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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Sufficient midstream natural gas assets, such as gathering systems, processing plants,
transmission pipelines, storage fields, and liquefied natural gas (LNG) import terminals, are
crucial for an efficient natural gas market. Insufficient natural gas infrastructure can lead to
price volatility, reduced economic growth, and reduced delivery of natural gas to consumers
who value it most.
The objective of this report is to provide a long term planning document that can form a
basis upon which DNP Limited can engage a policy on the issues that are important for
commissioning of a city gas distribution system based on mobile pipeline within a short time
as an alternative to a conventional pipeline.
The report contains the established set of indicators and corresponding reference values for
the investment costs for the projects for city gas distribution infrastructure.
Natural gas is the preferred fuel due to its cost competitiveness and environmental
advantages. Distribution of natural gas to domestic consumers is expected to subsequently
reduce Government’s subsidy on LPG. ONGC and OIL are the two major natural gas reserves
with potential of 12 MMSCMD. City gas Distribution (CGD) is one of the target markets for
this gas.
CGD business has witnessed rapid growth in India recently. India’s decadal energy
consumption growth rate in 2015 has outstripped that of China for the first time in 15 years,
indicative of the anticipated ascendency of India as an economic heavyweight in times to
come.
The report has relied extensively on secondary sources of data and the study covers the
current scenario of Oil and Gas industry with a brief introduction to the sources and
statistical figure of Natural Gas. It also covers the CGD structure in detail and provides an
easy access of CGD network processing.
The study encapsulate the rationale and current status of proposed Badulipara to Guwahati
mobile pipeline system of DNP Limited and carry out SWOT analysis of the organization
regarding Guwahati City Gas Distribution network establishment.
The share of natural gas in the energy mix of India is expected to increase to 20% in 2025 as
compared to 11% in 2010.In recent years the demand for natural gas in India has increased
significantly due to its higher availability, development of transmission and distribution
infrastructure, the savings from the usage of natural gas in place of alternate fuels, the
environment friendly characteristics of natural gas and the overall favourable economics of
supplying gas at reasonable prices to end consumers. Power and fertilizers remain the two
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CITY GAS DISTRIBUTION – GUWAHATI
PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY REPORT-APRIL 2017
biggest contributors to natural gas demand in India and continue to account for more than
55% of gas consumption. In Hydrocarbon Vision 2030 as projected by Ministry of Petroleum
and Natural Gas, it was proposed that the main cities of the entire Northeast India will be
connected with natural gas pipeline and the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas has
entrusted DNP Limited to carry forward the construction and commissioning works of the
Numaligarh-Guwahati pipeline.
The study proposes few suggestions regarding the establishment and marketing of Natural
Gas and comes out with a conclusion about the pros and cons of Guwahati City Gas
distribution on the basis of demand figure and some external factors.
DNP LIMITED | ii
CITY GAS DISTRIBUTION – GUWAHATI
PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY REPORT-APRIL 2017
CONTENTS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
INTRODUCTION
APPENDICES
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Contents Page No
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
1.1 Objective 1
2.2 Methodology 2
1.3 Structure of the report 2
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LIST OF TABLES
Tables Page No
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CITY GAS DISTRIBUTION – GUWAHATI
PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY REPORT-APRIL 2017
LIST OF FIGURES
Figures Page No
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ABBREVIATIONS
NG Natural Gas
Coal
Bituminous 11,000 BTU/lb 6,111 kcal/kg 1kg=0.6188 Nm3
1. INTRODUCTION
Natural Gas is emerging as the preferred fuel of the future in view of its being an environment
friendly, economically attractive fuel and also desirable as feedstock for petrochemicals, power
sector and domestic purposes. The demand for the natural gas has sharply increased in the last two
decades at the global level. In India, natural gas was first discovered for the west coast in 1970s, and
today it constitutes for 10% of India’s total energy consumption. Over the last decade it has gained
importance as a source for energy and its share is slated to increase to about 25% for the total
energy basket by 2025-2030.
Natural gas pipeline network are generally broken into three distinct systems;
Gathering Systems carry natural gas from individual oils for bulk processing at a treatment
facility,
Transmission systems carry the processed natural gas, often over long distances, from the
producing region to local distribution systems around the country,
Local distribution systems deliver natural gas into our homes, businesses and power plants.
This document is based on feasibility study carried out by secondary survey and presents a proposal
and philosophy of setting up a city gas distribution network in the city of Guwahati in Assam. This
document is designed to help estimating the cost factors associated with establishing a natural gas
gathering system at Guwahati to store natural gas and setup a pipeline network in Guwahati for
domestic gas distribution as well as commercial uses in future.
