Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Código: d7302090
Profesor:
450000 439.993
400000
350000
300000 294.024
Método Geométrico
400000
350000
300000 294.024
Proyección a 25 años.
El año de mi contrato como Ingeniero Civil para desarrollar la proyección es el 2017.
⌊( ) ⌋
⌊( ) ⌋
r = 2,9%
= 642.400,46Habitantes
400000
350000
300000 294.024
0.0200
Kg(1951-1938) 0,0200
Kg(1964-1951) 0,0254
Kg(1973-1964) 0,0406
Kg(1986-1973) 0,0351
Kg(1993-1986) 0,0193
Kg(2005-1993) 0,0336
Promedio Kg 0,0290
400000
350000
300000 294.024
= 2.2418
Para este valor i se proyecta la población de cada uno de los años del horizonte
del proyecto.
⌊ ⌋
⌊ ⌋ = 409.520.427 Habitantes
Método Lineal.
Método Geométrico
Método Geométrico
Año r1 r2 r3 r4 r5 r6
r Promedio
0,0295 0,02556 0,02051 0,01496 0,00807 0,00603
Método Wappus
Año i1 i2 i3 i4 i5 i6
i Promedio
2,2418 2,55082 2,88620 2,87623 2,76658 3,31439
409.520.426,60 411.675.548,81
2018 410.788.105,75 412.168.390,76 412.127.268,83 413.937.437,95 411.702.863,12
2019 419.822.424,83 422.031.761,84
421.121.994,04 422.537.001,84 422.494.845,44 424.350.551,62 422.059.763,27
430.252.398,19 432.516.623,47
2020 431.584.253,61 433.034.415,54 432.991.211,82 434.893.020,74 432.545.320,56
2021 440.810.346,69 443.130.133,71
442.174.884,46 443.660.631,87 443.616.367,97 445.564.845,32 443.159.535,00
451.496.270,32 453.872.292,56
2022 452.893.886,59 454.415.650,81 454.370.313,89 456.366.025,34 453.902.406,59
2023 462.310.169,09 464.743.100,02
463.741.260,01 465.299.472,38 465.253.049,58 467.296.560,81 464.773.935,32
473.252.042,99 475.742.556,09
2024 474.717.004,71 476.312.096,57 476.264.575,05 478.356.451,73 475.774.121,19
2025 484.321.892,02 486.870.660,77
485.821.120,69 487.453.523,39 487.404.890,28 489.545.698,10 486.902.964,21
495.519.716,18 498.127.414,06
2026 497.053.607,96 498.723.752,82 498.673.995,29 500.864.299,92 498.160.464,37
2027 506.845.515,48 509.512.815,96
508.414.466,51 510.122.784,88 510.071.890,07 512.312.257,18 509.546.621,68
518.299.289,91 521.026.866,46
2028 519.903.696,34 521.650.619,56 521.598.574,62 523.889.569,90 521.061.436,13
2029 529.881.039,48 532.669.565,58
531.521.297,46 533.307.256,86 533.254.048,94 535.596.238,07 532.704.907,73
541.590.764,18 544.440.913,30
2030 543.267.269,86 545.092.696,78 545.038.313,03 547.432.261,69 544.477.036,47
2031 553.428.464,01 556.340.909,64
555.141.613,54 557.006.939,33 556.951.366,90 559.397.640,75 556.377.822,36
565.394.138,97 568.369.554,58
2032 567.144.328,50 569.049.984,50 568.993.210,53 571.492.375,27 568.407.265,39
2033 577.487.789,07 580.526.848,13
579.275.414,75 581.221.832,29 581.163.843,94 583.716.465,23 580.565.365,57
589.709.414,30 592.812.790,29
2034 591.534.872,28 593.522.482,70 593.463.267,12 596.069.910,64 592.852.122,89
2035 602.059.014,67 605.227.381,06
