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Documenti di Professioni
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Submitted to
Government of Nepal, Ministry of Energy
Department of Electricity Development,
Kathmandu, Nepal
Submitted by
Urja Developers Pvt.Ltd.
Kathmandu-11, Tripureshwar,
Kathmandu, Nepal
i
Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Table of Contents
Page
Salient Features i,
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Salient Features
General salient features of the Project are presented below.
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Nepal has been blessed with a bountiful resource of hydropower. With an estimated 225
billion cubic meters of average annual flow in its rivers, Nepal has a theoretical generation
capacity of 83000 MW of which about 42000 MW is considered to be economically
feasible for generation. The data presented below are some data prepared by Government of
Nepal, Water and Energy Commission Secretariat (WECS) and Department of Electricity
Development (DOED) related to the theoretical, technical and economically feasible
hydropower potentials in the country.
The combination of steep gradient and more than 6000 large and small perennial nature of
rivers makes the country ideal for the development of hydropower. Nepal Electricity
Authority (NEA) has been managing the power industry in Nepal. At present, it has been
serving more than 970 thousand consumers with a total capacity of more than 750 MW.
Because of the fact that less than 2% of the potential has been realized to date, rapid growth
of industrial establishments and commercial use are expected and slow exploration of large
hydropower potential involves many socio-economic issues, environmental/ecological
considerations, fund requirements, large gestation periods, there is an ample scope of
developing small hydropower projects in hilly districts of Nepal. In view of this, Govt/N
has been adopting a liberal policy to attract private entrepreneurs with a basket of incentive
for the development of small hydropower projects inside the country. As per the policy of
NEA, it has been purchasing power produced by small hydropower projects up to 25 MW
at a defined rate of NRs 4.80 and 8.40 during wet and dry seasons respectively.
The role of small hydropower potential in the context of overall development of the country
is significant. Their short gestation period and low investment requirement, in-house
financing possibility, the absence of major socio-economic fallout, readily and locally
availability of materials, technology and technical and financial resources and assured
market are attractive features of the small hydropower. Besides this, being located in close
proximity of rural areas particularly in hills, development of such schemes will lead to
small-scale agro-based industrialization and avoid transmission and distribution, losses
associated with carrying power from distant sources. Small hydropower is therefore not
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
only investment-friendly, but can also promote rural development in the most economically
viable way.
To fulfill the growing energy demand of the country, Government of Nepal has formulated
policy to involve the private sector in the generation of hydropower. Since the government
came up with new policies and regulations in the early 1990s to promote private sector
involvement in the hydropower sector, several projects have been promoted. It is now the
government's priority to develop the country through the development of hydropower. This
involves mobilizing resources from both the national and international investors into the
hydropower sector. The policies, rules and regulations for this have been put into place and
several other small hydropower projects have been successfully launched within the
existing legal framework.
In order to assist the capital need for the construction of small and medium hydropower
projects, the government with help of World Bank, has established a power development
fund (PDF) to support the private investors. Domestic commercial banks have also shown
their interest to invest in hydropower sector as priority investment. Establishment of power
development fund has attracted the independent power producers (IPP) in this sector
1.2 Project
The Dudhkoshi-09 Hydropower Project will use water from Phakdin Khola and Dudhkoshi
Nadi itself,in Solukhumbu district,which lies in Eastern development region of Nepal and
in turn, is the mountains based tributary.
1.2.1 Location
The proposed project lies in Solukhumbu district of Sagarmatha zone in Eastern
Development Region of Nepal. The entire project components are located along the right
bank of Dudhkoshi Nadi while the diversion weir is located in both left and right bank of
the Dudhkoshi Nadi. The proposed headworks site for the project is situated approximately
at 300 m upstream near Thulo Gumela of Chaurikharka Village Development Committee
Mamchok gaon. The tentative elevation of the headworks is about 2650 m amsl. The intake
is located at Gumela gaon, while the powerhouse is situated at Rondinma of same VDC.
