Stage 1: Mathematical Modelling for evaluation of predictability of Economic booms and Slump

Independently for Stocks, Property and Countries Inflation.

Stage 2: Develop a software

Developing a model for three time frames:

1. Immediate ( with maximum >90% accuracy )

2. Medium Term ( with >50% accuracy )
3. Long Term ( with >25% accuracy )

With a background of study in Electrical Engineering, Computer Science, Real Estate Investment,
International Relations, International Political Economy and Sociology I am greatly interested in
developing such models with a high degree of accuracy to ensure better readiness and solution
development for avoiding any losses.

The world would be divided in to regions/countries based on similarity of characteristics and different
variables will be calculated for different regions/countries based on different input variables.

Factors which will be considered while determining the probability of boom or slump:

1. Wars (scaled positive and negative impacts on economy)

2. Demand and Supply factors
3. Loans/Bailouts and Aid
4. Globalization/Mercantilism and Protectionism
5. Indicators (GDP, PPP, Debt/GDP, Inflation, Population, Natural Output, Stability Index, Stock
Exchange, Property Prices etc.)

The development of a robust software will ensure that the business men refrain from any high risk
area and protect the global economy from the trickledown effect.