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FACTORIAL EXPERIMENT

Dr. Agus Saptoro


Bandung, 17th April 2017

© Agus Saptoro, 2017


About me
• Educational backgrounds
BEng (Hons, Gadjah Mada University, Indonesia)
PhD (Curtin University, Australia)
Research Fellowship (University of Hyogo, Japan)

• Professional membership
Senior Member of American Institute of Chemical Engineers (AIChE)
Member of Institution of Chemical Engineers (IChemE), UK

2
Outline of presentation
• Definition and terminologies
• 2k factorial experiment
– Yates’s technique - procedure
– Yates’s technique - example

“How much students learns is more than important than how much
the lecturers teach”
Reference

Walpole, R.E., Myers, R.H., Myers, S.L. and Ye, K.,


Probability & Statistics for Engineers & Scientists, 8th
Ed., (2007), Prentice Hall, Inc., New Jersey, Chapter
15.

Montgomery, D.C., Design and Analysis of


Experiments, 8th Ed., (2013), John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Unit learning outcomes

After completing this lecture, I should be able


to:
 Understand basic principles of factorial experiment
(Yates’s technique)

 Apply factorial experiment (Yates’s technique) in


analysing engineering related data
Flowchart of the RESEARCH

Research Inputs Research activities Research outputs

RESEARCH PROPOSAL CONDUCTING EXPERIMENTAL AND/OR


SIMULATION/MODELLING WORKS REPORT
• Formulating research problems /
questions CARRYING OUT DATA ANALYSIS AND THESIS
• Ideas to solve the research problems INTERPRETATION PAPER(S)
• Research objectives, hypotheses WRITING REPORTS, PAPERS & THESIS PATENT
and significances
• Proposed research methodology
COMMERCIAL
• Proposed budget APPLICATIONS
•Timeline of the project
Variables to be studied and data to be collected?

• Temperature (T) in oC (45 – 55)


• Pressure (P) in psi (3000 – 5000)
• Flow rate of CO2 (Q) in ml/min (5 – 10)
• Solid particle diameter (dp) in mm (0.4 – 1)
• Extraction yield

Case study 1: Supercritical Extraction of Black Pepper Oil


(Ting et al., 2014)
Variables to be studied and data to be collected?

• Factors (input variables):


1. Temperature (x1)
2. Cool Hydrogen pressure (x2)
3. Reaction time (x3)

• Responses (output variables):


1. Oil yield (y1)
2. Conversion (y2)

Case study 2: Rafiqul et al. (2000)


Variables to be studied and data to be collected?

Ranges of data to be studied

Factors Level (-1) Level (+1)

X1: reaction temperature 350 oC 450 oC

X2: cool H2 pressure 300 psig 700 psig

X3: reaction time 15 min 45 min

Case study 2: Rafiqul et al. (2000)


What should we do with the obtained data?
Daily life in a research project

x1 x2 x3 x4 y
24 10 2 15 100
35 10 2 15 80
24 15 2 15 60
35 15 2 15 104
Data collection/ 24 10 4 15 96
Data storage 35 10 4 15 75
compilation 24 15 4 15 65
35 15 4 15 43
24 10 2 30 65
35 10 2 30 45
24 15 2 30 45
35 15 2 30 86
24 10 4 30 71
35 10 4 30 68
24 15 4 30 48
35 15 4 30 70
Daily life in plant operation or research project
x1 x2 x3 x4 y
24 10 2 15 100
35 10 2 15 80
24 15 2 15 60
35 15 2 15 104
24 10 4 15 96
35 10 4 15 75
24 15 4 15 65
35 15 4 15 43
24 10 2 30 65
35 10 2 30 45
24 15 2 30 45
35 15 2 30 86
24 10 4 30 71
35 10 4 30 68
24 15 4 30 48
35 15 4 30 70

then, what is next?


