = 0, i.e. n o
must be repaired or replaced several times during the inspection takes place at that time. Inspection takes place
lifetime of an automobile. For offshore structures it is at time T,? and according to the result of the inspection it
generally not possible to design tubular joints, for is dccidcd whether or not repair should be performed. If
example, in such a way that cracks are avoided during the repair is performed the reliability is improved. If no repair
lifetime (e.g. 25 years) of thc structure. Thercforc, it is is performed the reliability is also improved because then
necessary to design a maintenance programme so that updating of thc strengths of the structural elements takes
repair (or replacement) is performed if damage is observed place. Therefore, the variation of the reliability of the
by inspection of thc structure. structure with time will be as shown in Fig 1. The shape of
For offshore structures on decp water, inspection and the curves between inspection times will depend on the
repair are extremely expensive. Usually inspection and relevant typcs of deterioration, for example whether
repair requirc assistance from a diver and underwater corrosion or fatigue is considered.
welding. These types of operation are cxpensivc and can In this paper only an optimal strategy for mainten-
only be performed during certain weather conditions. ance of a yioerl structure is considered. However, optimal
Until now inspection and repair strategies are based on design and optimal maintenance strategies can in prin-
expcrience rather than on rational investigation. As a ciple easily be combined so that the total cost of the
result one can expect that inspection and repair of the structure including design, fabrication, inspection, repair
structure on this basis are not only uneconomic, but etc, is minimized.
pcrhaps also unsatisfactory from a safety point of view. The strategy presented in this paper is based on the
There seems to be a need for a more rational approach to assumption that the number of inspections n during the
this problem. lifetime T of the structure is given. Clearly, it will be a n
improvement to include 11 in the.sct of design variables.
Optimal strategies However, this will make the optimization problem much
more complicated because the number of constraints is
In this paper a simple optimal strategy for inspection and
repair of civil enginecring structures is presented. The
purpose is to minimize the expenses of inspection and
repair of a givcn structure so that the structure in its
expected service life has an acceptable reliability. The
strategy is illustrated in Fig 1, where T is the lifetime of thc
structure and p is a measure of the reliability of the
structure. The reliability /I is assumed to be a non-
increasing function with time t. T , i = 1, 2, . . . , tt are the
inspection times and /P""is the minimum acceptable
rcliablity of the structilrc in its lifctimc.
* University or A;~lborg.Sohngoardsholmsvcj 57. DK - 9000 Anlborg.
Dcnmark
(Rcocivd Dcccnibcr 1986) Fig 1 Maintenance strategy

0263-0257/X7/02094-07/$03.00
94 Civ. Engng Syst. 1987. Vol. 4. J u n e 0 1987 Rurterworth 6r Co (Publishers) Lttl
Optimal maintenance strategy: P. Thoft-Christensen and J. D. SGrensen

dependent on 11. Further, 11 is an integer variable and it is must be based on a systems approach. For statically
therefore complicated to deal with in relation to the other determinate (non-redundant) structures failure in any
continuous variables. The influence of iz can be taken into member will result in failure of the total system (structure).
account by solving the optimization problem for a However, failure in a single elcment in a structural system
number of different values of 11 and comparing the optimal will not always result in failure of the total system, because
costs C . The n-value with the smallest C-value is then the the remainingclements may be able tosustain theexternal
optimal value. load by redistribution of the internal load effects (stati-
A n alternative formulation of the strategy presented cally indeterminate o r redundant structures). Further, a
here is the following: Detertnitze u strategj~for itlspectioil structural system will in general have a large number of
urld repuir of u given strircture so tlrot a yivet~ur?~ountof potential failure modes and the most important modes
r~loizcyis used optitpzalli~,i.e. the rnii7itnurn 17ultteof fl in the must be taken into account in an estimate of the reliability
liJi.tinze T i s a.shig11a.spossih1e.This optimization problem of a structure. Identification of the most important
can be solved in a similar way. (significant) failure modes can be performed by e.g. the
The strategy presented is purposefully simplified as fl-unzipping method.
much as possible without neglectihg the main effects. It is Let a structural systcm consist of a number m of
rather straightforward to include more details so that the single failure elements (failure modes) such as failure in
strategy becomes more applicable. bending, fatigue etc. A simple definition of systems failure
Downloaded by [IIT Indian Institute of Technology - Mumbai] at 07:37 23 October 2017

