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Abstract
1. Introduction
* Corresponding author. Tel.: 202/994 5089; fax: 202/994 5164; e-mail: baber@gwu.edu.
0165-4101/98/$ — see front matter ! 1998 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
PII: S 0 1 6 5 - 4 1 0 1 ( 9 8 ) 0 0 0 2 1 - 4
170 W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
" Other studies that examine whether compensation committees make informed adjustments on
reported earnings include Abdel-Khalik (1985), Healy et al. (1987), Holthausen et al. (1995) and
Natarajan (1996).
W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193 171
horizon problem. Recall that the horizon problem derives from managers’
preferences for lower-NPV projects yielding higher current-period accounting
earnings over higher-NPV projects yielding lower current earnings.
Arrangements that reward earnings persistence encourage managers to look
beyond the current-period earnings and thus extend managers’ decision hor-
izons, without sacrificing the use of earnings as a contracting vehicle. Additional
analysis indicates that relative weights assigned to persistence are greater for
CEOs who are approaching retirement. Such individuals face relatively short
decision horizons, and therefore, this evidence supports an interpretation that
persistent earnings innovations are assigned greater weight to attenuate the
horizon problem.
The executive compensation literature also suggests different roles for current
cash salary and bonus compensation components than for deferred, typically
equity-based, components (Bizjak et al., 1993; Yermack, 1995). Thus, although
our primary focus is to ascertain the extent that earnings persistence is related to
executive compensation, an ancillary issue is whether persistence manifests
differentially for alternative compensation vehicles. Deferred performance-based
components, such as stock options and restricted stock which address long-term
consequences of managers’ actions, are based primarily on security returns.
Equity values impound the consequences of earnings persistence, and therefore,
conditioning equity-based components on earnings persistence can be redund-
ant. Our evidence is consistent with this reasoning. In particular, we find
positive associations between earnings persistence and weights assigned to
current-period earnings innovations for cash salary and bonus components, but
not for deferred equity-based compensation components such as stock options
or restricted stock.
Finally, prior studies report statistically significant correlations between the
properties of earnings time series and firm-specific characteristics, including firm
size, risk, competition, product types, and earnings response coefficients (Lev,
1983; Collins and Kothari, 1989; Easton and Zmijewski, 1989). Other studies
indicate that weights assigned to accounting earnings in determining the size
and the change of executive compensation also depend on firm-specific factors
such as investment opportunities and the cashflows-versus-accruals composi-
tion of reported earnings (Gaver and Gaver, 1993; Baber et al., 1996; Natarajan,
1996). Thus, we investigate whether the primary results can be attributed to
these firm-specific characteristics that can be correlated with measures of earn-
ings persistence. We find that the primary results are robust after considering
these characteristics.
The next section outlines the arguments that guide our expectations about the
role of earnings persistence. The data are described in Section 3. The primary
empirical tests are presented and discussed in Section 4. Additional analyses
that support the primary results are reported and discussed in Section 5.
Section 6 summarizes the implications of the study.
172 W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
# Results using (1!!) to measure earnings persistence are reported as primary results. We also
report results for alternative measures of earnings persistence that are suggested in the extant
literature.
W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193 173
The principal focus is on the parameter " , which indicates the sensitivity of
#
compensation to earnings innovations. In particular, we are interested in how
" varies with earnings persistence. For the IMA(1,1) characterization of earn-
#
ings time series, it can be shown that the expected present value of earnings
innovations is [1#(1!! )/r]ºE(X ), where ! is the IMA parameter for firm
" "!! "
i and r is the equity discount rate.& The unity in the brackets reflects the value of
current-period earnings innovations, while the quantity (1!! )/r indicates the
"
present value of ‘persistent’ effects of the earnings innovation. Note that
[1#(1!! )/r] increases in persistence. If earnings equal cashflows, if earnings
"
time series follow the IMA(1,1) process, and if compensation committees assign
equal weights on current earnings innovations and discounted values of ex-
pected earnings in each future period (dollar-for-dollar), then the coefficient on
ºE(X ) equals [1#(1!! )/r] times a certain (positive) proportionality con-
"!! "
stant — that is, " ""[1#(1!! )/r], "'0. All three conditions may not hold
# "
in practice, but in general, we expect " to be increasing in persistence (1!! ).
