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June 3, 2016
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ON THE MOVE
Brevan Howard's Melkman Is Said to Plan Own Fund Winton’s Babbedge Joins
Ben Melkman, a partner at hedge-fund firm Brevan Howard Asset Management,
Gresham as Chief Scientist
left the company this week to start his own fund, according to a person with knowledge Gresham Investment Management
of the matter. hired Thomas Babbedge from Winton
Melkman, who joined Brevan Howard in 2009 and is based in Geneva, is planning to Capital Management as chief scientist
start the fund in New York in the first quarter of 2017, said the person. He is seeking as the New York-based firm expands in
$400 million at the outset and plans to cap assets at $1 billion during the first year, said London.
the person. Babbedge started at Gresham on
Melkman helped oversee some assets in Brevan Howard’s main fund and was the Wednesday and will research and
senior trader for the company’s dedicated Argentina fund, which had more than $500 develop systematic futures strategies,
million under management before closing last month. It produced net returns of 18 with an emphasis on commodities
percent since opening to outside investors in January 2015. His new fund will focus on futures, according to Scott Kerson, head
macroeconomic trends and take concentrated, long-term positions. of systematic strategies at the firm.
Melkman declined to comment on the new fund, as did a spokesman for Brevan Those models will be used to underpin
Howard. new funds to be launched by Gresham,
David Bonfili, the former chief operating officer at BlackRock Inc.’s Alternative he said.
Investors group, is planning to join the firm as COO, said the person. Bonfili also Babbedge spent nine years at David
declined to comment. Harding’s quantitative hedge fund
Brevan Howard has seen its assets decline from $40 billion in 2013 to less than $20 Winton, which oversees about $34 billion
billion. The Brevan Howard Master Fund closed the first quarter down almost 1 percent of assets, as head of investment
after losing 2 percent in March, according to a company website. analytics. Before working at Winton, he
Investors have asked to pull about $1.4 billion from Brevan Howard’s main hedge was an extragalactic astrophysicist at
fund, two people with knowledge of the matter said in April, as investors flee the industry Imperial College London.
at the fastest pace since the financial crisis. Kerson joined Gresham last month and
Brevan Howard money managers Jonathan Matthews, who traded equities and will be heading the firm’s just opened
currencies, and James Fauset left the firm in January, Bloomberg reported Jan. 26, London office. The firm was founded in
citing a person with knowledge of their departures and records at the U.K.’s Financial 1992 by Henry Jarecki and focuses on
Conduct Authority. commodities, managing about $7.5
— Katia Porzecanski billion.
— Agnieszka de Sousa and Jesse Riseborough
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MARKET CALLS
Marshall Wace Says SKS growth rate is sustainable just because Pelargos Bets on
you are coming from a low base and
Micro Shares May Triple there is a big social need,” said Rajpal.
Turnaround at Honda
SKS Microfinance Ltd. may see its “There are a lot of positive changes that Pelargos Capital BV, a Dutch hedge
shares triple over the next three years as have happened from a regulatory and fund manager that’s prospered by
the Indian industry that extends small infrastructural standpoint.” snapping up battered stocks, is adding to
loans to the rural poor rebounds from a Micro-lenders in India give loans of less its stake in Honda Motor Co. and is
crisis early this decade, said Amit Rajpal than 100,000 rupees ($1,485) to people predicting that shares may double,
of the $26 billion hedge fund firm who have limited or no access to the joining other investors placing faith in a
Marshall Wace Asset Management. formal banking system, charging interest recovery for the besieged automaker.
As "the fittest, strongest and most of more than 20 percent. More than 70 “The market clearly hates Honda,” said
efficient player” whose loan growth is indebted farmers committed suicide in Michael Kretschmer, chief investment
trumping the industry average, the the southern Indian state of Andhra officer of Pelargos, a manager of $237
market value of the largest publicly Pradesh in 2010, spurring the state to million that was spun off from insurer
traded Indian micro-lender may surge to cap the interest micro-lenders could Aegon NV. “If you assume in the long run
$4 billion, from about $1.2 billion now, charge and bar them from coercing they will go back to profitability, like they
Rajpal, who manages the global financial borrowers to repay debt. The move have in the past, you can easily double
services strategy for the firm, said prompted companies that financed micro- your money on Honda.”
