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Article history: This paper uses primary data to analyze the institutions and informal markets that govern groundwater
Received 26 December 2009 allocation in a sugarcane-cultivating village in North India. We find that, in contrast to earlier literature, the
Received in revised form 27 July 2011 observed water trades result in efficient water allocation across farms. We interpret this and other stylized
Accepted 28 July 2011
facts in terms of a social contract using a simple bargaining model with limited inter-player transfers. Poor
functioning of the power sector leads to reduced pumping and a water supply constraint. Simulations show
JEL classification:
L1
that power supply reform can significantly increase farm yields, and be financed out of increased farm profits.
Q1 © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Q2
Keywords:
Water markets
Market structure
Social contracts
Water pricing
0304-3878/$ – see front matter © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2011.07.005
A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237 229
would not increase output significantly. This is a striking result, Plots irrigated with own Plots using purchased
standing in sharp contrast with much of the literature, such as tubewell water
Jacoby et al. (2004), Meinzen-Dick (1996), and Shah (1993), Number of plots 240 86
which has tended to find allocative inefficiency and attributed Yields (quintals per bigha) 59 (15.9) 53 (16.3)
it to the presence of monopoly power of tubewell owners. Mean volume of irrigation 30 (9.1) 22 (7.7)
(bigha inches per bigha)
(v) However, notwithstanding the social contract, inadequate power
extracts a toll. Through simulations we show that in the presence Note: Figures in parentheses refer to standard deviations.
of adequate electricity, simulated yields are up to 9% higher than 1 bigha = 0.2 acres; 1 quintal = 100 kg.
1 4
See Banerji, Meenakshi and Khanna (2006) for a discussion of intertemporal A submersible pump has a hermetically-sealed motor, is submerged in the water,
efficiency in this context, and Shah et al. (1993) for a general discussion of this issue. and has a greater lifting force as it does not rely on external air pressure for lifting
2
See Schoengold and Zilberman (2007) for an excellent survey on the economics of water. Non-submersible (centrifugal) pumps have lower discharge, and are not able to
water. lift water from great depths. The variant of these pumps that operate in this area are
3
Dark blocks are defined as areas where the quantum of groundwater used exceeds ‘jet’ pumps, whose jet assemblies are within the well in order to enable the pumps to
85% of recharge. operate at the moderate depth of water (55 ft) in this area.
230 A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237
farmer's largest plot: in our sample, the average plot size for plots with Table 2
tubewells at 12 bighas, is nearly double the area of plots with no Summary statistics of other inputs and output variables (326 observations).
tubewells. Bigha is the local measure of area, and equals about one-fifth Variable Mean Standard deviation Min Max
of an acre, and is the measure we use in this paper.
Output (quintals) 443 430.16 30 4000
Plot area (bighas) 7.5 6.21 1 50
2.2.3. Uniform price of water Labor (hours) 1302 1189.12 178 9190
A water price is set (in Rupees per hour) at the beginning of the Tractor (hours) 7.9 22.15 Neg 200
Oxen (hours) 86.4 99.62 Neg 568
season as a result of a social consensus, and holds for all water Irrigation (bigha-inches) 222.5 208.59 5.2 1330
transactions in the village. This price does not vary across the season
Conversion: 1 bigha = 0.2 acres. 1 bigha-inch = 20.6 cm3.
in response to varying power (and therefore water) availability, to
clear the market. Consequently, water selling farmers can only adjust
the quantity of water sales over the season. This uniformity of water water input on the plot; to determine whether rationing is significant,
prices and informal social contract has been noted elsewhere; for we derive a confidence interval around the MPW using the Delta
example by Dubash (2002) for Gujarat, and Srivastava et al. (2009) for method. Separately, we estimate the unit cost of water extraction
Central Uttar Pradesh. from each tubewell.
