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THE COLLECTOR:
Know Your
Weapon Part 1 ing millions of dollars—-can only be learned floor you better listen to me. On this team we
T
rading options is War! For an
option trader a pricing or hedging through real action. Now, the manual: don’t allow any mistakes. We are warriors,
formula is just like a weapon. A trained in war!”
solider who has perfected her pis- BSD trader “Solider, welcome to our trading New hired Trader “Yes Sir!”
tol shooting1 can beat a guy with a team, this is your first day and I will instruct
BSD trader “Good, let’s move on to our busi-
you about the Black-Scholes weapon.”
machine gun that doesn’t know ness. today I will teach you the basics of the
how to handle it. Similarly, an option trader New hired Trader “Hah, my Professor Black-Scholes weapon.”
taught me probability theory, Itô calculus,
knowing the ins and outs of the Black-Scholes-
and Malliavin calculus! I know everything
Merton (BSM) formula can beat a trader using a
state-of-the-art stochastic volatility model. It
about stochastic calculus and how to come 1 Background on the BSM formula
up with the Black-Scholes formula.” Let me shortly refresh your memory of the BSM
comes down to two rules, just as in war. Rule formula
number one: Know your weapon. Rule number BSD trader “Solider, you may know how to
two: Don’t forget rule number one. In my ten+ construct it, but that doesn’t mean you know
a shit about how it operates!” c = Se(b−r)T N(d1 ) − Xe−rT N(d2 )
year as a trader I have seen many a BSD2 option
New hired Trader “I have used it for real trad- p = Xe−rT N(−d2 ) − Se(b−r)T N(−d1 ),
trader getting confused with what the computer
was spitting out. They often thought something ing. Before my Ph.D. I was a market maker in
stock options for a year. Besides, why do you call where
was wrong with their computer system/imple-
mentation. Nothing was wrong, however, except me solider? I was hired as an option trader.” ln(S/X) + (b + σ 2 /2)T
d1 = √ ,
their knowledge of their weapon. Before you BSD trader “Solider, you have not been in σ T
move on to a more complex weapon (like a sto- real war. In real war you often end up in √
extreme situations. That’s when you need to d2 = d1 − σ T,
chastic volatility model) you should make sure
you know conventional equipment inside-out. In know your weapon.”
and
this installment I will not show the nerdy quants New hired Trader “I have read Liar’s Poker,
how to come up with the BSM formula using some Hull’s book, Wilmott on Wilmott, Taleb’s S = Stock price.
new fancy mathematics—you don’t need to know Dynamic Hedging, Haug’s formula collec- X = Strike price of option.
how to melt metal to use a gun. Neither is it a tion. I know about Delta Bleed and all that r = Risk-free interest rate.
guideline on how to trade. It is meant rather like stuff. I don’t think you can tell me much
more. I have even read Fooled by Ran . . .” b = Cost-of-carry rate of holding the underlying
a short manual of how your weapon works in
extreme situations. Real war (trading)—-the pain, BSD trader “SHUT UP SOLIDER! If you want security.
the pleasure, the adrenaline of winning and loos- to survive the first six months on this trading T = Time to expiration in years.
^
To this article I got a lot of ideas from the Wilmott forum. Thanks! And especially thanks to Jørgen Haug and James Ward for useful comments on this paper.
Wilmott magazine 49
ESPEN GAARDER HAUG
1.2
2.1 Delta
1
As you know, the delta is the option’s sensitivity
to small movements in the underlying asset 0.8
price. 0.6
∂c
call = = e(b−r)T N(d1 ) > 0 0.4 600
∂S
∂p 0.2 450
put = = −e(b−r)T N(−d1 ) < 0
∂S 0 300
Days to maturity
Delta higher than unity I have many times over 180
150
150
the years been contacted by confused commodi-
120
90
ty traders claiming something is wrong with
60
Asset price 0
30
their BSM implementation. What they observed
0
was a spot delta higher than one.
