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Economic development has been dominated by four major and sometimes competing
strands of thought: (1) the linear-stages of- growth model, (2) theories and patterns of
structural change, (3) the international- dependence revolution, and (4) the
neoclassical, free-market counterrevolution.
The economic mechanism by which more investment leads to more growth can
be described in terms of the Harrod-Domar growth model, today often referred
to as the AK model. Accordingly, every economy must save a certain proportion
of its national income, if only to replace worn-out or impaired capital goods
(buildings, equipment, and materials). However, in order to grow, new
investments representing net additions to the capital tock are necessary. If we
assume that there is some direct economic relationship between the size of the
total capital stock and total GNP. States simply that the rate of growth of GNP is
determined jointly by the national savings ratio and the national capital-output
ratio. More specifically, it says that in the absence of government, the growth
rate of national income will be directly or positively related to the savings ratio
(i.e., the more an economy is able to save—and invest—out of a given GNP, the
greater the growth of that GNP will be) and inversely or negatively related to the
economy’s capital-output ration (i.e., the higher capital stock is, the lower the
rate of GNP growth will be).
B. This linear-stages approach was largely replaced in the 1970s by two competing
economic (and indeed ideological) schools of thought. The Structural-Change
Models - Two well-known representative of the structural-change approach are
the “two-sector surplus labor” theoretical model of W. Arthur Lewis and the
“patterns of development” empirical analysis of Hollis B. Chenery and his co-
authors.
The first, which focused on theories and patterns of structural change, used
modern economic theory and statistical analysis in an attempt to portray the
internal process of structural change that a “typical” developing country must
undergo if it is to succeed in generating and sustaining a process of rapid
economic growth. The second questionable assumption of the Lewis model is
the notion that surplus labor exists in rural areas while there is full employment
in the urban areas. Most contemporary research indicates that there is little
general surplus labor in rural locations. True, there are both seasonal and
geographic exceptions to this rule (e.g., parts of China and the Asian
subcontinent, some Carribean islands, and isolated regions of Latin America
where land ownership is very unequal), but by and large, development
economists today agree that Lewis’s assumption of rural surplus labor is
generally not valid. The third unreal assumption is the notion of a competitive
modern-sector labor market that guarantees the continued existence of constant
real urban wages up to the point where the supply of rural surplus labor is
exhausted. It will be demonstrated that prior to the 1980s, a striking feature of
urban labor markets and wage determination in almost all developing countries
was the tendency for these wages to rise substantially over time, both in
absolute terms and relative to average rural incomes, even in the presence of
rising levels of open modern-sector unemployment and low or zero marginal
productivity in agriculture. Institutional factors such as union bargaining power,
civil service wage scales, and multinational corporations’ hiring practices tend to
negate competitive forces in LDC modern-sector labor markets. We conclude,
therefore, that when one takes into account the laborsaving bias of most modern
technological transfer, the existence of substantial capital flight, the widespread
nonexistence of rural surplus labor, the growing prevalence of urban surplus
labor, and the tendency for modern-sector wages to rise rapidly even where
substantial open unemployment exists, the Lewis two-sector model—though
extremely valuable as an early conceptual portrayal of the development process
of sectoral interaction and structural change—requires considerable modification
in assumptions and analysis to fit the reality of contemporary developing nations.
The Fourth final concern with the Lewis model is its assumption of diminishing
returns in the modern industrial sector. Yet there is much evidence that
increasing returns prevail in that sector, posing special problems for development
policymaking.
But what of the neoclassical counterrevolution’s contention that free markets and less
government provide the basic ingredients for development? On strictly efficiency (as
opposed to equity) criteria, there can be little doubt that market price usually does a
better job than state intervention. The problem is that many LDC economies are so
different in structure and organization from their Western counterparts that the
behavioral assumptions and policy precepts of traditional neoclassical theory are
sometimes questionable and often incorrect. Competitive markets simply do not exist,
nor, given the institutional, cultural, and historical context of many LDCs, would they
necessarily be desirable from a long-term economic and social perspective Consumers
as a whole are rarely sovereign about anything, let alone about what goods and
services are to be produced, in what quantities, and for whom. Information is limited,
markets are fragmented, and much of the economy is still non monetized. There are
widespread externalities of both production and consumption as well as discontinuities
in production and indivisibilities (i.e., economies of scale) in technology. Producers,
private or public, have great power in determining market prices and quantities sold.
