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Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237

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Journal of Development Economics


j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / d eve c

Social contracts, markets and efficiency: Groundwater irrigation in North India


A. Banerji a, J.V. Meenakshi a,⁎, Gauri Khanna b
a
Delhi School of Economics, University of Delhi, India
b
World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: This paper uses primary data to analyze the institutions and informal markets that govern groundwater
Received 26 December 2009 allocation in a sugarcane-cultivating village in North India. We find that, in contrast to earlier literature, the
Received in revised form 27 July 2011 observed water trades result in efficient water allocation across farms. We interpret this and other stylized
Accepted 28 July 2011
facts in terms of a social contract using a simple bargaining model with limited inter-player transfers. Poor
functioning of the power sector leads to reduced pumping and a water supply constraint. Simulations show
JEL classification:
L1
that power supply reform can significantly increase farm yields, and be financed out of increased farm profits.
Q1 © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Q2

Keywords:
Water markets
Market structure
Social contracts
Water pricing

1. Introduction Next, based on our characterization of the water transactions in


this village, we use simulations to analyze the impact of different
India's successful agricultural growth over the past few decades electricity pricing regimes on yields and on the profits of the power
has been accompanied by the popularity of water intensive crops supplier. We find that policy reform in the power sector can
(such as rice and sugarcane) and an expansion of groundwater significantly improve crop yields by allowing farmers to control the
irrigation. Decreasing groundwater tables in several areas have raised volume of irrigations. Thus we argue that the policy focus should shift
concerns about the efficiency and sustainability of groundwater use in from water allocation within villages to policy reform in pricing and
agriculture. In turn, this has given rise to a debate on whether market delivering electricity that powers groundwater extraction.
institutions for water engender optimal and/or equitable water The paper is based on primary data collected in a village located in
allocations, and relatedly, on the role of the widely prevalent system the sugarcane belt in Western Uttar Pradesh (UP), India. The survey
of flat-rate (lump sum) electricity pricing in contributing to inefficient was carried out over the entire ten-month crop-cycle in 2004–05.
water use in agriculture. While details are set out in subsequent sections, we provide here a
These concerns provide the backdrop for the present study, which brief preview of our results. We find:
characterizes the institutions that govern water allocation in a village
setting with relatively deep water tables, and draws inferences for the (i) Direct evidence that power shortage rations water supply.
design of instruments that may facilitate efficient water use. In (ii) The water shortage results in the marginal value product of water
particular, we examine whether the informal water markets that (MVPW) on tubewell owners' plots being significantly higher
operate in this village economy are monopolistic in nature and than the water price they get from selling water. A water price-
therefore lead to inefficient outcomes, as is argued in much of the taking, profit-maximizing tubewell owner should then prefer, on
literature. We conclude that the water trading that we observe is the margin, to add water to his own plots rather than sell water.
better viewed as part of a social contract; and that this contract results (iii) Yet, tubewell owners sell significant quantities of water. We
in a spatially-efficient allocation of water. conclude that models that treat tubewell owners as profit-
maximizing water-selling ‘firms’ are an inadequate description
of the sugarcane belt of North India. Instead, we infer, and
⁎ Corresponding author.
model, the existence of a social contract, that determines both
E-mail addresses: a.banerji@econdse.org (A. Banerji), meena@econdse.org water price as well as water allocation across plots in the
(J.V. Meenakshi). village.

0304-3878/$ – see front matter © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2011.07.005
A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237 229

(iv) The social contract results in a spatially-efficient allocation of Table 1


water: that is, reallocating the available water across plots Summary statistics on water use and yields.

would not increase output significantly. This is a striking result, Plots irrigated with own Plots using purchased
standing in sharp contrast with much of the literature, such as tubewell water
Jacoby et al. (2004), Meinzen-Dick (1996), and Shah (1993), Number of plots 240 86
which has tended to find allocative inefficiency and attributed Yields (quintals per bigha) 59 (15.9) 53 (16.3)
it to the presence of monopoly power of tubewell owners. Mean volume of irrigation 30 (9.1) 22 (7.7)
(bigha inches per bigha)
(v) However, notwithstanding the social contract, inadequate power
extracts a toll. Through simulations we show that in the presence Note: Figures in parentheses refer to standard deviations.
of adequate electricity, simulated yields are up to 9% higher than 1 bigha = 0.2 acres; 1 quintal = 100 kg.

sample yields. Inadequate power supply is largely a consequence


of the present system of a flat electricity charge unrelated to the The village has 165 cultivating households, all of whom cultivate
quantum of electricity used. We find that unit pricing to cover the sugarcane using groundwater. The crop is irrigation intensive,
marginal cost of power is more expensive, but the reliable power requiring one irrigation pre-sowing, and regular irrigations thereafter.
supply that results induces increased yields and farm profits that Our data consists of a random sample of 73 tubewells out of a total of
can more than pay for such pricing. 110, and all 326 plots that are served by them; these plots belong to
105 farmers. Data were collected for the tubewells (including
Since the focus of the present paper is on static efficiency, the borewell depth, tubewell discharge, type, number of breakdowns
potentially important effect of reliable power supply on aquifer and repair costs); for the plots (including physical inputs and outputs,
depletion is not analyzed. 1 input and output prices, soil quality, location of plot), and for the
This study contributes to the substantial literature that examines households. Field visits were made every 2 weeks over the entire
questions of groundwater market structure, water allocation and annual sugarcane cycle (Appendix A.4 provides further data collection
attending issues related to efficiency and equity in South Asia, which details).
includes, in addition to Jacoby et al. (2004), Meinzen-Dick (1996), and
Shah (1993) cited above, Aggarwal (2007), Dhawan (1995), Dubash 2.2. Principal features of the study village
(2002), Foster and Rosenzweig (2008), Foster and Sekhri (2008),
Meinzen-Dick (2000), Palmer-Jones (1994), Sengupta (2000), and The social contract and the type of water transactions that we
Somanathan and Ravindranath (2006).2 These studies span a large and observe are driven primarily by three institutional features:
diverse content. One major distinction of the present paper is the
modeling and empirical support found for the existence, and efficiency of
2.2.1. Irregular power supply
a social contract that governs water transactions, and the possibly wider
The village is subject to erratic power supply. Power supply averaged
connotations for the nature of local institutions. The structural estimation
6–7 h in May, 8–10 h in June and 3–5 in July. In a year with no rain in
that enables us to quantify the extent of water misallocation and simulate
these months, there was too little electricity to administer irrigations to
alternative policy environments is also scarce in the literature. The
all plots at the desired frequency (once every 20 days in these early plant
literature however brings out the vastness and diversity of the water
growth months). This had significant consequences for cultivation since
economies present in India: see for instance Foster and Sekhri (2008),
all 73 tubewells in our sample ran on electricity; the water table depth
which studies Eastern UP, an area with markedly different hydrogeology,
making it uneconomical to use diesel to fuel the pumps. The tubewells
water markets, and policy implications as compared to Western UP.
varied in the technology employed to lift water: in particular, 29 of the
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the
pumpsets were submersible and the rest were non-submersible. 4
study area and the data. Section 3 analyzes the water allocation across
Submersible pumps are much more expensive to purchase but are the
plots observed in the data, and provides evidence of widespread water
desired technology for areas with low water tables. They also have
rationing. It then argues that observing water sales in the presence of
higher discharge (the average submersibles take two-thirds of the time
such rationing points to the existence of a social contract governing
that centrifugal pumps take to irrigate a given area), and are less prone
water transactions. Section 4 proposes a simple model of this social
to breakdowns. The costs of operating tubewells include an annual
contract, which predicts, among other things, that water allocation
charge of Rupees 70 per month per horsepower, and maintenance costs.
across plots will be efficient. Section 5.1 analyzes the data to show that
allocative efficiency is a good approximation of the village water
economy. Section 5.2 discusses simulations that quantify the effect of a 2.2.2. Fragmented holdings and water transactions
comprehensive change in power policy involving unit-pricing of A common feature of the village is the fragmentation of farmers'
electricity. Section 6 concludes. holdings. There are about 3.2 plots per farmer; these are typically
located in 2 (and sometimes more) non-contiguous fragments. Farmers
generally do not install tubewells on all of their plots and as a
2. Data and stylized facts of the study area consequence participate on both sides of the water market. In our
sample, approximately 10% of farmers did not trade water – neither
2.1. The sample bought nor sold – and relied on their own tubewells for irrigation. Of the
remaining 90%, over two-thirds both purchased and sold water, one-
Our analysis is based on a detailed village-level survey we sixth only sold water, and about the same only bought water. About half
conducted over the course of 10 months. Our study site is a village of the farmers that bought water also irrigated other plots using their
in Baghpat district, selected from a ‘dark’ block 3 in the sugarcane belt own tubewells. As shown in Table 1, plots which relied on purchased
of Western Uttar Pradesh, with water depth at 55 ft. water received less irrigation. Tubewells are typically installed on the

