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173
U N I V E R S I T Y O F L E E D S : D E P A R T M E N T O F C I V I LE N G I N E E R I N G
51
Magazine of Concrete Research : Vol. 30, No. 103 :June 1978
values of basic creep and of shrinkage can be pre- sizes of specimen and test ages, the error coefficient
is
dicted from seven-day values but, for total creep, greater than15% for estimating five-yearbasic creep
a short-term test of 28 days is required in order for the and five-year totalcreep from28-day values. Strictly,
error coefficient to beless than 15%, the errorcoeffi- therefore,ashort-term test having adurationin
cient being defined as follows: excess of 28 days is required. For shrinkage, the error
coefficient is less than 15% for a 28-day test.
In order
M = - V Z @ T ' - c T ) 2 x 100 . . . . .(3) to achieve an errorcoefficient of less than 15%, Fig-
CT n ure 12 shows that a short-term testof approximately
where 40 days is required for both basic creep and total
-
cT = mean value of five-year creep (or shrinkage); creep. However, the increased cost arising from the
cT' = estimatedvalue of five-yearcreep(or additional time required for testing has to be con-
shrinkage); sidered against a marginally improved accuracy of
cT = actual value of five-year creep (or shrinkage); prediction.
n = number of observations.
To verify the proposed method, thefive-year data T A B LE 2 : Relationships between five-year and
short-term deformations.
:I
of other investigator^(^-^) wereincludedwith our
data in the regressionanalysis of equations 2 andl b . Expression
Table 1 summarizes the detailsof the tests usedin the Number Duration of for five-year Error
analysis. Because values of creep and shrinkage at Deform- of short-term deformation coefficient,
earlyages arenotavailable in somepapersand ation sets of test (creep: ' M
data (days) per Nimm' (%)
because in some others there was difficulty in extract- shrinkage: X
ing data, the minimum short-termtest duration used L
was 28 days. Figures 9 to 11 show the relationships 28 6.58f2.21~2, 15.4
t
Basic creep 1 33
between five-year and 28-day and between five-year 365 0.42+1.38~,,, 9.8
andone-yeardeformations;theequationsforthe 28 23.03+2.13~2, 16.8
Total creep 58
regression lines of Figures 9 to 11 are given in Table 365
~
9.50+1.12~,,, 5.0
2, together with the error coefficients. It can be seen
28 52.55s,0i4' 13.7
that, when creep and shrinkage data areincluded in Shrinkage 49
365 3.54s:g 5.9
the analysis, which covers a range of concrete types,
52
Predicting long-term creep and shrinkage @om short-term tests
General expressions for long-term the Ross and Meyers equations reliably to predict
deformations five-year creep, the data were re-analysed with the
Previously('), equations were presented for estim- purpose of obtaining general expressions for relating
ating long-term deformations in excess of one year. long-termdeformationsto 28-daydeformations.
Those equations were derived by using experimen- From equations 2 and l b ,
tally determined relationships between deformations Ct =p + qc2e . . . . . . . . . . . . .(4)
at one year and at 100 days together with either
Ross's hyperbolicequation"' or Meyers' power St = B'S28 b' . . . . . . ... . . . .. 4 5 )
curve.(6) Using those equationsto estimate the aver-
age five-year deformations,we find that theRoss and where ct and st are the specific creep
per
the Meyers equations both underestimate five-year Nlmm*) and shrinkage( low6)respectively, for
basic creep. Also, the Ross equation slightly under- values o f t 2 28 days;
estimatesfive-yeartotalcreep, whilst the Meyers p , q, B ' and b' are functions of time t .
equation overestimates five-year total creep. Both For creep, the value of p is always small and not
types of equation satisfactorily estimate the average significantly different from zero and, with only a small
five-year shrinkage. increase in the error coefficient, equation 4 can be
Since itis ofinterest to knowhow creep and shrink- re-written as
age develop with time, and because of the failure of Ct = qc28 . . . .. .. . . . . .. . .. 46)
2500
Bastc Total Water/ Applied lnltial
creep creep cement stress elastlc
ratlo (N/mmz) strain
x 106
e C 0.80 44 27 1
A n 0.67 59 282
0
1000
500
0
2 5 10 20 50 100 200 500 1000 2(
TIME S I N C E LOADING-days (lcg scale)
Figure l : Basic creep and total creep of concrete made with North Notts. aggregate.
