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I am extremely thankful to
the mr.Sachin sir under whose guidence and support. I
was able to complete my project and also helped me in
gathering necessary data and information about
commodity market in india.
Thank You
Anoop Mishra
DECLARATION
(Candidate’s Name)
Anoop Mishra
MBA
Histery
However many feared that derivatives fuelled unnecessary speculation and were
detrimental to the healthy functioning of the market for the underlying commodities, resulting
in to banning of commodity options trading and cash settlement of commodities futures after
independence in 1952. The parliament passed the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952,
which regulated contracts in Commodities all over the India. The act prohibited options trading
in Goods along with cash settlement of forward trades, rendering a crushing blow to the
commodity derivatives market. Under the act only those associations/exchanges, which are
granted reorganization from the Government, are allowed to organize forward trading in
regulated commodities.
The commodities future market remained dismantled and remained
dormant for about four decades until the new millennium when the Government, in a complete
change in a policy, started actively encouraging commodity market. After Liberalization and
Globalization in 1990, the Government set up a committee (1993) to examine the role of futures
trading.
The commodity futures traded in commodity exchanges are regulated by the Government
under the Forward Contracts Regulations Act, 1952 and the Rules framed there under. The
regulator for the commodities trading is the Forward Markets Commission, situated at Mumbai,
which comes under the Ministry of Consumer Affairs Food and Public Distribution
National Commodities & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX)
Market
A market is conventionally defined as a place where buyers and sellers
meet to exchange goods or services for a consideration. This
consideration is usually money. In an Information Technology-enabled
environment, buyers and sellers from different locations can transact
business in an electronic marketplace. Hence the physical marketplace is
not necessary for the exchange of goods or services for a consideration.
Electronic trading and settlement of transactions has created a revolution
in global financial and commodity markets.
Commodity Market
Commodity futures
A Commodity futures is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell a
specified and standardized quantity of a commodity at a certain time in future at a price
agreed upon at the time of entering into the contract on the commodity futures
exchange.
The need for a futures market arises mainly due to the hedging function
that it can perform. Commodity markets, like any other financial instrument involve risk
associated with frequent price volatility.
The primary objectives of any futures exchange are authentic price discovery and
an efficient price risk management. The beneficiaries include those who trade in the
commodities being offered in the exchange as well as those who have nothing to do with futures
trading. It is because of price discovery and risk management through the existence of futures
exchanges that a lot of businesses and services are able to function smoothly.
2. Price Risk Management: - Hedging is the most common method of price risk
management. It is strategy of offering price risk that is inherent in spot market by taking an
equal but opposite position in the futures market. Futures markets are used as a mode by
hedgers to protect their business from adverse price change. This could dent the profitability of
their business. Hedging benefits who are involved in trading of commodities
like
farmers,
processors,
merchandisers,
3 .Import- Export competitiveness: - The exporters can hedge their price risk and
improve their competitiveness by making use of futures market. A majority of traders which are
involved in physical trade internationally intend to buy forwards. The purchases made from the
physical market might expose them to the risk of price risk resulting to losses. The existence of
futures market would allow the exporters to hedge their proposed purchase by temporarily
substituting for actual purchase till the time is ripe to buy in physical market. In the absence of
futures market it will be meticulous, time consuming and costly physical transactions.
4.Predictable Pricing: - The demand for certain commodities is highly price elastic.
The manufacturers have to ensure that the prices should be stable in order to protect their
market share with the free entry of imports. Futures contracts will enable predictability in
domestic prices. The manufacturers can, as a result, smooth out the influence of changes in
their input prices very easily. With no futures market, the manufacturer can be caught between
severe short-term price movements of oils and necessity to maintain price stability, which could
only be possible through sufficient financial reserves that could otherwise be utilized for making
other profitable investments.