Some questions may arise here

• How does each variable (x) affect


x1
24
x2
10
x3
2
x4
15
y
100 the response (y)?
35 10 2 15 80
24
35
15
15
2
2
15
15
60
104 • How do interactions among
24 10 4 15 96
35
24
10
15
4
4
15
15
75
65
variables affect the response (y)?
• What are the significant variables
35 15 4 15 43
24 10 2 30 65
35 10 2 30 45
24
35
15
15
2
2
30
30
45
86
and the most influential variable
24 10 4 30 71
35 10 4 30 68 interactions?
24 15 4 30 48
35 15 4 30 70

Can we perform any quantitative analyses and arrive at


statistically valid conclusions (supported by quantitative data)?
FACTORIAL EXPERIMENT

Le us see these examples


Case study 1: a reaction in a continuous stirred tank reactor

 Factors:
 A Temperature
 B Stirrer speed
 C Flowrate
 D Residence time

 Response: yield (y)


 There are 16 experimental combinations
Experiment 1 a b c d ab ac ad
Yield 47.7 48.6 70.2 63.4 46.3 53.4 11.5 62.3
Experiment bc bd cd abc abd acd bcd abcd
Yield 19.1 89.9 79.9 67.0 43.4 0.0 20.7 76.5

 Results from factorial experiment


 c, a, b are the significant variables and ab, abc, abcd are the
significant variable interactions
 Correlation
Y  49.99  19.73 ABC  9.71AB  7.73C  5.04 ABCD  5.03B  4.66 A
Case study 2: Supercritical Extraction of Black Pepper Oil
(International Journal of Food Engineering 2014; 10 (1): 1 – 15)

Extract

Fine Black
pepper

Supercritical CO2 (solvent)


Case study 2: Supercritical Extraction of Black Pepper Oil
(International Journal of Food Engineering 2014; 10 (1): 1 – 15)

Collected experimental data are as


follows:

• Temperature (T) in oC (45 – 55)


• Pressure (P) in psi (3000 – 5000)
• Flow rate of CO2 (Q) in ml/min (5 – 10)
• Solid particle diameter (dp) in mm (0.4 – 1)
• Extraction yield
Case study 2: Supercritical Extraction of Black Pepper Oil
(International Journal of Food Engineering 2014; 10 (1): 1 – 15)

Degree of
Source Sum of Squares Mean Square F-value P-value
Freedom

Model 1.71 10 0.17 26.23 < 0.0001

T 1.46 x 10-4 1 1.46 x 10-4 0.022 0.8826

P 0.85 1 0.85 130.19 < 0.0001

Q 0.036 1 0.036 5.57 0.0297

dp 0.73 1 0.73 112.01 < 0.0001

TP 4.112 x 10-3 1 4.112 x 10-3 0.63 0.4368

TQ 0.018 1 0.018 2.76 0.1142

Tdp 0.036 1 0.036 5.54 0.0302

PQ 0.013 1 0.013 1.93 0.1815

Pdp 0.065 1 0.065 9.94 0.0055

Qdp 4.656 x 10-5 1 4.656 x 10-5 7.161 x 10-3 0.9335

Residual 0.12 18 6.501 x 10-3

Lack of Fit 0.12 17 6.872 x 10-3 33.68 0.1348

Pure Error 2 x 10-4 1 2.04 x 10-4

P & dp are the most significant variables


Q, Tdp and Pdp are also significant
Case study 2: Supercritical Extraction of Black Pepper Oil
(International Journal of Food Engineering 2014; 10 (1): 1 – 15)
How can we do that?

Do you think that the approach here may be


useful in your research???
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Basic Principles of Factorial Experiments
Factorial experiments
- Definitions & Terminologies -

 FACTORIAL EXPERIMENT – an experiment in which all


combinations of the factors are tested
 FACTOR – any variable which may be varied from trial to
trial (must be able to be controlled!)
 RESPONSE – output variable of the process
 LEVEL – the actual values of each factor
 POSITIVE EFFECT – response as factor
 NEGATIVE EFFECT – response as factor

AIM:
- To study how each factor and/or interactions
between factor affecting the response
- To develop a model (response as a function of
factors and interactions of factors)
Factorial experiments
 STEPS:

 Select factors for our experiments:


 Use prior knowledge
 Brainstorming
 Balance number of factors – experiments can be
expensive / difficult

 Choose levels for factors:


 Usually 2 – low / high
Sometimes, we have three: low, intermediate, high

 Challenge when levels are too close


Factorial experiments
 STEPS:

 Experimental design strategy:


 Choose a possible design: randomized, factorial, block,
fractional etc.
 The most usual: Two-Level Factorial Design

 Main effects (linear effects, …)


 Interactions of variables

 Software: Excel (manual?), Design Expert, Minitab,


SPSS and others (?)
Factorial experiments
- To minimize error-
 STEPS:
 Repetition:
 Repeat measurements for a single experiment