As we demonstrate in Section 3, despite evidence that water is
rationed, the social contract translates into substantial water sales, a 3.1. Estimating the sugarcane production technology and unit costs of
stylized fact that appears to apply to other areas as well. Srivastava water extraction
et al. (2009) note that “Given … the relative shortage of water (due to
paucity of electricity) tubewell owners wanting to maximize profits The problems associated with estimating a production function
from water sales could choose to sell little water, using most of it on based on a single cross-section, as is the case here, are well-known. 6 In
their own plots….They sell substantial volumes of water, even though our case, estimation is facilitated by the considerable variation in
it would make better economic sense to use the water to boost the inputs across plots, owing to variation in plot sizes, among other
productivity of their own land” (p. 96). factors. Also as farmers in the data set have multiple plots, we use
We calculate the price of water per unit volume charged by a farmer dummies to deal with identification problems caused by
tubewell by dividing the village water price of Rupees 15 by the unobserved, farmer-specific shocks, and include plot-specific soil
measured volume of water that the tubewell discharges per hour. We quality variables to control for soil fertility impacts on output. We
measure irrigation volume in terms of bigha-inches, which is estimate the equation
approximately 20.6 m 3 of water. The average price per bigha-inch of
water across all tubewells is Rupees 6.50. 5 yij = f xij ; β bj εij ð1Þ
2.3. Summary statistics where bj is a farmer j-specific shock unobserved by the econometri-
cian (farmer j cultivates plot i), which we can estimate using a dummy
Table 1 summarizes yields of sugarcane by category of plot, to for farmer j; yij, xij, εij are, respectively output, a J-dimensional input
examine whether the differential irrigation volumes are reflected in vector (of which the Jth input is water), and error on plot i, cultivated
yields. As one might expect given the summary statistics on irrigation, by farmer j and β is a J-dimensional parameter vector. We
yields are lower on plots with purchased water but the differences are experimented with several functional forms, including the flexible,
not substantial. Translog function. We found that the Cobb–Douglas production
Summary statistics for the other major inputs are presented in function nested by the Translog works best (the null that the
Table 2. With labor, all activities are summed across by type of activity higher-order terms are all zero cannot be rejected). 7 Our production
(land preparation and sowing, weeding and digging, applications of model is therefore
irrigation and other inputs, tying of cane, harvesting) and by type of
J T−1
labor (hired casual labor and permanent labor, contractual labor,
ln yij = ∑ βkln xijk + ∑ γj dj + λdc + uij ð2Þ
household labor, labor in exchange and other miscellaneous forms). In k=1 j=1
addition to input use data, we collected soil samples from each plot,
and had them analyzed for ten quality characteristics. where i indexes plots, j indexes farmers, ln(xij1) = 1, for all i, dj = 1 if
plot i is cultivated by farmer j, and is zero otherwise; dc equals 1 if plot
3. Evidence of water rationing i has a rattoon 8 crop. The explanatory variables xik are plot size, labor,
tractor and oxen hours, and irrigation volume. Since fertilizer and
We investigate two questions related to the water allocation across
plots observed in our sample — whether water is rationed (this section), 6
See Griliches and Mairesse (1998), Levinsohn and Petrin (2003), Marschak and
and whether its allocation across plots is inefficient (Section 5). Andrews (1944) and Olley and Pakes (1996) on identification of production functions.
Any production function estimation is susceptible to endogeneity, as the right-hand
Since the price of water is fixed through the season, and electricity
variables are objects of choice; these choices can depend on unobserved farmer-
for pumping water is in short supply, it is possible that there is specific and plot-specific characteristics and thus be correlated with the error term.
quantity rationing of water on plots. A water buying plot i is defined to Multiple plots per farmer enable us to control for the former with a farmer-specific
be water rationed if its marginal value product exceeds the marginal fixed effect. We also have detailed plot-specific soil quality data to control for the
latter. In our empirical work, we experimented with different instruments for various
cost of water extraction: i.e. if ps âi > ĉt , where ĉt is the estimated
inputs and found that they did not significantly change the values of the parameters
unit cost of water extraction for the tubewell supplying plot i, ps is the (particularly of water). Water prices are too weakly correlated with irrigation volumes
sugarcane price, and âi is the estimated MPW (marginal product of to serve as effective instruments. This last fact probably arises because under water
water) for the plot. rationing, the social contract allocates water efficiently across plots; so plots with
We estimate plot-level marginal product of water as the partial different water prices can end up with similar irrigation volumes.
7
We also considered the von Liebig production function that often works well in
derivative of an estimated production function with respect to the
plant experiments (e.g. Paris and Knapp, 1989). However, the von Liebig implies a cost
function linear in input prices. This is rejected by our data, so we did not estimate this
5
By way of comparison, this is a little greater than half of the average water price form of production function.