As we get deep-in-the-money N(d1 ) approach- Figure 1. Spot Delta
es one, but it never gets higher than one (since
it’s a cumulative probability function). For a
European call option on a non-dividend-paying determine strikes for delta neutral option strate- 0.5 (50%) for a put and a call. Interestingly, the
stock the delta is equal to N(d1 ), so the delta can gies, especially for strangles, straddles, and but- delta symmetric strike also is the strike given the
never go higher than one. For other options the terflies. The weakness of this approach is that it asset price where the gamma and vega are at their
delta term will be multiplied by e(b−r)T . If this works only for a symmetric volatility smile. In maximums, ceteris paribus. The maximal gamma
term is larger than one and we are deep-in-the- practice, however, you often only need an approx- and vega,4 as well as the delta neutral strikes, are
money we can get deltas considerable higher imately delta neutral strangle. Moreover, volatili- not at-the-money forward as I have noticed
than one. This occurs if the cost-of-carry is larger ty smiles often are more or less symmetric in the assumed by many traders. Moreover, an in-the-
than the interest rate, or if interest rates are neg- currency markets. money put can naturally have absolute delta
ative. Figure 1 illustrates the delta of a call In the special case of a straddle-symmetric- lower than 50% while an out-of-the-money call
option. As expected the delta reaches above delta-strike, described by Wystrup (1999), the for- can have delta higher than 50%.
unity when time to maturity is large and the mulas above can be simplified further to For an option that is at the straddle-symmetric-
option is deep-in-the-money. delta-strike the generalized BSM formula can be
2 simplified to
Xc = Xp = Se(b+σ /2)T
.
2.2 Delta mirror strikes and asset Se(b−r)T √
For a put and call to have the same absolute delta
Related to this relationship is the straddle- c= − Xe−rT N(−σ T),
symmetric-asset-price. Given the identical strikes 2
value we can find the delta symmetric strikes as
for a put and call, for what asset price will they and
S2 (2b+σ 2 )T S2 (2b+σ 2 )T have the same absolute delta value? The answer is
Xp = e , Xc = e .
Xc Xp
√ Se(b−r)T
p = Xe−rT N(σ
2
That is S = Xe(−b−σ /2)T
. T) − .
2
S2 (2b+σ 2 )T
c (S, Xc , T, r, b, σ ) = p (S, e , T, r, b, σ ). At this strike and delta-symmetric-asset-price the At this point the option value will not change
Xc (b− r)T (b− r)T
delta is e 2 for a call, and − e 2 for a put. Only based on changes in cost of carry (dividend yield
where Xc is the strike of the call and Xp is the for options on non-dividend paying stocks3 (b = r ) etc). This is as expected as we have to adjust the
strike of a put. These relationships are useful to can we simultaneously have an absolute delta of strike accordingly.
50 Wilmott magazine
2.3 Strike from delta X = 100, r = 5%, b = 0%, σ = 20%,
50
65
80
95
and for a put we have
110
0
125
140
Asset price
√
Xp = S exp[N −1 (−p e(r−b)T )σ T + (b + σ 2 /2)T].
Figure 2. DdeltaDvol
To get a robust and accurate implementation of
this formula it is necessary to use an accurate
approximation of the inverse cumulative nor- index futures. I knew the options I had were far and options with strike XU have maximum posi-
mal distribution. I have used the algorithm of out-of-the-money and that their DdeltaDvol was tive DdeltaDvol when
Moro (1995) with good results. very high. So I immediately asked what volatili-
ty the risk management used to calculate their √ √
2π √ √
Delta Bleed (a term used in the excellent book by
SU = Xe−bT +σ T 4+Tσ 2 /2
. Taleb 1997), is delta’s sensitivity to changes in
One fine day in the dealing room my risk manag- time,
er asked me to get into his office. He asked me
Similarly, given the asset price, options with ∂c b d2
why I had a big outright position in some stock − = −e(b−r)T n(d1 ) √ −
strikes XL have maximum negative DdeltaDvol at ∂T σ T 2T
index futures—-I was supposed to do “arbitrage
trading”. That was strange as I believed I was delta √ √
+ (b − r)N(d1 ) ≤≥ 0,
XL = SebT −σ T 4+Tσ 2 /2
^
neutral: long call options hedged with short ,
Wilmott magazine 51
ESPEN GAARDER HAUG
X = 100, r = 5%, b = 0%, σ = 30%, capital asset pricing model of Merton (1971)
5 holds. Expected asset returns then satisfy the
CAPM equation
4
2
where r is the risk free rate, rm is the return on the
1 market portfolio, and βi is the beta of the asset. To
determine the expected return of an option we
0
need the option’s beta. The beta of a call is given
h by (see for instance Jarrow and Rudd 1983)
−1
−2 S
βc = c βS ,
call
−3
76
S
138
125
βp = p βS .