The ideal of competition is typically just that—an ideal with little substance in reality.
Although monopolies of resource purchase and product sale are a pervasive developing-
world phenomenon, the traditional neoclassical theory of monopoly also offers little
insight into the day-to-day activities of public and private corporations. Decision rules
can vary widely with the social setting, so that profit maximization may be a low-priority
objective especially in state-owned enterprises, in comparison with, say, the creation of
jobs or the replacement of foreign managers with local personnel. Finally, the invisible
hand often acts not to promote the general welfare but rather to lift up those who are
already well-off while pushing down the vast majority.
Each approach has its strengths and weaknesses. The fact that there exists such
controversy—be it ideological, theoretical, or empirical—is what makes the study of
economic development both challenging and exciting. Even more than other fields of
economics, development economics has no universally accepted doctrine or paradigm.
Instead, we have a continually evolving pattern of insights and understandings that
together provide the basis for examining the possibilities of contemporary development
of the diverse nations of Africa, Asia, and Latin America.
You may wonder how consensus could emerge from so much disagreement. Although it
is not implied here that such a consensus exists today or can indeed ever exist when
such sharply conflicting values and ideologies prevail, we do suggest that something of
significance can be gleaned from each of the four approaches that we have described.
For example, the linear-stages model emphasizes the crucial role that saving and
investment plays in promoting sustainable long-run growth. The Lewis two-sector
model of structural change underlines the importance of attempting to analyze the
many linkages between traditional agriculture and modern industry, and the empirical
research of Chenery and his associates attempts to document precisely how economies
undergo structural change while identifying the numeric values of key economic
parameters involved in that process. The thoughts of international-dependence
theorists alert us to the importance of the structure and workings of the world economy
and the many ways in which decisions made in the developed world can affect the lives
of millions of people in the developing world. Whether or not these activities are
deliberately designed to maintain developing nations in a state of dependence is often
beside the point. The fact of their very dependence and their vulnerability to key
economic decisions made in the capitals of North America, Western Europe, or Japan
(not to mention those made by the IMF and the World Bank) forces us to recognize the
validity of many of the propositions of the international-dependence school. The same
applies to arguments regarding the dualistic structures and the role of ruling elites in
the domestic economies of the developing world. Although a good deal of conventional
neoclassical economic theory needs to be modified to fit the unique social, institutional,
and structural circumstances of developing nations, there is no doubt that promoting
efficient production and distribution through a proper, functioning price system is an
integral part of any successful development process. Many of the arguments of the
neoclassical counterrevolutionaries, especially those related to the inefficiency of state-
owned enterprises and the failures of development planning and the harmful effects of
government-induced domestic and international price distortions are as well taken as
those of the dependence and structuralist schools. By contrast, the unquestioning
exaltation of free markets and open economies along with the universal disparagement
of public-sector leadership in promoting growth with equity in the developing world is
open to serious challenge. As we shall discover all development requires a skillful and
judicious balancing of market pricing and promotion where markets can indeed exist
and operate efficiently, along with intelligent and equity-oriented government
intervention in areas where unfettered market forces would lead to undesirable
economic and social outcomes.
PROGRAM PROJECT/S
Figure 1.
From the illustration above it can be gleaned that program and project are different yet
they intertwined. Program/s consisted of projects while project may or may not be part
of a program. Projects can exists even in the absence of a program while a program
can never exist without a project.
A project is a singular effort of defined duration, whereas a program is comprised of a
collection of projects. A program is a temporary organization created to coordinate,
direct the work, and supervise the delivery of a number of related projects that all
contribute to a particular outcome. A project, on the other hand, is a temporary
organization designed to deliver a particular output.
Actually, it’s a bit more complex than that. While programs and projects actually have
several different characteristics and different functions within an organization, they also
have many commonalities.
Structure: A project is well-defined, with a Project Charter that spells out exactly what
the scope and objectives are for the project. A program tends to have greater levels of
uncertainty. he team is also bigger. The program team are supervising and coordinating
the work on a number of projects so while the core team may not have that many
people in, the wider team includes the project managers and all the project team
members.