8
that Somanathan and Ravindranath (2006) estimate for water transactions in the Rattoon refers to a second year stalk from planted sugarcane, grown by leaving the
Papagni watershed in the southern states of Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka. roots and part of the stalk intact in the soil during the first harvest.
A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237 231
Table 3 Table 4A
Cobb–Douglas production function estimates with farmer fixed effects. Estimates for marginal value product of water (MVPW) (incremental Rupees per
incremental bigha-inch), with 95% confidence intervals; water price (Rupees per Bigha-
Output Coefficient Standard error inch).
Plot area 0.745** 0.0458
Variable Observations Mean* (in Rupees) Std. dev. Min Max
Labor 0.045* 0.028
Fertilizer–manure principal component 0.028** 0.012 MVPW 326 24.4 14.2 6.9 130.9
Tractor 0.101** 0.019 Conf. int: R 326 25.8 16.5 7.1 175.0
Oxen 0.121** 0.021 Conf. int: L 326 23.1 12.2 6.7 130.7
Irrigation 0.108** 0.03 Water price 326 6.5 2.1 2.8 13.6
Crop dummy (1 = rattoon) 0.474** 0.043
*: After dropping 2 outliers. Conf. int. L and R are left and right endpoints of confidence
Soil quality first principal component − 0.0002 0.0001
intervals. 1 bigha-inch = 20.6 cm3.
Soil quality: second principal component −0.0002 0.0002
Constant 2.691** 0.193
water allocation that we should expect if the model is a reasonable Substituting this in the objective function of Eq. (3), the problem
approximation of village negotiations. Also, the only transfers farmers becomes
make to each other is through payments for water use, at a single, " #
common water price. It is useful to show how this affects the Pareto N
Maxðwjj ;wj+1; j Þ ∑ Ajj f wjj + Aj; j−1 f wj; j−1 −c wjj + wj+1; j −πj :
frontier and utility possibilities that farmers can attain. As discussed j j=1
earlier, in our data, two-thirds of farmers are both water buyers and
ð5Þ
water sellers; a sixth only sell water, and of the remaining sixth that buy
water, half are tubewell owners. For simplicity, we discuss a setting in
Rearrange Eq. (5) to have the entire water allocation from
which all farmers buy as well as sell water. Relaxing this does not affect
tubewell j ‘visible’:
the essential implications; we demonstrate this using a simple example
in Appendix A.2. N
Suppose there are N farmers, and N ‘locations’. Farmer j has 2 Maxðw ;w Þ ∑
jj j+1; j j
Ajj f wjj + Aj+1; j f wj+1; j −c wjj + wj+1; j −π j :
j=1
plots, in locations j − 1 and j; so at each location j, there are 2 plots,
owned by farmers j and j + 1 (modulo N). 13 Farmer j has a tubewell ð6Þ
on his plot in location j but not on his plot in location j − 1, and his
own tubewell is too distant to serve this latter plot. So for each j, The first order conditions for an interior optimum are:
irrigation on the 2 plots at location j depends on farmer j's tubewell.
The particular choice of number of plots and pattern of plot Ajj f ′ wjj = c; Aj +1; j f ′ wj+1; j = c; ∀j: ð7Þ
ownership is purely for simplicity; it implies that water transactions
generate a circle of interaction: Farmer 1 sells water to farmer 2, who
That is, the MVPW on each plot equals the unit cost of water
sells to farmer 3, and so on to farmer N. The unit cost of water
extraction; every point on the Pareto frontier of farmers' profits
extraction is c (for simplicity constant across tubewells). Crop output
corresponds to agreements with the same, efficient water allocation
depends on water input (w) alone (for simplicity): farmer j's outputs
described by Eq. (7). 14 But the data in Section 3.2 show that MVPW
on his 2 plots are Ajjf(wjj) and Aj, j − 1f(wj, j − 1) respectively. (The first
greatly exceeds the unit cost of extraction on each plot; so, an
subscript refers to the farmer and the second to the location of the
appropriate model of a social contract in the village must take into
plot; for example, wj, j − 1 is the amount of irrigation on farmer j's plot
account the fact that limited power supply rations the amount of
in location j − 1; Aj, j − 1 is a plot-specific productivity.) f is twice
water available.
continuously differentiable, strictly concave, with positive first
derivative; and water is an essential input. Let the sugarcane output
4.2. The social contract under water rationing
price be normalized to 1, and let p denote water price.
