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2030
Growing agriculture into
a $100 billion industry
March 2018
KPMG
The world is changing rapidly on the back of the fourth industrial revolution
and food production is changing in line with this new world. KPMG has
coordinated the development of this discussion paper with the National
Farmers Federation (NFF) and Telstra. The paper is designed to ensure that
the key emerging issues and trends in the agriculture and food sector are
contemplated by NFF stakeholders when they develop the policy roadmap for
2030. We thank the many industry experts and KPMG Partners and staff that Robert Poole
have contributed their thoughts and vision to the report. Partner, National Lead
Agribusiness –
This report will be used as a base for discussion for a series of workshops Management Consulting
hosted by the NFF over the coming months.
The topics covered in this report are not exhaustive. Some other key matters
are already captured in existing NFF policies that can be viewed in full on the
NFF website. There are also other issues that may be raised by stakeholders
in the forthcoming workshops that are not in this report.
Finally, the NFF will develop their policy roadmap based on the outcomes of
the workshops – aimed at supporting a doubling of farm sector output.
© 2018 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 3
Foreword
The National Farmers’ Federation (NFF) has laid down a bold vision for the
industry: $100 billion in farm gate output by 2030.
This financial year that figure will total $59 billion, meaning we need to grow
by almost 70 per cent in the coming 12 years.
That sort of growth doesn’t happen by accident. We need a clear strategy to
capture opportunities and navigate the challenges that lie ahead.
That’s why the National Farmers’ Federation is embarking on Talking 2030.
Talking 2030 is all about engaging the industry in a conversation about its
future and identifying concrete actions which will position us for success.
This discussion paper — developed in partnership with KPMG, Telstra and
numerous industry experts — is the first step in that process.
In these pages we’ve captured fresh thinking on how we:
• respond to changing consumer preferences;
• harness technology and innovation to boost our productivity;
• reach burgeoning new markets across the globe;
• access capital to fund this new phase of growth;
• attract and train the best human talent; and,
• lighten our environmental footprint by producing more with less.
Each of these is a momentous task, requiring a willingness to embrace new
ideas and cross-industry collaboration. That’s why out of Talking 2030 we
want to establish a clear plan that lights the way to our $100 billion vision.
Feeding and clothing the world, and ensuring a prosperous future for rural
Australia are the dual passions which guide our work at the NFF. Our $100
billion vision is at the core of this agenda – setting an ambitious target which
will benefit our customers and our economy.
This is not a vision the NFF can deliver on its own. We need to partner with
like-minded individuals and entities on both the plan and its execution.
I look forward to your feedback on the information and ideas presented in this
paper, and look forward to working with you as we progress Talking 2030 and
the resulting ideas.
Fiona Simson
President
National Farmers Federation
© 2018 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
4 Talking 2030
Industry drivers
R&D Costs
Enablers
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All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 5
Key themes
This report is presented through
the lens of seven key areas.
85,681
Estimated total farms in Australia
Setting the scene
4,331 ha
Average farm size which is up 0.3% since 2014-15
$61 billion
Forecast gross value of farm production in 2018-19 (+3%)
Attracting people and capital
© 2018 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
6 Talking 2030
Understanding
our future
customer
9.8 billion
By 2050, the earth’s population is projected
to reach 9.8 billion i.e. +2.2 billion estimation
vs today
1st
Africa is expected to represent half of the
anticipated growth in global population between
now and 2050.
2nd
Asia is expected to be the second largest
contributor to this future growth, adding over
750 million people by 2050.
60%
FAO’s latest projections indicate that global food
production will increase by 60 percent between
2005/07 and 2050.
3rd
Australia – fastest growing vegan market in the
world (after Arab Emirates and China)
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All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 7
The expectations of the modern consumer are changing — Despite these trends, demand for meat remains strong —
both at home and abroad. with global consumption forecast to increase 46 per cent by
2050. However, new competition is on the way. Venture capital
Consumers expect more information about the provenance
funds around the world are committing vast sums to create
of their food and fibre. They are embracing new (increasingly
‘alternative meats’, which range from lab-grown meat to plant-
digital) supply chain models which create a more direct
based imitations.
connection to a product’s point of origin. They are also
embracing new food sources — a trend which could force a Shifting diets represent both a challenge and an opportunity for
dramatic reshaping of Australia’s production systems. Australian producers.
Reaching our burgeoning global customer base will remain a Cutting-edge crop varieties which meet these shifting needs are
consistent challenge, as we seek to navigate the complexities already being developed and deployed by Australian research
of global trade rules. Despite recent advances, shifting public institutions. However, if rapid changes in demand become the
sentiment around the world will continue to act as a headwind norm it will be costly for farming systems to keep pace.
for trade liberalisation efforts.
Greater demands and expectations
Technology can help us overcome many of these challenges.
From advancing product traceability, to automating global trade Our customers are increasingly focussed on where their food
compliance — new technologies can pave the way for a more and fibres come from, and how it’s produced.
seamless and gratifying connection with our customers in Increasingly, characteristics like taste or price are taking a back
every corner of the globe. seat to animal welfare, sustainability, safety and nutrition.
This means farmers are no longer motivated simply by
productivity. They must meet their customer’s ethical,
• Greater Asian • Detailed providence
influences information environmental and nutritional requirements.
• Fast-moving • Sustainability & “Twenty first century agriculture is more and more
wellbeing trends welfare standards
focused on engagement with the community (for
social license) and the consumer (for meeting
Great market needs).”
New Diets Expectations
Read more by Andrew Spencer, Australian Pork Limited,
page 37
New Paths Emerging Australia has a competitive advantage in this race. We are a
to Market Markets global leader in sustainability, animal welfare and food safety,
and ‘Brand Australia’ is known for these qualities — particularly
in emerging markets.
• Increased adoption • Greater focus on Our national brand is a critical piece of the $100 billion
of online platforms emerging markets
puzzle. The continued alignment of that brand with customer
• Buyers agents • Digital trade routes expectations will require a sustained and strategic effort.
going mainstream This can only be achieved through coordination between
those entities with an active marketing presence in key
export markets.
The perception that Australia is a trusted source of food and
Shifting dietary preferences fibre is one thing. The next challenge is proving it.
Australia’s consumers are embracing Asian cuisine influences
Food fraud is an enormous challenge in some of our largest
and new health trends, with an increased appetite for exotic
export markets. In response, consumers are demanding fail-
greens, grains and new protein sources. This new environment
safe systems which can validate a product’s whole of supply
can see niche products move quickly into the mainstream —
chain journey.
like kale, quinoa and almond milk — and open up significant
new market opportunities for responsive producers. Australia has world-class traceability systems for agricultural
products, but these were designed for biosecurity and food
“The consumer is changing, both in Australia and safety — not for the contemporary consumer.
abroad. They are changing what they buy, when they
Innovations like blockchain and smart packaging will no doubt
buy, where they buy, and how they buy.”
play a role in reshaping these systems in coming years to
Read more by Trent Duvall, KPMG, page 33 create a seamless digital journey from paddock to plate.
Some consumers are also turning away from traditional New paths to market
proteins. The number of Australians who say their diet is ‘all’ or
‘almost all’ vegetarian is up 30 per cent in the past four years. E-commerce for food and fresh produce remains the exception
This trend is being compounded by government policies and rather than the norm in Australia.
dietary guidelines encouraging a shift to plant-based proteins in Overseas however, e-commerce has proven a significant
Australia and other countries. disrupter to agricultural supply chains. Amazon Fresh has been
well received in Europe, and players like Alibaba and TMall have
© 2018 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity.
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8 Talking 2030
sophisticated cold chain networks in Asia which are already Recent advances like the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement
processing Australian produce. build on established deals with Japan, the USA and South
Korea to provide Australia a footing in a mix of established and
These new channels offer Australian producers the chance
growing markets.
to move closer to their end customer and capture a larger
price premium. As the balance of global wealth shifts east to Asia in the
coming century, Australia will need to ensure its trade agenda
Case study – The Alibaba revolution maximises opportunities in this region.
A China-based online marketplace and platform, Alibaba The recent signing of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)
is revolutionising the way that retailers and consumers holds promise in this regard, as does the proposed Regional
connect. Little heard of when founder Jack Ma (now Co-operation Partnership Agreement which is more closely
estimated to be worth US$41.5 billion1) established the focused on the Asia-Pacific region.
company from Hangzhou in 1999, Alibaba now hosts over
10 million sellers and averages over 30 million deliveries “The EU and the UK look appealing but the existing
per day2. With recently established offices in Australia, level of farm subsidiaries mean that half the
Alibaba — which is part of a group of e-commerce and agricultural producers would go out of business
technology companies ‘Alibaba Group’ — is actively without them.”
seeking to attract more Australian companies into listing, Read more by The Hon. Andrew Robb AO, Chairman,
to service Chinese consumers that have a lust for The Robb Group, page 38
Australian agricultural produce.
Headwinds exist in the form of public scepticism towards trade
Austrade estimates that over 1400 Australian retailers in
liberalisation. Stagnant wage growth in developed nations has
the agribusiness, food and beverage space alone are listed
helped fuel a populist backlash against globalisation in recent
on Alibaba3. Providing in-market cold-chain logistics and
years, which in turn has seen the rise of political leaders like
package tracking through its extensive Cainiao logistics
President Donald Trump in the United States.
network, Australian exporters are able to access lucrative
markets in a way that is often simpler than traditional export. The United States’ current trade policies pose a direct threat
to Australian agriculture’s $100 billion vision. However, the
“Over 1400 Australian retailers in the problem is not just global, it’s local. The same sentiment exists
agribusiness, food and beverage space alone in the Australian community — posing a challenge for the farm
are listed on Alibaba.” sector to better articulate the universal benefits of free trade.
In addition to tariffs and quotas, market access is also impeded
Another development has been the rise of the ‘diagou’ — by so-called ‘non-tariff barriers’ (NTBs). These are a product
Chinese Australians who sell Australian products back into of each country’s complex (and often bureaucratic) import
China at a premium. The key to the diagou phenomenon is and export requirements. Sometimes NTBs relate to genuine
trust: recipients of the goods trust their Australian vendor to biosecurity or food safety concerns, in other cases they are
send an authentic product. imposed for protectionist reasons.
The common theme is consumers wanting a more direct An important opportunity exists to use technology to streamline
supply chain, and their willingness to forego a ‘touch and feel’ and overcome NTBs, by codifying and automating the
retail experience to achieve it. regulation and compliance of trade processes.
For Australian agriculture the opportunities are profound, but
the industry needs to consider ways to maximise the benefits Dairy non-tariff barrier statistic
at the farm gate. Analysis for Australian red meat and dairy sectors indicates
that the industries may be losing out on trade worth $1.25
Opening up new markets
billion and $1.57 billion respectively, as a result of technical
“By 2030, Australia should have preferential trade barriers to trade4. There is however continuous movement
deals in place with Asia’s five largest economies.” on non-tariff barriers, as certification and regulatory
challenges are constantly changing with context and being
Australia has a strong track record (notably in recent times) for negotiated by governments.
pursuing trade liberalisation and brokering preferential trade
deals in key export markets.
1 https://www.forbes.com/profile/jack-ma/
2 http://fortune.com/2015/09/23/alibaba-says-numbers-real-not-fake/
3 https://www.austrade.gov.au/suppliersearch.aspx?smode=AND&ind=Agribusiness%7c%7cFood+%26+Beverage&folderid=1736&pg=1
4 AFGC, 2015 report http://www.pc.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/195871/sub028-agriculture-attachment.pdf
© 2018 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 9
© 2018 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
10 Talking 2030
Supercharging
our supply chain
85%
Of the Australian population currently lives in
urban areas
12,000
Jobs – this is the potential that a Fresh Food
Precinct close to Western Sydney Airport
could create
32 million tonnes
Of freight estimated on the highways and
railways by 2030 between Melbourne and
Brisbane the equivalent of 1.2 million b-double
truckloads of freight per year.
1,700km
The new inland freight rail infrastructure and
largest project in Australia with first train
operating by 2024
US$10.6 billion
Estimated revenue of the Ecommerce market
in 2017 in Australia (B2C)
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All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 11
A supply chain for 2030 – world-class infrastructure Maximising access to markets using fresh food
– underpinned by digital technology, real-time data precincts and air freight
and new contract models Investments in the food supply chain will be underpinned by
new technologies in plant breeding, indoor farming, energy and
Overview water management, food safety and quality, digital and IoT.
Infrastructure policy has always been central to the farm sector. New investments will link into distribution models including air
The efficient movement of goods from farm to market is a freight of fresh food. Fresh seafood, meat and some fruit and
critical factor in Australian agriculture’s global competitiveness. vegetables are already air freighted to export markets (e.g. from
To be competitive in 2030 the policy discussion must expand Wellcamp Airport in Toowoomba to Hong Kong).
to include new physical infrastructure such as air-freight and
also the digital networks that support real-time supply chain Food assurance (quality, safety, environment, people and animal
management to underpin productivity, food quality and export. welfare) will be a competitive advantage for Australia compared
to many countries. Emerging business models will provide an
“By 2025 all food and fibre exports from Australia even better basis for delivering food assurance in real time.
should be fully-digitally enabled, supporting Australia has the potential for highly efficient cross-border
traceability and provenance.” zones based on digital platforms (such as blockchain) that will
enable fast and efficient trade of food and fibre. For this to be
Connecting our farms to market achieved, we must eradicate inconsistencies of food product
In May 2017, the Federal Government announced that it was standards between Australia and destination markets.
committing an additional $8.4 billion through the Australian Rail
Track Corporation (ARTC) to facilitate the development of the For this to occur, Australia must establish the necessary
Inland Rail Project. The project has been positioned as a once- physical infrastructure. Airports capable of accommodating
in-a-generation project to connect regional Australia to domestic international cargo flights must be established in close
and international markets. It is Australia’s largest-ever freight rail proximity to key food growing regions.
infrastructure project. By coupling freight facilities with fresh food precincts – where
products can be packaged or further processed – Australia can
“For farming communities to fully realise the maximise its responsiveness to overseas customers, and its
potential benefits of Inland Rail it will be important returns back through the supply chain.
that there be further investment in appropriate
ancillary infrastructure such as rail sidings, intermodal “By 2030 all major food producing regions in
freight facilities, supply depots and other industries to Australia will have a borderless fresh food precinct —
complete the supply chain. There will also need to be capable of air freighting food directly to key markets.”
an associated investment in supporting community “In the next five years Australia must become a
infrastructure in regional hubs.” leader in digital platforms e.g. blockchain that enable
Graham Matthew, Partner, Head of Infrastructure and the fast and effective export of food and fibre and
Projects Group for Queensland, KPMG Australia provide real-time monitoring of the chain.”