113
100
put
43
88
Days to maturity
75
63
50
Asset price
10
52 Wilmott magazine
3 Gamma Greeks Given the asset price and time to maturity, and at asset price
gamma is maximal when the strike is
3.1 Gamma 2
S¯ = Xe(−b−3σ /2)T S
.
(b+σ 2 /2)T
Gamma is the delta’s sensitivity to small move- X¯ = Se .
ments in the underlying asset price. Gamma is The gamma at this point is given by
identical for put and call options, ceteris paribus, Confused option traders are bad enough, con-
and is given by fused risk-management is a pain in the behind.
Several large investment firms impose risk limits e(b−r)T e
π
b
σ2
+1
2
∂ c ∂ p 2
n(d1 )e (b−r)T S = (S¯ , TS ) =
call ,put = 2 = 2 = √ >0 on how much gamma you can have. In the equity X
∂S ∂S Sσ T market it is common to use the standard text-
Many traders get surprised by this feature of
This is the standard gamma measure given in book approach to compute gamma, as shown
gamma—-that gamma is not necessary decreas-
most text books (Haug 1997, Hull 2000, Wilmott above. Putting on a long term call (put) option
ing with longer time to maturity. The maximum
2000). that later is deep-out-of-the money (in-the-
gamma for a given strike price is first decreasing
money) can blow up the gamma risk limits, even
until the saddle gamma point, then increasing
if you actually have close to zero gamma risk.
3.2 Maximal gamma and the illu- The high gamma risk for long dated deep-out-of-
again, given that we follow the edge of the maxi-
sions of risk the-money options typically is only an illusion.
mal gamma asset price.
Figure 4 shows the saddle gamma. The saddle
One day in the trading room of a former employ- This illusion of risk can be avoided by looking at
point is between the two gamma “mountain”
er of mine, one of the BSD traders suddenly got percentage changes in the underlying asset
tops. This graph also illustrates one of the big
worried over his gamma. He had a long dated (gammaP), as is typically done for FX options.
limitations in the textbook gamma definition,
deep-out-of-the money call. The stock price had Saddle Gamma Alexander (Sasha) Adamchuk which is actually in use by many option systems
been falling, and the further the out-of-the- was the first to make me aware of the fact that and traders. The gamma increases dramatically
money the option went the lower the gamma he gamma has a saddle point.10 The saddle point is when we have long time to maturity and the
expected. As with many option traders he attained for the time asset price is close to zero. How can the gamma
believed the gamma was largest approximately be larger than for an option closer to at-the-
at-the-money-forward. Looking at his Bloomberg 1 money? Is the real gamma risk that big? No, this
TS = ,
screen, however, the further out of the money 2(σ 2 + b) is in most cases simply an illusion, due to the
the call went the higher his gamma got. Another
BSD was coming over, and they both tried to
come up with an explanation for this. Was there X = 100, r = 5%, b = 5%, σ = 80%,
something wrong with Bloomberg?
In my own home-built system I often was
playing around with 3 and 4-dimensional 0.035
charts of the option Greeks, and I already knew
that gamma doesn’t attain its maximum at- 0.03
the-money forward (4 dimensions? a dynamic
3-dimensional graph). I didn’t know exactly 0.025
where it attained its maximum, however.
0.02
Instead of joining the BSD discussion, I did a
few computations in Mathematica. A few min- 0.015
utes later, after double checking my calcula-
tions, I handed over an equation to the BSD 0.01
traders showing exactly where the BSM gamma 1441
0.005
would be at its maximum.
