Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Textbooks:
I will base the course on two books below:
Learning Outcomes
1. Students will be able to use the terminology of macroeconomics to analyze issues
related to macroeconomic growth and fluctuations or business cycles.
2. This a quantitative course. It will incorporate theoretical and empirical tools. Students
will learn the terminology and analytical tools for analyzing macroeconomic issues.
3. Students will be able to collect, analyze and present macroeconomic data, attempt
to test hypotheses, and illustrate fundamental relationships..
(Tentative) Schedule for Fall 2017
Part I: Measurement in Macroeconomics (National and Regional)
National Income and Product Accounts
1
(Preliminary, subject to change)
Employment
Financial Markets
Fiscal and Monetary Variables
George Akerlof, —Behavioral Macroeconomics and Macroeconomic Behavior, American Economic Review,
June 2002, pp. 1-23.
Readings:
(*) David Romer. Advanced MAcroeconomics, 4th Edition Chapter I, pages 6-30
Solow Robert, “A contribution to the theory of Economic Growth”, Quarterly Journal of Economics 70
(February 1956): 65-94. [This is for Introduction to Growth Facts and Growth Models]
Mankiw, N. G., D. Romer, and D. Weil. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth." Quarterly
Journal of Economics 107 (1992): 401-437. [This is for Neoclassical Growth Model]
Solow Robert, “Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function”, Review of Economics and
Statistics 39 (1957): 312-320.
Swan, T.W, “Economic Growth and Capital Accumulation”, Economic Record 32 (November 1956): 334-361.
Readings:
(*) David Romer. Advanced MAcroeconomics, 4th Edition Chapter 3
Romer, P. M. "Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth." Journal of Political Economy 94 (1986): S1002-
S1037.
Lucas, R. E., Jr. "On the Mechanics of Economic Development." Journal of Monetary Economics 22
(1988): 3-42.
2
(Preliminary, subject to change)
Diamond, P. "National Debt in a Neoclassical Growth Model." American Economic Review 55 (1965): 1126-
1150. [these are for OLG]
Kydland, F., and Prescott, E. C. "Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations." Econometrica 50 (1982): 1345-
1370.
Lucas, R. E., Jr. "An Equilibrium Model of the Business Cycle." Journal of Political Economy 81 (1975): 1113-
1144. [These last two are for RBC]
Robert Hall and Frederick Mishkin, "The Sensitivity of Consumption to Transitory Income: Estimates from
Panel Data on Households," Econometrica, March, 1982, pp. 461-482.
Chang-Tai Hsieh, —Do Consumers React to Anticipated Income Changes? Evidence from the Alaska
Permanent Fund,“ American Economic Review, March 2003, pp. 397-405.
Lawrence H. Summers, "Does the Stock Market Rationally Reflect Fundamental Values?" Journal of
Finance, July 1985, pp. 591-601.
Franco Modigliani and Merton H. Miller, "The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of
Investment," American Economic Review, June 1958, pp. 261-297.
Labor Markets (RO-10, CS-4)
Shapiro, C. and J. Stiglitz. "Equilibrium Unemployment as a Worker Discipline Device." American Economic
Review 74 (1984): 433-444.
Janet Yellen, "Efficiency Wage Models of Unemployment," American Economic Review, May 1984, pp. 200-
205.
George Akerlof and Janet Yellen, "A Near Rational Model of the Business Cycle, with Wage and Price
Inertia,“ Quarterly Journal of Economics, September 1985, pp. 823-838. [This also helps to explain Part VI]
Charles Bean, "European Unemployment: A Survey," Journal of Economic Literature, June, 1994, pp. 573-
619.
Olivier Blanchard and Lawrence Katz, —What We Know and Do Not Know about the Natural Rate of
Unemployment,“ Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter, 1997, pp. 51-72.
3
(Preliminary, subject to change)
IS-MP-IA
Open Macroeconomy
J. Marcus Fleming, "Domestic Financial Policies under Fixed and under Floating Exchange Rates,"
International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, November, 1962, pp. 369-379.
Rudiger Dornbusch, "Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics," Journal of Political Economy,
December, 1976, pp. 1161-1176.
Readings:
(*) David Romer. Advanced Macroeconomics, 4th Edition Chapter 5-7.
Prescott, E. C., "Theory Ahead of Business Cycle Measurement," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of
Minneapolis, Fall 1986, 9-22
Finn Kydland and Edward Prescott’s Contribution to Dynamic Macroeconomics: The Time Consistency of
Economic Policy and the Driving Forces Behind Business Cycles, Advanced information on the Bank of
Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 11 October 2004
Kydland, F., and Prescott, E. C. (1982), “Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations,” Econometrica 50,
1345-1370.
Hartley, J.E., K.D. Hoover, K.D. Salyer (1997), “The limits of business cycle research: assessing the real
business cycle model”, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 13(3).
