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International Journal of Mental Health Promotion


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Is Hope or Mental Illness a Stronger Predictor of Mental


Health?
Anthony Venning , Lisa Kettler , Ian Zajac , Anne Wilson & Jaklin Eliott
Published online: 22 Dec 2011.

To cite this article: Anthony Venning , Lisa Kettler , Ian Zajac , Anne Wilson & Jaklin Eliott (2011) Is Hope or Mental
Illness a Stronger Predictor of Mental Health?, International Journal of Mental Health Promotion, 13:2, 32-39, DOI:
10.1080/14623730.2011.9715654

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F E A T U R E

Anthony Venning
Lisa Kettler
IsHope or Mental Illness
Ian Zajac
The School of Psychology, The University of Adelaide,
a Stronger Predictor of
South Australia
Mental Health?
Anne Wilson
The School of Nursing, The University of Adelaide,
South Australia

Jaklin Eliott
Cancer Council Australia and Discipline of Public
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Health, School of Population Health and Clinical


Practice, Adelaide, South Australia

Key words: mental health; adolescents; hope; health pro- illness), the area of positive psychology suggests that focusing
motion; Australia on the positive aspects of human functioning may provide
new and valuable insights into the best way to promote
Introduction health. Positive psychology is concerned with the study of an
individuals positive virtues and strengths, and the identifi-
Psychological models and theories have contributed signifi- cation of effective strategies to instil and amplify them in
cantly to the area of public health (Murphy & Bennett, 2004). order to promote health (Park, 2004; Seligman et al, 2005).
For example, the Health Belief Model (Rosenstock, 1966) From this perspective, the Complete State Model (CSM) of
and the Theory of Planned Behaviour (Ajzen, 1991) have mental health (Keyes & Lopez, 2002) offers a practical way
played important roles in understanding, protecting and in which health professionals can identify the prevalence of
improving the health of populations and communities. Building mental health and mental illness, and connect diagnosis to
on these approaches, and in contrast to a traditional psycho- treatment. In diagnostic terms, the CSM of mental health
logical focus (preventing or treating the symptoms of mental considers an individual to have Complete Mental Health

A B S T R A C T
Health promotion strategies often focus on the prevention or whether hope was a stronger predictor of mental health in
alleviation of mental illness in an attempt to indirectly promote young people than was mental illness. Confirmatory factor
mental health. But, while the absence of mental illness may analysis was used to test the proposed model, and data
be a consequence of mental health, it does not necessarily were drawn from a sample of young South Australians (N =
signal or lead to mental health (Keyes & Lopez, 2002), 3913; 1317 years). The results indicated that hope was a
suggesting that a focus on mental illness may not be the significantly stronger predictor of mental health than was
optimal way to promote mental health. The current study mental illness. These results have implications for the content
adopted a positive psychological approach and tested of strategies to promote mental health in young people.

32 International Journal of Mental Health Promotion VOLUME 13 ISSUE 2 - MAY 2011 The Clifford Beers Foundation
F E A T U R E

