DATOS ORIGINALES MEDIA MOVIL NO PONDERADA

1er Cuatrim2do Cuatr3er Cuatrim 1er Cuatrim2do Cuatriam3er Cuatrim

2007 5 3.5 7 2007 - 5.167 6.167 2007
2008 8 5 9 2008 6.667 7.333 8.000 2008
2009 10 7 10.5 2009 8.667 9.167 9.667 2009
2010 11.5 10 13 2010 10.667 11.500 - 2010

W1= 0.05 W2= 0.9 W3= 0.05

Media Mvil Media Mvil Ponderada
14
1er Cuatrim 5
2do Cuatri 3.5 5.1667 3.75 12
3er Cuatrim 7 6.1667 6.875
1er Cuatrim 8 6.66666667 7.8 10
2do Cuatri 5 7.33333333 5.35 8
3er Cuatrim 9 8 8.85
1er Cuatrim 10 8.66666667 9.8 6
2do Cuatri 7 9.16666667 7.325
4 C
3er Cuatrim 10.5 9.66666667 10.375
M
1er Cuatrim 11.5 10.6666667 11.375 2
2do Cuatri 10 11.5 10.225 M
0
3er Cuatrim 13
MEDIA MOVIL PONDERADA (w1=0.25, w2=0.7, w3=0.05)

1er Cuatrim2do Cuatriam3er Cuatrim

- 4.050 6.175
7.600 5.950 8.050
9.600 7.925 9.675
11.175 10.525 -

Column C

Media Mvil

Media Mvil Ponderada

 MEDIA M
1er Trimestre
2do Trimestre
3er Trimestre
4to Trimestre 1er Trimestre
2006 7 5 2.4 1.1 2006
2007 10 7.1 3.6 1.4 2007
2008 13.5 8.9 4.5 1.6 2008
2009 17 11.2 5.3 2 2009
2010 18.1 12.7 6.6 2.4 2010

1er Trimestre
D. Origin M.M. N.P M.M. P 2006 -
1er Trimestre 7 2007 5.3
2do Trimestre 5 2008 6.9625
3er Trimestre 2.4 4.25 5.391 2009 8.675
4to Trimestre 1.1 4.8875 8.37175 2010 9.6875
1er Trimestre 10 5.3 5.461
2do Trimestre 7.1 5.4875 2.6595
3er Trimestre 3.6 5.9625 7.247 MEDIA
4to Trimestre 1.4 6.625 10.97725 1er Trimestre
1er Trimestre 13.5 6.9625 6.86275
2do Trimestre 8.9 7.1 3.25875
3er Trimestre 4.5 7.5625 9.0465
4to Trimestre 1.6 8.2875 13.81575
1er Trimestre 17 8.675 8.46325
2do Trimestre 11.2 8.825 3.9145
3er Trimestre 5.3 9.0125 9.80525
4to Trimestre 2 9.3375 15.0915 1er Trimestre
1er Trimestre 18.1 9.6875 9.852 2006 -
2do Trimestre 12.7 9.9 4.78825 2007 5.461
3er Trimestre 6.6 2008 6.86275
4to Trimestre 2.4 2009 8.46325
2010
20 9.852

18

16

14

12

10

4
10

0
 MEDIA MVIL NO PONDERADA (No centrada)
2do Trimestre 3er Trimestre 4to Trimestre
3.875 4.625 5.15
5.45 5.525 6.4 6.85
7.075 7.125 8 8.575
8.775 8.875 9.15 9.525
9.85 9.95 - -

2do Trimestre 3er Trimestre 4to Trimestre

- 4.25 4.8875
5.4875 5.9625 6.625
7.1 7.5625 8.2875
8.825 9.0125 9.3375
9.9 - -

MEDIA MVIL PONDERADA (No centrada)

2do Trimestre 3er Trimestre 4to Trimestre w1=
1.201 9.581 7.1625 w2=
3.76 1.56 12.93 9.02 w3
4.71 1.81 16.28 11.35 w4
5.58 2.25 17.36 12.83
6.88 2.70