The tentative elevation of the powerhouse and tailrace is about 2350 m amsl. It seems that
the gross head of the project is about 300 m. The latitudes and longitudes of four corner
point of the project area is given in the table of silent feature of this report and also shown
in the original Toposheet sheet as attached. The project layout has been shown in the
attached topographic sheet.
1.2.2 Accessibility
The Dudhkoshi Nadil Hydropower Project is accessible through about road along the
Kathmandu-Salleri Highway of Solukhumbu district.. There are daily bus services from
Kathmandu to Salleri. at Salleri Bazzar.The access gravel-road has been built from the
local people themselves. Telephone facilities are already available at project site.
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
The detail description of the tasks to be carried out is given in the following stages of work.
The feasibility and initial environmental examination study are planned to be conducted in
the following stages:
Reconnaissance survey
Field Investigation Survey
Draft Report Submission
Final Report Submission
will be made with Theodolite/EDM. The topographical map shall be prepared in 1:500
scales with contour intervals of 2 m. The detailed topographical mapping of intake,
desilting basin, forebay and the powerhouse area will be prepared in 1:200 scale with
contour interval of 1 m.
The FIRR and BC ratio will be assessed to justify the viability of the project. Sensitivity
analysis will also be done to test the sustainability of the project in case of adverse
situation. All cost and benefits are defined in terms of opportunity forgone because the
resources required for this project cannot be used in the best available alternative
investment. Benefits and cost stream are first estimated on the basis of the local market
price and adjusted for economic and financial analysis.
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
2.2 Geology
The proposed Dudhkoshi Nadi covers the metamorphic portions of the Lower Himalayan
thrust sheet. The thrust sheet in the project site consists of high grade sedimentary rock.
Lithologically the project area consists of conglomerate gneiss, magmatite and very little
quartzite. The bedrock area is widely covered with loose deposits of quaternary formation
of alluvium, colluvium and old debris deposits.
The project area lies in the Lesser Himalayan Zone of Eastern Nepal. The Rocks of this
regional unit are sub-divided into allochthonous and autochthonous units.The allochthonous
units consists of rocks of Butwal Complex and the autochthonous units consist of rocks of
Palpa Complex. The Dang Complex represents sedimentary rocks underlain by argillaceous
and fossiliferous carbonates. The Butwal Complex forms the core of the Mahabharat
Synclinorium. This is essentially consists of Precambrain sedimentary to Meta Sedimentary
rocks. The Tansen Group consists of Tertiary Paleogen sedimentary rocks. In addition to
these Precambrain sedimentary rocks, the areas consist of Quaternary deposits of Dariyal
Nadi.
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
3.2 Climate
The project area lies in the middle mountain region of Nepal. Since the climate is
dominated by topographical variations, the catchments area experiences subtropical to
temperate climate. Similar to the other parts of Nepal, the region is also influenced by the
monsoon. The region receives 70 to 80 percent of annual precipitation during the four
month monsoon period from June to September. The annual precipitation within the
watershed ranges from 1500 mm to 2100 mm with an average of 1300 mm at the centroid
of the catchment area of the proposed project.
The annual maximum temperature in the project area generally occurs in May and ranges
from 24° to 30° C. Similarly, the minimum temperature generally occurs in December-
January and ranges from 4° C to 8°C.
Time series data of more than 20 years is considered to be statistically reliable hydrological
data. Since there is not any single set of hydrological data related to project, different
approximate methods and approaches were used to estimate hydrological parameters.
There are ten sets of discharge measurements along the project area were carried out from
1998 to 2006 by Dudhkoshi Nadi Hydropower Project. These measured discharges were
utilized to estimate long-term average monthly flows by Medium Irrigation Project (MIP)
method. The estimated long term average monthly flows of April (dry flow), August (peak
flow) and June-September (monsoon flows) based on the recommended mean flow per unit
square kilometer (MIP) were computed and compared with the estimated mean monthly
flows based on the measured flows. Averages of the long term flows of the most
convincing flow parameters were recommended for further use.