603.922.701,10 605.951.935,73 605.891.480,07 608.552.711,51 605.267.537,35
614.536.590,16 617.770.620,43
2036 616.438.901,19 618.510.191,39 618.448.482,79 621.164.867,82 617.811.608,97
2037 627.142.140,79 630.442.508,42
629.083.472,57 631.197.249,66 631.134.275,29 633.906.379,58 630.484.337,72
639.875.666,56 643.243.045,02
2038 641.856.415,24 644.013.110,57 643.948.857,55 646.777.246,79 643.285.723,62
2039 652.737.167,46 656.172.230,22
654.757.729,18 656.957.774,09 656.892.229,59 659.777.469,45 656.215.766,67
665.726.643,49 669.230.064,04
2040 667.787.414,41 670.031.240,23 669.964.391,40 672.907.047,56 669.274.466,85
2041 678.844.094,65 682.416.546,46
680.945.470,92 683.233.509,00 683.165.342,98 686.165.981,12 682.461.824,19
692.089.520,95 695.731.677,49
2042 694.231.898,72 696.564.580,39 696.495.084,33 699.554.270,13 695.777.838,67
2043 705.462.922,38 709.175.457,13
707.646.697,80 710.024.454,40 709.953.615,45 713.071.914,59 709.222.510,29
718.964.298,95 722.747.885,38
2044 721.189.868,16 723.613.131,03 723.540.936,35 726.718.914,50 722.795.839,06
2045 732.593.650,64 736.448.962,24
734.861.409,80 737.330.610,29 737.257.047,01 740.495.269,85 736.497.824,97
746.350.977,47 750.278.687,71
2046 748.661.322,73 751.176.892,16 751.101.947,45 754.400.980,66 750.328.468,03
2047 760.236.279,44 764.237.061,78
762.589.606,94 765.151.976,66 765.075.637,66 768.436.046,91 764.287.768,23
Método Lineal o
Método Geométrico Método Wappus
Añ
Aritmético PROMEDI
o O
K1 K2 K3 K4 K5 K6 i1 i2 i3 i4 i5 i6
Kl Kl
K1 K2 K3 K4 K5 K6 i
Prome Prome
Promedio
dio dio
5.633,1 6.646,1 7.978,4 8.666,7 9.639,3 12.164,
0,03 0,03 0,02 0,01 0,01 0,01 2,24 2,55 2,89 2,88 2,77 3,31
9 1 6 8 2 08
20 513.22 526.39 543.71 552.66 565.30 598.12 549.90 642.400, 610.861, 572.911, 533.70 488.43 475.78 554.01 409.520.4 410.788.1 412.168.3 412.127.2 411.675.5 413.937.4 411.702.8 412.806.7
18 4,52 2,44 3,02 1,16 4,11 6,08 3,56 46 85 01 4,36 2,66 7,70 6,34 26,60 05,75 90,76 68,83 48,81 37,95 63,12 83,02
20 518.85 533.03 551.69 561.32 574.94 610.29 558.35 661.376, 626.475, 584.663, 541.69 492.37 478.65 564.20 419.822.4 421.121.9 422.537.0 422.494.8 422.031.7 424.350.5 422.059.7 423.182.3
19 7,72 8,56 1,49 7,94 3,42 0,17 8,21 76 85 17 0,39 2,57 8,85 6,26 24,83 94,04 01,84 45,44 61,84 51,62 63,27 27,75
20 524.49 539.68 559.66 569.99 584.58 622.45 566.81 680.913, 642.488, 596.656, 549.79 496.34 481.54 574.62 430.252.3 431.584.2 433.034.4 432.991.2 432.516.6 434.893.0 432.545.3 433.686.7
20 0,91 4,67 9,95 4,72 2,74 4,25 2,87 60 94 41 5,92 4,25 7,32 4,41 98,19 53,61 15,54 11,82 23,47 20,74 20,56 57,84
20 530.12 546.33 567.64 578.66 594.22 634.61 575.26 701.027, 658.911, 608.895, 558.02 500.34 484.45 585.27 440.810.3 442.174.8 443.660.6 443.616.3 443.130.1 445.564.8 443.159.5 444.320.0
