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Economics is the study of choice under scarcity – are resources are limited but our
wants are unlimited
Key eco questions: what to produce, how to produce, how to distribute production
Opportunity cost is the value of the next best forgone alternative – incurs both
explicit (direct payments) and implicit costs (opportunities) does not include sunk
costs.
Marginal benefit is the benefit accrued through the consumption of an extra unit
Marginal cost is the additional cost of producing an extra unit.
Ceteris paribus is all other things equal
Correlation does not equal causation.
Trade makes individuals better off because it helps allocate goods to those who
value them the most. For trade to occur, price must be above the seller valuation
and below the buyer valuation: Vs=<P=<Vb
Trade increases variety and volume of goods to choose from, and increases
allocative efficiency, leads to specialisation.
A country’s production possibility frontier traces out the combinations of two goods,
x and y, that can be produced if all resources are used given current resources and
state of tech
Labour productivity/improvement in tech can
shift PPF outwards
At the beginning of the PPD, the most efficient
resources are used from the products,
therefore, opportunity cost increases as more
of X is produced. This is indicated by the more
negative slope.
The slope is the opportunity cost of producing
an additional unit
As more y is produced, the opp cost of y
increases
Absolute advantage refers to when a country
can produce a greater number of goods than
another country
Comparative advantage is when a country can produce a good at a lower
opportunity cost than another country
Trading allows individuals to produce outside their PPF/total output; lower opp cost
means comparative advantage
Short run, at least one factor of production is fixed; in the long run all factors are
variable.
A production function shows the relationship between quantity of inputs used and
the maximum quantity of output, given tech
Marginal production refers to how output responds when there is an increase in the
number of input. This is found by differentiating Q with respect
to L.
If MP’ is positive, we hav increasing marginal product
Diminishing marginal product is common due to short run
capacity constraints – it is a short-run concept.
Returns to scale refers to how the quantity of output changes where there is a
proportional change to all inputs. If it is the same, constant returns to scale. If more
output compared to inputs, increasing returns to scale. If output increases by less
than the proportional increase in all inputs, decreasing returns to scale. It is a long
run concept
A cost function is an equation that links the
quantity of output with its associated
production cost
When output is zero, total cost is positive
fixed costs must be paid
Total cost curve rises with output, more variable
inputs used, diminishing marginal product
Fixed costs do not vary with quantity produced;
When TC=0, FC = 0.
TC = VC+FC.
Marginal cost is the increase in total cost that
arises from an extra unit of production; to find
this, differentiate TC.
Total cots will be increasing over time due to diminishing marginal production
therefore, diminishing MP implies raising MC
AFC = FC/q, AVC = VC/q, ATC = TC/q.
Long run marginal costs will be less
than or equal to short-run marginal
costs due to extra flexibility in relation
to inputs etc. capital may make
variable costs go down.
Economies of scale refers to cost
advantages that a firm obtains from
increasing its output. If long-run
average costs are increasing with
output, this is diseconomies of scale
Assumptions: price is constant, no
changes in state of tech.
TR = P x Q.
Economic profit (pi symbol) = TR-TC.
Zero economic profit means revenue
just covers opportunity cost.
Accounting profits do not include
implicit costs. Economics do.
Firm supply is defined as the quantity
of output a firm is willing and able to
supply at a certain price.
A firm will sell up until P=MC. (logic it out)
Marginal revenue for each unit that a firm
sells is the price; therefore, if P>MC, profit
up
A change in quantity supplied refers to
movements along the market supply curve,
whereas the term change in supply refers to
a shift in the supply curve itself.
Benefit is measured by a consumer’s
willingness to pay – what the consumer
values in monetary terms
Total benefit is utility gained from
consuming total units, and marginal benefit
is how much benefit derived from an extra
unit.
Diminishing marginal benefit usually exists.
Consumers will buy the good up until P=MB.
Market demand curve is the horizontal
summation of the total demand curves
Markets will naturally lean towards
equilibrium explain why
Comparative static analysis (CSA) involves an
examination of how the market equilibrium
is affected by a change or event, a
comparison in old and new equilibrium.