(wjj, wj+1, j)jN= 1, or simply (wjj, wj+1, j)j, will refer to a water
Suppose that the discharge from tubewell on plot j is constrained
allocation in the village; the expression within parentheses gives
to be at most wj ; j = 1; …; N. If wjj, wj + 1, j, the solutions to Eq. (7)
the water supplied by tubewell j to the plots of farmers j and j + 1 in
above, add up to a number greater than wj , plots will be water-
location j, An agreement will be a tuple (p, (wjj, wj+1, j)j) consisting of a
rationed; this is the case suggested by the data. To simplify some
water price p and a water allocation that all farmers agree upon. Every
expressions (for the disagreement point in Nash Bargaining), we
feasible agreement gives each farmer a specific level of profit;
make a stronger assumption.
(‘feasible’ water prices and water allocations will be defined later).
Assumption R. Ajj f ′ wj > c; ∀j = 1; …; N. That is, even if the entire
4.1. Water allocation in the absence of rationing amount discharged by tubewell j is applied to farmer j's plot at that
location, the MVPW on the plot exceeds the unit cost of water
We first show that in the absence of a (power shortage driven) extraction. In the absence of an agreement of water price and water
water constraint, the water allocation in the Nash Bargaining solution allocation, farmer j therefore gets a ‘disagreement’ profit dj =
would equate the marginal value product of water on each plot with Ajj f wj −cwj (since without getting any water on his plot in location
the marginal cost of water extraction. The Nash Bargaining solution j − 1, its output is 0).
picks a point on the Pareto frontier of farmers' profits. To deduce the The Pareto frontier of the set of profit possibilities is now
water allocation, it suffices to characterize the Pareto frontier. Let S be characterized by:
the set of all feasible agreements. The Pareto frontier would be
described by the solution to the problem which maximizes farmer 1's Max A f ðw Þ + A f ðw Þ + pw −pw −cw
11 11 1N 1N 21 1N 1
p;ðwjj ;wj+1; j Þj ∈S
profits holding fixed the profits of the other farmers:
s:t:
Max A11 f ðw11 Þ + A1N f ðw1N Þ + pw21 −pw1N −cðw11 + w21 Þ Ajj f wjj + Aj; j−1 f wj; j−1 + pwj+1;j −pwj;j−1 −cwj = π j ; ∀j = 2; …; N
p;ðwjj ;wj+1; j Þj ∈S
s:t: ð8Þ
Ajj f wjj + Aj; j−1 f wj; j−1 + pwj+1; j −pwj;j−1 −c wjj + wj+1; j = π j ;
and wjj + wj+1; j = wj ; ∀j = 1; …; N: ð9Þ
for all j = 2; …; N:
ð3Þ Here, the set S of feasible agreements consists of tuples of non-
negative water price and water allocations that do not exceed the
Adding the constraints in Eq. (3), we get water available from each tubewell, and that result in each farmer's
profit being at least as large as his disagreement profit. It follows from
N h i
Assumption R that all available water is utilized; so the constraints in
∑ Ajj f wjj + Aj; j−1 f wj; j−1 −c wjj + wj+1; j −π j ð4Þ
j=2 Eq. (9) hold with equality. Carrying out the same operations that
+ pw1N −pw21 = 0:
14
If some tubewell owners have tubewells on all plots, they may choose not to
participate in the water market, under some conditions. Our simple setting in which
all farmers have some plots without tubewells precludes a more formal discussion; but
13
That is, N + 1 refers to farmer 1. see Appendix A.2.
A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237 233
helped rewrite Eq. (3) in the form of Eq. (6), the above maximization p ∈ [m, M]. 17 Note that this water price p agreed upon has no simple
problem can be posed as: relationship with the unit cost of water extraction. Thus the literature
that uses price–cost margins to infer about allocative efficiency of
N
water may be misleading.
