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T he following 8 financial ratios offer terrific insights into the financial health of a company -- and the prospects for a rise in its share price.
P/E RATIO
The price-to-earnings, or P/E, ratio shows how much stock investors are paying for each rupee of earnings. It shows if the market is overvaluing or
undervaluing the company.
One can know the ideal P/E ratio by comparing the current P/E with the company's historical P/E, the average industry P/E and the market P/E.
For instance, a company with a P/E of 15 may seem expensive when compared to its historical P/E, but may be a good buy if the industry P/E is 18
and the market average is 20.
Sabyasachi Mukherjee, AVP and product head, IIFL, says, "A high P/E ratio may indicate that the stock is overpriced. A stock with a low P/E may
have greater potential for rising. P/E ratios should be used in combination with other financial ratios for informed decisionmaking."
"P/E ratio is usually used to value mature and stable companies that earn profits. A high PE indicates that the stock is either overvalued (with
respect to history and/or peers) or the company's earnings are expected to grow at a fast pace. But one must keep in mind that companies can
boost their P/E ratio by adding debt (thereby constricting equity capital). Also, as future earnings estimates are subjective, it's better to use past
earnings for calculating P/E ratios," says Vikas Gupta, executive vice president, Arthaveda Fund Management.
PRICE-TO-BOOK VALUE
The price-to-book value (P/BV) ratio is used to compare a company's market price to its book value. Book value, in simple terms, is the amount
that will remain if the company liquidates its assets and repays all its liabilities.
P/BV ratio values shares of companies with large tangible assets on their balance sheets. A P/BV ratio of less than one shows the stock is
undervalued (value of assets on the company's books is more than the value the market is assigning to the company). It indicates a company's
inherent value and is useful in valuing companies whose assets are mostly liquid, for instance, banks and financial institutions.
'Ratio analysis is crucial for investment decisions. It not only helps in knowing how the company has been performing but also makes it easy for
investors to compare companies in the same industry and zero in on the best investment option', says DK Aggarwal, Chairman and Managing
Director at SMC Investments and Advisors
DEBT-TO-EQUITY RATIO
It shows how much a company is leveraged, that is, how much debt is involved in the business vis-a-vis promoters' capital (equity). A low figure is
usually considered better. But it must not be seen in isolation.
"If the company's returns are higher than its interest cost, the debt will enhance value. However, if it is not, shareholders will lose," says Aggarwal
of SMC.
"Also, a company with low debt-to-equity ratio can be assumed to have a lot of scope for expansion due to more fund-raising options," he says.
But it is not that simple. "It is industry-specific with capital intensive industries such as automobiles and manufacturing showing a higher figure
than others. A high debt-to-equity ratio may indicate unusual leverage and, hence, higher risk of credit default, though it could also signal to the
market that the company has invested in many high-NPV projects," says Vikas Gupta of Arthaveda Fund Management. NPV, or net present value,
is the present value of future cash flow.
'A high P/E ratio may indicate that the stock is overpriced. A stock with a low P/E may have greater potential for rising. P/E ratios should be used
in combination with other financial ratios for informed decision-making' , says Sabyasachi Mukherjee, AVP and Product Head at IIFL
DIVIDEND YIELD
It is dividend per share divided by the share price. A higher figure signals that the company is doing well. But one must be wary of penny stocks
(that lack quality but have high dividend yields) and companies benefiting from one-time gains or excess unused cash which they may use to
declare special dividends. Similarly, a low dividend yield may not always imply a bad investment as companies (particularly at nascent or growth
stages) may choose to reinvest all their earnings so that shareholders earn good returns in the long term.
"A high dividend yield, however, could signify a good long-term investment as companies' dividend policies are generally fixed in the long run,"
says Gupta.
While financial ratio analysis helps in assessing factors such as profitability, efficiency and risk, added factors such as macro-economic situation,
management quality and industry outlook should also be studied in detail while investing in a stock.
What Are Fundamentally Strong Stocks?
What it means by fundamentally strong stocks? These stocks represent companies which will continue to do business even in worst of
times.
If company is able to fund continuously the “employed capital“, its business will continue to operate even in bad times.
Employed capital is the fuel that runs any business. If a company is able to generate ’employed capital’ from its operations, it will continue to operate
indefinitely.
The employed capital are those funds that company uses to run its operations.
Share capital plus reserves is also called as shareholder equity. Share capital is the fund raised by company by issuing shares. Reserves are
retained profit of company accumulated over a period of time.
One of the main indicator of fundamentally strong stocks is ‘shareholder equity’. If ‘shareholder equity’ is enough to fund operations of company, its
a very good indicator.
Complete reliance on shareholder equity means company is using zero debt. Shareholders equity is like SAVINGS of company. Funding business
with own savings is a perfect case.
These are the companies which are favorite of value investors. Indian companies like Hindustan Zinc has share capital plus retained earnings nearly 4
times its total expense. Such companies are not only debt free but also fundamentally super strong.
But not every company can afford to do business with zero debt. Use of debt to operate business is not bad.