Consumer surplus is the welfare consumers receive from buying units of a good or
service in a market. It is calculated by a consumer’s willingness to pay, minus the
price actually paid for each good. This is because individual demand curve traces out
a consumer’s marginal benefit or willingness to pay.
Consumer surplus is the marginal benefit, minus the price paid, for each unit consumed.
Producer surplus: the difference between the price received by a firm and the marginal cost
it takes to produce.
Increases when price goes down as the difference between marginal benefit and
price is now larger.
Producer surplus is the welfare that producers receive from selling units of a good or
service
in the
market.
This is
calculated by price minus the cost of production (as a firm’s supply curve is given by
its MC curve), so its price P-MC.
If price raises, PS increases; the difference between price and marginal cost is higher,
they are also now selling more, so greater net benefit.
Total surplus: TS = CS+PS
An outcome is pareto efficient if it is not possible to make someone better off
without making anyone worse off. Competitive markets are pareto efficiency, and
therefore, pareto efficiency maximises total surplus. An outcome is not pareto
efficiency if it is possible to reallocate
resources and make someone better
off without making someone worse off
For all the trades up to a competitive
market, MB>=MC. Hence, the
consumer is willing to pay more than
the extra cost required to make the
item. Thus, trading all units up until Q* increases total surplus (as it raises CS, PS, or
both).
If fewer than Q units traded, it is not pareto efficient as it is possible to increase the
number of units traded in order to make the consumer/or the producer better off
If more than Q units are traded, than MC>MB, so all untis traded beyond Q makes
someone worse off, either they paid more than there MC, or the seller received a
price less than MC, or both
In a competitive market, the price mechanism ensures that the people with the
highest value for the product (those that are willing to pay more than the price) end
up with the goods, and those firms with the lowest costs are the ones who make the
goods, therefore, maximising total surplus.
Elasticity measures how responsive one variable (y) to a change in another variable
(x)
The point elasticity method is used for calculating elasticity at a single point, while
midpoint (arc) method is appropriate for calculating elasticity moving from one point
to another.
The initial point elasticity is just the change in quantity over the change in price.(q2-
q1/p2-p1)
Need to make Q the subject for elasticity because we are finding the change in quantity
with respect to price.
The point method can be used for determining elasticity at one point Y IS QUANTITY X IS
PRICE.
Midpoint (or arc) method:
The elasicity of demand measures how sensitive the quantity demanded of a good (Qd) is to
changes in price (P)
Given the law of demand, the elasticity of demand will be negative.
If elasticity = 0, demand is perfectly
inelastic
If elasticity -1<e<0, demand is inelastic
If elascicity = -1, unit elastic.
If elasticity <-1, demand is elastic
If elasticity = -infinity, demand is perfectly elastic.
Elasticity of supply
measures how sensitive
the quantity supplied of a
good (Q) is to changes in
price (P). The elasticity of
supply is typically positive
due to law of supply
If elasticity = 0, supply is
perfectly inelastic
If 0<e<1, supply is inelastic
If e=1, supply is unit elastic (quantity supplied is proportional to price)
If e>1, supply is elastic
If elasticity = -infinity, supply is perfectly elastic.
Cross-price elasticity measures how sensitive demand of good A is to changes in the
price of good B.
If elasticity >0, they are substitutes. (because this means an
increase in the price of good b leads to higher quantity
demand for good A)
If elasticity<0, an increase in price is associated with a fall in
quantity, therefore, they are complements
If e=0 they are independent goods (unrelated to each other)
In general, elasticity tends to be greater in the long run than the short run, as people have
time to adapt to the new change
Perfectly competitive markets have many buyers and sellers, low barriers to entry,
no product differentiation, and firms have no market power to set prices.
Monopoly markets only have one seller and high barriers (near impossible) barriers
to entry, only one product, and seller sets the price
Monopolitic competitive markets have many firms with some product
differentiation, low barriers to entry, and a small capacity to set prices
Oligopoly markets have high barriers to entry, some product differentiation, and
price setting power.