Effort: This is the most significant difference between projects and programs. A project
represents a single effort. It is a group of people forming a team working towards a
common goal. A program is different; it is a collection of projects. Together all the
projects form a cohesive package of work. The different projects are complimentary
and help the program achieve its overall objectives. There are likely to be overlaps and
dependencies between the projects, so a program manager will assess these and work
with the project managers concerned to check that overall the whole program
progresses smoothly.
Duration: Some projects do go on for several years but most of the projects you’ll work
on will be shorter than that. On the other hand, programs are definitely longer. As they
set out to deliver more stuff, they take longer. Programs tend to be split into tranches
or phases. Some projects are also split like this, but not all projects last long enough to
be delivered in multiple phases.
Benefits: A project team works towards achieving certain outputs, that is, what you get
at the end. For example, this could be a set of deliverables that form a infrastructure, or
a new housing project, or whatever it is that you are working on. The benefits of a
project tend to be tangible: you get a ‘thing’ at the end of it. A program team works
towards delivering outcomes. Outcomes can be tangible but are often not. The benefits
of a program are the sum of the benefits of all the different projects and this could
amount to a policy or cultural change, or a shift in the way an organization/society
works.
Figure 2.
S.M.A.R.T. Goals – This method helps ensure that the goals have been thoroughly
vetted. It also provides a way to clearly understand the implications of the goal-setting
process.
Specific – To set specific goals, answer the following questions: who, what,
where, when, which, and why.
Measurable – Create criteria that you can use to measure the success of a goal.
Attainable – Identify the most important goals and what it will take to achieve
them.
Realistic – You should be willing and able to work toward a particular goal.
Appreciable – Break larger goals into smaller tasks that can be quickly achieved.
During this phase, the scope of the project is defined and a project management plan is
developed. It involves identifying the cost, quality, available resources, and a realistic
timetable. The project plans also includes establishing baselines or performance
measures. These are generated using the scope, schedule and cost of a project. A
baseline is essential to determine if a project is on track.
The planning process and its effect should therefore be predetermined and
thoughtful set of elements that make up the decision-making process, which
as a result should lead to the realization of the goals with optimal decisions
concerning the selection of appropriate methods and resources to make this
possible. The main purpose is to plan time, cost and resources adequately to
estimate the work needed and to effectively manage risk during project
execution. As with the Initiation process group, a failure to adequately plan
greatly reduces the project's chances of successfully accomplishing its goals.
Planning helps an organization chart a course for the achievement of its goals. The
process begins with reviewing the current operations of the organization and identifying
what needs to be improved operationally in the upcoming year. From there, planning
involves envisioning the results the organization wants to achieve, and determining the
steps necessary to arrive at the intended destination--success, whether that is
measured in financial terms, or goals that include being the highest-rated organization
in customer satisfaction.
All organizations, large and small, have limited resources. The planning process
provides the information top management needs to make effective decisions about how
to allocate the resources in a way that will enable the organization to reach its
objectives. Productivity is maximized and resources are not wasted on projects with
little chance of success.
Establishing Goals
Setting goals that challenge everyone in the organization to strive for better
performance is one of the key aspects of the planning process. Goals must be
aggressive, but realistic. Organizations cannot allow themselves to become too satisfied
with how they are currently doing--or they are likely to lose ground to competitors. The
goal setting process can be a wake-up call for managers that have become complacent.
The other benefit of goal setting comes when forecast results are compared to actual
results. Organizations analyze significant variances from forecast and take action to
remedy situations where revenues were lower than plan or expenses higher.
Team Building
Planning promotes team building and a spirit of cooperation. When the plan is
completed and communicated to members of the organization, everyone knows what
their responsibilities are, and how other areas of the organization need their assistance
and expertise in order to complete assigned tasks. They see how their work contributes
to the success of the organization as a whole and can take pride in their contributions.
Potential conflict can be reduced when top management solicits department or division
managers’ input during the goal setting process. Individuals are less likely to resent
budgetary targets when they had a say in their creation.
Planning helps organizations get a realistic view of their current strengths and
weaknesses relative to major competitors. The management team sees areas where
competitors may be vulnerable and then crafts marketing strategies to take advantage
of these weaknesses. Observing competitors’ actions can also help organizations
identify opportunities they may have overlooked, such as emerging international
markets or opportunities to market products to completely different customer groups.
