AP Statistics

- Term 2 Assignment -

Ms. Han
shan@daltonschool.kr
HS Room 214
INTEREST PACKET

Chance is all around us, whether we realize it or not. We introduce this chapter with several quick examples of how
chance shows up in our daily lives. The mathematics of chance is called probability, and probability is the basis for the
confidence intervals and significance tests we will learn about in later chapters. This makes probability a vital bridge
between designing studies and drawing conclusions from them.

Topic Overview
Randomness, Probability, and Simulation
Probability Rules
Conditional Probability and Independence
Discrete and Continuous Random Variables
Transforming and Combining Random Variables
Binomial and Geometric Random Variables
What Is Sampling Distribution?
Sampling Proportions
Sample Means

Essential Questions
Chapter 5: What is probability? What are some methods, rules and various displaying methods for finding
probabilities? What is a probability model? What is the difference between mutually exclusive event and
independent events?
Chapter 6: What is a random variable? What is its probability distribution? What is the expected value?
What are the linear transformations and combinations of random variables? What do binomial distributions
model?
Chapter 7: What is the difference between population parameter and sample statistic? How do sample results
vary in relation to the population truth? What is the difference between population distribution, distribution
of sample data and sampling distribution? What makes a good estimator? Difference between proportions
and means?
Reference Materials
The Practice of Statistics (5th edition), by Starnes, Tabor, Yates, and Moore, W. H. Freeman & Co., 2014

Skills List

12.AP. Anticipating Patterns: Exploring random phenomena using probability and simulation
Probability is the tool used for anticipating what the distribution of data should look like under a given model.

Probability
12.AP.1. Interpreting probability, including long-run relative frequency interpretation
12.AP.2.Law of Large Numbers concept
12.AP.3. Addition rule, multiplication rule, conditional probability and independence
12.AP.4. Discrete random variables and their probability distributions, including binomial and geometric
12.AP.5. Simulation of random behavior and probability distributions
12.AP.6. Mean (expected value) and standard deviation of a random variable, and linear transformation of a
random variable
Combining independent random variables
12.AP.7. Notion of independence versus dependence
12.AP.8. Mean and standard deviation for sums and differences of independent random variables
The normal distribution
12.AP.9 Properties of the normal distribution
12.AP.10. Using tables of the normal distribution
12.AP.11. The normal distribution as a model for measurements

12.AP. Anticipating Patterns: Exploring random phenomena using probability and simulation
Probability is the tool used for anticipating what the distribution of data should look like under a given model.