How good is the rule of thumb that gamma is 0 964
largest for at-the-money or at-the-money-forward
175
Days to maturity
ty, the gamma is at maximum when the asset
105
70
price is9 10
35
Asset price
0
^
2
S¯ = Xe(−b−3σ /2)T
. Figure 4. SaddleGamma
Wilmott magazine 53
ESPEN GAARDER HAUG
180
150
3.3 GammaP 408
120
90
60
As already mentioned, there are several prob- Asset price 10
30
lems with the traditional gamma definition. A
0
better measure is to look at percentage changes
in delta for percentage changes in the underly- Figure 5. GammaP
ing,11 for example: a one percent point change in
underlying. With this definition we get for both
money call to the spot close to the at-the-money- calls (in-the-money puts) is only the case when
puts and calls (gamma Percent)
forward. At this point the spot-delta will be close we are dealing with spot gammaP (change in
to 50% and so the P will be large. This is not an spot delta). We can avoid this by looking at
S illusion of gamma risk, but a reality. Figure 6 future/forward gammaP. However if you hedge
P = >0 (1) shows P with the same parameters as in Figure 5, with spot, then spot gammaP is the relevant
100
with cost-of-carry of 60%. metric. Only if you hedge with the future/for-
GammaP attains a maximum at an asset price of To makes things even more complicated the ward the forward gammaP is the relevant met-
2
high P we can have for deep-out-of-the-money ric. The forward gammaP we have when the
S¯ P = Xe(−b−σ /2)T
Alternatively, given the asset price the maximal X = 100, r = 5%, b = 60%, σ = 80%,
P occurs at strike 0.025
2
X¯ P = Se(b+σ /2)T
.
0.02
in Figure 4. 494
140
20
Asset price
35
54 Wilmott magazine
cost-of-carry is set to zero, and the underlying positive outside this interval, where In the case of volatility correlated with the asset
asset is the futures price. √ √ price this naturally becomes more complicated.
−bT −σ
SL = Xe T 4+Tσ 2 /2
,
√ √
3.4 Gamma-symmetry SU = Xe −bT +σ T 4+Tσ 2 /2 3.6 DgammaDspot, Speed
Given the same strike the gamma is identical for For a given asset price the DgammaDvol and I have heard rumors about how being on speed
both put and call options. Although this equality DgammaPDvol are negative for strikes between can help see higher dimensions that are ignored
breaks down when the strikes differ, there is a √ √ or hidden for most people. It should be of little
useful put and call gamma symmetry. The put- XL = SebT −σ T 4+Tσ 2 /2
, surprise that in the world of options the third
√ √
call symmetry of Bates (1991) and Carr and Bowie bT +σ T 4+Tσ 2 /2 derivative of the option price with respect to
XU = Se ,
(1994) is given by spot, known as Speed, is ignored by most people.
and positive for strikes above XU or below XL , Judging from his book, Nassim Taleb is also a fan
X (SebT )2
c(S, X, T, r, b, σ ) = bT
p(S, , T, r, b, σ ) ceteris paribus. In practice, these points will of higher order Greeks. There he mentions
Se X change with other variables and parameters. Greeks of up to seventh order.
This put-call value symmetry yields the gamma These levels should, therefore, be considered Speed was probably first mentioned by Garman
symmetry, however the gamma symmetry is more good approximations at best. (1992),12 for the generalized BSM formula we get
general as it is independent of wether the option In general you want positive DgammaDvol—-
is a put or call, for example, it could be two calls, especially if you don’t need to pay for it (flat ∂3c 1 + σd√1 T
volatility smile). In this respect DgammaDvol =−
two puts, or a put and a call. ∂S3 S
actually offers a lot of intuition for how stochas-
X (SebT )2 tic volatility should affect the BSM values (?). A high Speed value indicates that the gamma is
(S, X, T, r, b, σ ) = bT
(S, , T, r, b, σ ).
Se X Figure 7 illustrates this point. The DgammaDvol very sensitive to moves in the underlying asset.
is positive for deep-out-of-the-money options, Academics typically claim that third or higher
Interestingly, the put-call symmetry also gives us
outside the SL and SU interval. For at-the money order “Greeks” are of no use. For an option
vega and cost-of-carry symmetries, and in the
options and slightly in- or out-of the money trader, on the other hand, it can definitely
case of zero cost-of-carry also theta and rho sym-
options the DgammaDvol is negative. If the make sense to have a sense of an option’s
metry. Delta symmetry, however, is not obtained.