Read more in Think big, think fresh: A Fresh Food Precinct
at the heart of Western Sydney
Case study: Modelling the most cost-effective
transport options
CSIRO has developed TraNSIT to analyse both small and
large-scale investments in the agriculture supply chain,
with current applications covering almost all Australian
agricultural logistics.
The tool currently accommodates 142 million tonnes
of agricultural transport and over five million vehicle
movements and 15,000 rail trips per year. This includes
the transportation of cattle as well as grains, dairy, poultry,
rice, cotton, pigs, sugar, horticulture crops and stock feed.
Forestry and sheep will be added in the near future. The
tool considers transport from farms to storage, feedlots,
processing, export ports, as well as domestic supply chains
to distribution centres and retailers.
The tool was used to estimate that an upgrade to the
corridor between Roma to Toowoomba to allow triple road
train access or Type 2 road train access from Roma to
Toowoomba is estimated to save a total of $4.9 million per
year in transport costs or $1.24 per head of cattle moved.
© 2018 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
12 Talking 2030
A supply chain underpinned by new contract models If we are to achieve our 2030 growth targets we must work
to reduce risk for all parties with customers (e.g. retailers) and food processors to develop
new supply agreements that improve supply certainty, product
In this report the CEO of The NZ Merino Company (NZM) John
quality, sustainability and reduce volatility. We should emulate
Brakenridge provides an insight into a real example where a
the work of NZM. We need customers who are prepared to
sector has changed its supply chain by working directly with
work with Australian growers in sustainable commercial models.
customers and providing more certainty across the chain.
Discover insights and read the opinions of experts in
“The wool industry must challenge the status quo, the dedicated section ‘Supercharging our supply chain’,
blow apart the traditional price-taker mentality and page 40
move to a value creation model. The wool industry
would never meet the challenges of tomorrow under
the price-taker model. Sadly, this model remains Key findings
prolific in our industry: quality product is produced by • Reaping the benefits of the Inland Rail will require
passionate people who have no connection with the ancillary investment in rail sidings, intermodal freight
end-users of their product, no feedback as to how to facilities and supply depots.
optimise its value. It’s a commodity disposal model
based on an historic auction system where wool • By 2025, Australia must become a leader in digital
platforms (e.g. blockchain) that enable seamless global
producers are in the back seat.”
transacting for food and fibre, and provide real-time
Australian agriculture is exposed to a combination of global supply chain monitoring and validation.
market volatility and climate volatility that has limited the • By 2030, all major food producing regions in Australia
sustainability of returns in most sectors. should have a borderless fresh food precinct – capable of
air-freighting food directly to key markets.
• Australia must explore and embrace contracting models
in which farmers are not ‘price takers’ and are better able
to manage risk.
© 2018 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 13
Growing
sustainably
48%
Agricultural businesses occupy and manage 48%
of Australia’s landmass
$251m
Australian agricultural businesses spent $251m
on irrigation related expenditure in 2015-16
94%
Australian farmers actively undertaking natural
resource management
63%
Reduction in greenhouse gas emissions between
1996-2016 by Australian primary industries
© 2018 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity.
All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
14 Talking 2030
We must grow food production while we sustain The use of technology in water management is already
our planet and people. prevalent and growing. For example, Victoria’s Goulburn-Murray
irrigation system is controlled, monitored and measured by a
Overview wireless IoT network. However, there are still some elements
of the water management system that can be enhanced by
The production of food that utilises methods that maintain
the use of technology and this will build confidence in the
the health and wellbeing of our natural resources, people and
management of the Basin amongst the community.
animals is a profound responsibility. Australian farmers love
their farms and are ready to take on this challenge.
Australia should embrace “IoT technology to
The planet must produce more food in the next four decades monitor and measure irrigation water use to ensure
than all farmers in history have harvested over the past 8000 community confidence.”
years. That is because by 2050, the Earth will be home to as
many as 10 billion people, up from today’s 7.5 billion. “The Murray Darling Basin plan must be implemented
in full, and spell an end to water politics.”
The OECD reported that: “For agriculture and aquaculture to
respond to future challenges, innovation will not only need
to improve the efficiency with which inputs are turned into Case study: Sundrop Farms
outputs, but also conserve scarce natural resources and
The Sundrop horticultural operations at Port Augusta in
reduce waste”.7
South Australia, have been established in such a way that
Most of the population growth is likely to come from developing they can deliver consistent, high-quality produce year-round
markets, with Africa expected to double its population by 2050. through a greenhouse system built around sustainability
The demand for food export will put pressure on developed and intensive farming to achieve a better result for
food economies to supply the global market. people, the planet and profitability. At full production,
the $200 million project of four greenhouses produces
In this report we have contributions from industry leaders that
approximately 15,000 tonnes of truss tomatoes a year. Key
provide the farm sector with audacious goals, implementation
to their innovation is their self-sourced power – the facility
and communication challenges that will underpin sustainability
leverages thermal energy through solar panels to make
of agriculture in Australia.
electricity, generate heat and clean water. The solar panels
are automated through a series of high tech algorithms to
Water is at the heart of the sustainability discussion
pivot with the sun to maximise exposure to solar energy.
As we write this report in March 2018 the management The facility also has access to salt water that is purified and
of water in the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB) is again in the reticulated onto the irrigated tomatoes. Seawater is also
spotlight. The MDB is the focal point of water policy in Australia, used in the ventilation system to clean and sterilise the air,
and the principles of sustainable use for food production and minimising the need for crop chemical protection. Finally,
the environment apply to all river systems. while the tomatoes are still harvested weekly by hand,
In this report the Murray-Darling Basin Authority CEO Philip robotic carts are used to take the fruit away and feed it
Glyde writes that the MDB Plan represents a seismic shift through a state-of-the-art packing facility.8
in how we think about the Basin’s rivers and how we share Read more about the intensification of agriculture and
their water. the importance of policy settings that are in line with new
“The MDB Plan puts the environment’s needs on a par with agricultural production systems, page 49
those of irrigators and other water users across the Basin’s one
million square kilometres. Importantly, it also recognises that
Emissions neutral Australian agriculture
farmers are stewards not just of the land, but of our nation’s
water resources too.” Can all agri-business sectors adopt the target set by Meat and
Livestock Australia — carbon neutral by 2030?
“The Basin Plan can deliver its aim — a healthy environment
that supports healthy industries and communities. We know In this report, Michele Allan, Chair of Meat and Livestock
that the Basin economy continues to grow, and that there is Australia (MLA) has outlined MLA’s ambition to be carbon
already tremendous innovation in the irrigated agriculture sector neutral by 2030 — referred to as CN30.
driven by a combination of private and government investment.” Achieving the CN30 goal, says Allan, would put Australia
Glyde challenges farmers to tell the stories of the importance of well above our competitors in the high-value markets where
certainty that sound water policy delivers. consumers have a growing interest in a food’s provenance and
environmental footprint. It would instil even more confidence in
the quality and integrity of our product. And it would neuter the
claims of the industry’s critics.
7 Agricultural Finance and Opportunities for Investment and Expansion by Augustine Odinakachukwu Ejiogu, ICI Global, Page 98
https://books.google.com.au/books?id=j95PDwAAQBAJ&printsec=frontcover#v=onepage&q&f=false
8 https://www.weeklytimesnow.com.au/agribusiness/decisionag/sundrop-farms-mixture-of-sunlight-andseawater-leading-the-way/news-story/8928aff10d54c5d9a5602
4e72a6c0377
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All rights reserved. The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 15
“What’s more, there’s an almost perfect correlation that exists to climate change in an increasingly variable climate. The
between increased productivity and reduced greenhouse horticulture industries are leading in the adoption of improving
gas emissions. That’s been proved in ample research to date, water efficiency and nutrients, production and use of energy.
including Commonwealth programs such as Filling the Research The broadacre industries require investment and innovation
Gap,” says Allan. to achieve sustainable productivity growth (e.g. improving
water use efficiency, identification and movement of livestock,
Lucinda Corrigan, Chair of Farmers for Climate Action, refers to
monitoring of livestock for sale, reduction of waste through
the key role of research and development and the levy-funded
collection and analysis of data). Genomics will play a key role in
agencies in aligning climate research with risk management and
improving efficiency, combined with big data analysis such as
productivity gains.
enabling selection for the ‘hard to measure’ traits in beef cattle
“To be successful IT (R&D) needs to operate more e.g. feed efficiency on grain and grass.”
collaboratively both within and across industries.9 There are
Planning laws need to move in line with new business
many new players alongside the traditional research and
models and technologies. Currently, farm businesses –
delivery pipeline, universities, State Departments of Primary
particularly those on the urban fringe – can face resistance
Industries, and CSIRO. Increasingly, private companies
from neighbouring landholders when looking to intensify.
are emerging to deliver downstream development and
State planning laws need to recognise the benefits and
commercialisation. These arrangements require clear rules
necessity of this type of development and more clearly
around intellectual property and freedom to operate. It is these
defend landholders’ right to farm.
arrangements that will improve the delivery of commercial
outputs to Australian farmers.” To support best practice regulation in this area, Australia
should develop national best practice planning guidelines
“As a minimum expectation, each RDC needs to set a strategy
for peri-urban agriculture. This could follow models set by
and goals required to reduce emissions, using robust modelling
national frameworks for community housing, or land use
which shows the mitigation required alongside the projected
conflict with mining and petroleum.
increase in productivity and total production. Some industries
are well advanced, such as the wine grape industry which has Energy on the farm
been dealing with the loss of one day in growing season over
the last 20 years and has made transformational changes to Until recently the price of energy to Australian business was
viticulture and its location around Australia,” Corrigan states. considered a competitive advantage.
There have been multiple drivers of electricity costs over the
Producing more with less: intensification as a path last decade, writes KPMG’s Cassandra Hogan.
to sustainability
“Network prices have risen due to large capital programs, other
This report also touches on a clear trend of sustainable
increases are due to significant spikes in wholesale costs as
intensification of food production in Australia as a clear enabler
the energy mix moves from fossil fuels to renewables. At the
towards the $100 billion target, but also sustainability objectives.
same time, gas prices have tripled due to fundamental changes
Most farm systems are intensifying to some degree. This can in LNG supply and demand due to exports. Additionally,
deliver improved sustainability and lower footprints. government green schemes have added further costs to be
borne by the consumer.”
The Netherlands provides a working case study of how
intensification can drive productivity. The Netherlands has a According to Hogan, “The government’s role is to provide a
land mass of 41,543 km2, and a population of 17 million people. stable and robust environment for investment. There needs to
Australia has a population of only six million more than the be certainty on how climate change policies will apply to the
Netherlands but has more than more than 150 times more land. energy sector as well as more measures to better manage and
The Netherlands however is the world’s number two exporter integrate renewable energy supply. The government should
of food produce by value — Australia sits at 15th on this list. also be ensuring that poles and wires businesses have the
How do they do it? Read more on page 49. right incentives to be efficient. To help make prices competitive,
in addition to the above measures, better encouragement is
Lucinda Corrigan also sees intensification as a key goal. required for more supply into the market which will ensure
“Sustainable intensification will be an important component there is a more effective choice for consumers.”
of the approach in the broadacre industries and particularly in The farm of the future will also consider changes to their
the approach to managing natural resources and responding energy mix.
9 Social Licence to Operate project is a long-term project coordinated by NSW Farmers CEO Matt Brand, to improve the trust that Urban Australians have with the
agricultural sector.
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16 Talking 2030
While a market-based approach is unlikely to become a • Australia should develop national best practice planning
comprehensive solution to this issue in the near term, we guidelines for peri-urban agriculture which defend the
should nurture new frameworks which provide a consistent right to farm.
mechanism for matching landholders with purchasers of • Government policy should support farmers in developing
landscape services. a mix of energy options on their farms including
renewables, battery storage and connectivity to the grid.
• Industry should explore a market-based approach to
biodiversity management which rewards farmers for
landscape services.
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 17
Unlocking new
technology
0.015%
Australia’s venture capital investment is less
than 0.015 per cent of GDP, Israel and the US
more than double that investment spend at
0.38 and 0.28 respectively.
$306 million
The Australian government provided $306
million of R&D support to agriculture between
2015-2016; $252 million of this was allocated
to rural research programs in particular.
In 2016-2017 they committed $271.7 million.
$20 billion
The Government estimates food waste costs
the Australian economy $20 billion each year
US$5.7 billion
Estimated global market for agriculture robots
by 2024
US$2.9 billion
Estimated global market for drones in
agriculture in 2021
1st
The first robotic fruit picking machine is
expected to be released to market this year,
joining other robotic devices now being used
on farm.
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18 Talking 2030
How AgTech can improve the connectedness across R&D is usually financed by government-funded institutions but
the value chain, from farmers to customers a shift is occurring as alliances and public-private partnerships
are increasingly funding agribusiness innovation.
The next challenge is to make the benefits inherent to new
R&D technologies available for all. Once they exist, it is
critical that innovation be commercialised and adopted by
agribusinesses conditionally as research outcomes meet the
industry’s needs.
The innovation ecosystem still lacks synergies between
scientists and agricultural experts to support the development
of applications and their effective commercialisation.
