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Q3 2017
RAAJ NARAYAN AND VISHAL CHANANI
CO-EDITORS
The views expressed herein reflect only the views of XBMAs editorial staff individually and not those of any of XBMAs founders, academic partners, advisory board members, or others.
GLOBAL M&A VOLUME:
Q3 SNAPSHOT
Global M&A volume in Q3 totaled
approximately US$820 billion, consistent with Q3
2016, and approximately even with Q2. Q3 saw eight
megadeals over US$10 billion, including United
Technologies US$30 billion acquisition of Rockwell
Collins, and Discovery Communications US$14.6
billion merger with Scripps Networks.
Cross-border M&A activity accounted for ~38%
of global deal volume in Q3, consistent with recent
levels and four of the 10 largest deals in Q3 were
cross-border transactions.
European and U.S. M&A each lagged slightly
behind recent historical shares of global deal volume,
DEAL VOLUME BY QUARTER
but each remained strong at ~22% and ~39% of global
5,000
deal volume, respectively, while China continued 4,389
4,500
to show strength, accounting for 20% of activity,
4,000
substantially above recent historical levels and a 3,405
3,683
1,354
modest improvement from Q2. 3,500
1,272
The High Technology sector accounted for 3,000 2,707 2,722 2,709 892
2,446
2,435
the most cross-border M&A in Q3, exceeding US$58 2,500 592
1,028
779 891
billion in volume and accounting for 19% of all 2,000
680 879 821 820
603
cross-border deal activity in Q3. Cross-border deals 1,500
743
601
1,154
709
accounted for nearly 54% of total deal volume in the 1,000
735 1,013 887 845
609 693 538
High Technology sector in Q3, a marked increase
500 854
792 770
577 621
relative to overall levels over the last year. 523 519 704
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED TO 2016 DOLLARS. DATA IN THIS REPORT DOES NOT
INCLUDE SPIN-OFFS ANNOUNCED IN 2016 THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETED.
SOURCE: THOMSON; FINANCIAL TIMES 2
GLOBAL M&A VOLUME
At its current rate, global M&A volume
for 2017 remains on pace to exceed US$3.2
trillion, which would be down relative to 2016,
but still a strong year by historical standards.
Notably, 2017 deal volume through Q3 slightly
exceeded 2016 levels through Q3, and both
2015 and 2016 had strong fourth quarters, so
2017 could exceed its current annualized pace.
5.5
5.0
4.5
4.0
US$ TRILLIONS
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
0.96
involved an emerging economy acquirer with 2.0 0.61
1.02
0.94
0.73
2.12 2.26
1.0 1.75 1.99
1.66 1.68 1.71
1.49
0.0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
CROSS-BORDER M&A TRANSACTIONS ARE DEFINED AS THOSE IN WHICH THE PARTIES ARE
HEADQUARTERED OR BASED IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-AD-
JUSTED TO 2017 DOLLARS. 2017 DATA IS ANNUALIZED. SOURCE: THOMSON DOMESTIC M&A CROSS-BOARDER M&A
4
MEDIUM AND LARGE
M&A DEALS
The number of deals in excess of
US$500 million in 2017 is on pace to exceed
1,100 the highest level in recent years other
than 2015. Cross-border transactions are on
pace to account for 38% of these larger deals,
generally consistent with the overall share of
cross-border M&A as a percentage of global
M&A volume in recent years and 2017 to date.
U.S. targets continued to dominate the
largest deals, taking six of the top 10 spots
in Q3. Relative to Q2, European targets
NUMBER OF DEALS (> US$500 MILLION)
were less prevalent in the largest deals,
1500
representing two of the top 10.
1250 1,179
1,101
1,069 1,046
1000
898 880 425
866 873 862
420
434 417
750
364 369 360 313
378
583
500 196
754
635 681
629
534 511 513 549
250 488
387
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
TARGET REGION
China continued its recent strength,
claiming a 20% share of global M&A, up
both from Q2 and from recent historical
levels. After a strong Q2, European M&A
activity declined to slightly below recent
historical levels, but still remained strong
at ~22% overall. The United States share
of global M&A increased relative to Q2,
but at ~39% remained slightly below recent
historical levels.
The developing regions of Central Asia,
2012-2016
South America, Africa/Middle East, India,
Mexico, and Central America accounted for an
aggregate of 11.1% of global M&A volume in
Q3, up relative to a recent aggregate average
of 10.5%, with Central Asia in particular
demonstrating significant growth, accounting
for 6.4% of M&A volume relative to historical
levels of 4.3%.
COUNTRIES
Aggregate inbound M&A volume into
all BRIC countries reached over US$34
US$ BILLIONS
billion in Q3. This level of inbound M&A into
the BRIC countries marked the strongest
quarter of 2017 so far, representing a more
than 24% increase over the volume in Q2.