volatility is stochastic and uncorrelated with the Speed. Interestingly, Speed is used by Fouque,
asset price then this offers a good indication for Papanicolaou, and Sircar (2000) as a part of a
3.5 DgammaDvol, Zomma
which strikes you should use higher/lower stochastic volatility model adjustment. More to
DgammaDvol, a.k.a. Zomma, is the sensitivity of volatility when deciding on your volatility smile. the point, Speed is useful when gamma is at its
gamma with respect to changes in implied
volatility. In my view, DgammaDvol is one of the
more important Greeks for options trading. It is X = 100, r = 5%, b = 0%, σ = 30%,
given by 0.15
∂ 0.1
DgammaDvol call ,put =
∂σ 0.05
d1 d2 − 1
= ≤≥ 0.
σ 0
−0.1
d1 d2 − 1 −0.15
DgammaPDvol call ,put = P ≤≥ 0
σ
−0.2
255
−0.25
where is the text book Gamma of the option.
−0.3 133
For practical purposes, where one typically Days to maturity
140
110
95
65
50
Wilmott magazine 55
ESPEN GAARDER HAUG
125
110
10
80
≈ .
65
T
50
Asset price
10
95
90
85
80
75
DgammaPDtime
70
65
60
55
50
Asset price
∂P bd1 1 − d1 d2
− = P r − b + √ + ≤≥ 0
∂T σ T 2T Figure 9. DgammaDtime
56 Wilmott magazine
ESPEN GAARDER HAUG
sticks to the deltas but not to the strike; in other they know the basics of a conventional ■ BATES, D. S. (1991): “The Crash of ‘87: Was It Expected?
words the volatility for a given strike will move weapon like the Black-Scholes formula.” The Evidence from Options Markets,” Journal of Finance,
as the underlying moves.) New Hired Trader “Understood Sir!” 46(3), 1009–1044.
c(S+S, X, T, r, b, σ1 )−c(S−S, X, T, r, b, σ2 ) BSD trader “Next time I will tell you about ■ BENSOUSSAN, A., M. CROUHY, AND D. GALAI (1995):
c ≈ vega-kappa, probability Greeks and some “Black-Scholes Approximation of Warrant Prices,”
2S
other stuff. Until then you are Dismissed! Advances in Futures and Options Research, 8, 1–14.
Numerical Greeks are moreover model inde- Now bring me a double cheeseburger with a ■ BLACK, F. (1976): “The Pricing of Commodity
pendent, while the analytical Greeks presented lot of fries!” Contracts,” Journal of Financial Economics, 3, 167–179.
above are specific to the BSM model. New Hired Trader Yes Sir! ■ BLACK, F., AND M. SCHOLES (1973): “The Pricing of
2
For gamma and other second derivatives, ∂∂ x2f , Options and Corporate Liabilities,” Journal of Political
(for example DvegaDvol) we can use the central Economy, 81, 637–654.
finite difference method
FOOTNOTES & REFERENCES ■ CARR, P., AND J. BOWIE (1994): “Static Simplicity,” Risk
1. The author was among the best pistol shooters in Magazine, 7(8).
c(S + S, . . .) − 2c(S, . . .) + c(S − S, . . .) Norway. ■ FOUQUE, J., G. PAPANICOLAOU, AND K. R. SIRCAR (2000):
≈
S2 2. If you don’t know the meaning of this expression, BSD, Derivatives in Financial Markets with Stochastic
then it’s high time you read Michael Lewis’ Liar’s Poker. Volatility. Cambridge University Press.
If you are very close to maturity (a few hours) and 3. And naturally also for commodity options in the special ■ GARMAN, M. (1992): “Charm School,” Risk Magazine,
you are approximately at-the-money the analytical case where cost-of-carry equals r. 5(7), 53–56.
gamma can approach infinity, which is naturally 4. You have to wait for the next issue of Wilmott Magazine ■ HAUG, E. G. (1997): The Complete Guide To Option
an illusion of your real risk. The reason is simply for the details on vega.
