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BRICS has become the global ranking the BRICS will increasingly serve as a
standard for the first tier of emerging counterweight to established traditional Dr Martyn Davies
markets. What began as a loose grouping interests. Managing Director,
of sizeable developing countries with Emerging Markets &
robust long-term growth trajectories is now The world is indeed rapidly changing, Africa
increasingly becoming a geo-economic creating both arising challenges and new Deloitte Africa
grouping of states seeking common opportunities for developing countries and
economic interests. Its loose alliance is the broader Africa region alike. How these
becoming more coherent in the face of are managed and grasped will shape our
current global trade tensions and anti- respective economic futures. Good political
globalisation sentiments. governance and management must always Nazeer Essop
apply, and this will determine a country’s Public Sector Industry
BRICS is an emerging bloc that seeks to economic success. Leader
represent the interests of the developing Deloitte Africa
world. We will hear at the Johannesburg In support of the Department of Trade
Summit the need for a restructuring of the & Industry, Deloitte is proud to be
global economic architecture, one that the Knowledge Partner of the BRICS
takes into greater cognisance the needs Business Forum at this 10th BRICS
of the developing world. This is especially Summit in Johannesburg. We look forward
true when considering the potential to supporting BRICS companies and
disruption in global trade resulting from governments in their endeavours to expand
rising protectionist sentiments. The opening their relationships with each other into the
of the global economy and the promotion future.
of liberalised trade have underpinned
emerging economies’ growth. Many
emerging countries stand to lose a lot if
globalisation is reversed.
4
Table of Contents
Trade Developments 08
Investment Developments 18
6
Key Agreements Supporting Trade and
Investment Between South Africa and BRIC
The IBSA Dialogue Forum aims to promote South-South cooperation and increasing the trade
opportunities between India, South Africa and Brazil, as well as facilitate trilateral exchange of
IBSA
information, technologies and skills to complement each others strengths. It also aims to explore
Brazil MERCOSUR avenues to promote cooperation in broad range of areas, which include agriculture, climate change,
Preferential Trade culture, defence, education, energy, health, information society, science and technology, social
Agreement (PTA) development, trade and investment, tourism and transport.
Tariff reductions on about 1 000 product lines on each side of the border.
Generalised System of Specified industrial and agricultural products from South Africa qualify for preferential market
Russia
Preferences (GSP) access.
The bank aims to contribute to development plans established nationally through projects that
are socially, environmentally and economically sustainable. Taking this into account, the main
objectives of the NDB can be summarised as follows:
New
• Promote infrastructure and sustainable development projects with a significant development
Development
BRICS impact in member countries.
Bank
• Establish an extensive network of global partnerships with other multilateral development
institutions and national development banks.
• Build a balanced project portfolio giving proper respect to their geographic location, financing
requirements and other factors.
7
Trade Developments
Trade Developments Figure 1. BRICS Share of Global Trade
Share (%)
11% 10% 11%
trade. Between 2001 and 2015, BRICS 9%
10%
8%
9% 10%
8%
contribution to global exports and imports 7% 7%
• BRICS overall trade with the world BRICS Share of Global Exports BRICS Share of Global Imports
2,5 2,5
drop in commodity prices in 2014. China’s 2,4
2,2
2,0 1,9
global trade dominance cushioned BRICS 2 1,9
1,6 1,6 1,6
overall exposure to these two major 1,3 1,3
1,0 1,1
economic shocks. 1 0,70,6 0,9