Updating of the reliability of single elements after would be failure in a single failure element, i.e. the
inspection has been treated by several authors, see e.g. structure is considered to be in a state of failure when a
Madsen and Tallin' and Yang and Chen2 for the special single failure element fai1s:Thc probability of failure Pf is
case of fatigue failure. Similar updating techniques can be then calculated as the probability of having failure in
incorporated in the strategy presented here. failure element 1 and/or in failure element 2 . . . and/or
in failure element m, and it can be shown that a good
cstimatc of P, is:
Structural reliability theory
As mcntioned above an essential assumption behind the
optimal strategy is the existence of a reliability measure where @, is the m-dimensional standardized normal
for the reliability of structural elements and/or the P
distribution function, = (/I,, . . . , /I,) and P is the
structural system itsclf. A natural choice for such a correlation matrix for the safety margins. This definition
reliability measure is the so-called reliability index /I. In is called a failure modelling at level 1.
this section the reliability index /? will be briefly intro- For redundant structures failure in a single failure
duced. More detailed presentations are given by Thoft- element will in general not be considered as failure of the
Christenscn and Baker3 and Thoft-Christensen and Mur- complete structure. For some elasto-plastic structures it
otsu4. The presentation here is based on a papcr by Thoft- may be morc relevant to define failure of the structure as
Christensen5. formation of a mechanism. For other structures it could
Estimation of the probability of failure of single be morc natural to define failure of the structure as failure
structural elements is now considered a rather trivial task in two failure elements (level 2 modelling). Independently
although there is still a need for data concerning the of the definition chosen it is important to have available
probability distributions of material propertics (e.g. yield a method by which the most significant failure elements,
stresses), load parameters (e.g. wind loads), and geo- pairs of failure elements o r mechanisms can be identified
metrical quantities (e.g. cross-sectional areas). because the total number of failure elements, pairs of
Let these so-called basic variables be X = (X ,, . . . , failure elements o r mechanisms are usually too high to
X,). By a suitable transformation X is transformed into a include all in the reliability analysis. By the /?-unzipping
set of independent standard normal variables 2 = ( Z , , method the significant failure modes can be identified.
. . . . Z,). Further, let the so-called failure function (limit In Example 2 in this paper only the systems reliability
state function) fdivide the z-space intoa failure region (f(Z) index at level 1 is used for illustration. In a real practical
< 0) and a safe region (f(Z)> 0). The reliablity index /I is application estimation at level 2 or perhaps at mechan-
then defined as the smallest distance from the origin to ism level is more relevant. However, this will increase the
the failure surface (f(Z)= 0) in the standard normal amount of computer work considerably.
z-system. It can then be shown that
Assumptions

whcrc 4, is the standard normal distribution function. M For the sake of simplicity a number of assumptions and
= f(Z) is called the safety margin.
simplifications are made in this paper. Several of these
The reliability index P can be cstirnated for any assumptions can be releascd if necessary. However, it is
fa~luremode of a structural element if the corresponding believed that the modelling used here incorporates the
failure function is known. It is much more complicated to essential features.
estimate the probability of failure for the complete The design of the structure is assumed to be given.
(redundant) structure. Howcver, in the last decade several The structure can be modelled by a finite number of
heuristic tcchniqucs have been devcloped. Two methods- failure elements m. The reliability of the failure
the /?-unzipping method and the branch-and-bound elements is assumed to be non-increasing functions
method - are presented in detail by Thoft-Christensen of time
and Murotsu4.
It has ofcourse for many years been recognized that a
fully satisfactory estimate of the reliability of a structure if no repair is performed.

