Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
DOI 10.1007/s10845-010-0473-5
Received: 25 March 2009 / Accepted: 18 October 2010 / Published online: 6 November 2010
Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2010
123
1434 J Intell Manuf (2012) 23:14331443
attributes. Such utility functions are used to quantify the or imprecise inputs from customers and designers. Numer-
desirability of certain alternatives in the areas of engineering ous publications and research works indicate that fuzzy set
and marketing for decision making. Besharati et al. (2006) analysis is a useful tool in decision-making problems with
proposed a generalized modeling approach for supporting the multiple goals or criteria (Shao et al. 2006; Zha et al. 2005).
selection in product design, where MAU approach is applied Moreover, fuzzy set analysis is appropriate in making the
to capture the designers considerations. best selection among several alternatives under defined cri-
In order to regard customer preferences in the multi- teria which are represented in fuzzy terms.
attribute design evaluation process, some existed evaluation In this paper, we develop an approach to comprise the cus-
procedures take into account the relative importance of (or tomers preferences and designers technical considerations
weighting factor for) each criterion being considered (Jiao in the process of selection and evaluation of product design,
and Tseng 1998). Further, the Analytical Hierarchy Process and thus can help consumers select the right product to meet
(AHP) (Saaty 1980) has been proven to be a more rigorous their needs. For this aim, a product evaluation and selection
procedure for determining customer preferences because it is model is defined to formulate the technical criteria and con-
relatively easy to use and can effectively handle both qualita- sider customers requirements. Then, a multi-attribute anal-
tive and quantitative data. This data is compared in a pairwise ysis diagram is proposed to visualize the preference of each
fashion with respect to the relative importance of (or prefer- attribute from experts viewpoints. Finally, a case study on
ence for) each criterion between hierarchical decision levels mobile robot selection and evaluation is exemplified to vali-
(Chiang et al. 2008; Kwong and Bai 2002). We note that Ayag date the modeling approach and the decision-making method.
(2005) also proposed to use the AHP technique to evaluate Technically, we use fuzzy set technique to analyze the uncer-
conceptual design alternatives in new product development. tainties of customers and designers, and fuzzy analysis tech-
Conjoint analysis (Green and Srinivasan 1978) is another nique to investigate customers responses to design options,
approach of solving the multi-attribute decision problems the proposed approach thus can make product design more
where the focus is preference elicitation at the individual effective and accurate, and could be adapted to different qual-
customer level (Besharati et al. 2006). In addition, in order itative design and customers criteria.
to overcome preference aggregation problems and account We mention that the method of making design decisions
for choice uncertainty, the conjoint model can be based on on the basis of customers requirements is an extension of
a discrete choice model that utilizes an individuals selec- the previous work (Liu et al. 2009), where the goal was to
tion behavior (Louviere et al. 2000). Chen et al. (2005) pro- provide an effective strategy for associating customer infor-
posed a product definition and customization system using mation with a given product concept.
an integrated methodology of conjoint analysis and Kohonen This paper is organized as follows. In Sect. Fuzzy deci-
association techniques. sion-making method, a description of the fuzzy decision-
Although there are numerous models that have been used, making method is introduced. Section An optimum selection
the deterministic models (such as the first choice model based approach for product customization development describes
on the customers utilities) have been applied in practice to an optimum selection approach for product customization
select the product with the highest customer utility. However, development based on the fuzzy decision-making method.
such techniques cannot deal with intangible criteria, since the Section A case study exemplifies an the proposed approach.
utility analysis approach requires the expected performance Finally, the concluding remarks of the paper are provided in
with respect to each criterion to be represented in a quantita- Sect. Conclusions.
tive form, for this reason it is difficult to quantify intangible
criteria such as some of the qualitative design criteria in early Fuzzy decision-making method
design stages (Thurston and Crawford 1994).
Indeed, to search for the optimal design alternatives with A good design decision-making model must be able to
the development of trade-off techniques for making deci- accommodate vagueness because fuzziness is a common
sions, effective product evaluation has to consider both tan- characteristic encountered in any design decision making
gible (e.g., physical dimensions and production cost) and problems. Under these conditions, the transformation of
intangible (e.g., reliability and compatibility) criteria, along qualitative preferences to precise numerical values is usually
with quantitative and qualitative performance measures. inappropriate, and decision-makers often therefore provide
From a practical viewpoint, consumers preference reflects uncertain estimates rather than precise answers.