21 4,10 0,78 8,41 1,50 2,05 8,33 7,53 56 34 66 2,74 7,97 3,23 6,42 46,69 84,46 31,87 67,97 33,71 45,32 35,00 78,95
20 535.75 552.97 575.62 587.32 603.86 646.78 583.72 721.735, 675.753, 621.385, 566.37 504.38 487.37 596.16 451.496.2 452.893.8 454.415.6 454.370.3 453.872.2 456.366.0 453.902.4 455.082.2
22 7,30 6,89 6,88 8,28 1,37 2,42 2,19 68 51 98 2,66 3,99 6,67 8,08 70,32 86,59 50,81 13,89 92,56 25,34 06,59 96,86
20 541.39 559.62 583.60 595.99 613.50 658.94 592.17 743.055, 693.026, 634.132, 574.84 508.45 490.31 607.30 462.310.1 463.741.2 465.299.4 465.253.0 464.743.1 467.296.5 464.773.9 465.973.4
23 0,49 3,00 5,34 5,06 0,68 6,50 6,85 51 17 51 7,53 2,57 7,75 5,34 69,09 60,01 72,38 49,58 00,02 60,81 35,32 17,50
20 547.02 566.26 591.58 604.66 623.14 671.11 600.63 765.005, 710.740, 647.140, 583.44 512.55 493.27 618.69 473.252.0 474.717.0 476.312.0 476.264.5 475.742.5 478.356.4 475.774.1 476.993.4
24 3,69 9,11 3,80 1,84 0,00 0,58 1,50 12 34 51 9,20 3,96 6,58 4,28 42,99 04,71 96,57 75,05 56,09 51,73 21,19 46,98
20 552.65 572.91 599.56 613.32 632.77 683.27 609.08 787.603, 728.907, 660.415, 592.17 516.68 496.25 630.34 484.321.8 485.821.1 487.453.5 487.404.8 486.870.6 489.545.6 486.902.9 488.142.3
25 6,88 5,22 2,27 8,63 9,32 4,67 6,16 11 28 35 9,59 8,43 3,26 1,17 92,02 20,69 23,39 90,28 60,77 98,10 64,21 91,54
20 558.29 579.56 607.54 621.99 642.41 695.43 617.54 810.868, 747.538, 673.962, 601.04 520.85 499.24 642.25 495.519.7 497.053.6 498.723.7 498.673.9 498.127.4 500.864.2 498.160.4 499.420.2
26 0,07 1,33 0,73 5,41 8,63 8,75 0,82 65 59 49 0,61 6,26 7,91 2,42 16,18 07,96 52,82 95,29 14,06 99,92 64,37 57,61
20 563.92 586.20 615.51 630.66 652.05 707.60 625.99 834.821, 766.646, 687.787, 610.03 525.05 502.26 654.43 506.845.5 508.414.4 510.122.7 510.071.8 509.512.8 512.312.2 509.546.6 510.827.0
27 3,27 7,44 9,20 2,19 7,95 2,83 5,48 43 12 53 4,22 7,71 0,63 4,61 15,48 66,51 84,88 90,07 15,96 57,18 21,68 51,77
20 569.55 592.85 623.49 639.32 661.69 719.76 634.45 859.481, 786.242, 701.896, 619.16 529.29 505.29 666.89 518.299.2 519.903.6 521.650.6 521.598.5 521.026.8 523.889.5 521.061.4 522.362.7
28 6,46 3,56 7,66 8,97 7,26 6,92 0,14 78 05 16 2,41 3,04 1,53 4,49 89,91 96,34 19,56 74,62 66,46 69,90 36,13 80,76
20 575.18 599.49 631.47 647.99 671.33 731.93 642.90 884.870, 806.338, 716.294, 628.42 533.56 508.34 679.63 529.881.0 531.521.2 533.307.2 533.254.0 532.669.5 535.596.2 532.704.9 534.027.4
29 9,66 9,67 6,12 5,75 6,58 1,00 4,80 58 87 20 7,19 2,54 0,72 9,02 39,48 97,46 56,86 48,94 65,58 38,07 07,73 51,54
20 580.82 606.14 639.45 656.66 680.97 744.09 651.35 911.009, 826.949, 730.987, 637.83 537.86 511.40 692.67 541.590.7 543.267.2 545.092.6 545.038.3 544.440.9 547.432.2 544.477.0 545.821.0
30 2,85 5,78 4,59 2,53 5,89 5,08 9,45 36 37 59 0,60 6,49 8,31 5,28 64,18 69,86 96,78 13,03 13,30 61,69 36,47 71,21