1.1 OBJECTIVE
1. Future market demand assessment for the subsequent enhancement of natural gas market
in the state of the Assam amongst the segment
Domestic
Commercial
Automotive
2. To propose initiatives to ensure full capacity utilization of the gas production in upper Assam
and to tap the total domestic, automotive and commercial usage potential in the state.
3. Design and commissioning of a mobile pipeline system to transport natural gas from
Numaligarh to Guwahati and set up a city gas distribution network in Guwahati for domestic
and commercial consumers.
1.2 METHODOLOGY
The study was a desk based research. Information on various aspects related to demand for Natural
Gas was collected through various reliable sources. Data regarding the supply potential is collected
via various journals, reports from the respective gas producers. Though due to non disclosure policy
of the organization not much of the information was made available.
Chapter 2 introduces Natural Gas (NG) as a fuel of future in terms of its available resources and
benefits associated with it.
Chapter 3 gives a detailed overview of demand and supply of Natural Gas across Assam.
Chapter 4 gives an overview of the city gas distribution network with appropriate system to be
used.
Chapter 5 briefly introduces outline of the project system and its associated working
methodology.
Chapter 7 comes out with conclusion and key learning’s from the study.
The second annexure is about the wireless physical parameter monitoring system.
Natural Gas occupies about 8.5% of the total energy basket of the country which is much lesser than
the world average of 24%. However, the scenario is fast changing, largely because of the expected
increase in the availability of natural gas in the country. The structure of primary energy
consumption in India shows that coal (51%) still dominates as the major energy source. Hydrocarbon
(45%) is the next available energy provider of the nation. Natural gas is fast emerging as an
alternative; it meets around 9% of the primary energy needs. Considering the global trend of shift in
energy axis from oil to gas, the share of gas in consumption pattern, in the Indian context is
expected to increase gradually in the days to come.
Natural gas is used by the end user in different ways as per need. The various ways or applications of
natural gas in industry as well as household needs are:
Natural gas in India is available through different channels. The two conventional ways of sourcing
natural gas are:
1. Exploration and production activities in India itself.
2. LNG supplies from different parts of world.
In addition to the above mentioned sources and supply modes some other means are also followed
by the Govt. of India in an order to ensure future energy securities which are:
1. Coal Bed Methane to ensure the availability of gas through large coal reserves available in
the country itself.
2. Transnational NG pipelines (e.g. Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India pipeline, Iran-
Pakistan-India pipeline etc.)
3. Natural Gas Hydrates Programme (NGHP) is employed in order to evaluate NG hydrate
resources and the possible ways to exploit them.
4. Underground Coal Gasification Programme.
Natural Gas offers multitude of advantages pertaining to the environment as well as the energy
efficiency. Some major advantages or benefits that it offers are:
1. It is a clean, efficient, safe and environment friendly fuel hence offer more efficiency
without sacrificing the environmental concern;
2. It does not required storage yard as the gas is directly delivered to the pipeline hence offer
less chances of any mishap due to storage leakage and spillage of storage tanks;
3. There is no risk of breakdown in fuel supply due to order processing delays to replenish the
fuel inventory;
4. It minimizes the manpower and mechanical power required for handling the fuel; and
5. In terms of the current global oil scarcity it offers the advantage of being the most efficient
and profitable alternative fuel.
west and the town of Narengi to the east. It is gradually being expanded as North Guwahati to the
northern bank of the Brahmaputra.
As per provincial report of census India, population of Guwahati in 2011 is 957,352; of which male
and female are 495,362 and 461,990 respectively. The city of Guwahati has a total household of
184,454.
2.5 DEMOGRAPHY
Guwahati is the capital city of Assam, which is among the states with low level of urbanisation. 14.1
per cent of the state’s population was living in urban areas in 2011, which is an increase from 12.9
per cent in 2001 and 11.1 per cent in 1991. The urbanisation rate (rate of urban population growth)
for Assam for the decade of 1991-2001 was 3.3 per cent p.a, which was higher than that of India (of
2.8 per cent p.a.). But, in the last decade, that is, 2001-11, the urbanisation rate slowed down to 2.5
per cent p.a., which is lower than that of India (of 2.8 per cent p.a.). While there is marginal increase
in the urbanisation rate for India post-2001, coinciding with high economic growth rate in India that
for Assam has slowed down indicating low level of economic growth in the state. Guwahati, meaning
“areca nut marketplace” in Assamese, was known by the name of “Gauhati” during the British
period. It is situated along the Brahmaputra River and is bound on the southern side by the foothills
of the Shillong plateau. It is the capital city of Assam and gateway to North-East India. It is also the
business hub and largest city of Assam and the North-East. According to the 2011 census, Guwahati
municipal area and Guwahati Metropolitan Area (GMA) had a population of 963,429 and 968,549,
respectively (Table 1). The municipal area is under the jurisdiction of the Guwahati Municipal
Corporation (GMC) whose limits were last extended in 1991 to cover an area of 216.79 sq.km. The
GMA covers about 262 sq.km and is under the jurisdiction of the Guwahati Metropolitan
Development Authority (GMDA).