10 McKinsey, May 2017, ‘Digital Australia: seizing opportunities from the fourth industrial revolution’
11 ABARES, Agricultural commodities: March quarter 2018
http://data.daff.gov.au/data/warehouse/agcomd9abcc004/agcomd9abcc20180306_6R2bY/AgCommodities201803_v1.0.0.pdf
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 19
“Getting devices to talk to each other and provide The entire value chain will be disrupted by blockchain
real-time information in a central dashboard at the technology to assemble true provenance.
farmer’s home or office will require connectivity on Some food retailers are already implementing blockchain
a scale never seen before.” associated with simple solutions such as scanning QR codes
Read more by Sami Makelainen, Technology Insights with a smartphone that is linked to a unique code used to
Manager, Telstra, page 55 demonstrate product provenance.
Industry will have to consider how the demand for blockchain-
The Internet of Things based traceability systems will interface with existing traceability
The Internet of Things (IoT) is an innovative system allowing and quality assurance programs for major commodities.
the interconnection of the physical world such as animals,
people, and mechanical machines with the digital world. IoT How blockchain could work in Australian retail
offers broad applications, including for the agriculture sector, to
provide us with a better understanding of our environment, help
us in predicting future events, support decision-making and
improve system and automation efficiencies.
12 http://www.commsalliance.com.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/58702/Enabling-the-Internet-of-Things-for-Australia.pdf
13 KPMG and NSW Farmers, November 2017, Think big, think fresh: A Fresh Food Precinct at the heart of Western Sydney
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20 Talking 2030
The food retailer Carrefour is implementing the show. Drones, as well as other robotics and automation
blockchain solutions, are key enablers to disrupt the sector when it
comes to collecting real-time data seven days a week,
In March 2018, the French mainstream retailer Carrefour
automating arduous work, reducing costs and supporting the
announced Europe’s first food blockchain, an innovative system
environmental cause.
designed to guarantee consumers complete product traceability
through a digital ledger14.
Electric and autonomous vehicles
The technology will be rolled out to nine animal and vegetable
product lines such as free-range chicken, eggs, cheese, The adoption of electric and autonomous vehicles is highly
milk, oranges, tomatoes, salmon and ground beef steak. dependent on the investment in, and development of
The technology has enabled consumers to have traceability infrastructure, to enable the full benefits of connecting
capabilities, whilst also allowing breeders to showcase their cities with rural Australia.
produce and expertise. The technology is as simple as scanning
a QR code with a smartphone, after which consumers are “Artificial intelligence has the ability to disrupt
able to download and access a full suite of information about
and digitilise the supply chain of knowledge in the
their scanned product; where and how the animal was reared,
the name of the farmer, feeds and treatments used, quality
agriculture sector in the next 15 years.”
standards met, and where the animal was slaughtered. Read more by Salah Sukkarieh, Professor, Australian Centre
for Field Robotics, page 63
Automation and artificial intelligence
Further development in machine learning techniques and
During the opening ceremony of the 2018 Winter Olympic
computation capabilities are still required to cope with the
Games in South Korea, everyone was able to observe drones’
specific challenges of the agriculture sector, including ever-
cutting-edge technology. It is of course not only about making
changing environmental factors.
14 http://www.carrefour.com/current-news/carrefour-launches-europes-first-food-blockchain-and-plans-to-extend-the-technology-to
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 21
Using and securing our data “NBT’s have the potential to reduce the cost and time of
The roll out of NBN and arrival of the 5G network wireless bringing new products to the market compared to traditional
communication standard in a few years’ time, plus the breeding techniques. They do this largely by improving the
increased use of technologies including sensors, autonomous accuracy of the plant breeding process so that less time is spent
vehicles and tractors, drones, connected farming equipment removing unwanted attributes that can be transferred along with
and robots, will create an explosion of data in coming years. the gene of interest during the traditional breeding process.”
15 https://www.croplife.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/NEW-REPORT-CONFIRMS-SOUTH-AUSTRALIAN-FARMERS-MISS-OUT-UNDER-STATE-BAN-ON-GM-
CROPS.pdf
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22 Talking 2030
Key findings
• Australia’s Research & Development Corporation model
is an important asset which must be maintained.
However, RDCs must continue to embrace new ways of
partnering with the private sector on commercialisation.
• Tax and other policy settings must encourage
the innovation ecosystem in Australia to facilitate
development and adoption of new tools and techniques.
• By 2030, every farm should be connected to the Internet
of Things using either traditional or emerging networks.
• Industry should start exploring the impact on supply
chain costs, services and stranded assets of a move from
internal combustion to electric engines (on and off road).
• Governments and relevant private sector providers must
announce clear strategies to co-invest into the array of
technologies and physical projects required to facilitate
electric and autonomous vehicles.
• Australia should overcome the digital divide by ensuring
the digital research and education sector is linked directly
to the agriculture and food supply chain sectors.
• The farm sector must develop codes governing the
management of industry data.
• Industry must be increasingly educated and aware of the
importance of cybersecurity.
• Australia must take a science-based approach to ‘New
Breeding Techniques’, which allows us to keep pace with
global competitors.
• Intellectual property rules relating to genetics and
breeding need to ensure appropriate access to
new varieties.
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 23
Attracting
people and
capital
216,100 male, 88,110 female
216,100 males and 88,100 females were employed
in the Australian farm sector at May 2017
99%
Of Australia’s farms are estimated to be operated
by families
0.3%
The Australian superannuation industry
invests only 0.3% of its total capital pool in
Australian agriculture.
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24 Talking 2030
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 25
“There is plenty of capital available, however it often looks • The Australia farm sector must publicly commit to
for longer investment periods, steady returns and low ethical labour practices, coupled with greater oversight.
risk investments — agriculture has traditionally not met • A dedicated agricultural visa should be designed to
these criteria.” support people coming to Australia for employment
in agriculture.
Reducing risk is key to increasing capital flow
McClure explains that volatility is the sector’s greatest • Industry must explore ways to make farm businesses
challenge in attracting investment. The regularity of farmer more ‘investment ready’ – including through education
earnings is largely a function of water and climate, which can and extension programs.
lead to vast differences in yield year-on-year. The development • Australia’s stance on foreign investment must not place
of innovative financial instruments to reduce this risk are undue barriers on foreign capital.
therefore crucial, and both government and industry should
work together to create new models to these ends. • New commercial arrangements such as long-term
contracts; insurance and leasing or equity models must
“The first way of flattening volatility in the yield curve is through be explored to make investment in agriculture more
financial products, including insurance. The US has established attractive – including to superannuation funds.
these types of risk management vehicles for agriculture far
more successfully than in Australia, where products are ill- • Successful succession planning models will play a critical
suited to the market and uptake is low. It is estimated that less role in encouraging new participants to replace our
than one per cent of Australian farmers have crop insurance, ageing farming population.
contrasted to over 90 per cent in the US.” • Rural services must underpin the attractiveness of
living in rural communities. All levels of Government
“Multi-peril insurance is subsidised in markets like should develop master plans that ensure that by
the USA but continues to be a gap in the Australian 2030 all regions of Australia have access to the best
farm business model. The real-time analysis of risk level of communications, health, education and child
on a farm-by-farm basis (using technologies such care services.
as IoT and artificial intelligence) could be the step-
• Telecommunications and associated technologies
change that is needed to make multi-peril insurance provide an exciting new platforms to deliver services
a commercial reality in markets like Australia.” to rural communities, but infrastructure must keep
Robert Poole, KPMG pace with demand.
This paper also discusses many other business models that will
reduce risk and improve the attractiveness of the sector to non- Discover insights and read the opinions of experts in the
farm capital. These concepts are not new but have also not been dedicated section ‘Attracting people and capital’, page 65
widely adopted in the Australian farm sector. These include:
• improved succession planning tools – moving away
from primogeniture to collective, transparent and multi-
generational farming;
• equity partnerships – where silent investment is sourced to
finance expansion and productivity;
• vertically integrated agribusinesses – where most, or all, of
the supply chain is owned by the same business, generating
greater economies of scale and efficiencies; and
• leasing arrangements – whereby land ownership remains
with a single entity and primary production rights are leased
to a farmer who can thus leverage their working capital
more effectively.
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26 Talking 2030
Expert Viewpoints
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 27
Australia’s rural and regional heartland 23,000, and the number of dairy farmers In the Shire of West Wimmera, located
is on the move. And I don’t mean in dropped by 2000 to 11,000. in the Victorian wheatbelt west of
the geological sense of shifting soils Horsham, the census shows that while
We are producing more agricultural
although that too is most likely an issue the number of people living in the village
output than ever but we are doing so
in some parts of the continent. of Goroke (population 218) held steady
with fewer farmers and with vastly
over the five years to 2016, the number
No, the Australian heartland that I say bigger farms. Part of this narrative is
living in Edenhope dropped four per cent
is on the move relates to our rural being driven by the need for economies
to 687 and the number living in Kaniva
demography: the bigger cities and towns of scale, but it is also being driven by
dropped 19 per cent to 621.
in the regions are still growing albeit at generational change.
modest rates but the smaller towns and Perhaps the reason why these small
The accompanying chart shows the age
villages and the farmlands are conceding wheatbelt towns are losing population
profile of 5000 workers involved in sugar
population to other places. is because the demography of the
cane growing as compared with 2000
surrounding farmlands is shrinking.
This isn’t so much of a seismic shift workers involved in internet publishing
as it is a slow-burn caused by changed and broadcasting. The peak age of the The number of people living in West
markets, by new technology and perhaps former workforce is 58 while for the Wimmera outside the villages and
most powerful of all, by the changed latter it is 34. towns subsided by 10 per cent from
expectations of young rural Australians. 1697 in 2011 to 1526 in 2016. In this
New city-based industries are attracting
Indeed, the very model of farming is part of Victoria, the farmlands are losing
the next generation of workers away
being reimagined. residents at a rate of two per cent
from the farmlands. Australia’s rural
per year which then impacts the scale
The 2016 Census shows for example that communities are undergoing profound
of services that can be provided in
over the preceding five years the number demographic change as a consequence
local towns.
of beef cattle farmers dropped by 4000 and all the while the nation continues to
to 28,000, the number of mixed crop and deliver agricultural output for local and The very model of farming is changing.
livestock farmers dropped by 12,000 to global consumption. The family farm isn’t big enough or isn’t
considered to be sufficiently alluring to
hold the next generation in the regions.
The farmers versus the techies: age distribution of the workforce in sugar There is no diminution in demand for
cane growing and in internet publishing and broadcasting at 2016 Census
Australian agricultural product but the
5.00%
way that product is delivered must
change and is changing.
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28 Talking 2030
By increasing the output from the agriculture sector to $100 billion dollars a year by 2030, what are the
implications to the broader domestic economy? From an economics perspective, what broad policies need to
be in place to enable this to occur?
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
Medium term global growth is now
forecast to be 3.5% per annum, which Emerging markets and Advanced economies World
developing economies
is which is about 0.5% lower than in the
10 years prior to 2007 – but reflects a
number of key structural differences in
the world today, such as: World inflation
• China will have a slower pace of
18%
growth as it transitions from being
biased outwards focused economy to 16%
one which is more balanced. 14%
US
Australia
China
UK
Russia
South
Africa
Brazil
EU
Korea
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 29
growth and the absorption of the slack • The overall pace of growth in the Euro is flowing through in forecasts, which
in the labour market result in faster zone is significant compared to recent are showing expected growth of
earnings growth, and eventually higher history; although the divergence around 6.5% and 6.25% in 2018 and
inflationary pressures. between countries remain marked 2019 respectively.
(eg: Spain = 3.1%; Germany = 2.6%;
While it seems economic growth and • Japan has seen its economic fortunes
Italy = 1.5% pa, and it’s GDP is smaller
inflation have rebounded, other aspects improve dramatically over the past
today that it was in early 2008). The
of the global economy, including year; higher domestic demand and
Euro Area grew by 0.6% in the final
government debt and borrowings, exports have supported GDP growth
quarter of 2017; which followed 0.7%
central banks’ balance sheets, and by 0.6% in the September quarter
growth in the previous two quarters.
interest rates, are yet to return to long 2017, its 7th consecutive quarter of
Consumer spending was strong; but
run historical outcomes. positive growth. While this might not
trade and investment were weak.
sound like much, this run represents
Another key point about the global Inflation also remains subdued in
the longest spell of uninterrupted
economy at present is that there is a Europe; running at about 1.4% for the
economic growth in Japan for 16
clear divergence in monetary policy 12 months to end December 2017,
years. While still expecting positive
settings in some countries. The US, UK with food and transport price inflation
growth this year, it is expected to be
and Canada raised rates during 2017, the main drivers. The subdued inflation
a little softer, driven in part by fiscal
which the market had been expecting, has helped the ECB continue with its
consolidation reflecting a slowing in
while the FoMC of the US Federal QE program; albeit a reduced spending
government spending associated with
Reserve has signaled it expects to rate of €30 billion per month since
the preparation of the 2020 Tokyo
continue to raise rates during 2018 and the beginning of the year, and with a
Olympic Games.
2019; but more importantly it has revised market expectation that it will end later
down its expectation of what the long this year; most likely in September. Implications for Australia’s
run policy rate should be for the US from
• China achieved annual GDP growth agriculture sector
3.5% to 2.75%.
of 6.9% in 2017, and it’s this growth Rising levels of income per person
From a key economies perspective, from China that remains the key globally are anticipated to translate into
driving force behind the expansion of increasing demand for food, both in
• The US economy has been in a period
the global economy. About one-third absolute terms and also on a quality-
of continuous expansion now for
of total global GDP growth in 2016 substitution basis. Simply, as the living
over 8 years; and is approaching is
and 2017 can be attributed to China; standards across the world improve,
historical record of 10 years (March
but forecasts are now anticipating those people in the lower income ranges
91 – March 01). US economic growth
this growth will start to moderate as will be able to purchase more food such
in the final quarter of 2017 resulted as
it transitions away from a production their daily calorific intake increases from
a consequence of higher consumption
based economy to a more consumer- subsistence levels to levels closer to the
spending and improved business
led one. The December Central world average, while those people in
fixed investments (both equipment
Economic Work Conference (CEWC) higher income ranges are likely to adjust
and IP/ R&D), although trade and
reaffirmed a desire to see a gradual their buying behaviour such that they
inventories acted as a drag on growth.
slowdown in credit, and the economy purchase better quality food products
Unemployment in the US is now at
– rather than an abrupt adjustment. (either in terms of attributes like taste,
4.1% – a 17-year low – and this follows
The CEWC’s message was China substance, use of chemicals, producer
another 2 million plus people employed
will continue to ‘seek progress while provenance, etc).
last year, the 7th consecutive year
maintaining stability’. This expectation
where this has happened.