1 4
See Banerji, Meenakshi and Khanna (2006) for a discussion of intertemporal A submersible pump has a hermetically-sealed motor, is submerged in the water,
efficiency in this context, and Shah et al. (1993) for a general discussion of this issue. and has a greater lifting force as it does not rely on external air pressure for lifting
2
See Schoengold and Zilberman (2007) for an excellent survey on the economics of water. Non-submersible (centrifugal) pumps have lower discharge, and are not able to
water. lift water from great depths. The variant of these pumps that operate in this area are
3
Dark blocks are defined as areas where the quantum of groundwater used exceeds ‘jet’ pumps, whose jet assemblies are within the well in order to enable the pumps to
85% of recharge. operate at the moderate depth of water (55 ft) in this area.
230 A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237

farmer's largest plot: in our sample, the average plot size for plots with Table 2
tubewells at 12 bighas, is nearly double the area of plots with no Summary statistics of other inputs and output variables (326 observations).

tubewells. Bigha is the local measure of area, and equals about one-fifth Variable Mean Standard deviation Min Max
of an acre, and is the measure we use in this paper.
Output (quintals) 443 430.16 30 4000
Plot area (bighas) 7.5 6.21 1 50
2.2.3. Uniform price of water Labor (hours) 1302 1189.12 178 9190
A water price is set (in Rupees per hour) at the beginning of the Tractor (hours) 7.9 22.15 Neg 200
Oxen (hours) 86.4 99.62 Neg 568
season as a result of a social consensus, and holds for all water Irrigation (bigha-inches) 222.5 208.59 5.2 1330
transactions in the village. This price does not vary across the season
Conversion: 1 bigha = 0.2 acres. 1 bigha-inch = 20.6 cm3.
in response to varying power (and therefore water) availability, to
clear the market. Consequently, water selling farmers can only adjust
the quantity of water sales over the season. This uniformity of water water input on the plot; to determine whether rationing is significant,
prices and informal social contract has been noted elsewhere; for we derive a confidence interval around the MPW using the Delta
example by Dubash (2002) for Gujarat, and Srivastava et al. (2009) for method. Separately, we estimate the unit cost of water extraction
Central Uttar Pradesh. from each tubewell.
As we demonstrate in Section 3, despite evidence that water is
rationed, the social contract translates into substantial water sales, a 3.1. Estimating the sugarcane production technology and unit costs of
stylized fact that appears to apply to other areas as well. Srivastava water extraction
et al. (2009) note that “Given … the relative shortage of water (due to
paucity of electricity) tubewell owners wanting to maximize profits The problems associated with estimating a production function
from water sales could choose to sell little water, using most of it on based on a single cross-section, as is the case here, are well-known. 6 In
their own plots….They sell substantial volumes of water, even though our case, estimation is facilitated by the considerable variation in
it would make better economic sense to use the water to boost the inputs across plots, owing to variation in plot sizes, among other
productivity of their own land” (p. 96). factors. Also as farmers in the data set have multiple plots, we use
We calculate the price of water per unit volume charged by a farmer dummies to deal with identification problems caused by
tubewell by dividing the village water price of Rupees 15 by the unobserved, farmer-specific shocks, and include plot-specific soil
measured volume of water that the tubewell discharges per hour. We quality variables to control for soil fertility impacts on output. We
measure irrigation volume in terms of bigha-inches, which is estimate the equation
approximately 20.6 m 3 of water. The average price per bigha-inch of  
water across all tubewells is Rupees 6.50. 5 yij = f xij ; β bj εij ð1Þ

2.3. Summary statistics where bj is a farmer j-specific shock unobserved by the econometri-
cian (farmer j cultivates plot i), which we can estimate using a dummy
Table 1 summarizes yields of sugarcane by category of plot, to for farmer j; yij, xij, εij are, respectively output, a J-dimensional input
examine whether the differential irrigation volumes are reflected in vector (of which the Jth input is water), and error on plot i, cultivated
yields. As one might expect given the summary statistics on irrigation, by farmer j and β is a J-dimensional parameter vector. We
yields are lower on plots with purchased water but the differences are experimented with several functional forms, including the flexible,
not substantial. Translog function. We found that the Cobb–Douglas production
Summary statistics for the other major inputs are presented in function nested by the Translog works best (the null that the
Table 2. With labor, all activities are summed across by type of activity higher-order terms are all zero cannot be rejected). 7 Our production
(land preparation and sowing, weeding and digging, applications of model is therefore
irrigation and other inputs, tying of cane, harvesting) and by type of
  J   T−1
labor (hired casual labor and permanent labor, contractual labor,
ln yij = ∑ βkln xijk + ∑ γj dj + λdc + uij ð2Þ
household labor, labor in exchange and other miscellaneous forms). In k=1 j=1
addition to input use data, we collected soil samples from each plot,
and had them analyzed for ten quality characteristics. where i indexes plots, j indexes farmers, ln(xij1) = 1, for all i, dj = 1 if
plot i is cultivated by farmer j, and is zero otherwise; dc equals 1 if plot
3. Evidence of water rationing i has a rattoon 8 crop. The explanatory variables xik are plot size, labor,
tractor and oxen hours, and irrigation volume. Since fertilizer and
We investigate two questions related to the water allocation across
plots observed in our sample — whether water is rationed (this section), 6
See Griliches and Mairesse (1998), Levinsohn and Petrin (2003), Marschak and
and whether its allocation across plots is inefficient (Section 5). Andrews (1944) and Olley and Pakes (1996) on identification of production functions.
Any production function estimation is susceptible to endogeneity, as the right-hand
Since the price of water is fixed through the season, and electricity
variables are objects of choice; these choices can depend on unobserved farmer-
for pumping water is in short supply, it is possible that there is specific and plot-specific characteristics and thus be correlated with the error term.
quantity rationing of water on plots. A water buying plot i is defined to Multiple plots per farmer enable us to control for the former with a farmer-specific
be water rationed if its marginal value product exceeds the marginal fixed effect. We also have detailed plot-specific soil quality data to control for the
latter. In our empirical work, we experimented with different instruments for various
cost of water extraction: i.e. if ps âi > ĉt , where ĉt is the estimated
inputs and found that they did not significantly change the values of the parameters
unit cost of water extraction for the tubewell supplying plot i, ps is the (particularly of water). Water prices are too weakly correlated with irrigation volumes
sugarcane price, and âi is the estimated MPW (marginal product of to serve as effective instruments. This last fact probably arises because under water
water) for the plot. rationing, the social contract allocates water efficiently across plots; so plots with
We estimate plot-level marginal product of water as the partial different water prices can end up with similar irrigation volumes.
7
We also considered the von Liebig production function that often works well in
derivative of an estimated production function with respect to the
plant experiments (e.g. Paris and Knapp, 1989). However, the von Liebig implies a cost
function linear in input prices. This is rejected by our data, so we did not estimate this
5
By way of comparison, this is a little greater than half of the average water price form of production function.
8
that Somanathan and Ravindranath (2006) estimate for water transactions in the Rattoon refers to a second year stalk from planted sugarcane, grown by leaving the
Papagni watershed in the southern states of Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka. roots and part of the stalk intact in the soil during the first harvest.
A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237 231

