PENGUJIAN MODEL TANPA ln (logaritma natural)

COMMON EFFECT MODEL

Dependent Variable: POV?

Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 01/05/18 Time: 17:48
Sample: 2010 2016
Included observations: 7
Cross-sections included: 15
Total pool (balanced) observations: 105

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

EDUC? 8.129060 2.551906 3.185486 0.0019

INFRA? 3.828995 0.307297 12.46026 0.0000

R-squared -4.270254 Mean dependent var 1355.648

Adjusted R-squared -4.321422 S.D. dependent var 276.5332
S.E. of regression 637.9124 Akaike info criterion 15.77314
Sum squared resid 41914025 Schwarz criterion 15.82369
Log likelihood -826.0900 Hannan-Quinn criter. 15.79363
Durbin-Watson stat 0.746236

FIXED EFFECT MODEL (Model yang dipilih brdasarkan uji pemilihan model terbaik)

Dependent Variable: POV?

Method: Pooled Least Squares
Date: 01/05/18 Time: 17:49
Sample: 2010 2016
Included observations: 7
Cross-sections included: 15
Total pool (balanced) observations: 105

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 1420.993 40.12350 35.41548 0.0000

EDUC? -2.519695 1.491519 -1.689348 0.0947
INFRA? -0.033571 0.075548 -0.444363 0.6579
Fixed Effects (Cross)
_OKU--C -159.6458
_OKUTIMUR--C -355.5669
_OKUSELATN--C -280.5501
_OKI--C 214.2733
_OI--C -18.31677
_MUBA--C 473.5207
_BANYUASIN--C -167.5831
_MUARAENIM--C 11.94416
_LAHAT--C 420.1650
_MUSIRAWAS--C 341.8573
_EMPTLAWNG--C -46.69153
_PLG--C 196.8522
_LINGGAU--C 52.54769
_PGRALAM--C -473.2396
_PRABUMULIH--C -209.5666

Effects Specification

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

R-squared 0.923284 Mean dependent var 1355.648
Adjusted R-squared 0.909336 S.D. dependent var 276.5332
S.E. of regression 83.26560 Akaike info criterion 11.82913
Sum squared resid 610118.1 Schwarz criterion 12.25882
Log likelihood -604.0295 Hannan-Quinn criter. 12.00325
F-statistic 66.19297 Durbin-Watson stat 0.844868
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000

RANDOM EFFECT MODEL

Dependent Variable: POV?

Method: Pooled EGLS (Cross-section random effects)
Date: 01/05/18 Time: 17:49
Sample: 2010 2016
Included observations: 7
Cross-sections included: 15
Total pool (balanced) observations: 105
Swamy and Arora estimator of component variances

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 1395.681 67.76297 20.59651 0.0000

EDUC? -1.709837 1.288367 -1.327135 0.1874
INFRA? -0.004218 0.074946 -0.056279 0.9552
Random Effects (Cross)
_OKU--C -151.5979
_OKUTIMUR--C -349.0858
_OKUSELATN--C -266.4988
_OKI--C 202.5480
_OI--C -15.73646
_MUBA--C 463.3551
_BANYUASIN--C -166.0029
_MUARAENIM--C 14.18446
_LAHAT--C 416.3800
_MUSIRAWAS--C 336.7027
_EMPTLAWNG--C -33.50422
_PLG--C 126.1956
_LINGGAU--C 62.05676
_PGRALAM--C -447.1967
_PRABUMULIH--C -191.7998

Effects Specification
S.D. Rho

Cross-section random 223.1384 0.8778

Idiosyncratic random 83.26560 0.1222

Weighted Statistics

R-squared 0.015787 Mean dependent var 189.3267

Adjusted R-squared -0.003511 S.D. dependent var 86.24163
S.E. of regression 86.39290 Sum squared resid 761300.7
F-statistic 0.818067 Durbin-Watson stat 0.677554
Prob(F-statistic) 0.444158

Unweighted Statistics

R-squared -0.032915 Mean dependent var 1355.648

Sum squared resid 8214715. Durbin-Watson stat 0.062792

PEMILIHAN MODEL TERBAIK

1. UJI CHOW

Redundant Fixed Effects Tests

Pool: POOLED1
Test cross-section fixed effects

Effects Test Statistic d.f. Prob.

Cross-section F 63.885005 (14,88) 0.0000

Cross-section Chi-square 253.328422 14 0.0000

Cross-section fixed effects test equation:

Dependent Variable: POV?
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 01/05/18 Time: 17:50
Sample: 2010 2016
Included observations: 7
Cross-sections included: 15
Total pool (balanced) observations: 105

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 1189.597 51.88426 22.92790 0.0000

EDUC? -0.388831 1.098470 -0.353975 0.7241
INFRA? 0.753492 0.182999 4.117466 0.0001

R-squared 0.143579 Mean dependent var 1355.648

Adjusted R-squared 0.126786 S.D. dependent var 276.5332
S.E. of regression 258.4089 Akaike info criterion 13.97512
Sum squared resid 6811068. Schwarz criterion 14.05095
Log likelihood -730.6938 Hannan-Quinn criter. 14.00585
F-statistic 8.550136 Durbin-Watson stat 0.228544
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000369

2. HAUSMENT TEST

Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test

Pool: POOLED1
Test cross-section random effects

Chi-Sq.
Test Summary Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.

Cross-section random 9.805721 2 0.0074

Cross-section random effects test comparisons:

Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.

EDUC? -2.519695 -1.709837 0.564740 0.2812

INFRA? -0.033571 -0.004218 0.000091 0.0020
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: POV?
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 01/05/18 Time: 17:51
Sample: 2010 2016
Included observations: 7
Cross-sections included: 15
Total pool (balanced) observations: 105

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

C 1420.993 40.12350 35.41548 0.0000

EDUC? -2.519695 1.491519 -1.689348 0.0947
INFRA? -0.033571 0.075548 -0.444363 0.6579

Effects Specification

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

R-squared 0.923284 Mean dependent var 1355.648

Adjusted R-squared 0.909336 S.D. dependent var 276.5332
S.E. of regression 83.26560 Akaike info criterion 11.82913
Sum squared resid 610118.1 Schwarz criterion 12.25882
Log likelihood -604.0295 Hannan-Quinn criter. 12.00325
F-statistic 66.19297 Durbin-Watson stat 0.844868
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000