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30 Talking 2030
Changes in calorie consumption and GDP per person, emerging Asia This phenomenon has already been
and advanced economies, 1980 to 2013 seen, with the fastest increase in food
consumption has been in countries
4,000 where incomes have grown most
Emerging Asia
Calories per person per day
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 31
Jan 2006
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Jan 2013
Jan 2014
Jan 2015
Jan 2016
Jan 2017
Jan 2018
labour income grew by 1.1% q/q, which
translates to annual nominal growth of
4.8% over 2017; recognising most of this Unemployment rate Participant rate
growth is due to increased aggregate
employment and not from higher salaries
and wages.
Official interest rate
New EBA’s, which will last a few years,
are being written with wages growth 8.0
lower than the one’s they are replacing. 7.0
However, there are pockets of higher
6.0
wages pressure – Sydney, some IT,
project management and business 5.0
services areas – but there are not 4.0
enough of them for universal higher
%
3.0
wages growth to start emerging.
2.0
The growth in employment is expected
to slow this year; although it is expected 1.0
to remain robust enough to keep 0.0
pulling down the unemployment rate to
-1.0
low-5%’s by the end of the year. Until
Feb 2000
Feb 2001
Feb 2002
Feb 2003
Feb 2004
Feb 2005
Feb 2006
Feb 2007
Feb 2008
Feb 2009
Feb 2010
Feb 2011
Feb 2012
Feb 2013
Feb 2014
Feb 2015
Feb 2016
Feb 2017
Feb 2018
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32 Talking 2030
By Sue Middleton,
WA farmer
20 https://invisiblefarmer.net.au/significance-of-the-invisible-farmer-project/
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 33
What key changes in consumer’s habits (in Australia and Asia) represent opportunities for the Australian
farmers? How can Australian farmers supply these changing consumers through alternative channels?
The consumer is changing, both in Consumers are increasingly health- trends? Understanding Asian consumers
Australia and abroad. They are changing conscious and ethical in their purchasing will be crucial to ensure long-term
what they buy, when they buy, where decisions, and Australian farmers need success in Australian agricultural exports.
they buy, and how they buy. to meet this demand in their growing
A major challenge in both domestic and
decisions and product branding.
In Australia, we are witnessing a international opportunities is in reaching
change in fusion of cultures, from Looking abroad, Asia is being the consumer. With perishable goods,
previous merging with European (Greek, transformed by the urbanisation and there is a time premium on agricultural
Italian) and Middle Eastern cultures, to westernisation of the middle-class. logistics, and supply chains must be
increasing contact with Asian lifestyles. There is a strong desire for the highest appropriately set up to ensure quality
quality product, where provenance and is maintained. The rise of e-commerce
Considering food and agricultural
safety are non-negotiable. Food safety is a significant disrupter in this space.
produce, whilst we have adopted the
scandals across Asian countries are On-line purchases of fresh produce
al-fresco dining culture of Europe, we are
driving this trend – the best known being are still relatively small in Australia,
morphing this with the market cultures
melamine contamination of milk powder where there remains a “touch and feel”
of Asia – matched by a changing taste
in China in 2011, which has led to such aspect to the buying decision. This will
for food varieties, increasingly with a
strong demand for Australian-sourced evolve but it will take time – the entry
focus on exotic greens, grains and new
product that consumers can now of Amazon into the market may pioneer
proteins. This is combined with a move
only buy two cartons per purchase in this domestically, given the success of
to experiential dining, both in home and
Australia. They want to buy the food that Amazon Fresh in Europe, whilst Asian
out of home, which is driving demand for
we consume and that they can prove is e-commerce players such as Alibaba and
fresh food, purchased today for an event
made here. ‘Brand Australia’ is strong, TMall already host Australian produce
tonight. This has spawned the farmers
but it is essential that any product comes and have sophisticated cold-chain supply
market in many suburban town centres,
with the appropriate endorsement, and networks. Australian farmers will need
and the resurgence of the high street
this is the domain of the “daigou” – to integrate into these networks, but
grocer. Both are staffed by passionate
overseas Chinese people who purchase have an opportunity to reach consumers
team members that know where the
product in Australia, and ship it back, at a through innovative emerging channels.
product was sourced from, how it was
price premium.
grown, and how best to prepare it. “What opportunities does the
To service this demand, Australian
We have also witnessed a focus on health digital route to market provide for
agriculturalists must understand “why”
and wellbeing that is transforming “niche” Australian farmers particularly if
they purchase. How do growers,
products into high demand and high they want to link more closely to
manufacturers and retailers understand
growth mainstream “essentials”, such as the customer and move up the
what the next big opportunity will be?
almond milk and gluten free products. value chain?”
What are the influencers of buying
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34 Talking 2030
2050: forecast to reach 470 million • More than two million Australians • UK guidelines recommend beans and
tonnes (+ 46 per cent increase)21 (over 10 per cent)25 now report their pulses be consumed alongside meat
diet is ‘almost all’ or ‘all’ vegetarian, to provide extra protein.
an increase of 20 per cent in the last
Alternative proteins will have a key role These consumer and government led
four years26
in the food of the future. But so will mega trends present exciting growth
meat. With the number of mouths to • Australia is actually reported to be the opportunities for Australian agrifood
feed growing by on average 1.8 times the third fastest growing vegan market producers. The growth of Australia’s
size of Australia’s population per annum in the world, after the United Arab chickpea crop is a case in point, more
for the next 32 years22, there will be an Emirates and China27. than doubling in five years to 2 m tonnes
increased need for protein sources. Plant- pa.28 The recent announcement of
Government dietary guidelines are
based proteins are expected to make Nufarm, GRDC and CSIRO’s collaboration
encouraging reduced meat consumption:
up 33 per cent of the protein market by to release the world’s first plant-based
205423 up from a current market share of • China has committed to halving its long-chain omega-3 fatty acid producing
less than five per cent by value (600 per meat consumption by 2050 – China canola variety is another dramatic
cent increase). Both meat and alternative announced a $300m investment to breakthrough enabler for new high value
plant or algae-based proteins will clearly import lab grown meat from three crops that can help the industry close in
have a critical role to play in filling the Israel-based companies – SuperMeat, on the $100 billion target. One hectare
dietary needs of two billion extra people, Future Meat Technologies, and Meat of the Nuseed Omega-3 Canola has the
but our farming systems also need to the Future: potential to provide the same omega-3
dramatically evolve to produce more food oil yield as 10,000 kilograms of wild-
• The EU Planting Fresh Ideas initiative
using less land and resources.24 caught fish.29
seeks to move 30 per cent of animal-
Governments are influencing changes to based foods in supermarkets to plant- Innovation in foods are also opportunities
national dietary recommendations which based food products by 2030 for industry that are attracting consumer,
21 FAO, 2009, Global agriculture towards 2050, How to feed the world in 2050 Congress, forum notes available at:
http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/templates/wsfs/docs/Issues_papers/HLEF2050_Global_Agriculture.pdf
22 Calculation based on FAO population estimates in Australia and around the world.
23 Fisher E, 2015, Alternative proteins to claim a third of the market by 2054, Available at:
http://www.luxresearchinc.com/news-and-events/press-releases/read/alternative-proteins-claim-third-market-2054
24 FAO, (n.d.) How to feed the world in 2050, Food and Agriculture Organisation, report available at:
http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/templates/wsfs/docs/expert_paper/How_to_Feed_the_World_in_2050.pdf
25 Roy Morgan, 2016, The slow but steady rise of vegetarianism in Australia, available at:
http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/vegetarianisms-slow-but-steady-rise-in-australia-201608151105
26 Roy Morgan, 2016, The slow but steady rise of vegetarianism in Australia, available at:
http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/vegetarianisms-slow-but-steady-rise-in-australia-201608151105
27 Euromonitor International, 2016, Plant-based protein: assessing demand for sustainable alternatives, available at
http://www.euromonitor.com/plant-based-protein-assessing-demand-for-sustainable-alternatives/report.
28 ABARES, 2016, Agricultural Commodity Statistics — Summary of Australian statistics for pulses, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences.
29 Chappell T, 2018, Nufarm’s omega-3 canola gets green light, The Australian, available at:
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/latest-news/nufarms-omega3-canola-gets-green-light/news-story/f915f3ae9b847771777e8071729e1bff
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 35
30 https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/feb/19/3d-printed-prosthetic-limbs-revolution-in-medicine
31 https://www.mla.com.au/news-and-events/industry-news/3d-printing-technology-for-value-added-red-meat/
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36 Talking 2030
What does the Australian food sector need to do to maintain and enhance its reputation for food provenance?
Traceability, provenance and managing not required for products bound for the through technology, such as blockchain
food fraud are all key issues for both export market. and smart packaging, could be catalysed
food producers and consumers; to in the future to improve food provenance
CoOL labelling requires that the
achieve this suppliers are now required assurance alongside CoOL.
Australian kangaroo logo, proportional
to provide accurate information about
bar charts and/or ‘Made in Australia’ Additionally, while CoOL has helped
the origin of products, ingredients and
statements are used on packaging to improve the value of Australian food
processing for all retailed food.
indicate the proportion of Australian products locally; there are no legislative
Current federal legislation states that ingredients and processing that went requirements on exports. Extending
food products sold in Australia must into a product. Additionally, food sold in CoOL to include ‘Australian made’ or
have updated country of original Australia that is imported, or processed ‘Grown in Australia’ on food or products
labelling (CoOL) under Consumer Law. overseas, needs to provide appropriate for export may assist as a marketing
Businesses selling food in Australia reference to its relevant country of origin. tool to increase consumer demand for
were given two years to phase in CoOL; Australian produce by highlighting the
While the CoOL labelling is achieving
however, with this period due to end quality and provenance of Australian food
a greater awareness of food products
on 30 June 2018 this transition period to the overseas market.
in Australia, it has not managed to
is nearly complete. Labelling will also
specifically reduce food fraud (where “The sector needs to monitor the
be mandatory (except for food products
claims of origin, contents and quality
already in trade, which are allowed to effectiveness of the new labelling
are made). The ability to digitise and
see out their shelf life outside of this laws to ensure they genuinely do
electronically monitor country of origin
period). It should be noted, the CoOL is provide more consumer choice.”
and processing that has occurred
32 Australian Government, Country of Origin food labelling — factsheet, published by the Department of Industry, Innovation and Science, available through:
https://industry.gov.au/industry/IndustrySectors/FoodManufacturingIndustry/Pages/Country-of-Origin-Labelling.aspx
33 Fisher C, 2015, Country of Origin food labelling research, prepared by Colmar Brunton for the Department of Industry and Science
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 37
Will agriculture self-regulate in regards to animal welfare? What are the positions taken by the industry
in a voluntary sense?
By Andrew Spencer,
Chief Executive Officer,
Australian Pork
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38 Talking 2030
Where are the next big wins for Australia in terms of trade reforms? Where should Australia be looking next?
It is human nature to prefer the status that would have been delivered, including includes the reluctant India. As well,
quo; to keep things just as they are, to the USA. China is involved.
to oppose change particularly when it
So, priority number one is to keep major Over time, if you put the TPP (with the
means you have to change too.
pressure on the USA to re-join the TPP. USA back in) and the RCEP together
History is littered with political populists you achieve one set of trading rules for
Priority number two in terms of trade
who have played to this sentiment, often the whole Asia Pacific region — an Asia
reforms is easy to determine by
at great cost to communities. Pacific Free Trade region. Harmonising
following where the growth will be in the
trading rules would have a hugely
President Trump is one such modern day decades ahead; namely the Asia Pacific
beneficial impact on the cost of moving
populist looking to take the trade world region. Our backyard.
goods and services between countries
backwards with the potential to incite
While we have bi-lateral agreements now within the region, as well as promoting
a trade war, and much more. Trump’s
with many of the countries in our region, investment levels. It can be done.
removal of the USA from the TPP (Trans
the next priority must be to improve Look at the TPP. Many said it could
Pacific Partnership agreement) means
those agreements, and to lock in one set never be negotiated.
that this 21st century, high-quality
of trading rules across the region, using
agreement has been bludgeoned. The While we have negotiations progressing
the 12 country TPP as an example.
USA was 70 per cent of the GDP included on other fronts, and all liberalisation
in the original 12 country agreement. The awkwardly named RCEP (Regional takes us forward, it is important to weigh
Co-operation Partnership agreement) up the benefits for the effort expended.
Going ahead with the TPP without
represents an immediate opportunity.
the USA is the right thing to do (it will The EU and the UK look appealing,
RCEP includes all ten ASEAN countries
put pressure on the US as they lose but the existing level of farm subsidies
plus China, India, Japan, South Korea,
concessions available to others), but mean that half the agricultural producers
New Zealand and Australia. It has been
their absence denies the region massive would go out of business without them.
under negotiation for some time, and
growth opportunities in the meantime It will be a hard row to hoe, with politics
includes six countries that are also in
getting very much in the way.
the TPP. The important point is that it
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 39
How can Australian farmers maximise the utilisation of Free Trade Agreements? What are the keys to success
across the supply chain, in particular for trade with China and India?