Table 3 Table 4A
Cobb–Douglas production function estimates with farmer fixed effects. Estimates for marginal value product of water (MVPW) (incremental Rupees per
incremental bigha-inch), with 95% confidence intervals; water price (Rupees per Bigha-
Output Coefficient Standard error inch).
Plot area 0.745** 0.0458
Variable Observations Mean* (in Rupees) Std. dev. Min Max
Labor 0.045* 0.028
Fertilizer–manure principal component 0.028** 0.012 MVPW 326 24.4 14.2 6.9 130.9
Tractor 0.101** 0.019 Conf. int: R 326 25.8 16.5 7.1 175.0
Oxen 0.121** 0.021 Conf. int: L 326 23.1 12.2 6.7 130.7
Irrigation 0.108** 0.03 Water price 326 6.5 2.1 2.8 13.6
Crop dummy (1 = rattoon) 0.474** 0.043
*: After dropping 2 outliers. Conf. int. L and R are left and right endpoints of confidence
Soil quality first principal component − 0.0002 0.0001
intervals. 1 bigha-inch = 20.6 cm3.
Soil quality: second principal component −0.0002 0.0002
Constant 2.691** 0.193

Other information on the Cobb–Douglas Estimation: variables are in logs. Number of


Observations: 326; F = 385; R-squared = 0.945; Adjusted R-squared = 0.943. * and **
denote 10%, and 5% levels of significance. Table 4B
Mean marginal value product of water by plot type.

Plot type Mean MVPW Confidence interval R Confidence interval L


manure were correlated, we use the first principal component of these Own tubewell 22.1 23.2 21.0
inputs in the regression. Also, to control for plot-specific quality, we Buy water 32.2 34.5 29.9
took the first two principal components of the vector of 10 soil quality Conf. int. L and R are left and right endpoints of confidence intervals.
characteristics (including pH, conductivity, concentration of zinc,
manganese and other similar soil micronutrients).
Table 3 presents the Cobb–Douglas production function estimates,
where the standard errors have been corrected to account for irrigates his own plots as well, who takes the village water price as
correlation across plots cultivated by the same farmer. All coefficients given, and allocates water to maximize profits would sell any water at
have the expected sign and are significant. 9 all only after the MVPW on his own plots equals the water price. The
The unit cost of water extraction from a tubewell does not depend on data show, instead, that MVPW on own plots is higher than the water
a charge for electricity, as that is a lump sum annual charge. But it price; despite this, there are pervasive sales of water. 11
depends on the number of pump breakdowns and the cost of repair per
breakdown, since the number of such breakdowns is a function of the 4. A simple model of the village social contract
number of hours of tubewell operation. We model the number of pump
breakdowns as a Poisson process; we estimate the Poisson parameter This motivates the simple model of the social contract, which takes
from data on hours of operation and number of breakdowns for each into account the stylized facts discussed earlier: (i) electricity supply is
pump. From this we derive tubewell-specific marginal cost of water irregular leading to water rationing; switching to diesel is uneconom-
extraction estimates, as detailed in Appendix A.1. ical; (ii) farmers cultivate multiple fragments, with tubewells on larger
plots and purchasing water for smaller plots; and (iii) a uniform water
3.2. Comparing MVPW on plots to unit costs of water extraction price is agreed upon in the village at the beginning of the season, and
there are substantial water sales.
Table 4A presents summary statistics of the derived plot-level We model the social contract as a village-wide bargaining over water
estimates of MPW, and the confidence bands. For the sample overall, allocation across plots and water price. Water allocation affects outputs
the average MVPW (the MPW times the sugarcane price of Rupees and profits on each plot, and thus the size of the total village ‘pie’; while
102 per quintal) is about Rupees 24.4 per additional bigha-inch of payments for water use result in a division of this pie across the farmers.
water. On the other hand, the estimated Poisson parameters for non- In the village, who buys water from whom depends on plot locations,
submersible and submersible pumpsets, respectively 0.002 and and this generally does not include reciprocal buyer–seller relationships
0.0005, (standard errors 0.00006 and 0.0001 respectively), yield between pairs of farmers. Rather, farmer A may be buying water from
marginal costs of extraction that average Rupees 1.45 and Rupees 0.3 farmer B, who may be buying from farmer C, and so on; so village-wide
per bigha-inch for the two pumpset types. Comparing the confidence bargaining captures negotiations better than bargaining within small
interval on MVPW on each plot with the confidence interval on the groups of farmers. To do this, we apply the N-player Nash Bargaining
marginal cost of extraction from the tubewell that supplied water to it, model. 12 This is a well-known model, that enables us to explicitly map
we find that there is no overlap; the former is greater than the latter our village level features on to it, so as to provide predictions about
for every plot. Thus there is pervasive water rationing. 10
Given this rationing, a comparison of the MVPW for each plot with
the tubewell-specific water price (Rupees 15 divided by the tubewell
discharge per hour) for the plot strongly suggests the existence of a
social contract determining water allocation. The mean MVPW is well 11
Plots with own tubewells are relatively less water-rationed. Table 4B shows that
above 3.5 times the mean water price of Rupees 6.53 per bigha-inch; the mean MVPW for plots with own tubewell is Rupees 22.1, while for plots irrigated
in fact, the MVPW is significantly larger than the water price for 308 of using purchased water it is Rupees 22.1. While the recent finding by Anderson (2011)
suggests that caste plays a significant role in water transactions in eastern India, the
the 326 plots. A tubewell-owning farmer who both sells water and
caste composition in our study village (as in a subset of those reported in Anderson) is
relatively homogenous. Our census indicated that 80% of farmers were Jat, and an
9
We also experimented with alternative specifications that included a variable that additional 8% were Gadaria, both of which are backward (but not scheduled) castes
captured the role of timing of irrigation; this was not significant and did not greatly (Pant, 2004; www.ncbc.nic.in accessed on January 24, 2011).
12
affect other estimated coefficients, suggesting that the estimated MPWs are robust. Lensberg (1988) and Nash (1950). Several non-cooperative bargaining models
10
Switching to diesel since electricity supply is short is not economical at this depth approximate the Nash Bargaining solution (e.g. Krishna and Serrano, 1996), so its use
(50–60 ft). A simple calculation suggests that at the 2005 diesel price of Rupees 26 per can be viewed as describing the outcome of an explicit bargaining process. The N-
liter, it would cost about Rupees 52 to extract 1 bigha inch of water, which is more player version of Nash Bargaining ignores the possibility of the formation of coalitions
than double the average MVPW. Singh and Singh (2003) note that for the district of of players, but in our setting, appears to capture village-wide agreement in a simple
Meerut, diesel is 4 times more expensive than electricity. way.
232 A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237

