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Article history: This is the first work to describe the characteristics of public acceptance of hydrogen
Received 8 December 2016 stations (H2 station) in Japan using risk perception scales. We conducted an online survey
Received in revised form asking respondents to rate their acceptance of having an H2 station constructed in the gas
21 February 2017 station nearest their home. Sixty-six percent of respondents indicated a high rate of
Accepted 5 March 2017 acceptance, with males tending to be more accepting than females, irrespective of age. We
Available online 28 March 2017 found the following to be explanatory factors for acceptance: gender, degree, vehicle use,
knowledge about hydrogen, risk perception of H2 station, and inherent risk acceptance and
Keywords: avoidance. Binominal regression analysis was used to construct an acceptance model, and
Dread factor the risk perception factor “Dread” was dominant among the effective independent vari-
Hydrogen fueling stations ables. This suggests that alleviating inherent dread or fear by providing precise risk in-
Public acceptance formation will lead to better acceptance. Our study contributes to improved risk
Risk perception communication on H2 station construction.
Unknown factor © 2017 Hydrogen Energy Publications LLC. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address: kyoko.ono@aist.go.jp (K. Ono).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhydene.2017.03.021
0360-3199/© 2017 Hydrogen Energy Publications LLC. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Department of Energy [3]. Ricci et al. reviewed the public prescribed “Personal information protection management
perception of hydrogen [4], and the results of a public systemsdRequirements (JIS Q15001).” MACROMILL removed
perception survey have been reported, including FCV and H2 all individual information from the dataset and that we used
stations [5e19]. Schmidt et al. summarized a variety of studies in the analysis.
that identified a lack of awareness and knowledge regarding About 2000 or more respondents were selected from all
hydrogen technology; however, they found that general panelists using a stratified random sampling method. First, we
hydrogen acceptance was nevertheless high [20]. Some of the chose potential respondents proportionally from the number
reviewed studies were simple social surveys gauging accep- of people within each of eight administrative regions (1.
tance of hydrogen technology [5,9,12,15,16]. They analyzed Hokkaido, 2. Tohoku, 3. Kanto, 4. Chubu, 5. Kinki, 6. Chugoku,
relationships between the tendency toward acceptance and 7. Shikoku, 8. Kyushu), with consideration given to sex and age
knowledge level and perception of hydrogen and/or H2 sta- (20e29, 30e39, 40e49, 50e59, 60þ) based on the Population
tions. Some studies quantitatively examined the de- Census 2013. The respondents selected by the stratified
terminants of being in favor of or against a hydrogen refueling random sampling were considered representative of the Jap-
facility in the European region [6,10,11,13,14,17e19]. These anese population.
European studies investigated the factors behind citizens' We decided beforehand that the ratio of males should be in
intention to act a given way towards a hydrogen refueling the range of 0.3e0.7, because adjustment of the sex ratio was
facility. Policy makers can benefit from early knowledge of impossible considering the home region and age of potential
how people will respond, and thus prior to actual observable respondents. There was no upper limit for respondent age.
behavior, it is useful to study intention to act. However, it was difficult to select respondents' age
Huijts et al. defined acceptance as behavior towards energy 70þ according to the real proportion of this population,
technologies, and acceptability as an attitude. They con- because panelists of that age were scarce. Therefore, the
tended that acceptance reflects behavior that enables or pro- proportion of respondents over 60 years of age was repre-
motes the use of a technology, rather than inhibiting or sented by the proportion of the population 60e69, but the re-
demoting its use [21]. They constructed a risk-acceptance spondents over 60 years of age included both ages 60e69 and
model and described the structure of such acceptance. Their 70þ. A total of 2069 people participated in the survey.
