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(AASHTO Method)
Prof.Dr.Mustafa KARAAHN
Reliability
ZR = standard normal deviate. The standard normal
table value corresponding to a desired probability of
exceedance level.
For example, a designer may specify that there should
only be a 5 % chance that the design does not last a
specified number of years (e.g., 20 years). This is the
same as stating that there should be a 95 % chance
that the design does last the specified number of years
(e.g., 20 years). Then, the reliability is 95 % (100 % 5
%) and the corresponding ZR value is -1.645 (see 1993
AASHTO Guide, Table 4.1, p. I-62).
Reliability
So = combined standard error of the traffic prediction and
performance prediction.
This variable defines how widely the two basic design
inputs, traffic and performance, can vary. For instance,
traffic may be estimated at 2,000,000 ESALs over 20 years.
However, actual traffic may turn out to be 2,500,000 ESALs
over 20 years due to unanticipated population growth.
Similarly, pavement design factors may turn out to be
different than estimated. What these two brief examples
are expressing is that structural design input values can
vary from those initially chosen and the equation must
account for this somehow.
The more these values vary, the higher the value of So.
PSI (Present Serviciability Index)
Serviceable Life
The difference in present serviceability index
(PSI) between construction and end-of-life is the
serviceability life.
The equation compares this to default values of 4.2 for
the immediately-after-construction value and 1.5 for
end-of-life (terminal serviceability). Typical values used
now are:
Post-construction: 4.0 5.0 depending upon
construction quality, smoothness, etc.
End-of-life (called terminal serviceability): 1.5 3.0
depending upon road use (e.g., interstate highway,
urban arterial, residential)
Recommended Values of ZR and So