Sei sulla pagina 1di 3

STATION 5: DESIGN YOUR OWN CASINO GAME 

NUMBERS TO ROYALTY 
KATRINA LE 
THE GAME:  
The game is simple. The player bets $2 to play. The player then rolls two dice. If the
sum of the two dice is 7, the player then proceeds to draw to cards from a standard deck of cards.
If one of them is a face card, they win $5. If both of them are face cards, they win $50.

THE ANALYSIS: 
 
GAME  ROLL  RESULT  DRAW  2ND RESULT  PROFIT 

1  8  L      2 

2  5  L      2 

3  6  L      2 

4  7  W  1 QUEEN  W  -5 

5  4  L      2 

6  5  L      2 

7  2  L      2 

8  5  L      2 

9  3  L      2 

10  5  L      2 

11  10  L      2 

12  7  W  1 QUEEN  W  -5 

13  8  L      2 

14  6  L      2 

15  9  L      2 

16  7  W  1 JACK  W  -5 

17  2  L      2 

18  7  W  ZERO  L  2 

19  5  L      2 

20  6  L      2 
STATION 5: DESIGN YOUR OWN CASINO GAME 
NUMBERS TO ROYALTY 
KATRINA LE 
TOTAL PROFIT FOR 20 GAMES: 17(2) - 15 = 19 
 
DICE ROLLS:  
x  Frequency  P(x) 

2  2  0.10 

3  1  0.05 

4  1  0.05 

5  5  0.25 

6  3  0.15 

7  4  0.20 

8  2  0.10 

9  1  0.05 

10  1  0.05 

11  0  0 

12  0  0 

Total  20  1 
 
NUMBER OF SUCCESSES (SUCCESS BEING A FACE CARD) 
# OF SUCCESSES (X)  Frequency  P(x) 

0  17  0.85 

1  3  0.15 

2  0  0 

Total  20  1 
 
THEORETICAL PROBABILITY OF WINNING:  
 

52 )( 51 ) + 6 ( 52 )( 51 ) = 0.0686  
1 12 40
p(winning) = 6 ( 52 )( 51 ) + 61 ( 40 12 1 12 11
STATION 5: DESIGN YOUR OWN CASINO GAME 
NUMBERS TO ROYALTY 
KATRINA LE 
1 12 40 1 40 12
p(winning 1) = 6 ( 52 )( 51 ) + 6 ( 52 )( 51 ) = 0.0603
6 ( 52 )( 51 ) = 0.00829  
1 12 11
p(winning 2) =
 
The house would make approximately $1146.30 per 1000 games using the theoretical probability
of winning. However, this does not take in account the probability of winning 2 games.