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➢ Our latest poll on the Congressional primary in CA-10 shows Josh Harder is in second place behind
Representative Denham, and clearly has the momentum in this race. The horserace currently stands
at:
✓ Jeff Denham, Businessman/Farmer/Representative, Republican: 42%
✓ Josh Harder, Educator/Businessman, Democrat: 13%
✓ Michael Eggman, Farmer/Businessman, Democrat: 10%
✓ Virginia Madueño, Valley Water Commissioner, Democrat: 6%
✓ Sue Zwahlen, Registered Nurse, Democrat: 6%
✓ Ted D. Howze, Veterinarian, Republican: 4%
➢ Harder has made significant gains over the past few months – picking up 10 points in vote – while
Eggman has tumbled 9 points and has now lost nearly half of the voters he had back in February.
➢ Among Democrats, Harder's current lead is even bigger, with 26% voting Harder, 18% Eggman, and
10% Madueño in the initial horserace.
➢ Harder’s story and message are clearly resonating in the district. He has a much healthier favorability
than Eggman, who is barely above water, and Madueño, who also has a surprisingly high negative
rating for her total name-ID.
✓ Harder: net favorable +17
▪ 28% favorable (up 21 points since February), 11% unfavorable (up just 7 points)
✓ Eggman: net favorable +3
▪ 31% favorable (down 5 points since February), 28% unfavorable (up 9 points)
✓ Madueño: net favorable +6
▪ 20% favorable, 14% unfavorable
➢ BSG has also conducted previous polling with the general election universe that also showed Harder
pulling within one point of Denham (46 Harder -47 Denham) when voters have heard negatives on
both candidates and positives on Harder.