2do Trimestre 3er Trimestre 4to Trimestre

- 5.391 8.37175
2.6595 7.247 10.97725
3.25875 9.0465 13.81575
3.9145 9.80525 15.0915
4.78825 - - D. Origin
M.M. N.P
M.M. P
0.005 0.05
0.005 0.05
0.04 0.85
0.95 0.05
1
 x=t-2006 Mtodo Multiplicativo
x=t-2006 Y(t) 1C 2C 3C
a= -4175.4 -4175 2007 5 3.5 7
b= 2.083 2008 8 5 9
2009 10 7 10.5
regresin Y=3.08+2.083X 2010 11.5 10 13
(t) 1C 2C 3C
(t)=-4175.42+2.083t 2007 4.467 5.161 5.855
2008 6.55 7.244 7.938
Salto= 0.69433 2009 8.633 9.327 10.021
2010 10.716 11.41 12.104
Y(t)/(t) 1C 2C 3C
2007 1.11932 0.678163 1.195559
2008 1.22137 0.690226 1.133787
2009 1.15835 0.750509 1.0478 Media
2010 1.07316 0.876424 1.074025 Global
M.P.E 1.14305 0.748831 1.112793 1.0016
I.V.E 114.127 74.7666 111.1062

5.70636 2.616831 7.777433

9.13018 3.73833 9.999556
Desestacio 11.4127 5.233662 11.66615
1C 2C 3C nalizado 13.1246 7.47666 14.4438
2011 12.7987 13.493 14.187 14.6068 10.08826 15.763
2012 14.8817 15.576 16.27 16.984 11.64564 18.07735
2013 16.9647 17.659 18.353 19.3613 13.20303 20.39169

PeriodoDATOS ORIGIN Est. Multiplicativo Est.Aditivo

1er Cua 5 5.70636 6.0273
2do Cua 3.5 2.61683 1.5833
3er Cua 7 7.77743 7.8893
1er Cua 8 9.13018 9.0273
2do Cua 5 3.73833 3.0833
3er Cua 9 9.99956 9.8893
1er Cua 10 11.4127 11.0273
2do Cua 7 5.23366 5.0833
3er Cua 10.5 11.6661 11.3893
1er Cua 11.5 13.1246 12.5273
2do Cua 10 7.47666 8.0833
3er Cua 13 14.4438 13.8893
2do Cuatrim 14.6068 13.8260
3er Cuatriam 10.0883 11.5763
4to Cuatrim 15.763 12.2707
3er Cuatrim 16.984 15.9090
4to Cuatriam 11.6456 13.6593
5to Cuatrim 18.0773 14.3537
4to Cuatrim 19.3613 17.9920
5to Cuatriam 13.203 15.7423
6to Cuatrim 20.3917 16.4367
 Mtodo Aditivo
Y(t) 1C 2C 3C X Y
2007 5 3.5 7 1 5
2008 8 5 9 2 8
2009 10 7 10.5 3 10 Resumen
2010 11.5 10 13 4 11.5
(t) 1C 2C 3C 1 3.5 Estadsticas de la regresin
2007 4.467 5.161 5.855 2 5 Coeficiente
2008 6.55 7.244 7.938 3 7 Coeficient
2009 8.633 9.327 10.021 4 10 R^2 ajust
2010 10.716 11.41 12.104 1 7 Error tpic
Y(t)-(t) 1C 2C 3C 2 9 Observaci
2007 0.533 -1.661 1.145 3 10.5
2008 1.45 -2.244 1.062 4 13 ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
2009 1.367 -2.327 0.479 Grados de libertad
2010 0.784 -1.41 0.896 Media Global Regresin
M.P.E 1.0335 -1.9105 0.8955 0.0062 Residuos
V.E 1.0273 -1.9167 0.8893 Total

6.0273 1.5833 7.8893 Coeficientes

9.0273 3.0833 9.8893 a Intercepci
Desestacio 11.0273 5.0833 11.3893 b Variable X
nalizado 12.5273 8.0833 13.8893
13.8260 11.5763 12.2707
15.9090 13.6593 14.3537
17.9920 15.7423 16.4367

25

20

15

10
 10

0
m m m m m m m m m m m m m m m m m m m
atri tri a atri atri tri a atri atri tri a atri atri tri a atri atri tri a atri atri tri a atri atri
u a u u a u u a u u a u u a Cu u a Cu Cu a
er C o Cu erC er C o Cu erC er C o Cu erC er C o Cu er C do C r Cu to er C o Cu to to o
Cu
1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 3e 4 3 t 5 4 t
2d 2d 2d 2d 2 4 5
adsticas de la regresin
0.84246
0.70974
0.68072
1.63172
12