When shareholders capital is not enough to fund all expenses, companies opt for Debt.
But does it mean that all companies that avail debt are bad? Not at all. Very profitable companies use debt to increases their leverage.
A reasonable amount of debt use is not bad. But how much debt can be treated as reasonable?
For companies which carry debt, it is important to check its Debt-Equity ratio. Debt equity ratio of less than 0.5 is a desirable ratio.
The employed capital formula that is applicable for debt carrying companies is:
But here the ratio between Debt and shareholders equity is less than 0.5. Applying this rule, the above formula is reduced to:
For a fundamentally strong company, OPEX/Shareholders Equity will be less than 1.5.
There are companies for which, even the above formula does not suit, still they can be treated as fundamentally strong. How?
These are those companies, whose expense is so high that even after taking debt, capital employed is less than total expense requirement of company.
What such companies to fund their capital needs? Such companies has two alternatives.
They can either take more debt, or they can improve their cash flow.
When companies take more debt, their debt equity ratio is disturbed (shoots above 0.5). This is not so good. High debt carrying companies pose risk
for investors.
They look for how to improve the cash-flow (reduce account receivables).
Most of the companies operating in country carry debt but still their total expense cannot be funded. Such companies are dependent on their sales
collection to pay invoices/bills.
Companies which has very fast Cash Conversion Cycle are safe companies.
Companies which sell their products and services on long-credit, poses big risk for investors.
Our formula for sales-turnover dependent companies to fund total expense will look like this:
As a rule of thumb, if (Shareholder equity+Debt)/Total Expense>0.8, then it is a safe company for investing.
There are companies which may satisfy the formula: Shareholder equity+Reserves>Total Expense, but they can still be fundamentally weak.
Let see an example. There is a company called Sparc Systems in BSE. Sparc Systems has raised Rs 4.97 Crore as shares capital. But its Reserves has
remained low or negative in last 5 years.
A company which is not able to increase its reserves YOY, it is a dangerous sign.
This will happen only when company is not able to generate sufficient profits. Looking at such companies PAT will show the cause of zero or
negative Reserves.
Though Spark system has very low debt levels compares to Equity, but still it is not fundamentally strong.
Reserves talks a load about companies. If companies Reserves is not growing, it means company is making losses.
Sparc Systems is neither distributing dividends nor increasing its reserves. This is a clear sign
of a sick company.
SPARC SYSTEMS (RS.
Mar-16 Mar-15 Mar-14 Mar-13 Mar-12
CRORE)
(5) How fast growing sales & PAT means strong fundamentals
To identify such a company look at its last 5 years sales turnover and profit.
Improving profits means company is not compromising its profitability to establish its position in market.
Fundamentally Strong Stocks in India
(Updated in January’2017)
Debt / Current Return on Employed Revenue Growth
SL Company name Market cap PAT Growth %
Equity ratio Capital %
89.70
1 Dr. Lal PathLabs Ltd 0.00 4.67 29.84 27.24 35.33
B
55.96
2 Eclerx Services Ltd 0.32 5.82 39.19 30.89 24.28
B
21.65
3 8K Miles Software Services Ltd 1.30 3.31 32.99 75.53 80.05
B
155.8
4 Ajanta Pharma Ltd 7.93 2.81 39.01 28.43 51.96
9B
200.0
6 Divi's Laboratories Ltd 0.99 5.96 27.5 23.46 20.97
6B
44.21
8 Tata Elxsi Limited 0.00 2.32 44.35 20.92 36.63
B
1 145.6
Vakrangee Ltd 20.36 4.04 27.28 29.1 52.48
0 2B
1 64.38
Hexaware Technologies Limited 0.00 2.07 27.97 24.26 29.59
1 B
1 23.84
Just Dial Ltd 0.00 2.69 20.96 30.3 42.07
2 B
1 26.31
La Opala RG Limited 2.63 4.15 26.76 20.93 44.49
3 B
1 22.21
Avanti Feeds Ltd 2.79 1.81 47.1 57.58 113.69
4 B
1 114.2
Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd 7.09 2 54.58 21.39 53.17
5 0B
1 54.83
Bajaj Corp Limited 2.08 4.91 40.46 19.56 18.48
6 B
1 183.3
Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited 2.04 2.55 42.84 12.57 34.1
7 6B
1
Vardhman Holdings Limited 5.27B 0.00 98.01 18.9 43.77 46.81
8
1
SQS India BFSI Ltd 7.94B 0.00 2.14 33.82 26.08 81.52
9
2 28.66
Kaveri Seed Company Ltd 0.18 2.71 20.53 30.74 32.38
0 B
2 154.6
Page Industries Limited 18.78 2.2 40.58 29.4 31.78
1 0B
2 487.2
Tech Mahindra Ltd 9.09 2.67 19.9 38.81 23.17
2 2B
2 88.65
MindTree Ltd 14.95 2.35 26.52 25.46 42.8
3 B
2 153.6
Amara Raja Batteries Ltd 3.53 2.24 23.68 21.64 27.01
4 0B