Markets with one seller are a monopoly, while the seller is a monopolist eg. Sydney
water
Characteristics:
One seller and many buyers: one producer
Price market: because the monopolist is the only firm in the market, it has the market
power to determine price
Barriers to entry
Sometimes a natural monopoly is more efficiency.
A firm with lower price elasticity, a more inelastic curve, can raise price and not lose
its customers. As a monopoly has market power, the monopolists price will be its
profit maximising choice.
Price discrimination is the practice of selling different units of a good or service at
different prices.
Marginal revenue is the additional revenue that a firm receives from selling one extra unit of
a good. Because a monopolist faces a downward sloping demand curve, if it increases
output by one unit, price will fall by the same amount. Hence, two effects;
Output effect: as you sell more units, you obtain
extra revenue from the additional units sold, and
Price effect; as you sell more units, price falls
and you lose revenue.
For a monopolist, MR is less than price (MR=P
for competitive)
To find marginal revenue, differentiate total
revenue with respect to Q. Or just double the
gradient part of the demand curve.
Hence, profit will be maximised when Marginal revenue
= marginal cost
Profit=TR-TC. Differentiate, and you get MR-
MC=O. therefore, it’s a max at MR=MC.
Therefore, MR>MC, raise production. MC<MR,
reduce it. This means for a single price
monopoly, P>MC.
Profit is TR-TC, whereby PxQ-ATCxq = (P-ATC)xQ.
As tye MC for the last unit sold equals to MB, the quantity sold by a perfectly price
discriminating monopoly is efficient.
The monopolist charges a fixed fee each to consumer’s total surplus. The per unit fee
is equal to MC.
Third-degree price discrimination: this occurs when the firm seperates consumers into
markets, and charges a different price for each market. Eg. Different prics for haircuts
between men and women
The information and arbitrage requirements for third-degree price discrimination are
less stringent than for first-degree.
They can’t prevent arbitrage between groups however.
The monopolist doe not need to know each individuals demand curve, only the
markets
Under third-degree price discrimination, the firm essentially acts as a single price
monopolist; it just faces a different demand/marginal revenue curve. Therefore,
assuming that a monopolist faces a constant marginal cost, it solves the profit
maximising price/quantity in each market
For profit to be maximised, marginal revenues need to be equated across markets.
They produce where MR=MC. As MRs are equal across different markets with third
degree price discrimination, prices can differ between two markets. You can charge
a higher price in a more inelastic
market.
A natural monopoly is an industry where a single firm can supply an entire market at a cose
lower than two or more firms. This occurs in industries where there is a large fixed cost and
a relatively low marginal cost.
EG. Electricity, where the cost
of building infrastructure is
high, but the marginal cost of
delivering is low.
Often, these have declining average total costs due to high fixed costs but relatively
less variable costs are quantity supplied increases.
A natural monopoly arises
from the combination of
the level of demand and
state of technology.
To avoid a subsidy, the government could impose a price equal to average cost,
so that the monopolist is able to
charge a price that just covers
cost of production. However, this
quantity is less efficient and DWL
still exists. At P=ATC however, it
produces less than the efficient
quantity (the monopolist does
not produce MB=MC), so there is
still DWL. But overall, DWL is
decreased.
Monopolistic competition:
Many buyers and sellers
Firms produce similar, but differentiated products
There is freedom of entry and exit
As a result:
No one firm can influence what the other firms do
Firms face a downward sloping demand curve
Firms earn zero eco profit in the long firm
Unlike monopoly, the demand curve is not the market demand curve – they all sell a
differentiated product.
SHORT RUN;
Firms behave like monopolists. This is not a supply curve for the market; IT IS AN
INDIVIDUAL FIRMS CURVE.
Firms produce where MR=MC
They are, to some extent, price makers
Firms can each short run eco profits
Produce less than capacity – they produce at less than the output that minimises average
total cost
In the short run, the number of firms in the market are fixed; because each firm faces a
fixed cost of production, constricting the ability for firms to enter and exit the market in the
SR.