Guwahati is the hub of economic activity in the entire north east region. The establishment of
Guwahati refinery in 1962 marked the beginning of industrialization in the city. The construction of
the bridge over river Brahmaputra at Saraighat and the shifting of the capital from Shillong to
Guwahati in 1972 made it into one of the most important cities in the north east
Naturally gas is composed primarily of Methane with minor quantities of Ethane, Propane,
Carbon Dioxide, Nitrogen and traces of higher Hydrocarbons and Oxygen. It is a vital
component of the world’s supply of energy.
It is one of the cleanest, safest and most useful of all energy sources. It is a non poisonous,
nontoxic, colourless, tasteless, combustible source of energy.
It has no odour of its own; however, for City Gas Distribution Ethyl Mercaptan is added for
distinct colour so that man can identify the leak if any nearby and report authorities for
necessary corrective option.
4 main industry segments acting as demand drivers of natural gas as a clean fuel.
NAPTHA
36%
NATURAL
GAS
52%
FUEL OIL
12%
The Petrochemicals sector is expected to ride a wave of new capacity additions and is expected to
see significant growth, one of the fastest growing sectors of Indian economy - growing at 13%,
Petrochemical industry is highly capital and technology intensive; it is highly organized industry with
handful of players. The industry is oligopolistic in nature with two main players dominating the
sector in Assam noticeably Brahmaputra Cracker and Polymer Limited (BCPL), Assam Petrochemicals
Ltd (APL).
Even in the midst of an economic downturn, Assam remains a growth market for basic
petrochemicals. Assam is net short of ethylene and propylene for the derivative plants that are in
place, and the state is a net importer of downstream products like polyethylene, polypropylene, and
vinyl. To promote the development of more petrochemical capacity, the government has approved
the establishment of larger special economic zones for which they will provide the basic
infrastructure; and are dedicating some of these zones to basic petrochemical production. In
addition, the government has cleared the way for 100% foreign ownership of the new plants. Major
feedstock for the petrochemical industry is Naphtha and natural gas. .
Petrochemicals have clearly become a global market with production and consumption based on
regional comparative advantages. India’s comparative advantage is as a consumer, not a producer.
If the new capacity gets built, it will have to be price protected which will eventually drain India’s
comparative advantage in exports.
Coal is the predominant source of power generation in India and is expected to maintain its
dominant position (more than half) in the Indian electricity mix. The share of natural gas does
increase from 11% to 18% of the electricity market – much of this fuelled by the new gas supplies.
The general trend depicts an increase in gas demand for power till 2020 and downturn post 2020.
The situation may be different in a pessimistic approach when we change the supply side by
introducing the imported pipeline gas. Pipeline gas helps in keeping gas price lower with respect to
imported LNG by delivering gas directly into Northern parts of India which are far away from coast
(LNG terminals). Secondly this market is also far away from coal deposits. The main power sector
industry in Assam utilizing natural gas is NEEPCO.
SOURCES OF ELECTRICITY GENERATION IN
INDIA
Nuclear
2%
Wind and Hydro
Renewable 15% Coal
Energy 32%
5%
Others Diesel
39% 1%
Gas
6%
City gas distribution or CGD is the supply of gas to domestic consumers as well as commercial users.
The following represents pictorially the scenario in India.
The current situation of CGD is depicted in the table where the towns with supply of gas are
tabulated along with the supplier.
3.1.1 POTENTIAL USAGE OF PNG IN THE DOMESTIC, COMMERCIAL SEGMENTS & CNG IN THE
AUTOMOTIVE SEGMENT IN ASSAM
India’s association with natural gas dates back to 1889 when oil and gas were struck at Digboi,
Assam. But the gas market evolved rather slowly, due to inadequate production and supplies until
recently. Almost all the petroleum producing areas of the Brahmaputra Valley in Assam contain
'associated natural gas' as well as non-associated gas fields. These fall in the upper Assam
geography. These natural gas producing basins of the major producers are located at
Assam state has certain cities where natural gas is being supplied to the consumers in the domestic
and commercial segments both. These cities include:
1. Digboi
2. Tinsukia
3. Duliajan
4. Naharkatiya
5. Dibrugarh
6. Moran
7. Sibsagar
Currently, Assam Gas Company Limited is the sole supplier of natural gas in the state. It has plans to
expand the connection network to Golaghat and Jorhat.