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Table. 1.: Characteristics of the Dudhkoshi Nadi catchment at the proposed intake site
Figure 1: Catchment area at the proposed headworks and tailrace sites of Dudhkoshi-9 Hydropower Project
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
The mean monthly flow of the River is generated from the discharge measurement made by
Dudhkoshi 9 Hydropower project with the help of data from the department of Hydrology
and Meteorology.
Table 2: Long-term mean monthly flows by various methods and adopted flows
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Figure 2: Annual hydrograph of Dudhkoshi Nadi headworks site as per adopted long-term monthly flows
Figure 3 Flow duration curve of Dudhkoshi Nadi headworks site as per adopted long-term monthly flows
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
6 Sediment
Natural phenomenon
The sediment transport of all Lesser Himalayan Rivers is mainly a natural phenomenon. In
a geomorphologic context, land erosion and sediment transport processes are balancing the
tectonic uplift of the Himalayan range caused by the continental drift. The Indian plate and
the Eurasian plate meet in the Lesser Himalayan area.
Human impacts
Human activities in the basins have, however, caused an increase in the pressure on land
resources due to road construction, livestock grazing, agriculture and use of forest
resources. The general land use practice in the hills has intensified land erosion and thus
increased the sediment transport rates in most Himalayan Rivers. It is not likely that these
man made contributions to the erosion and sedimentation processes will be reduced during
lifetime of the Dudhkoshi 9 Hydropower Project. The general trend in the Himalayan
basins is increased sediment yield and not reduced yield even though some efforts are made
through watershed management and erosion mitigation measures.
Complex pattern
The sediment transport pattern in the river is complex ranging from fine clay particle origin
from the mountains to large boulders of tens of tons of local origin. The sediment transport
pattern in Dudhkoshi Hydropower Project is not known in details, but expectedly it is
guided by the general characteristics of sediment processes in Lesser Himalayan Rivers.
Annual variations
The sediment load in a river varies largely from year to year. The fluctuation in the annual
sediment load is much higher than the variations in water runoff.
Seasonal variations
There are furthermore large seasonal variations in the sediment load. The major part of the
sediment load is transported during the monsoon season (assumed to be 80% to 90%). High
sediment concentrations must, however, to be expected during relatively small pre-
monsoon floods.
Mass wasting
The sediment supply to rivers like Dudhkoshi is guiding the amount of sediments
transported by the river, and not the sediment transport capacity of the river. Mass wasting
(mainly in tributaries) plays a dominant role in the pattern of sediment yield. The sediment
yield is increasing in the downstream direction in almost all Himalayan Rivers. This is
mainly attributed to the variations in geology, rainfall and land-use pattern.
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Dudhkoshi Nadi is able to transport various sizes of boulders during floods. The bed load is
in most cases not known, as it is practically impossible to observe bed load transport rates
in Himalayan Rivers. The bed load transport rate is often assumed to be a fixed percentage
of the suspended sediment load (15% to 20%). Underestimation of bed load (or unmeasured
load) may be one of the reasons why reservoir sedimentation studies almost always show a
higher sediment load than what has been observed through a suspended sediment-sampling
program. The actual sediment loads are often found to be from two to five times the
estimated sediment loads based on sampling program.
River reaches
A river may generally be divided in to four different reaches with respect to the sediment
transport capacity and the sediment supply. These reaches are shown in the following table.
4.2 Methodology
The general terminology used to define the discharge for a particular duration of time is Qnn
is also called the dependable inflow of the river. For example, Q40 = 10 m3/s means that
inflow is available 40 % of the time during a year. It is also called the rated discharge of the
power plant for that particular dependency factor and is determined by the daily average
flow of the river.