 Replication:
 Repeat the entire experiment
Factorial experiments
- 22 experiments / definition -

 2 factors (control variables) A, B

 Levels: high levels a, b

low levels (1)

 Combinations:  both A, B at high level ab


 A at high level a
 B at high level b
 both A, B at low level (1)
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments -

 Standard form of writing the combinations between


experiments:
Low High

1 factor (A): (1) a

2 factors (A,B): (1) a b ab

All low All high

3 factors (A,B,C): (1) a b ab c ac bc abc

All low All high


A case study from Rafiqul et al. (2000)

• Co-liquefaction of coal and bagasse


• Factors (input variables):
1. Temperature (x1)
2. Cool Hydrogen pressure (x2)
3. Reaction time (x3)
• Responses (output variables):
1. Oil yield (y1)
2. Conversion (y2)
Table 1 Factors & Levels of the Factorial Experiment Design

High & Low Levels


Factors Level (-1) Level (+1)
X1: reaction temperature 350 oC 450 oC
X2: cool H2 pressure 300 psig 700 psig
X3: reaction time 15 min 45 min

or

High, Medium & Low Levels


Factors Level (-1) Level (0) Level (+1)

X1: reaction temperature 350 oC 400 oC 450 oC

X2: cool H2 pressure 300 psig 500 psig 700 psig

X3: reaction time 15 min 30 min 45 min


Table 2 Matrix of planning factorial experimental design

High & Low Levels

Factors
Experiment no. (run) Temperature, Cool H2 pressure, Reaction time,
X1 (oC) X2 (psig) X3 (min)
1 350 (-1) 300 (-1) 15 (-1)
2 350 (-1) 300 (-1) 45 (+1)
3 350 (-1) 700 (+1) 15 (-1)
4 350 (-1) 700 (+1) 45 (+1)
5 450 (+1) 300 (-1) 15 (-1)
6 450 (+1) 300 (-1) 45 (+1)
7 450 (+1) 700 (+1) 15 (-1)
8 450 (+1) 700 (+1) 45 (+1)
OR
Table 2 Matrix of planning factorial experimental design
High, Medium & Low Levels
Factors
Experiment no. (run) Temperature, Cool H2 pressure, Reaction time,
X1 (oC) X2 (psig) X3 (min)
1 350 (-1) 300 (-1) 15 (-1)
2 350 (-1) 300 (-1) 45 (+1)
3 350 (-1) 700 (+1) 15 (-1)
4 450 (+1) 300 (-1) 15 (-1)
5 350 (-1) 700 (+1) 45 (+1)
6 450 (+1) 300 (-1) 45 (+1)
7 450 (+1) 700 (+1) 15 (-1)
8 450 (+1) 700 (+1) 45 (+1)
9 400 (0) 500 (0) 30 (0)
10 400 (0) 500 (0) 15 (-1)
11 400 (0) 300 (-1) 30 (0)
12 350 (-1) 500 (0) 30 (0)
13 350 (-1) 300 (-1) 30 (0)
14 350 (-1) 500 (0) 15 (-1)
15 400 (0) 300 (-1) 15 (-1)
16 400 (0) 500 (0) 45 (+1)
17 400 (0) 700 (+1) 30 (0)
18 450 (+1) 500 (0) 30 (0)
19 450 (+1) 700 (+1) 30 (0)
20 450 (+1) 500 (0) 45 (+1)
21 400 (0) 700 (+1) 45 (+1)
22 450 (+1) 300 (-1) 30 (0)
23 450 (+1) 500 (0) 15 (-1)
24 400 (0) 700 (+1) 15 (-1)
25 400 (0) 300 (-1) 45 (+1)
26 350 (-1) 700 (+1) 30 (0)
27 350 (-1) 500 (0) 45 (+1)
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -
 Let say we have three factors (k=3)
 Yates’ technique for 23:
1. Place treatment combinations & totals in columns in standard order
(for replicates – sum the total)

Treatment Totals

(1) 8
a 11.2
b 
ab
c
ac
bc
abc
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -
2. Generate:
a) The first half of column (1) by adding pairs of treatments
b) The second half of (1) by subtracting one from another

Treatment Totals (1)


(1) 8 (1)  a
a 11.2 b  ab
b  c  ac
ab bc  abc
c a  (1)
ac ab  b
bc ac  c
abc abc bc
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -
3. Repeat step 2 - k times Ex. 23 3 times