(CMH) if they report high levels of subjective well-being (Snyder, 2002). People high in Hope set more routes, have
and very low levels of mental illness, Complete Mental Illness more energy to pursue routes, and generate multiple routes
(CMI) if they report very high levels of mental illness and to obtain goals, experience enduring and positive emotions,
low levels of subjective well-being, and incomplete states of and view goal blockages as only temporary setbacks; people
either if they report high or low levels of each concurrently. low in Hope set fewer goals, are less driven in the pursuit
The essential premises of the CSM of mental health of goals, experience negative emotions, and are unable to
(Keyes & Lopez, 2002) are that mental health and mental produce alternative routes if goal blockages occur (Snyder
illness are distinct constructs, and that movement between et al, 1991; Snyder, 2002).
states depends on increased or decreased levels of subjective The Broaden and Build theory of positive emotions
symptoms of well-being or mental illness experienced (for (Fredrickson, 1998) suggests that, in contrast to the experience
example CMI CMH); subjective well-being is assessed of negative emotions, which narrow the range of responses
by a combination of positive symptoms of mental health (such available in a situation (fight or flight) and carry immediate
as psychological, social and emotional well-being), and mental adaptive benefits, continued experiences of positive emotions
illness is assessed by a combination of negative symptoms accumulate and compound to broaden an individuals
of mental illness (such as depression or anxiety). But while momentary thoughtaction responses and build enduring
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the absence of mental illness may be a consequence of mental personal resources. For example, while the experience of
health, the absence of mental illness does not necessarily signal sadness and fear may lead to depression, anxiety and decreased
or lead to mental health (Keyes & Lopez, 2002; Keyes, 2005). involvement in life, the experience of Joy or Interest may
This implies that an exclusive attempt to promote mental lead to creativity, exploration and increased involvement in
health by default (via alleviation of mental illness) may life. Incorporating the Broaden and Build theory of positive
leave an individual in a state of incomplete mental health and emotion, then, it is suggested that compared to those low in
not be as effective as an approach that builds an individuals Hope, the positive emotions that follow successful hopeful
psychological strengths to launch them towards a state of thinking accumulate and compound to equip young people
CMH. It is not suggested that a focus on mental illness is not high in Hope with the skills and resources needed to cope with
at times necessary if there is a risk of self-harm or evidence adversity, buffer against the onset or lessen the severity of
that an individual is unable to function. It is argued, rather, mental illness, and enable them to reach and sustain a state
that treating the symptoms of mental illness may not develop of CMH.
the resources an individual needs to reach and sustain a state
of CMH, whereas a focus on building an individuals psycho- The study
logical strengths may directly or indirectly undo the root causes
of mental illness (Duckworth et al, 2005; Keyes, 2005). It has been reported that, compared with young people low
The CSM of mental health (Keyes & Lopez, 2002) has in Hope, young people high in Hope report increased levels
been operationalised in adolescent populations in the United of physical and psychological functioning (Cheavens et al,
States (1218 years) and Australia (1317 years) in studies 2006; Snyder et al, 1991, 2000). However, whether Hope
with large sample sizes; these studies indicated that when predicts mental health in young people (conceptualised as a
conceptualised separately from mental illness, fewer than combination of positive symptoms of functioning) remains
50% of young people could be classified as having CMH empirically untested. Our study sought to do this, and adopted
(Keyes, 2006; Venning et al, in press). Thus it is imperative a cognitive conceptualisation of Hope to test the hypothesis
that health promotion strategies focus on preventing or treating that Hope is a stronger predictor of mental health than is
the symptoms of mental illness and on promoting the psycho- mental illness. It was hoped that addressing this question
logical strengths that lead to increased levels of well-being. would provide evidence for or against the value of shifting
An example of a cognitive strength that has been associated the primary focus of health promotion towards building an
with elevated levels of well-being, reduced levels of mental individuals strengths. This hypothesis was tested in a sample
illness and positive health behaviour (for example physical of young people because:
exercise) is Hope (Cheavens et al, 2006; Snyder et al, 1991,
2000). When conceptualised cognitively, Hope consists of an increased prevalence of young people and at
two interrelated dimensions of Agency and Pathways (Snyder earlier ages are reported to experience mental
et al, 1991). Agency helps an individual to set, initiate and health problems (Boyd et al, 2000)
sustain movement towards a goal, and Pathways refers to young people who report mental health problems
the ability to develop multiple strategies to achieve goals are more likely to engage in health-risk behaviour

International Journal of Mental Health Promotion VOLUME 13 ISSUE 2 - MAY 2011 The Clifford Beers Foundation 33
F E A T U R E