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados Suma
de libertad
Promedio
de cuadrados
de los cuadrados
V
Falor crtico de F
1 65.104 65.104 24.452 0.0006
10 26.625 2.6625
11 91.729

Coeficientes
Error tpico
Estadstico
Probabilidad
t InferiorSuperior
95% Inferior
95% Superior
95.0% 95.0%
3.08333 1.1538 2.6723 0.0234 0.5125 5.6542 0.5125 5.6542
2.08333 0.4213 4.9449 0.0006 1.1446 3.0221 1.1446 3.0221

DATOS ORIGINALES
Est. Multiplicativo
Est.Aditivo
 DATOS ORIGINALES
Est. Multiplicativo
Est.Aditivo

im m m m m m m
atri tri a atri atri tri a atri
u a Cu Cu a Cu
er C o Cu to to Cu to
3 t 5 4 to 6
4 5
 x=t-2005 x=t-2005 MTODO MULTIPLICATIVO
a= -3105.3 Y(t) 1er T 2do T 3er T
b= 1.55 2006 7 5 2.4
2007 10 7.1 3.6
Y=2.42+1.55X 2008 13.5 8.9 4.5
2009 17 11.2 5.3
(t)=-3105.3+1.55t 2010 18.1 12.7 6.6
(t) 1er T 2do T 3er T
salto (b/s)= 0.3875 2006 3.38875 3.77625 4.16375
0.1938 2007 4.93875 5.32625 5.71375
2.75 2008 6.48875 6.87625 7.26375
2009 8.03875 8.42625 8.81375
2010 9.58875 9.97625 10.36375
Y(t)/(t) 1er T 2do T 3er T
2006 2.06566 1.32406 0.57640
2007 2.02480 1.33302 0.63006
2008 2.08052 1.29431 0.61951
2009 2.11476 1.32918 0.60133
2010 1.88763 1.27302 0.63684
M.P.E 2.03467 1.31072 0.61283
I.V.E 194.5942 125.3559 58.6103

13.621592 6.2677944 1.4066483

19.459417 8.9002681 2.1099725
26.270213 11.156674 2.6374656
Desestacio 33.081008 14.03986 3.1063484
nalizado 35.221544 15.920198 3.8682829
2011 11.1388 11.52625 11.9138 12.3013 21.675358 14.448833 6.9826903
2012 12.6888 13.07625 13.4638 13.8513 24.691567 16.391849 7.8911507
2013 14.2388 14.62625 15.0138 15.4013 27.707777 18.334866 8.7996111