53
Magazine of Concrete Research : Vol. 30, No. 103 :June 1978
2000
lnitlalApplled
Basic Water/ Total
elastlccreep
stresscementcreep
ratlo (N/mmz) strain
x 106
4 60
0 4.4 0 80
m
1500
6
0
X
1000
U1
U
V
500
Figure 2: Basic creep and total creep of concrete made with Stourton aggregate.
1000 l
InitialApplied
Water/ Total Baslc
creep creep cemeni elasticstress
ratio (Nimmz) stram
x 106
e3 9 6 05 . 4 0.76
10
A n 0 .46824 7-9
0
X m 0 0 .35959 7-4
500 -
W v3 7 7 V7 . 0 0.45
U
V
Figure 3: Basic creep and total creep of concrete made with Aglite aggregate.
54
Predicting long-term creep and shrinkage fiom short-term tests
150C
Water/ Total lnltialApphed
creep cement elasttcstress
ratto (N/mm*) strain
x 106
0 0.86 5 3 452
50C
Figure 4: Basic creep and total creep of concrete made with Lytag aggregate.
Water/
cement
ratio
0 0.80
A 0-67
0 0.58
0 0.54
V 0.50
cl
0
0
U
0
B
8
201IO
TIME-days (log scale)
55
Magazine of Concrete Research : Vol. 30, No. 103 :June 1978
1500
1000
500
0 0.86 I
0 0.75
0 00
0%
A 0.63
0
1000
0 0.55 0 o m
3
a 0
X
W 0
U
a
Y
f n 0
a 0 A
I 0
m
'A 0 0 ooooo 00
0 0 0
500 A 0
0
0 0
0
0 U A 0
0 A
U A 0
A 0
0
A
0
0 I I I l 1 I l l
2 5 10 20 50 100 200 500 1000 2000
TIME-days (log scale)
200 500
E
E
1
g 400
E a
X
2G 150 (D
line
a:
a a
W 300
0
X W
m 3
a U
a
W
> 200
W a
2 100
W
W
a:
k V
a
a 0 0 0 our data
W
100
W V A A Troxell et
al
a W
J
V a 0 LHermite et al
(D
0 D V Hanson and Mattock14'
U
-
E 50
0 100 200 300 400 500
a
(D S P E C I F I CC R E E PA T2 8D A Y SA N D ONE Y E A R x 106per N!mrnz
I I
0 50 100 l! Discussion
SPECIFICCREEPAT28DAYSANDONEYEAR x 106perN/mm2
From theanalysis of creep and shrinkage data cov-
Figure 9: Five-year specific creep related to 28-day specific creep eringawiderange of independent variables,,it
and one-year specific creep; specimens stored in water.
appearsthatlong-termcreepandshrinkageare
related to their respective valuesat 28 days within the
14. The regression lines of Figure 15 are as follows: accuracies quoted. Theaccuracy, as measured by the
error coefficient, decreases with the time for which
B' = (-4.17 + 1.53 loget)* the estimateis made so that, at5 years, basic creep is
. . . . . . . . .(9)
b' = 100 estimated to within 1696, total creep is estimated to
2.90 + 29.2 loget within 19% and shrinkage is estimated to within
57
Magazine of Concrete Research : Vol. 30, No. 103 : June 1978
1500
5
X
0)
5 1000
W
>
W
2
U
k-
4
W
U
4
500
z_
U
I
0
/
A A Troxell
et al.rp1
500
0
V
L'Hermlte
7 Hanson
1000
and
S H R I N K A G E A T 28 D A Y S A N D O N E Y E A R
et
al.'D
Mattock'4'
x IO6
1500
1 0I
10 100 1000
TIME UNDER LOAD-days (log scale)
10000
Figure 11: Five-year shrinkage related to 28-day shrinkage and Figure 13: Ratio of l o n g - t e n creep to 28-day creep for basic
one-year shrinkage. creep and for total creep for different times under load.