6.Credit accessibility: - The absence of proper risk management tools would attract
the marketing and processing of commodities to high-risk exposure making it risky business
activity to fund. Even a small movement in prices can eat up a huge proportion of capital owned
by traders, at times making it virtually impossible to payback the loan. There is a high degree of
reluctance among banks to fund commodity traders, especially those who do not manage price
risks. If in case they do, the interest rate is likely to be high and terms and conditions very
stringent. This posses a huge obstacle in the smooth functioning and competition of
commodities market. Hedging, which is possible through futures markets, would cut down the
discount rate in commodity lending.
.
Main Commodities Exchanges over the World
NYSE Euronext EU -
Multi Commodity
Exchange
Type Private
Founded 2003
Website http://www.mcxindia.com/
METAL BULLION
FIBER ENERGY
SPICES PLANTATIONS
Arecanut,
Cardamom,
Cashew Kernel,
Jeera,
Coffee
Pepper,
(Robusta),
Red Chilli
Rubber
PETROCHEMIC
PULSES
ALS
Chana, HDPE,
Masur, Polypropylene(
Yellow Peas PP), PVC
CEREALS OTHERS
Guargum, Guar
Seed,
Gurchaku,
Mentha Oil,
Maize Potato (Agra),
Potato
(Tarkeshwar),
Sugar M-30,
Sugar S-30
Corporation Bank
Canara Bank
Bank of India
Bank of Baroda
HDFC Bank
ICICI ventures
IL&FS
Merrill Lynch
NCDEX
National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange
PROFILE
Headquarter
Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
s
Website http://www.ncdex.com/
NCDEX is located in Mumbai and offers facilities in more than 550 centres in India. is a game of
dismanage of market
Commodities Traded
Bullion -
Gold 1 KG
Gold 100gm
Silver 30 KG
Silver 5 KG
Energy -
Brent Crude Oil
Furnace Oil
Light Sweet Crude Oil.
Ferrous metals
Mild Steel Ingot
Plastics
Polypropylene
Linear Low Density Polyethylene
Polyvinyl Chloride.
Non-ferrous metals
Aluminum Ingot,
Copper Cathode
Nickel Ingot
Zinc Cathode
Consortium of Shareholders
Chapter 4
INTERNATIONAL COMMODITY EXCHANGES
The New York Mercantile Exchange is the world’s biggest exchange for
trading in physical commodity futures. It is a primary trading forum for energy products and
precious metals. The exchange is in existence since last 132 years and performs trades trough
two divisions, the NYMEX division, which deals in energy and platinum and the COMEX
division, which trades in all the other metals.
There are two kinds of trades in commodities. The first is the spot trade, in which
one pays cash and carries away the goods. The second is futures trade. The underpinning for
futures is the warehouse receipt. A person deposits certain amount of say, good X in a ware
house and gets a warehouse receipt. Which allows him to ask for physical delivery of the good
from the warehouse. But some one trading in commodity futures need not necessarily posses
such a receipt to strike a deal. A person can buy or sale a commodity future on an exchange
based on his expectation of where the price will go. Futures have something called an expiry
date, by when the buyer or seller either closes (square off) his account or give/take delivery of
the commodity. The broker maintains an account of all dealing parties in which the daily profit or
loss due to changes in the futures price is recorded. Squiring off is done by taking an opposite
contract so that the net outstanding is nil.
For commodity futures to work, the seller should be able to deposit the commodity
at warehouse nearest to him and collect the warehouse receipt. The buyer should be able to
take physical delivery at a location of his choice on presenting the warehouse receipt. But at
present in India very few warehouses provide delivery for specific commodities.
Following diagram gives a fair idea about working of the Commodity market.
]=
- Order receiving
- Execution
- Matching
- Reporting
- Surveillance
- Price limits
- Position limits
- Matching
- Registration
- Clearing
- Clearing limits
- Notation
- Margining
- Price limits
- Position limits
- Clearing house.
- Reporting
- Delivery upon expiration or maturity.
Chapter 6
An investor can transact a business with the approved clearing member of previously
mentioned Commodity Exchanges. The investor can ask for the details from the Commodity
Exchanges about the list of approved members.
What is Identity Proof?
When investor approaches Clearing Member, the member will ask for identity proof. For
which Xerox copy of any one of the following can be given
a) PAN card Number
b) Driving License
c) Vote ID
d) Passport
The front page of Bank Pass Book and a canceled cheque of a concerned bank.