model included cognitive determinants of acceptance (e.g.,
perceived benefits and risks), along with affective factors such Questions about respondents' characteristics
as positive and negative feelings of fear, satisfaction or trust Each panelist was asked in advance to participate in this
[6]. This model has been deemed effective because it explains questionnaire by e-mail; we informed respondents that the
the characteristics of risk acceptance simply [6,14,17]. questionnaire was strictly voluntarily and that they were free
In Japan, surveys inquiring whether or not respondents to decline. To reduce susceptibility to fatigue, we sought to
were agreeable toward the introduction of H2 stations, as well keep the amount of time needed to complete the survey to
as their understanding and perceptions about hydrogen and under 15 min. In consideration of the ethical and human
FCVs, were conducted in 2008, 2009 and 2015 [7]. Thus, the rights of the individuals, we did not ask for personally iden-
surveys could report the change in percentage of supporters tifiable information or medical histories.
over time. The results showed that people were gaining The survey was conducted in January 2014. During the
knowledge about H2 stations, but there was not an observed survey period (1.5 days), we received 2069 valid responses
change in their perception of risks or benefits [7]. They did not from approximately 10,000 email invitations sent to potential
discuss the risk perception characteristics associated with H2 respondents as a screening, for a response rate of 20%. For
stations. respondents younger than 60 years, while the gender ratios
The aims of this study were to characterize risk perception and age distribution reflected the actual demographics of re-
of H2 stations and to analyze acceptance of H2 stations by spondents' residential areas, the gender ratios of each specific
classifying people according to attributes such as knowledge age varied because of disparity in the ages of monitor mem-
of hydrogen and risk perception characteristics. This paper bers. The number of respondents 60 years or older was less
contains: (1) a summary of the ratio of people in the Japanese than the actual corresponding age structure due to constraints
public who feel supportive of H2 station construction and arising from the absolute number of monitor members. The
those who oppose it; and (2) a characterization of the risk number of valid responses from people aged 70þ was 49.
perception of those groups using psychological factors in Table 1 summarizes the demographic attributes and living
addition to demographic attributes. situations of respondents. Respondents were asked questions
regarding their age, educational attainment, household
annual income, number of children (under 18 years old)
Methods residing with them, housing type (detached or multi-family),
vehicle ownership, frequency of automobile usage per week,
Outline of survey distance from their home to the nearest gas station (GS), and
frequency of public transportation usage per week.
Selection of respondents of online survey
Survey respondents were panelists (male and female, 18 years Question on acceptance of H2 stations
or older, who live in various parts of Japan) of MACROMILL
Inc., a Japanese marketing research company. MACROMILL First, respondents were provided with written qualitative in-
had 1,150,000 panelists as of January 2013, covered by formation regarding “What are hydrogen stands?” and “How
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Question on risk perception, scale of risk acceptance, and acceptance. Items were assessed using four-point scales to be
risk-avoiding tendencies consistent with previous studies [27e29] (4: strongly agree; 3:
agree; 2: disagree; 1: strongly disagree). Since neutral points
We provided respondents with a series of questions to char- were not provided, participants were required to choose
acterize risk perception on H2 stations. In risk perception whether they agreed or disagreed. This has the advantage of
studies, a common approach is the use of psychophysical eliminating ambiguous answers. Questions about the scale of
scaling and multivariate procedures, such as factor analysis risk acceptance and risk-avoidance tendencies were based on
[24]. In previous studies [24e26], characteristics of perceived previous questionnaires [28e31].
risk could be described by two underlying dimensions, i.e.,
“Dread” and the “Unknown”. According to Slovic, “Dread” was Statistical analysis
defined by perceived lack of control, dread, catastrophic po-
tential, fatal consequences, etc., while “Unknown” was Factor analysis was conducted to extract factors based on the
defined by hazards judged to be unobservable, unknown, new, datasets for the awareness of environmental problems, risk
and delayed in their manifestation of harm [24]. We followed perception of H2 stations, the risk acceptance scale, and the
these definitions in this study. The question items are orientation of risk avoidance, because we considered that
included in Table 4; they were modified from the previous psychological factors would reflect the results from ques-
study [27] to focus on the characteristics of H2 stations. We tionnaires. The maximum likelihood procedure was used,
asked respondents' thoughts, providing these questions in followed by the promax rotation. Factors with an eigenvalue
four-point scales (4: strongly agree; 3: agree; 2: disagree; 1: of more than one were extracted. Factor scores were esti-
strongly disagree). mated using the regression method. After obtaining eigen-
Similar to risk perception, respondents were asked to values, items of lower communalities (h2 < 0.3) were deleted,
indicate the extent to which they agreed or disagreed with and factor analysis was reiterated.
