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FINAL REPORT
SUMMARY
February 2013
Prepared for:
Prepared by:
However, there are only two bridges which cross the Musi River that flows from the west to the east through the center of
Palembang City, the Ampera Bridge and Second Musi River Bridge, with the city divided in a north-south direction.
Therefore, traffic is concentrated on the Ampera Bridge, which is the only bridge in the center of the city, and the resulting
traffic jams are the foremost problem for the city, causing enormous economic losses.
Due to these circumstances, construction of a new bridge crossing the Musi River is a very high priority project for not only
Palembang City but for Indonesia as a whole, and this project has been listed on the Blue Book 2011 2014 by
BAPPENAS. In addition, a ring road with a total length of 25 km that includes this project has been planned by BINA
MARGA, and a FS was conducted for this project with Indonesian funds in 2010, with detailed design started in November
2011. Implementation of this project is of something that is of high necessity for Indonesia.
The results of a visual survey of the Ampera Bridge and Second Musi River Bridge indicated that the paint has deteriorated
to a certain extent, but no damage that may require urgent cares was found. In addition, the volume of traffic on both
bridges was found to be high high, and the observation revealed that an alternate bridge is required when repair work is
performed on these bridges in the future.
2 Basic Policy for Determining Project Content
2.1 Location, Topographic Features and Natural Conditions for Project
The geography, geological conditions, climate, weather and river conditions of the target region are shown in Table i.
Table i Geography, Geological Conditions, Climate, Weather and River Conditions in Target Area
Overview
Geography / The area around Palembang City is flat, and there are many lowland swamps.
Geological According to a boring study that was implemented this time, there is tightly packed ground at a
Conditions depth of 20m or more (N value at depth of 20m or more is 30 or higher).
Climate / The area has a tropical rainforest climate, with high temperatures and humidity throughout the
Weather year.
(Monthly average temperature ranges from 26C to 28C, monthly average humidity ranges
from 78% to 87% and yearly average rainfall is approximately 2,500mm.)
Rainfall volume is relatively low during the dry season from June to September
(Monthly average rainfall: Approximately 100mm)
Winds are generally mild (Monthly average wind speed of 3 m/s or less).
Musi River In the target region for this study, the gradient of the Musi River is flat, the river width is wide,
Overview with a tendency for sand drifts to be deposited.
The water level is influenced by the tides, and periodically fluctuates. However, saltwater
intrusion does not occur.
Since the land in the Palembang City region is low lying, the city is easily inundated with water.
Shipping There are petroleum and other plants in the target area on the Musi River for this study, with
Channel tanker and other large ship traffic on the river (Channel width: 240m, Min. height: 50m)
The Musi River bed is dredged to prevent sediment from impeding ship traffic.
Palembang City is in an area that has a comparatively low level of impact from earthquakes.
Source: Prepared by Study Team
(pcu/d)
45,000 40,759
40,000
35,000
26,649
30,000
25,000 20,723
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
2016 2020 2025
Source: Prepared by Study Team Based on STUDI KELAYAKAN JALAN DAN JEMBATAN MUSI III PALEMBANG
2.2.3 Setting of Traffic Volume Reduction Ratio by Changing into Toll Road
The reduction ratio due to toll resistance that was calculated using the ratio of use calculated for each toll settings and OD
traffic volume that will use the Musi III Bridge is shown in Table ii.
The results of the reduction ratio calculations are shown in Table ii.
Reduction ratio = Toll setting traffic volume Traffic volume when free (= Case 0)
Toll setting (case) traffic volume = A + (B x Musi III Bridge usage ratio)
A :OD that use MusiIII Bridge regardless of toll B :OD for which Musi III Bridge usage varies depending on toll
Table ii Results of Musi III Bridge Reduction Ratio Calculation Due to Toll Resistance
Toll Setting Musi Musi
Case A B Reduction Ratio
(Rp/Numberkm) usage ratio Traffic Volume
Case0 0 100 % 9,197 100.0 %
Case1 300 89 % 8,765 95.3 %
5,268 3,929
Case2 600 79 % 8,372 91.0 %
Case3 900 61 % 7,665 83.3 %
Source: Prepared by Study Team
110,000pcu/d
48,000pcu/d
67,000pcu/d
43,000pcu/d
48,000pcu/d
However, since it is necessary to perform project evaluation for the entire east ring road, a comparative review will be
performed for theMusi River crossing bridge and the approach section, with all sections of the east ring road.