water allocation that we should expect if the model is a reasonable Substituting this in the objective function of Eq. (3), the problem
approximation of village negotiations. Also, the only transfers farmers becomes
make to each other is through payments for water use, at a single, " #
common water price. It is useful to show how this affects the Pareto N        
Maxðwjj ;wj+1; j Þ ∑ Ajj f wjj + Aj; j−1 f wj; j−1 −c wjj + wj+1; j −πj :
frontier and utility possibilities that farmers can attain. As discussed j j=1

earlier, in our data, two-thirds of farmers are both water buyers and
ð5Þ
water sellers; a sixth only sell water, and of the remaining sixth that buy
water, half are tubewell owners. For simplicity, we discuss a setting in
Rearrange Eq. (5) to have the entire water allocation from
which all farmers buy as well as sell water. Relaxing this does not affect
tubewell j ‘visible’:
the essential implications; we demonstrate this using a simple example
in Appendix A.2. N        
Suppose there are N farmers, and N ‘locations’. Farmer j has 2 Maxðw ;w Þ ∑
jj j+1; j j
Ajj f wjj + Aj+1; j f wj+1; j −c wjj + wj+1; j −π j :
j=1
plots, in locations j − 1 and j; so at each location j, there are 2 plots,
owned by farmers j and j + 1 (modulo N). 13 Farmer j has a tubewell ð6Þ
on his plot in location j but not on his plot in location j − 1, and his
own tubewell is too distant to serve this latter plot. So for each j, The first order conditions for an interior optimum are:
irrigation on the 2 plots at location j depends on farmer j's tubewell.    
The particular choice of number of plots and pattern of plot Ajj f ′ wjj = c; Aj +1; j f ′ wj+1; j = c; ∀j: ð7Þ
ownership is purely for simplicity; it implies that water transactions
generate a circle of interaction: Farmer 1 sells water to farmer 2, who
That is, the MVPW on each plot equals the unit cost of water
sells to farmer 3, and so on to farmer N. The unit cost of water
extraction; every point on the Pareto frontier of farmers' profits
extraction is c (for simplicity constant across tubewells). Crop output
corresponds to agreements with the same, efficient water allocation
depends on water input (w) alone (for simplicity): farmer j's outputs
described by Eq. (7). 14 But the data in Section 3.2 show that MVPW
on his 2 plots are Ajjf(wjj) and Aj, j − 1f(wj, j − 1) respectively. (The first
greatly exceeds the unit cost of extraction on each plot; so, an
subscript refers to the farmer and the second to the location of the
appropriate model of a social contract in the village must take into
plot; for example, wj, j − 1 is the amount of irrigation on farmer j's plot
account the fact that limited power supply rations the amount of
in location j − 1; Aj, j − 1 is a plot-specific productivity.) f is twice
water available.
continuously differentiable, strictly concave, with positive first
derivative; and water is an essential input. Let the sugarcane output
4.2. The social contract under water rationing
price be normalized to 1, and let p denote water price.
(wjj, wj+1, j)jN= 1, or simply (wjj, wj+1, j)j, will refer to a water
Suppose that the discharge from tubewell on plot j is constrained
allocation in the village; the expression within parentheses gives
to be at most wj ; j = 1; …; N. If wjj, wj + 1, j, the solutions to Eq. (7)
the water supplied by tubewell j to the plots of farmers j and j + 1 in
above, add up to a number greater than wj , plots will be water-
location j, An agreement will be a tuple (p, (wjj, wj+1, j)j) consisting of a
rationed; this is the case suggested by the data. To simplify some
water price p and a water allocation that all farmers agree upon. Every
expressions (for the disagreement point in Nash Bargaining), we
feasible agreement gives each farmer a specific level of profit;
make a stronger assumption.
(‘feasible’ water prices and water allocations will be defined later).
 
Assumption R. Ajj f ′ wj > c; ∀j = 1; …; N. That is, even if the entire
4.1. Water allocation in the absence of rationing amount discharged by tubewell j is applied to farmer j's plot at that
location, the MVPW on the plot exceeds the unit cost of water
We first show that in the absence of a (power shortage driven) extraction. In the absence of an agreement of water price and water
water constraint, the water allocation in the Nash Bargaining solution allocation, farmer j therefore gets a ‘disagreement’ profit dj =
 
would equate the marginal value product of water on each plot with Ajj f wj −cwj (since without getting any water on his plot in location
the marginal cost of water extraction. The Nash Bargaining solution j − 1, its output is 0).
picks a point on the Pareto frontier of farmers' profits. To deduce the The Pareto frontier of the set of profit possibilities is now
water allocation, it suffices to characterize the Pareto frontier. Let S be characterized by:
the set of all feasible agreements. The Pareto frontier would be
described by the solution to the problem which maximizes farmer 1's Max  A f ðw Þ + A f ðw Þ + pw −pw −cw
11 11 1N 1N 21 1N 1
p;ðwjj ;wj+1; j Þj ∈S
profits holding fixed the profits of the other farmers:
s:t:
   
Max  A11 f ðw11 Þ + A1N f ðw1N Þ + pw21 −pw1N −cðw11 + w21 Þ Ajj f wjj + Aj; j−1 f wj; j−1 + pwj+1;j −pwj;j−1 −cwj = π j ; ∀j = 2; …; N
p;ðwjj ;wj+1; j Þj ∈S
s:t: ð8Þ
     
Ajj f wjj + Aj; j−1 f wj; j−1 + pwj+1; j −pwj;j−1 −c wjj + wj+1; j = π j ;
and wjj + wj+1; j = wj ; ∀j = 1; …; N: ð9Þ
for all j = 2; …; N:
ð3Þ Here, the set S of feasible agreements consists of tuples of non-
negative water price and water allocations that do not exceed the
Adding the constraints in Eq. (3), we get water available from each tubewell, and that result in each farmer's
profit being at least as large as his disagreement profit. It follows from
N h       i
Assumption R that all available water is utilized; so the constraints in
∑ Ajj f wjj + Aj; j−1 f wj; j−1 −c wjj + wj+1; j −π j ð4Þ
j=2 Eq. (9) hold with equality. Carrying out the same operations that
+ pw1N −pw21 = 0:
14
If some tubewell owners have tubewells on all plots, they may choose not to
participate in the water market, under some conditions. Our simple setting in which
all farmers have some plots without tubewells precludes a more formal discussion; but
13
That is, N + 1 refers to farmer 1. see Appendix A.2.
A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237 233

helped rewrite Eq. (3) in the form of Eq. (6), the above maximization p ∈ [m, M]. 17 Note that this water price p agreed upon has no simple
problem can be posed as: relationship with the unit cost of water extraction. Thus the literature
that uses price–cost margins to infer about allocative efficiency of
N      
water may be misleading.
Maxðw ;w Þ ∑ Ajj f wjj + Aj+1; j f wj+1; j −cwj −πj
jj j+1; j j
j=1 ð10Þ In principle, determining the interval [m,M] that traps the water
s:t: wjj + wj+1; j = wj ; ∀j = 1; …; N: price for our village would require a census of water trades. We
approximate it using our sample data on tubewells. For all net water
sellers in the sample, profit net of disagreement payoff (πj0 − dj) is
The first order conditions imply
positive; so all non-negative water prices result in profits at least as
    large, and are feasible. Thus m = 0. On the other hand, for the net
0 0
Ajj f wjj = Aj+1; j f wj+1; j ; ∀j = 1; …; N: ð11Þ
water buyers, the quantities − (πj0 − dj)/sj have 3 outliers at 6.3, 6.4
and 10.1, and thereafter all lie above 20. Thus a reasonable guess for
That is, water in each location j is allocated to equate MVPW on the the interval is [0,20]; and the observed water price of Rupees 6.5 per
plots in that location. Let this efficient water allocation be denoted bigha inch indeed lies in this interval.
(wjj*, wj+1,
* j )j. Every point on the Pareto frontier of farmers' profits
therefore arises from this common, efficient water allocation (efficient 5. Implications of the social contract
subject to the water constraints). We now describe the Pareto frontier
fully, followed by the Nash Bargaining solution for the problem. Another key implication of our model is that water allocation
Farmer j's profit at the efficient allocation is equal to across plots served by a tubewell is efficient. Do our data validate this?
     