Maxðw ;w Þ ∑ Ajj f wjj + Aj+1; j f wj+1; j −cwj −πj
jj j+1; j j
j=1 ð10Þ In principle, determining the interval [m,M] that traps the water
s:t: wjj + wj+1; j = wj ; ∀j = 1; …; N: price for our village would require a census of water trades. We
approximate it using our sample data on tubewells. For all net water
sellers in the sample, profit net of disagreement payoff (πj0 − dj) is
The first order conditions imply
positive; so all non-negative water prices result in profits at least as
large, and are feasible. Thus m = 0. On the other hand, for the net
0 0
Ajj f wjj = Aj+1; j f wj+1; j ; ∀j = 1; …; N: ð11Þ
water buyers, the quantities − (πj0 − dj)/sj have 3 outliers at 6.3, 6.4
and 10.1, and thereafter all lie above 20. Thus a reasonable guess for
That is, water in each location j is allocated to equate MVPW on the the interval is [0,20]; and the observed water price of Rupees 6.5 per
plots in that location. Let this efficient water allocation be denoted bigha inch indeed lies in this interval.
(wjj*, wj+1,
* j )j. Every point on the Pareto frontier of farmers' profits
therefore arises from this common, efficient water allocation (efficient 5. Implications of the social contract
subject to the water constraints). We now describe the Pareto frontier
fully, followed by the Nash Bargaining solution for the problem. Another key implication of our model is that water allocation
Farmer j's profit at the efficient allocation is equal to across plots served by a tubewell is efficient. Do our data validate this?
0
πj = Ajj f wjj + Aj;j−1 f wj;j−1 −cw + p wj + 1;j −wj;j−1 = πj + psj 5.1. Allocative efficiency
j
ð12Þ
To examine this we ask the following question:
where sj equals his net water sales at the efficient water allocation, What would the outputs from the sample plots be if the total observed
and πj0 is his profit at this allocation, if the water price equals zero. The water from each tubewell in the sample is allocated efficiently across the
(asymmetric) Nash Bargaining solution is a tuple of farmers' profits plots that are serviced by that tubewell?
(π1nb, …, πNnb) that solves
α Suppose for every plot i the choice (xij) of inputs other than irrigation
N j
Maxðπ1 ;…;πN Þ∈Θ Πj = 1 πj −dj ð13Þ has been made as in the data. Suppose the constant marginal cost of
water extraction from tubewell t is ct, and let U(t) be the set of all plots in
where αj is the bargaining power of farmer j, Θ is the set of all profit the sample that are serviced by tubewell t. Let wt be the total volume of
tuples (π1, …, πN) that lie on the Pareto frontier and satisfy πj ≥ dj, ∀ j. water discharged from
tubewell t: this is given from the data. An
Regardless of bargaining power, the model provides an interval [m, efficient allocation x̂iJ i∈U ðtÞ of water would be a vector that maxi-
M] within which the negotiated water price will lie. Let NB = {j|sj b 0}, mizes ∑ ps f xij ; x̂iJ ; β −ct x̂iJ , subject to the constraints
NS = {j|sj ≥ 0} be the subsets of farmers that are respectively net buyers i∈U ðt Þ
and net sellers of water, at the efficient water allocation. For a water ∑ x̂iJ ≤wt ; and for all i∈U ðt Þ; x̂iJ ≥0: ð16Þ
price to be feasible, it must be non-negative, and satisfy πj0 + psj − i∈U ðt Þ
dj ≥ 0,∀ j. For feasible water prices to exist, it must be that for all net
water buyers, πj0 − dj > 0. We have that, at the efficient water allocation, The constraint ∑ x̂iJ ≤wt captures the water shortage implied by
the set of feasible water prices is the closed interval [m,M], where15 i∈U ðt Þ
limited electricity supply. Note that at the solution, MVPW will be
n o n n oo
0 0
M = min − πj −dj = sj j j∈NB ; m = max 0; max − πj −dj = sj j j∈NS :
equated across plots. We solve this problem, evaluated at the
estimated parameter vector β̂ and estimated production function
ð14Þ and unit cost of water extraction, f, and ĉt respectively, for each
tubewell in the data set. Then we compare the total simulated output
So a water price p > M implies that some net water buyer (at the with the total output in the sample.
efficient water allocation) is better off at his disagreement payoff than Note that the mapping from tubewells to user plots stays the same
on agreeing to this price. Similarly, p b m means that some net water as in the sample; 18 given that water is transported through unlined
seller (at the efficient water allocation) is better off at his water channels, this mapping is largely determined by proximity of
disagreement payoff than on an agreement at this price. Therefore, plots to particular tubewells.