0,5 0,4 0,6 0,5
Source: UNCTAD, 2018 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
BRICS Total Exports to the World BRICS Total Imports to the World
9
Trade Developments Figure 3. Member State Share of Total BRICS Exports to the World
US$ (trillion)
4.5-fold. South Africa, which marginally 0.08
0.20
0.29
2.1
0.07
0.20 0.22
outperformed Brazil but trailed Russia, 2 0.06
0.18
0.47
0.40
1.6
1.4 0.05
0.16
tripled its overall trade. Trade of these 0.05
0.15
0.35
1.2
0.15
0.18
0.30
0.14 1.2
three commodity-exporters grew slower 0.05
0.12
0.12
0.30
1.0
1 0.10
than the group’s average. 0.03
0.04
0.10
0.08
0.24
0.8
0.07 0.18
0.02 0.06 0.6
0.03 0.05
0.06 0.13
0.04 0.06 0.4
0.10 0.11
0.3 0.3
• South Africa, Brazil and Russia’s below- 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
0.27 0.06
0.08
of its overall contribution also increased 0.12
0.22
1.1 0.33
0.27
0.17
0.07 0.20
0.09 1.0 1.0
more rapidly compared to that of the rest 1 0.06
0.07
0.18
0.16
0.05 0.14 0.8
0.06 0.13
of the group. 0.03 0.03
0.03
0.05
0.10
0.10
0.7
0.05 0.05 0.07 0.6
0.05 0.06 0.08
0.05 0.06 0.4
0.2 0.3
10
Trade Developments Figure 5. Total Trade between South Africa and BRIC
US$ (billion)
• Since the turn of the century, South Africa 15
recorded a trade deficit with the rest of 10
• South African’s annual exports to BRICS Figure 6. SA Export Composition Figure 7. SA Imports Composition
peaked at about US$17bn in 2011 and with BRICS* with BRICS*
thereafter fell to US$10.6bn. The drop in
exports may be attributed to the sharp 2016 52% 18% 3% 21% 2016 5% 10% 17% 42% 16%
decline in metal prices, rising production
2015 47% 24% 4% 18% 2015 7% 10% 17% 45% 15%
costs in South Africa’s mining sector and
the lacklustre performance of the global 2014 57% 17% 5% 15% 2014 8% 10% 16% 42% 16%
imports from the rest of BRICS fell from 2009 49% 18% 8% 21% 2009 8% 9% 15% 39% 19%
its peak of US$23bn in 2013 to about
2008 44% 11% 15% 22% 2008 8% 9% 17% 41% 16%
US$18bn in 2016.
2007 30% 28% 13% 28% 8% 2007 8% 6% 17% 39% 18%
of commodities in its BRICS export 2005 27% 8% 15% 29% 14% 2005 7% 17% 37% 23%
US$ (billion)
Russia. 1.0
0.8
• China has been South Africa’s largest
partner among the BRICS countries, 0,6
0.6
0.2
Source: UNCTAD, 2018, *Products are classified using
Standard International Trade Classification (SITC) level 1
0.1
0
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
12
Figure 10. Exports and Imports with India
4
US$ (billion)
0
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
18
16
14
12
US$ (billion)
10
0
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
13
Trade Developments Figure 12. SA Trade Composition with Brazil
South Africa’s Exports to Brazil South Africa’s Imports from Brazil
Between South Africa
and BRIC 2016
2015 24%
35%
17%
25%
15%
15% 11%
34%
2016
2015
18%
15%
8% 7% 18%
10% 8% 25%
23%
16%
19%
17%
• South Africa’s export profile with the 2014 22% 34% 15% 19% 2014 15% 8% 17% 21% 23%
2013 27% 46% 12% 8% 2013 28% 6% 15% 21% 19%
rest of BRICS reveals its low export
diversification and strong reliance on 2012 29% 35% 19% 9% 2012 26% 7% 11% 22% 21%
2011 32% 31% 16% 14% 2011 23% 7% 7% 12% 21% 22%
primary goods.
2010 33% 25% 17% 18% 2010 21% 11% 26% 22%
2009 24% 33% 13% 24% 2009 22% 7% 10% 28% 20%
• In particular, the composition of South 2008 36% 21% 12% 19% 2008 15% 8% 8% 29% 24%
Africa’s exports to India changed notably 2007 41% 20% 10% 16% 2007 16% 13% 28% 26%
during the period under review. Prior to 2006 43% 22% 14% 13% 2006 15% 13% 26% 29%
2007, chemicals and manufactured goods 2005 43% 23% 10% 16% 2005 17% 13% 25% 27%
accounted for the lion’s share of South 2004 44% 24% 13% 2004 16% 7% 13% 24% 27%
Africa’s exports to India. Thereafter, crude 2003 38% 25% 16% 2003 9% 19% 21% 29%
materials and mineral fuels became the 2002 31% 28% 26% 9% 2002 10% 12% 16% 29% 19%
dominant exports. Similarly, South Africa’s 2001 29% 23% 14% 29% 2001 5% 9% 65% 10%
0% 50% 100% 0% 50% 100%
commodity exports as a share of total
exports to China have seen a significant Figure 13. SA Trade Composition with Russia
increase since the turn of the century.