statements about the scale of risk acceptance (Table 5), and Stepwise binominal regression analysis was conducted to
risk-avoiding tendencies (Table 6). The scale of risk accep- construct a prediction model with significantly correlated
tance reflects the intrinsic psychological degree of risk factors. At first, all parametric factors (shown in Table S1)
Table 3 e Arithmetic mean, standard deviation and factor loading matrix for awareness of environmental problems (i.e.,
global warming, energy resource depletion, air pollution) and credibility of mass media, and their interpretation. KMO,
0.82; P < 0.001 (Bartlett's test).
AMa SDa Factor 1b Factor 2b Factor 3b
You worry whether plenty of energy will be 3.14 0.68 0.840 0.155 0.044
supplied at low cost in the future.
Use of renewable energy should be accelerated 3.19 0.67 0.788 0.068 0.074
because fossil fuel is a limited natural resource.
Environmental problems are an important issue 3.11 0.66 0.742 0.015 0.014
that should be solved using taxpayer's money.
You worry about depletion of petroleum in the future. 3.04 0.74 0.635 0.073 0.062
Safety is the highest priority when we use 3.29 0.66 0.520 0.025 0.106
new technology.
Carbon dioxide emitted in daily life, which 3.04 0.68 0.441 0.345 0.136
results in global warming, should be
reduced by individual effort.
You are suspicious that global warming 2.08 0.86 0.201 ¡0.877 0.054
has actually happened.
You never care about air pollution because 3.07 0.73 0.035 0.507 0.233
you think that the air pollution
problem is exaggerated.
Countermeasures for global warming should 2.72 0.74 0.221 0.411 0.209
be given the highest priority among
environmental problems.
You trust government statements. 3.10 0.67 0.079 0.154 0.733
You trust newspaper articles. 2.83 0.71 0.009 0.118 0.642
Table 4 e Arithmetic mean, standard deviation and factor pattern loading for risk perception of H2 stations and their
interpretation. KMO, 0.92; P < 0.001 (Bartlett's test).
AMa SDa Factor 1b Factor 2b Factor 3b
I intuitively dread a hydrogen stand. 2.37 0.68 0.857 0.019 0.062
Accidents related to hydrogen stands will increase when 2.54 0.64 0.804 0.026 0.14
they become popular in society.
Irreparable damage will be caused by a hydrogen stand. 2.58 0.67 0.796 0.117 0.192
It is difficult to prevent accidents with hydrogen stands. 2.39 0.64 0.679 0.045 0.112
A hydrogen stand itself causes fear. 2.33 0.69 0.676 0.057 0.194
Reliability of the system is poor with a hydrogen stand. 2.38 0.64 0.529 0.031 0.245
An accident in a hydrogen stand has serious consequences 2.54 0.64 0.022 0.923 0.021
for its surroundings.
An accident in a hydrogen stand affects a wide area. 2.72 0.71 0.011 0.894 0.006
An accident in a hydrogen stand results in a large number of victims. 2.76 0.71 0.18 0.683 0.007
Even a small leak of hydrogen from a hydrogen stand should be averted. 2.63 0.77 0.184 0.335 0.242
The potential for accidents caused by a hydrogen stand is uncertain. 2.83 0.74 0.033 0.007 0.877
Damage caused by an accident related to the installation 2.86 0.76 0.132 0.037 0.806
of a hydrogen stand is uncertain.
Table 5 e Arithmetic mean, standard deviation and factor loading matrix for risk acceptance scale and their interpretation.
KMO, 0.82; P < 0.001 (Bartlett's test).
AMa SDa Factor 1b Factor 2b Factor 3b Factor 4b
You are careful in responding to anything. 2.85 0.64 0.746 0.084 0.114 0.092
You always want to play it safe. 3.07 0.65 0.687 0.067 0.066 0.034
You are careful not to fail at anything you do. 2.77 0.65 0.625 0.118 0.102 0.134
You never approach dangerous places. 2.81 0.73 0.578 0.126 0.128 0.12
You do not start with difficult problems before 2.78 0.64 0.562 0.109 0.110 0.025
having comprehensive visions.
