MATH 1040

Skittles Project: Part 4-Probability PAOLA VARGAS-CORBACHO

Problem 1: Suppose you are going to randomly select 2 skittles from the bag you purchased.

a. What is the probability that both skittles are purple if you select them with replacement? Give
answer to four decimal places

(12/61)(12/61)= .0387

b. What is the probability that both skittles are purple if you select them without replacement?
Give answer to four decimal places

(12/61)(11/60)= .03606=.0361
c. What is the probability that at least one skittle is purple if you select them with replacement?

1-(.0387/61)(.387/61)= 1- 4.025

Problem 2: Suppose all of the skittles in the class data set are combined into one large bowl and you are
going to randomly select one skittle

a. What is the probability that you select a green skittle?

Green skittles/total candies= 320/1551=.2063

20.63% is the chance of getting a green skittle outside the bowl.

b. What is the probability you select a skittle that is not green?

1551-320=1231

1231/1551=.7936

79.37 % chance that a skittle is not green

c. What is the probability that you select a skittle red or yellow?

There are 1551 total candies, 282 are red and 317 are yellow.

282+317=599 are red or yellow. 599/1551= .3862. There is a 38.62% chance that I select a red or
yellow skittle.
 d. What is the probability that you select a skittle that is orange GIVEN that it is a secondary color.
There are 309 orange, 320 green, 323 purple=952 total of secondary colors.
309/952=.3246. There is a 32.46 % chance I select a skittle that is orange given that it is a
secondary color.

Problem 3: Suppose all the skittles in the class are combined into one large bowl and you are going to
randomly select ten skittles with replacement and count how many are yellow.

a. Show that this meets the requirement of binomial probability distribution and identify n and p

Fixed number of trails n=10

Independent trials since the skittles are being selected without replacement
Constant Probability of success: p=317/1551= .2044
Two outcomes possible : yellow or not yellow

b. What is the probability that exactly 4 of the 10 skittles are yellow?

Binompdf (10,.2044,4)= .0930

c. For samples of size 10, what is the expected value and standard deviation for the number of
yellow skittles that will be included?

n=10 p=.2044 Mean=10 x .2044=2.044

square of 10x.2044x(1-.2044)=1.27522=1.2752

Problem 4: For this problem treat a 2.17 ounces bag of skittles as an individual. Suppose our class data is
the population of all 2.17 ounce bag s of skittles. In other words, assume the values you computed for
u=mean number of candies per bag in our class date set and o=population standard deviation of number
of candies per bag in our class data set are the true parameter values

a. Describe the sampling distribution for the mean number of candies per bag for samples of 32
bags. Include center, spread and shape. Give values for center and spread correctly to two
decimal places. Note: the shape of sampling distribution is different from the shape of population,
which is what you determined in Part 2 of the project
 Ox=o/square of n
1.88/square of 32= .3323

Center (mean) =59.65

Standard deviation =1.88
Shape is more normal, because sample of 32 is bigger than 30

b. What is the probability that the mean number of candies per bag for a sample of 32 bags is
greater than 59.5?

Normalcdf(59.5,9999,59.65,.3432)= .6690