South Africa’s Exports to Russia South Africa’s Imports from Russia
• The composition of South Africa’s imports 2007 53% 6% 17% 15% 2007 77% 2% 20%
from Russia showed strong fluctuation 2006 60% 10% 7% 2006 28% 6% 63%
during the period under review. In par- 2005 51% 19% 16% 2005 5% 13% 71% 9%
2004 49% 13% 30% 2004 44% 43% 7%
ticular, four major spikes in mineral fuel
2003 67% 6% 14% 2003 15% 19% 60%
imports were notable in 2002, 2007, 2008
2002 49% 11% 18% 2002 73% 18% 5%
and 2009. During the recent oil price
2001 66% 6% 14% 2001 3% 73% 16%
downswing between 2014 and 2016, food
0% 50% 100% 0% 50% 100%
and live animals as well as manufactured
Food and live animals Beverages and tobacco Crude materials and Mineral fuels, lubricants
goods have shown notable spikes. inedibles except fuels and related materials
Animal and vegetable Other chemicals and Manufactured goods Machinery and
oils, fats and waxes related products transport equipment
Source: UNCTAD, 2018, *Products are classified using
Standard International Trade Classification (SITC) level 1 Miscellaneous Other commodities
manufactured articles
14
Figure 14. SA Trade Composition with India
South Africa’s Exports to India South Africa’s Imports from India
Food and live animals Beverages and tobacco Crude materials and Mineral fuels, lubricants
inedibles except fuels and related materials
Animal and vegetable Other chemicals and Manufactured goods Machinery and
oils, fats and waxes related products transport equipment
Miscellaneous Other commodities
manufactured articles
15
Trade Developments
Between BRICS and
the Rest of the World
• Reflecting the dominance of commodity • While vegetables and fruits were South of total exports to China. Imports were
exports to the rest of BRICS, South Africa’s most important exports to Russia, dominated by manufactured products.
Africa’s single most exported product to accounting for almost half of all exports Telecommunication and sound recording
Brazil was iron and steel. In 2016, iron in 2016, cereals accounted for more than apparatus made up about one quarter of
and steel accounted for 26% of South half of South African imports from Russia. South African imports from China.
Africa’s total exports to Brazil. In 2016,
transport equipment accounted for 10% of
South Africa’s imports from Brazil, making • In 2016, coal accounted for more than • The key exports to each BRICS country
it the single largest import from the Latin 50% of India’s import from South Africa. reveal the concentration of South Africa’s
American country. South Africa’s imports from India are exports on primary goods. The persistent
more diverse with petroleum products export concentration on primary products
accounting for 23% of total imports from suggests that current trade agreements
India, followed by road vehicles, which with BRICS countries to promote South
contributed 18% to South Africa’s imports Africa’s export diversification have still not
from the subcontinent in 2016. taken effect.
• South Africa’s top exports to China Source: UNCTAD, 2018, *Products are classified using
Standard International Trade Classification (SITC) level 1
included metalliferous ores, and iron
and steel, accounting for close to 60%
Other transport
Iron and steel 98 145
equipment
Sugar, sugar
Organic chemicals 29 64
preparations and honey
16
Figure 17. SA’s Top Traded Goods
with Russia 2016
Exports US$ (million) Imports US$ (million)
Electrical machinery,
Manufactures of metal 9 apparatus and 9
appliances
Medicinal and
Pulp and waste paper 187 385
pharmaceutical products
Electrical machinery,
Non-ferrous metals 479 1059
apparatus and appliancess
17
Investment Developments
A Snapshot of Total Investment into
South Africa from BRIC 2003-2017
India
Projects: 88
Capex:US$5.4bn
Jobs Created: 11875
South Africa
Russia
Projects: 17
Capex: US$466m
Jobs Created: 1478
China
Projects: 77
Brazil
Capex: US$11.9bn
Projects: 7
Jobs Created: 22863
Capex: US$72m
Jobs Created: 636
US$ (billion)
• South Africa’s net foreign investment*
60
70% 72%
• Between 2001 and 2003, India was 78%
84%
80%
88%
76%
88%
93% 93% 94% 94%
the largest recipient of South African 50% 66% 93%
66% 61%
20
South Africa’s Net Figure 23. Total Foreign Investment - Brazil vs South Africa
Foreign Investment
25
Position with BRIC
• Since South Africa’s inclusion into 20
BRICS in 2010, its outbound investment
into the other BRICS members surged
significantly. This trend was in particular 15
US$ (billion)
pronounced for its investments into
China and India.