Otherwise the Bank Statement containing details can be given.
What are the particulars to be given for address proof?
In order to ascertain the address of investor, the clearing member will insist on Xerox copy
of Ration card or the Pass Book/ Bank Statement where the address of investor is given.
What are the other forms to be signed by the investor?
commodity broker?
While selecting a commodity broker investor should ideally keep certain aspects in
mind to ensure that they are not being missed in any which way. These factors include
18
•
The clientele.
•
The references.
•
most important.
•
Credit facility.
•
Broker:-
The Broker is essentially a person of firm that liaisons between individual traders and the
commodity exchange. In other words the Commodity Broker is the member of Commodity
Exchange, having direct connection with the exchange to carry out all trades legally. He is also
known as the authorized dealer.
How to become a Commodity Trader/Broker of Commodity
Exchange?
To become a commodity trader one needs to complete certain legal and binding
obligations. There is routine process followed, which is stated by a unit of Government that lays
down the laws and acts with regards to commodity trading. A broker of Commodities is also
required to meet certain obligations to gain such a membership in exchange.To become a
member of Commodity Exchange the broker of
brokerage firm should have net worth amounting to Rs. 50 Lakh. This
statutory/regulatory authority,
Exchanges.
A PCM entitled to clear and settle trades executed by other members of the
exchange. A corporate entity and an institution only can apply for PCM. The member would be
allowed to clear and settle trades of such members of the Exchange who choose to clear and
settle their trades through such PCM.
Sr.
No.Particulars
NCDEX: TCM
Interest
Free
Cash
Security Deposit
15.00 Lakhs
Admission Fee
5.00 Lakhs
0.50 Lakhs
Advance
Transaction Charges
50.00 Lakhs
Transaction Charges
50.00 Lakhs
Sr.
No.Particulars
NCDEX: PCM
Interest
Free
Cash
Security Deposit
25.00 Lakhs
Annual
Subscription
Charges
1.00 Lakhs
Advance
Minimum
Transaction Charges
1.00 Lakhs
5000.00 Lakhs
Chapter 7
India is among top 5 producers of most of the Commodities, in addition to being a major
consumer of bullion and energy products. Agriculture contributes about 22% GDP of Indian
economy. It employees around 57% of the labor force on total of 163 million hectors of land
Agriculture sector is an important factor in achieving a GDP growth of 8-10%. All this indicates
that India can be promoted as a major centre for trading of commodity derivatives.
Trends in volume contribution on the three National
(NCDEX):-
NCDEX is the second largest commodity exchange in the country after MCX.
However the major volume contributors on NCDEX are agricultural commodities. But, most of
them have common inherent problem of small market size, which is making them vulnerable to
market manipulations and over speculation. About 60 percent trade on NCDEX comes from
guar seed, chana and Urad (narrow commodities as specified by FMC).
Pattern on National Multi Commodity Exchange (NMCE):-
22
NMCE is third national level futures exchange that has been largely trading in
Agricultural Commodities. Trade on NMCE had considerable proportion of commodities with big
market size as jute rubber etc. But, in subsequent period, the pattern has changed and slowly
moved towards commodities with small market size or narrow commodities.Analysis of volume
contributions on three major national
commodity exchanges reveled the following pattern,
trading are
Exchangers: - making profit from mounting volumes
Arbitragers
Operators
In order to understand the extent of progress the trading the trading in Commodity
Derivatives has made towards its specified objectives (price discovery and price risk
management), the current trends are juxtaposed against the specification
Specified and actual pattern of futures trade
No wide spread participation of all stake holders of commodity markets. The actual
benefits may be realized only when all the stake holders in commodity market including
producers, traders, consumers etc trade actively in all major commodities like rice, wheat, cotton
etc.
Some Suggestions to make futures market as a level playing field
Creation of awareness among farmers and other rural participants to use the futures trading
platform for risk mitigation.
•
Contract specifications should have wider coverage, so that a large number of varieties
produced across the country could be included.