Civ. Engng Syst. 1987. Vol 4, June 95


Optimal maintenance strategy: P. Thoft- Christensen and J. D. S#rensen

If the structural system is modelled by a system of The reliablity of the elements and the system has to
failure elements then it is assumed that the systems fulfil the following inequalities
reliability index P, is a non-increasing function of time

if no repair is performed.
The damage of a failure element is assumed to be where pin and Kinare minimum acceptable reliabil-
measured by an increasing function of time ity indices for element i and the system, respectively.

if no repair is performed. D = 1 corresponds to failure


of the elemcnt. Strategy modelling for a single element
An element is assumed to be repaired if
It is assumed that then inspectionsare performed at times
T I ,. . . , T,, where 0 = To $ T, <. . . < T, Q T,, = T and ,
where 0 < D i n< 1 is a critical inspection damage with the qualities y,, . . . , q, (see Fig I).
measure. The reparation is assumed to be immediate ,,
As oprimization variables ti = 7; - i'- i = 1, . . . , t~
and y,, i = I , . . . , n are used. The total number of different
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and complete.
Not all critical damages are discovered by an inspec- repair courses (branches) is 2" (see Fig 3), where 0 and 1
tion. Let F be the event that D > Dinand let Q be the signify non-repair and repair.
event that F is discovered given F. Then it is assumed Let r j be the number of repairs in branch j a n d 3,the
that event that branch j occurs. Then the following optimiz-
ation problcm can now be formulated
P(Q) = P(F discovered 1 F) = p(q) (7)
where q is a measure of the quality of inspection,
0 < q ,< I and p is an S-shaped increasing function,
2"
min C = x" - co
+ jC C,rjP(Bj)
for example I,.....I n , I - q =,
41. . . . .4"

s.t. /I(7J2/3""", i = I , 2, ..., n, n + 1


(see Fig 2). In practice q close to one cannot be
achicved.
The cost of one inspection Ci, and of one repair C , i=1

is assumed to be given by ,min <ti<tmax, i = 1, ..., n


qmin< q, < qm"^, i = 1, .. . , n

where tmin and tmaXare minimum and maximum inspec-


tion intervals and 4"'" and q n ' " h r e the minimum and
where Co and C , are constants. maximum inspection quality. The reliability index at time
T is a given expected time of operation and n a given 7; can be calculated by
number or inspections. Ideally, n should be treated
as an optimization variable but due to problems with
solving optimization problems with mixed integer
and real variables n is assumcd constant (see the where F ( q ) is the event that failure occurs at time 'I;..
introduction). Let + R, and - R , signify repair and non-repair at time
7;.. At time T, we then have
P(+R~)=P(Y~)@(-B(T
-, To)) (19)
P(-K,)= I - p(41)@(-B(T, - To)) (20)

-
- branch 1
branch 2

- branch j

- branch 2"
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
P
Fig 2 Inspection quality Fig 3 Repair realizations for a single element

96 Civ. Enyng Syst. 1987. Vol. 4. June


Optimal maintenance strategy: P. Thofr-Christensen and J . D. S@rensen

If the correlation between the failure elements before and Alternatively the optimization problem could be
after reparation is neglected then at T, we have formulated (see the introduction) as

I,
rnin
.....I,,
{ i=l.
max
....n + l
{-fi(~,))}
41. ....9"

2"
C= " - Co
+
s.t. 1
i - 1 1.1 - q i ,=,1 CRrjP(Bj) < Cm""

li<T
If no repair has been performed before the time '7;,, i= 1
we have p i n < ti< tmax, i = 1 , . . ., n
P(-RIA ... A- R , - , A + R,) q m i n < q i < q m P X , i = I, ..., 11
Downloaded by [IIT Indian Institute of Technology - Mumbai] at 07:37 23 October 2017