Sampling distributions
12.AP.12. Sampling distribution of a sample proportion
12.AP.13. Sampling distribution of a sample mean
12.AP.14. Central Limit Theorem
12.AP.15. Sampling distribution of a difference between two independent sample proportions
12.AP.16. Sampling distribution of a difference between two independent sample means
12.AP.17. Simulation of sampling distributions
LESSON OVERVIEW
Day Topics
5.1 The Idea of
Probability, Myths about
1 Randomness
5.1 Simulation
5.2 Probability Models,
Basic Rules of Probability
2 5.2 Two-Way Tables,
Probability, and the
General Addition Rule,
Venn Diagrams and
Probability
5.3 What Is Conditional
Probability?, The General
Multiplication Rule and
Tree Diagrams,
3 events.
5.3 Conditional
Probability and
Independence: A Special
Multiplication Rule
Chapter 5
4
Review/FRAPPY!
5 Chapter 5 Quiz
Chapter 6 Introduction,
6.1 Discrete Random
Variables, Mean
(Expected Value) of a
Discrete Random Variable
6
6.1 Standard Deviation
(and Variance) of a
Discrete Random
Variable, Continuous
Random Variables
6.2 Linear
Transformations
7 6.2 Combining Random
Variables, Combining
Normal Random Variables
Learning Objectives
Homework
Students will be able to
Interpret probability as a long-run relative 1, 3, 7, 9, 11
frequency.
15, 17, 19, 23, 25
Use simulation to model chance behavior.
Determine a probability model for a chance
process. 27, 31, 32, 39, 41,
Use basic probability rules, including the 43, 45, 47
complement rule and the addition rule for
mutually exclusive events.
Use a two-way table or Venn diagram to model a
chance process and calculate probabilities 29, 3336, 49, 51,
involving two events. 53, 55
Use the general addition rule to calculate
probabilities.
Calculate and interpret conditional probabilities.
Use the general multiplication rule to calculate 5760, 63, 65, 67,
probabilities.
71, 73, 77, 79
Use tree diagrams to model a chance process and
calculate probabilities involving two or more
81, 83, 85, 89, 91,
Determine whether two events are independent. 93, 95, 9799,
When appropriate, use the multiplication rule for Case Closed,
independent events to compute probabilities. FRAPPY
Compute probabilities using the probability
distribution of a discrete random variable. 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13
Calculate and interpret the mean (expected value)
of a discrete random variable.
Calculate and interpret the standard deviation of a
14, 15, 17, 18, 21,
discrete random variable.
23, 25
Compute probabilities using the probability
distribution of a continuous random variable.
Describe the effects of transforming a random 2730, 35, 37, 39
variable by adding or subtracting a constant and 41, 43, 45
multiplying or dividing by a constant.
Find the mean and standard deviation of the sum
47, 49, 51, 53, 55,
or difference of independent random variables.
5759, 61
Find probabilities involving the sum or difference
of independent Normal random variables.
 6.3 Binomial Settings and
Determine whether the conditions for using a
Binomial Random 63, 65, 66, 69, 71,
8 binomial random variable are met.
Variables, Binomial 73, 75, 77
Compute and interpret probabilities involving
Probabilities binomial distributions.
6.3 Mean and Standard
Deviation of a Binomial
Calculate the mean and standard deviation of a 79, 81, 83, 85, 87,
Distribution, Binomial
binomial random variable. Interpret these values 89
Distributions in Statistical in context.
9 Sampling

93, 95, 97, 99,

6.3 Geometric Random
Find probabilities involving geometric random 101104, Case
Variables variables. Closed, FRAPPY

Chapter 6
10
Review/FRAPPY!

11 Chapter 6 Quiz

Introduction: German
12 Tank Problem, 7.1 1, 3, 5
Distinguish between a parameter and a statistic.
Parameters and Statistics

Distinguish among the distribution of a

population, the distribution of a sample, and the
7.1 Sampling Variability, sampling distribution of a statistic.
Use the sampling distribution of a statistic to 7, 9, 11, 13, 15,
13 Describing Sampling
evaluate a claim about a parameter. 17, 19
Distributions Determine whether or not a statistic is an unbiased
estimator of a population parameter.
Describe the relationship between sample size and
the variability of a statistic.
Find the mean and standard deviation of the
7.2 The Sampling sampling distribution of a sample proportion p .
Distribution of p , Using Check the 10% condition before calculating p . 2124, 27, 29, 33,
14
the Normal Determine if the sampling distribution of p is 35, 37, 39
Approximation for p . approximately Normal.
If appropriate, use a Normal distribution to
calculate probabilities involving p .
7.3 The Sampling
Find the mean and standard deviation of the
Distribution of x : Mean sampling distribution of a sample mean x . Check 4346, 49, 51, 53,
and Standard Deviation, the 10% condition before calculating x . 55
Sampling from a Normal
If appropriate, use a Normal distribution to
15 Population calculate probabilities involving x .
Explain how the shape of the sampling
57, 59, 61, 63, 65
7.3 The Central Limit distribution of x is affected by the shape of the
68, Case Closed,
Theorem population distribution and the sample size.
If appropriate, use a Normal distribution to FRAPPY
calculate probabilities involving x .
Chapter 7
16
Review/FRAPPY!

17 Chapter 7 Quiz
 18 Term 2 Test Review

19 Term 2 Test

20 Term 2 Test Review

*The schedule above is tentative. Please check the classroom board and Google classroom for the updates.