20 60 . 300
E
E 0
S 2 X
I
+
z
a W
0
W 0 4:
Y
0 X
Q
z
U
:
U
0
10
W
U
40 -
ZOO$
U V U
U
0
U 2
(I)
U
m
z
5
2
2
W
0 g 20 - 100 g
W
10 100 1000 10000 z
D U R A T I O N OF TEST-days (1% scale)
W 9
eU. U
z
z 0
Figure 12: Error coefficient in predicting five-year creep and U
0
shrinkage from short-term tests. U 8
ln
8 m
Lo
m
0 Y l l
100 1000 10000
14%; these limitsof accuracy are regarded as reason- TIME-days (log scale)
able.Thecorresponding 95% confidencelimits, Figure 14: 95% confidence limits for long-term creep and
which apply to long-term creep and shrinkage data shrinkage.
given in Figure 14, are also representative of other
data('-"), which were not used in the derivation of shrinkage, the coefficientsof equation 9 are thoseof
equations 7 , 8 and 9.With the coefficients derivedfor equation 5. Since the error coefficient M (%) at 5
the dataof Table 1, the proposed method is seen to be years is known, the 95% confidence limits can be
valid also for the data of Table 3, since creep and determined as follows:
shrinkagearegenerallypredicted t o within the basic creep k 1.35M(lop6per N/mm*)
required 95% confidencelimits (Table 4). Thus, for total creep r+_ 3.24M N/mmz)
per
an unknown concrete, the creep or shrinkage esti- shrinkage k16.85M
mates can be assessed by using the 95% confidence The 95%confidence limits between the time of the
limits of Figure 14. short-term test and5 years may be interpolated from
If a greater accuracy is required, the duration of a Figure 14.
creep or shrinkage test has to increased
be to give the Equations 7 to 9,which relate the creep and shrin-
desired error coefficient at 5 years (Figure 12). The kage coefficients with time (using the data of Table
relation between long-term deformation and short- l), compare well with the obserired values; the mean
term deformation can be obtained by substituting the deviation from the observed valuewas 3 % for creep
appropriate values o f t in equations 7 , 8 and 9; for and 5 % for shrinkage. Therefore, the expressions for
58
Predicting long-term creep and shrinkage ffom short-term tests
0
for times in excess of 5 years by using the data of 0
0 0
T A B L E 3 :. Details of creep and shrinkage data used in the verification of the proposed method.
Size of Age at Number of sets of data used
Type of Variable Curing
Source cement studied specimen condition test storage
(days)
Lightweight
Air at 50%
aggregate- 150 dia. X 300 Moist at 4
Pfeifer”’ 7 R.H. and 4
fines cylinder 23°C
23°C
I I
replacement
Jones Types I Lightweight 7 5 ~ 1 0 0 x 4 0 6 Moist for at Air 50% 18 18
14
et al.@’ and 111 aggregate type prism 7 days R.H.
Cement type,
Hummel PZ 225 watericement 200 dia. x 800 Moist at 3,28,
et PZ 425 ratio, age at cylinder 20°C 90
loading
Type of light-
Type 111
weight aggregate,
type of normal-
1150 dia. X 300 Steam at
60°C
1
Air at 50%
R.H. and
22°C
45 45
weight aggregate
Type of light-
Moist at
weight aggregate,
22T,
type of normal- Air at 50%
Types I steam at 2, 6 ,
Hanson“” weight aggregate, 150 dia. X 300 R.H. and 12 30
and I11 60T, 7. 28
type of cement,
autoclave
type of curing,
at 176°C
age at loading
59
m
0
a
2rp
T A B LE 4 : Verification of the proposed method. Q
Present
investigation
1825 f 60 2 220 100 94 3
k
developed. The equations are as follows: crete. Iowa City, University of Iowa, August 1970. pp. 140.
