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Money S2
Alexei Alvarez Drobush, CFA
Time Value of Money
Which one is worth more: one sol today or one tomorrow? Why?
Time Value of Money
❖ “Today, I have 1000 soles in my wallet that I do not expect to spend
during the year. So, I decide to put this money in a 1 yr time
deposit in a bank. The bank offers to pay me a 5.0% interest rate a
year. If I decide to invest in the 1yr time deposit, how much money
will I have in one year?
Time Value of Money
❖ “Today, I have 1000 soles in my wallet that I do not expect to spend
during the year. So, I decide to put this money in a 1 yr time
deposit in a bank. The bank offers to pay me a 5.0% interest rate a
year. If I decide to invest in the 1yr time deposit, how much money
will I have in one year?
• Interest = 5.0% * 1000 = 50
• Investment = 1000
• Value of investment after 1 year: 1000 * ( 1 + 5.0% ) = 1050
1000 1050
Today 1 year
Present Future
Value Value
Negative Interest Rates?
❖ N = Number of periods
❖ IMPORTANT:
❖ Stated interest rate (r) and the number of periods (N) must be
defined in the same time units
Simple vs. Compound Interest
❖ Simple Interest: When you only earn interest on your initial investment
(principal)
FV = PV*(1+ r*n)
❖ Compound interest: When you earn interest on the principal and on the
reinvested interest
FV = PV*(1+r)n
❖ Example:
How much money will I have in 3 years if I invest 1000 soles today…
❖ Option A: ….at a simple interest rate of 10%?
❖ Option B: … at a compound interest rate of 10%?
Compounding
❖ In the previous example, we note that:
❖ Where:
❖ FVN = Future Value of Investment N periods from today
❖ IMPORTANT:
❖ Stated interest rate (r) and the number of compounding periods (N)
must be defined in the same time units
Future Value
❖ Unless otherwise stated, compounding should always be assumed
❖ Logical relations:
❖ For a given interest rate (r), FV increases with the number of periods (N)
❖ For a given number of periods (N), FV increases with the interest rate (r)
❖ How much would I have in the future if I invest 1,000 soles at…
• 2.5% for 1 year?
• 5.0% for 2 years?
• 10.0% for 10 years?
Compounding
Interest Rates
❖ Interest can be expressed in different dimensions:
❖ Simple
r ❖ Compound
Frequency of Compounding
❖ So far we have assumed annual interest rates with annual
compounding. But, if an investment pays interest more than once a
year, interests have to be compounded more frequently.
❖ For example:
❖ A time deposit that pays 8% interest compounded monthly
❖ A time deposit that pays a 4% interest compunded quarterly
❖ Daily ❖ Simple
❖ Monthly
r ❖ Compound
❖ Daily ❖ Simple
❖ Monthly
r ❖ Compound
❖ …? ❖ 30 / 360
❖ …?
Present Value
❖ How much should I invest today at a interest rate of “r” to recieve
a certain amount “FV” in a “N” period of time?
Example: How much is worth today, 15,000 soles that I will recibe in 5
years? Annual interest rate is 5.0%
Present Value
❖ When calculating the PV of a series of Cash Flows it’s important to
understand whether the CFs are being received at the end of the
period…
0 1 2 3 4 5
P1 P3 P5
P2 P4
Present Value
❖ …or at the beginning of it
0 1 2 3 4 5
P1 P3 P5
P2 P4
Present Value
❖ Examples:
❖ Ordinary Annuity:
CF CF CF
PV = cost of car
A= 4,800
r= 7%
N= 3
Numerator 0.183702123
PV = 12,596.72
Annuity: Examples
❖ Yesterday you bought a flat and have agreed to pay $ 400 per month at a 7.2%
interest rate compounded monthly for 3 years. How much was the downpayment
if the flat cost you $ 15,000?
Annuity: Examples
❖ Yesterday you bought a flat and have agreed to pay $ 400 per month at a 7.2%
interest rate compounded monthly for 3 years. How much was the downpayment
if the flat cost you $ 15,000?
𝑟
𝐴 = 𝑃𝑉
1
1−
(1 + 𝑟)𝑁
Debt
Period Outstanding Payment Interest Capital New Debt
1 200,000 83,270 24,000 59,270 140,730
2 140,730 83,270 16,888 66,382 74,348
3 74,348 83,270 8,922 74,348 0
Annuity: Application to loans
❖ Imagine you borrowed $ 200,000 from a bank at a 12.0% interest rate and the
loan (including interest) has to be canceled in 3 years with semi-annual
payments. Please, write down the loan’s payment schedule.
Annuity: Application to loans
❖ Imagine you borrowed $ 200,000 from a bank at a 12.0% interest rate and the
loan (including interest) has to be canceled in 3 years with semi-annual
payments. Please, write down the loan’s payment schedule.
𝑟
𝐴 = 𝑃𝑉 𝑚
1
1− 𝑟 𝑚𝑁
(1 + )
𝑚
CF CF*(1+g) CF*(1+g)n-1
1 (1+𝑔)𝑡
PV of a growing annuity= 𝐴 × 𝑟−𝑔
× 1− (1+𝑟)𝑡
1
FV of a growing annuity= 𝐴 × × (1 + 𝑟)𝑡 −(1 + 𝑔)𝑡
𝑟−𝑔
PV = 389,561.69
Perpetuity
❖ An ordinary annuity that extends indefinitely
PV = A / (r – g)
Perpetuities: Examples
❖ What is the PV of a perpetual Disney bond that pays $ 10 yearly
and its discount rate is 5.0%?
Perpetuities: Examples
❖ What is the PV of a perpetual Disney bond that pays $ 10 yearly
and its discount rate is 5.0%?
A= 10
r= 5%
PV = 200
Perpetuities: Examples
❖ Many analysts expect Coca Cola’s next year dividend to be $1.30
and they believe that dividends will grow at a constant rate of
5.0% in perpetuity. If the discount rate is 10%, calculate the present
value of the future dividends.
Perpetuities: Examples
❖ Many analysts expect Coca Cola’s next year dividend to be $1.30
and they believe that dividends will grow at a constant rate of
5.0% in perpetuity. If the discount rate is 10%, calculate the present
value of the future dividends.
A= 1.3
r= 10%
PV = A / (r – g) g= 5%
PV = 26.0
Perpetuities: Examples
❖ Given a 5% discount rate, find the present value of a three-year
ordinary annuity of $1000 per year starting in Year 1 as the
difference between two level perpetuities
Perpetuities: Examples
❖ Given a 5% discount rate, find the present value of a three-year
ordinary annuity of $1000 per year starting in Year 1 as the
difference between two level perpetuities
Year 1 2 3 4 5 …
Perpetuity 1 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
Perpetuity 2 1,000 1,000 1,000
❖ Number of Periods