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Making Marine Renewable Energy Happen in SEA!
Global Initiatives
>1,000 Sites
200MW each
Orkney’s renewable energy resources
Very High Up to a
Chance of certain
Feasibility Resource: H Resource: H Resource: H
depth
TRL*: High TRL: Med TRL: Med
*TRL = Technology Readiness Level
Time
3 Day Period
Pontoon Displacement
Time
Techno-Economics of Pontoon Rollers
Shibata Rollers (8 per Pontoon) WEC Pontoon Roller System
• Product Cost: $8k x 8 = $64k • Device Cost: $5k x 8 = $40k
• Installation Cost ($8k) • Installation Cost ($8k)
• Annual Maintenance ($4k) • Annual Maintenance ($5k)
– Rubber Roller Replacement – Rubber + Parts Replacements
• Energy Output = 0 • Energy Output
• 10-year Lifespan – 54 MWh / year
• Payback: N/A • 10-year Lifespan
– LCOE: ~$0.15/kWh
• Payback = ~6 - 8 years
– Assumed Tariff: $0.15/kWh
Confidential
Currents – Ocean + Tidal In-Stream Energy
Highly Predictable
(Hourly, and 18.6 year into future)
Applications
(Off-Grid,Diesel Replacement)
Maldives’ Energy from Currents
Resource Potential:
10MW to > 100MW?
Potential Technology Demo/Pilot
Orkney, Scotland
Configuration Options for TISE
SEA Case Study: Island with Industry
The BUMWI Micro-Grid
Industrial Island Energy Use
Summary of Energy Statistics
Diesel Cost (Aug) Energy Distribution for August 2015
18,800li x $0.89/li (Total = 33.34368 MWh)
$16,732 Wood
Chipper 1
Eff. Electricity Rate: Wood Wood
$0.5/kWh Others Chipper 1 Chipper 2
22% 15%
Electricity Costs Wood
Wood Chipper 3
~$7,563 Industry Conveyor
Chipper 2
~$5,502 Residential 15% Belts
~$3,667 Others Residential Residential
Wood
33%
Chipper 3
Others
15%
Electricity Cost/Log: - Workshop
Conveyor
$0.045 Belts - Bulldozer
Logs/Month:~165k 0% - Shiploading
21 x 7,870 logs/day
Tidal Turbine Utility Pole
Tidal power in West Papua,
Indonesia
LONG TERM
Grid electricity
MEDIUM TERM
Diesel
replacement;
water pumping
and desalination
(mines)
SHORT TERM
Remote diesel
replacement
Some Costs in South East Asia
Sinkers: $500 to $1k / ton $100/ton
Surveys (ADCP Transect + Seabed-mounted): $100k $30k-$50k
$50k to $100k
Barge-Based Floating Support System: $250k
Tug boats / Survey Vessels: ~$10k/day $1k - $5k/day
Feasibility Studies: $500k-600k/site $150k - $300k/site
Environment Compliance Certificate (5MW to <100MW): $50k-$100k
Deployed 2m Diameter Tidal Turbine
Support Structure(Floating)+Mooring+Installation = $60k
Piling, Crane Barges, Cabling…
Techno-Economics
Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) = $$$/kWh
LCOE, IRR, Feed-in-Tariff
Total Project (20-Years)
100 MW ~USD 378M ~USD 560M ~USD 984M
CapEx = $ 233.2M OpEx = $6.63M/yr CapEx = $ 406.5M OpEx = $6.63M/yr CapEx = $ 810.2M OpEx = $6.63M/yr
FIT (PhP/kWh) USD 2M/ MW (LCOE = $ 0.11/kWh) USD 4M/ MW (LCOE = $ 0.17/kWh) USD 8M/MW (LCOE = $ 0.3/kWh)
10 ROI = 95% IRR = 14% ROI = 32% IRR = 6%
Profit = ~USD 358M Payback = ~6.5 yrs Profit = ~USD 177M Payback = ~11 yrs
13.5 ROI = 163% IRR = 21% ROI = 78% IRR = 11% ROI = 1% IRR = 3%
Profit = ~USD 616M Payback = ~5 yrs Profit = ~USD 434M Payback = ~7.6 yrs Profit = ~USD 9M Payback = ~16.2 yrs