The customers in all the towns connected with PNG have shown a high level of satisfaction. Though
they expect low installation charges, still they do not find any problem with the connection and
usage of natural gas.
Margharita
The total number of wards is 4 with a total population of 20000. Ward number 1 is maximum slum
area whereas ward number 2 is residential high-income group. Ward 3 is a commercial colony and
office area. Ward number 4 is a mixed income group.
Tinsukia
Although, natural gas was available in the city since last decade, the city has been well connected
by natural gas since 2005. The supplier is Assam Gas Company Limited. A large chunk of the
population has opted for the connection in the first year itself. The supply is provided 24 hours.
Duliajan
The city is well connected by natural gas since 2002. The supplier is Assam Gas Company Limited. A
large chunk of the population has opted for the connection in the first two years itself. The supply is
provided 24 hours.
Dibrugarh
The city is well connected by natural gas since 1999. The supplier is Assam Gas Company Limited. A
large chunk of the population has opted for the connection in the first two years itself. The supply is
provided 24 hours.
Sibsagar
The city is well connected by natural gas since 1990. The supplier is Assam Gas Company Limited. A
large chunk of the population has opted for the connection in the first two years itself. The supply is
provided 24 hours.
The study and projections were based on the following ward divisions of Guwahati.
Population growth has been taken as 2.3% year on year as per National Commission of
Population
• Conservative figures have been taken for the household growth which is pegged at 2.7%.
• Conversion rates have been taken as
- 2008 – 2009 21 %
- 2010 – 2012 30 %
- 2013 – 2016 50%
- 2017 - 2019 60%
• Annual demand in Kgs has been considered as 170.4 Kgs per household every year.
• The calorific value conversion is that 8500 Kcal/ kg for natural gas and 11500 Kcal/kg for LPG.
Thus the conversion factor will be 11500/ 8500 = 1.35
• Ward number 18 includes the area of Bharalumukh which has multi-stories high rise
buildings also
• Ward number 2, 11 and 19 are also included in the high density wards because of the high
rise buildings existing there.
Guwahati city’s commercial spread comprises of different type of establishments which have
a license to run their unit. As per GMC there are in all 1730 such establishments registered
with GMC.
As regards the potential usage of PNG, we have considered only those establishments which
are using LPG.
Hotels (food and lodging) – 297
Hotels only lodging – 39
Restaurants – 526
Bars - 93
Canteen – 19
Dhabas /Sweet meat shops /others – 647
Hostels – 98
Conversion from LPG to natural gas has a conversion factor of 1.35 SCM of NG = 1 kg of LPG
Rice hotels and chat houses are not considered for the projections.
It was observed during the field study that dhabas, sweet meat shops/restaurants were
using both types of cylinders whereas canteen/ hotels were by and large using both types
but majority 19.1 kg cylinders
Units units
Units units Demand
for Dhaba for Demand for
Hot Restau for Hos for for LPG
Year conv & conv PNG (SCM/
els rants conver tels conver (Kg/annum
ersio Others ersio annum)
sion sion )
n n
2009 343 137 537 215 100 40 774 310 2,69,41,347 3,63,70,819
2010 350 175 547 274 102 51 790 395 3,43,50,218 4,63,72,794
2011 357 214 558 335 104 62 805 483 4,20,44,667 5,67,60,300
2012 364 255 569 399 106 74 822 575 5,00,33,153 6,75,44,757
2013 371 260 581 407 108 76 838 587 5,10,33,816 6,88,95,652
2013 371 260 581 407 108 76 838 587 5,10,33,816 6,88,95,652
2014 378 265 592 415 110 77 855 598 5,20,54,493 7,02,73,565
2015 386 270 604 423 113 79 872 610 5,30,95,583 7,16,79,036
2016 394 276 616 431 115 80 889 623 5,41,57,494 7,31,12,617
2017 402 281 629 440 117 82 907 635 5,52,40,644 7,45,74,869
2018 410 287 641 449 119 84 925 648 5,63,45,457 7,60,66,367
2019 418 292 654 458 122 85 944 661 5,74,72,366 7,75,87,694
ANNUAL DEMAND IN
YEAR SCM DEMAND IN SCMD DEMAND IN MSCMD
2009 36370819 99646 0.0996
2010 46372794 127049 0.127
2011 56760300 155508 0.1555
2012 67544757 185054 0.1851
2013 68895652 188755 0.1888
2014 70273565 192530 0.1925
2015 71679036 196381 0.1964
2016 73112617 200309 0.2003
2017 74574869 204315 0.2043
2018 76066367 208401 0.2084
2019 77587694 212569 0.2126
The average fuel as consumed by the automobile sector is listed below which has been taken from
the average usage of fuel per vehicle as per primary findings with some of car owners.