You dislike anything scary. 2.78 0.77 0.515 0.185 0.147 0.204
You continue to take risks without quitting, 2.40 0.72 0.106 0.851 0.097 0.075
even if it does not go smoothly.
Difficult problems are challenging. 2.59 0.73 0.055 0.825 0.098 0.024
You like the challenge of something new. 2.43 0.73 0.03 0.685 0.042 0.047
When you find challenging things, 2.87 0.67 0.116 0.383 0.077 0.293
you start them soon.
All events include some risks. 2.76 0.66 0.114 0.156 0.774 0.044
You accept some risks if you obtain benefits. 2.57 0.68 0.128 0.055 0.711 0.042
Society is comprised of a mixture of 2.88 0.62 0.181 0.055 0.618 0.034
dangers and safety.
Life is what keeps on the right side of dangers. 2.66 0.72 0.04 0.284 0.375 0.051
You take a risk without considering your ability. 2.90 0.69 0.013 0.07 0.037 0.76
Some say that you are daredevil. 3.02 0.67 0.053 0.065 0.045 0.758
were included in the model. These variables were then Factor analysis and integration of factors
selected according to AIC. Factor analyses were performed
with the psych package in R [32]. Calculation of Spearman's We executed factor analyses for awareness concerning envi-
correlation factors and the regression analysis were per- ronmental issues (Table 3), risk perceptions on H2 stations
formed with calculation by R [32]. (Table 4), scale of risk acceptance (Table 5), and risk-avoidance
tendency (Table 6). All factor analyses showed Kaiser-Meyer-
Olkin (KMO) values of 0.82e0.92 in terms of sampling ade-
Results quacy, and P < 0.001 (Bartlett's test) for exhibiting reliable es-
timates. Factor loadings were equivalent to the strength of
Respondents' knowledge and existing image of hydrogen correlations between the factor and the variables that
and hydrogen technology contributed to the factor [24].
As shown in Table 3, we provided question items on
Table 2 shows the results for questions about familiarity with awareness of global warming, energy resource depletion, air
seven power-generation systems, and knowledge and images pollution and credibility on mass media. Three factors labeled
of hydrogen and hydrogen technology. In terms of knowledge “Positive for problem solution”, “Negative for problem solu-
about hydrogen, mean scores are shown for respondents with tion”, and “Trust for mass media” were selected by the factor
a scientific degree, a non-scientific degree, and no degree. analysis.
Respondents with a scientific degree had higher scores than Table 4 shows the three factors extracted with high factor
the other two groups, indicating the former tend to have more loadings on risk perceptions of H2 stations. In previous studies,
correct knowledge about hydrogen. risk perception was well explained by two factors, i.e., “Dread”
and “Unknown” [24]. However, this study showed that it is
Ratio of acceptance for H2 station reasonable to postulate a third factor, called “Catastrophic”.
This factor had a larger eigenvalue than the “Unknown” factor.
We obtained quantitative data on the acceptance of H2 Rosa and Matsuda demonstrated the validity of assuming the
stations, after general information on H2 stations was pro- “Catastrophic” factor as a latent explanation factor in a struc-
vided to respondents. Fig. 1 shows the percentages for those tured model [33]. We believe the survey questions were
who agree/disagree under the Installation in the GS sce- appropriate for extracting the characteristics of interest. This
nario. We classified those who answered, the question with might have been due to the common inherent image of a
“Agree” and “Agree somewhat” as people “who feel sup- hydrogen accident, which is that of an instantaneous, massive
portive for installation of H2 stations”. The ratio of this explosion. As for hydrogen explosion hazard, people will easily
category (feel supportive) was 66.0%. More than half of re- imagine an instant hazard, but had difficulty imagining a lag-
spondents had a positive image of H2 stations. Supporters' ged hazard. This might be why Unknown was a weaker factor.
ratio for New construction scenario was 62.6%, similar to the Another explanation is that hydrogen explosion is an instant
Installation in the GS scenario. We analyzed the answer to phenomenon; thus, there is no delay of effect.
the question that “Do you agree with the H2 station under As for the scale of risk acceptance, four factors, called
the Installation in the GS scenario?” in detail in the following “Chariness”, “Challenging”, “Balance” and “Reckless were
analyses. extracted (Table 5). In terms of the tendency toward risk-
Table 6 e Arithmetic mean, standard deviation and factor pattern loading for risk avoidance scale and their interpretation.