•
Development of warehousing and facilities to use the warehouse receipt as a financial
instrument to encourage participation farmers.
•
and
standardization
and
more
transparent
price
mechanisms.
•
Delivery system of exchanges is not good enough to attract investors. E.g.- In many
commodities NCDEX forces the delivery on people with long position and when they tend to
give back the delivery in next month contract the exchange simply refuses to accept the delivery
on pretext of quality difference and also auctions the product. The traders have to take a
delivery or book losses at settlement as there are huge differences between two contracts and
also sometimes few contracts are not available for trading for no reason at all.
•
Contract sizes should have an adequate range so that smaller traders can participate and can
avoid control of trading by few big parties.
•
Setting of state level or district level commodities trading helpdesk run by independent
organization such as reputed NGO for educating farmers.
Warehousing and logistics management structure also needs to be created at state or area level
whenever commodity production is above a certain share of national level.
•
Though over 100 commodities are allowed for Derivatives trading, in practice only a few
commodities derivatives are popular for trading. Again most of the trade takes place only on few
exchanges. This problem can possibly solved by consolidating some exchanges.
•
Only about 1% to 5% of total commodity derivatives traded in country are settled in physical
delivery due to insufficiencies in present warehousing system. As good delivery system is the
back bone of any Commodity trade, warehousing problem has to be handled on a war footing.
•
At present there are restrictions in movement of certain goods from one state to another.
These needs to be removed so that a truly national market could develop for commodities and
derivatives.
•
Regulatory changes are required to bring about uniformity in Octri and sales tax etc. VAT has
been introduced in country in 2005, but, has not yet been uniformly implemented by all states.
•
Chapter 8
Commodities
Steel: -
General Characteristics: -
Steel is an alloy of iron and carbon, containing less than 2% carbon, 1% manganese
and small amount of silicon, phosphorus, sulphur and oxygen. Steel is most important engineering
and construction material in the world. It is most important, multi functional and the most adaptable of
materials. Steel production is 20 times higher a compared to production of all non-ferrous metals put
together.
Steel compared to other materials of its type has low production costs. The
energy required for extracting iron from ore is about 25% of what is needed for extracting
aluminum.
There are altogether about 2000 grades of steel developed of which
1500 grades are high-grade steels. The large number of grades gives steel the characteristics
of basic production material.
Categories of Steel: -
Steel market is primarily divided in to two main categories- flat and long. A flat
carbon steel product is a plate product or a (hot or cold) rolled strip product. Plate products vary
in dimensions from 10 mm to 200 mm and thin flat rolled products from 1 mm to 10 mm. Plate
products are used for ship building, construction, large diameter welded pipes and boiler
applications. Thin flat products find end use applications in automotive body panels, domestic
‘white goods’ products, ‘tin cans’ and the whole host of other products from office furniture to
heart pacemakers. Plates, HR coils and HR Sheet, CR Sheet and CR coils, GP/GC (galvanized
plates and coils) pipes etc. are included in this category.
A long steel product is a road or a bar. Typical rod product are the reinforcing
rods made from sponge iron for concrete, ingots, billets, engineering products, gears, tools, etc.
Wiredrawn products and seamless pipes are also part of the long products group. Bars, rods,
structures, railway materials, etc are included in this category.
Sponge Iron/ Direct reduced iron (DRI): This is a high quality product
produced by reducing iron ore in a solid state and is primarily used as an iron input in electric
arc furnace (EAF) steel making process. This industry is an integral part of the steel sector
India is one of the leading countries in terms of sponge iron production. There are a number of
coal-based sponge iron/DRI plants (in the eastern and central region) and also three natural gas
based plants (in western part of the country) in the country.
Global Scenario: -
The total output of the word crude steel in 2006 stood at 945
China is the word’s largest crude steel producer in the year 2006 with around
220.12 million tons of steel production, followed by Japan and USA. USA was largest importer
of steel products, both finished and semi finished, in 2005, followed by China and Germany.
The words largest exporter of semi-finished and finished steel
Indian Scenario: -
India is the 8th largest producer of the steel with an annual production of 36.193
million tons, while the consumption is around 30 million tons.
