Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 8 Ottobre 2017

Cari buxiti,

- Tra i titoli piu overpriced nellS&P500 ci sono: Coca-Cola, Monster, Under Armour, Netflix,
Activision Blizard e Tripadvisor.
https://investorplace.com/2017/10/10-most-expensive-stocks-to-buy-sp-500/view-
all/#.WdiL01uCypo

- Parliamo di Netflix: qualche analista sostiene che i subscriber siano in crescita e queste
aspettative potrebbero rivelarsi un problema, come gia successo ad altri titoli tech in passato.
Aggiungiamo anche che la generazione di contenuto sta aumentando in costi e che la
concorrenza da Apple, Google, Hulu e Amazon sto aumentando. Infine, occorre ancora notare la
reazione dei clienti allaumento di prezzi (la stessa mossa, con Comcast, non ando bene).
Insomma, lautore di questo articolo pensa che il titolo netflix possa andare bene al massimo per
i prossimi 2 quarter (data la situaizone di oggi).
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112215-netflix-flying-high-can-
last?auth_param=1e9j7a:1ctgrar:324cb7d8e4b7a95c279b4717b177db7d&uprof=45&dr=1
Intanto, per la cronaca laumento di $1 (10%) di alcuni abbonamenti, dovrebbe portare circa
$900milioni di euro i piu, secondo queste stime.
https://www.businessinsider.nl/hoe-een-prijsverhoging-van-1-euro-netlix-pakweg-e900-
miljoen-oplevert-en-beleggers-blij-maakt/

- I dividendi piu redditizi nellS&P500 sono: Verizon (yield 4,4%), IBM (4,1%), GE(3,9%), Chevron
(3,7%), Pfizer (3,6%), Cisco (3,5%), Coca-Cola (3,3%), PG (3%), Intel (2,79%), Wal-mart (2,6%).
La mia opinione personale e che i titoli da dividendo debbano essere anche titoli da crescita per
controbilanciare la scelta; gli unici in questa lista sono chevron, pfizer (In quantita discutibili) e
Intel.
https://investorplace.com/2017/10/2017-best-dow-jones-dividend-stocks/view-
all/#.WdiMNVuCypo

- Questa settimana, tre grandi banche riporteranno gli earnings: JPMorgan, Bank of America e
Citiroup.
https://investorplace.com/2017/10/3-earnings-reports-to-watch/view-all/#.WdiexVuCypo

- Sembra esserci del potenziale per Oracle, in base a buoni earnings, P/E a 15,33 e PEG a 1,89,
senza dimenticare il potenziale rimpatrio di cpaitali dopo la riforma fiscale di Trump.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112227-oracle-period-strong-growth-just-
beginning?auth_param=1e9j7a:1cth9de:ea7fbfc046e33b828757fad33de96663&uprof=45&dr=1

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 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 8 Ottobre 2017
- Secondo Wells Fargo, McDonalds potrebbe mettere un game changer sul mercato a inizio 2018:
un menu nuovo a prezzo ridotto. Il rating attuale e un Outperform con TP a $180 (+31%).
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3299909-mcdonalds-expected-unveil-national-value-
menu?uprof=45&dr=1#email_link

- Campanello dallarme per Netflix: il titolo ha raggiunto il picco settimana scorsa, aiutato anche
dalle piu rosee prospettive del settore e dalla obiettiva mancanza di comcorrenza. Purtroppo,
pero, giganti come Apple, Google, Amazon e Facebook stanno entrando nel mercato, il che
renderebbe il futuro a distanza di 2-3 anni meno interessante per Netflix.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112326-netflix-euphoria-hits-time-
high?auth_param=1e9j7a:1ctlgo9:eb8d78c99054272f9d4900246d530a54&uprof=45&dr=1