# "
More formally, we specify " "# ## (1!! ), where # '0. Thus (expres-
# " # " #
sion) (2) becomes
!COMP "" #" ºE(R )#[# ## (1!!)]ºE(X )#e , (3)
! % " ! " # ! !
where firm subscripts i are suppressed to ease the exposition.
The following hypothesis, stated in the alternative form, applies.
& Formal analysis indicates that, if earnings persistence is rewarded, then the sensitivity of
compensation to earnings innovations can vary with the discount rate (r). We demonstrate later that
empirical results are robust to a consideration of the discount rate.
174 W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
1989).( Second, results in Baber et al. (1996) indicate that relations between
accounting earnings and cash compensation are more substantial (that is,
relations are greater both in magnitude and statistical significance) than rela-
tions between accounting earnings and stock-based compensation.
CEO compensation data are from 1992 and 1993 proxy statements for 2009
publicly traded US firms that responded to a mail request to provide statements
for both years. We address compensation changes, and therefore, we omit 172
firms where the CEO does not serve at least two consecutive full years during
the 1991—93 period.) Financial data are from the 1993 COMPUSTAT primary,
secondary, or tertiary data files. Eliminating firms that lack the data required to
compute variables — primarily ! — or where estimates of ! do not converge,
leaves 713 firms. In some cases, we have useable data for only one year.
Excluding outliers using procedures described in Belsley et al. (1980) yields
a maximum of 1268 firm-year observations for the primary analysis. Disclosures
required since 1992 by the US Securities and Exchange Commission permit
meaningful valuations of both cash and equity compensation and also permit
decompositions of total compensation into cash versus non-cash and salary
versus bonus components.*
Table 1 summarizes selected characteristics of the sample firms. Industry
distributions are in panel A, and descriptive statistics are in panels B,C, and D.
Profiles for 1992 and 1993 are comparable, and therefore, we report only the
1993 summary. Statistics displayed in panel B for CEO compensation indicate
that the distribution of deferred compensation (primarily the value of stock
options and restricted stock awards) is highly skewed and also has a relatively
( If security prices are a sufficient statistic for the agent’s actions, then not only earnings
persistence, but also earnings itself, is redundant. We observe, however, that accounting earnings is
used in executive compensation contracts, which suggests that earnings offer incremental informa-
tional and/or risk-sharing benefits (Sloan, 1993).
) If reported salaries are pro-rated for CEOs who serve less than a full year, then compensation
changes are over- or under-stated. Note that 1992 is the first year that firms disclose executive
compensation details. Thus, we obtain 1991 and 1992 data from 1992 proxy statements and 1993
data from 1993 statements.
* Stock option values are computed using the Black and Scholes (1973) approach, adjusted to
consider the possibility of early exercise (Hemmer et al., 1994). For relatively few cases where details
required to apply the methodology are omitted, we assume that vesting occurs two years after the
grant and that the exercise period is identical to the period for the most recent option where the
exercise period is provided. Items designated as ‘other’ compensation — for example, the use of an
automobile — are excluded from computations of total compensation and compensation compo-
nents. Alternative values, computed using the Black—Scholes approach without adjusting for early
exercise, do not materially affect the results.
W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193 175
Table 1
Characteristics of sample firms!
!Total firms with usable data for 1992 or 1993 or both years. Industry classifications are from Ali and
Kumar (1994).
"Descriptive statistics for 1992 are comparable.
#Earnings persistence (1!!) is computed from !X "ºE(X !!ºE(X ), where X is year
! ! !$" !
t"1974 through 1993 earnings per share before extraordinary items (COMPUSTAT data item
!58).
high variance. Moreover, although most firms have stock option plans (or
similar deferred compensation plans), less than one-half awarded such compen-
sation in 1993. Note that dependent variables, displayed in panel C, are
computed as percent changes. Finally, the mean (median) value of the IMA
176 W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
4. Primary analysis
where
!COMP "year t!1 to year t percent change in firm i CEO compensation
"!!
specified as either (i) cash compensation defined as cash salary plus cash bonus,
(ii) total compensation defined as the sum of cash plus stock-based compensa-
tion, (iii) stock-based compensation defined as the value of stock options, stock
appreciation rights, phantom stock, or restricted stock, or (iv) cash bonuses;0
RE¹ " firm i, year t (raw) common stock return;
"!!