Periodo DATOS ORIGINEst. Multiplicativo Est.Aditivo

1er Trimestre 7 13.621592 13.6313
2do Trimestre 5 6.2677944 7.1038
3 Trimestre
er 2.4 1.4066483 -0.3838
4 Trimestre
to 1.1 0.2358356 -4.8513
1er Trimestre 10 19.459417 19.4594
2 Trimestre
do 7.1 8.9002681 8.9003
3 Trimestre
er 3.6 2.1099725 2.1100
4to Trimestre 1.4 0.3001543 0.3002
1 Trimestre
er 13.5 26.270213 26.2702
2do Trimestre 8.9 11.156674 11.1567
3er Trimestre 4.5 2.6374656 2.6375
4 Trimestre
to 1.6 0.3430335 0.3430
1 Trimestre
er 17 33.081008 33.0810
2do Trimestre 11.2 14.03986 14.0399
3 Trimestre
er 5.3 3.1063484 3.1063
4 Trimestre
to 2 0.4287919 0.4288
1er Trimestre 18.1 35.221544 35.2215
2 Trimestre
do 12.7 15.920198 15.9202
3 Trimestre
er 6.6 3.8682829 3.8683
4to Trimestre 2.4 0.5145503 0.5146
1er Trimestre 21.675358 17.7700
2 Trimestre
do
14.448833 13.6300
3er Trimestre 6.9826903 9.1300
4to Trimestre 2.6373383 6.3500
1 Trimestre
er
24.691567 19.3200
2 Trimestre
do
16.391849 15.1800
3er Trimestre 7.8911507 10.6800
4 Trimestre
to
2.969652 7.9000
1 Trimestre
er
27.707777 20.8700
2do Trimestre 18.334866 16.7300
3 Trimestre
er
8.7996111 12.2300
4 Trimestre
to
3.3019657 9.4500
 MTODO ADITIVO
4to T Y(t) 1er T 2do T 3er T 4to T
1.1 2006 7 5 2.4 1.1
1.4 2007 10 7.1 3.6 1.4
1.6 2008 13.5 8.9 4.5 1.6
2 2009 17 11.2 5.3 2
2.4 2010 18.1 12.7 6.6 2.4
4to T (t) 1er T 2do T 3er T 4to T
4.55125 2006 3.38875 3.77625 4.16375 4.55125
6.10125 2007 4.93875 5.32625 5.71375 6.10125
7.65125 2008 6.48875 6.87625 7.26375 7.65125
9.20125 2009 8.03875 8.42625 8.81375 9.20125
10.75125 2010 9.58875 9.97625 10.3638 10.7513
4to T Y(t)-(t) 1er T 2do T 3er T 4to T
0.24169 2006 3.61125 1.22375 -1.76375 -3.45125
0.22946 2007 5.06125 1.77375 -2.11375 -4.70125
0.20912 2008 7.01125 2.02375 -2.76375 -6.05125
0.21736 2009 8.96125 2.77375 -3.51375 -7.20125
Media
0.22323 Global 2010 8.51125 2.72375 -3.76375 -8.35125
0.22417 1.04560 M.P.E 6.63125 2.10375 -2.78375 -5.95125 -1.6342E-13
21.4396 V.E 6.63125 2.10375 -2.78375 -5.95125

0.235836 13.6313 7.1038 -0.3838 -4.8513

0.300154 19.459417 8.90027 2.10997 0.30015
0.343034 26.270213 11.1567 2.63747 0.34303
0.428792 33.081008 14.0399 3.10635 0.42879
0.51455 35.221544 15.9202 3.86828 0.51455
2.637338 17.7700 13.6300 9.1300 6.3500
2.969652 19.3200 15.1800 10.6800 7.9000
3.301966 20.8700 16.7300 12.2300 9.4500

40

35

30

25

20

15
 1e
r
2d Tri m

-5
0
5

-10
10
15
20
25

o es
T
3e ri m tre
r T es
4t ri m tre
o es
T
1e ri m tre
r T es
2d ri m tre
o e
T s
3e ri m tre
r T es
4t ri m tre
o es
T
1e ri m tre
r T es
2d ri m tre
o es
T
3e ri m tre
r T es
4t ri m tre
o e
T s
1e ri m tre
r T es
2d ri m tre
o es
T
3e ri m tre
r T es
4t ri m tre
o e
T s
1e ri m tre
r T es
2d ri m tre
o es
T
3e ri m tre
r T es
4t ri m tre
o es
T
1e ri m tre
r T es
2d ri m tre
o e
T s
3e ri m tre
r T es
4t ri m tre
o es
T
1e ri m tre
r T es
2d ri m tre
o e
T s
3e ri m tre
r T es
X Y
1 7 Resumen
2 10
3 13.5 Estadsticas de la regresin
4 17 Coeficie 0.4317
5 18.1 Coeficie 0.1864
1 5 R^2 aju 0.1412
2 7.1 Error tp 4.8277
3 8.9 Observa 20
4 11.2
5 12.7 ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
1 2.4 Grados Suma
de libertad
Promedio
de cuadrados
de los cuadrados
FValor crtico de F
2 3.6 Regresi 1 96.1 96.1 4.1233 0.0573
3 4.5 Residuo 18 419.52 23.307
4 5.3 Total 19 515.62
5 6.6
1 1.1 Coeficientes
Error tpico
Estadstico
Probabilidad
t Inferior Superior
95% Inferior
95% Superior
95.0% 95.0%
2 1.4 a= Intercep 2.42 2.5317 0.9559 0.3518 -2.899 7.7388 -2.899 7.7388
3 1.6 b= Variable 1.55 0.7633 2.0306 0.0573 -0.054 3.1537 -0.054 3.1537
4 2
5 2.4