Mankiw, N. G. "Small Menu Costs and Large Business Cycles: A Macroeconomic Model of
Monopoly." Quarterly Journal of Economics 100 (1985): 529-539. [This is for Incomplete Nominal
Adjustment]
George Akerlof and Janet Yellen, "A Near Rational Model of the Business Cycle, with Wage and Price
Inertia,“ Quarterly Journal of Economics, September 1985, pp. 823-838.
Romer, David and Laurence Ball, —Are Prices too Sticky?“ Quarterly Journal of Economics, August 1989,
pp. 507-524.
Alan Blinder, "Why are Prices Sticky? Preliminary Results from an Interview Study," American Economic
Review, May 1991, pp. 89100.
N. Gregory Mankiw and Ricardo Reis, —Sticky Information versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the
New Keynesian Phillips Curve,“ Quarterly Journal of Economics, November 2002, pp. 1295-1328.
4
(Preliminary, subject to change)
Consumption Behavior
Hall, R. E. "Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and
Evidence." Journal of Political Economy 86 (1978): 971-987.
John Taylor, "Discretion versus Policy Rules in Practice," Carnegie Rochester Series on Public Policy,
December, 1993, pp. 195-214.
Eldar Shafir, Peter Diamond, and Amos Tversky, "On Money Illusion," Quarterly Journal of Economics, May
1997, pp. 341-374.
Fehr, Ernst and Jean-Robert Tyran, —Does Money Illusion Matter?“ American Economic Review, December,
2001, pp. 1239-62.
Alberto Alesina and Lawrence Summers, "Central Bank Independence and Macroeconomic
Performance: Some Comparative Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, May, 1993.
Adam Posen, "Central Bank Independence and Disinflationary Credibility: A Missing Link," Brookings
Discussion Papers in International Activity, No. 109, August, 1994.
Bernanke, B., and M. Gertler. "Agency Costs, Collateral, and Business Fluctuations." American Economic
Review 79 (1989): 87-114.
Greenwood, J., and B. Jovanovic. "Financial Development, Growth, and the Distribution of
Income." Journal of Political Economy 98 (1990): 219-240.
Banarjee, A., and A. Newman. "Occupational Choice in the Process of Development." Journal of Political
Economy 101 (1993): 274-298.
Lawrence H. Summers, "Does the Stock Market Rationally Reflect Fundamental Values?" Journal of
Finance, July 1985, pp. 591-601.
5
(Preliminary, subject to change)
ADVANCED MACROECONOMICS
School of Economics
Shanghai University of Finance & Economics
6
(Preliminary, subject to change)
Email: hjzhong@mail.shufe.edu.cn
Class: 6:00pm-8:30pm Monday
Office Hour: 3:30pm-5:00pm Monday
McGraw-Hill, 2005.
Gregory Mankiw and David Romer, New Keynesian Economics, MIT, 1998
READING LIST
A. Overview of Course
B. Introduction
C. Mathematic Review
James Hamilton, Time Series Analysis, Ch2, “Lag Operators”, Section 2.1-2.3, pp
25-33.
7
(Preliminary, subject to change)
*Thomas Sargent, "Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the
Natural Rate of Unemployment," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
1973:2, pp. 429-472.
Steven Checchetti, "Staggered Contracts and the Frequency of Price Adjustment," The
Quarterly Journal of Economics, Supplement, 1985, pp. 935-959.
*David Romer, Third Edition, Chapter 10, "The Dynamic Inconsistency of Low-
Inflation Monetary Policy," Sections 10.4-10.7, pp. 506-538.
*Robert Barro and David Gordon, "A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural
Rate Model," Journal of Political Economy, August 1983, pp. 589610.
John Taylor, "Discretion versus Policy Rules in Practice," Carnegie Rochester Series
on Public Policy, December, 1993, pp. 195-214.
*Daniel Kahneman, Jack Knetsch and Richard Thaler, "Fairness as a Constraint on Profit
Seeking: Entitlements in the Market," American Economic Review, September
8
(Preliminary, subject to change)
*Eldar Shafir, Peter Diamond, and Amos Tversky, "On Money Illusion," Quarterly
Journal of Economics, May 1997, pp. 341-374.
*David Romer, Third Edition, Chapter 9.1-9.4, 9.9 "Unemployment," pp. 437-
460, 481-489.
George Akerlof and Janet Yellen, "The Fair-Wage Effort Hypothesis and
Unemployment," Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 1990.
*George Akerlof and Janet Yellen, "A Near Rational Model of the Business Cycle,
with Wage and Price Inertia,“ Quarterly Journal of Economics, September
1985, pp. 823-838.
George Akerlof and Janet Yellen, "Can Small Deviations from Rationality Make
Significant Differences to Economic Equilibria?" American Economic
Review, September 1985, pp. 708-720.
9
(Preliminary, subject to change)
Romer, David and Laurence Ball, —Are Prices too Sticky?“ Quarterly Journal of
Economics, August 1989, pp. 507-524.
*David Romer, Third Edition, Chapter 5, Section 5.2, —The Open Economy,“
pp. 231-241.