that can have profound long-term consequences Measures/variables


(Chen et al, 2006)
youth is a critical time for the development of positive Mental health
strengths and health behaviours to ensure they con- Scores on the Psychological Well-Being (PWB), Social Well-
tinue into adulthood and have enduring consequences Being (SWB) and Emotional Well-Being (EWB) scales used
for health and well-being (Maggs et al, 1997). in the SAYMHS to assess subjective well-being defined the
latent variable of mental health.
Method PWB was assessed using the 18-item version of the
Psychological Well-Being Scale (Ryff, 1989). Scored on a
Participants/procedure/data collection 6-point Likert scale (strongly disagree to strongly agree),
respondents indicate the extent to which they agree with
The data for the study were drawn from the South Australian questions from various dimensions of their life (such as
Youth Mental Health Survey (SAYMHS), an on-line survey self-acceptance and purpose in life). Scores range from 18
conducted to gather information on a number of mental health to 108, and higher scores are indicative of higher PWB. The
indicators from a sample of young South Australians (N = 18-item version of the Psychological Well-Being Scale has
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3913; aged 13 to 17 years). All public, private, regional and demonstrated modest internal consistency in other non-clinical
metropolitan secondary schools in South Australia with a samples (.81; Waterman et al, 2010), and the Cronbachs
population over 100 were approached. Before contacting the Alpha in the current sample was .81.
schools, ethical approval to conduct the study was obtained SWB was assessed using the 15-item version of the Social
from the University of Adelaides Human Research Ethics Well-Being Scale (Keyes, 1998). Scored on a 6-point Likert
Committee, the South Australian Department of Education scale (strongly disagree to strongly agree) respondents indi-
and Childrens Services, and the Catholic Education Office cate their social functioning in various aspects of their life
of South Australia. In total, 129 secondary schools were (for example social integration and social acceptance) and
contacted, 52 agreed to participate, and data were obtained scores range from 15 to 90 (higher scores indicative of high-
from 41 schools because 11 dropped out before data collection er SWB). The Social Well-Being Scale has demonstrated
began (N = 3913; 52% female). As no data could be collected modest to excellent internal consistency (.81; Keyes, 1998)
on the characteristics of those schools and participants that did with a Cronbachs Alpha of .76 in the current sample.
not participate, we are unable to report whether they differed EWB was assessed using the Satisfaction with Life Scale
significantly from those that did. However, the schools that (SLS) (Diener et al, 1985). The SLS was chosen to indicate
participated represented all metropolitan and regional areas EWB because it provides a cognitive indication of an indi-
of South Australia. The reasons cited for a schools non- viduals emotional vitality (Pavot & Diener, 1993; Keyes &
participation included time constraints, concurrent participation Lopez, 2002). Scored on a 7-point Likert scale (strongly
in other research and previous participation in research. disagree to strongly agree) participants indicate the extent
In the schools that agreed to participate, parental consent to which they agree with five statements about their life
was obtained and data were collected and recorded on-line (for example The conditions of my life are ideal and I am
in the first half of 2007 (MarchJuly) from participants at 38 satisfied with my life); scores range from 5 to 35 with higher
of the 41 schools (N = 3315). The first screen of the ques- scores indicative of higher levels of life satisfaction. The SLS
tionnaire provided information about the study, ensured has demonstrated good psychometric properties in a variety
confidentiality and gained a students assent. The student was of populations (.80 to .89; see Pavot & Diener (1993) for a
then taken to the main questionnaire page. If a student skipped review) and the Cronbachs Alpha in the current sample
questions, submission was disallowed until all questions had was .84.
been answered. In situations where a school did not have
access to, had a limited number of, or could not get students Mental illness
to a computer, a manual version of the questionnaire was The latent variable of mental illness was defined by scores on
provided. In most cases students completed manual question- the Depression Anxiety Stress Scale (DASS-21) (Lovibond
naires during school time and completed forms were collated & Lovibond, 1995) used in the SAYMHS to assess symptoms
by the school and collected by the first author for analysis. of mental illness. The DASS-21 is a 21-item self-report
Data were collected from three schools using this method inventory designed to measure the negative states of depression
(N = 598). Further details of the SAYMHS have been reported (for example I couldnt seem to experience any positive
elsewhere (Venning et al, 2009). feeling at all), anxiety (for example I was worried about

34 International Journal of Mental Health Promotion VOLUME 13 ISSUE 2 - MAY 2011 The Clifford Beers Foundation
F E A T U R E