20 586.45 612.79 647.43 665.32 690.61 756.25 659.81 937.920, 848.086, 745.982, 647.37 542.20 514.49 706.01 553.428.4 555.141.6 557.006.9 556.951.3 556.340.9 559.397.6 556.377.8 557.743.6
31 6,04 1,89 3,05 9,31 5,21 9,17 4,11 27 69 39 4,71 5,14 4,41 0,60 64,01 13,54 39,33 66,90 09,64 40,75 22,36 47,07
20 592.08 619.43 655.41 673.99 700.25 768.42 668.26 965.626, 869.764, 761.284, 657.06 546.57 517.59 719.65 565.394.1 567.144.3 569.049.9 568.993.2 568.369.5 571.492.3 568.407.2 569.795.1
32 9,24 8,00 1,51 6,09 4,53 3,25 8,77 12 29 77 1,64 8,80 9,13 2,46 38,97 28,50 84,50 10,53 54,58 75,27 65,39 86,62
20 597.72 626.08 663.38 682.66 709.89 780.58 676.72 994.150, 891.995, 776.901, 666.89 550.98 520.72 733.60 577.487.7 579.275.4 581.221.8 581.163.8 580.526.8 583.716.4 580.565.3 581.975.6
33 2,43 4,11 9,98 2,88 3,84 7,33 3,43 39 98 06 3,52 7,73 2,59 8,55 89,07 14,75 32,29 43,94 48,13 65,23 65,57 97,54
20 603.35 632.73 671.36 691.32 719.53 792.75 685.17 1.023.51 914.795, 792.837, 676.87 555.43 523.86 747.88 589.709.4 591.534.8 593.522.4 593.463.2 592.812.7 596.069.9 592.852.1 594.285.1
34 5,63 0,22 8,44 9,66 3,16 1,42 8,09 7,26 93 68 2,52 2,23 4,90 6,75 14,30 72,28 82,70 67,12 90,29 10,64 22,89 87,73
20 608.98 639.37 679.34 699.99 729.17 804.91 693.63 1.053.75 938.178, 809.101, 687.00 559.91 527.02 762.49 602.059.0 603.922.7 605.951.9 605.891.4 605.227.3 608.552.7 605.267.5 606.723.6
35 8,82 6,33 6,90 6,44 2,47 5,50 2,74 1,62 66 21 0,84 2,58 6,17 5,18 14,67 01,10 35,73 80,07 81,06 11,51 37,35 65,28
20 614.62 646.02 687.32 708.66 738.81 817.07 702.08 1.084.87 962.159, 825.698, 697.28 564.42 530.20 777.44 614.536.5 616.438.9 618.510.1 618.448.4 617.770.6 621.164.8 617.811.6 619.291.1
36 2,01 2,44 5,37 3,22 1,79 9,58 7,40 9,08 07 36 0,71 9,07 6,51 2,13 90,16 01,19 91,39 82,79 20,43 67,82 08,97 38,50
20 620.25 652.66 695.30 717.33 748.45 829.24 710.54 1.116.92 986.752, 842.635, 707.71 568.98 533.40 792.73 627.142.1 629.083.4 631.197.2 631.134.2 630.442.5 633.906.3 630.484.3 631.987.6
37 5,21 8,56 3,83 0,00 1,11 3,67 2,06 6,05 42 96 4,40 2,00 6,05 6,15 40,79 72,57 49,66 75,29 08,42 79,58 37,72 15,93
20 625.88 659.31 703.28 725.99 758.09 841.40 718.99 1.149.91 1.011.97 859.921, 718.30 573.57 536.62 808.38 639.875.6 641.856.4 644.013.1 643.948.8 643.243.0 646.777.2 643.285.7 644.813.1
38 8,40 4,67 2,29 6,78 0,42 7,75 6,72 9,67 4,40 01 4,22 1,64 4,90 5,97 66,56 15,24 10,57 57,55 45,02 46,79 23,62 06,31
20 631.52 665.96 711.26 734.66 767.72 853.57 727.45 1.183.88 1.037.84 877.560, 729.05 578.19 539.86 824.40 652.737.1 654.757.7 656.957.7 656.892.2 656.172.2 659.777.4 656.215.7 657.767.6
39 1,60 0,78 0,76 3,56 9,74 1,83 1,38 7,91 1,07 63 2,49 8,32 3,17 0,60 67,46 29,18 74,09 29,59 30,22 69,45 66,67 18,64