ºE(X )" firm i, year t unexpected earnings per share before extraordinary
"!!
items (computed using COMPUSTAT data item !58 in expression 1), deflated
by the beginning of the year book value per share of stockholders’ equity
(COMPUSTAT data item !60 divided by COMPUSTAT data item !25);
PERSIS¹ " firm i, year t earnings persistence estimated as (1!! ) from
"!! "
expression (1) using 1974—1993 annual earnings per share before extraordinary
items (COMPUSTAT item !58);
$ (k"0,2,5)" regression parameters;
$
% "error term;
"!
and where predicted signs for the estimates are displayed parenthetically."%
Five features of the model require elaboration. First, we address four speci-
fications of the dependent variable !COMP. The motive for doing so is to
evaluate whether various compensation components are structured differently,
and in particular, to ascertain whether and how earnings persistence interacts
with relations between the accounting earnings measures and changes for each
compensation metric.
Second, following Lambert and Larcker (1987), we use raw common stock
returns RET as a proxy for unexpected security returns ºE(R). This procedure
assumes that expected security returns are both cross-sectionally and inter-
temporally constant. Other studies that make this assumption include Jensen
and Murphy (1990) and Baber et al. (1996). Results (not reported) are compara-
ble for risk-adjusted, market-adjusted, and industry-adjusted common stock
return specifications of ºE(R).
Third, computations of the measure PERSIS¹, which indicate the extent that
earnings are persistent, involve straightforward applications of expression (1) to
0 Prior studies (e.g. Dechow et al., 1994; Gaver and Gaver, 1998) address compensation levels,
rather than changes. We use compensation changes to control for a large number of factors that vary
cross-sectionally across the sample firms, and that are shown in prior studies to influence compensa-
tion levels. Such factors include firm size, the CEO’s age, tenure and stock holdings, the composition
of the board of directors, and other corporate governance-related factors (Core et al., 1998; Cyert et
al., 1998). Also, results are comparable when dependent variables are computed, as in Baber et al.
(1996), as the change deflated by the base salary in the prior year.
"% Note that (0) indicates that we do not expect the estimate to be statistically significant and (?)
indicates that we make no prediction about the direction of the effect.
178 W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
innovations. That is, predictions about the sign of $ on the main effect need to
&
be interpreted in conjunction with the estimate $ on the interaction. Thus, we
(
are uncertain about the sign on the estimate $ .
&
4.2. Results
Results for regression model (4), displayed in Table 2, support the hypothesis
specifically, and more generally, the discussion in Section 2. When compensa-
tion is specified as the cash salary and bonus component and earnings persist-
ence is not considered (column !1), relations between compensation changes
and unexpected earnings are positive and statistically significant. Notice that, in
the context of expression (3), $ in column !1 is an estimate of the average of
&
[# ## (PERSIS¹ )] for all firms, which is positive. This estimate can be
" # "
biased, however, since the specification does not permit PERSIS¹ to vary
"
across firms.""
Results when earnings persistence is considered (column !2) indicate a posi-
tive, statistically significant estimate $ on the interaction ºE(X)*PERSIS¹,
(
which implies that the role of unexpected earnings varies directly with earnings
persistence. The estimates $ and $ , evaluated for an average firm with
& (
a persistence parameter (PERSIS¹) of 0.857, indicate that, if current period
unexpected earnings are 10% of equity, then salary and bonuses increase by
approximately 2.2%, which substantially exceeds the 0.6% increase indicated by
the restricted specification in column !1."# Relations are similar when compen-
sation is specified as changes in cash bonus (column !3) but, not when specified
as changes in stock-based compensation components (column !4). Results for
total compensation are weak (column !5), as one would expect given the results
for compensation components. Finally, for specifications of cash salary and
bonus and of total compensation, estimates $ on the interaction between
#
security returns and earnings persistence are negative and marginally significant
(#(0.11). This relation provides some evidence of the substitution of ac-
counting returns for security returns as accounting earnings become more
persistent.