Fuel
Consumption Fuel
per vehicle Consumption
Vehicle per month per annum
segment (Ltrs) (Ltrs)
BUS 1500 18000
3 WHEELER 75 900
CAR 50 600
TAXI 200 2400
• Vehicle population has been taken from the Regional Transport Office.
• 10% of the buses are considered off the road.
• 15% of the cars are considered to be running on diesel.
• 8% taxis are considered to be running on petrol.
• The fuel consumption pattern has been given on the table which has been taken from the
average usage of fuel per vehicle as per the primary findings.
• In case of HSD used by buses, 1 litre HSD= 1SCM OF NG
• In case of MS used by TAXIES, AUTOS, CARS, 1 litre MS= .90 SCM OF NG
• In case of buses we have divided into city bus & long distance buses.
• In case of city bus – app 30 lt hsd is used /day & long distance app. 80 lt hsd /day as the
running in case of city buses is app. 150 –160 kms & long distance app. 420 kms.
ABOVE 15 YR 1
TOTAL 325
2005-06 32
2006-07 50
2007-08 43
2008-09 39
2009-10 150
2010-11 210
UNDER ASTC 40
The major Natural Gas producer organisations are briefly discussed as follows:
• Oil and Natural Gas Corporation is a public sector enterprise formed in 1993.
• It contributes to 77% of India’s crude oil production and 81% of India’s natural gas
production.
• It is Asia’s largest and most active E&P Company.
• The north east headquarters are located in Nazira in upper Assam.
• The fields of ONGC in North East are located at Tura in Lakwa, Geleky, Nazira &
Mekeypore and new fields like Laipling Gaon, Changmai Gaon.
• Major consumers are GAIL and AGCL (distributors in Assam)
• Supply to AGCL is 8.5 MMSCM per month
• Price is INR 3860 per thousand SCM
• Royalty is INR 192
• VAT is 20%
• Service tax is 10.3%
• Education cess is 3%
YEAR PRODUCTION OF
NATURAL GAS IN
MMSCM IN ASSAM
2006 – 07 400.45
2007 – 08 453.73
2008 – 09 500
PRODUCTION OF
CRUDE OIL IN MMT
IN ASSAM
2006 – 07 1.21
2007 – 08 1.5
OIL INDIA
• Oil India Limited (OIL) is a premier Indian National oil company under the administrative
control of Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, Govt. of India.
• In recent years, OIL has stepped up E & P activities significantly including Gas monetization in
the North-East India. OIL has set up the NEF (North East Frontier) project to intensify its
exploration activities in the frontier areas in North East, which are logistically very difficult
and geologically complex. Presently, seismic surveys are being carried out in Manabhum,
Pasighat and other Thrust Belt areas. The Company operates a crude oil pipeline in the North
East for transportation of crude oil produced by both OIL and ONGCL in the region to feed
Numaligarh, Guwahati and Bongaigaon refineries and a branch line to feed Digboi refinery.
OIL also has a pipeline from NRL to Siliguri
CANARO RESOURCES
Canaro resources is a joint venture company of Canada based CALGERY and Assam Company
Limited. The oil fields are based in Arakan basin. These oil fields were with ONGC when in 2003 2004
the government of India allotted it to CANARO Resources.
• Production:
– 35KLPD of crude oil
– 0.14 MMSCMD of natural gas
• Distribution:
– 125000 SCMD to AGCL
– 10000 SCMD to GAIL
– 4500 SCMD is own consumption
–
Five tea gardens which are customers of GAIL are supplied by CANARO resources. A pipeline of 5
kms joins the GAIL point at a distance of 4.5 kms and joins the AGCL point at a distance of less than
one kilometer. Point of GAIL is Borbati and point of AGCL is Salanu Tea Estate. Pressure provided by
Canaro is 12kg/cm2. Canaro price to AGCL is INR 3800 per thousand SCM and to GAIL is INR 2500 per
thousand SCM. Transportation cost is borne by the distributing company:
Quantity of gas and the pressure as well as calorific value are the issues which are the bone of
contention between producer/ distributor and the consumer. This is a vicious cycle which may be
resolved by installation of better equipments and efficient supply.