LONG RUN:
Therefore, firms in a competitve market trade at P=ATC. This means that ATC>MC, so
average costs are not minimised. This means that P>MC, hence, there is DWL associated
with each firms output; as the gains from trade are not realised. Also
Business stealing can occur: this does not lead to greater surplus, but it does mean
the economy has to bear another firm’s fixed costs of production
Product variety: on the other hand, a firm entering the market offers additional
differentiation in the market. Product differnetiation can raise consumer surplus,
due to greater variety.
Monopolistic competition:
SR: MC=MR, P>ATC
LR: MC=MR, P=ATC.
This is because in the long run, the firm equates MR and MC. This means that P=ATC, and as
such, P>MC, so ATC is not minimised.
Game Theory/Oligopolies:
Strategic interactions between economic agents can be analysed using game theory. This is
because a small number of firms recognise that:
Actions of rivals impact profits, and thus, firms have an incentive to act strategically
to influence the actions of competitors.
This strategic interaction explains a firm’s choice over price, quantity, advertising, market
entry.
Game Theory describes how firms interact in a strategic sense is sensitive to a particular
market situation.
A game consists of players, rules describing how the game works, strategies are contingent
on a place of action, and payoffs. It has a complete description of what action each player
may take, and a specification of each player’s payoff.
A dominant strategy is one that is optimal for every possible strategy of your rival. A
weakly dominant strategy gives a payoff that is at least as good as any other
strategy, a strictly dominant strategy gives a strictly larger payoff for every possible
rival strategy.
Each player acts to maximise their individual payoff, and this often produces a
collective outcome that is inefficient AND total surplus it not maximised.
The Nash Equilibrium is the solution concept of a game for two or more players. A
NE exists if each players choice of action is their best response to every other
player’s strategy.
If each player has chosen a strategy & no player can benefit by changing their strategy while
the other player keeps there unchanged, the current set of strategies represents a NE.
No player can gain by changing strategy unilaterally – no profitable unilateral deviation.
In a nash equilibrium, each player takes their best possible action given the action of their
opponent.
A Prisoner’s Dilemma is when each player has a dominant strategy, there is a unique
nash equilibrium, and the nash equilibrium surplus is not maximised
Firm’s can avoid prisoner’s dilemma if pre-game communication before they make their
move, or choice in which case they will promise to. However, firms lie.
Commitment is possible if an industry group or government removing the option to
cheat by banning advertising, however, future punishments make cheating less
attractive.
EG. if a game is repeated, one firm has the opportunity to punish another.
Therefore, the only way to have a sustainable cooperative outcome is with appropriate
punishment strategies:
Tit-for-tat punishment:
Cooperating as long as your rival cooperated yesterday
If your rival cheated yesterday, you punish them by cheating today
Punishment is temporary – one period only
Threat of punishment dissuades cheating.
Trigger strategies:
Cooperate as long as your rival cooperated yesterday
If your rival cheats, punish them forever.
Eg. price wars resulting from firms entering a monopoly industry.
It is possible to have 0,1,2 nash equilibriums.
Playing a game a finite number of times does not affect the outcome of the game. This is
because the penultimate time they interact, they know what will happen next; they will
both cheat. As such, they will consider cheating everytime. As such, if they play a finite
number of times, firms will continually set low prices.
Basically, if the game is played a finite number of times, firms have no incentive to
cooperate in the last round, and therefore they have no incentive to cooperate in
the second to last round, and therefore have no incentive to cooperate at all.
Firms will only cooperate if the game is played indefinitely, and punishment is possible.
However, players often make choices sequentially. This could happen during a bargaining
setting. In this game, there is an incumbent and a potential entrant.
There must be a subgame perfect equilibrium - each players strategy must be a NE in every
subgame.
To solve such games, backwards induction must be used.
This identifies the subgame perfect equilibrium so that every player’s action is a nash
equilibrium. This identifies a credible equilibria.
The key is to get rid or eliminate non-credible outcomes, so we need to solve
backwards.
At each point a decision occurs, it is called a node, eg. t=0 or t=1.
First mover advantage and second mover advantages can occur -> eg. first mover
advantage gets to apply a patent on technology, while a second mover gets to ‘free ride’
investment.
Zero-sum games can occur – where every option in the cell sum to zero.