the Pareto frontier of farmers' profits is given by: As indicated in Table 5, redistributing water results in an average
n o gain of 0.2 quintals per bigha (0.4% of the sample average), with the
0 0
Θ = ðπ1 ; …; πN Þ = π1 ; …; πN + pðs1 ; …; sN Þj p∈½m; M : ð15Þ highest gain of about 1 quintal per bigha (2% of sample average) on plots
which purchase water. We infer that the social contract appears to work
extremely well, allocating water efficiently across plots, minimizing
This is a line segment through the point (π10, …, πN0 ), in the direction losses in overall yields in the face of water rationing. An alternative
of (s1, …, sN), the net water trades of the farmers. 16 The Nash Bar- simulation (not reported) in which we permit water reallocation across
gaining objective function (Eq. (13)) is continuous on the compact set all plots (rather than across plots serviced by a common tubewell) leads
Θ, so a maximum exists; it is unique because the objective is strictly to an increase in average yield of about 0.4 quintals per bigha. Thus even
quasiconcave. Thus, there is agreement on a unique water price
17
The presence of multiple locations across which water is not transported could in
principle also be analyzed by a model where different water prices are negotiated in
different locations. However, this is not what we find in our village; we find a uniform
15
We assume m b M : this always holds if πj0 − dj > 0, ∀ j. village-level price and this is what our model explains.
16 18
In usual N-person Nash Bargaining problems of dividing a fixed pie, the Pareto So each plot serviced by the same tubewell faces the same marginal cost for water.
frontier is an N − 1 dimensional simplex; here, it is just a line segment because the Given water rationing, choosing a water allocation to maximize joint profits for these
only transfers possible between farmers are through the water price and water trades. plots is the same as maximizing joint output.
234 A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237
Table 5 Table 6
Simulation results on impact on yields from sample plots if the total observed water Simulation results on effect of unit power price on yields, irrigation volumes, profits,
from each tubewell in the sample is allocated efficiently across the plots that are and power revenue.
serviced by that tubewell?
Power price Yield Profits Irrigation volume Power revenue
Plot category Sample yield Simulated change Simulated change
(Sample: zero 58.22 2490.6* (2220.6) 28.2 270.3* (540.3)
(average) (yield) (value)
unit price)
All plots 58.22 +0.20 +20.40 2.0 64.1 2814.5 37.7 462.5
Plots with single-owner TW 59.17 − 0.06 − 6.12 2.3 63.6 2743.0 36.3 505.5
Plots that bought water 53.58 +1.01 +103.0 2.6 63.1 2675.3 34.7 539.4
2.9 62.6 2611.7 33.0 563.9
Yield = quintals of sugarcane per bigha; value = Rupees per bigha; sample area = 2350
3.2 62.1 2552.2 31.3 583.6
bighas. TW = tubewell.
3.5 61.5 2496.5 29.6 596.4
Conversion: 1 quintal = 100 kg. 1 bigha = 0.2 acres.
3.8 61.0 2444.5 27.9 606.7
4.1 60.5 2395.7 26.4 614.6
4.4 60.0 2349.8 25.0 620.1
though the plot level MPW estimates are significantly different from
Units: Power price: Rupees per kilowatt hour; yield: quintals per bigha; profits: Rupees
each other, in fact the extent of allocative inefficiency is strikingly
per bigha.
little. 19 Irrigation volume: bigha-inches (per bigha); power revenue: Rupees per bigha.
1 bigha = 0.2 acres; 1 bigha-inch = 20.6 cm3. The sample profits and power revenue per
bigha are starred, as profits are higher and power revenue lower due to farmers
5.2. Impact of alternative power policy underreporting the horsepower of their pumps. Correct reporting would result in the
profits and power revenue given in parentheses, below the starred levels in row 1.
19 21
This result provides support for the model of a village-level contract. The In the present setup of lump sum power payments based on pump horsepower,
proximity (or absence thereof) of tubewells in a village can naturally give rise to there is widespread underreporting of horsepower. Accurate assessments of pump
models of local monopoly or oligopoly with very different implications for allocative horsepower would decrease sample profits and increase sample power revenue by
efficiency. See Jacoby et al. (2004) for one such formal model. Rupees 270 per bigha each. Under such an alternative baseline scenario, Table 6
20
Profit is calculated as revenue minus wage cost, rental costs of tractors and oxen, suggests that power prices higher than Rupees 3.5 per kW h are consistent with profits
fertilizer cost and water cost; and cost of power for tubewell owners. We do not being larger than their baseline values as valued at higher pump horsepower.