Brazil and Russia specifically saw dramatic
growth relative to Q2, of 264% and 298%,
respectively, in inbound M&A.
Domestic M&A activity among the BRIC
countries in Q3, in the aggregate, remained
DOMESTIC M&A IN BRIC COUNTRIES
consistent with Q2 levels, growing a modest
1%, but performance by country varied. Deal
activity in Brazil fell by 43%, while activity in
Russia and India increased by 21% and 99%,
respectively, and activity in China remained
US$ BILLIONS
approximately flat.
125
100
US$ BILLIONS
75
50
300
s
erv cts
ice
Entertainment sector producing a higher proportion
d S du
an Pro
r
of domestic deals.
me
su
n
Co
*INCLUDES BOTH DOMESTIC AND CROSS-BORDER TRANSACTIONS. SOURCE: THOMSON GLOBAL M&A* CROSS-BOARDER M&A
10
TRENDS IN GLOBAL DOMESTIC AND CROSS-BORDER M&A
US$ BILLIONS
The Industrials sector had the strongest
Q3, with over US$145 billion in total deal
volume, and was also the only sector to
experience a relative high in Q3 over the past
four quarters. Most other sectors remained
below recent quarterly peaks, with the
Materials and Healthcare sectors seeing M&A
volume slow over the past three quarters.
The High Technology sector accounted
for the most cross-border M&A in Q3, CROSS-BORDER M&A
exceeding US$58 billion in volume and
accounting for 19% of all cross-border deal
activity in Q3. Cross-border deals accounted
for nearly 54% of total deal volume in the
US$ BILLIONS
SOURCE: THOMSON 11
AGGREGATE VALUE OF DEALS
FROM DEVELOPED INTO EMERGING ECONOMIES FROM EMERGING INTO DEVELOPED ECONOMIES
300 300
200 200
US$ BILLIONS
US$ BILLIONS
100 100
0 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
50 250
40 200
US$ BILLIONS
US$ BILLIONS
30 150
20 100
10 50
0 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
40 40
30 30
US$ BILLIONS
US$ BILLIONS
20 20
10 10
0 0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Sempra Energy Inc Energy Future Holdings Corp Energy and Power 18,800
United States United States
Nesta Investment Holdings Ltd Global Logistic Properties Ltd Industrials 16,421
China Singapore
Energy Capital Partners LLC Calpine Corp Energy and Power 15,973
United States United States
Discovery Communications Inc Scripps Networks Interactive Media and Entertainment 14,608
United States United States
Sempra Energy Inc Energy Future Holdings Corp Energy and Power 18,800
United States United States
Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC Mead Johnson Nutrition Co Consumer Staples 17,828
United Kingdom United States
Nesta Investment Holdings Ltd Global Logistic Properties Ltd Industrials 16,421
China Singapore
Energy Capital Partners LLC Calpine Corp Energy and Power 15,973
United States United States
Macquarie Group Ltd Energy Development Corp Energy and Power 1,281
Australia Philippines
Members Equity Bank Pty Ltd Mersin International Port Industrials 869
Australia Turkey
Standard Chartered PLC Future Land Dvlp Hldgs Ltd Real Estate 656
United Kingdom China
Enel SpA Cemig - Hydropower Volta Grande Energy and Power 379
Italy Brazil
Exxon Mobil Corp ENI East Africa SpA Energy and Power 2,800
United States Mozambique
Vitol Holding BV OMV Petrol Ofisi Holding AS Energy and Power 1,437
Netherlands Turkey
GIC Pte Ltd DLF Cyber City Developers Ltd Real Estate 1,390
Singapore India
Shandong Weigao Grp Med Argon Medical Devices Inc Healthcare 850
China United States
Yan Kuang Group Co Ltd Coal & Allied Industries Ltd Materials 2,450
China Australia
HNA Holding Group Co Ltd CWT Ltd Energy and Power 1,323
China Singapore
Sempra Energy Inc Energy Future Holdings Corp Energy and Power 18,800
United States United States
Energy Capital Partners LLC Calpine Corp Energy and Power 15,973
United States United States
Discovery Communications Inc Scripps Networks Interactive Media and Entertainment 14,608
United States United States
Crown Castle International Lightower Fiber Networks LLC High Technology 7,100
United States United States
McCormick & Co Inc Reckitt Benckiser Group Food Division Consumer Staples 4,200
United States United States
Sempra Energy Inc Energy Future Holdings Corp Energy and Power 18,800
United States United States
Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC Mead Johnson Nutrition Co Consumer Staples 17,828
United Kingdom United States
Energy Capital Partners LLC Calpine Corp Energy and Power 15,973
United States United States
Discovery Communications Inc Scripps Networks Interactive Media and Entertainment 14,608