Wednesday at the 2016 Sohn lenders to pull their lines of credit. Honda shares have dropped about 22
Conference Hong Kong presented by the SKS, which is based in the Andhra percent in the past six months amid
Karen Leung Foundation. Pradesh capital of Hyderabad, was recalls of a supplier’s faulty air-bags and
The Indian microfinance industry may especially hard hit. It had one-third of its are trading at 0.8 times their book value,
more than double to $20 billion in three loans in the state, twice the industry near the lowest in the last 20 years.
years as the government and central average, said Rajpal. Since then, the “Beaten up stocks, those with negative
bank attempt to give the poor in the world’ Reserve Bank of India has been made price momentum and strong
s second-most-populous country better the sole regulator of micro-lenders, underperformance, draw our attention,”
access to formal financing, said Rajpal. stripping states of the opportunity to Kretschmer said. He said he may buy
Outstanding loans have expanded more meddle, said Rajpal. SKS, minority- more Honda shares, boosting the stake
than 50 percent a year, recovering from a owned by Morgan Stanley, is the second- to account for as much as 5 percent to 7
2010 clampdown on collection practices largest micro-lender in the country. Its percent of the fund’s assets, from about
by the Andhra Pradesh state that shrank shares have surged nearly sixfold since 2 percent.
the industry by about half, said Rajpal. plunging 85 percent in 2011. They — Kathleen Chu and Komaki Ito
“For the next five years, this kind of gained 30 percent this year through May
31.
— Bei Hu
ACTIVIST SITUATIONS
REGULATORY/COMPLIANCE
BREXIT
Capstone’s Britton Says Market Still Not Pricing In Brexit Odds
BY KATIA PORZECANSKI, BLOOMBERG
Implied Volatility on the Pound Is Higher — But High
NEWS
Paul Britton, founder of the $3 billion
Enough?
Capstone Investment Advisors, said
markets in the U.K. are failing to keep up
with polling data signaling growing
support for the nation to exit the
European Union.
While the “Remain” camp held the lead
for much of May, recent surveys show
the race may be narrowing as the June
23 vote approaches. The pound and
benchmark stock index dropped this
week after ICM polls released by the
Guardian showed “Leave” taking a lead.
Despite the selloff, derivatives used to
bet on the volatility of those markets are
still cheap relative to the probability of a
so-called Brexit, Britton said in a
telephone interview. His New York-based
hedge fund firm, which uses volatility-
based strategies to trade securities,
bought put options on the pound and
He said he hasn’t donated to either of Capstone was founded in 2004 and
FTSE 100 Index with the expectation that
the referendum campaigns and declined initially managed internal capital and
market fluctuations will increase over the
to comment on which way he’ll vote. separate accounts. Britton’s flagship
next month, he said.
A Bank of America Corp. survey Capstone Vol fund, started it 2007, uses
“It’s a fantastic risk-reward trade,” said
published last month showed that fund options to bet on fluctuations in prices
Britton, 42, who grew up in the London
managers consider the issue the biggest across equity, bond, currency and
suburbs. “If for whatever reason there is
tail risk in the world. German Chancellor commodity markets.
an exit then the market is going to be
Angela Merkel warned Thursday that the The fund, one of the largest of its kind,
caught so badly offside. It’s just not
U.K. would be isolated and lose influence returned 2.5 percent this year through
pricing in that probability at all right now.”
if it leaves the 28-nation bloc. May 27, according to a person with
Implied one-month volatility closed at
Campaigners for leaving argue that the U. knowledge of the matter. The SG
20.5 percent Thursday after spiking in
K. can continue doing business freely Volatility Trading Index, which tracks the
the past week. At a bid of 19.5, the
with the EU and reach favorable free- performance of volatility-trading hedge
payout for the options if the pound falls to
trade deals with the rest of the world funds, rose 3.5 percent through April, the
$1.35 is about 5 to 1, according to
once out of the bloc. most recent data available.
Britton. Options are derivatives that give
Since the date of the vote was set on Michael Bloomberg, founder and
the right but not the obligation to buy or
Feb. 20, at least 17.6 billion pounds majority owner of Bloomberg LP, the
sell an underlying security at a set price
($25.4 billion) have been wagered on parent company of Bloomberg News, has
and date.
options that would profit if sterling fell to publicly supported the campaign to keep
The pound — which traded at $1.44 as
or below $1.35 after the referendum. Still, the U.K. in the union.
of 5 p.m. Thursday in New York — may
as of late Thursday traders assigned only — With assistance from Vassilis Karamanis,
fall to as low as $1.25 if the U.K. opts to
about a 13 percent chance of the pound Anooja Debnath and Saijel Kishan
leave, or rally to $1.50 if the nation
reaching that level once the referendum
remains, Capstone estimates. The
results are known, according to
company began wagering on price
Bloomberg’s options calculator.
swings around the referendum two to
three months ago, said Britton.
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