Table 2
OLS specifications of percent changes in compensation on security returns and earnings innovations
Column ! !1 !2 !3 !4 !5
$ /intercept 0.0373 0.0300 0.0766 0.0387 0.0341
%
(4.89) (1.30) (0.50) (0.15) (0.49)
$ /security return 1 0.2072 0.2698 0.7932 1.1265 0.7407
"
RE¹ (11.10) (5.07) (2.32) (1.57) (4.66)
$ /security return * persistence 0/! n.a. !0.0953 !0.0494 !0.3913 !0.3397
#
RE¹*PERSIS¹ (!1.62) (!0.13) (!0.49) (!1.90)
$ /earnings innovations ? 0.0602 !0.1487 !0.7352 !0.2375 !0.0809
&
ºE(X) (2.35) (!2.93) (!2.11) (!0.55) (!0.53)
$ /earn. innovations * persist 1 n.a. 0.4292 2.1202 0.7618 0.2981
(
ºE(X)*PERSIS¹ (4.75) (2.68) (0.91) (1.11)
$ /earnings persistence ? n.a. 0.0096 !0.0212 0.2639 0.0992
)
PERSIS¹ (0.38) (!0.13) (0.95) (1.30)
adjusted R# 0.102 0.116 0.062 0.015 0.059
number of observations 1,261 1,261 897 712 1,251
Entries are parameter estimates and t-statistics (in parentheses). Note that (0) indicates that we do not expect the estimate to be statistically different
from zero; (?) indicates that we make no prediction about the direction of the effect; n.a. indicates that the variable is not included in the model.
W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
Observations are omitted as outliers when ‘dffits’ exceeds 2"(p/n), where p is the number of parameters in the model and n is the number of
observations (Belsley et al., 1980).
Specification for column !1
!COMP "$ #$ RE¹ #$ ºE(X )#%
"!! % " "!! & "!! "!!
Specification for columns !2—5
!COMP "$ #$ RE¹ #$ RE¹ PERSIS¹ #$ ºE(X )#$ ºE(X )PERSIS¹ #$ PERSIS¹ #%
"!! % " "!! # "!! "!! & "!! ( "!! "!! ) "!! "!!
!COMP "year t!1 to year t percent change to firm i CEO compensation specified as either cash compensation defined as cash salary plus cash
"!!
bonus (column !1 and !2), cash bonus only (column !3), stock compensation defined as the value of stock options, stock appreciation rights,
phantom stock, or restricted stock (column !4), or total compensation defined as the sum of cash plus stock compensation (column !5);
RE¹ "firm i, year t (raw) common stock return;
"!!
ºE(X )" firm i, year t unexpected earnings per share before extraordinary items (COMPUSTAT data item ! 58), computed using expression (1),
"!&
deflated by the beginning of the year book value per share of stockholders’ equity (COMPUSTAT data item ! 60/COMPUSTAT data item ! 25);
PERSIS¹ "firm i, year t earnings persistence — in particular, (1!!) estimated from expression (1) — defined in terms of the extent that 1974—1993
"!&
annual earings per share before extraordinary items (COMPUSTAT item ! 58) follow a random walk process;
$ (k"0,2,5)" regressions parameters.
'
W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
181
182 W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
5. Refinements
The variable PERSIS¹ is central to the study, and thus, we examine whether
the primary results hold for alternative measures of earnings persistence. We
consider three measures. The first is the variance ratio (»R), described in
Cochrane (1988) and adapted to the analysis of earnings time series by Lipe and
Kormendi (1994) and Kang et al. (1995). The use of ! presumes that earnings
follow an IMA(1,1) process, whereas »R imposes no such restriction on the
time-series process. Although this feature favours the use of »R, it is unclear
whether the »R measure dominates ! for short time series.
The second measure is the firm’s earnings response coefficient (ERC), use of
which is motivated by the well-documented positive association between ERC
and earnings persistence (Kormendi and Lipe, 1987; Easton and Zmijewski,
1989; Collins and Kothari, 1989; Ali and Zarowin, 1992a)."& ERCs are estimated
for each firm, using data for up to 20 preceding quarters, by regressing both
levels (NI) and changes (!NI) in quarterly earnings before extraordinary items
deflated by beginning of period market value of equity on security returns."(
Finally, the third measure presumes relations between earnings-price ratios
(E/P) and the extent that earnings are persistent. This measure is motivated by
Beaver’s (1998) suggestion that extreme E/P are, to an extent, attributable to
investor perceptions that reported earnings contain sizable transitory compo-
nents.") Thus, following procedures proposed and described in Ou and Penman
(1989), we use E/P to consider earnings persistence, and then employ a dummy
variable to distinguish 1163 observations where earnings are presumed to be
persistent (i.e., those with moderate E/P) from 931 observations where earnings
are presumed transitory (extreme E/P observations)."* Although E/P is a noisy
"& ERCs are affected by factors other than earnings persistence. For example, evidence in Collins
and Kothari (1989) indicates that ERCs are determined in part by firm risk, prevailing interest rates,
and earnings growth rates.