Proposed Route 1
Proposed Route 2
Proposed Route 3
Proposed Route 4
Proposed Route 5 (Adoption Route)
Oil terminal
Plant
Kemarau Island
Built-up area
Plant Temple
Main Bridge
Cable-Stayed Bridge / Cable-Stayed Bridge / Extradosed Bridge / Extradosed Bridge /
Type /
L=3.8km L=3.8km L=3.8km L=3.9km
Bridge Length
Good
Traffic Volume Fair Fair Fair
Coloser to center of
Palembang city
Land Usage Good Good Good Good
Fair Fair
Social
Good Good
Considerations Pass near Chinese Pass near Chinese
temple and industrial temple and industrial
facilities facilities
24.5 billion yen
(2.8780 trillion Rp)
3
26.2 billion yen 24.0 billion yen 30.3 billion yen
Cost *DD(Detail Design) Plan
(3.0750 trillion Rp) (2.8170 trillion Rp) (3.5570 trillion Rp)
(Under Implementation)
24.5 billion yen
(2.8780 trillion Rp)
Evaluation Fair Good Good Fair
Source: Prepared by Study Team
3 Overview of the Project
3.1 Project Content
This project includes construction of a bridge with a total length of 3.3 km. Efforts will be made during the project to match
the Plan for a bridge that crosses the Musi River which is part of the Palembang City east ring road plan, located
approximately 5 km on the downstream side of the road bridge (Ampera Bridge) over the Musi River, in the center of
Palembang City, which shows significant extent of deterioration. Figure iv shows a general plan for the bridge.
[Alternative plan 1]
This bridge type is Cable-Stayed Bridge. The length of 360.0m was selected as the main span in order to provide a
shipping channel width of B=240.0m due to the influence of the bridge crossing the river at an angle. The economic span
on the left bank side of the Musi River is approximately 110m due to the placement of bridge piers in the river since
coffering and pier works are required.
[Alternative plan 2]
This bridge type is Extradosed Bridge. The length of 270.0m was selected as the main span which satisfies shipping
channel width of B=240.0m. The economic span on the left bank side of the Musi River is approximately 110m due to
the placement of bridge piers in the river since coffering and pier works are required.
[Alternative plan 3]
This bridge type is Extradosed Bridge. The length of 270.0m was selected as the main span which satisfies the shipping
channel width of B=240.0m. The bridge is positioned at a located where a tributary of the Musi River branches off.
Furthermore, since ships navigate on the tributary, a span length of 270m was selected.
Figure iv General Plan for Bridge
Alternative
Plan 1
Alternative
Plan 2
Alternative
Plan 3
Due to the fact that a financial rate of return of approximate13 15% which is generally expected in Indonesia cannot be
achieved for any of the rates or any of the plans or alternative plans, it means that this project does not qualify itself as a
genuine private sector toll expressway (BOT project). In order to make this project viable, in addition to the government
funding intend for site acquisition, resettlement and facility relocation, financial support for the project such as government
assistance measures that consist of government subsidies, tax incentives or low-interest loans are essential arrangements.
Table viii Vehicle Travel Cost for Each Vehicle Type and Travel Speed (2010)
(Unit:Yen/Vehicle km, (Rp/vehicle km))
Velocity (km/h) Car Truck Bus
20 21.8(2,557) 72.1(8,469) 55.1(6,472)
30 18.7(2,195) 61.9(7,268) 47.3(5,554)
40 16.2(1,906) 56.4(6,619) 41.8(4,906)
50 14.4(1,693) 52.5(6,160) 37.7(4,428)
60 13.2 (1,554) 50.4(5,918) 35.2(4,134)
70 12.7 (1,490) 50.4(5,921) 34.4(4,033)
80 12.8(1,501) 52.8(6,200) 35.2(4,133)
90 13.5(1,587) 57.7(6,774) 37.8(4,441)
100 14.9(1,747) 65.3(7,665) 42.3(4,967)
Note: Converted at Rp = 0.008519
Source: Pekerjaan Studi Kelayakan Jalandan Jembatan Musi III Palembang, Yen conversion made by Study Team.