10
allowed South African companies Total Foreign Investment in BRIC Member State from South Africa
0
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
21
Figure 25. Total Foreign Investment - India vs South Africa
2
US$ (billion)
0
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
90
80
70
60
US$ (billion)
50
40
30
20
10
0
2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016
22
Total FDI into South Figure 27. Total Inward FDI Capital Investment from BRIC
US$ (billion)
• Between 2003 and 2017, South Africa
received on average US$1.2bn in FDI*
flows per year from its fellow BRICS
partners. While annual inflows remained
below US$1bn for most years, inflows 2,3 2,2
21 21
20
19
18
Number of projects
14 14 14
12
10
8
6
5
4
3
27% 13%
has risen. China’s emergence as a key 18%
7% 11% 7% 6% 10%
5%
source of FDI for South Africa coincides
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
with its extensive global uptick in outward
China India Russia Brazil
investment since 2005.
13%
20%
29% 29% 28%
36% 40%
50% 50% 52%
60%
67% 67%
74%
25%
33% 7% 16%
10%
10% 11% 20%
17% 14% 17% 5%
13% 10% 8%
7% 7% 5%
24
FDI into South Africa Figure 33. Capital Investment from BRIC
US$ (billion)
• FDI inflows from BRICS increased rapidly
3
since South Africa joined the group in
2
2010. In the seven years since South 1
0.03
Africa joined the group, its fellow BRICS 0.02 0.05 0.10
2003-2010 2011-2017
partners invested three-times more
capital in the country compared to the Brazil Russia India China
seven years prior to 2011. A once-off
US$6.4bn investment in 2014 skews the
inward FDI reading in favour of China. Figure 34. Total Jobs Created by BRIC Inward FDI
7938
2011 and 2017. 6648
5227
40
Number of projects
22
8 9
3 4
2003-2010 2011-2017
25
Total FDI into South Figure 36. Share of FDI Capital Investment by Province 2003-17
56%
27 6679 8781 Gauteng
1 100 10 KwaZulu-Natal
1 227 119 Limpopo
of capital investment 1 27 5 Mpumalanga
14%
• Brazilian, Chinese and Indian investment US$466m
in the automotive sector had the largest
69%
impact on job creation.
28
Figure 39. Share of Total Capital Investment from
India by Sector 2003-17
29
FDI into South Africa Figure 41. Share of Total Capital Investment from Brazil by
Business Activity
by Business Activity
2003-2017
9%
• Brazilian and Russian investments were
concentrated on a small number of busi- 14%
4%
• A US$6.4bn construction project in the 12%
real estate sector in Johannesburg in
2014 was China’s single largest business
15%
activity. The capital investment accounted US$466m
69%
for more than half of China’s investment
in South Africa. Besides this construction
project, manufacturing activities in
the metals, electronic components
and automotive sectors attracted one
Country Number of Jobs Capex Sector
quarter of capital investments. These
Projects Created (US$m)
manufacturing investments created
Russia 1 1012 320 Extraction
over 17 000 jobs. In addition, China also
invested a substantial amount in logistics, 7 182 72 Business Services
30
FDI into South Africa Figure 43. Share of Total Capital Investment from India by
Business Activity
by Business Activity
2003-2017 6%
3%
7%
• In general, all BRICS members, apart
7%
from Russia, channelled a considerable
7% US$5.8bn 47%
share of their FDI into the secondary
sector. In contrast, Russian investments
were largely directed to the extractive 23%
sector.