V. Consumption
*Milton Friedman, A Theory of The Consumption Function, Chapters I, II, and III,
pp. 3-37.
10
(Preliminary, subject to change)
Gary Becker and Kevin Murphy, "A Theory of Rational Addiction," Journal
of Political Economy, August, 1988, pp. 675-700.
11
(Preliminary, subject to change)
Steven Davis and John Haltiwanger, "Gross Job Creation and Destruction:
Microeconomic Evidence and Macroeconomic Implications,"
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 1990, pp. 123-168.
12
(Preliminary, subject to change)
James Stock and Mark W. Watson, "Variable Trends in Economic Time Series,"
Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 1988, 147-174.
Olivier Blanchard and Justin Wolfers, —The Role of Shocks and Institutions in
the Rise of European Unemployment: The Aggregate Evidence,“
Economic Journal, March, 2000, pp. C1-33.
Olivier Blanchard and Lawrence Katz, —What We Know and Do Not Know
about the Natural Rate of Unemployment,“ Journal of Economic
Perspectives, Winter, 1997, pp. 51-72.
13
(Preliminary, subject to change)
Solow, Robert. 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth" Quarterly
Journal of Economics 70:65-94.
*Hall, Robert E. and Charles I. Jones. 1999. "Why Do Some Countries Produce So Much
More Output per Worker than Others?" Quarterly Journal of Economics 114:83-116.
*Hsieh, Chang-Tai, and Peter J. Klenow. 2004. "Relative Prices and Relative Prosperity"
Unpublished paper, Stanford University (August).
*Parente, Stephen L., and Edward C. Prescott. 1999. "Monopoly Rights: A Barrier to
Riches" American Economic Review 89 (December): 1216-1233.
*Acemoglu, Daron, Simon Johnson, and James A. Robinson. 2001. "The Colonial
Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation." American Economic
Review 91 (December): 1369-1401.
*Acemoglu, Daron. 2003. "Why Not a Political Coase Theorem? Social Conflict,
Commitment and Politics." Unpublished paper, M.I.T. (August). Journal of Comparative
Economics, forthcoming.
Klenow, Peter J., and Andres Rodriguez-Clare. 1997. "The Neoclassical Revival in
Growth Economics: Has It Gone Too Far?" NBER Macroeconomics Annual 12: 73-103.
Barro, Robert and Xavier Sala-i-Martin. 2003. Economic Growth. Chapters 10 - 12.
14
(Preliminary, subject to change)
*Barro, Robert and Xavier Sala-i-Martin. Economic Growth. Chapter 2 and Appendix A.3
(at end of book)
Weitzman, Martin. 2003. Income, Wealth, and the Maximum Principle (Harvard
University Press).
E. Endogenizing Growth
Rebelo, Sergio. 1991. "Long-Run Policy Analysis and Long-Run Growth" Journal of
Political Economy 99:500-521.
Kremer, Michael. 1993. "Population Growth and Technological Change: One Million
B.C. to 1990" Quarterly Journal of Economics 108:681-716.
*Jones, Charles I. 2004. "Growth and Ideas" Unpublished paper, U.C. Berkeley
(September). Handbook of Economic Growth, forthcoming.
15
(Preliminary, subject to change)
*Cooley, Thomas F. and Edward C. Prescott. 1995. "Economic Growth and Business
Cycles." Chapter 1 of Cooley (ed.) Frontiers of Business Cycle Research
*Hansen, Gary and Randall Wright. 1992. "The Labor Market in Real Business Cycle
Theory" Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review 16(2).
Chari, V.V., Kehoe, Patrick J. and Ellen R. McGrattan. 2002. "Business Cycle
Accounting" Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Working Paper No. 625.
*Auerbach, Alan J., William G. Gale, and Peter R. Orszag. 2004. "Sources of the Long-
Term Fiscal Gap." Tax Notes 103 (May 24): 1049-1059.
Barro, Robert J. 1979. "On the Determination of the Public Debt." Journal of Political
Economy 87 (October): 940-971.
Tabellini, Guido, and Alberto Alesina. 1990. "Voting on the Budget Deficit." American
Economic Review 80 (March): 37-49.
Alesina, Alberto, and Allan Drazen. 1991. "Why Are Stabilizations Delayed?" American
Economic Review 81 (December): 1170-1188.
16
(Preliminary, subject to change)
*Roubini, Nouriel, and Jeffrey D. Sachs. 1989. "Political and Economic Determinants of
Budget Deficits in the Industrial Democracies." European Economic Review 33 (May):
903-933.
Grilli, Vittorio, Donato Masciandaro, and Guido Tabellini. 1991. "Political and Monetary
Institutions and Public Financial Policies in the Industrial Countries." Economic Policy
13 (October): 341-392.
https://sites.google.com/site/serdarozkan/teaching/eco2061-2015s/eco2061outline2015s
(Usefull...but, materials are not reachable..)
https://sites.google.com/site/serdarozkan/teaching/eco2031-2017s
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