Iron & steel can be freely exported and imported from India.
Flat: -
The demand for steel is dependent on the overall health of the economy and the in
fracture development activities being undertaken. The steel prices in the Indian market primarily
depend on the domestic demand and supply conditions, and international prices. Government
and different producer and consumer associations regularly monitor steel prices.
The duty imposed on import of steel and its fractions also have an impact on steel
prices. The price trend in steel in Indian markets has been a function of World’s economic
activity
India is one of the leading countries in terms of sponge iron production. There are a number of
coal-based sponge iron/DRI plants (in the eastern and central region) and also three natural gas
based plants (in western part of the country) in the country.
Global Scenario: -
The total output of the word crude steel in 2006 stood at 945
China is the word’s largest crude steel producer in the year 2006 with around
220.12 million tons of steel production, followed by Japan and USA. USA was largest importer
of steel products, both finished and semi finished, in 2005, followed by China and Germany.
The words largest exporter of semi-finished and finished steel
Indian Scenario: -
India is the 8th largest producer of the steel with an annual production of 36.193
million tons, while the consumption is around 30 million tons.
Iron & steel can be freely exported and imported from India.
India is a net exporter of steel.
Flat: -
The demand for steel is dependent on the overall health of the economy and the in
fracture development activities being undertaken. The steel prices in the Indian market primarily
depend on the domestic demand and supply conditions, and international prices. Government
and different producer and consumer associations regularly monitor steel prices.
The duty imposed on import of steel and its fractions also have an impact on steel
prices. The price trend in steel in Indian markets has been a function of World’s economic
activity
Price tends to be lower as harvesting progresses and produce starts coming in to the
market. At the time sowing and before harvesting price tend to rise in a view of tight supply
situation. Weather has profound influence on wheat production. Temperature plays crucial role
Change in Minimum Support Price (MSP) by Govt. and the stock available with Food
corporation of India and the release from official stock influence of the price. Though,
international trade is limited, the ups and downs in the production and consumption at all the
major/minor producing and consuming nation dose influence the long term price trend.
ANALYSIS
Survey was conducted across Mumbai City (in areas like Andheri, Santacruz,
Bandra Church gate) to judge the awareness of peoples regarding investment in Commodity
Market.
Sample size 30 peoples
Analysis of data shows that majority of people who are aware about
commodity market; feel that investment in commodity market is very risky. So efforts should be
done to minimize the risk in commodity investment and make peoples about minimum risk in
commodity investment.
Qualitative Analysis
1. Investment preferences: -
Most of the investors prefer least risky investment which gives higher returns. That
is why majority (70% of sample) of people interested in investments other than Share and
commodity market.
Very less number of people (only 7%) showed their interest in investment in
commodity market. Main reason for this is lack of awareness and complete information about
commodity market.
2. Commodity Exchanges: -
3. Commodities: -
Bullion is most preferred commodity for investment. Because one can expect maximum
returns from such investment due to rapidly increasing prices of bullion in market.
4. Advertisements: -
and manufacture
•
asset and futures price of the underlying asset. Basis can be negative or positive depending on
the prices prevailing in the cash and futures.
•
of underlying futures
•
specific price.
•
Call: - An option that gives the buyer the right to a long position
in the underlying futures at a specific price, the call writer (seller) may be assigned a short
position in the underlying futures if the buyer exercises the call.
futures contract is based. This product can include agricultural commodities, financial
instruments and the cash equivalent of index futures.
•
Closing price: - The price (or price range) recorded during the
period designated by the exchange as the official close.
•
futures contract.
•
48
value from an underlying asset. (Underlying assets can be equity, commodity, foreign
exchange, interest rates, real estate or any other asset.) Four types of derivatives are trades
forward, futures, options and swaps. Derivatives can be traded either in an exchange or over
the counter.
•
basis grade and the discounts allowed for the grades. These
Standardized contracts ensure that the prices mean the same to everyone in the market. The
prices in an exchange are determined in the form of a continuous auction by members who are
acting on behalf of their clients, companies or themselves.