4. The values in k column = the Contrast for each treatment

Treatment Totals (1) (2) (3) = Contrast


(1) 8 (1)  a (1)  a  b  ab 
a 11.2 b  ab c  ac  bc  abc 
b  c  ac a  (1)  ab  b
ab bc  abc ac  c  abc  bc
c a  (1) b  ab  (1)  a
ac ab  b bc  abc  c  ac
bc ac  c ab  b  a  (1)
abc abc bc abc  bc  ac  c
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -

Contrast
5. Calculate the Effects Effect 
n2k 1
Treatment Totals (1) (2) (k) = Contrast Effect
(1) 8 (1)  a  
a 11.2 b  ab  
b  c  ac
ab bc  abc
c a  (1)
ac ab  b
bc ac  c
abc abc bc
n= no. of replications of the treatment combinations!!!
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -

5. Calculate the Sum of Square


SSQ 
Contrast 
2

n2 k
Treatment Totals (1) (2) (k) = Contrast Effect SSQ
(1) 8 (1)  a  
a 11.2 b  ab  
b  c  ac
ab bc  abc
c a  (1)
ac ab  b
bc ac  c
abc abc bc
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -

Effect
5. Calculate the Regression Coefficients Coefficien t 
2

Treatment Totals (1) (2) (k) = Contrast Effect SSQ Coeff.


(1) 8 (1)  a  
a 11.2 b  ab  
b  c  ac
ab bc  abc
c a  (1)
ac ab  b
bc ac  c
abc abc bc
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -

 Example: A 24 factorial design consisting of 16 experiments


was carried out to determine the best model to describe the
yield (Y) from a reactor system.
 Factors:
 A Temperature
 B Stirrer speed
 C Flowrate
 D Residence time

Experiment 1 a b c d ab ac ad
Yield 47.7 48.6 70.2 63.4 46.3 53.4 11.5 62.3
Experiment bc bd cd abc abd acd bcd abcd
Yield 19.1 89.9 79.9 67.0 43.4 0.0 20.7 76.5
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -

 Yates’ technique for 24:

1. Place treatment combinations & values in columns in standard order

Exp. Value
1 47.7
a 48.6
b 70.2
ab 53.4
c 63.4
ac 11.5
bc 19.1
abc 67
d 46.3
ad 62.3
bd 89.9
abd 43.4
cd 79.9
acd 0
bcd 20.7
abcd 76.5
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -
2. Generate:
a) The first half of column (1) by adding pairs of treatments
b) The second half of (1) by subtracting one from another

Exp. Value 1
1 47.7 96.3
a 48.6 123.6
b 70.2 74.9
ab 53.4 86.1
c 63.4 108.6
ac 11.5 133.3
bc 19.1 79.9
abc 67 97.2
d 46.3 0.9
ad 62.3 -16.8
bd 89.9 -51.9
abd 43.4 47.9
cd 79.9 16.0
acd 0 -46.5
bcd 20.7 -79.9
abcd 76.5 55.8
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -

3. Repeat step 2 - k times 24 4 times

4. The values in 4th column = the Contrast for each treatment

Exp. Value 1 2 3 Contrast


1 47.7 96.3 219.9 380.9 799.9
a 48.6 123.6 161.0 419.0 -74.5
b 70.2 74.9 241.9 -19.9 80.5
ab 53.4 86.1 177.1 -54.6 155.3
c 63.4 108.6 -15.9 38.5 -123.7
ac 11.5 133.3 -4.0 42.0 18.3
bc 19.1 79.9 -30.5 82.1 -23.5
abc 67 97.2 -24.1 73.2 315.7
d 46.3 0.9 27.3 -58.9 38.1
ad 62.3 -16.8 11.2 -64.8 -34.7
bd 89.9 -51.9 24.7 11.9 3.5
abd 43.4 47.9 17.3 6.4 -8.9
cd 79.9 16.0 -17.7 -16.1 -5.9
acd 0 -46.5 99.8 -7.4 -5.5
bcd 20.7 -79.9 -62.5 117.5 8.7
abcd 76.5 55.8 135.7 198.2 80.7
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -

Contrast
5. Calculate the Effects Effect 
n2k 1
Exp. Value 1 2 3 Contrast Effect
1 47.7 96.3 219.9 380.9 799.9 99.99
a 48.6 123.6 161.0 419.0 -74.5 -9.31
b 70.2 74.9 241.9 -19.9 80.5 10.06
ab 53.4 86.1 177.1 -54.6 155.3 19.41
c 63.4 108.6 -15.9 38.5 -123.7 -15.46
ac 11.5 133.3 -4.0 42.0 18.3 2.29
bc 19.1 79.9 -30.5 82.1 -23.5 -2.94
abc 67 97.2 -24.1 73.2 315.7 39.46
d 46.3 0.9 27.3 -58.9 38.1 4.76
ad 62.3 -16.8 11.2 -64.8 -34.7 -4.34
bd 89.9 -51.9 24.7 11.9 3.5 0.43
abd 43.4 47.9 17.3 6.4 -8.9 -1.11
cd 79.9 16.0 -17.7 -16.1 -5.9 -0.74
acd 0 -46.5 99.8 -7.4 -5.5 -0.69
bcd 20.7 -79.9 -62.5 117.5 8.7 1.09
abcd 76.5 55.8 135.7 198.2 80.7 10.09

n= number of replicate
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -

Contrast
2
5. Calculate the Sum of Square
SSQ
n2k
Exp. Value 1 2 3 Contrast Effect SSQ
1 47.7 96.3 219.9 380.9 799.9 99.99 39990
a 48.6 123.6 161.0 419.0 -74.5 -9.31 346.9
b
ab
70.2
53.4
74.9
86.1

241.9
177.1
-19.9
-54.6
80.5
155.3
10.06
19.41
405
1507
c 63.4 108.6 -15.9 38.5 -123.7 -15.46 956.4
ac 11.5 133.3 -4.0 42.0 18.3 2.29 20.93
bc 19.1 79.9 -30.5 82.1 -23.5 -2.94 34.52
abc 67 97.2 -24.1 73.2 315.7 39.46 6229
d 46.3 0.9 27.3 -58.9 38.1 4.76 90.73
ad 62.3 -16.8 11.2 -64.8 -34.7 -4.34 75.26
bd 89.9 -51.9 24.7 11.9 3.5 0.43 0.766
abd 43.4 47.9 17.3 6.4 -8.9 -1.11 4.951
cd 79.9 16.0 -17.7 -16.1 -5.9 -0.74 2.176
acd 0 -46.5 99.8 -7.4 -5.5 -0.69 1.891
bcd 20.7 -79.9 -62.5 117.5 8.7 1.09 4.731
abcd 76.5 55.8 135.7 198.2 80.7 10.09 407

n= number of replicate
Factorial experiments
- 2k experiments / Yates’ technique -

Effect
5. Calculate the Regression Coefficients Coefficien t 
2
Exp. Value 1 2 3 Contrast Effect SSQ Coeff.
1 47.7 96.3 219.9 380.9 799.9 99.99 39990 49.994
a 48.6 123.6 161.0 419.0 -74.5 -9.31 346.9 -4.657
b 70.2 74.9 241.9 -19.9 80.5 10.06 405 5.0315
ab 53.4 86.1 177.1 -54.6 155.3 19.41 1507 9.7065
c 63.4 108.6 -15.9 38.5 -123.7 -15.46 956.4 -7.732
ac 11.5 133.3 -4.0 42.0 18.3 2.29 20.93 1.144
bc 19.1 79.9 -30.5 82.1 -23.5 -2.94 34.52 -1.469
abc 67 97.2 -24.1 73.2 315.7 39.46 6229 19.732
d 46.3 0.9 27.3 -58.9 38.1 4.76 90.73 2.3815
ad 62.3 -16.8 11.2 -64.8 -34.7 -4.34 75.26 -2.169
bd 89.9 -51.9 24.7 11.9 3.5 0.43 0.766 0.214
abd 43.4 47.9 17.3 6.4 -8.9 -1.11 4.951 -0.557
cd 79.9 16.0 -17.7 -16.1 -5.9 -0.74 2.176 -0.369
acd 0 -46.5 99.8 -7.4 -5.5 -0.69 1.891 -0.344
bcd 20.7 -79.9 -62.5 117.5 8.7 1.09 4.731 0.544
abcd 76.5 55.8 135.7 198.2 80.7 10.09 407 5.044
Factorial experiments
- significant effects / interactions -

 Questions:
 Are all combinations of factors significant?
 What are the significant effects and interactions?