    0
πj = Ajj f wjj + Aj;j−1 f wj;j−1 −cw + p wj + 1;j −wj;j−1 = πj + psj 5.1. Allocative efficiency
j

ð12Þ
To examine this we ask the following question:
where sj equals his net water sales at the efficient water allocation, What would the outputs from the sample plots be if the total observed
and πj0 is his profit at this allocation, if the water price equals zero. The water from each tubewell in the sample is allocated efficiently across the
(asymmetric) Nash Bargaining solution is a tuple of farmers' profits plots that are serviced by that tubewell?
(π1nb, …, πNnb) that solves
 α Suppose for every plot i the choice (xij) of inputs other than irrigation
N j
Maxðπ1 ;…;πN Þ∈Θ Πj = 1 πj −dj ð13Þ has been made as in the data. Suppose the constant marginal cost of
water extraction from tubewell t is ct, and let U(t) be the set of all plots in
where αj is the bargaining power of farmer j, Θ is the set of all profit the sample that are serviced by tubewell t. Let wt be the total volume of
tuples (π1, …, πN) that lie on the Pareto frontier and satisfy πj ≥ dj, ∀ j. water discharged from
  tubewell t: this is given from the data. An
Regardless of bargaining power, the model provides an interval [m, efficient allocation x̂iJ i∈U ðtÞ of water would be a vector that maxi-
    
M] within which the negotiated water price will lie. Let NB = {j|sj b 0}, mizes ∑ ps f xij ; x̂iJ ; β −ct x̂iJ , subject to the constraints
NS = {j|sj ≥ 0} be the subsets of farmers that are respectively net buyers i∈U ðt Þ

and net sellers of water, at the efficient water allocation. For a water ∑ x̂iJ ≤wt ; and for all i∈U ðt Þ; x̂iJ ≥0: ð16Þ
price to be feasible, it must be non-negative, and satisfy πj0 + psj − i∈U ðt Þ

dj ≥ 0,∀ j. For feasible water prices to exist, it must be that for all net
water buyers, πj0 − dj > 0. We have that, at the efficient water allocation, The constraint ∑ x̂iJ ≤wt captures the water shortage implied by
the set of feasible water prices is the closed interval [m,M], where15 i∈U ðt Þ
limited electricity supply. Note that at the solution, MVPW will be
n   o n n   oo
0 0
M = min − πj −dj = sj j j∈NB ; m = max 0; max − πj −dj = sj j j∈NS :
equated across plots. We solve this problem, evaluated at the
estimated parameter vector β̂ and estimated production function
ð14Þ and unit cost of water extraction, f, and ĉt respectively, for each
tubewell in the data set. Then we compare the total simulated output
So a water price p > M implies that some net water buyer (at the with the total output in the sample.
efficient water allocation) is better off at his disagreement payoff than Note that the mapping from tubewells to user plots stays the same
on agreeing to this price. Similarly, p b m means that some net water as in the sample; 18 given that water is transported through unlined
seller (at the efficient water allocation) is better off at his water channels, this mapping is largely determined by proximity of
disagreement payoff than on an agreement at this price. Therefore, plots to particular tubewells.
the Pareto frontier of farmers' profits is given by: As indicated in Table 5, redistributing water results in an average
n   o gain of 0.2 quintals per bigha (0.4% of the sample average), with the
0 0
Θ = ðπ1 ; …; πN Þ = π1 ; …; πN + pðs1 ; …; sN Þj p∈½m; M  : ð15Þ highest gain of about 1 quintal per bigha (2% of sample average) on plots
which purchase water. We infer that the social contract appears to work
extremely well, allocating water efficiently across plots, minimizing
This is a line segment through the point (π10, …, πN0 ), in the direction losses in overall yields in the face of water rationing. An alternative
of (s1, …, sN), the net water trades of the farmers. 16 The Nash Bar- simulation (not reported) in which we permit water reallocation across
gaining objective function (Eq. (13)) is continuous on the compact set all plots (rather than across plots serviced by a common tubewell) leads
Θ, so a maximum exists; it is unique because the objective is strictly to an increase in average yield of about 0.4 quintals per bigha. Thus even
quasiconcave. Thus, there is agreement on a unique water price
17
The presence of multiple locations across which water is not transported could in
principle also be analyzed by a model where different water prices are negotiated in
different locations. However, this is not what we find in our village; we find a uniform
15
We assume m b M : this always holds if πj0 − dj > 0, ∀ j. village-level price and this is what our model explains.
16 18
In usual N-person Nash Bargaining problems of dividing a fixed pie, the Pareto So each plot serviced by the same tubewell faces the same marginal cost for water.
frontier is an N − 1 dimensional simplex; here, it is just a line segment because the Given water rationing, choosing a water allocation to maximize joint profits for these
only transfers possible between farmers are through the water price and water trades. plots is the same as maximizing joint output.
234 A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237

Table 5 Table 6
Simulation results on impact on yields from sample plots if the total observed water Simulation results on effect of unit power price on yields, irrigation volumes, profits,
from each tubewell in the sample is allocated efficiently across the plots that are and power revenue.
serviced by that tubewell?
Power price Yield Profits Irrigation volume Power revenue
Plot category Sample yield Simulated change Simulated change
(Sample: zero 58.22 2490.6* (2220.6) 28.2 270.3* (540.3)
(average) (yield) (value)
unit price)
All plots 58.22 +0.20 +20.40 2.0 64.1 2814.5 37.7 462.5
Plots with single-owner TW 59.17 − 0.06 − 6.12 2.3 63.6 2743.0 36.3 505.5
Plots that bought water 53.58 +1.01 +103.0 2.6 63.1 2675.3 34.7 539.4
2.9 62.6 2611.7 33.0 563.9
Yield = quintals of sugarcane per bigha; value = Rupees per bigha; sample area = 2350
3.2 62.1 2552.2 31.3 583.6
bighas. TW = tubewell.
3.5 61.5 2496.5 29.6 596.4
Conversion: 1 quintal = 100 kg. 1 bigha = 0.2 acres.
3.8 61.0 2444.5 27.9 606.7
4.1 60.5 2395.7 26.4 614.6
4.4 60.0 2349.8 25.0 620.1
though the plot level MPW estimates are significantly different from
Units: Power price: Rupees per kilowatt hour; yield: quintals per bigha; profits: Rupees
each other, in fact the extent of allocative inefficiency is strikingly
per bigha.
little. 19 Irrigation volume: bigha-inches (per bigha); power revenue: Rupees per bigha.
1 bigha = 0.2 acres; 1 bigha-inch = 20.6 cm3. The sample profits and power revenue per
bigha are starred, as profits are higher and power revenue lower due to farmers
5.2. Impact of alternative power policy underreporting the horsepower of their pumps. Correct reporting would result in the
profits and power revenue given in parentheses, below the starred levels in row 1.