By Peter Liddell,
Asia Pacific Leader
for Strategy By Leonie Ferretter,
and Operations Director, Trade & Customs,
Advisory Services KPMG Australia
Australian agribusinesses face a range have reaped significant returns, with “Australian exporters should be
of challenges across supply chains sharpened focus and profitable growth. encouraged to seek professional
in order to reach the lucrative Asian When collaborating with partners, it is services that ensure they fully
markets – particularly China and India. important to understand the background access the opportunities that
Understanding the entire supply chain of that entity, aligning key messages with
FTAs provide.”
and analysing the drivers of supply chain the objectives of stakeholder sponsors.
complexity, as well as determining
A further driver of Australian
effective solutions, takes time and on-the-
agribusiness success is in utilising
ground knowledge. Businesses frequently
Free Trade Agreements (FTAs). Whilst
miss the opportunity to get to the bottom
not overcoming some of our trading
of such operational complexities34.
partners’ non-tariff barriers, FTAs offer
When exporting to China and India, reduced tariffs on a large number of
there are a number of keys to success. agricultural goods with many tariffs to
The first realisation for new entrants be phased out entirely. 80 percent of
is that China and India are actually eligible exports to China and Korea are
comprised of numerous markets, each utilising FTAs37, and those businesses
having vastly different characteristics. not using FTAs miss the considerable
Defining your ‘market playground’ – duty benefits and competitive edge
where to play, how to play and whom to provided in the agricultural sector by
play with – is the first critical step for any Australia’s FTAs. Consideration of FTA
Australian business35. benefits, in conjunction with non-
tariff barriers, is a must for Australian
Secondly, understanding local
businesses considering expansion into
regulations and policies, and how they
Asian markets.
impact business models and trading
opportunities, is important. Detecting, Australian agribusiness must develop
interpreting and applying both the the internal resources, processes
written and unwritten local rules requires and systems to interpret FTA-specific
adaptive strategies and operations36. legislation, understand global supply
chains, and accurately classify goods.
Thirdly, businesses need to plan with a
Often, specialist advice is required to
measured approach and solid strategy.
get the technical details right, however
Multi-National Corporations (MNCs) that
accurately assessing the numerous FTA
have taken time to analyse the market
rules is the key to unlocking FTA value.
34 KPMG Australia, Succeeding in China – Five critical components for Australian companies, April 2016
35 Ibid
36 Ibid
37 The Hon. Steven Ciobo, MP, Minister of Trade, Tourism and Investment, The Australian, 1 March 2018
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40 Talking 2030
What are the keys to ensuring Inland Rail is a success to enable agriculture to grow towards $100 billion?
In May 2017, the Federal Government It has been well reported that there “For farming communities to fully
announced that it was committing remain some concerns regarding the realise the potential benefits of
an additional $8.4 billion through the proposed route, especially in the affected Inland Rail it will be important
Australian Rail Track Corporation (ARTC) areas where ARTC will need to acquire that there be further investment in
to facilitate the development of the property to develop new rail corridors.
appropriate ancillary infrastructure
Inland Rail project. Although the project utilises 1200km
such as rail sidings, intermodal
of existing rail corridors, new corridors
Inland Rail has been positioned as a once- freight facilities, supply depots and
will need to be created for some 500km
in-a-generation project to connect regional other industries to complete the
of the proposed route. Even allowing
Australia to domestic and international supply chain. There will also need
for the best of goodwill in community
markets. It is Australia’s largest ever to be an associated investment
consultation processes it is inevitable
freight rail infrastructure project.
that there will be a degree of disruption. in supporting community
The new 1700km rail line will stretch
Over the longer term, Inland Rail affords
infrastructure in regional hubs.”
from Melbourne to Brisbane via
an opportunity to create an infrastructure
regional Victoria, New South Wales
spine for freight haulage for agricultural
and Queensland. The aim is to
producers and suppliers. However, it is
transform the way goods are moved
only one element of what will be needed
between Melbourne and Brisbane,
for a fully integrated logistics chain.
connecting farms, mines, cities and
ports to domestic and global markets. If Inland Rail is the spine, it will be
Construction has already commenced, important not to overlook the need for
and the first train operations are intended ongoing investment in the ‘supporting
to take place in 2024-25. limbs’, to bring the vision to life and realise
the wider benefits in regional Australia.
From the perspective of farmers, Inland
Rail represents a series of challenges
and opportunities.
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 41
By Luke Bowen,
General Manager, Northern
Australia Development Office
The accelerated development of for farmers to get their product to “A strong and prosperous
Northern Australia is critical to a more market. Much of Northern Australia’s Northern Australia contributes
prosperous and secure Australia. agricultural production occurs in remote to the economic wealth of
areas. Investing in better road and Australia, as well as strengthening
Agricultural development will be an
rail infrastructure is critical to ensure
important part of Northern Australia’s relationships and alliances with
reliable and efficient supply chains.
future. Increasingly affluent Asian the countries to our north. All
The Northern Territory agriculture and
populations will demand more quality levels of government and the
livestock industries are world leaders
produce. To take full advantage of private sector have a role to play
in using technology to efficiently and
the opportunities presented by this in delivering the infrastructure
sustainably manage its resources across
growing Asian middle class, Northern that will help drive growth
vast areas of remote land. Improving
Australia agribusiness must maintain its
telecommunications infrastructure in agriculture and accelerate
focus on biosecurity and overcome its
infrastructural and geographic challenges.
is necessary so Northern Australian Northern Australian development.”
farmers and pastoralists can continue
Northern Australian agricultural products to improve their operations through
are considered premium, which is closely technology such as remote sensing and
tied to Australia’s strict quality assurance earth observations.
and biosecurity standards. Maintaining
Water infrastructure must be enhanced
these standards is critical to the
to take advantage of the fact that 60
environmental health of our agriculture,
per cent of Australia rain falls in the
as well as our ability to continue to
land north of the Tropic of Capricorn38.
position Northern Australia as a high
Only about two per cent of that rain is
quality agricultural and livestock producer
used. Harnessing this rainfall will rely
for Asian markets to our north.
on infrastructure investment based on
Better transport infrastructure must an understanding of the intersection of
also be built to improve the ability arable soils and potable aquifers, as well
as sustainable extraction rates.
38 Schrieber, C., 2017, Asian growth encourages Aussie focus on north’s infrastructure, Northern Australian Infrastructure Facility, available online:
https://naif-gov-au.industry.slicedtech.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/Asian-Growth-Encourages-Aussie-Focus-20-July-17.pdf
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42 Talking 2030
What are the opportunities offered by Fresh Food Precincts and food tourism for air freight?
Co-locating Fresh Food Precincts (FFPs) protocol agreements to assist in the to transport fresh products more
with existing or new transport and fast, efficient and borderless delivery of regularly and on greater scale.
airport hubs has the capability to grow products, within preapproved standards
Despite the potential of these projects,
agricultural output, deliver new local jobs set by the destination market, and with
FFPs need requisite support through
and increase access to fresh produce a confidence that Australian producers
effective planning, innovation and
for domestic and international markets. will meet these expectations across the
capitalising on available growth
For example, it is feasible that a FFP supply chain.
opportunities. This includes the necessity
will facilitate the ability of an overseas
FFP’s build on the concept of of having digitally enabled legislative and
customer to purchase fresh produce or
intensification of Australian food regulatory operations and requirements
meals via their mobile device and have it
production. They also link to the forecast pre-approved by government; including
delivered within 24 to 36 hours.
growth in tourism and air traffic; take for planning, biosecurity, border security,
FFPs will be underpinned by new example China, where there is currently food assurance, 24-hour operations,
technologies, such as the Internet of already more than 100 flights a week zoning, environmental compliance,
Things (IoT), blockchain and robotics. through nine commercial airlines with transport and utilities. Real-time systems
Food safety and quality can also tourism numbers set to triple from one will support improved supply chain
be further enhanced as a result of million to 3.3 million by 202639 With so functionality, management of data,
integrating these technologies into many flights operating between Australia security of information and oversight of
the supply chain at FFPs. FFPs must and key international markets, agriculture processes to ultimately deliver food from
be supported by inter-governmental can make use of excess cargo capacity paddock to plate effortlessly.
39 Australian China Business Network, 2017, The China Tourism Economy: Reaching Australia’s Potential, on behalf of the ACBN and Trade Victoria
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 43
How can contract models employed by The New Zealand Merino Company help to reduce the risk of price
volatility and build confidence in the supply chain?
By John Brakenridge,
CEO, The New Zealand
Merino Company
Merino wool is having a moment. In the case of Merino, phase one of that
Commodity prices are high. Innovation transformation meant breaking down
and heightened global awareness around age-old supply chain secrecies and
sustainability have created new fervor for firing up a collaborative spirit that would
natural fibres. replace the boom and bust of commodity
auctions with the solid ground of
We can reassure ourselves that price
contracts with retail brands such as
‘can only go up, it can’t go down’, as
Icebreaker. Contracts connect growers
is the sentiment from some, however
with their market partners introducing
history tells us that as long as we
stability and certainty; certainty of price
operate in the realms of commodities,
and demand year-on-year, certainty of
prices will be cyclical. What goes up
quality, transparency (certainty of ethics),
must come down. Shouldn’t we use this
and alignment on what it takes for a
moment for wool as a catalyst for a more
brand to prosper in the market to the
important consideration: what will it take
benefit of everyone in the value chain.
to sustain this moment?
This connectivity will only become more
The wool industry must challenge the
relevant. With NGOs breathing down the
status quo, blow apart the traditional
necks of corporates which are viewed as
price-taker mentality and move to a value
exploiting the land, people or animals,
creation model.
there has been no more critical time than
That’s been our strategic anchor at The now to bridge the gap between brand
New Zealand Merino Company (NZM) and land. In our digital age one false
since its inception 20 years ago — the move can have catastrophic effects in a
wool industry would never meet the matter of hours. Shared knowledge and
challenges of tomorrow under the price- experiences will help us ensure our wool
taker model. Sadly, this model remains brands and producers maintain their
prolific in our industry: quality product social license to operate.
is produced by passionate people who
If we fail to align with consumer needs,
have no connection with the end-users
we will fail our brand partners, and we’ll
of their product, no feedback as to how
fail growers.
to optimise its value. It’s a commodity
disposal model based on an historic “The farm sector must
auction system where wool producers
challenge the status quo,
are in the back seat.
blow apart the traditional
The true cost, diversity of skills price-taker mentality and move
and tenacity required to make the to a value creation model.”
transformation from production to
market value is often underestimated.
In my opinion, business models need
to fundamentally change and once you
embark on this strategy you have to keep
going. You can’t stand still.
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44 Talking 2030
Growing sustainably
Water
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 45
Climate
How does agriculture balance productivity and sustainability as Australia moves to the $100 billion target?
The NFF will need to work through delivery of commercial outputs to in the adoption of improving water
the Research and Development Australian farmers. The Australian efficiency and nutrients, production
Corporations (RDC) and the Federal Farm Institute has recently published a and use of energy, the broadacre
Department of Agriculture and Water study which demonstrates in countries industries require investment and
to coordinate investments in research that have maintained a strong public innovation to achieve sustainable
and development for mitigation, system it nurtures a strong and productivity growth (e.g. improving
sequestration and adaptation to climate growing private R&D sector. water use efficiency, identification and
change. The boom in AgTech and private movement of livestock, monitoring of
2 As a minimum expectation, each
investment will see new public–private livestock for sale, reduction of waste
RDC needs to set a strategy and
partnerships that reduce the adoption through collection and analysis of
goals required to reduce emissions,
time frame. The key piece for the NFF data). Genomics will play a key role in
use robust modelling which shows
will be advocating for a long-term policy improving efficiency, combined with
the mitigation required alongside the
approach to reducing emissions for the big data analysis e.g. enable selection
projected increase in productivity and
agricultural sector. for the hard to measure traits in beef
total production. Some industries are
cattle e.g. feed efficiency on grain
The two key drivers for improving well advanced such as the wine grape
and grass.
productivity and balancing natural industry which has been dealing with
resource outcomes are a renewed focus the loss of one day in growing season 5 Digital technology to improve
on innovation and human capability. The over the last 20 years and has made productivity and reduce loss. Research
definition of innovation used in these transformational changes to viticulture by the Australian Farm Institute
paragraphs is ‘an idea, practice or object and its location around Australia. shows that precision agriculture
that is perceived as being new by the in the international grains industry
3 As a starting point, each industry
end user and perceived as adding value’. has delivered improvements in
needs a sustainability framework
productivity of around 10 to 15 per
1 The research and development which sets out the goals in natural
cent. Australia has a challenge to
ecosystem sits at the centre of the resource management and climate
invest in the data platforms to use
advances in sustainable productivity. change, and in the animal industries,
the large amounts of data being
To be successful it needs to operate animal health and welfare. These
generated to improve productivity.
more collaboratively both within and frameworks already exist in the
This is the focus of the ‘precision to
across industries40 There are many dairy and red meat industries. The
decision’ investments in the Rural
new players alongside the traditional other commodity industries need to
Research for Profit project.
research and delivery pipeline, embrace this approach.
universities, State Departments
4 Sustainable intensification will be
of Primary Industries, and CSIRO.
an important component of the
Increasingly, private companies are
approach in the broadacre industries
emerging to deliver downstream
and particularly in the approach to
development and commercialisation.
managing natural resources and
These arrangements require clear
responding to climate change in an
rules around intellectual property
increasingly variable climate. The
and freedom to operate. It is these
horticulture industries are leading
arrangements that will improve the
40 Social Licence to Operate project is a long-term project coordinated by NSW Farmers CEO Matt Brand, to improve the trust that urban Australians have with the
agricultural sector
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46 Talking 2030
Should the MLA initiative on carbon neutrality be adopted across the industry?
By Michele Allan,
Chair, Meat and
Livestock Australia
For the Australian red meat industry, a Others require further work to verify
2030 carbon neutral goal makes good environmental and economic benefits
economic sense. to industry and the community. These
include new feed supplements and
Achieving the ‘CN30’ goal would put
vaccines which reduce methane
Australia well above our competitors
emissions from animals, and the role
in the high value markets where
of dung beetles in sequestering carbon
consumers have a growing interest in
into soils.
a food’s provenance and environmental
footprint. It would instil even more However, the red meat industry cannot
confidence in the quality and integrity do it alone.
of our product. And it would neuter the
Achieving CN30 will require
claims of industry’s critics.
unprecedented collaboration between
What’s more, there’s an almost perfect industry, government, research
correlation that exists between increased organisations and technology partners.
productivity and reduced greenhouse Existing investment in RD&A activities
gas emissions. That’s been proved to deliver carbon reductions and
in ample research to date, including continuing productivity gains will need
Commonwealth programs such as Filling to be increased.
the Research Gap41.