2 ways

Normal probability plot SSQ analysis


Factorial experiments
APPROACH 1: probability plot -

1. Assume that we are not interested in testing (1) - can be ignored


Rank the n=2k-1 other contrasts i=1,2,…,n
Exp. Value 1 2 3 Contrast
1 47.7 96.3 219.9 380.9 799.9
a 48.6 123.6 161.0 419.0 -74.5
b 70.2 74.9 241.9 -19.9 80.5
ab 53.4 86.1 177.1 -54.6 155.3
c 63.4 108.6 -15.9 38.5 -123.7
ac 11.5 133.3 -4.0 42.0 18.3 Exp. Contrast i
bc
abc
19.1
67
79.9
97.2
-30.5
-24.1
82.1
73.2
-23.5
315.7
c -123.7 1
d 46.3 0.9 27.3 -58.9 38.1 a -74.5 2
ad 62.3 -16.8 11.2 -64.8 -34.7
bd 89.9 -51.9 24.7 11.9 3.5 ad -34.7 3
abd 43.4 47.9 17.3 6.4 -8.9
cd 79.9 16.0 -17.7 -16.1 -5.9
bc -23.5 4
acd 0 -46.5 99.8 -7.4 -5.5 abd -8.9 5
bcd 20.7 -79.9 -62.5 117.5 8.7
abcd 76.5 55.8 135.7 198.2 80.7 cd -5.9 6
acd -5.5 7
bd 3.5 8
bcd 8.7 9
acd 18.3 10
d 38.1 11
b 80.5 12
abcd 80.7 13
ab 155.3 14
abcd 315.7 15
Factorial experiments
APPROACH 1: probability plot -

2. Calculate
fi 
i 3 8
n 1 4 
zi  4.91 f i 0.14
 1 f i 
0.14

Exp. Contrast i fi zi
c -123.7 1 0.041 -1.742
a -74.5 2 0.107 -1.244
ad
bc

-34.7
-23.5
3
4
0.172
0.238
-0.944
-0.712
abd -8.9 5 0.303 -0.513
cd -5.9 6 0.369 -0.333
acd -5.5 7 0.434 -0.164
bd 3.5 8 0.500 0.000
bcd 8.7 9 0.566 0.164
acd 18.3 10 0.631 0.333
d 38.1 11 0.697 0.513
b 80.5 12 0.762 0.712
abcd 80.7 13 0.828 0.944
ab 155.3 14 0.893 1.244
abc 315.7 15 0.959 1.742
n  15
Factorial experiments
APPROACH 1: probability plot -

3. Plot zi  func(Contrasts)

2.000
1.500
abcd abc
1.000 ab
0.500 b
0.000
z

-0.500 insignificant
-1.000 a
-1.500
c
-2.000
-150 -50 50 150 250 350
Contrast

c, a, b, abcd, ab, abc significant contrast


Factorial experiments
APPROACH 1: probability plot -
OR

Plot fi  func(Effects)
Exp. Contrast i fi zi Effects
c -123.7 1 0.041 -1.742 -15.46
a -74.5 2 0.107 -1.244 -9.31
ad -34.7 3 0.172 -0.944 -4.34
bc -23.5 4 0.238 -0.712 -2.94
abd -8.9 5 0.303 -0.513 -1.11
cd -5.9 6 0.369 -0.333 -0.74
acd -5.5 7 0.434 -0.164 -0.69
bd 3.5 8 0.500 0.000 0.43
bcd 8.7 9 0.566 0.164 1.09
acd 18.3 10 0.631 0.333 2.29
d 38.1 11 0.697 0.513 4.76
b 80.5 12 0.762 0.712 10.06
abcd 80.7 13 0.828 0.944 10.09
ab 155.3 14 0.893 1.244 19.41
abc 315.7 15 0.959 1.742 39.46
Factorial experiments
- significant effects / probability plot -

1.020
abcd
0.820 ab abc
b
0.620
f

0.420
insignificant
0.220
a
c
0.020
-25.00 -15.00 -5.00 5.00 15.00 25.00 35.00 45.00
Effects

c, a, b, abcd, ab, abc significant contrast


Factorial experiments
APPROACH 1: probability plot -
4. Lump the remaining SSQ into an ERROR term (SSE)