The water rationing we observe can be removed by providing


incentives for adequate power supply: pricing electricity at the margin
to fetch a profit for the power provider. But is the resulting increase in sample. Yield increments thereafter diminish at higher irrigation
farm output and profit sufficient to pay for the increased cost of levels.
electricity? We carry out a simulation to answer: Table 6 shows that for power prices up to Rupees 3.50 per kW h,
farmers' profits are greater than their sample values; the higher
What would be the effect of unit pricing of power and reliable power
simulated yields can therefore pay for electricity prices that cover the
supply, on yields, profits, irrigation volumes and power revenue?
cost of power generation. 21
The simulation therefore implies that even in the presence of a
The estimation is modeled as follows: each unit power price is social contract that results in a close-to efficient allocation of scarce
translated into a unit cost of water extraction, the exact conversion water, a switch to remunerative power pricing is feasible, acceptable
depending on pump horsepower. Eq. (7) of Section 4 says that for to both farmers and power providers, and will result in a substantial
water allocations determined by Nash bargaining, the absence of a increase in yields. In the absence of a power supply constraint, the
water constraint will lead to MVPWs being equated to the unit cost of tubewell to irrigation plot mapping may get altered; so that allocating
extraction. Using this and the estimated production function and water from relatively efficient tubewells to high marginal value plots
other input prices, we simulate using different power prices, optimal may lead to larger benefits than indicated in the simulation.
input choices for buyers and sellers of water, water allocation, and
village averages for yield, profits, irrigation volumes and power
revenue (see Appendix A.3 for details). We vary the unit power price 6. Discussion and conclusions
from Rupees 2.0 (comparable to some estimates of average power
generation costs in India; power transmission and distribution costs Before summarizing our results and drawing inferences from them
are additional), to Rupees 4.4 per kilowatt hour (kW h). The latter it is important to address how generalizable our findings are, given
roughly corresponds to industrial rates in several parts of the country. that they are based on an analysis of water transactions from a single
An extract of the results is in Table 6. Sample values for yield, profit village. Some (not all) features of our sample village that drive our
per bigha, irrigation volume per bigha and power revenue per bigha model and results are to be found in the western Gangetic plain.
are respectively 58.22 quintals, Rupees 2490, 28 bigha-inches and Consider first, the water depth and the use of electricity (instead of
Rupees 270. 20 These are recorded in Table 6 as the “sample” scenario; diesel) to draw water: Data from the third Census of Minor
for which the unit power price is zero (and there is a lump sum Irrigation, 22 conducted in 2000–1, suggests that 46% of villages in
monthly charge of Rupees 70 per reported horsepower). At a power Baghpat district, in which our study village is located, have water
price of Rupees 4.40 per kW h, irrigation volume is 25 bigha-inches, tables exceeding 15 m (about 50 ft—our village had a water table of
yield is about 60 quintals, profits are Rupees 2350, and revenue to the 55 ft). In the western Gangetic plain, comprising of Western Uttar
power provider is Rupees 620. As the power price is lowered, Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab – the traditional mainstay of the Green
irrigation volumes and yields increase, and power revenue per bigha Revolution – 28% of the villages had water tables greater than 15 m. At
decreases. At 28 bigha-inches of irrigation, the yield of 61 quintals is these levels, it is uneconomical to use diesel to fuel the pumps; 10
2.88 quintals above the sample yield of 58.22 quintals. Part of this farmers have to rely primarily on electricity. It is well known that this
increase is attributable to higher input use in the simulation relative to region has problems with irregular and inadequate supply of
the sample; with positive cross-partial derivatives in the production electricity to agriculture; see for example Pant (2004), Singh and
function, this increases yield at the same level of water-use as in the Singh (2003), and Srivastava et al. (2009).

19 21
This result provides support for the model of a village-level contract. The In the present setup of lump sum power payments based on pump horsepower,
proximity (or absence thereof) of tubewells in a village can naturally give rise to there is widespread underreporting of horsepower. Accurate assessments of pump
models of local monopoly or oligopoly with very different implications for allocative horsepower would decrease sample profits and increase sample power revenue by
efficiency. See Jacoby et al. (2004) for one such formal model. Rupees 270 per bigha each. Under such an alternative baseline scenario, Table 6
20
Profit is calculated as revenue minus wage cost, rental costs of tractors and oxen, suggests that power prices higher than Rupees 3.5 per kW h are consistent with profits
fertilizer cost and water cost; and cost of power for tubewell owners. We do not being larger than their baseline values as valued at higher pump horsepower.
22
subtract imputed land rent, as there is very little land given out on rent. The wage cost Data downloaded from http://mowr.gov.in/micensus/mi3census/reports/statelvl/
includes an imputed wage for family labor. up/6p2.pdf, accessed July 16, 2011.
A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237 235

A second key institutional feature is land fragmentation. Frag- National Bureau of Soil Surveys and Land Use Planning and the Water
mentation is a feature of agriculture not just in the western Gangetic Technology Centre at the Indian Agricultural Research Institute for help
plains, but in much of India. A nationally representative survey of over with soil analysis and discharge measurement respectively. We also
52,000 rural households undertaken by the National Sample Survey thank Partha Dasgupta, E. Somanathan, Enamul Haque, Nirmal
Organisation (2006) shows that the average number of parcels per Sengupta, Priya Shyamsundar, Rohini Somanathan, and the referees of
operational holding in Uttar Pradesh was 2.7–2.8 in 2003, the year this journal for helpful comments. The usual disclaimer applies.
before our survey was conducted. Similarly, Srivastava et al. (2009)
report an average of 2.6 to 3.7 fragments in Central Uttar Pradesh. Appendix A.1. Estimating marginal cost of water extraction from
The third institutional feature driving our results is the existence of a tubewell
a single water price in the village. Other studies have noted this
phenomenon; for example Dubash (2002) and Mukherji (2007). Farmers pay a lump sum annual electricity charge for running a
Aggarwal (2007) also notes that the uniformity of water prices within tubewell. So the marginal cost of water extraction includes only those
a village is a common feature of groundwater contracts; further she maintenance costs that depend on water output. Maintenance costs
notes that there appear to be no interlinkages of water with land, are essentially costs of repairing the pump set in the event of a
labor or credit. This is certainly the case in our village; however it is breakdown. While the frequency of breakdowns is high due to power
not possible to determine how widespread is the practice of uniform surges, what is germane here is that the number of breakdowns may
prices and lack of interlinkages with other key inputs. 23 depend on the number of hours that the tubewell operates. It also
In addition to the single-village nature of our data, the other depends on whether the machine is a submersible (fewer break-
limitations of our analysis are that it is static in nature (we do not downs) or a non-submersible. We assume that the number of
model the intertemporal consequences of power pricing reform) and breakdowns follows a Poisson process (see Ross, 1997) with
that it relies on production function estimates derived from a single parameters μ1, μ2 for submersibles and non-submersibles respectively.
cross-section that cannot fully account for endogeneity. Let J1, J2 be the sets of submersibles and non-submersibles respec-
With these caveats in place, we turn to a summary of the main tively. So, for submersible tubewell j, the probability that the number
results and their implications. First, we demonstrate and model a of breakdowns N equals nj if it runs for time hj,
social contract governs village water transactions. The observed  n
   