situations in which I might panic and make a fool of myself), examined separately. Finally, because it has been indicated
and stress (for example I found it hard to wind down). Each that a possible gender disparity exists in the development of
item is scored on a 4-point Likert scale from zero (didnt Hopes components during adolescence (Venning et al, 2009),
apply to me at all) to three (applied to me most of the time), the sample was split to examine whether these relationships
with higher scores indicative of higher levels of each con- held constant for both males and females. In order to evaluate
struct. Total scores were multiplied by two to indicate normal, model fit we report three fit indices and adopt the criteria
mild, moderate or severe levels of depression (scores of 09, recommended by Hu and Bentler (1999) and Bentler (2007).
1013, 1420, 21+), anxiety (scores of 07, 89, 1014, 15+) The fit indices reported were model Chi Squared (C2), the
or stress (scores of 014, 1518, 1925, 26+) respectively Standardised Root Mean Square Residual (SRMR) and the
(Lovibond & Lovibond, 1995). The DASS-21 has proven Comparative Fit Index (CFI). Values of .05 for SRMR
to be reliable in large non-clinical samples (depression, .95, and .95 for CFI are said to indicate a good fitting model
anxiety, .87, stress, .93; Crawford & Henry, 2003), and (Garson, 2006; Hu & Bentler, 1999).
its internal consistency in the sample was .88, .79, and .82
respectively. Results
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Hope Missing data


Scores on the Adult Hope Scale (AHS) (Snyder et al, 1991)
were used to define the variable of Hope. The AHS consists Data recorded electronically had no missing values (N =
of 12 self-report items to assess an individuals level of Hope 3315). Two approaches were taken to missing data collect-
within a goal-setting framework. Each item is scored on an ed via the manual version of the questionnaire (N = 598).
8-point Likert scale (definitely false to definitely true) to
indicate how well a statement describes the individual (for If one or more of the measures were left completely
example I can think of many ways to get the things in life blank, or if > 25% were missing, the entire data set
that are important to me and I meet the goals I set for myself), for that individual was excluded (8% of manual
with a total Hope score then obtained by combining scores questionnaires).
on the four Agency and Pathways items (four items are If isolated missing values existed (< 25%), mean
distracters); scores range from a low of 8 to a high of 64. imputation was used.
The AHS has been reported to have good internal reliability
(.74 to .84; Snyder et al, 1991), the Cronbach Alpha of the Tables 1 and 2, overleaf provide a summary of correlations
modified version used in the SAYMHS being .83. For details and descriptive statistics.
on the cultural modifications made to the AHS and why it Using CFA, our first model tested whether the measures
was used with this age range refer to Venning et al, 2009. of PWB, SWB, EWB and Depression, Anxiety and Stress
defined a single mental health factor. The loadings of these
Data analytic plan scales on the mental health factor were high (.64, .57, .56, -.91,
-.74 and -.79, respectively), but the fit statistics indicated
Electronically and manually collected data were merged into poor model fit: C2 (9) = 3054, p < .001; N = 3913; SRMR =
one data set and variables were assessed for distributional .13; CFI = .76. We therefore tested a model that included
normality before hypothesis testing (see Venning et al (2009) two independent but related factors of mental health and
for a full description of data merging). No marked deviations mental illness. As can be seen in Figure 1, overleaf, the
were noted. Descriptive statistics and Pearson correlations loadings on these two factors were high and the fit statistics
were computed using SPSS version 15.0 (SPSS, Chicago, indicated good model fit: C2 (7), = 64.4, p < .001; N = 3913;
IL, USA). Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) was used to SRMR = .009; CFI = .99. It was therefore indicated that in
test the factorial models and was carried out in Analysis of our sample mental health and mental illness are independent
Moment Structures (AMOS 7) software (SPSS, Chicago, IL, but related constructs.
USA) using the Maximum Likelihood estimation procedure. In our second model we incorporated the latent variable
Initially models were tested to confirm the independence of of Hope, defined by its two component scores, to examine
mental health and mental illness. Following this, a model was the relationship between Hope and mental health, and mental
tested to examine the relationship between Hope and mental illness and mental health. The fit statistics indicated good
health and mental illness and mental health, before the pre- model fit: X2 (17) = 619.30, p < .001; N = 3913; SRMR = .046;
dictive nature of Hopes components to mental health were CFI = .96. The regression coefficients were then compared

International Journal of Mental Health Promotion VOLUME 13 ISSUE 2 - MAY 2011 The Clifford Beers Foundation 35
F E A T U R E

TABLE 1 Correlations Between Observed Variables ( N = 3913)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 Pathways
2 Agency .62**
3 Depression -.19** -.32**
4 Anxiety -.07** -.17** .68**
5 Stress -.09** -.18** .74** .72**
6 Psych Well-Being .46** .58** -.56** -.38** -.39**
7 Social Well-Being .36** .49** -.50** -.31** -.35** .67**
8 Satisfaction with Life .38** .52** -.49** -.28** -.33** .65** .55**
** p < .001 (2-tailed)
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TABLE 2 Descriptive Statistics for Observed Variables

Total Male Female


(N = 3913) (N = 1863) (N = 2050)
M s.d. M s.d. M s.d.
Pathways (432) b
23.00 4.41 23.04 4.53 22.96 4.31
Agency (432) b 23.19 4.98 23.32 5.02 23.08 4.95
Depression (042) b 8.32 8.86 7.95 8.51 8.67 9.15
Anxiety (042) b 6.91 7.03 6.80 7.11 7.00 6.96
Stress (042) b 10.71 8.29 10.18 8.24 11.18 8.32
Psych. Well-Being (18108) b 76.49 11.27 75.79 11.18 77.14 11.32
Social Well-Being (1590) b 58.79 9.46 58.73 9.35 58.85 9.56
Satisfaction with Life (535) b 23.69 6.58 24.14 6.40 23.27 6.72
Note: M = Mean; s.d. = Standard Deviation; b = range of scores

to test whether Hope predicted mental health better than did 2050; SRMR = .048; CFI = .96). In both groups, a compari-
mental illness. The results indicated that Hope explained son of Hope and mental illness showed that Hope explained
significantly more of the variance in mental health than
mental illness (Z = 11.41, p < .001 (two-tailed), 37% of FIGURE 1 Relationship of Mental Health to Mental
Illness
the variance compared to 19%) and is therefore a stronger
predictor of mental health than is mental illness (Figure
2, opposite). To explore the predictive natures of Agency
and Pathways, the latent variable of Hope was removed in
our third model and replaced by its components, direct
regression paths were then drawn between Agency and mental
health and Pathways and mental health (both were allowed
to correlate with mental illness). The fit statistics indicated
good model fit (X2 (15) = 136, p < .001; N = 3913; SRMR
= .019; CFI = .99) and that Agency explained significantly
more of the variance in mental health than Pathways (Z =
19.68, p < .001 (two-tailed) (17% compared with 2%)).
Finally, we explored whether these findings held constant
for males and females. We split the sample by gender and
repeated the last two models in both groups. When our second
model was retested, fit statistics indicated good model fit
for both males (X2 (17) = 289, p < .001; N = 1863; SRMR =
.046; CFI = .97) and females (X2 (17) = 352, p < .001; N =

36 International Journal of Mental Health Promotion VOLUME 13 ISSUE 2 - MAY 2011 The Clifford Beers Foundation
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a Hope-focused approach to mental health in young people


FIGURE 2 Path-Analytic Model: Influence of Hope and
Mental Illness on Mental Health may include development of adaptive thought patterns,
development of enduring personal resources, engagement in
positive health behaviour, and prevention or reduction of
mental illness, antisocial behaviour, and/or substance abuse.
It has been suggested that an explicit focus on Hope
increases the effectiveness of any therapeutic approach to
treating the symptoms of mental illness (Snyder et al, 1999).
Recent studies have indicated that the process of Hope may
play a causal role in reduction of depression and anxiety
(Arnau et al, 2007), and that when compared with no Hopeful
elements, the inclusion of multiple Hopeful elements increases
the effectiveness of therapy to prevent the onset of depression
in young people (Venning et al, 2009). Thus promotion of
Hope may be an effective way to prevent or treat the symptoms
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of mental illness. It may also be an effective way to bring