•
buy or sell an asset at a future date for price agreed upon while signing agreement. Forward
contract is not traded on an exchange. This is oldest form of derivative contract. It is traded in
OTC Market. Not on an exchange. Size of forward contract is customized as per the terms of
agreement between buyer and seller. The contract price of forward contract is not transparent,
as it is not publicly disclosed. Here valuation of open position is not calculated on a daily basis
and there is no requirement of MTM. Liquidity is the measure of frequency of trades that occur
in a particular commodity forward contract is less liquid due to its customized nature. In forward
contracts, counter- party risk is high due to customized & bilateral nature of the transaction.
Forward contract is not regulated by any exchange. Forward contract is generally settled by
physical delivery. In this case delivery is carried out at delivery center specified in the
customized bilateral agreement.
•
buy or sell a specified and standardized quantity and quality of an asset at certain time in the
future at price agreed upon at the time of entering in to contract on the futures exchange. It is
entered on centralized trading platform of exchange. It is standardized in terms of quantity as
specified by exchange. Contract price of futures contract is transparent as it is available on
centralized trading screen of the exchange. Here valuation of Mark-to-Mark position is
calculated as per the official closing price on daily basis and MTM margin requirement exists.
Futures contract is more liquid as it is traded on the exchange. In futures contracts the clearing-
house becomes the counter party to each transaction, which is called novation. Therefore,
counter party risk is almost eliminated. A regulatory authority and the exchange regulate futures
contract. Futures contract is generally cash settled but option of physical settlement is available.
Delivery tendered in case of futures contract should be of standard quantity and quality as
specified by the exchange.
•
to accept the orders to buy and sale futures contracts for the
consumers.
•
Futures Funds: - Usually limited partnerships for investors who prefer to participate in the
futures market by buying shares in a fund managed by professional traders or commodity
trading advisors.
•
contractual agreements (for future delivery) of underlying asset as the specific commodity and
not the physical commodity itself. The formulation of futures contract is very specific regarding
the quality of the commodity, the quantity to be delivered and date for delivery. However it does
not involve immediate transfer of ownership of commodity, unless resulting in delivery. Thus, in
futures markets, commodities can be bought or sold irrespective of whether one has possession
of the underlying commodity or not. The futures market trade in futures contracts primarily for
the purpose of risk management that is hedging on commodity stocks or forward buyers and
sellers. Most of these contracts are squared off before maturity and rarely end in deliveries.
•
price of underlying futures. In put options, when the strike price is above the underlying futures.
In-the-money options are the most expensive options because the premium includes intrinsic
value.
•
the S & P 500 or Value Line Index. These are the cash
settlement contracts.
•
long or short position, but more often used by the trade to mean
futures option; (2) a trader whose net position in the futures or options market shows an excess
of open purchases over open sales.
•
available price.
•
51
individual or group.
•
(opposite of bid).
•
total.
•
the price of the underlying futures, and puts with strike prices
multiples of points).
•
commodities.
•
Premium: - The amount by which a given futures contract’s price
or put, which the buyer initially pays to the option writer (seller).
•
Purchase and sales statement: - A statement sent by FMC to a customer when his futures
option has been reduced or closed out (also called ‘P and S”)
•
short position in an underlying futures contract at the strike price until the option expires; the
seller (writer) of the put obligates himself to take a long position in the futures at the strike price
if the buyer exercises his put.
•
advance.
•
other.
•
position is liquidated.
•
accounts.
on a negotiated basis.
•
contracts.
•
predetermined terms.
•
of charts and other devices to analyze price-change patters and changes in volume and open
interest to predict future market trends (opposite of fundamental analysis).
•
amount of time left before the contract expires and the volatility of the underlying futures
contract. Time value represents the portion of the premium in excess of intrinsic value. Time
value diminishes as the expiration of the options draws near and/or if the underlying futures
become less volatile.
•
54
Trading Commodities and Financial Futures: A Step by Step guide to Mastering the Market, 3rd
Edition by George Kleinman
•
commodity markets
work+ FMC