20 637.15 672.60 719.23 743.33 777.36 865.73 735.90 1.218.85 1.064.36 895.562, 739.96 582.86 543.12 840.78 665.726.6 667.787.4 670.031.2 669.964.3 669.230.0 672.907.0 669.274.4 670.851.1
40 4,79 6,89 9,22 0,34 9,05 5,92 6,04 9,56 8,91 09 1,60 2,31 0,98 9,24 43,49 14,41 40,23 91,40 64,04 47,56 66,85 62,13
20 642.78 679.25 727.21 751.99 787.00 877.90 744.36 1.254.86 1.091.57 913.932, 751.03 587.56 546.39 857.56 678.844.0 680.945.4 683.233.5 683.165.3 682.416.5 686.165.9 682.461.8 684.063.7
41 7,99 3,00 7,68 7,13 8,37 0,00 0,69 4,26 4,81 81 3,94 3,92 8,45 1,37 94,65 70,92 09,00 42,98 46,46 81,12 24,19 46,25
20 648.42 685.89 735.19 760.66 796.64 890.06 752.81 1.291.93 1.119.47 932.680, 762.27 592.30 549.69 874.72 692.089.5 694.231.8 696.564.5 696.495.0 695.731.6 699.554.2 695.777.8 697.405.3
42 1,18 9,11 6,15 3,91 7,68 4,08 5,35 2,53 6,12 37 1,97 3,46 5,70 6,69 20,95 98,72 80,39 84,33 77,49 70,13 38,67 80,71
20 654.05 692.54 743.17 769.33 806.28 902.22 761.27 1.330.09 1.148.09 951.812, 773.67 597.08 553.01 892.29 705.462.9 707.646.6 710.024.4 709.953.6 709.175.4 713.071.9 709.222.5 710.876.0
43 4,37 5,22 4,61 0,69 7,00 8,17 0,01 5,78 0,59 51 8,15 1,23 2,85 5,19 22,38 97,80 54,40 15,45 57,13 14,59 10,29 75,49
20 659.68 699.19 751.15 777.99 815.92 914.39 769.72 1.369.38 1.177.43 971.337, 785.25 601.89 556.35 910.27 718.964.2 721.189.8 723.613.1 723.540.9 722.747.8 726.718.9 722.795.8 724.475.8
44 7,57 1,33 3,07 7,47 6,32 2,25 4,67 6,37 6,47 10 5,01 7,54 0,01 7,08 98,95 68,16 31,03 36,35 85,38 14,50 39,06 40,81
20 665.32 705.83 759.13 786.66 825.56 926.55 778.17 1.409.83 1.207.53 991.262, 797.00 606.75 559.70 928.68 732.593.6 734.861.4 737.330.6 737.257.0 736.448.9 740.495.2 736.497.8 738.204.6
45 0,76 7,44 1,54 4,25 5,63 6,33 9,33 7,58 2,45 20 5,10 2,69 7,31 2,89 50,64 09,80 10,29 47,01 62,24 69,85 24,97 87,19
20 670.95 712.48 767.11 795.33 835.20 938.72 786.63 1.451.48 1.238.39 1.011.59 808.93 611.64 563.08 947.52 746.350.9 748.661.3 751.176.8 751.101.9 750.278.6 754.400.9 750.328.4 752.062.6
46 3,96 3,56 0,00 1,03 4,95 0,42 3,98 3,71 7,70 6,03 1,00 7,02 4,88 3,39 77,47 22,73 92,16 47,45 87,71 80,66 68,03 25,40
20 676.58 719.12 775.08 803.99 844.84 950.88 795.08 1.494.36 1.270.05 1.032.34 821.03 616.58 566.48 966.80 760.236.2 762.589.6 765.151.9 765.075.6 764.237.0 768.436.0 764.287.7 766.049.6
47 7,15 9,67 8,46 7,81 4,26 4,50 8,64 0,05 1,88 6,97 5,37 0,82 2,82 9,65 79,44 06,94 76,66 37,66 61,78 46,91 68,23 66,53
Metodo Lineal
900000
800000
700000
600000
500000
400000
300000
200000
100000
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31
METODO GEOMETRICO
1200000
1000000
800000
600000
400000
200000
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31
Año Kl Promedio
METODO WAPPUS
900000000
800000000
700000000
600000000
500000000
400000000
300000000
200000000
100000000
0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31
Año i Promedio