United States United States
COSCO Shipping Holdings Co Ltd Orient Overseas International Ltd Industrials 8,385
Hong Kong Hong Kong
Sunac International Investment Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Real Estate 6,500
Holdings Ltd Co Ltd - Assets
China China
China National Building Material Co China National Materials Co Ltd Industrials 4,754
China China
GD Power Development Co Ltd China Shenhua Energy Co - Assets Energy and Power 4,404
China China
JPMF Guangdong Co Ltd Lingyi Tech (Shenzhen) Co Ltd High Technology 3,760
China China
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co Ltd Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Real Estate 2,949
China
Co Ltd - Assets
China
Vodafone Group PLC Idea Cellular Ltd Mobile Business Telecommunications 11,627
United Kingdom India
COSCO Shipping Holdings Co Ltd Orient Overseas International Ltd Industrials 8,385
Hong Kong Hong Kong
Sunac International Investment Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Real Estate 6,500
Holdings Ltd Co Ltd - Assets
China China
Investor Group Endeavour Energy Pty Ltd Energy and Power 5,609
Australia Australia
Wang Tai Holdings Ltd Iron Mining International (Mongolia) Ltd Materials 5,516
China Mongolia
Shenzhen Metro Group Co Ltd China Vanke Co Ltd Real Estate 5,359
China China
Shanghai Zhongan Joint Invest Rosneft Oil Co Energy and Power 9,100
China Russian Federation
Cheung Kong Ppty Hldg Ltd ista Luxemburg GmbH High Technology 6,724
Hong Kong Germany
Shanghai Zhongan Joint Invest Rosneft Oil Co Oil and Gas; 9,100
China Russian Federation Petroleum Refining
Standard Chartered PLC Future Land Dvlp Hldgs Ltd Real Estate 656
United Kingdom China
Warburg Pincus LLC Nova Ppty Invest Co Ltd Real Estate 183
United States China
Investor Group Zuoyebang (Xiaochuan Chubai Educ Tech) Consumer Products 150
United States United States and Services
Global Logistic Properties Ltd Hallmark Intl Invest Ltd Consumer Products 122
Singapore China and Services
Bach Holdings Ltd Nord Anglia Education Inc Consumer Products 4,300
Cayman Islands Hong Kong and Services
Asia Cube Global Commun Ltd Hutchison Global Commun Telecommunications 1,856
United States Hong Kong
Standard Chartered PLC Future Land Dvlp Hldgs Ltd Real Estate 656
United Kingdom China
Toray Industries Inc Pacific Textiles Holdings Ltd Consumer Staples 519
Japan Hong Kong
Prosperity Vision (III) Pte Ever Jump Investments Ltd Real Estate 403
Singapore Hong Kong
Shanghai Zhongan Joint Invest Rosneft Oil Co Energy and Power 9,100
China Russian Federation
Cheung Kong Ppty Hldg Ltd ista Luxemburg GmbH High Technology 6,724
Hong Kong Germany
Lee Kum Kee Group 20 Fenchurch Street, London Real Estate 1,683
Hong Kong United Kingdom
CITIC Agricultural Ind Fund Dow AgroSciences - Certain Assets Consumer Staples 1,100
China Brazil
Shandong Weigao Grp Med Argon Medical Devices Inc High Technology 850
China United States
Shanghai Zhongan Joint Invest Rosneft Oil Co Energy and Power 9,100
China Russian Federation
Cheung Kong Ppty Hldg Ltd ista Luxemburg GmbH High Technology 6,724
Hong Kong Germany
Wang Tai Holdings Ltd Iron Mining International (Mongolia) Ltd Materials 5,516
China Mongolia
Yan Kuang Group Co Ltd Coal & Allied Industries Ltd Materials 2,450
China Australia
Cheung Kong Ppty Holding Ltd Reliance Home Comfort LP Industrials 2,104
China Canada
China National Petroleum Corp Abu Dhabi National Oil Co Energy and Power 1,770
China United Arab Emirates
Lee Kum Kee Group 20 Fenchurch Street, London Real Estate 1,683
Hong Kong United Kingdom
Sembcorp Industries Ltd Sembcorp Green Infra Ltd Energy and Power 220
Singapore India
Wilmar Sugar Holdings Pte Ltd Shree Renuka Sugars Ltd Consumer Staples 126
Singapore India
Warburg Pincus LLC CleanMax Enviro Energy Energy and Power 109
United States India
Ali Cloud Investment LLC Just Buy Live Entrp Pvt Ltd High Technology 100
United Arab Emirates India
GIC Pte Ltd DLF Cyber City Developers Ltd Real Estate 1,390
Singapore India
Tokio Marine Holdings Inc IFFCO Tokio General Insurance Financials 393
Japan India
Canada Pension Plan Investment Island Star Mall Developers Real Estate 338
Canada India
Hon Hai Precision Industry SB Energy Holdings Ltd Energy and Power 272
China India
Tech Mahindra Ltd HCI Group Inc Energy and Power 220
India United States
Investor Group Group One Holdings Pte Ltd Energy and Power 100
India Singapore
13