j
village-wide water price lies within the bounds predicted by our
−μ1 hj
μ1 hj
model. Second, despite a uniform village-level water price that has no Pr N hj −Nð0Þ = nj = e : ðA:1:1Þ
nj !
bearing on the marginal value product of water, we observe that the
social contract translates into a spatially-efficient allocation of water.
Using Eq. (A.1.1) and data on total number of breakdowns and
This is a striking result, in contrast to much of the literature that
number of running hours for each submersible tubewell, we set up a
construes the pricing of water at higher than marginal costs to be
likelihood function and get an estimate μ̂ 1 for the Poisson parameter.
indicative of inefficiency and monopoly power; see for example
Since the likelihood of the submersible sample (hj, nj)j ∈ J1 is
Jacoby et al. (2004), Meinzen-Dick (1996) and Shah (1993). The
policy debate should thus shift away from an almost-exclusive focus ∑ nj !
on issues related to water allocation within villages to more systemic −μ1 ∑ hj j∈J1
n
hj j
inefficiencies. e j∈J1
·μ1 ·Πj∈J1 ðA:1:2Þ
nj !
Despite evidence of spatial efficiency, the inadequate supply of
power extracts a substantial toll: it reduces crop yields by adversely the first order condition yields the maximum likelihood estimate
affecting the volume of irrigation. Our study suggests that switching
to an alternative regime of pricing power and supplying it reliably can ∑ nj
increase sugarcane output by up to 9%; the resulting increase in farm j∈J1
μ̂ 1 = ðA:1:3Þ
profits being more than sufficient to cover the marginal cost of ∑ hj
j∈J1
providing power. Switching from a non-remunerative power price-
poor power supply regime to a higher price-reliable supply one can be which is just the total (or average) number of submersible breakdowns
viewed as a move from a low-level to a high-level equilibrium. 24 in the data divided by the total (or average) number of hours that
However, implementing institutional change in the power regime can submersibles in the data ran for. A similar exercise yields the Poisson
be challenging and necessitates a discussion on public versus private parameter estimate for non-submersibles.
ownership of power supply, regulation, and political capture that is Suppose that it takes time tj to extract 1 unit (bigha-inch) of water
the subject of a separate study. Our analysis only points to the gains using submersible tubewell j.
that can accrue if it were to happen. Then, the expected number of breakdowns in this time,

Acknowledgments   
E N tj = μ̂ 1 tj : ðA:1:4Þ
We are indebted to the South Asian Network for Development and
Environmental Economics (SANDEE) for funding this project, Ajay
Kumar and Rajpal Singh for research assistance, R.P. Singh and D.R. Singh Our estimated marginal cost of water extraction from this tubewell
for help with logistics, Ch. Ranjit Singh's family for their hospitality, the is the above number times the average cost of repair.

Appendix A.2. An example of the social contract which includes


pure water buyers, pure sellers, and farmers who both buy and
23
The nation-wide survey referred to earlier reports that leasing-in of land has been sell water
declining over time, and accounted for less than 10% of area in 2002/3. This includes
area leased not only for cash, but also under sharecropping and other contractual
terms.
This example illustrates a case in which some farmers are
24
See Spiller and Savedoff (1999) for a general discussion of such institutional simultaneously water buyers and sellers, while others are either
change with respect to water provision. buyers or sellers. Suppose there are 3 locations and there is water
236 A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237

rationing. In location 1, there are 3 plots, owned by farmers 1, 2 and b; tubewell and buys water. The implications on allocative efficiency are
farmer 1's plot alone has a tubewell (TW) and services all 3 plots. In unchanged.
location 2, farmers 2 and 3 have a plot each. Both plots have TWs; so
that in a situation of limited power and water supply, either farmer's
Appendix A.3. Modeling the policy simulation in Section 5.2
TW can serve the other plot, if that plot is the more productive/larger
one. In location 3, farmers 3 and 1 have a plot each; only farmer 3's
Suppose farmer s owns plot s, and the tubewell t on it, and suppose
plot has a TW, and this services farmer 1's plot as well. Let (p,w) refer
that B(t) is the set of plots that buy water from this tubewell. With
to a water price and a vector of water allocations across all 7 plots: i.e.
reliable power supply, the high density of tubewells, and the present
w = (w11, w21, wb, w22, w32, w33, w13) where the subscripts follow the
aquifer depth, there is no water constraint. Suppose that farmer s's
convention in Section 4, and the subscript b refers to the pure water   
optimal
  input  choices are x̂sj ; x̂sJ , and those for the water buyers are
buyer whose plot is in location 1. We describe the Pareto Frontier
x̂ij ; x̂iJ i∈Bðt Þ (the Jth input being water). The social contract in this
under water rationing as follows, following Section 4 in the text
‘no water constraint’ case, discussed in Eq. (7) in the text, suggests
(normalizing the output price to 1):
that water would be allocated efficiently, which now translates to
Maxðp;wÞ A11 f ðw11 Þ + A13 f ðw13 Þ + pw21 + pwb −pw13 −cw1 equating MVPW on any plot with the unit cost of water extraction ct
from tubewell t. With prices ps for sugarcane, and qj, j ≠ J, for other
s:t: A22 f ðw22 Þ + A21 f ðw21 Þ−pw21 −pðw22 −w2 Þ−cw2 = π2 ðA:2:1Þ inputs, we can solve for the optimal input choices of farmer s as
follows:
A33 f ðw33 Þ + A32 f ðw32 Þ + pw13 + pðw22 −w2 Þ−cw3 −cw32 = π3
ðA:2:2Þ " #
     
x̂sj ; x̂sJ ∈ arg max ps f xsj ; xsJ ; β − ∑ qj xsj −ct xsJ : ðA:3:1Þ
Ab f ðwb Þ−pwb = π 3 ðA:2:3Þ j

