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Matrikulasi 37 B
Soal 1
1 Daging Ayam Ras (kg) 30.198 1.256.453 33.458 1.456.221 34.534 1.532.985
8 Telur Ayam Ras (kg) 15.773 784.885 17.238 770.985 17.769 832.556
Laaspeyres
IL 2015 100
IL 2016 115,8209
IL 2017 122,4406
Paasche
IP 2015 100
IP 2016 114,847
IP 2017 122,9748
Fisher
F 2015 100
F 2016 115,3329
F 2017 122,7074
Soal 2
27 3.984 9.701 57
Data Linier
28 5.014 39.340 67
No Produksi Modal Tenaga
29 4.722 36.680 69
1 2.724 9.509 42
30 5.064 39.340 61
2 3.533 5.653 59
31 5.597 46.166 74
3 4.230 16.482 56
32 4.447 14.913 68
4 3.790 49.513 52
33 5.014 36.680 56
5 3.641 13.767 56
34 5.115 46.166 60
6 2.807 7.259 54
35 4.915 8.604 60
7 3.752 9.045 55
36 5.826 82.454 70
8 4.064 11.159 60
37 5.167 32.860 67
9 4.316 20.131 59
38 5.653 53.104 70
10 4.866 33.860 74
39 5.271 35.596 70
11 4.064 66.836 63
40 6.438 82.454 82
12 3.866 31.257 55
13 4.964 55.826 67
14 4.273 17.154 65
15 4.105 22.925 57
16 4.964 50.011 69
17 5.064 29.437 66
18 5.064 65.513 68
19 5.768 53.637 73
20 4.447 16.984 58
21 4.915 26.370 64
22 5.014 40.946 60
23 5.014 14.765 71
24 4.964 18.958 71
25 4.537 14.618 65
26 5.378 37.049 63
Data Logaritma
SUMMARY
OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0,861690758
R Square 0,742510962
Adjusted R Square 0,728592636
Standard Error 409,9233393
Observations 40
ANOVA
Significance
df SS MS F F
Regression 2 17928796,64 8964398 53,34772 1,25614E-11
Residual 37 6217374,332 168037,1
Total 39 24146170,98
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
- -
Intercept 16,98858539 595,2366237 0,028541 0,977384 1189,075366 1223,052537 1189,075366 1223,052537
Modal 0,012300461 0,003798354 3,238366 0,00254 0,004604265 0,019996657 0,004604265 0,019996657
Tenaga 66,97488168 10,24608228 6,536633 1,18E-07 46,21434714 87,73541622 46,21434714 87,73541622
SUMMARY
OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0,877501462
R Square 0,770008816
Adjusted R Square 0,75757686
Standard Error 0,038909329
Observations 40
ANOVA
Significance
df SS MS F F
Regression 2 0,187539916 0,09377 61,93787 1,55474E-12
Residual 37 0,056015628 0,001514
Total 39 0,243555543
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
Intercept 1,595404177 0,210046891 7,595467 4,63E-09 1,169808753 2,0209996 1,169808753 2,0209996
Log Modal 0,093585461 0,023781822 3,935168 0,000353 0,045398913 0,141772009 0,045398913 0,141772009
Log Tenaga 0,919090766 0,136878356 6,714654 6,82E-08 0,641748874 1,196432659 0,641748874 1,196432659
Artinya:
Uji F
Artinya:
Variabel modal dan tenaga berpengaruh signifikan secara simultan terhadap variabel produksi.
B. Persamaan regresi yang akan digunakan untuk peramalan.
E. Bila ada perusahaan yang menggunakan modal sebesar Rp 70.000.000 dan tenaga kerja sebanyak 65 orang, maka berapa perkiraan tertinggi dan terendah jumlah
barang produksi yang akan dihasilkan.
Log Y = 1,59540417658104 + 0,0935854608817227 (log 70.000) + 0,919090766461802 (log 65)
Log Y = 3,715067
Y = 5188,799 (peramalan titik)
Y = 5189 (dibulatkan)
Peramalan berjangka = standar eror x t table
= 0,038909329 x 2,026
= 0,078830301
a. Log Perkiraan Tertinggi = 3,71506 + 0,078830301
= 3,793897137
Perkiraan Tertinggi (antilog) = 6221,529099
= 6222 (pembulatan)
b. Log Perkiraan Terendah = 3,715067 - 0,078830301
= 3,636236536
Perkiraan Terendah (antilog) = 4327,49461
= 4327 (pembulatan)