17%
Source: fDi Markets, 2018
US$11.9bn 54%
24%
1 41 186 Electricity
38 1904 395.2 Other
77 22863 11900 Total
31
Key Takeouts on
South Africa’s Trade Russia India China
and Investment
Relations with BRIC Trade Balance -US$1.02bn US$25m US$46m -US$6.7bn
2016
Since 2001
Over the past 15 years, Brazil and Russia’s
trade with South Africa has remained
marginal compared to that of India Key Exports to • Food and live • Food and live • Manufactured • Manufactured
and China. This is largely because the South Africa animals animals products and products and
2016 machinery machinery
economies of Brazil, Russia and South • Manufactured • Manufactured
Africa are commodity-based. The three products and products • Mineral fuels
countries have very similar trade profiles machinery
and have limited room for trade among
each other. Key Imports from • Food and live • Food and live • Mineral fuels • Raw materials
South Africa animals animals except fuels
In contrast to these three commodity 2016 • Raw materials
• Beverages and except fuels
exporters, China and India are much tobacco
more industrialised with high demand for
imported raw materials. Their demand
for commodities and a more diversified Total FDI in South US$72mn US$466m US$5.4bn US$11.9bn
export basket present more opportunities Africa 2003-2017
for trade with South Africa. South Africa
largely serves as a source of raw materials
for their industrial sector and a market for
their manufacturing output. Trade between
BRICS and South Africa has been driven by Total Foreign US$163mn US$40m US$621m US$9.7bn
demand for commodity exports from South Investment in
Africa to BRICS and high local demand for South Africa
manufactured imports. 2016
32
Doing Business in BRICS
Key Factors to Consider
Main Taxes Terms
10% to 35% - Import duty is waived on machinery and equipment that are
Import Duty
unavailable locally
Doing Business Ranking 2018 • Federal taxes incentives (such as import duty and corporate income tax
Manaus Free Trade reductions)
125/190 Zone
• State taxes incentives (state value added tax reduction)
34
Main Taxes Terms
Social Welfare
30% - Levied on employees annual salary and paid entirely by the business
Taxes
• Foreign legal entities without a business presence in Russia: 10% on freight
services provided in Russia.
Withholding on
Dividends, Interest, • Income tax on most Russian-sourced income including interest, royalty, income
Doing Business and Royalties from leasing, and rental operations: 20%
GDP 2017
Foreign
US$1.58 trillion
Investment Incentives
Benefits
Population • Software and high-tech companies: 14%
Reduced • Property tax: 0% for
142 million social security • Companies engaged in special innovation projects: 14% 10 years
contributions
• Companies that are members of the Skolkovo project: 20%
Inflation 2017 Reduced profit tax rate: • Land tax: 0% for
Technology
3.69% innovative special 0% for 5 years, Federal budget 5 years
economic zones Regional budget 0.13%-5% Regional budget
Doing Business Ranking 2018
Tourism and Reduced profit tax rate: • Transport tax: 0%
35/190 for 10 years
recreational special 0% for 5 years, Federal budget
economic zones 0.13%-5% Regional budget
35
Main Taxes Terms
Income Tax • 0% to 30%
Capital Gains Tax • Tax on short-term gains is calculated based on the income bracket
in India Entry Tax 5.5% to 10%. - All items entering the state ordered via e-commerce
GDP 2017
Foreign
US$2.6 trillion Investment Incentives
Benefits
Population • Exemption from import duty, VAT and other taxes
1.2 billion Special Economic
Zones (SEEPZ, • 10-year tax holiday for the first 20 years
Kandla, Cochin,
• 10% FDI allowed through the Automatic route for all manufacturing activities
Madras,
Inflation 2017 Visakhapatnam, • Simplification of procedures and self-certification in the labour acts
2.49% Falta)
• Speedy approvals, clearances and customs procedures and dispute resolution
• 100% foreign direct investment (FDI) are allowed for all the manufacturing
Doing Business Ranking 2018 activities
100/190
• Income tax holidays
Noida Export
• Exemption from import duty, VAT and other taxes
Processing Zone
Key Government Departments for • Procedural efficiency for fast dispute resolution, clearances, Approvals, and
customs procedures
Foreign Investors