Remember repetition can facilitate cooperation.
In single offer games, the person making the offer receives all the gains from trade.
This is because that party is the only party who can make offers, and hence has all
the bargaining power. The other party has to accept or reject the offer, but rejecting
means they receive zero surplus.
In multiple-offer bargaining, the second person usually receives all gains from trade.
This is because they get to make the last offer this means they are able to credible
commit that this is the last chance to trade, meaning A has to accept or reject the
offer.
However, in bargaining situations, the gains from trade are usually shared by the parties,
because,
There are costs to bargaining
Parties don’t know when the bargaining will end
The parties may not know each other’s valuation of the object
Outside options
In these cases, there is a breakdown of bargaining.
One defining characteristic of a prisoner’s dilemma is that its equilibrium does not
maximise profits. Pre-game communication can be used to create maximum profits.
However, firm’s need to make binding commitments to ensure they cannot break the
commitment.
Repeated games will facilitate cooperation.
Sources of Inefficiency:
Price controls or regulations are enacted when the market price is deemed unfair. This
includes minimum wages, public housing, agricultural price support schemes.
A price floor (pf) establishes a minimum price which a good can be sold
The floor is not binding if it is set below the equilibrium or market clearing price
It leads to a surplus if it is binding. A binding price floor creates DWL or a loss of total surplus
some gains from trade are not realised.
A price ceiling (PC) is a legally established maximum price at which a good can be
sold
It is not binding if it is set above the equilibrium, or market clearing price
Leads to a shortage if it is binding.
Non-price rationing means determine who get the good or service eg. rents and housing
price controls leading to queues,
discrimination by sellers, black market.
If a price floor is implemented, we are on the elastic part of the demand curve (as
the midpoint is unit elasticity). As the price elasticity of demand is elastic, total
revenue/expenditure will fall if there is a price increase, and consequently, total
revenue will fall due to the imposition of the price floor.
The calculations of producer/consumer surplus assume that the lowest cost
producers supply the market. If higher cost producers supply the market, PS will be
smaller than the number calculated (and the DWL resulting from the price floor
larger).Equally, the DWL could be higher if it is not the consumers with the highest
MB buying the good.
Typically, supply and demand will be more elastic in the long run as participants in
the market adjust to conditions. This means shortages/excesses will usually be
worsen in the long run.
If a tax is imposed, buyers pay more than the sellers receive (and keep)
If a subsidy is imposed, buyers pay less than the sellers receive (and keep)
Buyers respond to post-tax prices
Sellers respond to pre tax prices.
Taxes and subsidies are used to raise revenue, correct market failure eg. externalities, and
income support.
Two types of taxes: specific, tax per unit purchased (tax is fixed) and ad valorem or
proportional tax (tax depends on how much you purchase)
In general, the burden of the tax falls on the more inelastic side of the market.
In a perfectly elastic supply market, the buyer bears the full economic burden paying all the
tax. If a tax was imposed on a perfectly elastic supply curve, it would move up by the
amount of the tax. Therefore, equilibrium price increases by the exact same amount of the
tax, so the buyer bears all the economic burden of the tax.
In perfectly inelastic supply, the seller pays all the tax, or bears the full economic burden. In
a perfectly inelastic market, the supply curve wouldn’t move. The supply curve is more
elastic than the demand curve,
so they bear the full eco burden
of tax.
The economic
burden/incidence is
unaffected by who the
tax was imposed on.
If not perfectly elastic or
inelastic, the burden of tax will
be shared. You generally aren’t
allowed to determine elasticity
based on slope.
Competitive markets are usually pareto efficient. However, there are some situations
where market outcomes will not be efficient this is called market failure.
An externality is a cost or benefit that accrues to a person who is not directly involved in an
economic activity or transaction. This is because the market does not take into account
external costs and benefits when consuming a product.
A positive externality occurs when economic activity results in external benefit for a third
party
A negative externality occurs when economy activity results in external costs for a third
party.
The marginal benefit to society of an additional unit of a good consumed is known
as marginal social benefit (MSB). It is made up of marginal private benefit and
marginal external benefit. MSB = MPB+MEB.