Exp. Value 1 2 3 Contrast Effect SSQ


1 47.7 96.3 219.9 380.9 799.9 99.99
a 48.6 123.6 161.0 419.0 -74.5 -9.31 346.9
b 70.2 74.9 241.9 -19.9 80.5 10.06 405.0
ab 53.4 86.1 177.1 -54.6 155.3 19.41 1507.4
c 63.4 108.6 -15.9 38.5 -123.7 -15.46 956.4
ac 11.5 133.3 -4.0 42.0 18.3 2.29 20.9
bc 19.1 79.9 -30.5 82.1 -23.5 -2.94 34.5
abc 67 97.2 -24.1 73.2 315.7 39.46 6229.2
d 46.3 0.9 27.3 -58.9 38.1 4.76 90.7
ad 62.3 -16.8 11.2 -64.8 -34.7 -4.34 75.3
bd 89.9 -51.9 24.7 11.9 3.5 0.43 0.8 Error
abd 43.4 47.9 17.3 6.4 -8.9 -1.11 5.0
cd 79.9 16.0 -17.7 -16.1 -5.9 -0.74 2.2  236.0
acd 0 -46.5 99.8 -7.4 -5.5 -0.69 1.9
bcd 20.7 -79.9 -62.5 117.5 8.7 1.09 4.7
abcd 76.5 55.8 135.7 198.2 80.7 10.09 407.0

9 of them grouped together d.f. = 9


Factorial experiments
APPROACH 1: probability plot -
5. ANOVA table

Component SSQ d.f. Mean SQ f SSQ


ABC 6229.2 1 6229.2 237.55 MSQ 
AB 1507.4 1 1507.4 57.49 d. f .
C 956.4 1 956.4 36.47
ABCD 407.0 1 407.0 15.52 MSQ
B 405.0 1 405.0 15.44 f 
A 346.9 1 346.9 13.23
SSE
Error (SSE) 236.0 9 26.2
Total (SST) 10087.9 15

From F-distribution table:

f0.01(1,9)  10.56
All the above components have f  f0.01(1,9)

Conclusion: ALL THESE EFFECTS ARE SIGNIFICANT AT 1% LEVEL


F-distribution table
Factorial experiments
APPROACH 2: SSQ analysis -

1. Rank the SSQ in increasing order and rank them (No.)

Exp. SSQ No. = d.f


bd 0.8 1
acd 1.9 2
cd 2.2 3
bcd 4.7 4
abd 5.0 5
ac 20.9 6
bc 34.5 7
ad 75.3 8
d 90.7 9
a 346.9 10
b 405.0 11
abcd 407.0 12
c 956.4 13
ab 1507.4 14
abc 6229.2 15
Factorial experiments
APPROACH 2: SSQ analysis -
Cumulative SSQ
2. Calculate Cumulative SSQ & MSQ MSQ 
d. f .
Exp. SSQ No. = d.f Cumulative SSQ MSQ
bd 0.8 1 0.8 0.8
acd 1.9 2 2.7 1.3
cd 2.2 3 4.8 1.6
bcd 4.7 4 9.6 2.4
abd 5.0 5 14.5 2.9
ac 20.9 6 35.4 5.9
bc 34.5 7 70.0 10.0
ad 75.3 8 145.2 18.2
d 90.7 9 235.9 26.2
a 346.9 10 582.8 58.3
b 405.0 11 987.8 89.8
abcd 407.0 12 1394.9 116.2
c 956.4 13 2351.2 180.9
ab 1507.4 14 3858.6 275.6
abc 6229.2 15 10087.8 672.5

(0.8+1.9) (0.8+1.9+2.2)
Factorial experiments
APPROACH 2: SSQ analysis -

3. Get f-values from F-distribution table for each d.f.

Exp. SSQ No. = d.f Cumulative SSQ MSQ f table


bd 0.8 1 0.8 0.8 4052.0
acd 1.9 2 2.7 1.3 98.5
cd 2.2 3 4.8 1.6 34.1
bcd 4.7 4 9.6 2.4 21.2
abd 5.0 5 14.5 2.9 16.3
ac 20.9 6 35.4 5.9 13.8
bc 34.5 7 70.0 10.0 12.3
ad 75.3 8 145.2 18.2 11.3
d 90.7 9 235.9 26.2 10.6
a 346.9 10 582.8 58.3 10.0
b 405.0 11 987.8 89.8 9.7
abcd 407.0 12 1394.9 116.2 9.3
c 956.4 13 2351.2 180.9 9.1
ab 1507.4 14 3858.6 275.6 8.9
abc 6229.2 15 10087.8 672.5 8.7