- Non a caso, il prossimo articolo parla proprio di Facebook e di Watch, la sua piattaforma gratis
per vedere contenuti multimediali, per cui Zuckerberg edisposto a pagare circa $1miliardo.
Considerando gli oltre 2 miliardi di utenti e il fatto che ancora non siano state pubblicate cifre al
rigurdo, qeusto articolo sostiene che Watch puoessere un motore di crescita dellimpresa.
Questo articolo suggerisce anche lacquisto prima degli earnings Q32017 (il 1 novembre, se non
erro).
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112412-facebook-watch-
watch?auth_param=1e9j7a:1ctmtld:3f7e90048d7e88e5794f6789e2e34ce3&uprof=45&dr=1
Questarticolo sostiene come sia il momento BUY per Facebook che e riuscito a recuperare le
perdite di qualche settimana fa, dando un segnale di forza.
https://investorplace.com/2017/10/its-hammer-time-for-facebook-inc-fb-stock-bulls/view-
all/#.Wdvi51uCypo

- Articolo su GM che non sono solito coprire, ma le cui recenti performance sono senza dubbio
interessanti. GM sta crescendo grazie a risultati milgiori delle attese e allo shift della su clientela
verso prodotti piu elevati. Questo, agigunto alla scommessa tech e a uno share repurchase
potrebbe far crescere ulteriormente il titolo.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112408-will-gm-go-
next?auth_param=1e9j7a:1ctmsqr:25d688e1852ae440def21962ffb69247&uprof=45&dr=1#alt2

- Altro articolo di elogio su Paypal che semba rimanere solida e con possibili ulteriori opportunita
di crescita nel futuro.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112328-thoughts-paypals-
growth?auth_param=1e9j7a:1ctljg7:765017e481097c90c664102053f0cd8a&uprof=45&dr=1

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 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 8 Ottobre 2017
- Boeing ottiene un leggero incremento degli ordini di produzione rispetto allanno scorso.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112289-boeing-september-order-report-uptick-
orders?auth_param=1e9j7a:1ctkj4j:1121e7c30c8a4f29e6ae0e2ecfd09791&uprof=45&dr=1

- Curioso articolo sullaumento della retribuzione dei CEO delle aziende nellS&P500.
https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2017/10/07/sp-500-ceo-compensation-increase-trends/

- Per gli appassionati di Microsoft: se continuate a otenere i vostri dividendi, lo dovete pure a
Microsoft Azure.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112236-microsoft-azure-fuels-dividend-growth#alt2

- Se dovessimo confrontare Google e Amazon, il primo vincerebbe facilmente: magigori profitti,

maggiori margini e piu potenziale di crescita (grazie anche a Youtube). Amazon, dal canto suo,
e attivo in settori a margini minori e possiede un canale di ritorno piu imprevedibile e instabile
di quello di Google.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112427-alphabet-better-stock-amazon-
matters?auth_param=1e9j7a:1ctn0n0:54c960826b13b8c266e2e4b7684813fa&uprof=45&dr=1#
alt1
Forse non a caso, Amazon sta cercando di recuperare e ha preso di mira Youtubbe e le sue
revenues. Il gigante di Bezos starebbe cercando offrire piu insight analitici ai propri utenti.
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3300029-cnbc-amazon-talking-advertisers-win-market-share-
youtube?uprof=45&dr=1#email_link

- Allerta Mastercard che ha toccato i massimi da 52 settimane.

- Zynga e Activision crollano, dopo che Cowen ritiene loutlook neutrale. Si parla di una
compressione di 15/20% sul breve termine, dovuta anche alaumento della concorrenza.
https://seekingalpha.com/news/3299999-videogame-shares-slide-cowen-heads-sidelines-hot-
run?uprof=45&dr=1#email_link
Activision non resta con le mani in mano e si butta nel mobile casino, unindustry da $4,4
miliardi potenziali.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112477-activision-now-expanding-social-casino-
games?auth_param=1e9j7a:1ctn8d1:107ea6fcca9fb96161a7aab38411320a&uprof=45&dr=1

- Breve comparazione tra Boeing e Airbus, dove il primo prevale nettamente sul concorrente
europeo, in termini di ordini ricevuti.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112530-boeing-airbus-order-battle-

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 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 8 Ottobre 2017
september?auth_param=1e9j7a:1ctnic5:3de3982101ef59fd73de1b1a103db0bd&uprof=45&dr=
1

- Si parla di momentum per Nvidia, ma personalmente mi preoccuperei piu del superare la

resistenza dei $187,55.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4112548-nvidia-powered-strong-
momentum?auth_param=1e9j7a:1ctnn3f:6629610d6336521ec1b2410d6f428de0&uprof=45&dr
=1

Trading Ideas:

- Boeing potrebbe avere compiuto il breakout.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BA/F8GKqqbA-
buy/?utm_source=notification_email&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=notification_publis
h
-

Up/Downgrade

Da 24/7 Wall St.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse,
with the downgrade being based on valuation rather than fundamentals. Goldman Sachs has a 52-week
range of $165.51 to $255.15, and it has a consensus target price of $239.76.

Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) was raised to Outperform from Market Perform with a $149 price target
(versus a $133.22 close) at Wells Fargo. Johnson & Johnson has a consensus price target of $137.60, and
its 52-week range is $109.32 to $137.08.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) was raised to Outperform from Neutral with a $54 price target
(versus a $49.76 close) at Credit Suisse. It has a 52-week range of $30.96 to $50.14 and a
consensus price target of $50.21.

Yelp Inc. (NYSE: YELP) was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight with a $44 price target
(versus a $46.73 close) at Cantor Fitzgerald. Yelp has a 52-week range of $26.93 to $46.76 and a
consensus price target of $40.87.

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 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 8 Ottobre 2017
E*Trade Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: ETFC) was raised to Buy from Neutral with a $49 price objective
(versus a $43.95 close) at Merrill Lynch. Its shares were down over 2.3% on Friday but were up 0.65% at
$44.24 on Monday in the early indications.

Da MarketBeat.com

BAE Systems plc (LON:BA) was downgraded by analysts at Berenberg Bank to a "hold" rating on
Tuesday. They now have a GBX 600 ($7.96) price target on the stock, down previously from
GBX 700 ($9.29). This rating was viewed 72 times. Read More.
Celgene Corporation (NASDAQ:CELG) was downgraded by analysts at Morgan Stanley from an
"equal weight" rating to an "underweight" rating on Thursday. They now have a $120.00 price
target on the stock. 13.7% downside from the previous close of $139.12. This rating was viewed
931 times. Read More.

Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) was upgraded by analysts at Standpoint Research from a "hold"
rating to a "buy" rating on Wednesday. Previous closing price of $12.31. This rating was
viewed 70 times. Read More.
General Motors Company (NYSE:GM) (TSE:GMM.U) was upgraded by analysts at Bank of
America Corporation from a "neutral" rating to a "buy" rating on Tuesday. They now have a
$57.00 price target on the stock, up previously from $40.00. 26.9% upside from the previous
close of $44.93. This rating was viewed 54 times. Read More.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) was downgraded by analysts at Standpoint Research from a "hold"
rating to a "sell" rating on Wednesday. Previous closing price of $356.83. This rating was viewed
55 times. Read More.
Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS) was upgraded by analysts at Royal Bank Of Canada from
an "outperform" rating to a "top pick" rating. They now have a $125.00 price target on the
stock, down previously from $130.00. 24.9% upside from the previous close of $100.07. Read
More.
E*TRADE Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:ETFC) was upgraded by analysts at Bank of America
Corporation from a "neutral" rating to a "buy" rating. Previous closing price of $43.95. Read
More.
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) was upgraded by analysts at Wells Fargo & Company from a
"market perform" rating to an "outperform" rating. They now have a $149.00 price target on the
stock, up previously from $133.22. 11.8% upside from the previous close of $133.22. Read
More.
Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) was upgraded by analysts at Credit Suisse Group from a "neutral"
rating to an "outperform" rating. They now have a $54.00 price target on the stock, up
previously from $49.76. 8.5% upside from the previous close of $49.76. Read More.
Activision Blizzard, Inc (NASDAQ:ATVI) was downgraded by analysts at Cowen and Company
from an "outperform" rating to a "market perform" rating. Previous closing price of
$63.25. Read More.

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 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 8 Ottobre 2017
BT Group PLC (NYSE:BT) was downgraded by analysts at Credit Suisse Group to a "neutral"
rating. They now have a GBX 310 ($4.11) price target on the stock, down previously from GBX
360 ($4.78). 1550.7% upside from the previous close of $18.78. Read More.
BT Group PLC (NYSE:BT) was downgraded by analysts at Citigroup Inc. from a "buy" rating to a
"neutral" rating. Previous closing price of $18.78. Read More.
BT Group plc (LON:BT.A) was downgraded by analysts at Credit Suisse Group to a "neutral"
rating. They now have a GBX 310 ($4.11) price target on the stock, down previously from GBX
360 ($4.78). Read More.
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) (NYSE:GS) was downgraded by analysts at Credit Suisse Group
from an "outperform" rating to a "neutral" rating. They now have a $165.51 price target on the
stock, down previously from $255.15. They noted that the move was a valuation call. 32.7%
downside from the previous close of $246.02. Read More.
Yelp Inc. (NYSE:YELP) was downgraded by analysts at Cantor Fitzgerald from an "overweight"
rating to a "neutral" rating. They now have a $44.00 price target on the stock, down previously
from $46.73. 2.4% downside from the previous close of $45.08. Read More.
Liberty Global PLC (NASDAQ:LILA) is now covered by analysts at HSBC Holdings plc. They set a
"reduce" rating and a $22.50 price target on the stock. 8.8% downside from the previous close
of $24.66. Read More.
Liberty Global PLC (NASDAQ:LILAK) is now covered by analysts at HSBC Holdings plc. They set a
"reduce" rating on the stock. Previous closing price of $24.51. Read More.
AstraZeneca plc (LON:AZN) had its price target raised by analysts at HSBC Holdings plc from GBX
4,100 ($54.38) to GBX 4,150 ($55.05). They now have a "reduce" rating on the stock. Read More.
Bank of America Corporation (NYSE:BAC) had its price target raised by analysts at Citigroup Inc.
from $25.00 to $27.00. They now have a "neutral" rating on the stock. 3.0% upside from the
previous close of $26.21. Read More.
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) (NYSE:GS) had its price target raised by analysts at Citigroup
Inc. from $225.00 to $250.00. They now have a "neutral" rating on the stock. 1.6% upside from
the previous close of $246.02. Read More.
Coca-Cola Company (The) (NYSE:KO) had its price target raised by analysts at Bank of America
Corporation from $50.00 to $52.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 14.3% upside
from the previous close of $45.49. Read More.
Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) had its price target raised by analysts at Citigroup Inc. from $46.00
to $50.00. They now have a "neutral" rating on the stock. 0.5% upside from the previous close of
$49.76. Read More.
Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) had its price target raised by analysts at Loop Capital from $212.00
to $228.00. They now have a "buy" rating on the stock. 15.1% upside from the previous close of
$198.02. Read More.

Insider Trades:

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) insider Philip W. Schiller sold 56,808 shares of the business's stock in
a transaction that occurred on Tuesday, October 3rd. The shares were sold at an average
price of $154.70, for a total transaction of $8,788,197.60. The sale was disclosed in a filing

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 Irrobuxtiamo la strategia 8 Ottobre 2017
with the SEC, which is accessible through the SEC website. This trade was viewed 135
times. Read More.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) Director Kimbal Musk sold 2,190 shares of the company's stock in a
transaction that occurred on Monday, October 2nd. The stock was sold at an average price of
$341.69, for a total transaction of $748,301.10. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the
Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available at this link. This trade was viewed 42
times. Read More.

Da Daily Trade Alert:

Disney (DIS) upgraded by RBC Capital to Top Pick from Outperform

E-Trade (ETFC) upgraded by BofA/Merrill to Buy from Neutral
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) upgraded by Wells Fargo to Outperform from Market Perform
Morgan Stanley (MS) upgraded by Credit Suisse to Outperform from Neutral
Goldman Sachs (GS) downgraded by Credit Suisse to Neutral from Outperform
Activision Blizzard (ATVI) downgraded by Cowen to Market Perform from Outperform

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