Both sides of federal parliament have
So how do we do it? targets to reduce carbon emissions
by 2030, as do most states, but
In 2017, MLA commissioned CSIRO
CN30 also needs clear and stable
to explore if, and how, the red meat
government policy to enable large-
industry (defined as the farm and
scale investment in productivity
processor sectors) could become carbon
improvement and carbon abatement.
neutral by 2030. The study found it
is possible and presented a range of It is a big challenge, but by working
pathways to consider. together, a carbon neutral red meat
industry by 2030 can be achieved.
MLA is now reviewing those options
and forming a research, development “Other sectors need to consider
and adoption plan to implement those
the strong stance taken by MLA
most favourable.
when it comes to a self-regulated
Some pathways are well known and carbon neutral target.”
can be acted on now; such as improving
animal genetics and husbandry to reduce
emissions per unit of meat production,
and sequestering carbon into soils using
pastures and legumes.
41 The Filling the Research Gap saw 88 projects funded through $74 million in committed Commonwealth Funding. A number of these projects centered on livestock
methane research. Australian Government Department of Agriculture, 2017, Filling the Research Gap, Department of Agriculture and Water Resources, available online:
http://www.agriculture.gov.au/ag-farm-food/climatechange/carbonfarmingfutures/ftrg
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 47
Energy
By Dmitry Danilovich,
Head of Clean Energy
KPMG Australia
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48 Talking 2030
How have electricity prices changed, and what policy settings are emerging?
There have been multiple drivers of There has been a lot of sector reform and can lead to higher prices plus less
electricity costs over the last decade. debate in recent years. The government’s reliable services. Further, it could lead
Network prices have risen due to large role is to provide a stable and robust to less access to services that help the
capital programs, other increases are due environment for investment. There needs consumer manage their costs, such as
to significant spikes in wholesale costs as to be certainty on how climate change batteries, PV and solar.
the energy mix moves from fossil fuels to policies will apply to the energy sector as
There is a lack of monitoring and
renewables. At the same time, gas prices well as more measures to better manage
reporting on these issues. Policy
have tripled due to fundamental changes and integrate renewable energy supply.
makers will benefit from having greater
in LNG supply and demand due to The government should also be ensuring
transparency of impacts to rural
exports. Additionally, government green that poles and wires businesses have the
consumers due to price increases.
schemes have added further costs to be right incentives to be efficient.
borne by the consumer. “Governments’ role is to provide
To help make prices competitive, in
The states vary in their residential price addition to the above measures, better a stable and robust environment
trends across all jurisdictions. AEMC encouragement is required for more for investment and provide
price data suggests while some states supply into the market which will certainty around climate change
prices have peaked and commenced a ensure there is a more effective choice policies and how they apply to
decline, others will continue their rise for consumers. the energy sector. We need to
over the next financial year before falling,
Pricing policy varies between regional better understand and monitor
and the remaining will to continue to rise
areas. Some regions or states have how energy impacts rural views.
throughout the forecast period to FY19-
uniform pricing policies, for example, To help make prices competitive,
20. The energy sector is asset-intensive
QLD and SA, between users in both in addition to the above measures,
which needs to be financed exposing
urban and rural locations. In other states, better encouragement is required
energy prices to future movements in
price depends on the costs of the local for more supply into the market
interest rates. Prices will also depend
network business and demand patterns
on the effectiveness of government which will ensure there is a more
in the local distribution network. The
policy changes to remove volatility in the effective choice for consumers.”
lack of scale economies in these areas
wholesale electricity and gas market.
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 49
42 Agriculture Victoria, 2017, Planning for sustainable animal industries — its origins and progress, Victorian Department of Economic Development, Jobs, Transport and
Resources, available through: http://agriculture.vic.gov.au/agriculture/livestock/planning-for-sustainable-animal-industries/planning-for-sustainable-animal-industries-its-
origins-and-progress
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50 Talking 2030
What are the ideal settings for a successful R&D environment in Australian agriculture?
R&D investment is critical for driving between research organisations and which sustains the technology pipeline to
value addition, productivity and growth industry – the first crucial pillar of a drive further industry competitiveness.
in the face of emerging markets, cost successful R&D environment.
Australian agribusiness could further
efficiency and scale opportunities. We
The second pillar for success is creating learn from the Netherlands in this
need to create an innovation ecosystem
a vibrant innovation ecosystem. This space, who similarly implement three-
in Australia that can take the excellent
system needs to cut through the need way public-private ‘golden triangle’
science that our public institutions
for publicly funded research to meet the partnerships across research. Proximity
do and take it further down the
requirements of multiple stakeholders, to European markets means the
commercialisation track, making it more
often including political imperatives. approach is collaborative and investors
accessible to further commercialisation
These requirements are frequently share in value created, and we may
by both new and established players.
driving agricultural research outputs to foresee that our Asian proximity offers
Australia consistently scores highly
less effective, socialised delivery models. similar opportunities for the future
in international rankings for quality of
R&D outcomes must engage more of investment into Australian-derived
scientific research. However, when
readily with the private sector, to result agrifood innovation44. There is significant
it comes to translating discoveries
in focused, market-ready outputs, and investment capital in Australia and
into real-world outcomes, Australia is
research providers should share in the overseas, and the buoyant future
currently ranked a lowly 76th in the
value created to stimulate self-sustaining prospects for agribusiness ventures to
world for innovation efficiency and
delivery systems. make this happen.
bottom in the OECD for industry-
research collaboration43. A prime example following these two “We need to create an innovation
factors is Cotton Breeding Australia
Traditionally, scientific advances in ecosystem in Australia that
– the research partnership between
agriculture have come from government- can take the excellent science
CSIRO and CSD Ltd., with supporting
funded institutions. However, as that our public institutions do
technology access arrangements
governments around the world look and take it further down the
with Monsanto. The program is self-
to make scientific research deliver commercialisation track, making
sustaining, and Australian cotton growers
industry outcomes and be financially
can exploit the world’s highest yielding it more accessible to further
self-sustaining, a shift is occurring.
varieties and best crop protection traits. commercialisation by both new
Agribusiness innovation is increasingly
The three organisations share returns, and established players.”
found in partnerships and alliances
43 https://www.globalinnovationindex.org/analysis-indicator
44 John Manners, 2017 presentation, ‘Get small and grow big! — innovation and consolidation’
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 51
By David Hudson,
Managing Director,
SGA Solutions Pty Ltd
It is widely accepted that by 2050 techniques. Some of the NBT’s are the OGTR and FSANZ are addressing
agriculture will need to feed a global relatively easy, quick and cheap to use the challenge of identifying to what
population exceeding nine billion people. by comparison with traditional methods. extent NBT’s should be regulated
This is the challenge Australian farmers They therefore allow breeders to focus by undertaking a reviewing of their
are facing whilst dealing with ever more more on ‘niche’ crops or localised respective regulations. There is a general
volatility created by climate change, price growing conditions and to react more scientific consensus that most of these
fluctuations, regulatory change, socio- quickly to the changing needs and wants techniques are not GM.
economic, demographic and geopolitical of growers and consumers.
This uncertainty has been brewing
shifts. Pests, weeds and diseases
These techniques can be used in very for several years, leaving Australian
continue to threaten both quality and
specific ways, for example they can be agriculture together with many of its
quantity of food produced. Access to
applied to enhance nutrient content, trading partners without clear legal
new and innovative plant varieties will be
increase shelf life through the reduction guidance. The current lack of regulatory
a vital tool in managing these challenges.
of oxidation and bruising and improved uncertainty is the major barrier to
In recent years New Breeding colour, odour, flavour and texture. These transformational advancements in
Techniques (NBT’s) have emerged that benefits are already being explored breeding new plant varieties for
offer novel tools for delivering desirable and realised by our competitors around Australian farmers.
characteristics in crop plants, such as the world. For example, in the US, a
Meanwhile other countries around the
increased yields, insect and disease browning-resistant mushroom and a
world have already begun to realise the
resistance and climatic tolerance. potato with better storage properties
benefits plant varieties bred using these
Although largely at the research stage, have been produced using gene editing.
techniques can bring, and Australian
these techniques could revolutionise plant Disease resistance is a huge focus
agriculture cannot afford to be left behind
breeding and, by extension, farming. for the plant breeding community and
in this revolution – to do so will reduce
already powdery mildew-resistant wheat
NBT’s have the potential to reduce the Australian farmers’ competitiveness in
and blight-resistant rice have been bred
cost and time of bringing new products their domestic and global markets.
in China and the US respectively.
to the market compared to traditional
breeding techniques. They do this largely The challenge for Australia’s regulators, “Whilst there is huge opportunity
by improving the accuracy of the plant the Office of the Gene Technology for these new techniques to
breeding process so that less time is Regulator (OGTR) and Food Standards benefit Australian agriculture,
spent removing unwanted attributes Australia and New Zealand (FSANZ), realising this potential largely
that can be transferred along with the as well as regulators representing the depends on how they are
gene of interest during the traditional majority of Australia’s trading partners is regulated. There is uncertainty
breeding process. that although the mutations generated
about the extent to which some of
through gene editing may not have
There are many techniques that fall under these techniques involve GM and
occurred naturally, the end product is
the banner of NBT’s, including those that therefore whether they should be
indistinguishable from those arising
sequence or edit genes, and so-called regulated as such or whether they
naturally or through conventional
speed breeding and diversity breeding should remain unregulated.”
mutation breeding. Currently both
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52 Talking 2030
Patent law in agriculture: is there any potential risk that needs to be considered?
By David Hudson,
Managing Director,
SGA Solutions Pty Ltd
Part of the sustainable response to the will require high levels of investment,
challenges facing Australian agriculture invention, design and creativity and,
will be to have access to a continuous consequently, high levels of intellectual
pipeline of innovative technologies and property content. One of the challenges
management strategies. For farmers this for Australia’s agricultural future based on
commences with the selection of ‘elite’ the adoption of innovative technologies
plant varieties and/or livestock lines and and management strategies will be to
then applying leading edge technologies optimise intellectual property from the
and management strategies. perspective of both consumers and
Underpinning this approach will be the sellers of intellectual property protected
need for farmers to access and adopt products and services domestically and
transformational technologies which to/from the rest of the world.
45 McKinsey, May 2017, “Digital Australia: seizing opportunities from the fourth industrial revolution”
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 53
Does Australia have an effective environment for rural innovation and start-ups?
Over the past two years, momentum Cooperative Research Centres such as opportunities to digitally enable their
has quickly developed within the Food Agility have also emerged with a operations, supply chains and sector.
Australian AgTech and FoodTech focus on digital innovation for Australia’s
There is no shortage of avenues for
ecosystem. At last count, there are agrifood industry. Food Agility’s ambition
entrepreneurs, farmers, investors and
close to 300 AgTech and FoodTech is to see Australia become the agrifood
industry stakeholders to get engaged
companies operating in Australia, and innovation nation. Launched in 2017, Food
in discussions around emerging
the sector is seeing an increase in both Agility will operate for 10 years, with
technologies. Significant effort has been
capital invested and the players in the $200m in committed funding from over
directed towards driving awareness of
supporting innovation ecosystem. 50 industry, research and government
the agrifood technology opportunity. The
partners. It is focused on fast-tracking
This support ecosystem is important as focus now must be on driving action and
the growth of Australia’s food industry
the failure rate for start-ups runs close promoting and enabling adoption on farm
through digital technologies. Precision 2
to 92 per cent over their first three years and through the value chain.
Decision, a project involving Australia’s
in business46.
rural research and development “Economic modelling conducted
Since late 2016 at least ten incubators corporations (RDCs), led by Cottons RDC,
through the Precision 2 Decision
or accelerators with a focus on has been investigating the barriers to
digital technology adoption in agriculture
project indicates that digital
agriculture and food innovation
have been established in Australia. and is moving focus onto solutions to technologies for agriculture could
These organisations assist with the these barriers. Initiatives such as the unlock $20.3 billion in gross value
development and then commercialisation Australian Agrifood Digital Directions of agricultural production”
of agriculture technologies — assisting index and enabling platform that Food
entrepreneurs with going to market and Agility and KPMG are championing
ensuring product-market fit. will help agrifood businesses identify
Accelerator /
Incubator
Accelerator Incubator Accelerator Accelerator Accelerator Incubator Accelerator Accelerator Incubator Accelerator
Technology, Accelerator Focused on ‘deep’ Innovations to Innovations Food innovations Deep tech Australian and Agricultural WA companies
software and science and support Lion’s across the that are delicious, innovations international technologies with innovations
Focus
hardware Agricultural technology. Open consumer agrifood value nutritious, natural, relevant to pre- companies with to benefit to help solve
innovations. technologies to employees of engagement, chain from accessible and farmgate and solutions for NSW & agriculture
Program is and innovations. Australia’s publicly experience, production to affordable. post-farmgate food technology, Australia. problems.
not specific funded research insights and consumption. as well as food agricultural
to agrifood. agencies. Program supply chain and packaging. technology and
is not specific efficiency. sustainability.
to agrifood.