GEO ENPRO
GeoEnpro is a 50: 50 joint venture between Jubilant Enpro Pvt Ltd and Geopetrol Mauritius Ltd. It is
the operating company of Kharsang Oil Field, Arunachal Pradesh, India. Kharsang is a PSC oilfield
operation. The Kharsang Field Mining Lease covers an area of 11.59 sq kms. The oil fields lie in the
Upper Assam basin approximately 60kms east of Digboi field in the state of Arunachal Pradesh.
14000 SCMD of natural gas for captive consumption, no production is for commercial purpose. A
total of 36 wells were drilled in Kharsang out of which 28 are oil wells, 4 are gas wells and 4 are
abandoned.
HOEC was incorporated in 1983 for taking up Exploration and Production (E&P) activities. HOEC was
the first private company in India to enter into field of oil and gas exploration. In 2005, Burren Shakti
Ltd (BSL) and Burren Energy India Ltd (BEIL), wholly owned subsidiary of Burren Energy plc (Burren),
acquired 26% controlling stake in the Company from Unocal. HOEC has participating interest in
seven oil/gas fields in India (in Cambay basin, Cauvery basin and Assam Arakan basin), which are in
varying stages of E & P life cycle i.e. exploration, development and production.
Block AAP-ON-94/1 covers the area between the Naga thrust and the Singyang thrust. It appears to
contain at least two major hydrocarbon trends, the Assam Shelf trend and the Foothills trend. The
Jorajan, Kusijan, Shanti-Tarajan and Digboi oilfields are located along the block boundary, whilst the
giant Nahorkatiya oil field is only a short distance away. HOEC has recently struck natural gas in AAP-
ON-94/1 in Margherita (industry sources)
AAP-ON-94/1
ASSAM (Operator) 40.323 26.882
CY-OS/90-1 (PY –
3) 21 21
Asjol (Operator) 50 50
CB-OS-1 57.11 38.07
CB-ON-7
(Operator) 50 35
North Balol
CAMBAY (Operator) 25 25
As specified in the previous section, being an North East state as per the Government Directive the
Natural Gas which is being supplied to the various consumers are getting an subsidy of app 40% as
compared to users of NG in other parts of the country.
The various price details for natural gas in the industrial user segment are presented in the table
below.
UNIT PRICE
Brahmaputra Valley Fertilizers 1920/ thousand SCM
Corporation limited @ 10000 Kcal/ SCM
NEEPCO 1920/ thousand SCM @ 8000 – 9000 Kcal/ SCM till
demand of 1MMSCMD
Extra gas @ 4175.36 (wef 01.04.2009)/ thousand SCM for
8000 - 8500 Kcal/ SCM
Assam Petrochemicals Limited 3200/ thousand SCM for 10000 Kcal/ SCM
IOC 3200/ thousand SCM for 10000 Kcal/ SCM
NTPS 1920/ thousand SCM for 10000 Kcal/ SCM upto 0.66
MMSCMD
Extra 4175.36(WEF 01.04.2009)/ thousand SCM (8000 –
8500 Kcal/ SCM)
LTPS 4175.36/ thousand SCM (8000 – 8500 Kcal/ SCM)
TEA GRIDS 2304/ thousand SCM for 10000 Kcal/ SCM : upto
commitment
Extra @ non APM
An integrated Gas Distribution System was designed based on the forecast potential city gas demand by the follow-
ing steps:
The design procedure is roughly described in the figure below:
Number of
Activc onsum-
Design facilities
Transmission system
Final Analyses
The selection of design for CGD Network is based on the gas properties, required flow rates,
operating pressures and the environment.
A typical CGD Network shall comprise of one or more or all of the following:
5. CNG Stations
The main system of the project is such that the transmission of the natural gas will be through the
mobile transmission system which substitutes a conventional pipeline system. The mobile
transmission will then feed the natural gas to a underground gas gathering system through proper
pressure let down system.
As the basic supply facility system, a system comprising 254 kg/cm2 mobile pipeline transmission
system, 3 kg/cm2 distribution system for large volume consumers and 0.3kg/cm2 general distribution
system were selected. This system fits a relatively sparsely distributed demand and possesses high
adaptability for change in demand in future.
The transmission pipeline route designed to supply natural gas is proposed to be supplied from
intermediate pigging station located at Badulipara situated at around 300km away from Guwahati
city where a boost up compressor is necessary for raising the pressure as necessary and required by
the mobile transmission pipeline.
The gas distribution system is proposed to be designed in such a way that it can be operated and
controlled through GPRS/ SMS technology. The meter installed at the consumer end will be a new
generation smart meter with GPRS/ SMS gas logger with valve controller i.e. whenever a consumer
defaults bill payments more a set period of time the connection will be automatically cut off.
The monitoring the pressure, temperature and other necessary physical parameters of the entire
system will be designed to operate through GPRS / SMS technology.
The overall system is proposed to design in such a way that the entire MIS system will be controlled
by a single platform. The single platform has to be integrated with the following software’s which
are necessary for various operations of various aspects
GIS software
Mobile application/Platform
(vii) Accountant 01
(viii) Clerk 01
(xi) IT coordinator 01
Total 13
2021
Start-up of the system
Continual instruction
Construction of the rest of the transmission system and yearly extension of the
distribution system
Throughout the period, successive investments to complete the ultimate city gas distribution system
will be made according to the demand increase.
Total capital requirement for the project is estimated as follows. This estimation is purely base on
comparative study about the other city gas distribution projects of cities as available in secondary
sources. However, the probable estimation could only be possible after the detailed feasibility
study. The heads of capital investment are summated as follows:
Construction cost is purely hypothetical. The method is a conceptual one deriving from different
secondary aspects. Recently GAIL (INDIA Limited announced to invest Rs. 5,750 crore for its pipeline
projects in Odisha. The investments include Rs. 1,750 crore for the City Gas Distribution (CGD)
project in Bhubaneswar and Cuttack.
As part of the project, natural gas will be supplied to the cities through the Jagadishpur-Haladia and
Bokaro-Dharma natural gas pipe line (JHBDPL), known as ‘Pradhan Mantri Urja Ganga’. Households
and small industries in the cities can avail Piped Natural Gas (PNG) while vehicles can use
Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) once the CGD network becomes operational.
GAIL Director (Projects) Dr. Ashutosh Karnatak said while 2.5 lakh households each in Bhubaneswar
and Cuttack will be provided by PNG in next few years, at least 10,000 houses will be connected by
end of December in the capital city on a pilot basis.
The 2,619 km (JHBDPL) pipe line project is being executed at an investment of Rs. 12,940 crore,
which includes capita grant of 40 percent (Rs. 5,176 crore) from the Centre. The pipe line will pass
through five states – Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Odisha – covering 49
districts.
Karnatak said the pipeline will be constructed at an estimated investment of Rs. 4,000 crore in
Odisha and it will cover 13 districts and a length of about 762 km, including Bhadrak, Jaipur,
Dhenkanal, angul, Sundargarh, Sambalpur, Jharsuguda, Deogarh, Jagadsingpur, Cuttack, Khurda, Puri
and Kendrapara.
GAIL Gas Limited CEO P K Pal said while the Bhubaneswar CGD project will entail a capital
expenditure of around Rs. 1,000 crore, there will be an investment of Rs. 750 crore for Cuttack
project.
Based on the above statements, a comparative assumption for the project cost estimation of the
Guwahati city CGD is prepared with a total investment of around Rs. 400 crore as summarizes and
tabulated below.
The total capital requirement will be financed by owner’s equity 10%, a long term loan of 10%,
central government subsidy of 40% and the rest (40%) will be financed by Government of Assam.
Commercial operation of the project is proposed to be commenced in 2019 for city gas distribution
to completely cover the entire Guwahati city with One Lakh of households to be connected through
natural gas pipeline. The next expansion is proposed to be completed within 2021 for CNG project
and for commercial purpose after the pipeline extension from Badulipara to Guwahati is completed.
In the current scenario of Assam, AGCL is the only one and only one company providing PNG to
household consumers. The present gas rate of AGCL is Rs. 4.05 per SCM with marketing margin
@Rs.0.20, handling charges@Rs.1.27 and VAT@14.50%. The transportation charge is Rs.8.80 with
service tax@15.00%.
Assuming 1, 00,000 of households and 50 SCM of gas consumption per month on an average, the
total volume of gas sales for a month will be 50, 00,000 SCM.
Calculating with the rate of AGCL, the total earnings will be as follows:
6. SWOT ANALYSIS
OPPORTUNITY THREAT
Production: Pricing:
• Future connection to National Gas
Grid • Unfavourable pricing mechanism may
• IPI & TAPI extension cause a roadlock for the consumers
Compettition:
• OIL & AGCL also preparing for the CGD
and are well organised.