the psychological requirements which are conceptually
vague with uncertainty and frequently presented in linguis- Representation of triangular fuzzy numbers
tic forms (Tsai and Hsiao 2004). Fuzzy analysis, based on
fuzzy set theory, excels in capturing semantic uncertainty A fuzzy set is defined as a pair (A, A ), where A R is a
with linguistic terms. It is capable of dealing with qualitative subset of real number set, and A : A [0, 1] is called
123
J Intell Manuf (2012) 23:14331443 1435
Fig. 1 Membership function of a triangular fuzzy number Fig. 2 Maximizing/minimizing triangular fuzzy numbers
Ranking fuzzy numbers In this paper, an optimum design selection approach for
product customization development based on fuzzy set deci-
In practice, ranking fuzzy numbers is a very important deci- sion-making is proposed. The approach is used to identify the
sion making procedure. For example, the design concept of optimal product design from a set of product design alterna-
optimum or best choice to come true are completely based on tives. The details of the approach are presented in this section.
ranking or comparison. As in Chen (1985), we will employ
the concept of maximizing set and minimizing set to decide Identification of design attributes priority
the order of the fuzzy numbers.
Assume there are n N triangular fuzzy numbers, The attributes priority is identified by an Analytical Hierar-
denoted by ( pi1 , pi2 , pi3 ) for i {1, . . . , n} respectively, and chy Process (AHP) from customer preference. The linguistic
123
1436 J Intell Manuf (2012) 23:14331443
variables on customer expectation preferences are considered Fuzzy evaluation of relative importance of individual
as the input for the product customization selection. Here, the customer expectation
customer expectation preferences are modeled with linguis-
tic sets. Fuzzy evaluation of customers expectations is analyzed by
their relative importance in a pairwise comparison way. Let
pql = ( pql 1 , p 2 , p 3 ) denote the measure value of expec-
ql ql
tation of the qth customer for the lth need, where q
Customer expectations modeling
{1, . . . , s}, l {1, . . . , k}, and s, k denote the number of
customers and their needs respectively.
The preference reflection of customers is frequently pre-
To obtain pairwise comparison ratios of the fuzzy num-
sented in linguistic forms in statements such as the cost 2 of fuzzy number p is taken to
bers, the peak value pql ql
should be low, the quality of the product should be good,
represent the importance intensity for the lth need. The rel-
etc. Customer expectations are captured difficultly by means
ative importance alv is considered as the important ratio of
of a definite structure. Fuzzy set theory is a rational approach
the lth need compared with the vth need. Formally, alv = 1
that uses linguistic characterizations toward decision-mak-
for the case of l = v; for other cases it is defined as
ing by taking into account human subjective judgments. The
linguistic variables are used to allow precise modeling of alv = pql
2
pqv
2
. (4)
imprecise statements such as very important or less satis-
2 p 2 , and
if pql
faction to linguistically evaluate the importance of the cus- qv
tomer needs. In the proposed approach any number of fuzzy
alv = 1/avl = 1/( pqv
2
pql
2
) (5)
sets can be used to model the customers expectation prefer-
ences. The number of fuzzy sets will depend on the problem otherwise, where l, v {1, . . . , k} and q {1, . . . , s}.
at hand. For example, in order to explain the level of expec- Thus, the relative importance of individual customer
tation of customer needs easily, six linguistic sets have been expectation is obtained.
developed: (1) Very Low, (2) Low, (3) Medium Low, (4)
Medium High, (5) High, (6) Very High. Moveover, these lin- Ranking the importance of customer needs
guistic sets can be quantified with corresponding triangular
fuzzy numbers as shown in Table 1, Fig. 3. To obtain the importance of all customer needs, the pairwise
comparison method, developed by Saaty (1980), is utilized
for ranking customer needs by their importance. A k k
matrix A is obtained from the pairwise comparison with rel-
Table 1 Linguistic variables for the importance and the ratings
ative importance of fuzzy customer expectations. The matrix
Linguistic variables Triangular A satisfies
fuzzy
numbers a11 a12 . . . a1k w1 w1
a21 a22 . . . a2k w2 w2
Very Low (VL) (0,0,1) .. .. .. .. .. = k .. (6)
Low (L) (0,1,3) . . . . . .
Medium Low (ML) (1,3,5) ak1 ak2 . . . akk wk wk
Medium High (MH) (3,5,7) We note that the values in the upper triangle of the matrix
High (H) (5,7,8) are the reciprocal values of the elements in the lower triangle
Very High (VH) (7,8,8) of this matrix, so only k(k1)
2 comparisons are needed for
ranking. Equation (6) can be denoted as
AW = kW, (7)
or
(A k I )W = 0, (8)
where I is an k k identity matrix. From this equation, it
is apparent that k is an eigenvalue of A , and W is an corre-
sponding eigenvector for k. Since the judgment matrix A is
created based on the decision makers subjective judgments,
the estimation errors will more or less exist in this pairwise
Fig. 3 Fuzzy membership function for expectation of customer needs comparison matrix. In such a case, the vector W satisfies
123
J Intell Manuf (2012) 23:14331443 1437
Table 2 Consistency indices for random reciprocal matrices with different orders
Size of matrix 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
AW = max W, (9)
max k. (10)
123
1438 J Intell Manuf (2012) 23:14331443
W X Z = W X Y WY Z
= wy1 wy2 , . . . , wy1 wy2 ,
1 Y Z l Y Z
. . . , wy1 wy2 (14)
k Y Z
k
rent study proposes to use a group decision that improves the
CI X Z = CIY Z W X Y = CI y 1 w y 1 (15)
l=1
l l original evaluation based on various experts independent
evaluation.