KMO, 0.85; P < 0.001 (Bartlett's test).
AMa SDa Factor 1b Factor 2b
You worry about big accidents on airplanes and buses. 2.31 0.84 0.877 0.139
You fear nothing in comparison to your friends. 2.63 0.79 0.735 0.128
You often worry that you will be visited by a natural 2.43 0.78 0.551 0.141
disaster such as an earthquake, a flood, or a thunderbolt.
You mind the seat with high mortality rates when you take 2.02 0.75 0.359 0.269
cars or highway express buses.
You rarely eat food with additives and artificial coloring. 2.41 0.81 0.175 0.71
You take care about health. 2.79 0.72 0.221 0.685
You confirm escape door when you stay at hotels. 2.02 0.75 0.079 0.546
You worry if you do not check the locks and fire hazards 2.69 0.86 0.145 0.465
before you sleep.
You consider safety against fire when you select a house. 2.59 0.76 0.33 0.392
Fig. 2 e Relationship between ratio of supporters for the installation of H2 stations at the gas station nearest to their home
and demographic factors. a: respondents who graduated college, university or higher were classified as “Higher”, others
were “Lower”. b: respondents who graduated from a scientific course at college or university were classified as “Yes” (22% of
all respondents). c: respondents who live in Tokyo Metropolitan or the other government-designated city were classified as
“Urban”. Respondents who live in cities with >300,000 population were classified as “Middle”, and others were “Rural”. d:
respondents who use vehicle more than once a week were classified as “More”, and the others were “Less”. * Significant at
5% level; ** Significant at 1% level; *** Significant at 0.1% level.
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Fig. 3 e Relationship between ratio of supporters for the installation of H2 stations at the gas station nearest to their home
and knowledge and image of hydrogen, and psychological factors. Higher: group who had higher score than average; Lower:
group who had lower score than average. * Significant at 5% level; ** Significant at 1% level; *** Significant at 0.1% level.
Table 7 e Result of stepwise logit regression analysis (N ¼ 2069). Dependent variable: acceptance of H2 station with binary
transformation.
Independent variable Standardized b estimates (SE) z value
(Intercept) 1.445 (0.589) 2.46 *
. Significant at 10% level; * Significant at 5% level; ** Significant at 1% level; *** Significant at 0.1% level.
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GS scenario (Table 7). We set acceptance of H2 station as the Previous research pointed out that people's social attitude
dependent variable with binary transformation, i.e., “Agree” and personal attributes were affecting factors in attitudes
and “Agree somewhat” indicated “acceptable”, and “Disagree towards H2 stations or hydrogen technology. A study by Huijts
somewhat” and “Disagree” indicated “unacceptable”. Inde- et al. [6] showed individual behavior norms were effective
pendent variables were selected by AIC. Pseudo R2 was 0.3. explanation factors for supporters of H2 stations, but that
Among the effective independent variables, “Dread” was education level and income were not effective. As for personal
the dominant factor, for which b was the largest. This means attributes, while several research groups have analyzed the
that alleviating inherent dread or fear by providing correct relationship between H2 station acceptance and distance
images or precise risk information will create better accep- from home to the nearest existing GSs stations, the results
tance of H2 stations. Information is needed on the charac- have been inconsistent. Work in the Netherlands showed that
teristics of hydrogen, scale of potential explosions, and more opponents lived near GS [17], while research in the U.K.