ROI = 232% IRR = 28% ROI = 124% IRR = 15% ROI = 27% IRR = 5%
17
Profit = ~USD 873M Payback = ~3.5 yrs Profit = ~USD 691M Payback = ~6.3 yrs Profit = ~USD 267M Payback = ~12 yrs
[1-2 years]
Indonesia Pilot Increase Pilot Capacity Indonesia Grid-Connected Projects
(Off-Grid) (Progressive Dev’t) [3-5 years] (No FIT yet…)
[6-18 months]
Floating Platform Demo Indonesia Off-Grid Projects
(Singapore – Low Risk)
time
Deployments/Installations
Raffles’ Lighthouse, Singapore
PLAT-I (Inshore)
PLAT-I – SITs deployed PLAT-I – Birds eye view
PLAT-I – SITs in transit
mode
SDM (SIT
DEPLOYMENT
MODULE) - MEC
Hulls - STR
SIT (SCHOTTEL
INSTREAM
Legend:- TURBINE) - SIT
STR – Structure
MEC – Mechanical
SIT – SCHOTTEL Instream Turbines
Mooring - PCI – Power Control and Instrumentation
MOR MOR – Mooring arrangement
Building the Global Future of Ocean/Marine RE in SEA
>$300B Market
Global Competitiveness
New Products & Services
>$150M in the next 5 years Offshore
Inward Investment Marine
Maritime
Logistics
Coordination Clean Tech
Alignment Enriched Energy
Capability Dev’t Intelligence
Regional
Synergy Marine RE Ecosystem
~$15M in the last 5 years Hub Stage Urban Solutions and Sustainability
Various Efforts Advanced Manufacturing and Engineering
Agencies
ERI@N Seed stage
OP Growing a Vibrant National Innovation System
Strong Research Manpower Base
Network Spurring Academic Excellence
SMEs
Industries
The NEED for a Marine Renewable Energy Hub
Need for Ecosystem Alignment, Coordination, Steering
RD&D
Capability Dev’t
Others
Summary / Conclusions /
Recommendations
Ocean/Marine-based Renewable Energy Options Exist in/for the
Philippines
Floating Solar, Offshore Wind (can be feasible)
Waves and Currents, maybe OTEC
Stakeholders must recognize these options and be open to them
Data Analytics
Suitability Maps
LONG TERM
Grid electricity
MEDIUM TERM
Diesel
replacement;
water pumping
and desalination
(mines)
SHORT TERM
Remote diesel
replacement
Some Costs in South East Asia
Sinkers: $500 to $1k / ton $100/ton
Surveys (ADCP Transect + Seabed-mounted): $100k $30k-$50k
$50k to $100k
Barge-Based Floating Support System: $250k
Tug boats / Survey Vessels: ~$10k/day $1k - $5k/day
Feasibility Studies: $500k-600k/site $150k - $300k/site
Environment Compliance Certificate (5MW to <100MW): $50k-$100k
Deployed 2m Diameter Tidal Turbine
Support Structure(Floating)+Mooring+Installation = $60k
Piling, Crane Barges, Cabling…
LCOE, IRR, Feed-in-Tariff
Total Project (20-Years)
100 MW ~USD 378M ~USD 560M ~USD 984M
CapEx = $ 233.2M OpEx = $6.63M/yr CapEx = $ 406.5M OpEx = $6.63M/yr CapEx = $ 810.2M OpEx = $6.63M/yr
FIT (PhP/kWh) USD 2M/ MW (LCOE = $ 0.11/kWh) USD 4M/ MW (LCOE = $ 0.17/kWh) USD 8M/MW (LCOE = $ 0.3/kWh)
10 ROI = 95% IRR = 14% ROI = 32% IRR = 6%
Profit = ~USD 358M Payback = ~6.5 yrs Profit = ~USD 177M Payback = ~11 yrs
13.5 ROI = 163% IRR = 21% ROI = 78% IRR = 11% ROI = 1% IRR = 3%
Profit = ~USD 616M Payback = ~5 yrs Profit = ~USD 434M Payback = ~7.6 yrs Profit = ~USD 9M Payback = ~16.2 yrs
ROI = 232% IRR = 28% ROI = 124% IRR = 15% ROI = 27% IRR = 5%
17