Pricing Formulas. McGraw-Hill, New York.
that analytical partial derivatives are accurate 5. I wrote about the importance of this Greek variable back
■ (2003a): “Frozen Time Arbitrage,” Wilmott
only for infinite changes, while in practice one in 1992. It was my second paper about options, and my
Magazine, January.
sees only discrete changes. The numerical gamma first written in English. Well, it got rejected. What could I
■ (2003b): “The Special and General
solves this problem and offers a more accurate expect? Most people totally ignored DdeltaDvol at that
time and the paper has collected dust since then. Relativity’s Implications on Mathematical Finance.,”
gamma in these cases. This is particularly true Working paper, January.
when it comes to barrier options (Taleb 1997). 6. An important question naturally is what volatility you
should use to compute your deltas. I will not give you an ■ HULL, J. (2000): Option, Futures, and Other
For Speed and other third order derivatives, Derivatives. Prentice Hall.
∂3f answer to that here, but there has been discussions on this
∂x 3 , we can for example use the following ■ JARROW, R., AND A. RUDD (1983): Option Pricing. Irwin.
topic at www.wilmott.com.
approximation 7. This is true only because everybody trading options at ■ LEWIS, M. (1992): Liars Poker. Penguin.
1 Mother Earth moves at about the same speed, and are ■ MCDONALD, R. L. (2002): Derivatives Markets. Addison
Speed ≈ [c(S + 2S, . . .) − 3c(S + S, . . .) affected by approximately the same gravity. In the future, Wesley.
S3
with huge space stations moving with speeds significant ■ MERTON, R. C. (1971): “Optimum Consumption and
+ 3c(S, . . .) − c(S − S, . . .)].
to that of the speed of light, this will no longer hold true. Portfolio Rules in a Continuous-Time Model,” Journal of
What about mixed derivatives, ∂ ∂x∂f y , for example See Haug (2003a) and Haug (2003b) for some possible Economic Theory, 3, 373–413.
DdeltaDvol and Charm, this can be calculated consequences. ■ (1973): “Theory of Rational Option
numerical by 8. This approximation is used by Bensoussan, Crouhy, and Pricing,” Bell Journal of Economics and Management
Galai (1995) for an approximate valuation of compound Science, 4, 141–183.
DdeltaDvol options. ■ MORO, B. (1995): “The Full Monte,” Risk Magazine,
1 9. Rubinstein (1990) indicates in a footnote that this maxi- February.
≈ [c(S + S, . . . , σ + σ ) mum curvature point possibly can explain why the greatest
4Sσ ■ RUBINSTEIN, M. (1990): “The Super Trust,” “Working
demand for calls tend to be just slightly out-of-the money.
−c(S + S, . . . , σ −σ )−c(S−S, . . . , σ +σ ) Paper, www.in-the-money.com”.
10. Described by Adamchuck at the Wilmott forum
■ SHARP, W. (1966): “Mutual Fund Performance,” Journal
+c(S − S, . . . , σ − σ )] www.wilmott.com February 6, 2002, http://www.
of Business, pp. 119–138.
In the case of DdeltaDvol one would “typically” wilmott.com/310/messageview.cfm?catid=4&threa-
■ TALEB, N. (1997): Dynamic Hedging. Wiley.
divide it by 100 to get the “right” notation. did=664&highlight_key=y&keyword1=vanna and even
earlier on his page http://finmath.com/Chicago/ ■ WEBB, A. (1999): “The Sensitivity of Vega,” Derivatives
NAFTCORP/Saddle_Gamma.html Strategy, http://www.derivativesstrategy.com/maga-
End Part 1 11. Wystrup (1999) also describes how this redefinition of zine/archive/1999/1199fea1.asp, November, 16–19.
gamma removes the dependence on the spot level S. He ■ WILMOTT, P. (2000): Paul Wilmott on Quantiative
BSD trader “That is enough for today solider.” calls it “traders gamma.” This measure of gamma has for a Finance. Wiley.
New Hired Trader “Sir, I learned a few things long time been popular, particularly in the FX market, but ■ WYSTRUP, U. (1999): “Aspects of Symmetry and
today. Can I start trading now?” is still absent in options text books. Duality of the Black-Scholes Pricing Formula for
BSD trader “We don’t let fresh soldiers play 12. However he was too “lazy” to give us the formula so I European Style Put and Call Options,” Working Paper,
around with ammunition (capital) before had to do the boring derivation myself. Sal. Oppenhim jr. & Cie. W
Wilmott magazine 57