The detailed information and financial and economic internal rate of return and net present
value are as follows:
Considering an initial investment of Rs. 400 crore and cash inflows of around Rs. 60 crore
per annum for consecutive seven years as tabulated below.
IRR is the interest rate, also called the discount rate that is required to bring the net present
value (NPV) to zero. That is, interest rate that would result in the present value of the capital
investment, or cash outflow, being equal to the value of the total returns over time, or cash
inflow.
Now,
Where r is the interest rate and t is the number of time periods. Computing for t =7years
and we get r= 1%.
The IRR is calculated for 7 years, however the total life span of the project is considered as
36 years, IRR will increase as time elapsed.
To calculate the NPV, let us assume that the annual effective discount rate is 10%.
C = Cash Flow
r = Discount rate
T = Time
Thus NPV is positive hence it can assume that the project is feasible. Moreover from the
economic point of view as the project is a public one, the employment generation as well as
well being of the public need to keep in consideration.
The complete concept on investment on this project and business strategy on this concessionaire is
directed towards the improved availability of domestic gas supplies but at the same time securing
supplies would be important.
The financial and economic analysis doesn’t show a good impact on a short term basis, however the
overall long term impact will earn a lot of benefits. Figure below shows an overall benefit from a city
gas distribution.
The project has the merit of supplying clean and convenient energy to clients in the Guwahati city
area and contributes to reducing pollution.
Financial internal rate of return is 1% before tax at current price in case of the low price scenario of
natural gas. This rate can be considered as enough for a public project; however it is not enough for
private investment.
Even in case of the low price scenario of the natural gas, there is a possibility that the natural gas
price will become lower than the present price. In such a case, FIRR will be improved to a higher one.
Furthermore, natural gas price will become much lower than the price of fuel oil, city gas demand
will increase by replacement of diesel oil and fuel oil used by manufacturing industry.
As mentioned above. The project is profitable as a national project, however though there is
possibility of improvement of FIRR by re estimation of natural gas, the risk is too big for a private
company.
2. CASH FLOW
In the first year of year of operation, short term loan is necessary to cover the shortage of fund, but
after that no shortage will occur.
3. ORGANISATION
Because of high profitability as national project, but low profitability as a private project it is
desirable for this project to be realised by public investment. In case of Public investment, the long
term loan with low interest could be available from central govt. and will be suitable for this project.
7.2 RECOMMENDATIONS
1. Government should take necessary initiative step with the supply providers of Natural
Gas for securing the supply of natural gas.
2. As the DNPL pipeline as on now has a total capacity of only 1MSCMD and almost all the
gas is required and consumed by NRL, may it need to install one more compressor at
DNPL, Modhuban, Duliajan.
3. The proposed National Gas Grid with the API & TAPI connection is about to
commissioned within a few years as well as Myanmar Bangladesh connection to this grid
is also on the progress way , it is beneficial to start the CGD connection to stop the last
hour rush.
4. The risk factor and the risk mitigation are not well covered in this study. For the
implementation of the project, various preparatory works including those to settle
problems are needed to exercise. The details of preparatory works and the program for
actualising the project are as follows:
i. Setting up of a Project Development Cell
ii. Make a detailed feasibility study
iii. Ensuring the supply of Natural Gas
iv. Establishment of the project scheme for implementation
v. Preparation and authorization and control of City Gas Business
vi. Appointment of consultants for Basic Engineering of construction facilities and
operation systems
vii. Construction of facilities and operation system
When the project of city gas distribution network come to success and applied to the city Guwahati,
great changes in the society and among housekeepers will be observed. This kind of project make
the life easier for people, easily obtain the gas via pipe at home in a way similar to water. The city
residents are not anymore lifting these heavy cylinders and paying for transportation. In addition,
the city will get rid of these cylinders from the streets and local shops. Like any other developed
countries across the world, people can get the gas whenever they want from their homes. So the all
idea is to modernize the city of Guwahati and develop it in all directions by using the recent
technologies in urban development.
Suggestions
The project of city gas is no new ideas, but it can be said that it will be new application in the city of
Guwahati particularly in lower Assam generally. In this study the following are suggested to make
the project success:
1. Allocating budget: this might be provided by the State Government or Central Government
with consortium to DNP Limited.
2. International regulator: based on the world regulation and classifications the project should
be applied, in addition the international standards must be followed in design procedures.
3. Local city authority: the local city authority in the city should assign and support the project,
without their support the project cannot be done.
4. Gas suppliers: the oil and gas companies that do supply the gas should agree on that
providing the project with the amount of gas needed for Guwahati.
1
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