45 Jamie Pride, 2017, “Unicorn tears — why startups fail and how to avoid it”
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54 Talking 2030
From accelerated depreciation to income technology is really a fencing asset. Encouragement of the uptake of
averaging, the agricultural industry Similarly, a device that allows you to best technology in the agricultural industry is
is widely known to have access to allocate water and thus is a water facility, vital to the continuing maximisation of
some of Australia’s most targeted tax may also provide data on soil to enable a efficiency and yield. However, the tax
concessions. However, with the evolving farmer to determine whether a paddock system is currently falling behind the
technology space it has become evident requires fertiliser. advancements in technology, leaving
that a number of areas of tax policy contemporary farmers without access to
In this respect, many contemporary
are not keeping pace with the AgTech traditional concessions.
solutions that are technology based
solutions coming in to market.
are not presented with a consistent “Encouragement of the uptake
Technology can have its primary uses tax treatment as traditional agricultural
of technology in the agricultural
but given its versatility it can also assets that address the same problem.
industry is vital to the continuing
provide ancillary benefits. These ancillary The primary example lies in electronic
benefits may disqualify the technology ‘virtual’ fencing technology. Under the maximisation of efficiency and
from meeting the often strict wording current tax concessions, an upfront yield. However, the tax system
requirements of a particular section tax deduction may be taken for fencing is currently falling behind the
in the tax legislation. For example, assets, however the strict and narrow advancements in technology,
electronic collars on a cow for virtual interpretation of the law looks only leaving contemporary farmers
fencing may also provide information at physical fencing assets, not the without access to traditional
on the health and weight of the beast, temporary nature of a virtual fence. concessions.”
calling into question whether the
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 55
The farm network of the future and the Internet of Things (IoT)
By Sami Makelainen,
Technology Insights Manager,
CTO Strategic Planning and
Foresight, Telstra
For generations, advances in technology sensors for water level monitoring and • Ingestible sensors monitoring
have helped Australian farmers become leak detection, which can save significant livestock health, rumination across an
more efficient and productive. However, quantities of water – a precious resource entire herd of cattle, health of prized
the increasing use of connectivity and in Australia. breeding stock and fertility across a
equipment autonomy is transforming range of breeds can be monitored and
By 2030, IoT solutions will be moving
the way farms operate today. Farming tracked in real time.49
more towards what the Institute for
practices of the future will soon be
the Future calls the Internet of Actions, • Connected farming equipment will
unrecognisable to farmers just one or
in which the systems move beyond increasingly become autonomous for
two generations before.
sensors doing measurements to become precision planting and other cropping
Increasing connectivity will make farming more autonomous actors that are goal- activities; performance data being
life simpler and more efficient. Existing setting, and self-optimising. aggregated at the homestead or
mobile networks have started our office via a farm-wide dashboard that
In addition to improved connectivity, IoT
journey and new technologies such as provides an integrated view of not
deployments will be driven by long or
low-power-optimisation LTE Cat-M1 and only livestock and crop health but
indefinite (through energy-harvesting)
NB-IoT, the upcoming 5G mobile network tracking and forecasting business
battery lives, miniaturisation and low-
and satellite technologies will continue health and profitability as well.
cost devices.
this evolution.47
• Widespread use of drones for various
Short to medium term use cases enabled
However, to make things simpler, things activities. For example, drones
by ubiquitous connectivity will include48:
may become more complex for a while. can diagnose many crop-related
Getting these devices to talk to each • Sensors embedded in soil which can diseases early, and drones equipped
other and provide real-time information track moisture and soil health, making with hyperspectral sensors allow
in a central dashboard at the farmer’s it easier for farmers to efficiently measurement of water and nitrogen
home or office will require connectivity distribute water and fertilisers. At levels – a much more efficient
on a scale never seen before, and will the other end of the logistics chain, method than labor-intensive ground
undoubtedly involve different interfaces, sensors that can sniff the ripeness of surveys. Drones can even be used
methods and systems that are not always food will be integrated into packaging for livestock mustering instead of
seamlessly compatible. The benefits and storage units, optimising not expensive helicopters50.
though, once successfully done, will be just the delivery chain for freshness
All of these technologies and more serve
game changing for Australian farmers. and reduced wastage but also
to help reduce the cost of crop inputs
enabling the consumers to use
One of the technologies already making as well as improve yields, sustainability,
ingredients optimally.
an impact is IoT. This technology gives a resilience and quality, while reducing
major impression even at the simplest the environmental impact through the
end of the scale, such as water tank reduced used of inputs and wastage.51
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56 Talking 2030
By Piers Hogarth-Scott,
National Lead Internet of Things
KPMG Australia
The agriculture sector is one of the Smart food and fibre enables Australian AgTech company The Yield,
last billion-dollar industries to be truly consumers, producers, processors, said in a recent KPMG report Security
digitised. The Internet of Things (IoT) is a logistics operators, biosecurity, trade and the IoT Ecosystem: “The potential
key enabler to unlocking this opportunity, validation, government regulators and for IoT to drive benefit in the Australian
and at the same time the challenge of policy makers to work smarter in our agriculture sector is significant, but we
on-farm connectivity is rapidly being cities, regional and remote landscapes. need to have the right security measures
solved. Society has embarked on an era Through unprecedented opportunities in place. In agriculture, trust relationships
that can be termed the ‘fourth industrial IoT enables the enhancement of our run deep. Growers need to have
revolution’ due to the rapid development most fundamental human emotional and confidence that their data and their on-
of technologies and digital ubiquity52. intellectual response to each other and farm systems are secure. If that trust is
the world around us. What we eat, wear compromised, adoption of IoT will suffer.”
Whilst AgTech can loosely be defined as
and create through growing food and
technology that is used in the agriculture Peak industry body IoT Alliance Australia
fibre, and how we impact one another
sector such as livestock, horticulture and (IoTAA) recently released their IoT
and the planet we share to do these
cropping to help drive efficiencies and security guidelines providing top-level
things, is intimately related to how we
profitability, the IoT in agriculture – also guidance to CEOs and CIOs, with a focus
live, our wellbeing, and our success in an
known as smart food and fibre – is the on key sectors including agriculture.
inter-related global society.
broader application of connecting the “Managing security risks and protecting
physical world with the digital world In a world that is increasingly digitally user privacy are vital to realising the
through the instrumentation of every connected by the IoT, data becomes benefits of digital transformation,” said
thing such as crops, soil, water sources, a critical asset. IoT provides the entire IoTAA CEO, Frank Zeichner. “We see a
livestock and more. The real power of agribusiness supply chain with faster security agenda as vital to build trust in
IoT exists because it enables operations and better insights from real-time data an IoT-connected world for consumers
to be connected and optimised in ways that enables the sector to make smarter and business users, as well as an
previously not possible through the use and more agile decisions in response to opportunity for the Australian cyber
of sensors, connectivity, data analytics, market demand, automated processes, security industry,” says Mr Zeichner.
artificial intelligence, machine learning predicting future events, becoming more
and cognitive abilities. Smart food and efficient in how we produce food and “IoT has the capacity to
fibre IoT enables the whole ecosystem fibre to ensure less wastage, delivering significantly change the digital
to deliver economic capital, social product to market in a more timely connectivity landscape for
capital and natural capital. It enables the fashion, and providing confidence to Australian farms and policy
agriculture sector from paddock to plate our customers of provenance, safe, makers need to continue to
and field to fibre, to not only digitally sustainable and high quality product. support its introduction to the
transform the farm, but to enable the
But the mass instrumentation and farm sector. This needs to be
digital supply chain and the efficiencies,
connectivity of every thing also balanced with the appropriate
productivity gains and economic
introduces cyber security risk. Ros security measures.”
opportunities that come with it.
Harvey, Managing Director of leading
52 Professor Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman of the World Economic Forum
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 57
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58 Talking 2030
How can big data be utilised to improve agriculture outputs? What are some of the policies and risk
management strategies required to support big data?
53 Digital Australia: Seizing the opportunity for the Fourth Industrial Revolution, McKinsey
54 The Yield + Microsoft: Transforming the Australian agricultural industry, video available on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0EK15i7CUsY
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 59
What is the next challenge in terms of competition policy to drive a more vibrant agricultural and
food sector in Australia?
Getting competition policy right is a bit The very rapid development of digital ownership rights should be
like getting the rules of a game of football technologies and marketplaces is the implemented, to ensure that data
right. The aim is to make sure all get a next major challenge for competition retention does not become a major block
fair chance to compete, and the rules regulators and laws. The exponential on competition. It recommended that
need to be modified as knowledge and growth of computing power and almost the government implement legislated
technology changes. universal internet access has enabled universal data rights, and that industry
major companies to expand rapidly and sectors be required to develop codes
Australian competition and consumer
disrupt markets in ways that reduce governing the management of data
laws were significantly modified in 2017,
competition. This issue was examined within the industry.
with the introduction of the ‘effects
by the Productivity Commission in 2017,
test’, and legislation banning concerted It is becoming more and more apparent
which made recommendations aimed
practices and unfair contracts. The that the use and analysis of data has
at ensuring that data does not become
effects test should make it simpler the potential to provide a major boost to
a major impediment to competition.
for courts to prevent anti-competitive agricultural productivity, and the challenge
As an example, a farmer can currently
behaviour by dominant companies, and facing the sector is to find ways to
utilise a cloud-based software platform
the unfair contracts laws will prevent encourage these developments, but at
to accumulate farm data. However,
manifestly unfair terms being inserted the same time to ensure they don’t begin
if the system restricts the farmer
in standard contracts between major to damage competition in the sector.
from exporting that data to another
companies and suppliers or customers.
competing software system, then the “It is recommended that the
These reforms are relevant to the more data the farmer accumulates, the
farm sector engages in the
agricultural sector, where markets are greater the unfair advantage one system
has over another.
development of codes governing
on occasion dominated by several large
companies, and many transactions occur the management of data within
The Productivity Commission the industry.”
based on standard-form contracts.
recommended that strong data
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60 Talking 2030
Cyber security is commonly featured has never been so crucial to apply sound and support the industry to maintain
as the number one business risk, with cyber security practices to ensure that cyber security with fit-for-purpose
many threats, such as malware, that benefits can be harvested from new processes, resources and technology.
could affect an organisation. This can technologies in a secure manner. It is an
result in loss of services, leakage or opportune time for the agriculture sector “Raising broader awareness
compromise of data, reputational damage to leverage the insights and lessons and providing relevant guidance
or compliance breaches. As observed from other sectors, and to re-evaluate its will support the sector to ensure
recently with the Cadbury chocolate information and technology landscape that with the increasing pace of
factory in Tasmania (who were affected and ensure key risks are being managed. AgTech, cybersecurity is also
by malware and had to close operations being factored in at the same time,
There are opportunities to promote
for a period of time), cybersecurity events
an active dialogue within the industry, making cyber security a part of the
can occur at any time and in any place.
confirm the understanding of digital ‘smart farming’ revolution.”
As farmers and companies become information and technology landscape,
more and more digitally connected, it understand the opportunities and risks,
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 61
Harnessing blockchain
Distributed ledger technology, more deliver significant benefits in automation, faster through ports to end consumer/
commonly referred to as ‘blockchain’ has productivity and access to new markets user. New and innovative products and
had significant media coverage in the last and customers. services will emerge around tracking,
12 months. While the agricultural sector financing and insuring goods in the most
In the value chain of the future, where
has seen a few blockchain experiments efficient and real time manner as actors
data – not paper – will be the foundation
and prototypes, industry leaders have in the trade process will have greater
of trade, information will flow between
suggested that the entire food assurance transparency allowing for more timely
nations, but privacy and commercially
value chain is ripe for automation and planning and faster fulfilment. Such
sensitive information will be secured.
the sector provides one of the most transparency and certainty of trade-
Technology will help to remove
promising use cases for deploying related activities would help to reduce
inefficiencies caused by inconsistent
emerging technologies like blockchain. fraud, improve welfare, simplify the value
standards that goods encounter as they
chain and help identify (and remove)
Agricultural companies are reliant on cross multiple countries and will reduce
compromised participants.
legacy infrastructure that is either working capital built up in the value chain
complicated or cost prohibitive to replace (especially at customs, ports, etc.) due to The first countries to link international
or change. Blockchain technologies offer manual documents and processing. trade platforms will generate major
a new, complementary environment competitive advantages. Not only
Cross border collaboration will help
that can co-exist with existing systems would their country’s exporters face
to reduce waste as goods transfer
and infrastructure that has the ability to significantly reduced trade costs, but
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62 Talking 2030
“The entire food assurance value chain is ripe for automation and the
sector provides one of the most promising use cases for deploying
emerging technologies like blockchain.”
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 63
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64 Talking 2030
What impact will electric and autonomous vehicles have on rural Australia?
It is predicted that by 2040, 35 per cent international travel affordable to many A bold statement must be made by
of all new car sales will be electric55 consumers. The economics of rural to government and corporates alike, to
— this is a conservative estimate. urban transportation will improve, and co-invest into the array of technologies
Furthermore, it is estimated that by the opportunity cost of living and working and physical projects that must be
2025, 65 per cent of all vehicles on regionally, to enjoy rural lifestyles but also put into place to facilitate electric and
the road could contain at least one having an ability to travel to urban areas autonomous vehicle operations. This
autonomous technology56. Battery to access other opportunities, will reduce. includes challenging questions such as
prices are falling, and notable corporates setting legal precedents — determining
The second important implication will
are investing heavily into the electric who is at fault in an accident involving
be seen in the optimisation of the
and autonomous space, Google and an autonomous vehicle, for example.
supply chains as a result of big data
Apple being some of the most notable A suitable number of charging stations
analytical capabilities, especially in
‘technology’ firms moving into the must be present for electric vehicles to
delivery, efficiency and assurance. An
sector. Lives and businesses will be overcome consumers’ ‘range anxiety’,
Internet of Things network centered on
heavily impacted by this transformation, whilst autonomous vehicles must be
interacting smart vehicles will enable
but none more so than in regional areas, guided by smart technologies that track
fluidity in moving goods from rural areas
where distance and mobility are acute movement and ensure continuous safety
to transport hubs, based upon the data
issues in day-to-day business operations. on the road. This process and the vision
gathered by vehicle usage. This network
of our public and business leaders will
The first major impact will be enhanced will also add to provenance-enabling
determine the benefits accessed by
rural-urban connectivity — achieved technologies such as blockchain, to
regional communities as a result of
through productivity and cost efficiencies. reduce liability and increase quality
electric and autonomous vehicles.
The reduced cost of fuel and potential assurance during transportation.
to optimise congestion, which is Shipments will be more easily tracked “The vision of our public and
estimated to cost Australia $30 billion and monitored to ensure that regions
business leaders will determine
per year by 203057, will enable cheaper, producing fresh products are no longer
the benefits accessed by regional
more convenient access between the constrained by concerns of produce
regions and traditional business hubs. arriving to consumers in premium shape. communities as a result of electric
This is much like the impact of long-haul, and autonomous vehicles.”