However, it has a simplistic and outdated explanation of the problem with the
economy. According to the plan, the main problem is that the government
restrains development by being unfriendly to business. The ideological
justification for this is the quasi-religious faith that capitalist profit-seeking
amid as free and unregulated markets as possible will solve social and
economic problems. This notion also gets self-serving support from foreign
investors and domestic oligarchs who want the state to put their narrow
interests above those of the nation and long-term development.
The plan will fail to transform the Philippines into the “prosperous middle-
class society where no one is poor” declared by the government. This is
because the plan will keep the country’s agriculture and industry backward
and mere adjuncts of foreign capital. Unemployment will remain high,
incomes low, and Filipinos forced overseas for work. Growth spurts driven by
debt and speculation will only become fewer and farther between. Any
increase in per capita income will be mostly because of growing concentration
of wealth in a few rather than higher incomes for the majority.
Lucid
The PDP 2017-2022 says that it is anchored on the AmBisyon Natin 2040
long-term economic vision for the country and is also guided by the 0+10-
point Socioeconomic Agenda of the Duterte administration. The plan begins
by taking a long view of the country’s trajectory against a reading of global
and regional trends and prospects.
The plan lucidly presents its approach over 435 pages. It talks about
“enhancing the social fabric” by improving governance, the administration of
justice, and promoting Philippine culture and values. The inclusion of a
distinct chapter on culture is innovative but at the same time, because there
is nowhere any mention of nationalism, alarming.
The next three sections are the sum of its economic policies. The plan is
conscious of public frustration with long-standing poverty and worsening
inequity and talks about “inequality-reducing transformation”. This section
elaborates on expanding economic opportunities in agriculture, forestry and
fisheries and in industry and services, on human capital development, on
reducing vulnerability, and on building safe and secure communities. It talks
about “increasing growth potential” through exploiting a so-called
demographic dividend and advancing science, technology and innovation.
And it asserts its free market orientation under the rhetoric of “enabling and
supportive economic environment” spanning macroeconomic policy and
national competition policy.
Wrong
While lucid the plan is still wrong and will keep the Philippines backward.
Three major flaws immediately come to mind, all of which stem from the
plan’s obsolete market fundamentalism.
First, the plan avoids correcting the severe asset inequities and income
imbalances that keep millions of Filipinos marginalized from meaningful
economic activity. This means that all the plan’s rhetoric about creating
economic opportunities will really just mean greater profitable opportunities
for the few who have the accumulated assets and incomes to begin with.
Free market economics exalts asset accumulation as proof of efficiency and
income inequality as incentivizing efficiency.
The problem however is that these measures will create opportunities mainly
for farmers, but especially rich farmers, who already own and control the
most important rural asset: land. Millions of landless peasants and farm
workers on the other hand will gain peripherally, at best, or in many cases
likely not at all.
The plan mentions agrarian reform but remains fixated on its mere
administrative implementation or the paper distribution of remaining reported
backlogs. A better starting point would be to explain why land ostensibly
distributed has ended up re-concentrated in the hands of landlords,
agribusiness corporations, and real estate developers. Merely continuing
pseudo-distribution of land will not resolve rural poverty.
Having said that, the change in policy towards free land distribution to
landless farmers and agricultural workers is still a significant policy shift. This
is an important achievement from decades of militant struggle by the
Philippine peasant movement and successfully clinched by the incursion of
peasant leader Ka Paeng Mariano into government to helm the agrarian
reform department. It is at least one part of correcting severe imbalances in
rural power (with the other part increasing the confiscatory aspect of land
transfers).
The plan also pushes to worsen inequity in the country by pushing for the
Department of Finance’s (DOF) grossly regressive tax reform program. The
DOF’s tax plan seeks to reduce income and wealth taxes paid by rich families
and large corporations and off-sets this with higher consumption taxes on the
country’s majority including the poorest Filipinos. This is camouflaged as
“broadening the tax base” (i.e. taxing more Filipinos) and “making taxes
internationally competitive” (i.e. reducing taxes paid by the rich) amid hype
about greater simplicity and efficiency. Yet a progressive tax system that
taxes the rich more and the poor less is a critical measure for reducing
inequity in the country, aside from raising resources for government social
and economic services.
FINAL EXAMINATION
In
Submitted by:
BEVERLY A. CANNU
DPA-1
Submitted to: