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ESTIMACION DEL VOLUMEN DE TRANSITO VIA CHINACOTA - RAGONVALIA

CALCULO DEL NUMERO DE EJES EQUIVALENTES - TRANSITO DE DISEO


COMPOSICION VEHICULAR COMPOSICION CAMIONES
C2P 22.54%
AUTOS 65.80% C2G 2.85%
BUSES 8.80% ZR 1.282 R= 90%
CAMIONES 25.40%
100.0%
FACTORES DAO
BUSES 1 C2G 3.44
C2P 1.14

POR FACTOR DE
AO TPD AUTOS BUSES C2P C2G N ANUAL N ACUMUL. CONFIABILIDAD DEL 90%

2017 283 67968 9090 26542 10127 45759 4.58E+04 5.31E+04


2018 290 69649 9315 27199 10378 46892 9.27E+04 1.07E+05
2019 298 71571 9572 27949 10664 48185 1.41E+05 1.63E+05
2020 305 73252 9797 28606 10914 49317 1.90E+05 2.20E+05
2021 313 75173 10054 29356 11201 50611 2.41E+05 2.79E+05
2022 320 76854 10278 30012 11451 51741 2.93E+05 3.40E+05
2023 328 78776 10535 30763 11737 53035 3.46E+05 4.01E+05
2024 335 80457 10760 31419 11988 54167 4.00E+05 4.64E+05
2025 342 82138 10985 32076 12238 55299 4.55E+05 5.27E+05
2026 350 84060 11242 32826 12525 56593 5.12E+05 5.93E+05
2027 357 85741 11467 33483 12775 57725 5.70E+05 6.61E+05

NOTA: EL TPD YA ESTA AFECTADO POR EL FACTOR DIRECCIONAL DE 1.0 TPD = 843 POR 1.0 = 843
Fd ADOPTADO SEGN TABLA 2.5 (VIA 4m DE ANCHO)
EL FACTOR CARRIL ES 1.0

TPD INICIAL AO 2017 AFOROS REALIZADOS


TRANSITOS TPD AUTOS BUSES CAMIONES C2P C2G C3 C5 >C5

NORMAL 843 555 74 214 190 24


100% 65.8% 8.8% 25.4% 22.54% 2.85%
DATOS DEL CARTILLAS INVIAS TPDS
AO TPD AUTOS BUSES CAMIONES
1997 168 61 10 29
1998 141 63 14 23
1999 138 66 12 22
2000 155 48 11 41
2001 158 41 14 45
2002 117 45 22 23
2003 178 57 27 20
2004 166 58 16 26
2005 218 42 13 45
2006 227 47 15 38
1666 528 154 312
31.7% 9.2% 18.7%

Chart Title
250

200
f(x) = 7.503030303x - 14850.7151515149
R = 0.4396251332
150
TPD
Linear
(TPD)
100

50

0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

Chart Title
250

200
f(x) = 15008.9880604381 ln(x) - 113926.491330842
R = 0.4391389707
150
TPD
Logarithmic
(TPD)
100

50
150
TPD
Logarithmic
(TPD)
100

50

0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

Chart Title
250

200
f(x) = 1.45392114703427E-270 x^82.4058928136
R = 0.382838739

150
TPD
Power (TPD)
100

50

0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

Chart Title
250

200
f(x) = 2.53748662064586E-34 exp( 0.0411960319 x )
R = 0.3832834506

150
TPD
Exponential
(TPD)
100

50

0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

Chart Title
250

f(x) = 2.5946969698x^2 - 10379.0689398389x + 10379489.7777183


R = 0.7761075505
Chart Title
250

f(x) = 2.5946969698x^2 - 10379.0689398389x + 10379489.7777183


R = 0.7761075505
200

150
TPD
Polynomial
(TPD)
100

50

0
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

AFORO
DIA SENTIDO AUTOMOVILES BUSES C2P
JUEVES CHINACOTA- RAGONVALIA 54 11 20
RAGONVALIA-CHINACOTA 44 4 18
VIERNES CHINACOTA- RAGONVALIA 59 8 20
RAGONVALIA-CHINACOTA 59 5 22
SABADO CHINACOTA- RAGONVALIA 50 10 18
RAGONVALIA-CHINACOTA 50 6 19
DOMINGO CHINACOTA- RAGONVALIA 63 8 21
RAGONVALIA-CHINACOTA 62 8 19
LUNES CHINACOTA- RAGONVALIA 57 7 14
RAGONVALIA-CHINACOTA 57 7 19
MARTES CHINACOTA- RAGONVALIA 0 0 0
RAGONVALIA-CHINACOTA 0 0 0
MIERCOLES CHINACOTA- RAGONVALIA 0 0 0
RAGONVALIA-CHINACOTA 0 0 0
TOTAL 555 74 190
PORCENTAJES 65.8% 8.8% 22.5%
LINEAL EXPONENCIAL
AO
Y=7,503X-14851 y = 3E-34e0,0412x
2005 193 225
2006 200 235
2007 208 244
2008 215 255
2009 223 265
2010 230 277
2011 238 288
2012 245 300
2013 253 313
2014 260 326
2015 268 340
2016 275 354
2017 283 369
2018 290 385
2019 298 401
2020 305 418
2021 313 435
2022 320 454
2023 328 473
2024 335 493
2025 343 513
2026 350 535
2027 358 557
TPD
Linear LOGARITMICA
(TPD) AO
y = 15009ln(x) - 113926
2005 193
2006 201
2007 208
2008 216
2009 223
2010 231
2008 2011 238
2012 246
2013 253
2014 261
2015 268
2016 276
2017 283
2018 290
42 2019 298
2020 305
2021 313
TPD 2022 320
Logarithmic 2023 328
(TPD)
2024 335
TPD
Logarithmic
(TPD)

2025 342
2026 350
2027 357

08

TPD
Power (TPD)

2008

TPD
Exponential
(TPD)

8
TPD
Polynomial
(TPD)

08

C2G SUB TOTAL


10 95 VEHICULOS PORCENTAJE
3 69 AUTOMOVILES 65.8%
1 88 BUSES 8.8%
0 86 CAMIONES 25.3%
4 82 TOTAL 100%
1 76
0 92
0 89
1 79
4 87
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
24 843
2.8% 100%
LOGARITMICA POLINOMICA POTENCIAL
y = 15009ln(x) - 113926 y = 2,5947x2 - 10379x + 1E+07 y = 1E-270x82,406
193 -379136 130
201 -379108 135
208 -379074 141
216 -379036 147
223 -378992 153
231 -378943 160
238 -378888 166
246 -378829 173
253 -378764 181
261 -378694 188
268 -378619 196
276 -378539 204
283 -378454 213
290 -378363 221
298 -378267 231
305 -378166 240
313 -378060 250
320 -377949 261
328 -377832 272
335 -377710 283
342 -377583 295
350 -377451 307
357 -377314 320