where Cm""is the maximum cost. This is a general


non-linear non-convex min-max optimization problem.
Using

{ rnin
i:::::::,
-B(TI)
-scT,+ 1) 1
-P(-R,A . . . A - R , - , A + R,) (26) instead of (33) we have a so-called multiobjective optimi-
In general, if correlation between failure elements zation problem which can be solved in a subjective way
bcforc and after repairs is ncglectcd and repair is pcr- by choosing the solution from the Pareto optimum set".
formed at times T,,, . . . , T,lR(7;,, = To= 0) In this paper the formulation (13)-(17) is used. The
optimization problem is solved using the N L P Q L algo-
rithm implemented by Schittkowski7. The algorithm is
based on the method by Hans, Powell9 and Wilson1'.
Generally, it is a very effective method where each
iteration consists of two steps. The first step is determina-
tion of a search direction by solving a quadratic optimiza-
tion problem formed by a quadratic approximation of
where the Lagrangian function of the non-linear problem and
P i = P ( - R n , - l + l .~. .A - R , , - , A + R , , ) , ~ =1 ,..., R a linearization of the constraints at the current design
point. The second stcp is a linc search with a n augmented
(28) Lagrangian merit function.
P R + l= P ( - R n R f l ~. . . A - R n ) (29)
are calculated using (19)-(26) successively. Example 1
If p is the correlation coefficient between repaired Consider a single failure element which corresponds to
elements then an improved approximation can be calcu- fatigue failure of a structural element. Let the fatigue
lated by damage D be estimated by Miner's rule (see Wirshing")

where where u is the zero upcrossing frequency of the variable


load on the element, X is a model uncertainty random
variable which models the uncertainty connected with
At time 7;- let Ati be thc time intcrval from the latest the use of Miner's rule, B is a model uncertainty random
repair in branch j. Then the following approximation is variable which models the uncertainty involved in esti-
used mating the load. K and c are empirical constants. K is
P(F(7;) I Bj) " @( - B(At,)) (32) modelled as a random variable.
Let X, B and K be modclled as independent log-
normally distributed random variables. Then the reliabil-
ity index B of the failure element can be determined by
Non-linear constrained optimization
p - Inv - Inc - InT + InD,
The optimization problem (I 3)<17) is a general optimiza- 14T) = cr
(40)
tion problem with 2n variables, a non-linear objective
function and mixed non-linear constraints. It is not where 11 and a are the cxpccted value and the standard
possible to show generally that the problem is convex. deviation or the random variable InX + InK - tizllnR.

Civ. Engng Syst. 1987. Vol 4. June 97


Optimal maintenance strategy: P. Thoft-Christensen and J. D. Sdrensen

Let Ino + lnc = 31.10, n l , = 3, E[lnX] = -0.0196, element the optimization variables are ti = K - T- i ,,
a[lnXJ = 0.198, E[lnB] = -0.468, o[lnB] = 0.472, = 1 : . .. , n and q,, i = 1, . . . , n. The total number of
E[ln K] = 36.06, ~ [ l n K ]= 0.572, and let T be measured in d i f f e ~ n trepair courses (branches) is 2"". The following
years. Further, the parameters in the optimization optimization problem can then be formulated (see
problcm are qmin= 0.2: qWX= 0.95, Co = 1, C, = 10, ( 1 3H 17))
/Pin = 3, T = I0 years, t m i n
= 0.25 years and tmax = 2 years.
P(Bj)is estimated using (27)where the reliability indices
are calculated from (40) with D, = Din= 0.005. The relia- min C = " --1 c o- 2""
i = ' 1.1 - q i
+ jC c~rjP(Bj) (41)
bility index in (32) is calculated from (40) with D, = I r 1 . .... I n =,
q,. ....4"
which corresponds to failure.
For n = 9 the optimal values of T, q and C arc C
= 21.7,T=(2.00,2.00,2.00,1.03,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.43,0.34)
and ?j =(0.2, 0.2, 0.26, 0.30, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31, 0.31).
In Fig 4 the variation of the reliability index /3 with
time is shown. It is seen that the time intervals between
inspections are decreasing with time and that apart from
the first two inspections thc inspection quality should be
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nearly constant.
In Fig 5 the optimum value of thc cost C is shown
as a function of the number of inspections. The minimum where flS(T)is thc systems reliability index at time T .
value of C occurs for n = 9.
fiS(T)can be calculated from