In a positive externality, the marginal social benefit > marginal private benefit, and this
difference is the size of the externality for any given unit. The increasing gap shows the
positive externality raises with increasing output.
Alternatively, a diminishing gap between MSB and
MPB would represent declining positive externality.
If no positive externality, MEB=0 and MSB=MPB.
Solutions to externalities:
Coase theorem: provided property rights have been clearly assigned, and there are no
transaction costs, bargaining will lead to an efficiency (socially optimal) outcome regardless
of the initial allocation of property rights.
Property rights refer to the right to decide whether, and to what extent, the
economy activity causing the externality goes ahead. It doesn’t not depend on how
allocated, merely how they are allocated. However this does have ramifications for
how the gains are distributed.
However, Coase theorem failures:
Property rights not being defined: it is not always clear who has property rights
Transaction costs: The Coase theorem assumes that there are no transaction or
bargaining costs. If the costs are too high, it could prevent trade from occurring.
Identity of parties unknown: if the parties are unable to identify each other, it will
not be possible to engage in trade
The government could also use quantity regulations where the government simply
regulates the quantity in the market through licencing/permits.
The tax is advantageous as it gives the firm financial incentive to avoid the tax;
incentive to innovate.
Some firms reduce emissions more cheaply than other firms. A tax, by setting a price
for pollution, allows for unequal reduction of emissions across firms and industries.
This in turn reduces the cost of achieving the required reduction in emissions. A
regulation does not do this: as reducing emissions is not done in the least-cost way;
low-cost firms do too little, and firms for which reducing emissions is costly do too
much.
Trading permits:
Trading permits are a special type of licence that may be transferred between
parties, thus, consumers or producers may trade with each other for the right to
consumer or produce output.
If a firm holds a permit, the opportunity cost is it can’t sell it
If it sells it, it can’t use the permit
The market for the permit means that, regardless as to the initial distribution of the permit,
the firm will trade the permits so that efficient outcome is achieved.
For every level of tradeable permits, there is an equivalent tax that could implement the
same outcome.
We need to compare marginal social benefits, and marginal social costs, to consider how
much to provide.
Common resources:
Rivalrous in consumption: one persons consumption detracts from another
Non-excludable – people cannot be prevented from consuming the good.
An example is water.
Because of non-excludability individuals will tend to consume too much of the good
Individuals consume as long as the private MB>Private MC.
Remedies:
Grant property rights
Make the resource excludable.
Macroeconomics:
Gross Domestic Product – GDP or nominal GDP is the monetary value of all final goods and
services produced in a country in a given time period.
It is a final goods and services: not including things that are used in the production of
other goods or services
3. Income Approach
Think of GDP in terms of where payments for goods and services go:
Compensation of employees (wages)
Gross operating surplus of producers (Profits + depreciation + interest payments)
Taxes on production, less subsidies (indirect taxes)
GDP = wages + interest payments + indirect taxes + depreciation + profits
GDP = wages + gross operating surplus + indirect tax
Nominal GDP is the money value of final goods and services during a given year, valued at
the prices that prevailed in the same year. Nominal GDP is just a more precise name for GDP
Real GDP is the value of final goods and services produced in a given year when valued at
the prices of a reference base year
Real GDP= Nominal GDP divided by a price index
Real GDP moves with changes in the quantity of goods and services produced, not with
changes in prices.
You use the original prices, but use the new quantity to find real GDP.
Long term growth comes from:
Growth in the labour force (employment)
Growth in the skills of the labour force (human capital)
Growth in the capital shock (investment)
Growth in the productivity (technology)
Income depends on spending, and planned spending
depends on income.
Planned spending and the aggregate expenditure
(AE) schedule.
The planned aggregate expenditure (AE) schedule is
upwards sloping.
Equilibrium is where AE=Y.
Equilibrium is where planned AE interested the 45 degree
line, where AE=Y.
At Y1, output > AE. Some goods produced go unsold:
unintended inventory accumulation. Firms reduce
output
At Y2, planned AE> output, so firms inventories get
depleted. Firms raise output.
If planned AE is flatter, the change in income, and
hence the multiplier, is smaller.
