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INTENSIDADES MÁXIMAS (mm/hr)

WEBERBAWER DEPARTAMENTO : CAJAMARCA


2536 msnm PROVINCIA : CAJAMARCA
07 º 30´ S LONGITUD : 78 º 30´ W

m Año 5 min. 10 min. 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.


1 1973 101.00 71.00 24.00 14.00 11.00
2 1974 73.00 58.00 34.00 18.00 19.00
3 1975 90.00 50.00 24.00 16.00 10.00
4 1976 68.00 63.00 37.00 19.00 9.00
5 1977 65.00 53.00 37.00 21.00 11.00
6 1978 26.00 24.00 21.00 12.00 6.00
7 1979 60.00 60.00 38.00 23.00 14.00
8 1980 73.02 61.00 33.80 21.08 9.28
9 1981 67.20 54.80 29.13 15.54 13.02
10 1982 88.29 75.15 37.20 23.10 13.27
11 1983 75.30 50.40 31.40 23.71 13.99
12 1984 112.80 71.80 27.60 15.63 9.80
13 1985 56.20 54.40 25.56 14.70 8.05
14 1986 84.60 65.40 30.11 15.60 8.23
15 1987 76.00 59.10 21.60 13.20 7.25
16 1988 70.40 52.80 23.00 15.90 7.85
17 1989 73.60 47.80 28.00 16.00 9.60
18 1990 111.60 75.00 37.94 23.00 12.00
19 1991 83.00 73.00 41.00 26.00 14.00
20 1992 56.00 39.00 19.00 10.00 5.80
21 1993 62.80 51.00 27.00 18.00 10.00
22 1994 91.49 64.18 36.22 19.04 12.91
23 1995 71.11 56.25 28.66 16.72 9.32
24 1996 81.30 60.21 22.44 17.88 11.12
25 1997 82.20 68.10 35.04 17.86 11.94
26 1998 92.00 66.34 40.60 27.10 13.50
27 1999 78.00 42.85 20.05 11.00 14.40

I TRANPOSICION DE INTENCIDADES (mm/hr) DEPARTAMENTO


MICROCUENCA DE …………. PROVINCIA
CASERIO
ALTITUD MEDIA m.s.n.m

�_2 = ( 〖 (�X 〗 _𝑀𝐸𝐷�𝐴))/�_1


�_1

DONDE : I2:intencidad de micro cuenca


I1:intencidad de la est.Weberbawer

m Año 5 min. 10 min. 30 min. 60 min. 120 min.


1 1973 123.46 86.79 29.34 17.11 13.45
2 1974 89.24 70.90 41.56 22.00 23.23
3 1975 110.02 61.12 29.34 19.56 12.22
4 1976 83.12 77.01 45.23 23.23 11.00
5 1977 79.46 64.79 45.23 25.67 13.45
6 1978 31.78 29.34 25.67 14.67 7.33
7 1979 73.34 73.34 46.45 28.12 17.11
8 1980 89.26 74.57 41.32 25.77 11.34
9 1981 82.15 66.99 35.61 19.00 15.92
10 1982 107.93 91.86 45.47 28.24 16.22
11 1983 92.05 61.61 38.38 28.98 17.10
12 1984 137.89 87.77 33.74 19.11 11.98
13 1985 68.70 66.50 31.24 17.97 9.84
14 1986 103.41 79.94 36.81 19.07 10.06
15 1987 92.90 72.24 26.40 16.14 8.86
16 1988 86.06 64.54 28.12 19.44 9.60
17 1989 89.97 58.43 34.23 19.56 11.74
18 1990 136.42 91.68 46.38 28.12 14.67
19 1991 101.46 89.24 50.12 31.78 17.11
20 1992 68.45 47.67 23.23 12.22 7.09
21 1993 76.77 62.34 33.00 22.00 12.22
22 1994 111.84 78.45 44.28 23.27 15.78
23 1995 86.92 68.76 35.03 20.44 11.39
24 1996 99.38 73.60 27.43 21.86 13.59
25 1997 100.48 83.25 42.83 21.83 14.60
26 1998 112.46 81.09 49.63 33.13 16.50
27 1999 95.35 52.38 24.51 13.45 17.60
Promedio 93.71 70.97 36.69 21.92 13.37
DSV .ST 21.89 14.34 8.30 5.39 3.64

SELECION DEL MODELO MATEMATICO

Para el modelo matematico gumbel


prueba de bondad de ajuste (SMIRNOV -KOLMOGOROV)

-((𝑥−µ)/α)
�_((𝑋)) = �^(−�)

Estimacion de los parametros


�_�
Para N=27 µ= -α
1/α=�_�/�

Donde:
sn = σy Yn = uy
93.71 σy = 1.1004 uy = 0.5332
S 21.89 �=
19.8900664 u= 83.1076817683

m 5 MINUTOS P(X>x) Weibull 1-P(X>x) F(X<x) P(X<x) -F(X<x)


1 137.886435 0.0357142857 0.96428571 0 0
2 136.419558 0.0714285714 0.92857143 0 0
3 123.462145 0.1071428571 0.89285714 0 0
4 111.837145 0.1428571429 0.85714286 0 0
5 110.015773 0.1785714286 0.82142857 0 0
6 107.925473 0.2142857143 0.78571429 0 0
7 103.414826 0.25 0.75 0 0
8 101.458991 0.2857142857 0.71428571 0 0
9 92.9022082 0.3214285714 0.67857143 0 0
10 92.04653 0.3571428571 0.64285714 0 0
11 89.9684543 0.3928571429 0.60714286 0 0
12 89.2594637 0.4285714286 0.57142857 0 0
13 89.2350158 0.4642857143 0.53571429 0 0
14 86.0567823 0.5 0.5 0 0
15 83.1230284 0.5357142857 0.46428571 0 0
16 82.1451104 0.5714285714 0.42857143 0 0
17 79.455836 0.6071428571 0.39285714 0 0
18 76.7665615 0.6428571429 0.35714286 0 0
19 73.3438486 0.6785714286 0.32142857 0 0
20 68.6987382 0.7142857143 0.28571429 0 0
21 68.4542587 0.75 0.25 0 0
22 31.7823344 0.7857142857 0.21428571 0 0
23 86.9246845 0.8214285714 0.17857143 0 0
24 99.3809148 0.8571428571 0.14285714 0 0
25 100.481073 0.8928571429 0.10714286 0 0
26 112.460568 0.9285714286 0.07142857 0 0
27 95.3470032 0.9642857143 0.03571429 0 0
CAJAMARCA
CAJAMARCA

EPARTAMENTO CAJAMARCA
CAJAMARCA
………………….
101.00 2536
I1 H1 regla de 3 simple
〗 _𝑀𝐸𝐷�𝐴))/�_1
X Hmedia 3100
x=(I1*Hmedia)/H1
123.462145
HNEDIA
H1:Alt.
2.71828^(-1*2.71828^-((C98-$I$92)/$F$92))

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