Profit = ~USD 873M Payback = ~3.5 yrs Profit = ~USD 691M Payback = ~6.3 yrs Profit = ~USD 267M Payback = ~12 yrs
Data Analytics
Suitability Maps
Applications/Pilot Development
advantages and disadvantages of current and promising
technologies and practices in the electricity sector, road
and sea transport sectors, drinking water supply, and
the industrial and housing sectors
Summary / Conclusions
There are Marine Renewable Energy Resources in SEA
Next step:
Multi-Site, Multi-Device, Multi-Criteria
Geographic Information System
Data Analytics
Suitability Maps
of electrical demand
107% in Orkney met by
renewables in 2014
South East Asia RD&D
Simulation Studies Myanmar Indonesia Europe, N. America, Australia
Tidal Barrage Tidal Current Test
74
Wave and tidal
Marine energy markets:
LONG TERM
Grid electricity
MEDIUM TERM
Diesel
replacement;
water pumping
and desalination
(mines)
SHORT TERM
Remote diesel
replacement
Some Costs in South East Asia
Sinkers: $500 to $1k / ton $100/ton
Surveys (ADCP Transect + Seabed-mounted): $100k $30k-$50k
$50k to $100k
Barge-Based Floating Support System: $250k
Tug boats / Survey Vessels: ~$10k/day $1k - $5k/day
Feasibility Studies: $500k-600k/site $150k - $300k/site
Environment Compliance Certificate (5MW to <100MW): $50k-$100k
Deployed 2m Diameter Tidal Turbine
Support Structure(Floating)+Mooring+Installation = $60k
Piling, Crane Barges, Cabling…
Confidential
ERI@N 78
*
Technology Zones
Hs> 1m
Medium Energy
Medium Risk
Array Approach Hs> 0.5m
Huge Waves
High Energy
High Risk
Hs < 0.5m Offshore Challenges
Multi-function Device
‘Low Wave’ Resource Capture
‘Dry Setup’
Low Risk
Easier Maintenance
Confidential
Confidential
* Field Data:
WEC and Pontoon
Time
3 Day Period
Pontoon Displacement
Time
Techno-Economics of Pontoon Rollers
Shibata Rollers (8 per Pontoon) WEC Pontoon Roller System
• Product Cost: $8k x 8 = $64k • Device Cost: $5k x 8 = $40k
• Installation Cost ($8k) • Installation Cost ($8k)
• Annual Maintenance ($4k) • Annual Maintenance ($5k)
– Rubber Roller Replacement – Rubber + Parts Replacements
• Energy Output = 0 • Energy Output
• 10-year Lifespan – 54 MWh / year
• Payback: N/A • 10-year Lifespan
– LCOE: ~$0.15/kWh
• Payback = ~6 - 8 years
– Assumed Tariff: $0.15/kWh
Confidential
Tidal Resource Validation
82
SEA Case Study: Island with Industry
The BUMWI Micro-Grid
Industrial Island Energy Use
Summary of Energy Statistics
Diesel Cost (Aug) Energy Distribution for August 2015
18,800li x $0.89/li (Total = 33.34368 MWh)
$16,732 Wood
Chipper 1
Eff. Electricity Rate: Wood Wood
$0.5/kWh Others Chipper 1 Chipper 2
22% 15%
Electricity Costs Wood
Wood Chipper 3
~$7,563 Industry Conveyor
Chipper 2
~$5,502 Residential 15% Belts
~$3,667 Others Residential Residential
Wood
33%
Chipper 3
Others
15%
Electricity Cost/Log: - Workshop
Conveyor
$0.045 Belts - Bulldozer
Logs/Month:~165k 0% - Shiploading
21 x 7,870 logs/day
Case Study: Hybrid System
for an Island Micro-Grids
Samar
Dalupiri
Capul
San Bernardino
97
Multi-Site, Multi-Device, Multi-Criteria
Geographic Information System
Data Analytics
Suitability Maps
mike@oceanpixel.org
+65 9066 3584