Expansion Pack: Please speak to me if you are interested in additional exercises.

ASSESSMENT

Grading Breakdown

Chapter Quizzes 30%

Term Test (cumulative) 30%
Homework and Homework Quizzes 20%
Formulas and Flashcards Project 10%
Group Work and In-Class Participation 10%

Grading Rubric

Chapter Quizzes: The purpose of chapter quizzes is to keep all students on top of their learning throughout the
term, and also to provide guideline to study for the term test as well as AP exam. Work needs to be shown for
each problem. Incorrect answers but well-written work with simple calculation mistakes will earn partial credit.
We will follow AP exam grading rubric.
Term Tests: At the end of each term, there will be a cumulative term test. Work needs to be shown for each
problem. Incorrect answers but well-written work with simple calculation mistakes will earn partial credit. We
will follow AP exam grading rubric.
Homework and Homework Quizzes: Students will be assigned homework every class and they are to have
completed it by the following class unless specific instructions are given. Homework will be mostly graded by
completion-based. Complete work earned full point, incomplete work earns half point, and no or little work earns
zero point. Late homework will be not accepted. Students who are absent on the due date of an assignment, they
must turn their homework in on the next following day to be accepted for credit. Homework must be done
independently in which no show of work will be considered incorrect. In addition, there will be homework
quizzes on one of the previous night homework.
Group Work and In-Class Participation: A typical class will be combination of whole class instruction led by
the teacher and group work led by students. Students are expected to pay undivided attention to teacher during
whole class instruction, and active involvement with group mates during group work time. Failure to meet these
expectations will result penalty in participation points. Since this is an AP course, students are expected to present
every class. If students are absent, they are expected to make up their work outside of class time to earn back their
participation points.
 Formulas and Flashcards Project
12th Grade AP Statistics Individual Project Term 2

DESCRIPTION

We have encountered many statistics formulas in AP Statistics class. Unfortunately, not all of these formulas will be
given on the AP exam. Your goal of this project is to get familiar with statistic formulas by creating your own formula
sheet: one that will be given on the actual AP exam and one that will be not given, but those you have to know prior
to taking AP exam in May (all the formulas that are given in the textbook). All of your work has to be in handwritten!

Another part of this project is to complete your flashcards. Write down the words on the front side,
definitions/explanations and examples with complete solutions (if needed) on the back side. Make sure
definitions/explanations are rephrased in your words and examples are original. Creativity will be graded for
examples. Again, all of your work has to be in handwritten.

GRADING BREAKDOWN

- On time (same day) 5%

- Chronological order (by category and chapter) 5%
- Neatness and organization 5%
- Creative cover page, title, descriptions with full name and class 10%
- Formulas 15%
o Formulas on the AP exam (correctness) 5%
o Formulas NOT on the AP exam (correctness) 10%
- Flashcards 60%
o Index cards with a ring (editable) 5%
o Include all key vocabularies 10%
o Correct definitions (in your own words) 15%
o Correct examples (with creativity) 30%
______

100%
Important Dates
Chapter 5 Quiz on Day 5 (Tuesday, October 31st)
Chapter 6 Quiz on Day 11 (Wednesday, November 15th)
Chapter 7 Quiz on Day 17 (Friday, December 1st)
Term 2 Test on Day 19 (Wednesday, December 6th)
Formulas and Flashcards Project on Day 20 (Friday, December 8th)

Albert.io
- Chapter 5 due on Sunday, October 29th
- Chapter 6 due on Sunday, November 12th
- Chapter 7 due on Thursday, November 30th

PROGRESS MONITOR
Use below table to keep track of your progress throughout the school year.

Accomplishment Table
Assessment Title Weight Due Date Points Earned
/ Points Possible
Chapter Quizzes 30%

Term 2 Test 30%

Homework and Homework
20%
Quizzes
Formulas and Flashcards
10%
Project
Group Work and In-Class
10%
Participation
Overall

** You are expected to bring your term assignments and utilize them in every class.