DATOS ORIGINALES
Est. Multiplicativo
 T s
4t ri m tre
o es
Tr tr
1e i m e
r e
2d Tri m stre
o e
T s
3e ri m tre
r T es
4t ri m tre
o es
T
1e ri m tre
r T es
2d ri m tre
o e
T s
3e ri m tre
r T es
4t ri m tre
o es
T
1e ri m tre
r T es
2d ri m tre
o e
T s
3e ri m tre
r T es
4t ri m tre
o e
Tr str
im e
es
tre
Est.Aditivo
Est. Multiplicativo
DATOS ORIGINALES
Superior 95.0%
 Mtodo Multiplicativo Mtodo Aditivo
Y(t) 1C 2C 3C Y(t) 1C 2C
2007 5 3.5 7 2007 5 3.5
2008 8 5 9 2008 8 5
2009 10 7 10.5 2009 10 7
2010 11.5 10 13 2010 11.5 10
(t) 1C 2C 3C (t) 1C 2C
2007 - 5.167 6.167 2007 - 5.166667
2008 6.667 7.333 8.000 2008 6.666667 7.333333
2009 8.667 9.167 9.667 2009 8.666667 9.166667
2010 10.667 11.500 - 2010 10.66667 11.5
Y(t)/(t) 1C 2C 3C Y(t)-(t) 1C 2C
2007 - 0.677419 1.1351351 2007 - -1.66667
2008 1.2 0.681818 1.125 2008 1.333333 -2.33333
2009 1.153846 0.763636 1.0862069 2009 1.333333 -2.16667
2010 1.078125 0.869565 - 2010 0.833333 -1.5
M.P.E 1.14399 0.74811 1.1154473 1.003 M.P.E 1.166667 -1.91667
I.V.E 114.112 74.62324 111.26481 V.E 1.12037 -1.96296
Mtodo Aditivo Mtodo Multiplicativo
3C Y(t) 1T 2T 3T 4T
7 2006 7 5 2.4 1.1
9 2007 10 7.1 3.6 1.4
10.5 2008 13.5 8.9 4.5 1.6
13 2009 17 11.2 5.3 2
3C 2010 18.1 12.7 6.6 2.4
6.1666667 (t) 1T 2T 3T 4T
8 2006 - - 4.25 4.8875
9.6666667 2007 5.3 5.4875 5.9625 6.625
- 2008 6.9625 7.1 7.5625 8.2875
3C 2009 8.675 8.825 9.0125 9.3375
0.8333333 2010 9.6875 9.9 - -
1 Y(t)/(t) 1T 2T 3T 4T
0.8333333 2006 - - 0.564706 0.225064
- 2007 1.886792 1.29385 0.603774 0.211321
0.8888889 0.046296 2008 1.938959 1.253521 0.595041 0.193062
0.8425926 2009 1.959654 1.269122 0.588072 0.21419
2010 1.868387 1.282828 - -
M.P.E 1.913448 1.27483 0.587898 0.210909 0.996771
I.V.E 191.9646 127.8959 58.98024 21.15923
 Mtodo Aditivo
Y(t) 1T 2T 3T 4T
2006 7 5 2.4 1.1
2007 10 7.1 3.6 1.4
2008 13.5 8.9 4.5 1.6
2009 17 11.2 5.3 2
2010 18.1 12.7 6.6 2.4
(t) 1T 2T 3T 4T
2006 - - 4.25 4.8875
2007 5.3 5.4875 5.9625 6.625
2008 6.9625 7.1 7.5625 8.2875
2009 8.675 8.825 9.0125 9.3375
2010 9.6875 9.9 - -
Y(t)-(t) 1T 2T 3T 4T
2006 - - -1.85 -3.7875
2007 4.7 1.6125 -2.3625 -5.225
2008 6.5375 1.8 -3.0625 -6.6875
2009 8.325 2.375 -3.7125 -7.3375
2010 8.4125 2.8 - -
M.P.E 6.99375 2.146875 -2.74688 -5.75938 0.158594
V.E 6.835156 1.988281 -2.90547 -5.91797
 MTODO MULTIPLICATIVO Mtodo Aditivo
Y(t) 1er T 2do T 3er T 4to T Y(t) 1T
2006 7 5 2.4 1.1 2006 7
2007 10 7.1 3.6 1.4 2007 10
2008 13.5 8.9 4.5 1.6 2008 13.5
2009 17 11.2 5.3 2 2009 17
2010 18.1 12.7 6.6 2.4 2010 18.1
I.V.E 191.96 127.90 58.98 21.16 V.E 6.835156
Y(t)/E(t) 1er T 2do T 3er T 4to T Y(t)-(t) 1T
2006 3.6465 3.9094 4.0692 5.1987 2006 0.164844
2007 5.2093 5.5514 6.1037 6.6165 2007 3.164844
2008 7.0325 6.9588 7.6297 7.5617 2008 6.664844
2009 8.8558 8.7571 8.9861 9.4521 2009 10.16484
2010 9.4288 9.9299 11.1902 11.3426 2010 11.26484