Strategy modelling for series systems


We consider now a structural system modelled by a series If at the time T , Ati is the time interval from the
system with n1 failure elements. The probability of failure latest repair in branch j, then approximately
P, of the systcm can then be estimated by (2).
It is assumed that all elements are inspected at the P(F(T)I Bj) 1 - @m(fl(Ati); PI (47)
,
same n times 0 = To d TI < . . . < T, < T,, = T with the whcre fil(Ati),.. . , pm(Ati)are the reliability indices of the
same inspection qualities q , , . . . , 9,. As for a single system at the time 7; in branch j, and j is the correspond-
ing correlation coefficient matrix.
P(Bj) can be estimated as in the case of a single
element by neglecting the correlation between failure
elements before and after repair and the correlation
between the elements in the series system. An improved
approximation which takes into account the correlation
can be obtained by using a formula equivalent to (30).

Example 2
In this example we considcr a scries system with rn = 3
clemcnts each modelled as in Example 1 except that
Inv + Inc = 30.80 is used. For thc sake of simplicity it is
assumed that the elements are independent.
Fig 4 Optimal inspection strategy for a single element For n = 8 the numbcr of different branches is Z3 " ' =
(Example 1 ) 1.7. lo7. Most of thcse branches d o not have significant
influcnce on thcobjective function (41)and the constraints
(42). In order to reduce the computational costs it is
therefore important for the applicability of this strategy
to be able to identify only thc most significant branches.
In this exarnplc the identification of these branches is
simply based on thc relative magnitudes of P(B,) at each
of the times T,, . . . , T,. Branches with probabilities less
than I % of the maximum P(R,) at each inspection time
are neglcctcd.
For 17 = 7 the solution of the optimizat~onproblem
(4 1)-(45)using N L P Q L becomes C = 17.4,T = (2.00,2.00,
2.00, 1.45, 0.72, 0.66, 0.61) and ?j = (0.22,0.29, 0.30, 0.31,
0.30, 0.29, 0.28). In Fig 6 thc vitriation of the systems
reliability index with time is shown. As in Example 1 the
time in~crvalsbetwccn inspections decrease with time.
The inspection qualities arc sccn to be of the same order
Fig 5 Optimal inspection and repair cost C as a function of nlagnitudc.
of the number of inspections for a single element In Fig 7 the optimum value of C is shown as a
(Example 1 ) function of the nuniber of inspections rl. As in the exitmpl~

98 Civ. Engng Syst. 1987. Vol. 4, J u n e


Optimal maintenance strategy: P Thoft-Christensen and J. D. Sgrensen

The proposed strategy is based on the assumption


that the structure is given. If in a design situation the
optimization problems should be changed in such a way
that the initial cost of the structure is included in the
objeciive function. The total cost of the structure in the
expected lifctime can then be optimized so that the
reliability at any time is acceptablc. The optimization
variables will then be design variables, for example
geometrical quantities and inspection intervals and in-
spection qualities.
f However, if the optimization problem is enlarged as
Fig 6 Optimal inspection strategy for a series system indicated above to include total costs or if large com-
(Example 2) plicated systems are considered then more effective
strategies to solve the optimization problem must be
developed. Especially effective methods to estimate the
gradients of the objective function and the constraints
have to be developed.
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After an inspection where the actual damage has


been measured the reliability estimates can be updated,
see for example Ref I , where updating of the reliability of
parallel systems has been considered. Using the updated
reliability mcasures new optimal inspection time intervals
and qualities can be determined by solving the optimiz-
ation problems (updated maintenance strategy). Finally
thc modelling of the inspection uncertainty can bc
improved by including the possibility that the inspection
results in repair although the damage is not really critical,
6 7 8 9101112
i.e. the possibility of measurement errors and intcrpre-
n
tation errors are included in the modelling, see for
Fig 7 Optimal ~nspectionand repair cost C as a function cxamplc Ref 2.
of the number of inspections n for a series system (Example
2)
Conclusions
A new maintenance model by which optimal inspection
with 1 element the cost C has a minimum as a function times and repair efforts for a givcn structure can be
of 11, namely here n = 7. dctermincd has been formulated. The total cost of inspec-
tion and repair in the expected lifetime of the structure is
Discussion minimized in such a way that the reliabiiity at any time is
acceptable. The model is described in detail for a structure
The model presented here of an optimal strategy for modelled by a single elemcnt or by a series system of
inspection and repair (maintcnance) of a givcn structure failure elements. The time intervals between inspections
can be improved in a number of different ways. In this and the quality of inspection are design variables.
section some of these improvements arc discussed. Numerical examples indicate that the model works.
The examples indicate that the optimal inspection In the examples a single elemcnt and a series system of
qualities at different inspection times are nearly equal. three elements are considered. In both examples the time
Thus, it may be possible to reduce the number of intervals between inspections are decreasing with time.
inspection quality variables. But in the case of a system This is mainly caused by the assumed logarithmic de-
with different failure elements it may be appropriate to crease of the reliab~lity index of the failure elements.
increase the number of optimization variables, namely Further, the results show that the inspeetionqualities tend
by assuming different inspection intervals and inspection to be equal at all inspections. However, these conclusions
qualities of the elements. are based on a small number of examples and must
In order to model the reliability of a more complex theorefore be considered as tentative conclusions.
structure a system consisting ofseries and parallel systems The maintenance strategy model presented here -
of failure elements has to be used (see Thoft-Christensen cannot only be used for civil engineering structures. The
and Murotsu4). Clearly, this would make the estimations philosophy beh~ndthis strategy IS useful also for mechan-
of the probabilities in the optimization problem (41H45) ical and electronic systems because of its great flexibility.
more difficult and time-consuming. The strategy can be used by anyone having experience in
As mentioned earlier the number of possible bran- estimating reliability of systems and using non-linear
ches becomes very large when the number of inspections optimization methods.
increases and/or when the number of Failure elements
increases. Therefore, it is very important to be able to
identify the most significant branches. The possibility of References
usingexpert systems for this purpose must be investigated. I Madsen, H. 0.and Tallin, A. C. Probabilistic Upda~ingor Fatigue
Concerning the choice of the optimal number of inspec- iiwi, USA.
Crack Growth Rcliability. ASCE Full C o ~ n ~ o ~ ~Bo.vrorl.
tions again using expert systems seems natural. 1986

Civ. Engng Syst. 1987. Vol 4. June 99


Optimal maintenance strategy: P. Thoft- Christensen and J. D. SQrensen

2 Yang, J. N. and Chm, S Fatigue Reliability of Structural Compon- 7 Schittkow%ki, K. NLPQL: A FORTRAN subroutine solving
ents under Scheduled Inspection and Repair ~Maintenanoe.Proc. constrained non-linear programming problems, To appear in
IUTAlW .$?nip. Srockholm. Sweden 1984 (eds. Eggn-errr and Lind), Anna1.s of Operarions Research.
Springer- Verlag, Berlin. pp. 559-568 8 Han, S.-P. A globally convergent method for non-linear program-
3 Tboft-Christensen, P. and Baker, M. .I. Structural reliability theory ming J. 0primi:arion Theory and Applicarionr. 1977. 22. 277
and its applications, Springer- Verlug. 1982 9 Powell, M. J. D. A fast algorithm Tor non-linearly constrained
4 Thoft-Christensen, P. and &lurotsu, Y. Application of structural optimization calculationst In ~VumericalAnaly.~ir (ed. G. A. War-
systems reliability theory, Springer-Verlag. 1986 son), Lzcrure Nores in Marhemarics, 1978, 630, Springer- Verlag
5 Thoft-Christensen, P. R a n t advances in structural systems relia- 10 Wilson, R. B. A simplicia1 algorithm for concave programming,
bility theory, IABSE Symp. Safery and Qualiry Assur. Civil Engng Ph.D. Thesis. Harvard University. Boston. 1963
Srruct.. Tokjo. 1986, IABSE Report. 51, 101-108 1 1 Wirshing, P. H. Fatigue reliability Tor offshore structures, ASCE
6 Carmichael, D. G . Computation of Pareto optima in structural J. of Srrucrurul Engng, 1 lO(10). 1984. 2340-2356
design, Internur. J. ~Vunzericallblerhods in Engng, 1980.15.925-929
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100 Civ. Engng Syst. 1987. Vol. 4. June

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