22
subtract imputed land rent, as there is very little land given out on rent. The wage cost Data downloaded from http://mowr.gov.in/micensus/mi3census/reports/statelvl/
includes an imputed wage for family labor. up/6p2.pdf, accessed July 16, 2011.
A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237 235
A second key institutional feature is land fragmentation. Frag- National Bureau of Soil Surveys and Land Use Planning and the Water
mentation is a feature of agriculture not just in the western Gangetic Technology Centre at the Indian Agricultural Research Institute for help
plains, but in much of India. A nationally representative survey of over with soil analysis and discharge measurement respectively. We also
52,000 rural households undertaken by the National Sample Survey thank Partha Dasgupta, E. Somanathan, Enamul Haque, Nirmal
Organisation (2006) shows that the average number of parcels per Sengupta, Priya Shyamsundar, Rohini Somanathan, and the referees of
operational holding in Uttar Pradesh was 2.7–2.8 in 2003, the year this journal for helpful comments. The usual disclaimer applies.
before our survey was conducted. Similarly, Srivastava et al. (2009)
report an average of 2.6 to 3.7 fragments in Central Uttar Pradesh. Appendix A.1. Estimating marginal cost of water extraction from
The third institutional feature driving our results is the existence of a tubewell
a single water price in the village. Other studies have noted this
phenomenon; for example Dubash (2002) and Mukherji (2007). Farmers pay a lump sum annual electricity charge for running a
Aggarwal (2007) also notes that the uniformity of water prices within tubewell. So the marginal cost of water extraction includes only those
a village is a common feature of groundwater contracts; further she maintenance costs that depend on water output. Maintenance costs
notes that there appear to be no interlinkages of water with land, are essentially costs of repairing the pump set in the event of a
labor or credit. This is certainly the case in our village; however it is breakdown. While the frequency of breakdowns is high due to power
not possible to determine how widespread is the practice of uniform surges, what is germane here is that the number of breakdowns may
prices and lack of interlinkages with other key inputs. 23 depend on the number of hours that the tubewell operates. It also
In addition to the single-village nature of our data, the other depends on whether the machine is a submersible (fewer break-
limitations of our analysis are that it is static in nature (we do not downs) or a non-submersible. We assume that the number of
model the intertemporal consequences of power pricing reform) and breakdowns follows a Poisson process (see Ross, 1997) with
that it relies on production function estimates derived from a single parameters μ1, μ2 for submersibles and non-submersibles respectively.
cross-section that cannot fully account for endogeneity. Let J1, J2 be the sets of submersibles and non-submersibles respec-
With these caveats in place, we turn to a summary of the main tively. So, for submersible tubewell j, the probability that the number
results and their implications. First, we demonstrate and model a of breakdowns N equals nj if it runs for time hj,
social contract governs village water transactions. The observed n
j
village-wide water price lies within the bounds predicted by our
−μ1 hj
μ1 hj
model. Second, despite a uniform village-level water price that has no Pr N hj −Nð0Þ = nj = e : ðA:1:1Þ
nj !
bearing on the marginal value product of water, we observe that the
social contract translates into a spatially-efficient allocation of water.
Using Eq. (A.1.1) and data on total number of breakdowns and
This is a striking result, in contrast to much of the literature that
number of running hours for each submersible tubewell, we set up a
construes the pricing of water at higher than marginal costs to be
likelihood function and get an estimate μ̂ 1 for the Poisson parameter.
indicative of inefficiency and monopoly power; see for example
Since the likelihood of the submersible sample (hj, nj)j ∈ J1 is
Jacoby et al. (2004), Meinzen-Dick (1996) and Shah (1993). The
policy debate should thus shift away from an almost-exclusive focus ∑ nj !
on issues related to water allocation within villages to more systemic −μ1 ∑ hj j∈J1
n
hj j
inefficiencies. e j∈J1
·μ1 ·Πj∈J1 ðA:1:2Þ
nj !