However, impact will be dependent upon
large aircraft which made the price of
investment into related infrastructures.
55 https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-ev-oil-crisis/
56 https://home.kpmg.com/content/dam/kpmg/us/pdf/2017/11/us-jnet-2017-issue4-article1-en.pdf
57 https://bitre.gov.au/publications/2015/is_074.aspx
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 65
What are governments, companies and NGOs doing to ensure ethical labour practices are
adopted around the world?
By Richard Boele,
Partner, Global Head, By Meg Brodie, Associate
KPMG Business Director, Lead Human
and Human Rights Rights and Social Impact
Network Services, KPMG Banarra
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66 Talking 2030
Accessing skills
What needs to be done to increase productivity of land and diversify land use owed by the
Indigenous communities?
Indigenous groups have emerged as These discussions have centered around “As there are significant and
significant land holders and players topics such as: increasing areas of land held
within the pastoral industry and are by Indigenous peoples across
• Increasing the productivity of
growing their interests in agricultural Australia, unlocking the potential of
land holdings;
regions. This is the result of the strong
lands and improving productivity
match that pastoralism and agriculture • Reform to assist the economic
will have an enormous and
have with Indigenous cultural values, in activation of existing land and
addition to the business and employment water rights;
positive impact on the overall
opportunities that the sector provides. economic, social and cultural
• Diversifying land use and the status of Indigenous communities.
In recent times, greater emphasis has development of new and non- It will also have a large and
been placed on supporting Indigenous traditional (to the sector) business on
positive impact on reaching the
participation in these sectors, with focus existing lands;
driven through native title and land
$100 billion industry wide target.”
• High value over high volume produce;
rights regimes as well as the advent
of land purchasing programs such • Access to domestic and increasingly
as the Indigenous Land Corporation. international markets;
Mainstream institutions now also play
• Access to capital and
a growing role in supporting the growth
developing investment ready business
of the Indigenous agricultural and
proposals;
pastoral sectors.
• Research and development support;
The Commonwealth White Paper on
and
Developing Northern Australia has brought
sharper focus on the uses and productivity • Infrastructure investment to support
of Indigenous held lands, particularly in these ends.
pastoral areas, and discussions on how to
unlock the potential of these lands have What’s good for Indigenous landholders
gathered pace. then, is potentially very good for the
industry as a whole.
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 67
By Emma Germano,
Managing Director of
I Love Farms and President
of VFF Horticulture Group
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68 Talking 2030
By Emma Germano,
Managing Director of
I Love Farms and President
of VFF Horticulture Group
63 Victorian Farmers Federation, 2018, VFF Horticulture Policy Statement — horticulture labour, VFF Policy Council.
64 Victorian Farmers Federation, 2018, VFF Horticulture Policy Statement — horticulture labour, VFF Policy Council.
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 69
Australian agriculture has been agreements, where the lease prices larger amounts of land (land owners),
challenged by access to capital and fluctuate alongside yield and productivity, enable industry stakeholders to leverage
investment. There is plenty of capital mean that land owners and growers one another’s competitive advantages
available, however it often looks for share in productivity variation. Generally, and diversify or intensify their operations
longer investment periods, steady returns leases are set around rigid terms, with to manage risk. Pooling capital and
and low risk investments – agriculture set annual fees and three to five-year resources together within industry will
has traditionally not met these criteria. periods. They do not typically account create economies of scale and protect
Volatility is the sector’s greatest challenge for seasonal variance, thus creating an the current value held by individual
in attracting investment. The regularity imbalance between the contracting farmers in their operations66.
of farmer earnings is largely a function parties – one often wins at expense of
Finally, as well as financial instruments
of water and climate, which can lead the other. Restructuring leases to vary
and portfolio optimisation, there is
to vast differences in yield year-on-year. depending upon productivity of the land
a highly practical way for farmers to
The development of innovative financial creates a situation where farmers and
manage volatility and therefore attract
instruments to reduce this risk are land owners are equally invested and risk
investment as an individual. Controlling
therefore crucial, and both government is spread.
the environment on the farm, using
and industry should work together to
Secondly, diversification of production AgTech solutions such as greenhouses,
create new models to these ends.
segments can also play an important role smart irrigation and temperature
The first way of flattening volatility in agricultural investment strategies that controls, provides more reliable growing
in the yield curve is through financial reduce overall volatility. Doing so in both conditions and steady yields. Sundrop,
products, including insurance. The US geographies (across climates) and product a group based out of Port Augusta, have
has established these types of risk type is important. Australian farmers have been successful in doing this. They
management vehicles for agriculture often done the former – owning multiple achieve regularity in supply through
far more successfully than in Australia, plots with different weather, pasture and hydroponics and renewable technologies
where products are ill-suited to the resource conditions – however product that enable constant supply of fresh
market and uptake is low. It is estimated diversification is equally important. The water, heating and electricity. Utilising
that less than one per cent of Australian fall and rise of citrus in Australia, where the technological options available to our
farmers have crop insurance, contrasted growers were pulling trees out due to farmers, alongside financial innovations
to over 90 per cent in the US65. Regular poor yields and lack of demand, only to and strategies, will improve yields and
insurance products include crop peril, hastily replant soon after due to North thus investment.
property coverage and operational Asian trade agreements and export
insurance – all of which provide an demand, indicates the value of growing “Governments and industries
investor with security in the knowledge multiple products. should work together to
that should yields or operations decline, create new models to reduce
Share farm models can have a similar
the businesses invested in remain secure. risk of volatility and hence
effect. Contracts placed between
Furthermore, leasing arrangements can farmers, whereby those with high yields increase opportunities to
be organised in alternative ways to limit or specific varieties (farm managers) attract investments.”
volatility. Sharing risk with variable lease partner with those that have access to
65 http://www.abc.net.au/news/rural/2017-07-07/crop-insurance-viable-without-government-subsidies/8688946
66 KPMG report, 2015, The Road to Riches: Driving investment in Western Australian agriculture
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70 Talking 2030
What emerging ownership models can help to maintain and support the farm of the future?
Traditional family farm ownership Looking to international markets, this The use of non-farm equity alongside
structures remain the core of Australian already exists in the form of: traditional debt finance is essential if
agriculture. However, the growth of Australian agriculture is to meet the
• improved succession planning tools
family corporates and increased use NFF’s $100 billion target.
– moving away from primogeniture
of external capital is increasing as the
to collective, transparent and multi- The role of the Australian superannuation
Australian farm sector transitions and
generational farming; and broader investment sectors in
expands at the same time. As this
agri-business is still limited. Increased
continues there is a need to encourage • equity partnerships – where silent
investment by Australian institutions is
varied and innovative systems to investment is sourced to finance
needed alongside the foreign capital that
support access to capital that will expansion and productivity;
will also flow into Australia.
facilitate farm ownership and in turn
• vertically integrated agribusinesses
generate growth through new value and “The role for industry and
– where most, or all, of the supply
increased volume.67
chain is owned by the same business, government is to ensure that farm
generating greater economies of scale businesses that seek to access
and efficiencies; and capital are investment ready.
Capital constraints preventing
• leasing arrangements – whereby Furthermore, that the regulatory
growth of value and volume
land ownership remains with a environment for investment is
“Around $600 billion in additional
single entity and primary production appropriate for growth.”
capital will be needed on farms
rights are leased to a farmer who
and in supply chains between now
can thus leverage their working
and 2050…. a further $400 billion
capital more effectively.
will be needed to support older
farmers exiting the sector, allowing
the next generation of farmers to
buy them out.”
Source: Port Jacksons Partners, 2012,
Greener Pastures: The Global Soft
Commodity Opportunity for Australia
and New Zealand, commissioned by
the ANZ Bank
67 Heath R and Tomlinson A, 2016, A review of farm funding models and business structures in Australia, Australian Farm Institute
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 71
How does our industry coordinate to deliver the best representation for farmers?
Agriculture and its related sectors listen, act and deliver outcomes in a state, commodity) from what we know is
are an integral part of the Australian more relevant and nimble way. It will limited funds available for representation.
economy earning $155 billion per year, attract our key stakeholders and also
The problem is not the performance of
representing a 12 per cent share of GDP. those that aspire to be our stakeholders.
individual organisations so much – many
We can and must become more
Representing Australian farmers and of which are performing well – but about
effective, more agile and more engaged
an agricultural industry of that scale is the underlying structure within which all
through an innovative structure that
an enormous honour — but with that farm bodies operate and interact.
amplifies a united industry voice if we
honour comes responsibility. While
are to remain at the front of the key Any future model can be a strong stand-
the challenges are many, the need for
decision makers’ minds. alone, national organisation representing
the industry to be recognised for its
the core of Australia’s farming
economic value and national importance By consolidating and seeking efficiencies
community and industries. It will be a
is paramount. Maintaining that recognition and embracing a more unified platform,
positive and engaging model reflecting
and ensuring governments and decision farmers, farm businesses and the
the needs of the next generation of
makers deliver policy that eases access broader agribusiness community
farmers and industry leaders who
to markets and streamlines supply and increase their ability to have their
demand new representation and
delivery channels is the key role of an voice heard and hence their issues
communication systems. It will represent
effective representative organisation. constructively addressed.
commodities both traditional and
In today’s fast-changing and challenging External perceptions of farm sector emerging and also represent the needs
environment, it has been clearly disunity and inability to coordinate of strong, vibrant regions. We must
recognised that a strong and united nationally have contributed towards continue to seek the support to update,
approach to advocacy is optimal a legacy-based structure defending to ensure the farm sector voice is strong
to achieve long-term benefits and ‘parts’ rather than the ‘whole’ structure and relevant. Those interests would be
sustainability within the industry. of farm sector representation. There best represented under a more efficient
is a real and tangible risk of continuing national structure, with grassroots liaison
A more consolidated and efficient, more
duplication of resources and effort across a priority by putting the interests of
engaged structure will enable those
all levels of representation (national, farmers first.
chosen to represent the industry to
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72 Talking 2030
Industry Experts
KPMG
Sue Middleton, Director, Brennan Rural Group, WA
Bernard Salt, Managing Director of the Demographics
Group and contractor to KPMG Australia Andrew Spencer, CEO, Australian Pork Limited
Brendan Rynne, Partner and Chief Economist, The Hon. Andrew Robb AO, Chairman, The Robb Group
KPMG Australia Economics and Tax Policy Centre
Luke Bowen, General Manager, Northern Australia
Trent Duvall, National Leader – Consumer and Retail Development & Trade, Department of Trade, Business and
Innovation, Northern Territory Government of Australia
Ronan Gilhawley, Partner, Strategy Group
John Brakenridge, Chief Executive, New Zealand
Ben van Delden, Partner, Head of AgTech
Merino Company
Robert Poole, Partner, National Lead Agribusiness –
Phillip Glyde, Chief Executive, Murray-Darling Basin Authority
Management Consulting
Lucinda Corrigan, Chair, Farmers for Climate Action
Peter Liddell, Asia Pacific Leader for Strategy and
Operations Advisory Services Dr Michele Allan, Chair, Meat and Livestock Australia
Leonie Ferretter, Director, Trade & Customs John Manners, Director, CSIRO Agriculture and Food
Graham Matthew, Partner, Head of Infrastructure and David Hudson, Managing Director, SGA Solutions Pty Ltd
Projects Group, Queensland
Mick Keogh, Executive Director, Australian Farm Institute
Dmitry Danilovich, Head of Clean Energy
Salah Sukkarieh, Professor of Robotics and Intelligent
Cassandra Hogan, Partner, National Sector Leader – Systems, University of Sydney
Power & Utilities
Emma Germano, Managing Director of I Love Farms and
Amanda Goddard, AgTech Specialist President of VFF Horticulture Group
Tony Morganti, Partner, Corporate Tax
Piers Hogarth-Scott, Partner, IoT National Lead
Anthony Coops, Partners, Innovation & Digital solutions
Laszlo Peter, Partner, Head of Digital Ledger services
Khoa Duong, Associate Director, Technology and
Cyber Security
Praveen Thakur, Director, Management Consulting
Richard Boele, Partner, Global Head KPMG Business and
Human Rights Network
Meg Brodie, Associate Director, Human Rights Service
Line Head
Glen Kelly, Director, Arrilla Indigenous Services
Sam McClure, Partner, Deal Advisory
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 73
Contributors
NFF
Charles Thomas, General Manager, Digital & Industry Partnerships
Heidi Reid, Project Manager
Laureta Wallace, General Manager – Media & Communications
KPMG
Marie-Claire Renault, Manager
Nick Everingham, Associate Director
Daniel Ginger, Consultant
Lucy Gubbins, Senior Consultant
Evie Murdoch, Consultant
Sally Pyke, Associate Director
Earl Hekking, Manager
David Evans, Director
Suneeta Kamdar, Consultant
Jenny Lam, Marketing Manager
Sarah Belin, Communications Manager
Telstra
Nicole Ward, Regional Engagement Manager
Marnie McKew, General Manager, Regional Directorate
Abby Brown, Senior Communication Advisor
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74 Talking 2030
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 75
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76 Talking 2030
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Growing agriculture into a $100 billion industry 77
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Contacts
KPMG National Farmers Federation
Robert Poole Fiona Simson
Partner, National Lead Agribusiness President
– Management Consulting E: fsimson@nff.org.au
E: robertpoole@kpmg.com.au T: +61 2 6269 5666
T: +61 3 9288 6209
Tony Mahar
Ben van Delden Chief Executive Officer
Partner, Head of AgTech E: tmahar@nff.org.au
E: bvandelden@kpmg.com.au T: +61 2 6269 5666
T: +61 3 9288 5894
Charles Thomas
Peter Liddell General Manager, Digital & Industry Partnerships
Partner, Head of Supply Chain E: cthomas@nff.org.au
– Asia Pacific T: +61 2 6269 5666
E: pliddell@kpmg.com.au
T: +61 3 9288 5693
KPMG.com.au
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© 2018 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative
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Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation.
March 2018. N16400LOBS