Highways Commission Report HR-136.
basiccreep cr = c*, X 0.50t0.*’ 7. PFEIFER, D . W. Sand replacement in structural lightweight con-
total creep c t = cZ8X (- 6.19 + 2.15 loget) 1’2-54 crete - creep and shrinkage studies. Journal of the American
shrinkage st = B ’ s , , ~ ’ Concretelnstitute. ProceedingsVol. 65, No. 2. February 1968.
where B‘ = (-4.17 + 1 . 5 3 log,t)2 pp. 131-139.
100 8. JONES, T . R., HIRSCH,T. J. and STEPHENSON, H . K . The physical
b‘ =
2.90 + 29.2 log, t
properties of structural quality lightweight aggregate concrete.
College Station, Texas, Texas Transportation Institute, Texas
If the above equations are used to predict five-year A & M University, 1959. pp. 46.
deformations,theerror coefficients of themean 9. HUMMEL, A . , WESCHE, K. and BRAND, W. Der Einfluss der
deformations used are 16% forbasic creep, 19% for Zementart, des Wasser-Zement-Verhaltnisses und des
Belastungsalters auf das Kriechen von Beton. (Effect of the
total creep and 14% for the shrinkage; the corres-
type of cement, the watericement ratio and the duration of
ponding 95% confidence limitsfor five-year deform- loading upon the creep of concrete.) Berlin, Wilhelm Ernst
ations are given. Improved accuracies are obtained by und Sohn, 1962. Deutscher Ausschuss fur Stahlbeton. No.
increasing the durationof the short-term test,but the 146. pp. 10-18,34-70.
higher cost of testing hasto be consideredagainst the 10. REICHARD, T. W. Creep and drying shrinkageof lightweight and
marginally improved accuracy of prediction. normal weight concrete. Washington, D.C., U.S. Department
of Commerce, National Bureau of Standards, 1964. pp. 30.
In the majority of practical situations, a more accu- NBS Monograph 74.
rate knowledge of creep and shrinkage is not worth 1l . HANSON, J. A. Prestress loss as affected by type of curing.
having; the variability of concrete itself is greater than Journal of the Prestressed Concrete Institute. Vol. 9, No. 2.
that with respect to the characteristic strength, and a April 1964. pp. 69-93.
12. HANSON, J . A . A ten-year studyof creep properties of concrete.
short-term test lasting, say, one year is too long for
Denver, U.S. Department of the Interior,Bureau of Reclama-
the acceptance of an unknown aggregate. tion, July 1953. Concrete Laboratory, Report No. SP-38.
13. BAEANT, z. P., OSMAN, E. ~ ~ ~ T H O N G UWT. Practicalformula-
~ I ,
REFERENCES tion of shrinkage and creep of concrete. Materials and Struc-
tures:ResearchandTesting. Vol. 9, No. 54. 1976. pp.
1. BROOKS, J . J. and NEVILLE, A . M . Estimating long-termcreep and
395-406.
shrinkagefromshort-termtests. MagazineofConcrete
Research. Vol. 27, No. 90. March 1975. pp. 3-12.
2. TROXELL, G. E., RAPHAEL, J . M . and DAVIS, R. E. Long-time creep
and shrinkage testsof plain and reinforced concrete.Proceed-
ingsofthe American Sociey for Testing and Materials.Vol. 58. Contributions discussing the above paper should be in the handsof
pp. 1101-1120. the Editor not later than 31 December 1978.
61