f 0.01(1, d. f )
Factorial experiments
APPROACH 2: SSQ analysis -

4. Calculate Critical SSQ Critical SSQ  MSQ ftable


Exp. SSQ No. = d.f Cumulative SSQ MSQ f table Critical SSQ
bd 0.8 1 0.8 0.8 4052.0 3102.3
acd 1.9 2 2.7 1.3 98.5 130.8
cd 2.2 3 4.8 1.6 34.1 54.9
bcd 4.7 4 9.6 2.4 21.2 50.7
abd 5.0 5 14.5 2.9 16.3 47.3
ac 20.9 6 35.4 5.9 13.8 81.2
bc 34.5 7 70.0 10.0 12.3 122.4
ad 75.3 8 145.2 18.2 11.3 204.4
d 90.7 9 235.9 26.2 10.6 276.8
a 346.9 10 582.8 58.3 10.0 585.2
b 405.0 11 987.8 89.8 9.7 866.6
abcd 407.0 12 1394.9 116.2 9.3 1084.5
c 956.4 13 2351.2 180.9 9.1 1640.4
ab 1507.4 14 3858.6 275.6 8.9 2442.0
abc 6229.2 15 10087.8 672.5 8.7 5837.5

Compare SSQ if SSQi  Critical SSQi1


Critical SSQ
From this term all terms are significant
Factorial experiments
APPROACH 2: SSQ analysis -
Exp. SSQ No. = d.f Cumulative SSQ MSQ f table Critical SSQ
bd 0.8 1 0.8 0.8 4052 3102.3
acd 1.9 2 2.7 1.3 98.5 130.8
cd 2.2 3 4.8 1.6 34.1 54.9
bcd 4.7 4 9.6 2.4 21.2 50.7
abd 5.0 5 14.5 2.9 16.3 47.3
ac 20.9 6 35.4 5.9 13.75 81.2
bc 34.5 7 70.0 10.0 12.25 122.4
ad 75.3 8 145.2 18.2 11.26 204.4
d 90.7 9 235.9 26.2 10.56 276.8
a
b Significant effects
abcd
c
ab
abc

c, a, b, abcd, ab, abc

Conclusion: ALL THESE EFFECTS ARE SIGNIFICANT AT 1% LEVEL


Factorial experiments
- the model -

 After we decide the significant factors / combination of factors:


c, a, b, abcd, ab, abc
Exp. Value 1 2 3 Contrast Effect SSQ Coeff.
1 47.7 96.3 219.9 380.9 799.9 99.99 39990 49.99
a 48.6 123.6 161.0 419.0 -74.5 -9.31 346.891 -4.66
b 70.2 74.9 241.9 -19.9 80.5 10.06 405.016 5.03
ab 53.4 86.1 177.1 -54.6 155.3 19.41 1507.38 9.71
c 63.4 108.6 -15.9 38.5 -123.7 -15.46 956.356 -7.73
ac 11.5 133.3 -4.0 42.0 18.3 2.29 20.9306 1.14
bc 19.1 79.9 -30.5 82.1 -23.5 -2.94 34.5156 -1.47
abc 67 97.2 -24.1 73.2 315.7 39.46 6229.16 19.73
d 46.3 0.9 27.3 -58.9 38.1 4.76 90.7256 2.38
ad 62.3 -16.8 11.2 -64.8 -34.7 -4.34 75.2556 -2.17
bd 89.9 -51.9 24.7 11.9 3.5 0.43 0.76563 0.21
abd 43.4 47.9 17.3 6.4 -8.9 -1.11 4.95063 -0.56
cd 79.9 16.0 -17.7 -16.1 -5.9 -0.74 2.17563 -0.37
acd 0 -46.5 99.8 -7.4 -5.5 -0.69 1.89063 -0.34
bcd 20.7 -79.9 -62.5 117.5 8.7 1.09 4.73063 0.54
abcd 76.5 55.8 135.7 198.2 80.7 10.09 407.031 5.04

Y  49.99  19.73 ABC  9.71AB  7.73C  5.04 ABCD  5.03B  4.66 A


 A - Temperature  C - Flowrate
 B - Stirrer speed  D - Residence time
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
Factorial experiment using Design Expert v. 9.0.4
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experimental / simulation data?
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with Factorial Experiment!

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