20
Y(t) Y(t)/E(t) Y(t)-(t)
2006 7 3.646506 0.164844 18
2006 5 3.909428 3.011719 16
2006 2.4 4.069159 5.305469
2006 1.1 5.198677 7.017969 14
2007 10 5.209294 3.164844
12
2007 7.1 5.551388 5.111719
2007 3.6 6.103739 6.505469 10
2007 1.4 6.616498 7.317969
8
2008 13.5 7.032547 6.664844
2008 8.9 6.958782 6.911719 6
2008 4.5 7.629673 7.405469
4
2008 1.6 7.561712 7.517969
2009 17 8.8558 10.16484 2
2009 11.2 8.757119 9.211719
2009 5.3 8.98606 8.205469 0
2009 2 9.45214 7.917969 06 06 06 06 07 07 07 07 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 1
20 20 2 0 20 2 0 20 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 20 2 0 20 2 0 20
2010 18.1 9.428823 11.26484
2010 12.7 9.929947 10.71172
2010 6.6 11.19019 9.505469
2010 2.4 11.34257 8.317969
 Mtodo Aditivo
2T 3T 4T
5 2.4 1.1
7.1 3.6 1.4
8.9 4.5 1.6
11.2 5.3 2
12.7 6.6 2.4
1.988281 -2.90547 -5.91797
2T 3T 4T
3.011719 5.305469 7.017969
5.111719 6.505469 7.317969
6.911719 7.405469 7.517969
9.211719 8.205469 7.917969
10.71172 9.505469 8.317969

Y(t)
Y(t)/E(t)
Y(t)-(t)

08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10
2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 20 2 0 20 2 0 20 2 0
 Mtodo Aditivo
x=t-2006 Y(t) 1C 2C 3C
a= -4175.4 2007 5 3.50 7 2007
b= 2.083 2008 8 5.00 9
2009 10 7.00 10.5
Y=3.08+2.083X 2010 11.5 10.00 13 2008
(t) 1C 2C 3C
(t)=-4175.42+2.083t 2007 4.467 5.16 5.855
2008 6.55 7.24 7.938 2009
2009 8.633 9.33 10.021
2010 10.716 11.41 12.104
Y(t)-(t) 1C 2C 3C 2010
2007 0.533 -1.66 1.145
2008 1.45 -2.24 1.062
2009 1.367 -2.33 0.479 2011
2010 0.784 -1.41 0.896 Media Global
M.P.E 1.0335 -1.9105 0.8955 0.0062
V.E 1.0273 -1.9167 0.8893 2012

AO 1C 2C 3C Ao 1C 2C 3C
2011 12.7987 13.493 14.1873 2011 13.8260 11.5763 15.0767 2013
2012 14.8817 15.576 16.2703 2012 15.9090 13.6593 17.1597
2013 16.9647 17.659 18.3533 2013 17.9920 15.7423 19.2427
2014 19.0477 19.742 20.4363 2014 20.0750 17.8253 21.3257 2014
 Yt
1C 5
2C 3.5
Yt
3C 7 25
1C 8
2C 5
3C 9
1C 10 20
2C 7
3C 10.5
1C 11.5
2C 10
15
3C 13
1C 13.826
2C 11.5763
3C 15.0767
1C 15.909 10

2C 13.6593
3C 17.1597
1C 17.992
2C 15.7423 5
3C 19.2427
1C 20.075
2C 17.8253
3C 21.3257 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
t

Yt

1 2012 2013 2014