More spending on imports could worsen the
multiplier, despite higher income
AE = A + bY
Where A is the vertical intercept for autonomous spending,
and b is the marginal increase in planned AE from an
additional dollar of income (Y).
If a government tax is added:
AE = G + A + b(1-t)Y. This is because
C = C(hat) + Byd.
B is the MPC (savings function = 1-b of income), whereas Yd is disposable income, which is
income less taxes. Therefore, yd = Y – Taxes = Y –T (lump size tax, doesn’t depend on income
–ty proportional tax
Yd = Y – T - tY
1/(1-b) is the expenditure multiplier.
Deficit = G-tY
A closed economy does not have X-M.
The Keynesian cross treats prices as fixed and does not address inflation – it is a short run
model (the period of time in which prices do not adjust to responses in changes in demand).
Exogenous expenditure – the portion of planned aggregate expenditure that depends on
output.
Income-expenditure multiplier – the effect of a one unit increase in exogenous expenditure
on short-run equilibrium output.
REAL GDP = Nominal GDP/ Price Index.
OUTPAT GAP: The difference between actual GDP and potential GDP.
Unemployment rate:
The price level is the average level of prices – it determines the value of money
A persistently rising price level is inflation
A persistently falling price level is deflation
CPI determines the basket of goods and services consumed from the household expenditure
survey.
Wage pressures that cause increases or decreases in the inflation rate, as generated by
cyclical unemployment.
When output is below potential, so cyclical unemployment is positive, wages rise
more slowly.
When output is above
potential output so that
unemployment falls
beneath the natural
rate, wages rise more
quickly.
This generates a short-run
relationship between
output and inflation.
Inflationary expectations also matter: Output>potential one
year, inflation increases. Workers and firms then expect
higher inflation the next year, and negotiate wages
accordingly.
The recognition that the SRIA curve shifts as inflationary expectations change emphasises
what when output remains above potential (the unemployment rate remains below the
natural rate of unemployment), the rate of inflation increases. When it remains below
potential (the unemployment rate is above the natural rate), inflation decreases.
The inflation adjustment curve relates inflation to the state of the economy:
measured by a comparsion of actual output with potential output.
Nominal Interest Rate = Real Interest Rate + Inflation.
CPI assumes fixed expenditure weights. But in reality, consumers substitute away from
items whose relative prices are increasing.
Phillips curve is the relationship between unemployment and inflation.
Week 13:
The mainstream view is that the proximate cause of recessions are declines in
aggregate demand.
However how does a shortfall in AD occur, when expenditure SHOULD equal national
income.
When spending=income in a national account identity, it says nothing about the way in
which causation runs.
Mainstream view of the GFC:
Household price bubble
Large increase in household debt in GDP
Centralised debt obligations
Lending standards drop. Mortgage delinquencies increases, especially for low quality
borrowers. Due to high delinquencies, individuals were unable to payback there
loans
Banks become wary of lending to each other. Credit dries up. Firms could not get
finance, could not get working capital, fired workers…
Automatic stabilisers:
Automatically change in response to the state of the economy:
Tax Revenue: government’s set tax rates, but the taxes decreases in poor eco conditions
(lower incomes) and increases in better eco conditions (higher incomes)
Transfer Payments: welfare payments, especially unemployment benefits increase when
the economy is doing poorly and decrease when its doing well.
Discretionary changes to fiscal policy change the structural budget balance (the budget
balance that would prevail, assuming the economy was at full employment)
The AE curve is flatter the larger the share of income spent on imports. The multiplier is
smaller then AE is flatter.
Fiscal policy is likely to be most useful just as an economy is about to enter a recession:
Use resources about to be idled from fall in private demand
Avoid consumer panic from spiralling unemployment
Avoid collapse in investment.
Goals:
The stability of the currency in Australia
Maintenance of full employment
Economic prosperity and welfare of the people of Australia.
RBA has independence from government: prevents manipulation of monetary policy for
political ends, and keeps monetary policy focused on its long-term goals.