k
RI X Z = RIY Z W X Y = RI y 1 w y 1 (16) Suppose there are Q experts {e1 , e2 , . . . , e Q }. Each expert
l l eq evaluates ri alternatives with respect to design attributes
l=1
CI X Z metrics t j for i {1, . . . , m} and j {1, . . . , n}. Denote by
CR X Z = < 0.1 (17) pqi j = ( pqi
1 , p 2 , p 3 ) the evaluation value of alternative i
RI X Z j qi j qi j
by expert q with respect to criterion j. pi j denotes the overall
Fuzzy evaluation of product alternatives from the experts evaluation for alternative i with criterion j and is calculated
point of view as follows:
T
pi j = p1i j , p2i j , . . . , pqi j , . . . , p Qi j
In this section, the overall fuzzy measure matrix of design
alternatives with respect to design attributes is achieved from = ( pi1j , pi2j , pi3j ), (18)
satisfaction of different experts. The level of satisfaction of
where
experts with respect to the given attributes of alternatives
are modeled in linguistic sets, and a multi-attribute analy- pi1j = min pqi j,
1
sis diagram is used to visualize the comparison between the q
different alternatives.
Q
pi2j = pqi2
j /q,
Expert satisfactions using linguistic sets q=1
Fuzzy measure matrix of product alternatives with design Each individual design alternative may contain several attri-
attributes butes of the design specifications. The metrics for this level
of evaluation include not only the product functionality, but
Generally, different experts have different specific skill or also other criteria including some life-cycle issues, such as
knowledge about product design. If this is the case, it assembability, manufacturability, maintainability, reliability,
123
J Intell Manuf (2012) 23:14331443 1439
123
1440 J Intell Manuf (2012) 23:14331443
different customers having different requirements. Specifi- Firstly, customers are chosen from different groups to con-
cally, the identification of the best design candidate is carried tribute their preferences of design needs. This is a key step
out for different customers in the following three steps. of the product development of robot design. For simplicity,
Step 1: Identifying the attributes priority from different two extreme types of customers are considered in our case.
customer preferences. In detail, one type of customers expect robots with high per-
The selection of alternatives is a process of integrating dif- formance and suitability and hope the selected robots can be
ferent views from the angles of engineering, economy and really used in industrial applications, while another type of
environment. For clarity, it is depicted as a hierarchy structure customers show more interesting to the cheap price and ele-
as shown in Fig. 7. Specifically, engineering performance mentary functions of robots as they will be mainly used in
explains the meaning of technical parameters from the view laboratories for teaching and experimental purposes.
of product engineering, and embodies as the attributes of Then, customers are asked to select the corresponding
kinematic accuracy, motion efficiency, and reliability. Econ- linguistic sets based on personal requirement (See Table 1;
omy performance involves two attributesproduction cost Fig. 3). In our case, the customer C1 expects three perfor-
and work life. Further, environment performance reflects the mance needs, i.e., VH, L and H; while they are ML,
ability of robots adapt for different environment and can be VH and L for customer C2 correspondingly.
detailed as three attributes: the structural complexity attri- The importance of customer expectations is determined
bute reflects the state or quality of robot; the noise attribute by the pairwise comparison method shown in Table 4 (See
denotes the interference level between robots and the sur- Sect. Fuzzy evaluation of relative importance of individual
rounding; while environment suitability attribute denotes the customer expectation and Ranking the importance of cus-
ability that robots adapt to different conditions. Therefore, tomer needs). Accordingly, the comparison matrixes of layer
the technical criteria for evaluating the robot can be naturally Y-Z are shown in Table 5. The pairwise comparison method
described as the above eight design attributes as a whole. can be performed to evaluate attributes priority from differ-
ent customer preferences. The priority of the eight design
attributes can be obtained from the two specific customers
using Eq. (14) as shown in Table 6 (See Sect. 3.1.4).
Step 2: Fuzzy evaluating the product alternatives from the
experts point of view.
In this example, four experts from design, manufacture,
usage and maintenance fields respectively are asked to con-
tribute their satisfaction on each design alternative with
respects to design criteria. These experts pick out suitable lin-
guistic sets according to the method shown in Fig. 5. to eval-
uate each alternative. As a result, Table 7. shows the measure
value of four experts and the overall evaluation result with
respects to design alternative r1 calculated using Eqs. (18)
and (19). Moreover, Table 8. lists the fuzzy measure matrix
of three robot alternatives with different design criteria from
four experts using Eq. (20).