"( The regression model is R "& #& !NI #& NI #% , where !NI "NI !NI and
! % " ! # ! ! ! ! !$(
ERC"& #& . Results are comparable when R is specified as either raw returns or market-adjusted
" #
returns (computed using either value-weighted or equally-weighted market returns). R are cumulat-
ed over the three-month period moved ahead 30 days to accommodate delay in the disclosure of
quarterly earnings.
") As with ERC, E/P is affected by factors other than earnings persistence. Beaver (1998) describes
how E/P varies with expected earnings growth and discount rate.
"* A more detailed explanation of this procedure is in the notes to Table 3.
W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193 183
measure of earnings persistence, its advantage is that the measure does not
require time-series estimation, and therefore, potentially offers a more timely
indication of earnings persistence.
Results for these alternative measures of earnings persistence are presented in
Table 3. Relations between compensation changes and accounting performance
($ and $ ) for the »R measure are similar to the primary results in Table 2.
& (
Relations for the E/P and ERC measures also are similar, except that the main
effect on unexpected earnings, which is negative and statistically significant for
the other measures, is positive but not significant at usual confidence levels
(#'0.10).
"+ Detailed computations of these variables are described in the notes to Table 4.
184
Table 3
OLS specifications of percent changes in CEO salary and cash bonuses on security returns and unexpected earnings for alternative measures of
earnings persistence
Column ! !1 !2 !3
$ /intercept 0.0325 0.0200 0.0288
%
(3.58) (2.64) (4.14)
$ /security return 1 0.2435 0.1832 0.2005
"
RE¹ (9.80) (10.01) (12.58)
$ /security return * persistence 0 !0.0520 !0.0015 !0.0007
#
RE¹*PERSIS¹ (!1.81) (!0.06) (!0.47)
$ /earnings innovations ? !0.0702 0.0185 0.0175
&
ºE(X) (!2.60) (1.42) (1.27)
$ /earnings innovations * persist. 1 0.2317 0.1755 0.0163
(
ºE(X)*PERSIS¹ (4.05) (2.94) (2.05)
$ /earnings persistence ? !0.0077 0.0066 !0.0006
)
PERSIS¹ (!0.89) (0.62) (!0.95)
adjusted R# 0.127 0.124 0.126
number of observations 1,733 2,094 1,632
Entries are parameter estimates and t-statistics (in parentheses). Observations are omitted as outliers when ‘dffits’ exceeds 2"(p/n), where p is the
number of parameters in the model and n is the number of observations (Belsley et al., 1980). Differences in sample size are attributable to data
W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
availability.
»ariance ratio (»R), computed as (1/k) times the variance of k-differences deflated by the variance of first differences, varies directly with the extent the
earnings time series are permanent versus transitory. See Cochrane (1988), Lipe and Kormendi (1994) and Kang et al. (1995) for details.
Earnings price ratio (E/P) is a dummy variable specified as follows. E/P are computed as the net income before extraordinary items (COMPUSTAT
data item !18) deflated by the number of common shares (COMPUSTAT item !25) times the year-end price per share (COMPUSTAT item !199).
Observations are classified into ten portfolios using procedures in Ou and Penman (1989, p. 131). Observations with negative E/P are assigned to
portfolio 1. The remaining observations are distributed equally according to ranked E/P with portfolio 2 the lowest, and portfolio 10 the highest
ranked observations. The dummy variable is set equal to 1 for 1163 observations in portfolios 3—8 (high persistence), and set equal to 0 for 931
observations from portfolios 1, 2, 9, and 10 (low persistence).
Earnings response coefficients (ERC) are estimated for each firm by regressing both levels (NI) and changes (!NI) in quarterly earnings before
extraordinary items deflated by beginning of period market value of equity on security returns (R) cumulated over the three-month period moved
ahead one month to accommodate delay in disclosures of quarterly earnings. The regression model is R "& #& !NI #& NI #% , and
! % " ! # ! !
ERC"& #& . The model is estimated over a maximum of 20 quarters during the period 1989—1993.