Inflation target of 2-3% over the medium term
Low target level of inflation reduces economic distortions
Target provides an anchor for inflationary expectations
Flexible target: difficult/costly to fine-tune inflation.
RBA operates in the overnight money market to keep the cash rate close to its target level.
Stabilisation of output close to potential keeps inflation stable, and maintains full
employment.
Stabilising inflation and output potential IS NOT a trade off.
The policy rule is steeper: therefore, the nominal rate of inflation rates faster than inflation.
Transmissions:
Intertemporal substitutions: A reduction in interest rates reduces the return on saving,
encouraging households to increase consumption. It is a relatively weak channel.
Investment: when IR are reduced, firms have more investment opportunities generating
high enough returns to spend it. The dwelling investment channel is very strong.
Asset-price channel: a decrease in interest rates boosts the price of stocks and real-estate
An increase in asset prices raises wealth. Households spent some of the wealth
For businesses, higher net worth makes it easier to borrow
Cash flow channel:
A reduction in IR lowers repayment amounts for mortgages and business debt.
Increase spending as interest payments decline
Cash flow decreases for savers. But Australia is a net borrower, and savers typically
have a lower marginal propensity to consumer than borrowers.
Exchange rate channel: A reduction in interest rates reduces the return on Australian
financial assets relative to other countries. This causes a depreciation in the AUD. Less
people want to invest in aus cause lower return so lower demand for the dollar
Public communication about objectives and outlook for monetary policy are also important
for modern central banking practice:
Helps anchor inflation expectations
Reduces uncertainty faced by the private sector
Provides accountability and transparency
Random things:
The competitive market outcome maximises surplus as all trades for which MB>=MC take
place. In a competitive market, consumers keep buying provided MB>=P, and firms keep
selling as long as P>=MC; thus all mutually benficial trades up to MB=MC are realised.
For a monopolist charging a single price of 80 units in the case, it would have to drop its
price in order for consumers to purchase the good past the price p=80. Hence, past the price
p=80, marginal revenue is less than marginal cost, so it will not sell here. Likewise, all firms
will maximise profit and continue to sell up until MR=MC – so its maximised profit is where
MR=MC.
Another way of saying this is that if the monopolist dropped its price beyond
MC=MR, MR is less than MC and it would not be maximising profit. Likewise, profit is
gained upto until MR>=MC. So its profit here is maximised at MR=MC/
Surplus is maximised when all trades for which MB>=MC. This occurs in a pareto efficient
competitive market. For a monopolist, profit is maximised when MR=MC – here at 20 units.
As the monopolists MR<P, this quantity will be less than the quantity required, so that
MB=MC for the last unit traded. For the units in between 20-25, the MB is greater than the
MC, so there are potential gains from trade. This results in a deadweight loss.
Because the monopolist needs to drop the price on all goods it sells to sell an extra unit, noit
just the marginal unit itself, it loses revenue from the lower price on all inframarginal units.
Provided q>0, MR<P. Hence, MR curve must lie below the average revenue curve (the
demand curve.
MR<P for selling above MR<P as you have to drop the price for every unit, not just the last
unit.
Deadweight loss is created by a monopolist because it charges a price greater than the
marginal cost of the last unit sold.
The slope of the demand curve does not tell us much about the price elasticity
Since marginal cost curve gets steeper as output increases, the total cost curve gets steeper
as output increases.
In a non-competitive market, equilibrium price and quantity may differ from equilibrium
price and quantity in a competitive market
When firms attracted by economic profits enter an industry, market supply increases and
market demand stays the same, and the result is a decline in the price.
The max a firm would be willing to pay is how much producer they would earn
The max a government would be willing to pay is how much consumer surplus they would
gain.
We know that under a monopoly, P=MB>MR. To max profit, MR=MC so we must have
P=MB>MR=MC, or MB>MC. The monopolist hence underproduces, so there will be a
deadweight lost.
For a monopolist charging a single price, it must drop its price on all inframarginal
consumers in order to sell an extra unit. Therefore MR<P, for all units but the very first unit
sold).
Tips:
READ THE QUESTIONS VERY FUCKING CAREFULLY.
TRUST YOUR FIRST INSTINCT USUALLY.