Table ix Travel Time Reduction Benefits
(Unit: Yen/VehicleHour,(Rp/VehicleHour))
Study Agency / Study Name Study Year Vehicle Truck Bus
104.7 157.9 117.3
PT JasaMarga 1996
(12,287) (18,534) (13,768)
60.2 125.0 31.2
JIUTR northern extension (PCI) 1989
(7,067) (14,670) (3,659)
Note: Converted at Rp = 0.008519
Source: Pekerjaan Studi Kelayakan Jalandan Jembatan Musi III Palembang
During the evaluation of economic feasibility, externality (external effects) was taken into consideration. The increase in
land prices in the area surrounding the development sections (bridge, road), expansion of the urban area, stimulation of
economic activity and other benefits are included in externality (external effects).
Table x shows the economic internal rate of return when the said project is implemented as a free road or a toll road (with
toll charges of 300Rp (2.6/km), 600Rp (5.1/km) and 900Rp (7.7/km)) for BINA MARGA FS, alternative plan 1, 2 and 3.
The economic internal rate of return of this project exceeds the opportunity cost of capital in Indonesia (about 13 15%) in
all cases, and is at a level that exceeds the hurdle rate of 15-16% that is the general standard requirement of yen loans and
STEP projects as well
Table xi shows the net present value for each route (FS, alternative plans) and each toll setting (including free) when a
discount rate of 12.5% is used, and Table xii shows the cost-benefit ratio.
3
4
1
2 5
6
4
Project Site
6. Industrial Facilities
4. Residential Area 5. Settlements along the along the Musi River
Musi River
Source: Prepared by Study Team Based on Study Results
(1) Air Quality
The levels of nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide and other air pollutants along the roads in the center of
Palembang City satisfy the environmental standards of Indonesia.
Here, the reduction in exhaust gases (NOx), greenhouse gases (CO2 (carbon conversion) and fossil fuel usage volume
caused by idling in traffic jams was estimated from the predicted traffic volume (in 2014) on the Musi III Bridge based on
the traffic demand forecast results in the FS for the Musi III Bridge conducted in 2010. Those assumed conditions for
calculation are described below.
Emissions volume is increased by traffic jams (idling) on the main arterial road that runs through the center of the city
in a north-south direction.
Traffic jams on the main arterial road that runs through the center of the city in a north-south direction will be
alleviated by the traffic volume that is predicted to use the Musi III Bridge in the FS that was conducted in 2010,
eliminating emissions due to idling.
The traffic volume obtained from the results of a field study (Ampera Bridge) during this work was used as the traffic
volume on the arterial road.
The estimated traffic volume in fiscal 2014 in the FS was used as the traffic volume on the Musi III Bridge.
The emissions volume due to idling was calculated using the basic unit prescribed by a study of the Tokyo
Metropolitan Research Institute for Environmental Protection and the formula shown below.
g vehicles
Emissions due to idlind in traffic jams ( h) = Traffic volume per hour ( ) basic unit (g)
10 min h
)
The above results estimate that the implementation of this project will reduce emissions/fuel usage due to idling per 10
minutes in peak hour traffic by the following respective amounts: 65% for nitrogen oxide emissions, 43% for carbon
dioxide emissions and 43% for fossil fuel usage volume.
4 Implementation Schedule
The implementation schedule for this project that is programmed at this point is shown in the table below assuming that this
project is developed as a public project and that it is developed as a PPP project. And, should this project be realized under
PPP scheme, a detailed and precise feasibility study must be made on top of the study that has already been completed by
BINA MARGA, the FS that has already been completed by BINA MARGA.( Refer to Table xiv, Table xv )
Table xiv In case of Implemented as Public Project
Indonesia
Palembang City
Project Site