Despite evidence of spatial efficiency, the inadequate supply of
power extracts a substantial toll: it reduces crop yields by adversely the first order condition yields the maximum likelihood estimate
affecting the volume of irrigation. Our study suggests that switching
to an alternative regime of pricing power and supplying it reliably can ∑ nj
increase sugarcane output by up to 9%; the resulting increase in farm j∈J1
μ̂ 1 = ðA:1:3Þ
profits being more than sufficient to cover the marginal cost of ∑ hj
j∈J1
providing power. Switching from a non-remunerative power price-
poor power supply regime to a higher price-reliable supply one can be which is just the total (or average) number of submersible breakdowns
viewed as a move from a low-level to a high-level equilibrium. 24 in the data divided by the total (or average) number of hours that
However, implementing institutional change in the power regime can submersibles in the data ran for. A similar exercise yields the Poisson
be challenging and necessitates a discussion on public versus private parameter estimate for non-submersibles.
ownership of power supply, regulation, and political capture that is Suppose that it takes time tj to extract 1 unit (bigha-inch) of water
the subject of a separate study. Our analysis only points to the gains using submersible tubewell j.
that can accrue if it were to happen. Then, the expected number of breakdowns in this time,
Acknowledgments
E N tj = μ̂ 1 tj : ðA:1:4Þ
We are indebted to the South Asian Network for Development and
Environmental Economics (SANDEE) for funding this project, Ajay
Kumar and Rajpal Singh for research assistance, R.P. Singh and D.R. Singh Our estimated marginal cost of water extraction from this tubewell
for help with logistics, Ch. Ranjit Singh's family for their hospitality, the is the above number times the average cost of repair.
rationing. In location 1, there are 3 plots, owned by farmers 1, 2 and b; tubewell and buys water. The implications on allocative efficiency are
farmer 1's plot alone has a tubewell (TW) and services all 3 plots. In unchanged.
location 2, farmers 2 and 3 have a plot each. Both plots have TWs; so
that in a situation of limited power and water supply, either farmer's
Appendix A.3. Modeling the policy simulation in Section 5.2
TW can serve the other plot, if that plot is the more productive/larger
one. In location 3, farmers 3 and 1 have a plot each; only farmer 3's
Suppose farmer s owns plot s, and the tubewell t on it, and suppose
plot has a TW, and this services farmer 1's plot as well. Let (p,w) refer
that B(t) is the set of plots that buy water from this tubewell. With
to a water price and a vector of water allocations across all 7 plots: i.e.
reliable power supply, the high density of tubewells, and the present
w = (w11, w21, wb, w22, w32, w33, w13) where the subscripts follow the
aquifer depth, there is no water constraint. Suppose that farmer s's
convention in Section 4, and the subscript b refers to the pure water
optimal
input choices are x̂sj ; x̂sJ , and those for the water buyers are
buyer whose plot is in location 1. We describe the Pareto Frontier
x̂ij ; x̂iJ i∈Bðt Þ (the Jth input being water). The social contract in this
under water rationing as follows, following Section 4 in the text
‘no water constraint’ case, discussed in Eq. (7) in the text, suggests
(normalizing the output price to 1):
that water would be allocated efficiently, which now translates to
Maxðp;wÞ A11 f ðw11 Þ + A13 f ðw13 Þ + pw21 + pwb −pw13 −cw1 equating MVPW on any plot with the unit cost of water extraction ct
from tubewell t. With prices ps for sugarcane, and qj, j ≠ J, for other
s:t: A22 f ðw22 Þ + A21 f ðw21 Þ−pw21 −pðw22 −w2 Þ−cw2 = π2 ðA:2:1Þ inputs, we can solve for the optimal input choices of farmer s as
follows:
A33 f ðw33 Þ + A32 f ðw32 Þ + pw13 + pðw22 −w2 Þ−cw3 −cw32 = π3
ðA:2:2Þ " #
x̂sj ; x̂sJ ∈ arg max ps f xsj ; xsJ ; β − ∑ qj xsj −ct xsJ : ðA:3:1Þ
Ab f ðwb Þ−pwb = π 3 ðA:2:3Þ j
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29
We attempted to triangulate the data on irrigation volumes, by both asking the
farmer directly on the number of bigha inches covered by each plot for every
irrigation, and by estimating using (a) discharge of the pump, measured as the amount
of time taken to fill a pre-specified volume of water, (b) the distance from the pump to
the field and (c) the number of hours that the pump was run. The two measures were
similar.