The usual method of determining the quantity of energy that can be generated from a power
plant is to first of all, fix the capacity of the plant as per the acceptable by all parties
dependable discharge of the river.
From the viewpoint of energy generation, the duration of a year is divided into dry and wet
period and the energy produced is called dry period energy and wet period energy
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
accordingly. The inflow of the river is far much greater in wet period, but the demand of
energy is greater in dry period.
So, it is beneficial for the power producer to have equipment of higher capacities installed
to utilize as much water available as possible, but as much of the energy will be generated
during wet period, the buyer, the NEA in this case, will not be willing to purchase it, as
NEA has excess energy in this period and can not sell it.
As the power producer has to have a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with NEA, it has to
adhere to the guideline fixed by it. The present regulation fixed by NEA is to have PPA
with the power producers for Q40.
So, it was decided to carry out the power and energy study for Q40 scenarios, which is as
per the regulation of NEA and all the energy produced by the plant purchased by NEA.
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Adopting the above mentioned design discharge (Q40%) and head, the power & energy
potential of Dudhkoshi-9 Hydropower Project has been calculated and is presented
below:
Power, Energy & Revenue Calculation Sheet
Project Name: Dudhkoshi 9 Hydropower Project
River Dudhkoshi nadi Installed Capacity : 111 MW
Overall Efficiency 80 %
Turbine Efficiency 90 %
Generator Efficiency 91 % Annual Revenue with 5% Outage
Transformer Efficiency 98 % PPA rate Nrs Revenue
Gross Gead 300 mtr Dry Energy 8.4 571230000
Net Head 285 mtr Wet Energy 4.8 2282758571
Design Discharge 49.6 cms Annual Revenue Nrs 2853988571
% of Exceedence 40 %
Weir Crest Level 2650 amsl
Tailrace Water Level 2350 amsl
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Financial analysis of the Project is carried out to assess the financial viability of the Project.
There are different modes of financing. In this study, the Project is analyzed assuming that
the Project will be developed through the local private developer using local currency. The
developer will arrange the required finance through commercial bank and equity. The
Project will be developed according to the prevailing hydropower policy. The entire energy
will be sold to NEA through mutually agreed Power Purchase Agreement (PPA).
As the Project is being developed by private developer, the economic analysis of the
Project is irrelevant. Hence, only the financial analysis will be carried out on the selected
options. The tentative cost of the project is nearly NRs 1710 Crores approximately.
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Scope of Works
2. Feasibility Study
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Transportation 500,000.00
1
2 Field Works
a) Topographic Survey
i) Data collection and map preparation 800,000.00
ii) Walkover survey of transmission line 60,000.00
b) Hydrological Studies
i) Gauge establishment and data collection 60,000.00
ii) Flow measurements 60,000.00
iii) Hydrological analyses 60,000.00
c) Geological study
i) Geological Investigation 450,,000.00
ii) Site investigation, mapping and field test 55,000.00
iii) Sampling and lab test 60,000.00
3 Civil components design 200,00,00.00
4. Structural and layout drawings 50,000.00
5. Quantity estimate and cost calculation 40,000.00
6 Mechanical components selection, design and cost 500,000.00
calculation
7 Electrical components selection and design and cost 1450,000.00
calculation
8. Project evaluation 500,000.00
9. Printing, coping and binding of report 90,000.00
10. Office Expenses 300,000.00
Sub-total 70,30,000.00
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
Table 4.3: Work Schedule for Detailed Feasibility Study of Dudhkoshi Nadi Hydropower Project
Months
S. N. 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36
Particulars
Detailed topographical,
3. hydrological, and
geological survey
Topographical maps
4.
preparation
Geological map
5.
preparation
Civil structure layout and
6.
design
Electromechanical &
7.
transmission line design
8. Drafting
Quantity estimation and
9.
costing
Economic analysis of the
10. Project and optimization
studies
Compilation and
12. submission of reports &
drawings
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Desk Study Report of Dudhkoshi -9 Hydropower Project
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