wb + w11 + w21 = w1 ðA:2:4Þ


And similarly for all plots i ∈ B(t),
w22 + w32 = w2 + w32 ðA:2:5Þ
" #
w33 + w31 = w3 : ðA:2:6Þ      
x̂ij ; x̂iJ ∈ arg max ps f xij ; xiJ ; β − ∑ qj xij −ct xiJ : ðA:3:2Þ
j
Constraints (A.2.1)–(A.2.3) hold profits of farmers 2, 3 and b
constant at the RHS values. Constraints (A.2.4)–(A.2.6) constrain
water to the RHS values; the RHS of constraint (A.2.5) has water
That is, the optimization problems of the different plots can be solved
supply from TWs owned by farmers 2 and 3 respectively, at location 2.
separately, because there is no common water constraint as in the
Adding constraints (A.2.1)–(A.2.3) and substituting in the objective,
simulation in Section 5.1. From the solutions to plot level optimization
we can rewrite the above problem as follows.
problems, we derive per bigha averages for output, profit, irrigation
MaxðwÞ A11 f ðw11 Þ + A13 f ðw13 Þ−cw 1 + A22 f ðw22 Þ + A21 f ðw21 Þ−cw2 volume, and power revenue, and compare them with the baseline
numbers observed in the data.
−π 2 + A33 f ðw33 Þ + A32 f ðw32 Þ−cw3 −cw32 −π3 + Ab f ðwb Þ−πb Basic Assumptions: In the data set, tubewell pump set owners are
charged Rupees 70 per horsepower per month. Most farmers
s:t: wb + w11 + w21 = w1 ðA:2:4Þ misreport pumps to have 10 hp, so annual charges are about Rupees
8700 (8400 +other minor charges). But in actual fact, almost all
w22 + w32 = w2 + w32 ðA:2:5Þ pumps run on 20 hp. 25 We base our simulations on this fact. Thus a
unit power price of y rupees per kW h translates to approximately 15y
w33 + w31 = w3 : ðA:2:6Þ
rupees per hour, for a 20 hp pump. 26 Dividing this by the discharge
from the tubewell, and adding to that the estimated marginal cost of
Let the multipliers associated with constraints (A.2.4)–(A.2.6) be water extraction from this tubewell in the absence of unit pricing of
λ4, λ5, λ6. The first order conditions imply electricity (as in the data), 27 we get a simulated unit cost of extracting
1 bigha-inch of water from it. With the extraction costs from each
A11 f ′ðw11 Þ = A21 f ′ðw21 Þ = Ab f ′ðwb Þ = λ4 ; A22 f ′ðw22 Þ = A32 f ′ðw32 Þ
tubewell in place, and other input and output prices as given in the
= λ5 and A33 f ′ðw33 Þ = A13 f ′ðw13 Þ = λ6 : sample, we endow each plot with the estimated production
technology, and allow each plot in the sample to choose labor
So, the marginal value products across plots serviced in each hours, oxen hours, and irrigation volumes, in order to maximize
location are equalized. The other implication of the model presented profits as described by Eqs. (A.3.1) and (A.3.2). 28 Note that we hold
in Section 4 carries over as well: the water price p is contained in an fixed the mapping of tubewell to user plot; this determines specific
interval obtained by considering the profits under agreement, and water costs for each plot.
disagreement points, of net water sellers and net water buyers, such
that all farmers have an incentive to participate in an agreement
rather than opt out. 25
Given the shortage of electricity to pump water, farmers compensate by having
Suppose that in location 2, the 2 tubewells have similar water
more tubewells and horsepower than would otherwise be necessary, in order to pump
output (w2 ; w32 are about the same) and farmer 2's plot is more up water as quickly as possible.
productive/larger (captured by A22 > A32). It follows then from the 26
Since 1 hp is approximately 3/4 of a kilowatt. Unless the pump is simply idling, a
first order conditions and constraint (A.2.5) that farmer 2 will buy running 20 hp pump consumes close to that.
27
water from farmer 3 at location 2. Thus this example provides a As reported earlier, the estimated marginal costs of extraction for non-
submersibles and submersibles pumpsets average to, respectively, Rupees 1.45 and
typology in which farmer 1 is on both sides of the water market Rupees 0.3 per bigha-inch of water.
(buyer and seller), farmer 2 owns a tubewell but only buys water, 28
Acreage and the variables with insignificant estimates (Table 3) are not optimized
farmer 3 sells water but does not buy, and farmer b does not own a over.
A. Banerji et al. / Journal of Development Economics 98 (2012) 228–237 237

Appendix A.4. Data collection details Foster, Andrew, Sekhri, S., 2008. Can Expansion of markets for groundwater decelerate
the depletion of groundwater resource in rural India? Mimeo.
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To construct our sample, we first conducted a census of all Econometrics and Economic Theory in the Twentieth Century: The Ragnar Frisch
households and tubewells in the village. We used a random number to Centennial Symposium. Cambridge University Press, pp. 169–203.
Jacoby, Hanan G., Murgai, Rinku, Rehman, Saeed Ur, 2004. Monopoly power and
draw the first tubewell in the sample, and then selected every second distribution in fragmented markets: the case of groundwater. The Review of
tubewell on the census list. From this initial list of sampled tubewells, Economic Studies 71, 783–808.
we mapped all the plots they served: these were cultivated by 105 Krishna, V., Serrano, R., 1996. Multilateral bargaining. The Review of Economic Studies
63, 61–80.
farmers, who were included in our sample. If these farmers had plots
Lensberg, T., 1988. Stability and the Nash solution. Journal of Economic Theory 45,
served by other tubewells or owned more than one tubewell that was 330–341.
not in our initial list, we incorporated those tubewells into the sample Levinsohn, J., Petrin, A., 2003. Estimating production functions using inputs to control
for unobservables. The Review of Economic Studies 70, 317–342.
as well. In this way, we had a sample of 73 tubewells (out of a village
Marschak, J., Andrews, W., 1944. Random simultaneous equations and the theory of
total of about 110), serving 326 plots cultivated by 105 farmers. production. Econometrica 12, 143–205.
Including all plots serviced by a tubewell implies that we can compute Meinzen-Dick, R., 1996. Groundwater markets in Pakistan: participation and
the total amount of water discharged by each tubewell over the productivity. International Food Policy Research Institute Research Report.
Meinzen-Dick, R., 2000. Public, private and shared water: groundwater markets and
season, as well as the entire water allocation from it to various plots. access in Pakistan. In: Bryan Randolph, Bruns, Ruth, Meinzen-Dick (Eds.),
This enables us to pose counterfactuals about the effect of reallocating Negotiating Water Rights. Intermediate Technology Publications, UK.
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markets in Eastern Indo-Gangetic basin: evidence from West Bengal, India. Energy
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in India in 2002–03, NSS 59th round, January–December 2003” NSS Report No. 492.
history) helps to estimate water supply characteristics. Plot-specific Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, Government of India.
data (including details on source of irrigation, date of each irrigation, Olley, S., Pakes, A., 1996. The dynamics of productivity in the telecommunications
the number of hours the pumpset was run to deliver water, the terms industry. Econometrica 64, 169–203.
Palmer-Jones, R., 1994. Groundwater markets in South Asia: a discussion of theory and
of the water transaction, information on labor and other inputs, and
evidence. Selling Water: Conceptual and Policy Debates over Groundwater Markets
soil quality) is needed to estimate the demand for irrigation water. in India. VIKSAT, Ahmedabad, India.
Farm household data (including information on household members, Pant, N., 2004. Trends in groundwater irrigation in eastern and western UP. Economic
and Political Weekly 39, 3463–3468.
and their education levels, and farm assets) can potentially help to
Paris, Q., Knapp, K., 1989. Estimation of von Liebig response functions. American Journal
identify farmer-specific effects on production. Field work was of Agricultural Economics 71, 178–186.
conducted once every 2 to 3 weeks, over the entire sugarcane cycle Ross, S., 1997. Introduction to Probability Models. Academic Press. Chapter 5.
(2004–2005). This frequency corresponded to the pattern of irriga- Schoengold, K., Zilberman, D., 2007. The economics of water, irrigation and
development. In: Evenson, R., Pingali, P. (Eds.), Handbook of Agricultural
tions; and given the large number of plots to be tracked, helped in Economics, vol. 3. Elsevier, pp. 2933–2978.
keeping the recall period low. We obtained assistance from the Water Sengupta, Nirmal, 2000. Negotiation with an under-informed bureaucracy: water rights
Technology Centre, Indian Agricultural Research Institute for deter- on system tanks in Bihar. In: Bryan Randolph, Bruns, Meinzen-Dick, Ruth S. (Eds.),
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mining irrigation volumes and tubewell discharges, 29 and from the Shah, Tushaar, 1993. Groundwater Markets and Irrigation Development: Political
National Bureau of Soil Surveys and Land Use Planning in collecting Economy and Practical Policy. Oxford University Press, New Delhi.
and analyzing soil samples. Shah, F., Zilberman, D., Chakravorty, U., 1993. Water rights doctrines and technology
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29
We attempted to triangulate the data on irrigation volumes, by both asking the
farmer directly on the number of bigha inches covered by each plot for every
irrigation, and by estimating using (a) discharge of the pump, measured as the amount
of time taken to fill a pre-specified volume of water, (b) the distance from the pump to
the field and (c) the number of hours that the pump was run. The two measures were
similar.

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