about therapeutic change. For example, although therapies
that focus on treating the symptoms of mental illness might
successfully alleviate its symptoms, they do little to develop
the resources an individual needs to reach and sustain a state
of Complete Mental Health (CMH) (Keyes & Lopez, 2002).
In contrast, successful Hopeful thinking, and the skills and
positive resources that are developed, may help to propel a
significantly more of the variance in mental health than did young person from a poor state of mental health towards a
mental illness (males, Z = 10.05, p < .001 (two-tailed), 38% sustainable state of CMH.
compared to 16%; females, Z = 6.37, p < .001 (two-tailed), Hope and its components allow for a structured and
36% compared to 21%). When our third model was retested, deliberate approach to mental health strategies at a population,
fit statistics indicated a good model fit for both males (C2 group or individual level. The study has indicated no gender
(30) = 159, p < .001; N = 1863; SRMR = .028; CFI = .99) differences in the relationship between Hope and mental health,
and females (C2 (30) = 168, p < .001; N = 2050; SRMR = .022; but Agency explained significantly more of the variance in
CFI = .99). In both groups, Agency explained significantly mental health than Pathways. This result is consistent with
more of the variance in mental health than Pathways (males: studies reporting that Agency predicts academic grades,
Z = 13.29, p < .001 (two-tailed) (18% compared with 3%); behavioural problems and positive affect better than Pathways,
females: Z = 14.96, p < .001 (two-tailed) (18% compared and Agency but not Pathways had a significant effect on
with 2%). depression and anxiety symptoms (Arnau et al, 2007;
Ciarrochi et al, 2007). Thus, even though Agency and Pathways
Discussion are theorised to be essential elements of Hope (Snyder et
al, 1991), it may be that the ability to set and maintain the
The study provides evidence that Hope predicts mental health determination to achieve goals is more important than
better than does mental illness. This result is consistent with developing alternative routes to obtaining them in terms of
a positive psychological view that, unless characterised by promoting mental health, regardless of gender.
the presence of other positive and meaningful dimensions, Employment of positive and Hope-focused strategies to
absence of mental illness does not necessarily equate to promote CMH in a clinical or school setting depends on a
mental health (Keyes & Lopez, 2002; Magyary, 2002). On number of elements. Conceptually, it requires a framework
a practical level, the result implies that the focus of strategies that positions mental health and mental illness as separate
to promote mental health may be best redirected to building constructs but provides the diagnostic ability to assess thera-
a young persons positive strengths, such as Hope, to promote peutic change using positive and negative symptoms of
mental health and indirectly prevent mental illness, rather functioning. Practically, it requires increased use of measures
than to preventing or remedying mental illness in an attempt of positive and negative symptoms of functioning, and
to build mental health indirectly. The long-term benefits of decreased reliance on exclusive measures of mental illness

International Journal of Mental Health Promotion VOLUME 13 ISSUE 2 - MAY 2011 The Clifford Beers Foundation 37
F E A T U R E

to indicate mental health. The CSM of mental health (Keyes building a young persons psychological strengths in order
& Lopez, 2002) already provides just such a diagnostic to indirectly prevent mental illness, rather than prevent or
framework, and multiple well-validated measures of positive remedy mental illness in an attempt to indirectly build mental
functioning already exist. The contribution of this study, health.
therefore, is to confirm that mental illness may not be the
best indicator of mental health and to highlight the need Acknowledgements
to focus on psychological strengths, like Hope, in order to
promote and obtain a more accurate picture of a young persons This study was completed as part of a combined Clinical
mental health, and potentially to develop the resources they Masters/PhD program, the School of Psychology, The
need to reach and sustain a state of CMH. University of Adelaide, Australia. The SAYMHS was
The data used in the study were obtained exclusively from conducted by the first author in 2007, under the supervision
participants recruited throughout regional and metropolitan of the second, fourth and fifth authors, and all the authors
South Australia. As a result, the sample may not be repre- would like to thank the South Australian Department of
sentative of young people from other countries or cultures, Education and Childrens Services, the principals, deputy
and the constructs assessed may therefore differ due to the
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principals, teachers and, of course, the students, for their


self-report nature or cultural interpretation of questions. involvement.
Compared with the SLS, the four measures that use Likert
scales with an even number of response categories may limit Address for correspondence
the reliability of the results, because they force a presumably
random choice in the absence of an option that accurately Dr Anthony Venning, The School of Psychology, The
reflects a respondents ambivalence towards a statement. University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia. Email:
However, in reference to scales that have seven items or Anthony.venning@adelaide.edu.au
fewer, it is suggested that those with an even number of
response categories are no more reliable than those with an
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International Journal of Mental Health Promotion VOLUME 13 ISSUE 2 - MAY 2011 The Clifford Beers Foundation 39

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