protection measures against heat or explosion. People tend showed a weaker tendency of opposition in the group living
to have an image of a hydrogen explosion as an instant, less than 200 m from a GS than in those living at a distance of
explicit hazard accompanied by heavy injury. “Unknown” 200e500 m [11]. In Norway, where H2 stations have already
was again a weaker explanation factor. This is because been installed, people with more knowledge of FCV and H2
people recognized that delayed adverse effects do not occur stations were less supportive of them than respondents who
by accident. Awareness of environmental problem solution lived 1 km further from the H2 station [14]. Similarly, we had
(“Positive for problem solution” and “Negative for problem anticipated the participants who lived farther than 1 km from
solution”) seemed be effective factors due to largeness of the a GS would tend to be less accepting of H2 stations and to have
b value. a stronger intuitive dread. However, the results showed there
was no significant difference for distance to GS. Other socio-
demographic factors could not explain well the difference
Discussion because the individual attributes had no apparent classifica-
tion, and living conditions are generally common and ho-
This is the first comprehensive survey on H2 station accep- mogenized in Japan. Japanese people do not have separate
tance in the Japanese public to explore factors affecting residential areas by income, nor do they have access to
acceptance in view of not only demographic attributes but also different news sources.
psychological perception. Sixty-six percent of respondents It is curious that the ratio of acceptance seemed inverse to
were open to accepting H2 stations. Respondents' tendency to the higher “H2-promising technology” and vice versa (Fig. 3).
accept the technology or not was well explained by psycho- This might be because the point was a summation of three
logical factors. There was a significant difference between the question items, and most respondents chose “3” (the middle
higher score group and lower score group for risk perception of alternative), which essentially said nothing, and so did not
H2 stations and scale of risk acceptance. Acceptance in the reflect their opinions well.
former group was 82%, while that in the latter was 48% in The logit regression model constructed here is a prototype
terms of the Dread factor (Fig. 3). This finding was not to estimate supporter's ratio status quo, and we successfully
consistent with results of studies conducted in the EU or US, selected important factors as dependent variables (Table 7).
where safety concerns were relatively low, and hydrogen was The results can aid in the identification of factors that will be
regarded to be as safe as gasoline or diesel fuel [3,20]. The important during explanation opportunities and exchanges of
survey results suggest that providing more information on H2 opinions, as well as the methods for such communications,
stations to address public fear will be an effective approach to when new infrastructures are installed. In the model,
convincing people that hydrogen technology is feasible. “Gender” was deleted among effective independent variables
We analyzed degree of flaming effect, which is one of due to its weak explanation power caused by binominal al-
cognitive bias in which people choose inconsistent answers ternatives of gender. “Catastrophic” was deleted among
when asked the same thing in opposite ways, such as “Do you effective independent variables, as well. This might be
think it is good?” or “Do you think it is problematic?” [34] We because the correlation between factors 1 and 2, i.e., “Dread”
provided two types of question regarding H2 station accep- and “Catastrophic” was 0.55 (Table 4), and showing a strong
tance, i.e., “Do you agree with the installation of H2 stations?”, multicollinearity between these factors. A similar model for
and “Do you feel the installation of H2 stations is problem- explaining hydrogen acceptance was provided in a previous
atic?” For the latter question, 24.4% and 28.3% of respondents study [11]. The model obtained in this study contains psy-
answered “Problematic somewhat” or “Problematic” under chological risk perception factors, and these explained
the Installation in the GS scenario and New construction perception characteristics on H2 stations and hydrogen more
scenario, respectively. Less than half of respondents had a directly.
negative image of H2 stations. Degree of inconsistency should As for future research, first, we will repeat this survey to
be small due to the higher (>r0.5r) Pearson's correlation coef- analyze the change of acceptance of H2 stations in relation to
ficient between the answer of these conditions (See Table S1, widespread diffusion of H2 station over time. Secondly, we
27e30). Thus, we focused to analyze on the answer to the plan to compare the case in which risk information and ben-
question that “Do you agree with the installation of H2 sta- efits around H2 stations are provided because the answers in
tions?” under Installation in the GS scenario in detail. Instal- this survey were based on respondents' existing images or
lation in the GS scenario is becoming more realistic and self-reported knowledge about hydrogen after being provided
common due to the Japanese Government initiative. with an explanation.
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