Step 3: Conjointly analyzing customer utility generation
Fig. 7 The analytic hierarchy process structure for the selection of in terms of multiple criteria.
alternatives
123
J Intell Manuf (2012) 23:14331443 1441
Table 5 Paired comparison results for the Engineering (y11 ), Econ- The alternatives fuzzy evaluation membership functions
omy (y21 ) and Environment (y31 ) in the subcriterion level (Y) are ranked as shown in Figs. 8 and 9 in a descending order of
y11 y12 y22 y32 W y 1 Z U using Eqs. (1), (2) and (3). We note that the product design
1
alternative with the highest customer utility value will be the
y12 1 1/4 3 0.1862 best choice for product customization.
y22 4 1 2 0.8527 A simple analysis of the design evaluation results shows
y32 3 1/2 1 0.4881 the following:
y31 y62 y72 y82 W y 1 Z 1) The customer utility with respect to design alternatives is
3
treated as the customer preference level to those selected
y62 1 1/4 1/7 0.1102 alternatives.
y72 4 1 1/3 0.3683 2) The customer utility matrix is obtained with qualitative
y82 7 3 1 0.9232 inputs from customers and designers. The expectation of
customer needs and satisfaction of experts are modeled
y21 y42 y52 W y 1 Z
2 in the triangular fuzzy numbers.
y42 1 3 0.9487 3) Two customers show different preferences in selecting
y52 1/3 1 0.3162 design alternatives, i.e. customer C1 selects robot alter-
native r1 which has high performance, while customer
C2 prefers robot alternative r3 which satisfies the need
The customer utility matrix for different alternatives is of low price.
obtained from Eq. (21). For two specific customers, Table 9
lists their corresponding customer utility values with respect As demonstrated in the above example, the approach
to each alternative. The results of the fuzzy decision-making guides the designer to determine which of the alternatives
method for each design alternative are used to help the final could possibly satisfy corresponding customers and thus gain
decision making process of the product manager or customer. a higher potential demand for further product development.
Table 7 Measurement of four experts and the overall evaluation result with respects to design alternative r1
Design Design attributes
Alternative (r1 ) t1 t2 t3 t4 t5 t6 t7 t8
E1 VG G VG P MG MP VG MG
E2 VG VG G VP MP MG G MP
E3 G G MG MP MG MG VG MG
E4 MG G G P P MP G G
Overall(E) (3,7,8) (5,7.25,8) (3,6.75,8) (0,1.25,5) (0,3.5,7) (1,4,7) (5,7.5,8) (1,5,8)
123
1442 J Intell Manuf (2012) 23:14331443
References
123
J Intell Manuf (2012) 23:14331443 1443
Jiao, J., & Tseng, M. (1998). Fuzzy ranking for concept evalua- Thurston, D., & Crawford, C. (1994). A method for integrating end-user
tion in configuration design for mass customization. Concurrent preferences for design evaluation in rule-based systems. Journal
Engineering, 6(3), 189206. of Mechanical Design, 116(2), 522530.
Kwong, C. K., & Bai, H. (2002). A fuzzy AHP approach to the Tsai, H., & Hsiao, S. (2004). Evaluation of alternatives for product
determination of importance weights of customer requirements customization using fuzzy logic. Information Sciences, 158, 233
in quality function deployment. Journal of Intelligent Manufac- 262.
turing, 13, 367377. Vanegas, L., & Labib, A. (2005). Fuzzy approaches to evaluation in
Louviere, J., Hensher, D., & Swait, J. (2000). Stated choice methods: engineering design. Journal of Mechanical Design, 127(1), 2433.
analysis and applications. : Cambridge University Press. Xu, L., Li, Z., Li, S., & Tang, F. (2007). A decision support system
Liu, C., Ramirez-Serrano, A., & Yin, G. F. (2009). Customer-driven for product design in concurrent engineering. Decision Support
product design and evaluation method for collaborative design Systems, 42(4), 20292042.
environments. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing. doi:10.1007/ Zadeh, L. (1965). Fuzzy sets. Information and Control, 8, 338353.
s10845-009-0334-2. Zha, X., Sriram, R., & Lu, W. (2005). Evaluation and selection in
Saaty, T. L. (1980). The analytic hierarchy process. New York: product design for mass customization: A knowledge decision
McGraw-Hill. support approach. AI EDAM, 18(01), 87109.
Shao, X. Y., Wang, Z. H., Li, P. G., & Feng, X. J. (2006). Integrating
data mining and rough set for customer group-based discovery of
product configuration rules. International Journal of Production
Research, 44(14), 27892811.
123