" #
See notes to Table 2 for the specification, variable definitions, and explanations for predicted signs.
W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
185
186 W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
Theory and evidence in Gibbons and Murphy (1992) suggest that the horizon
problem becomes more consequential as managers move closer to retirement.
Moreover, in the particular context of earnings-based compensation, the effec-
tiveness of alternative mechanisms such as long-term performance plans (Teh-
ranian et al., 1987) diminishes as executives approach retirement, since these
", Note that this procedure differs from the procedure considered in Christie et al. (1984), which
addresses the case where regressors used in the first-stage specification are included in the second-
stage specification. Explanatory variables used in the first stage are not included in the specification
displayed in Table 4.
W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193 187
Table 4
OLS specification of percent changes in CEO salary and cash bonuses on security returns and
earnings innovations for persistence measure computed as the component (1!!) unexplained by
firm-specific characteristics
Table 5
OLS specification of percent changes in CEO salary and cash bonuses distinguishing observations
where the CEO is sixty years of age or older
Entries are parameter estimates (t-statistics) and [variance inflation factors] n"1242; adjusted
R#"0.133
"0 The use of 60 years is arbitrary. Results are comparable for other cut-off points (63 and 65) for
distinguishing executives that anticipate retirement, and when specifying age as a Dechow and Sloan
(1991), Gibbons and Murphy (1992), and Yermack (1996) use similar approaches to distinguish
executives with short horizons. Comparisons of the subsample where the CEO is 60 years of age or
older, with the subsample where the CEO is younger, indicate that means of the independent
variables are not statistically significant. The mean percent change in salary and bonus compensa-
tion (the dependent variable) is statistically significant with younger CEOs experiencing mean
increases of 10.2% and older CEOs increases of 3.3% (t"4.73).
W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193 189
variance inflation factors, which indicate the extent that collinearity compro-
mises statistical tests of parameter estimates.#%
The statistically significant (#(0.05), positive estimate $ for the interaction
+
ºE(X)*PERSIS¹*AGE60 indicates the relative importance of earnings persist-
ence in determining accounting-based compensation to CEOs aged 60 and
older. The positive and statistically significant estimate suggests that compensa-
tion committees assign greater weight to earnings persistence for CEOs that
anticipate retirement. Finally, consistent with results in Gibbons and Murphy
(1992), the statistically significant, negative estimate for $ suggests that base
,
compensation increases to senior CEOs are less than increases paid to younger
CEOs.#"
In sum, evidence in Table 5 indicates a characterization where compensation
committees rely more heavily on earnings persistence when earnings are used as
a basis for contracting.
Economic theory suggests the use of relative, rather than absolute, perfor-
mance measures (Holmstrom, 1982). Prior empirical studies offer mixed evi-
dence with respect to the superiority of relative performance measures when
accounting measures determine executive compensation, however (Antle and
Smith, 1986; Gibbons and Murphy, 1990; Janakiraman et al., 1992). Even so, we
confirm that primary results reported in Table 2 are comparable for regression
specifications that include security return and accounting return metrics that are
adjusted for market and industry performance (results not reported).
Finally, we partition the observations into two equal subsamples according to
firm size (measured as revenue or total assets), according to investment oppor-
tunities (Baber et al., 1996), and then according to whether the ratio of cash-
based compensation is high or low. Results for subsamples delineated according
to size and investment opportunities are comparable to those for model 2 in
Table 2. Earnings-compensation relations are stronger for the subsample where
cash compensation is high. This finding is consistent with results in Table 2
which imply that earnings persistence plays a greater role in the determination
of cash-based, rather than stock-based, compensation.
#% Variance inflation factors in excess of 10 indicate multocollinearity. Note that the presence of
multicollinearity undermines the ability to achieve statistical significance.
#" Gibbons and Murphy (1992) also report that the sensitivity of compensation to security returns
is greater for executives approaching retirement. We find that relations between compensation
changes and variables that include ºE(X) are comparable to those in Table 5 for a specification that
includes RE¹*AGE60 and RE¹*PERSIS¹*AGE60 along with the other independent variables
displayed in the table. Thus, the evidence in Table 5 is not attributable to correlations between
accounting earnings and security returns.
190 W.R. Baber et al. / Journal of Accounting and Economics 25 (1998) 169–193
6. Concluding remarks
Acknowledgements
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