• Abundant supply of trained manpower
Ministry of Commerce and Industry
Address: Udyog Bhawan, New Delhi 110 107, India FDI is allowed without needing prior approval from Government or the Reserve
Email: wio-commerce@nic.in Bank of India. Certain activities such as enjoying the automatic route benefit,
Automatic route
Tel: +91 11 2306 2261 namely; telecom services, banking, satellites (establishment and operation),
defence, mining, among others
The Associated Chambers of Commerce &
Industry of India
Address: ASSOCHAM Corporate Office, 5, Sardar, Key Sectors for Investment
Chanakyapuri, New Delhi – 110021
01. Airport and ground handling 06. Machine tools 11. Safety and security
E-mail: assocham@nic.in
Tel: +91 4655 0555 (Hunting Line) 02. Computer and peripherals 07. Medical equipment 12. Telecommunications
03. Education services 08. Mining and mineral processing equipment
Invest India:
Address: Federation House, Tansen Marg, 04. Electric power and equipment 13. Textile machinery
New Delhi, 110001 transmission equipment 09. Oil and gas field machinery 14. Water and sustainable
E-mail: bhaskar.chaturvedi@investindia.gov.in
Telephone: +91-11-23048155 05. Food processing 10. Pollution control equipment energies
36
Main Taxes Terms
• 25% - Levied on foreign entities with business operations in China
Enterprise
Income Tax • 20% - Levied on foreign enterprises with no operations in China but receive
dividends, interest, or other income in China
Import and Export 9.8% - Except for several important resource commodities, China imposes no
Tariff export tariff on other commodities
GDP 2017
US$12.2 trillion Foreign
Investment Incentives
Benefits
Population
Encouraged A reduced 15% enterprise income tax (EIT) rate for firms
1.4 billion Foreign within the scope prescribed by the Catalogue of Encouraged
Investments Industries
China (Shanghai) It provides convenient investment and trading procedures,
Inflation 2017 Pilot Free Trade full convertibility of currencies, effective and efficient goods
1.59% Zone supervision, and investor-friendly regulatory environment
Special Economic
Zones (SEZ): Provides preferential policies in funding and taxes. Newly
Doing Business Ranking 2018 Shenzhen, Zhuhai, established high-tech enterprises retain their first income
78/190 Xiamen, Shantou, from operations and enjoy a 3-year tax reduction or
Hainan Island, exemption
Kashgar
State-level New
Government provides support concerning policy and funding
Area:
Reduced tax of 15% to 20% and a 50% deduction on
Key Government Departments for Preferential Tax research and development for enterprises engaged in
Foreign Investors Policies: industries of high and new technology, environmental
protection, safety among others
China Council for the Promotion of
International Trade (CCPIT)
Address: 1 Fuxingmenwai Street, Beijing 100860, Key Sectors for Investment
China Chairman: Jiang Zengwei
01. Chemical industry 04. Renewable energy
Tel: +86 10 8807 5650
02. Insurance and banking 05. Environmental safety
State Administration for Industry and Commerce 03. High technology 06. Green economy
Address: 8 Sanlihe Donglu, Xichengqu, Beijing,
100820, P. R. China
Email: dfa@saic.gov.cn
Tel: +86 10 6801 0463/3447
• 28% - Companies
• 45% - Trusts
Income tax
• 0% to 28% - Small business corporations
Royalties 15%
Key Country Indicators Imports and export
0% to 30%
tariffs
GDP 2017
US$349 billion Foreign
Investment Incentives
Benefits
Population
• Preferential 15% Corporate Tax for qualifying entities
54 million
Special Economic • Building Allowance: 10% per annum for qualifying buildings and fixed structures
Zones (Musina/
Makhado, OR • Employment Incentives for low salary workers
Inflation 2017 Tambo, Maliti–A-
5.19% Phofung, Dube • Import duty rebates for production-related and exported products, and VAT
Trade Port) exemptions under specific conditions for supplies procured in South Africa
38
Contact
Dr Martyn Davies
Managing Director, Emerging
Markets & Africa
Deloitte Africa
mdavies@deloitte.co.za
Nazeer Essop
Public Sector Industry Leader
Deloitte Africa
nessop@deloitte.co.za
Research Team
Simon Schaefer
Manager
Deloitte & Touche
sischaefer@deloitte.co.za
Jean-Baptist Nkume
Consultant
Deloitte Africa
jnkume@deloitte.co.za
39
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